2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Kansas

Last updated

2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Kansas
Flag of Kansas.svg
  2016 November 6, 2018 2020  

All 4 Kansas seats to the United States House of Representatives
 Majority partyMinority party
 
Party Republican Democratic
Last election40
Seats won31
Seat changeDecrease2.svg 1Increase2.svg 1
Popular vote549,563447,134
Percentage53.95%43.89%
SwingDecrease2.svg 5.20%Increase2.svg 16.83%

Kansas Congressional Election Results 2018.svg

The 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Kansas were held on November 6, 2018, to elect the four U.S. representatives from the state of Kansas, one from each of the state's four congressional districts.

Contents

The state congressional delegation changed from a 4–0 Republican majority to a 3–1 Republican majority, the first time the Democrats held a house seat in the state since 2010.

Overview

Results of the 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Kansas by district: [1]

District Republican Democratic OthersTotalResult
Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%
District 1 153,08268.15%71,55831.85%00.00%224,640100%Republican hold
District 2 126,09847.64%123,85946.79%14,7315.57%264,688100%Republican hold
District 3 139,76243.91%170,51853.57%8,0212.52%318,301100%Democratic gain
District 4 144,24859.44%98,44540.56%00.00%242,693100%Republican hold
Total563,19053.62%464,38044.21%22,7522.17%1,050,322100%
Popular vote
Republican
53.62%
Democratic
44.21%
Other
2.17%
House seats
Republican
75%
Democratic
25%

District 1

2018 Kansas's 1st congressional district election
Flag of Kansas.svg
  2016
2020  
  Roger Marshall official portrait (cropped 2).jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Roger Marshall Alan LaPolice
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote153,08271,558
Percentage68.1%31.9%

KS 1st District 2018 Results.svg
County results
Marshall:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
LaPolice:     50–60%

U.S. Representative before election

Roger Marshall
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Roger Marshall
Republican

The first district is one of the largest geographically in the nation, encompassing more than half of the area of the state. It is located in western and northern Kansas, and includes the cities of Manhattan and Salina. Republican Roger Marshall won this district in 2016 by defeating the incumbent Congressman, Tim Huelskamp, in the Republican primary 57% to 43% and winning the general election.

Republican primary

Tim Huelskamp filed a statement of candidacy with the FEC on October 17, 2016, to run for this seat in 2018. [2] Huelskamp made no announcement about whether he was considering a potential rematch with Marshall, but sent a fundraising email attacking Marshall and soliciting donations. [2] On June 29, 2017, it was announced that Huelskamp had accepted a position with The Heartland Institute, a conservative think tank in Arlington Heights, Illinois. [3]

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Nick Reinecker
Declined

Primary results

Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Roger Marshall (incumbent) 64,843 78.7
Republican Nick Reinecker17,59321.3
Total votes82,436 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Alan LaPolice, former school administrator, Republican candidate for this seat in 2014 and an independent candidate in 2016 [4]

Primary results

Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Alan LaPolice 17,195 100.0
Total votes17,195 100.0

General election

Endorsements

Alan LaPolice (D)
Labor unions

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Roger
Marshall (R)
Alan
LaPolice (D)
Undecided
Emerson College October 26–28, 2018221± 6.6%51%36%13%
Jayhawk Consulting (D-LaPolice) October 22–23, 2018600± 4.2%42%38%20%
Remington (R-Marshall) October 8–9, 20181,432± 2.6%60%26%14%
Emerson College September 26–28, 2018193± 6.8%44%17%35%
Jayhawk Consulting (D-LaPolice) September 21–22, 2018400± 4.9%44%33%23%

Results

Kansas's 1st congressional district, 2018
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Roger Marshall (incumbent) 153,082 68.1
Democratic Alan LaPolice71,55831.9
Total votes224,640 100.0
Republican hold

District 2

2018 Kansas's 2nd congressional district election
Flag of Kansas.svg
  2016
2020  
  Steve Watkins, official portrait, 116th congress (cropped).jpg 3x4.svg 3x4.svg
Nominee Steve Watkins Paul Davis Kelly Standley
Party Republican Democratic Libertarian
Popular vote126,098123,85914,731
Percentage47.6%46.8%5.6%

KS 2nd District 2018 Results.svg
County results
Watkins:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%
Davis:     50–60%     70–80%

U.S. Representative before election

Lynn Jenkins
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Steve Watkins
Republican

This district is located in eastern Kansas and is anchored by the state capital, Topeka. It also includes the city of Lawrence. Incumbent Republican Lynn Jenkins had represented the district since 2009. She had beaten former six-term District congressman Jim Ryun in the primary, and incumbent Democrat, Nancy Boyda, in the general election. [6] Jenkins was re-elected with 61% of the vote in 2016.

Republican primary

Campaign

Jenkins had considered running for governor instead of re-election, but decided to retire and not run for any office in 2018. [7] [8]

Army veteran Steve Watkins led the Republican primary campaign, securing the endorsement of President Donald Trump. However, his background and residency were challenged by fellow Republicans, citing inaccuracies in claims on his website and in his campaign, as well as his absence from the district. [9]

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Withdrawn
  • Matt Bevens
  • Tyler Tannahill

Endorsements

Steve Fitzgerald
Organizations
  • Kansans for Life [10]
Dennis Pyle
Organizations
  • Kansans for Life [10]
Caryn Tyson
Organizations
Steve Watkins
U.S. Presidents
U.S. Representatives
Organizations

Primary results

Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Steve Watkins 20,052 26.5
Republican Caryn Tyson 17,74923.5
Republican Kevin Jones 11,20114.8
Republican Steve Fitzgerald 9,22712.2
Republican Dennis Pyle 9,12612.1
Republican Doug Mays6,2218.2
Republican Vernon J. Fields1,9872.6
Total votes75,563 100.0

Democratic primary

Former Kansas State House Minority Leader and 2014 gubernatorial nominee Paul Davis ran unopposed. When Davis ran against incumbent governor Sam Brownback in 2014, he had carried the 2nd district. [18]

Candidates

Nominee
Withdrawn
  • Nathan Schmidt

Primary results

Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Paul Davis 38,846 100.0
Total votes38,846 100.0

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Kelly Standley, business developer [19]

General election

Endorsements

Steve Watkins (R)
U.S. Presidents
U.S. Representatives
Organizations
Paul Davis (D)
Labor unions
Organizations
Newspapers

Debates

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Steve
Watkins (R)
Paul
Davis (D)
Kelly
Standley (L)
OtherUndecided
NYT Upshot/Siena College October 27–30, 2018501± 4.8%37%41%7%15%
Change Research (D) October 27–29, 201890245%44%
Emerson College October 26–28, 2018231± 6.5%48%41%8%
Emerson College September 26–28, 2018243± 6.4%31%35%4%3% [21] 28%
NYT Upshot/Siena College September 13–15, 2018500± 4.8%44%45%12%
Hypothetical polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Paul
Davis (D)
Steve
Fitzgerald (R)
OtherUndecided
The Mellman Group (D) June 13–18, 2018600± 4.0%39%34%27%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Generic
Republican
Paul
Davis (D)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling (D) February 12–13, 2018711± 3.7%42%44%14%

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [22] TossupNovember 5, 2018
Inside Elections [23] TossupNovember 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball [24] Lean D (flip)November 5, 2018
RCP [25] TossupNovember 5, 2018
Daily Kos [26] TossupNovember 5, 2018
538 [27] Lean D (flip)November 7, 2018

Results

Kansas's 2nd congressional district, 2018
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Steve Watkins 126,098 47.6
Democratic Paul Davis 123,85946.8
Libertarian Kelly Standley14,7315.6
Total votes264,688 100.0
Republican hold

District 3

2018 Kansas's 3rd congressional district election
Flag of Kansas.svg
  2016
2020  
  Sharice Davids (cropped).jpg Kevin Yoder, 115th official photo (cropped 2).jpg
Nominee Sharice Davids Kevin Yoder
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote170,518139,762
Percentage53.6%43.9%

KS 3rd District 2018 Results.svg
County results
Davids:     50–60%     60–70%
Yoder:     60–70%

U.S. Representative before election

Kevin Yoder
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Sharice Davids
Democratic

The district is based in the Kansas City metropolitan area and surrounding suburbs in eastern Kansas. Cities include Kansas City and Overland Park. Incumbent Republican Kevin Yoder had represented the district since 2011. Yoder was re-elected with 51% of the vote in 2016. Yoder lost to his Democratic challenger, attorney Sharice Davids, who became one of the first Native American women ever elected to Congress. [28]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Trevor Keegan
  • Joe Myers

Primary results

Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Kevin Yoder (incumbent) 53,130 68.1
Republican Trevor Keegan14,57418.7
Republican Joe Myers10,26813.2
Total votes77,972 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Mike McCamon, businessman
  • Tom Niermann, teacher [31]
  • Jay Sidie, financial counselor and nominee for this seat in 2016 [32]
  • Brent Welder, attorney [33]
  • Sylvia Williams, former financial services manager
Withdrawn

Endorsements

Sharice Davids
U.S. Representatives
Labor unions
Organizations
Newspapers
Local officials
Tom Niermann
U.S. Representatives
State legislators
  • Barbara Bollier, state senator (R-7)
  • Cindy Neighbor, state representative (D-18)
  • Brett Parker, state representative (D-29)
Labor unions
Organizations
  • Mainstream Coalition
Local officials
  • Kay Barnes, former Mayor of Kansas City, MO
  • Al Frisby, City Councilman - Merriam
  • Logan Heley, City Councilman - Overland Park
  • Jen Hill, City Councilwoman - Roeland Park
  • Carol Marinovich, former Mayor of Kansas City, KS [45]
  • Andrew Osman, City Councilman - Leawood
  • Hillary Parker Thomas, City Councilwoman - Mission
Brent Welder
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
Statewide officials
Labor unions
Organisations
Individuals

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Sharice
Davids
Tom
Niermann
Brent
Welder
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling (D) August 2–3, 2018543± 4.2%21%15%35%12% [52] 17%

Primary results

Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Sharice Davids 23,379 37.3
Democratic Brent Welder21,19033.9
Democratic Tom Niermann8,93914.3
Democratic Mike McCamon4,3546.9
Democratic Sylvia Williams2,9554.7
Democratic Jay Sidie1,7902.9
Total votes62,607 100.0

General election

Endorsements

Kevin Yoder (R)
Federal officials
Organizations
Sharice Davids (D)
Federal officials
U.S. Representatives
State legislators
Labor unions
Organizations
Newspapers
Local officials

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Kevin
Yoder (R)
Sharice
Davids (D)
Chris
Clemmons (L)
Undecided
Emerson College October 26–28, 2018262± 6.3%43%55%1%
NYT Upshot/Siena College October 14–17, 2018503± 4.7%39%48%3%11%
Emerson College September 26–28, 2018246± 6.4%41%47%2%10%
NYT Upshot/Siena College September 20–23, 2018494± 4.7%43%51%6%
Remington Research (R-Yoder) September 18–20, 2018610± 4.0%43%40%
Global Strategy Group (D-Davids) August 13–15, 2018400± 4.9%43%46%4%7%
Hypothetical polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Kevin
Yoder (R)
Brent
Welder (D)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling (D) February 14–15, 2018315± 5.5%42%49%9%

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [22] Lean D (flip)November 5, 2018
Inside Elections [23] Lean D (flip)November 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball [24] Lean D (flip)November 5, 2018
RCP [25] Lean D (flip)November 5, 2018
Daily Kos [26] Lean D (flip)November 5, 2018
538 [27] Likely D (flip)November 7, 2018

Results

Kansas's 3rd congressional district, 2018
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Sharice Davids 170,518 53.6
Republican Kevin Yoder (incumbent)139,76243.9
Libertarian Chris Clemmons8,0212.5
Total votes318,301 100.0
Democratic gain from Republican

District 4

2018 Kansas's 4th congressional district election
Flag of Kansas.svg
2020  
  Ron Estes, 115th official photo (cropped).jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Ron Estes James Thompson
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote144,24898,445
Percentage59.4%40.6%

KS 4th District 2018 Results.svg
County results
Estes:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%

U.S. Representative before election

Ron Estes
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Ron Estes
Republican

The fourth district is based in southern Kansas, including Wichita and the surrounding suburbs. Incumbent Republican Ron Estes had represented the district since 2017. Estes was elected with 52.5% of the vote in 2017.

Prior to Estes, Mike Pompeo represented the district. Pompeo had been nominated as Director of the Central Intelligence Agency in the Donald Trump administration. [63] After Pompeo was confirmed, a special election was held for the remainder of Pompeo's term. Ron Estes won the special election on April 11, 2017. [64]

Republican primary

The Republican Party selected a nominee during a Republican Party primary election which took place on August 7, 2018. The Republican primary was open to registered voters who were either unaffiliated or registered as Republicans. [65] [66]

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Declined

Campaign

Because there were two Republican candidates named Ron Estes, the names appeared on the ballot as "Rep. Ron Estes" and "Ron M. Estes", which some criticized as breaking a state law that prohibits identifying an incumbent on the ballot. [72] [73] [74] [75]

Primary results

Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Ron Estes (incumbent) 57,522 81.4
Republican Ron M. Estes13,15918.6
Total votes70,681 100.0

Democratic primary

The Democratic Party selected a nominee during a Democratic Party primary election that took place on August 7, 2018. The primary was open to registered voters who were either unaffiliated or registered as Democrats. [65] [66]

Candidates

Nominee
  • James Thompson, civil rights attorney, military veteran and nominee for this seat in 2017 [76]
Eliminated in primary
  • Laura Lombard, businesswoman and CEO of ImEpik (online workforce training services) [77]

Campaign

Senator Bernie Sanders and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez campaigned for Democrat James Thompson on July 20, 2018, after the national Democratic party would not support him. [78] [76] [79] [80] [81] Laura Lombard criticized the state's decision to list incumbent Ron Estes as "Rep. Ron Estes" on the ballot, because she believes it breaks state laws which prohibit a candidate from being identified as an incumbent on the ballot. [73]

Endorsements

James Thompson
U.S. Senators
Labor unions
Individuals

Primary results

Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic James Thompson 20,261 65.2
Democratic Laura Lombard10,79734.8
Total votes31,058 100.0

General election

Endorsements

James Thompson (D)
U.S. Senators
Labor unions
Individuals

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Ron
Estes (R)
James
Thompson (D)
Undecided
Emerson College October 26–28, 2018262± 6.3%63%33%4%
Emerson College September 26–28, 2018256± 6.4%50%26%20%
Change Research (D-Thompson) July 17–19, 20181,896± 2.25%42%38%20%

Results

Kansas's 4th congressional district, 2018
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Ron Estes (incumbent) 144,248 59.4
Democratic James Thompson98,44540.6
Total votes242,693 100.0
Republican hold

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References

  1. Johnson, Cheryl L. (February 28, 2019). "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 6, 2018". Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives . Retrieved April 27, 2019.
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  3. Carpenter, Tim (June 29, 2017). "Huelskamp takes job at conservative institute in Illinois". The Topeka Capital-Journal . Retrieved September 30, 2017.
  4. Beets, Jason (May 30, 2018). "LaPolice files to run for U.S. House". Hays Daily News. Archived from the original on July 10, 2018. Retrieved June 1, 2018.
  5. 1 2 3 4 5 6 "2018 KS AFL-CIO ENDORSEMENTS". Kansas State AFL-CIO. July 19, 2018. Archived from the original on August 9, 2018. Retrieved February 16, 2023.
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  7. Hanna, John (November 18, 2016). "Rep. Jenkins exits U.S. House leadership, may mull Kansas governor's race". Lawrence Journal-World . Retrieved November 18, 2016.
  8. "Lynn Jenkins Won't Seek Any Political Office in 2018". Roll Call . January 25, 2017. Retrieved February 9, 2017.
  9. Kansas congressional candidate who ran the Iditarod is having his honesty challenged, Anchorage Daily News , Roxana Hegeman and John Hanna (AP), October 2, 2018. Retrieved October 3, 2018.
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  11. "Caryn Tyson on Twitter". Twitter. Retrieved July 16, 2018.
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  17. With Honor. "Congratulations to Steve Watkins for Congress #KS02. We are proud to have endorsed such a principled veteran". Facebook.
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