2004 United States presidential election in Kansas

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2004 United States presidential election in Kansas
Flag of Kansas.svg
  2000 November 2, 2004 2008  
Turnout70.1% (of registered voters)
58.6% (of voting age population)
  George-W-Bush (cropped).jpeg John F. Kerry (wide crop).jpg
Nominee George W. Bush John Kerry
Party Republican Democratic
Home state Texas Massachusetts
Running mate Dick Cheney John Edwards
Electoral vote60
Popular vote736,456434,993
Percentage62.00%36.62%

Kansas Presidential Election Results 2004.svg
2004 United States presidential election in Kansas by congressional district.svg

President before election

George W. Bush
Republican

Elected President

George W. Bush
Republican

The 2004 United States presidential election in Kansas took place on November 2, 2004, as part of the 2004 United States presidential election. Voters chose six representatives, or electors to the Electoral College, who voted for president and vice president.

Contents

Kansas was won by incumbent President George W. Bush by a 25.4% margin of victory. Prior to the election, all 12 news organizations considered this a state Bush would win, or otherwise considered as a safe red state. On election day, it trended Republican from the 2000 election by a swing margin of almost 5%. He won every single congressional district and county, excluding two: Wyandotte County and Douglas County.

Caucuses

Campaign

Predictions

There were 12 news organizations who made state-by-state predictions of the election. Here are their last predictions before election day. [1]

SourceRanking
D.C. Political ReportSolid R
Cook Political ReportSolid R
Research 2000Solid R
Zogby InternationalLikely R
Washington PostLikely R
Washington DispatchLikely R
Washington TimesSolid R
The New York TimesSolid R
CNNLikely R
NewsweekSolid R
Associated PressSolid R
Rasmussen ReportsLikely R

Polling

Bush won every single pre-election poll, and won each by a double-digit margin of victory and with at least 56% of the vote. The final 3 polls averaged Bush leading 58% to 37% for Kerry and 3% for Nader. [2]

Fundraising

Bush raised $980,035. [3] Kerry raised $387,484. [4]

Advertising and visits

Neither presidential candidate advertised or visited this state. However, John Edwards visited the city of Lawrence in Douglas County briefly. [5] [6]

Analysis

Apart from its flirtation with William Jennings Bryan and Woodrow Wilson, Kansas has always been a Republican stronghold at the presidential level, voting for GOP nominees in all but seven elections since statehood. The last Democratic presidential nominee to carry Kansas was Lyndon B. Johnson in his landslide in 1964. A combination of rural counties embedded with deep pockets of evangelical Christianity/social conservatism and moderate, fiscally conservative residents in Johnson County, Kansas nearly always votes Republican.

Results

2004 United States presidential election in Kansas [7] [8]
PartyCandidateVotesPercentageElectoral votes
Republican George W. Bush (Inc.)736,45662.00%6
Democratic John Kerry 434,99336.62%0
Reform Ralph Nader 9,3480.79%0
Libertarian Michael Badnarik 4,0130.34%0
Independent Michael Peroutka 2,8990.24%0
Write In David Cobb 330.00%0
Write In John Joseph Kennedy 50.00%0
Write In Bill Van Auken 50.00%0
Write In Walt Brown 40.00%0
Totals1,187,756100.00%6
Voter turnout (Voting age population)58.6%

Results by county

County [9] George W. Bush
Republican
John Kerry
Democratic
Ralph Nader
Reform
Michael James Badnarik
Libertarian
Various candidates
Other parties
MarginTotal votes cast
# %# %# %# %# %# %
Allen 3,86765.84%1,92232.73%530.90%200.34%110.19%1,94533.11%5,873
Anderson 2,50064.72%1,29533.52%401.04%130.34%150.39%1,20531.20%3,863
Atchison 3,88054.51%3,12043.83%650.91%290.41%240.34%76010.68%7,118
Barber 1,78274.16%58824.47%190.79%40.17%100.42%1,19449.69%2,403
Barton 8,66674.03%2,87424.55%1060.91%300.26%300.26%5,79249.48%11,706
Bourbon 4,37265.39%2,21633.14%640.96%230.34%110.16%2,15632.25%6,686
Brown 3,09269.99%1,26828.70%350.79%120.27%110.25%1,82441.29%4,418
Butler 18,43870.16%7,49528.52%1740.66%920.35%810.31%10,94341.64%26,280
Chase 1,05570.29%41827.85%120.80%90.60%70.47%63742.44%1,501
Chautauqua 1,52978.01%40420.61%100.51%100.51%70.36%1,12557.40%1,960
Cherokee 6,08361.36%3,72637.59%690.70%230.23%120.12%2,35723.77%9,913
Cheyenne 1,35379.96%32018.91%90.53%70.41%30.18%1,03361.05%1,692
Clark 1,01478.54%25719.91%80.62%40.31%80.62%75758.63%1,291
Clay 3,17479.15%79319.78%220.55%120.30%90.22%2,38159.37%4,010
Cloud 3,22171.53%1,21026.87%420.93%170.38%130.29%2,01144.66%4,503
Coffey 3,25973.93%1,09324.80%330.75%120.27%110.25%2,16649.13%4,408
Comanche 77078.49%20020.39%30.31%40.41%40.41%57058.10%981
Cowley 9,40765.11%4,81833.35%1210.84%600.42%410.28%4,58931.76%14,447
Crawford 8,62652.19%7,61746.09%1811.10%600.36%430.26%1,0096.10%16,527
Decatur 1,35577.87%35520.40%201.15%80.46%20.11%1,00057.47%1,740
Dickinson 6,29571.61%2,36426.89%720.82%350.40%250.28%3,93144.72%8,791
Doniphan 2,49169.14%1,06529.56%250.69%140.39%80.22%1,42639.58%3,603
Douglas 20,54441.00%28,63457.14%6241.25%2090.42%1000.20%-8,090-16.14%50,111
Edwards 1,08472.46%38625.80%191.27%30.20%40.27%69846.66%1,496
Elk 1,11973.86%36924.36%171.12%20.13%80.53%75049.50%1,515
Ellis 7,89164.75%4,03333.09%1581.30%610.50%440.36%3,85831.66%12,187
Ellsworth 2,25972.82%80125.82%230.74%130.42%60.19%1,45847.00%3,102
Finney 7,47975.29%2,35123.67%640.64%180.18%210.21%5,12851.62%9,933
Ford 6,63273.56%2,28625.35%610.68%170.19%200.22%4,34648.21%9,016
Franklin 7,39164.40%3,92134.17%1060.92%310.27%270.24%3,47030.23%11,476
Geary 4,70364.18%2,53134.54%580.79%210.29%150.20%2,17229.64%7,328
Gove 1,19681.53%24716.84%120.82%50.34%70.48%94964.69%1,467
Graham 1,08275.14%33423.19%100.69%60.42%80.56%74851.95%1,440
Grant 2,16978.64%56120.34%110.40%110.40%60.22%1,60858.30%2,758
Gray 1,81680.89%40818.17%170.76%40.18%00.00%1,40862.72%2,245
Greeley 58479.46%13818.78%91.22%30.41%10.14%44660.68%735
Greenwood 2,28270.35%91128.08%300.92%80.25%130.40%1,37142.27%3,244
Hamilton 88878.58%22920.27%50.44%70.62%10.09%65958.31%1,130
Harper 2,15473.52%72724.81%301.02%90.31%100.34%1,42748.71%2,930
Harvey 9,53463.10%5,33135.28%1711.13%460.30%280.19%4,20327.82%15,110
Haskell 1,35684.80%22714.20%100.63%50.31%10.06%1,12970.60%1,599
Hodgeman 95380.56%22318.85%60.51%10.08%00.00%73061.71%1,183
Jackson 3,73063.35%2,06435.05%440.75%210.36%290.49%1,66628.30%5,888
Jefferson 5,40861.50%3,25337.00%790.90%320.36%210.24%2,15524.50%8,793
Jewell 1,49578.07%38520.10%130.68%100.52%120.63%1,11057.97%1,915
Johnson 158,10361.12%97,86637.83%1,4200.55%9920.38%3060.12%60,23723.29%258,687
Kearny 1,17780.89%27218.69%40.27%10.07%10.07%90562.20%1,455
Kingman 2,80174.42%90424.02%270.72%140.37%180.48%1,89750.40%3,764
Kiowa 1,27581.47%25616.36%191.21%50.32%100.64%1,01965.11%1,565
Labette 5,40059.09%3,61539.56%760.83%280.31%200.22%1,78519.53%9,139
Lane 82381.16%18117.85%40.39%30.30%30.30%64263.31%1,014
Leavenworth 15,94958.35%11,03940.39%1910.70%860.31%660.24%4,91017.96%27,331
Lincoln 1,36876.00%39121.72%231.28%110.61%70.39%97754.28%1,800
Linn 3,04864.29%1,63134.40%370.78%140.30%110.23%1,41729.89%4,741
Logan 1,25582.40%24816.28%130.85%30.20%40.26%1,00766.12%1,523
Lyon 7,95159.16%5,23438.94%1541.15%480.36%530.39%2,71720.22%13,440
Marion 4,51673.32%1,53624.94%691.12%140.23%240.39%2,98048.38%6,159
Marshall 3,26163.84%1,78935.02%390.76%60.12%130.25%1,47228.82%5,108
McPherson 9,59571.78%3,58926.85%1140.85%440.33%250.19%6,00644.93%13,367
Meade 1,74882.41%35616.78%120.57%30.14%20.09%1,39265.63%2,121
Miami 9,01364.31%4,83834.52%900.64%300.21%450.32%4,17529.79%14,016
Mitchell 2,60977.90%69320.69%260.78%100.30%110.33%1,91657.21%3,349
Montgomery 9,59867.99%4,33830.73%980.69%440.31%380.27%5,26037.26%14,116
Morris 1,96166.79%93131.71%280.95%60.20%100.34%1,03035.08%2,936
Morton 1,28781.66%27617.51%50.32%40.25%40.25%1,01164.15%1,576
Nemaha 4,02773.71%1,35524.80%390.71%190.35%230.42%2,67248.91%5,463
Neosho 4,70565.07%2,42433.52%690.95%190.26%140.19%2,28131.55%7,231
Ness 1,40777.39%38221.01%170.94%40.22%80.44%1,02556.38%1,818
Norton 2,09280.49%47318.20%210.81%80.31%50.19%1,61962.29%2,599
Osage 4,80064.32%2,53733.99%771.03%270.36%220.29%2,26330.33%7,463
Osborne 1,58776.48%45421.88%251.20%50.24%40.19%1,13354.60%2,075
Ottawa 2,33378.53%59520.03%260.88%80.27%90.30%1,73858.50%2,971
Pawnee 2,17272.69%77325.87%260.87%80.27%90.30%1,39946.82%2,988
Phillips 2,25679.24%55719.56%200.70%60.21%80.28%1,69959.68%2,847
Pottawatomie 6,32671.70%2,17624.66%911.03%300.34%2002.27%4,15047.04%8,823
Pratt 3,12171.19%1,20027.37%380.87%180.41%70.16%1,92143.82%4,384
Rawlins 1,41482.21%28916.80%90.52%60.35%20.12%1,12565.41%1,720
Reno 17,74864.95%9,11433.36%2751.01%910.33%960.35%8,63431.59%27,324
Republic 2,23877.47%60721.01%200.69%110.38%130.45%1,63156.46%2,889
Rice 3,18272.71%1,13025.82%410.94%30.07%200.46%2,05246.89%4,376
Riley 12,67260.60%7,90837.82%2241.07%630.30%440.21%4,76422.78%20,911
Rooks 2,12178.27%53419.70%371.37%60.22%120.44%1,58758.57%2,710
Rush 1,22668.53%51728.90%271.51%90.50%100.56%70939.63%1,789
Russell 2,67175.77%81022.98%240.68%80.23%120.34%1,86152.79%3,525
Saline 15,11165.58%7,52432.65%2511.09%780.34%770.33%7,58732.93%23,041
Scott 1,92483.69%34715.09%170.74%50.22%60.26%1,57768.60%2,299
Sedgwick 110,38162.12%64,83936.49%1,3450.76%6950.39%4190.24%45,54225.63%177,679
Seward 4,27278.54%1,12220.63%240.44%80.15%130.24%3,15057.91%5,439
Shawnee 44,18854.17%36,26444.45%6870.84%2360.29%2020.25%7,9249.72%81,577
Sheridan 1,14481.37%23917.00%130.92%20.14%80.57%90564.37%1,406
Sherman 2,08875.60%63222.88%250.91%130.47%40.14%1,45652.72%2,762
Smith 1,80376.08%54022.78%170.72%40.17%60.25%1,26353.30%2,370
Stafford 1,64975.43%50623.15%200.91%40.18%70.32%1,14352.28%2,186
Stanton 79682.40%16517.08%40.41%10.10%00.00%63165.32%966
Stevens 1,93685.47%31013.69%120.53%40.18%30.13%1,62671.78%2,265
Sumner 7,09267.62%3,21730.67%920.88%380.36%490.47%3,87536.95%10,488
Thomas 3,00777.70%81621.09%280.72%60.16%130.34%2,19156.61%3,870
Trego 1,22572.66%43425.74%211.25%40.24%20.12%79146.92%1,686
Wabaunsee 2,53170.23%1,00127.77%361.00%100.28%260.72%1,53042.46%3,604
Wallace 74284.70%11212.79%131.48%60.68%30.34%63071.91%876
Washington 2,49878.31%64320.16%310.97%60.19%120.38%1,85558.15%3,190
Wichita 86981.83%18317.23%60.56%40.38%00.00%68664.60%1,062
Wilson 3,26374.19%1,06024.10%410.93%130.30%210.48%2,20350.09%4,398
Woodson 1,20468.29%53030.06%191.08%30.17%70.40%67438.23%1,763
Wyandotte 17,91933.56%34,92365.40%3310.62%1230.23%1050.20%-17,004-31.84%53,401
Totals736,45662.00%434,99336.62%9,3480.79%4,0130.34%2,9460.25%301,46325.38%1,187,756

Results by congressional district

Bush won all four congressional districts, including one held by a Democrat. [10]

DistrictBushKerryRepresentative
1st 72%26% Jerry Moran
2nd 59%39% Jim Ryun
3rd 55%44% Dennis Moore
4th 64%34% Todd Tiahrt

Electors

Technically the voters of Kansas cast their ballots for electors: representatives to the Electoral College. Kansas is allocated 6 electors because it has 4 congressional districts and 2 senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of 6 electors, who pledge to vote for their candidate and his or her running mate. Whoever wins the majority of votes in the state is awarded all 6 electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for president and vice president. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them. An elector who votes for someone other than his or her candidate is known as a faithless elector.

The electors of each state and the District of Columbia met on December 13, 2004, to cast their votes for president and vice president. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols.

The following were the members of the Electoral College from the state. All 6 were pledged to Bush/Cheney. [11]

  1. Ruth Garvey Fink
  2. Bud Hentzen
  3. Dennis Jones
  4. Wanda Konold
  5. Jack Ranson
  6. Patricia Pitney Smith

See also

References

  1. "Archived copy". dcpoliticalreport.com. Archived from the original on November 21, 2010. Retrieved January 13, 2022.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
  2. "2004 Presidential Election Polls. Kansas Polls". US Election Atlas.
  3. "George W Bush — $374,659,453 raised, '04 election cycle, Republican Party, President".
  4. "John F Kerry — $345,826,176 raised, '04 election cycle, Democrat Party, President".
  5. "America votes 2004: Campaign ad buys". CNN. Archived from the original on April 22, 2021. Retrieved May 27, 2022.
  6. "America votes 2004: Candidate tracker". CNN . Retrieved May 27, 2022.
  7. "Archived copy" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on May 13, 2009. Retrieved July 17, 2009.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
  8. "2004 Presidential General Election Results — Kansas".
  9. "KS US President Race — November 02, 2004". Our Campaigns.
  10. "Presidential Results by Congressional District, 2000-2008 – Swing State Project".
  11. "Kansas Secretary of State ± 2004 Presidential Electors".