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All 4 Kansas seats to the United States House of Representatives | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Kansas |
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The 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Kansas were held on November 6, 2018, to elect the four U.S. representatives from the state of Kansas, one from each of the state's four congressional districts.
The state congressional delegation changed from a 4–0 Republican majority to a 3–1 Republican majority, the first time the Democrats won a house seat in the state since 2008.
Results of the 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Kansas by district: [1]
District | Republican | Democratic | Others | Total | Result | ||||
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Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||
District 1 | 153,082 | 68.15% | 71,558 | 31.85% | 0 | 0.00% | 224,640 | 100% | Republican hold |
District 2 | 126,098 | 47.64% | 123,859 | 46.79% | 14,731 | 5.57% | 264,688 | 100% | Republican hold |
District 3 | 139,762 | 43.91% | 170,518 | 53.57% | 8,021 | 2.52% | 318,301 | 100% | Democratic gain |
District 4 | 144,248 | 59.44% | 98,445 | 40.56% | 0 | 0.00% | 242,693 | 100% | Republican hold |
Total | 563,190 | 53.62% | 464,380 | 44.21% | 22,752 | 2.17% | 1,050,322 | 100% |
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County results Marshall: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% LaPolice: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
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The first district is one of the largest geographically in the nation, encompassing more than half of the area of the state. It is located in western and northern Kansas, and includes the cities of Manhattan and Salina. Republican Roger Marshall won this district in 2016 by defeating the incumbent congressman, Tim Huelskamp, in the Republican primary 57% to 43% and winning the general election.
Tim Huelskamp filed a statement of candidacy with the FEC on October 17, 2016, to run for this seat in 2018. [2] Huelskamp made no announcement about whether he was considering a potential rematch with Marshall, but sent a fundraising email attacking Marshall and soliciting donations. [2] On June 29, 2017, it was announced that Huelskamp had accepted a position with The Heartland Institute, a conservative think tank in Arlington Heights, Illinois. [3]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Roger Marshall (incumbent) | 64,843 | 78.7 | |
Republican | Nick Reinecker | 17,593 | 21.3 | |
Total votes | 82,436 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Alan LaPolice | 17,195 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 17,195 | 100.0 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Roger Marshall (R) | Alan LaPolice (D) | Undecided |
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Emerson College [6] | October 26–28, 2018 | 221 | ± 6.6% | 51% | 36% | 13% |
Jayhawk Consulting (D-LaPolice) [7] | October 22–23, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.2% | 42% | 38% | 20% |
Remington (R-Marshall) [8] | October 8–9, 2018 | 1,432 | ± 2.6% | 60% | 26% | 14% |
Emerson College [9] | September 26–28, 2018 | 193 | ± 6.8% | 44% | 17% | 35% |
Jayhawk Consulting (D-LaPolice) [10] | September 21–22, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 44% | 33% | 23% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Roger Marshall (incumbent) | 153,082 | 68.1 | |
Democratic | Alan LaPolice | 71,558 | 31.9 | |
Total votes | 224,640 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
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County results Watkins: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Davis: 50–60% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||||||
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This district is located in eastern Kansas and is anchored by the state capital, Topeka. It also includes the city of Lawrence. Incumbent Republican Lynn Jenkins had represented the district since 2009. She had beaten former six-term District congressman Jim Ryun in the primary, and incumbent Democrat, Nancy Boyda, in the general election. [11] Jenkins was re-elected with 61% of the vote in 2016.
Jenkins had considered running for governor instead of re-election, but decided to retire and not run for any office in 2018. [12] [13]
Army veteran Steve Watkins led the Republican primary campaign, securing the endorsement of President Donald Trump. However, his background and residency were challenged by fellow Republicans, citing inaccuracies in claims on his website and in his campaign, as well as his absence from the district. [14]
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Steve Watkins | 20,052 | 26.5 | |
Republican | Caryn Tyson | 17,749 | 23.5 | |
Republican | Kevin Jones | 11,201 | 14.8 | |
Republican | Steve Fitzgerald | 9,227 | 12.2 | |
Republican | Dennis Pyle | 9,126 | 12.1 | |
Republican | Doug Mays | 6,221 | 8.2 | |
Republican | Vernon J. Fields | 1,987 | 2.6 | |
Total votes | 75,563 | 100.0 |
Former Kansas State House Minority Leader and 2014 gubernatorial nominee Paul Davis ran unopposed. When Davis ran against incumbent governor Sam Brownback in 2014, he had carried the 2nd district. [23]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Paul Davis | 38,846 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 38,846 | 100.0 |
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Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Steve Watkins (R) | Paul Davis (D) | Kelly Standley (L) | Other | Undecided |
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NYT Upshot/Siena College [26] | October 27–30, 2018 | 501 | ± 4.8% | 37% | 41% | 7% | – | 15% |
Change Research (D) [27] | October 27–29, 2018 | 902 | – | 45% | 44% | – | – | – |
Emerson College [6] | October 26–28, 2018 | 231 | ± 6.5% | 48% | 41% | – | – | 8% |
Emerson College [9] | September 26–28, 2018 | 243 | ± 6.4% | 31% | 35% | 4% | 3% [28] | 28% |
NYT Upshot/Siena College [29] | September 13–15, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.8% | 44% | 45% | – | – | 12% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Paul Davis (D) | Steve Fitzgerald (R) | Other | Undecided |
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The Mellman Group (D) [30] | June 13–18, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 39% | 34% | – | 27% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Generic Republican | Paul Davis (D) | Other | Undecided |
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Public Policy Polling (D) [31] | February 12–13, 2018 | 711 | ± 3.7% | 42% | 44% | – | 14% |
Source | Ranking | As of |
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The Cook Political Report [32] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
Inside Elections [33] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [34] | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
RCP [35] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos [36] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
538 [37] | Lean D (flip) | November 7, 2018 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Steve Watkins | 126,098 | 47.6 | |
Democratic | Paul Davis | 123,859 | 46.8 | |
Libertarian | Kelly Standley | 14,731 | 5.6 | |
Total votes | 264,688 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
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County results Davids: 50–60% 60–70% Yoder: 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
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The district is based in the Kansas City metropolitan area and surrounding suburbs in eastern Kansas. Cities include Kansas City and Overland Park. Incumbent Republican Kevin Yoder had represented the district since 2011. Yoder was re-elected with 51% of the vote in 2016. Yoder lost to his Democratic challenger, attorney Sharice Davids, who became one of the first Native American women ever elected to Congress. [38]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Kevin Yoder (incumbent) | 53,130 | 68.1 | |
Republican | Trevor Keegan | 14,574 | 18.7 | |
Republican | Joe Myers | 10,268 | 13.2 | |
Total votes | 77,972 | 100.0 |
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Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Sharice Davids | Tom Niermann | Brent Welder | Other | Undecided |
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Public Policy Polling (D) [62] | August 2–3, 2018 | 543 | ± 4.2% | 21% | 15% | 35% | 12% [63] | 17% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Sharice Davids | 23,379 | 37.3 | |
Democratic | Brent Welder | 21,190 | 33.9 | |
Democratic | Tom Niermann | 8,939 | 14.3 | |
Democratic | Mike McCamon | 4,354 | 6.9 | |
Democratic | Sylvia Williams | 2,955 | 4.7 | |
Democratic | Jay Sidie | 1,790 | 2.9 | |
Total votes | 62,607 | 100.0 |
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Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Kevin Yoder (R) | Sharice Davids (D) | Chris Clemmons (L) | Undecided |
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Emerson College [6] | October 26–28, 2018 | 262 | ± 6.3% | 43% | 55% | – | 1% |
NYT Upshot/Siena College [74] | October 14–17, 2018 | 503 | ± 4.7% | 39% | 48% | 3% | 11% |
Emerson College [9] | September 26–28, 2018 | 246 | ± 6.4% | 41% | 47% | 2% | 10% |
NYT Upshot/Siena College [75] | September 20–23, 2018 | 494 | ± 4.7% | 43% | 51% | – | 6% |
Remington Research (R-Yoder) [76] | September 18–20, 2018 | 610 | ± 4.0% | 43% | 40% | – | – |
Global Strategy Group (D-Davids) [77] | August 13–15, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 43% | 46% | 4% | 7% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Kevin Yoder (R) | Brent Welder (D) | Other | Undecided |
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Public Policy Polling (D) [78] | February 14–15, 2018 | 315 | ± 5.5% | 42% | 49% | – | 9% |
Source | Ranking | As of |
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The Cook Political Report [32] | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
Inside Elections [33] | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [34] | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
RCP [35] | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos [36] | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
538 [37] | Likely D (flip) | November 7, 2018 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Sharice Davids | 170,518 | 53.6 | |
Republican | Kevin Yoder (incumbent) | 139,762 | 43.9 | |
Libertarian | Chris Clemmons | 8,021 | 2.5 | |
Total votes | 318,301 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic gain from Republican |
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County results Estes: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% | |||||||||||||||||
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The fourth district is based in southern Kansas, including Wichita and the surrounding suburbs. Incumbent Republican Ron Estes had represented the district since 2017. Estes was elected with 52.5% of the vote in 2017.
Prior to Estes, Mike Pompeo represented the district. Pompeo had been nominated as Director of the Central Intelligence Agency in the Donald Trump administration. [79] After Pompeo was confirmed, a special election was held for the remainder of Pompeo's term. Ron Estes won the special election on April 11, 2017. [80]
The Republican Party selected a nominee during a Republican Party primary election which took place on August 7, 2018. The Republican primary was open to registered voters who were either unaffiliated or registered as Republicans. [81] [82]
Because there were two Republican candidates named Ron Estes, the names appeared on the ballot as "Rep. Ron Estes" and "Ron M. Estes", which some criticized as breaking a state law that prohibits identifying an incumbent on the ballot. [88] [89] [90] [91]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Ron Estes (incumbent) | 57,522 | 81.4 | |
Republican | Ron M. Estes | 13,159 | 18.6 | |
Total votes | 70,681 | 100.0 |
The Democratic Party selected a nominee during a Democratic Party primary election that took place on August 7, 2018. The primary was open to registered voters who were either unaffiliated or registered as Democrats. [81] [82]
Senator Bernie Sanders and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez campaigned for Democrat James Thompson on July 20, 2018, after the national Democratic party would not support him. [94] [92] [95] [96] [97] Laura Lombard criticized the state's decision to list incumbent Ron Estes as "Rep. Ron Estes" on the ballot, because she believes it breaks state laws which prohibit a candidate from being identified as an incumbent on the ballot. [89]
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | James Thompson | 20,261 | 65.2 | |
Democratic | Laura Lombard | 10,797 | 34.8 | |
Total votes | 31,058 | 100.0 |
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Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Ron Estes (R) | James Thompson (D) | Undecided |
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Emerson College [6] | October 26–28, 2018 | 262 | ± 6.3% | 63% | 33% | 4% |
Emerson College [9] | September 26–28, 2018 | 256 | ± 6.4% | 50% | 26% | 20% |
Change Research (D-Thompson) [98] | July 17–19, 2018 | 1,896 | ± 2.25% | 42% | 38% | 20% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Ron Estes (incumbent) | 144,248 | 59.4 | |
Democratic | James Thompson | 98,445 | 40.6 | |
Total votes | 242,693 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
The 2010 congressional elections in Kansas were held on November 2, 2010, and determined who would survive the state of Kansas in the United States House of Representatives. Kansas has 4 seats in the House, apportioned according to the 2000 United States census. Representatives are elected for two-year terms; the elected served in the 112th Congress from January 3, 2011, until January 3, 2013.
Timothy Alan Huelskamp is an American politician who was the U.S. representative for Kansas's 1st congressional district from 2011 to 2017. Huelskamp, a member of the Republican Party, was rated the least bipartisan member of the House during the 114th Congress by The Lugar Center - McCourt School of Public Policy Bipartisan Index. Prior to entering Congress, he represented the 38th district of the Kansas Senate from 1997 until 2011.
Kevin Wayne Yoder is an American lawyer and politician who served as a member of the United States House of Representatives for Kansas's 3rd congressional district from 2011 to 2019. A Republican, Yoder was the Kansas State Representative for the 20th district from 2003 to 2011. In his 2018 reelection bid, he was defeated by Democrat Sharice Davids by a nine percent margin.
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: CS1 maint: numeric names: authors list (link)Official campaign websites of first district candidates
Official campaign websites of second district candidates
Official campaign websites of third district candidates
Official campaign websites of fourth district candidates