2008 United States Senate election in Idaho

Last updated

2008 United States Senate election in Idaho
Flag of Idaho.svg
  2002 November 4, 2008 2014  
  James E. Risch, official Senate photo portrait, 2009.jpg Larry LaRocco 1.jpg Rex "T-Rex" Rammell at Campbell County League of Women Voters' General Election Candidates' Forum in Gillette, Wyoming (cropped).jpg
Nominee Jim Risch Larry LaRocco Rex Rammell
Party Republican Democratic Independent
Popular vote371,744219,90334,510
Percentage57.65%34.11%5.35%

2008 United States Senate election in Idaho results map by county.svg
2008 US Senate election in Idaho by precinct.svg
Risch:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
LaRocco:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%
Rammell:     70–80%
Marmon:     >90%
Tie:     40–50%     No data

U.S. senator before election

Larry Craig
Republican

Elected U.S. Senator

Jim Risch
Republican

The 2008 United States Senate election in Idaho was held on November 4, 2008. The primary elections were held on May 27. [1] Incumbent Senator Larry Craig decided to retire instead of seeking a fourth term. Fellow Republican incumbent lieutenant governor and former governor Jim Risch won the open seat.

Contents

Background

Incumbent Larry Craig announced his intent to resign following an incident where he allegedly solicited another man for gay sex in a public restroom. [2] Craig later decided not to resign but did announce that he would not seek re-election. The filing deadline for the election was March 21, 2008. A total of 13 candidates filed for the seat. [3] Republican and Democratic candidates ran for their respective nominations in the May 27 primary.

Lieutenant Governor Jim Risch defeated a crowded field for the Republican nomination, while former Congressman Larry LaRocco won the Democratic nomination in similar fashion. Conservative independents Rex Rammell and Pro-Life (formerly Marvin Richardson) also qualified for the general election ballot. Former Caldwell city council member Kent Marmon secured the Libertarian nomination. In the general election, Risch defeated LaRocco and the other candidates to keep the seat in Republican hands.

Republican primary

Candidates

Results

County results Idaho Senate R Primary 2008.svg
County results
Republican primary results [5]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Jim Risch 80,743 65.34%
Republican Scott Syme16,66013.48%
Republican Richard Phenneger6,5325.29%
Republican Neal Thompson5,3754.35%
Republican Fred M. Adams4,9874.04%
Republican Bill Hunter4,2803.46%
Republican Brian E. Hefner2,9152.36%
Republican Hal James Styles, Jr.2,0821.68%
Total votes123,574 100.00%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Results

County results Idaho Senate D Primary 2008.svg
County results
Democratic Primary results [5]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Larry LaRocco 29,023 72.35%
Democratic David J. Archuleta11,07427.60%
Democratic Write-ins200.05%
Total votes40,117 100.00%

General election

Candidates

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [7] Safe ROctober 23, 2008
CQ Politics [8] Safe ROctober 31, 2008
Rothenberg Political Report [9] Safe RNovember 2, 2008
Real Clear Politics [10] Safe RNovember 4, 2008

Polling

Poll SourceDates administeredLarry
LaRocco (D)
Jim
Risch (R)
Rex
Rammel (I)
Survey USA [11] September 6–8, 200736%52%-
Myers Research [12] November 13–19, 200734%48%-
Robinson Research [13] November 26 – December 12, 200727%46%-
Celinda Lake [14] May 20–25, 200828%43%6%
Research 2000 [15] July 28–30, 200832%42%5%
Greg Smith [16] August 18–22, 200830%41%3%
Rasmussen Reports [17] September 9, 200830%58%-

Results

General election results [18]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican Jim Risch 371,744 57.65% −7.51%
Democratic Larry LaRocco 219,90334.11%+1.56%
Independent Rex Rammell 34,5105.35%
Libertarian Kent Marmon9,9581.54%−0.75%
Independent Pro-Life 8,6621.35%
Write-in 30.00%
Majority 151,84123.55%−9.06%
Turnout 644,780
Republican hold Swing

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

See also

References

  1. Elections, Campaign Disclosure and Lobbyists Archived August 6, 2008, at the Wayback Machine Idaho Secretary of State
  2. "Craig to Announce Resignation Saturday". Archived from the original on September 3, 2007.
  3. "LIST OF FEDERAL, STATEWIDE, AND JUDICIAL CANDIDATES" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on March 19, 2008.
  4. "Iraq vet announces bid in GOP Senate primary".
  5. 1 2 "2008 Primary Results statewide". Archived from the original on April 16, 2009. Retrieved March 7, 2009.
  6. "LaRocco to run for Senate; Craig mum on future]" . Retrieved May 8, 2007.[ dead link ]
  7. "2008 Senate Race ratings for October 23, 2008". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved April 1, 2021.
  8. Race Ratings Chart: Senate Archived October 28, 2010, at the Wayback Machine CQ Politics
  9. "2008 Senate ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved April 1, 2021.
  10. "2008 RCP Averages & Senate Results". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved August 31, 2021.
  11. Survey USA
  12. Myers Research
  13. Robinson Research
  14. Celinda Lake
  15. Research 2000
  16. Greg Smith
  17. Rasmussen Reports
  18. "Office of the Clerk, U.S. House of Representatives".