2022 United States Senate election in Kansas

Last updated

2022 United States Senate election in Kansas
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  Jerry Moran 2023.jpg Mark Holland (cropped).png
Nominee Jerry Moran Mark Holland
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote602,976372,214
Percentage60.00%37.04%
2022 United States Senate election in Kansas results map by county.svg
2022 Kansas Senate election by congressional district (accurate version).svg
KS Senate 2022.svg
Moran:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Holland:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Graham:     >90%
Tie:     30–40%     40–50%     50%     No votes
U.S. senator before election

Jerry Moran
Republican

Elected U.S. Senator

Jerry Moran
Republican

The 2022 United States Senate election in Kansas was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Kansas. Incumbent Republican Senator Jerry Moran was first elected in 2010, winning the seat vacated by Sam Brownback, and ran for re-election to a third term in office. [1] Democrat Mark Holland, the former mayor of Kansas City, was Moran's opponent in the general election. [2] [3]

Contents

Moran ultimately won the election, [4] but his 60% share of the vote represented another decline from his first victory in 2010, and he lost Johnson County, a major suburban county that had been recently trending left in elections, for the first time in his career. Even so, he still won re-election by an overwhelming margin, despite incumbent Democratic governor Laura Kelly winning re-election on the same ballot. This was the first election since 2002 where the winner of the United States Senate election in Kansas was of a different party from the winner of the concurrent gubernatorial election, and the first election since 1968 where the winner of the United States Senate election in Kansas for the Class 3 Senate seat was of a different party from the winner of the concurrent gubernatorial election.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Declined

Endorsements

Results

Results by county: .mw-parser-output .legend{page-break-inside:avoid;break-inside:avoid-column}.mw-parser-output .legend-color{display:inline-block;min-width:1.25em;height:1.25em;line-height:1.25;margin:1px 0;text-align:center;border:1px solid black;background-color:transparent;color:black}.mw-parser-output .legend-text{} Moran 70-80% 80-90% 90-100% 2022 Kansas Republican Senate primary.svg
Results by county:
  Moran
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  •   90–100%
Republican primary results [11]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Jerry Moran (incumbent) 383,332 80.5
Republican Joan Farr93,01619.5
Total votes476,348 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Results

Results by county: Holland 20-30% 30-40% 40-50% 70-80% Buskirk 20-30% 30-40% 40-50% 50-60% Andra 20-30% 30-40% 40-50% 50-60% Klingenberg 20-30% 30-40% 40-50% 50-60% Soetaert 20-30% 30-40% Tie 20-30% 2022 Kansas Democratic Senate primary.svg
Results by county:
  Holland
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   70–80%
  Buskirk
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  Andra
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  Klingenberg
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  Soetaert
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
Tie
  •   20–30%
Democratic primary results [11]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Mark Holland 101,429 38.1
Democratic Paul Buskirk53,75020.2
Democratic Patrick Wiesner47,03417.6
Democratic Mike Andra33,46412.6
Democratic Robert Klingenberg21,4138.0
Democratic Michael Soetaert9,4643.6
Total votes266,554 100.0

Libertarian convention

Candidates

Nominee

  • David Graham, attorney [17]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [18] Solid RNovember 19, 2021
Inside Elections [19] Solid RJanuary 7, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball [20] Safe RNovember 3, 2021
Politico [21] Solid RApril 1, 2022
RCP [22] Safe RJanuary 10, 2022
Fox News [23] Solid RMay 12, 2022
DDHQ [24] Solid RJuly 20, 2022
538 [25] Solid RJune 30, 2022
The Economist [26] Safe RSeptember 7, 2022

Post-primary endorsements

Jerry Moran (R)

Organizations

Polling

Graphical summary

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [a] 		Margin
of error		Jerry
Moran (R)		Mark
Holland (D)		OtherUndecided
Emerson College [36] October 27–29, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.0%54%33%5% [b] 8%
Emerson College [37] September 15–18, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.0%45%33%4% [c] 18%
Echelon Insights [38] [A] August 31 – September 7, 2022392 (LV)± 7.5%54%35%–11%
Battleground Connect (R) [39] [B] August 8–10, 20221,074 (LV)± 3.0%58%37%–5%

Results

2022 United States Senate election in Kansas [40]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican Jerry Moran (incumbent) 602,976 60.00% −2.18%
Democratic Mark Holland 372,21437.04%+4.80%
Libertarian David Graham29,7662.96%−2.62%
Total votes1,004,956 100.0%
Republican hold

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

Moran won all four congressional districts, including one that elected a Democrat. [41]

DistrictMoranHollandRepresentative
1st 67.97%29.06% Tracey Mann
2nd 61.46%35.41% Jake LaTurner
3rd 49.75%47.44% Sharice Davids
4th 63.61%33.42% Ron Estes

See also

Notes

  1. ↑ Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ↑ Graham (L) with 1%; "Someone else" with 2%
  3. ↑ "Someone else" with 4%

Partisan clients

  1. ↑ This poll was sponsored by NetChoice
  2. ↑ This poll was sponsored by the John Brown Freedom Fund

References

  1. 1 2 Moran, Jerry (November 4, 2020). "Statement of candidacy 2020". Federal Election Commission. Archived from the original on November 5, 2020. Retrieved January 8, 2021.
  2. 1 2 Kraske, Steve (October 1, 2021). "Former Kansas City, Kansas, Mayor Mark Holland is making a bid for the U.S. Senate". KCUR-FM. Archived from the original on October 15, 2021.
  3. ↑ Torres, Aarón (August 2, 2022). "Ex-KCK Mayor Mark Holland wins Democratic nomination for U.S. Senate, will face Moran" . Retrieved August 3, 2022.
  4. ↑ "Kansas U.S. Senate Election Results". The New York Times. November 8, 2022. ISSN   0362-4331 . Retrieved November 9, 2022.
  5. ↑ "Aide: Kansas Sen. Moran plans to seek reelection in 2022". Associated Press . November 11, 2020. Archived from the original on December 22, 2020. Retrieved January 8, 2021.
  6. ↑ Casteel, Chris (September 28, 2021). "State senator Nathan Dahm joins race against incumbent Sen. James Lankford". The Oklahoman. Retrieved September 29, 2021.
  7. 1 2 Drucker, David M. (October 27, 2021). "Mike Pompeo removes himself from 2022 Kansas Senate bid". Washington Examiner . Archived from the original on November 1, 2021.
  8. ↑ Cooper, Brad (March 12, 2021). "Pence endorses Moran for reelection". Sunflower State Journal. Archived from the original on June 3, 2021.
  9. ↑ Lowry, Brian (February 25, 2021). "Trump endorses Jerry Moran — 12 days after vote to acquit him on incitement charge". Kansas City Star . Archived from the original on August 2, 2021.
  10. ↑ "Endorsed Candidates". proisraelamerica.org. Archived from the original on December 20, 2021. Retrieved January 22, 2022.
  11. 1 2 "2022 Primary Election Official Vote Totals" (PDF). Kansas Secretary of State. August 2, 2022. Retrieved September 21, 2022.
  12. ↑ Kaut, Steve (November 11, 2021). "Former KCK Mayor Mark Holland to run for US Senate seat in Kansas". KSHB. Retrieved November 13, 2021.
  13. ↑ Bahl, Andrew. "Jerry Moran has Democratic opponents for 2022. He also has $4M+ and a Trump endorsement on his side". The Topeka Capital-Journal.
  14. 1 2 "Mann, Moran officially launch re-election bids". KVOE (AM) . May 6, 2022. Retrieved May 14, 2022.
  15. 1 2 "Candidates | Johnson County Election Office". jocoelection.org. Retrieved June 4, 2022.
  16. ↑ Senate, Buskirk US. "Paul Buskirk US Senate Kansas". Buskirk US Senate democratic party. Retrieved June 4, 2022.
  17. ↑ "2022 LPKS Candidates". Libertarian Party of Kansas . April 23, 2022. Archived from the original on August 9, 2022. Retrieved June 21, 2022.
  18. ↑ "2022 Senate Race ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 14, 2021.
  19. ↑ "Senate ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved January 18, 2021.
  20. ↑ "2022 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved January 28, 2021.
  21. ↑ "Kansas Senate Race 2022". Politico. April 1, 2022.
  22. ↑ "Battle for the Senate 2022". RCP. January 10, 2022.
  23. ↑ "2022 Election Forecast". Fox News. May 12, 2022. Retrieved May 12, 2022.
  24. ↑ "2022 Election Forecast". DDHQ. July 20, 2022. Retrieved July 20, 2022.
  25. ↑ "2022 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. June 30, 2022. Retrieved June 30, 2022.
  26. ↑ "Economist's 2022 Senate forecast". The Economist. September 7, 2022. Retrieved September 7, 2022.
  27. 1 2 3 4 5 "Jerry Moran's Ratings and Endorsements". justfacts.votesmart.org. Retrieved November 3, 2022.
  28. ↑ "KFB's Vote FBF endorses Sen. Moran for re-election". www.kfb.com. May 24, 2022. Retrieved November 3, 2022.
  29. ↑ "KLA Endorsements". www.kla.org. Archived from the original on July 19, 2022. Retrieved November 3, 2022.
  30. ↑ "NRA-PVF - Grades - Kansas". nrapvf.org. NRA-PVF. Archived from the original on November 8, 2022.
  31. ↑ "NRA rolls out general election endorsements". sunflowerstatejournal.com. September 12, 2022. Archived from the original on September 12, 2022. Retrieved October 11, 2022.
  32. ↑ "Mark Holland". Gun Sense Voter.
  33. ↑ "Our Recommended Candidates". Education Votes.
  34. ↑ "Candidates for Common Good 2022". Archived from the original on October 5, 2022.
  35. ↑ The Kansas City Star
  36. ↑ Emerson College
  37. ↑ Emerson College
  38. ↑ Echelon Insights
  39. ↑ Battleground Connect (R)
  40. ↑ "2022 General Election Official Results" (PDF). ent.sos.ks.gov.
  41. ↑ 2022 KS Statewide Races by CD. docs.google.com (Report).

Official campaign websites

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