2016 United States Senate election in Kansas

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2016 United States Senate election in Kansas
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←  2010 November 8, 2016 2022  →
  Jerry Moran, official portrait, 112th Congress headshot.jpg 3x4.svg 3x4.svg
Nominee Jerry Moran Patrick WiesnerRobert Garrard
Party Republican Democratic Libertarian
Popular vote732,376379,74065,760
Percentage62.18%32.24%5.58%
2016 United States Senate election in Kansas results map by county.svg
2016 US Senate election in Kansas results by congressional district.svg
KS Senate 2016.svg
Moran:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Wiesner:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Tie:     40–50%     50%     No data
U.S. senator before election

Jerry Moran
Republican

Elected U.S. Senator

Jerry Moran
Republican

The 2016 United States Senate election in Kansas was held on November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Kansas, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. The primaries were held on August 2.

Contents

Incumbent Republican Senator Jerry Moran won re-election to a second term in office.

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Jerry
Moran		Dennis
Pyle		Milton
Wolf		Undecided
Public Opinion Strategies (R-Moran) [10] February 28 – March 3, 2015500± 4.38%73%9%—18%
70%—18%12%

Results

Republican primary results [11]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Jerry Moran (Incumbent) 230,907 79.09%
Republican D. J. Smith61,05620.91%
Total votes291,963 100.00%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

  • Monique Singh-Bey, member of Universal African Peoples Organization [12]
  • Patrick Wiesner, attorney and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2010 and 2014 [13]

Declined

Results

Results by county: .mw-parser-output .legend{page-break-inside:avoid;break-inside:avoid-column}.mw-parser-output .legend-color{display:inline-block;min-width:1.25em;height:1.25em;line-height:1.25;margin:1px 0;text-align:center;border:1px solid black;background-color:transparent;color:black}.mw-parser-output .legend-text{} Wiesner 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% 80-90% Singh-Bey 60-70% Kansas Democratic Senate primary, 2016.svg
Results by county:
  Wiesner
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  Singh-Bey
  •   60–70%
Democratic primary results [11]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Patrick Wiesner 59,522 62.94%
Democratic Monique Singh-Bey35,04237.06%
Total votes94,564 100.00%

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Declared

Libertarian primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Libertarian Robert Garrard  100.00%
Total votes 100.00%

Independent

Candidates

Declined

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [17] Safe RNovember 2, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball [18] Safe RNovember 7, 2016
Rothenberg Political Report [19] Safe RNovember 3, 2016
Daily Kos [20] Safe RNovember 8, 2016
Real Clear Politics [21] Safe RNovember 7, 2016

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Jerry
Moran (R)		Patrick
Wiesner (D)		Robert
Garrard (L)		Undecided
SurveyMonkey [22] November 1–7, 20161,311± 4.6%59%37%—4%
SurveyMonkey [23] October 31–November 6, 20161,139± 4.6%58%38%—4%
Fort Hays State University [24] November 1–3, 2016313± 3.5%77%13%10%0%
SurveyMonkey [25] October 28–November 3, 20161,162± 4.6%58%38%—4%
SurveyMonkey [26] October 27–November 2, 20161,123± 4.6%57%38%—5%
SurveyMonkey [27] October 26–November 1, 20161,164± 4.6%57%38%—5%
SurveyMonkey [28] October 25–31, 20161,273± 4.6%56%39%—5%
KSN News/SurveyUSA [29] October 26–30, 2016596± 4.1%55%31%6%8%
KSN News/SurveyUSA [30] October 11–15, 2016549± 4.2%56%31%5%8%
KSN News/SurveyUSA [31] September 6–11, 2016565± 4.2%50%34%6%11%
KSN News/SurveyUSA [32] August 3–7, 2016566± 4.2%52%32%6%10%
KSN News/SurveyUSA [33] July 8–11, 2016537± 4.3%52%33%—15%
Hypothetical polling

with Monique Singh-Bey

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Jerry
Moran (R)		Monique
Singh-Bey (D)		Undecided
KSN News/SurveyUSA [33] July 8–11, 2016537± 4.3%54%30%15%

with Kathleen Sebelius

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Jerry
Moran (R)		Kathleen
Sebelius (D)		Undecided
Public Policy Polling [34] September 11–14, 20141,328± 2.7%52%37%11%

Results

United States Senate election in Kansas, 2016 [35]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican Jerry Moran (incumbent) 732,376 62.18% −7.91%
Democratic Patrick Wiesner379,74032.24%+5.86%
Libertarian Robert D. Garrard65,7605.58%+3.44%
Independent DJ Smith (write-in)460.00%N/A
Total votes1,177,922 100.0% N/A
Republican hold

Results by congressional district

Moran won all 4 congressional districts. [36]

DistrictMoranWiesnerGarrardRepresentative
1st 76%19%5% Roger Marshall
2nd 59%36%5% Lynn Jenkins
3rd 53%42%6% Kevin Yoder
4th 64%30%6% Mike Pompeo

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References

  1. 1 2 Alexis Levinson (November 19, 2014). "Huelskamp Open to Moran Primary Challenge". Roll Call . Archived from the original on November 21, 2014. Retrieved November 19, 2014.
  2. 1 2 Wingerter, Justin (June 2, 2016). "Rep. Lynn Jenkins drops a challenger, Sen. Jerry Moran gains one at the filing deadline". Topeka Capital-Journal. Retrieved June 2, 2016.
  3. ↑ Alexis Levinson (January 8, 2015). "Congressman Says Wife Nixed Senate Run". Roll Call . Archived from the original on January 8, 2015. Retrieved January 8, 2015.
  4. ↑ Clarkin, Mary (April 5, 2016). "Pompeo doesn't rule out a Senate race while criticizing Moran". Hays Daily News . Retrieved April 5, 2016.
  5. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Cheney, Kyle (December 29, 2014). "16 in '16: The new battle for the Senate". Politico . Retrieved December 29, 2014.
  6. ↑ Clarkin, Mary (April 27, 2015). "Ex-Congressman Tiahrt bound for D.C. lobbying firm". The Hutchinson News . Retrieved May 30, 2015.
  7. ↑ Alexis Levinson (July 29, 2014). "In Kansas, Conservatives Suffer From Mississippi Hangover". Roll Call . Archived from the original on October 4, 2014. Retrieved September 11, 2014.
  8. ↑ Wingerter, Justin (November 3, 2015). "Prospective 2016 U.S. Senate contender Milton Wolf tries to terminate his campaign committee". The Topeka Capital-Journal . Retrieved November 11, 2015.
  9. ↑ Kraske, Steve (February 19, 2016). "Milton Wolf hints, but won't commit, to another race this year for the U.S. Senate from Kansas". The Kansas City Star . Retrieved March 22, 2016.
  10. ↑ Public Opinion Strategies (R-Moran)
  11. 1 2 "2016 Official Primary Results". Kansas Secretary of State. August 2, 2016. Retrieved November 18, 2016.
  12. ↑ Mason, Tori (December 1, 2015). "Topeka native announces candidacy for U.S. Senate". WIBW. Archived from the original on March 11, 2016. Retrieved March 10, 2016.
  13. ↑ Clarkin, Mary (February 4, 2016). "Democrat Patrick Wiesner files for Jerry Moran's Senate seat". The Hutchinson News . Archived from the original on October 3, 2016. Retrieved February 5, 2016.
  14. 1 2 3 Helling, Dave (November 12, 2015). "Kansas Democrats see an opening but fear they can't take advantage". The Kansas City Star . Retrieved March 22, 2016.
  15. ↑ Sullivan, Sean (April 11, 2014). "Why Kathleen Sebelius's political career is (probably) over". The Washington Post . Retrieved November 17, 2014.
  16. ↑ Kraske, Steve (January 20, 2015). "Kathleen Sebelius criticizes Gov. Sam Brownback's vision for Kansas". The Kansas City Star . Retrieved May 30, 2015.
  17. ↑ "2016 Senate Race Ratings for November 2, 2016". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved March 26, 2021.
  18. ↑ "2016 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved September 19, 2016.
  19. ↑ "2016 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved November 3, 2016.
  20. ↑ "Daily Kos Election 2016 forecast: The final version". Daily Kos. Retrieved March 27, 2021.
  21. ↑ "Battle for the Senate 2016". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved October 28, 2016.
  22. ↑ SurveyMonkey
  23. ↑ SurveyMonkey
  24. ↑ Fort Hays State University
  25. ↑ SurveyMonkey
  26. ↑ SurveyMonkey
  27. ↑ SurveyMonkey
  28. ↑ SurveyMonkey
  29. ↑ KSN News/SurveyUSA
  30. ↑ KSN News/SurveyUSA
  31. ↑ KSN News/SurveyUSA
  32. ↑ KSN News/SurveyUSA
  33. 1 2 KSN News/SurveyUSA
  34. ↑ Public Policy Polling
  35. ↑ "2016 General Election Official Results" (PDF). Kansas Secretary of State. November 8, 2016. Retrieved January 3, 2017.
  36. ↑ "DRA 2020". Daves Redistricting. Retrieved August 20, 2024.

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