2020 United States Senate election in Idaho

Last updated

2020 United States Senate election in Idaho
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  Jim Risch 113th Congress.jpg PauletteJordanIF17 (cropped).JPG
Nominee Jim Risch Paulette Jordan
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote538,446285,864
Percentage62.62%33.25%
2020 United States Senate election in Idaho results map by county.svg
2020 United States Senate election in Idaho election results by congressional district.svg
ID Senate 2020.svg
Risch:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Jordan:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Tie:     40–50%     No data
U.S. senator before election

Jim Risch
Republican

Elected U.S. senator

Jim Risch
Republican

The 2020 United States Senate election in Idaho was held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Idaho, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Contents

Incumbent Republican senator Jim Risch won reelection to a third term in office, defeating Democratic nominee Paulette Jordan, who, percentage wise, had the worst performance of a Democratic senatorial candidate for this seat since 2002. However, Risch also performed nearly three points worse than he did when he was reelected in 2014, and he slightly underperformed incumbent president Donald Trump's performance in the concurrent presidential election.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Results

Republican primary results [2]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Jim Risch (incumbent) 200,184 100.00%
Total votes200,184 100.00%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Withdrawn

Declined

Endorsements

Paulette Jordan

Individuals

Publications

James Vandermaas

Individuals

Results

County results: .mw-parser-output .legend{page-break-inside:avoid;break-inside:avoid-column}.mw-parser-output .legend-color{display:inline-block;min-width:1.25em;height:1.25em;line-height:1.25;margin:1px 0;text-align:center;border:1px solid black;background-color:transparent;color:black}.mw-parser-output .legend-text{} Jordan 70-80% 80-90% 90-100% Idaho Senate Democratic primary, 2020.svg
County results:
  Jordan
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  •   90–100%
Democratic primary results [2]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Paulette Jordan 72,778 85.70%
Democratic James Vandermaas12,14514.30%
Total votes84,923 100.00%

Other candidates

Constitution Party

Nominee

Independents

Declared

  • Natalie Fleming, software developer [13]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [14] Solid ROctober 29, 2020
Inside Elections [15] Safe ROctober 28, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball [16] Safe RNovember 2, 2020
Daily Kos [17] Safe ROctober 30, 2020
Politico [18] Safe RNovember 2, 2020
RCP [19] Safe ROctober 23, 2020
DDHQ [20] Safe RNovember 3, 2020
538 [21] Safe RNovember 2, 2020
Economist [22] Safe RNovember 2, 2020

Endorsements

Paulette Jordan (D)

U.S vice presidents

Individuals

Organizations

Publications

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [a] 		Margin
of error		Jim
Risch (R)		Paulette
Jordan (D)		OtherUndecided
[A] [B] August 29 – September 1, 2020600 (LV)± 4.0%53%28%8% [b] 11%

Results

United States Senate election in Idaho, 2020 [31]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican Jim Risch (incumbent) 538,446 62.62% −2.71%
Democratic Paulette Jordan 285,86433.25%−1.42%
Independent Natalie Fleming25,3292.95%N/A
Constitution Ray Writz10,1881.18%N/A
Total votes859,827 100.0%
Republican hold

By county

By county
County [32] Jim Risch
Republican 		Paulette Jordan
Democratic 		Natalie Fleming
Independent 		Ray Writz
Constitution 		MarginTotal
votes
#%#%#%#%#%
Ada 130,44650.56118,71846.016,9402.691,9100.7411,7284.55258,014
Adams 1,82871.3862524.40622.42461.801,20346.972,561
Bannock 22,04855.9415,47239.261,4333.644601.176,57616.6839,413
Bear Lake 2,79184.5535510.75912.76641.942,43673.803,301
Benewah 3,58473.551,08122.181032.111052.152,50351.364,873
Bingham 14,64473.834,31321.746253.152531.2710,33152.0819,835
Blaine 4,22631.768,73965.672882.16540.41-4,513-33.9113,307
Boise 3,32369.361,24726.031282.67931.942,07643.334,791
Bonner 17,96466.488,07929.906012.223771.399,88536.5827,021
Bonneville 36,49068.8113,91326.241,9723.726531.2322,57742.5853,028
Boundary 4,80076.701,21219.371312.091151.843,58857.336,258
Butte 1,12079.4322215.74392.77292.0689863.691,410
Camas 48872.3015623.11172.52142.0733249.19675
Canyon 59,06065.9226,60326.692,5502.851,3841.5432,45736.2389,597
Caribou 2,60381.4544213.83973.03541.692,16167.623,196
Cassia 7,56478.911,50815.733223.361922.006,05663.189,586
Clark 25481.674213.50123.8630.9621268.17311
Clearwater 3,35776.6688320.161042.38350.802,47456.504,379
Custer 1,97873.0460322.27742.73531.961,37550.772,708
Elmore 6,79767.172,81427.813173.131911.893,98339.3610,119
Franklin 5,67885.855858.842173.281342.035,09377.006,614
Fremont 5,39180.391,00114.932053.061091.624,39065.466,706
Gem 7,54676.131,95719.742682.701411.425,58956.399,912
Gooding 4,44273.561,33522.111863.08761.263,10751.456,039
Idaho 7,62980.471,53216.162142.261061.126,09764.319,481
Jefferson 11,70283.191,64711.714813.422361.6810,05571.4814,066
Jerome 5,45069.981,97825.402493.201111.423,47244.587,788
Kootenai 61,28969.6822,94526.092,5382.891,1831.3438,34443.5987,955
Latah 9,50146.1410,37350.375322.581870.91-872-4.2320,593
Lemhi 3,49774.371,02021.691413.00440.942,47752.684,702
Lewis 1,42076.8435719.32382.06331.791,06357.521,848
Lincoln 1,37171.0047024.34713.68190.9890146.661,931
Madison 13,51779.792,28813.517834.623532.0811,22966.2816,941
Minidoka 5,93074.841,58720.033073.88991.254,34354.817,923
Nez Perce 13,48764.736,51031.246843.281550.746,97733.4920,836
Oneida 2,03984.4725310.48682.82542.241,78673.992,414
Owyhee 3,64376.8491019.191062.24821.732,73357.654,741
Payette 8,48875.562,30820.553062.721311.176,18055.0211,233
Power 2,05367.2087628.67912.98351.151,17738.533,055
Shoshone 3,90465.851,74729.461813.05971.642,15736.385,929
Teton 2,83744.963,25151.521802.85420.67-414-6.566,310
Twin Falls 24,35567.589,77627.121,3183.665911.6414,57940.4536,040
Valley 3,86254.892,98442.411552.20350.5087812.487,036
Washington 4,05075.691,14721.431041.94500.932,90354.255,351
Totals538,44662.62285,86433.2525,3292.9510,1881.18252,58229.38859,827

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic [33]

By congressional district

Risch won both congressional districts. [34]

DistrictRischJordanRepresentative
1st 66%30% Russ Fulcher
2nd 59%37% Mike Simpson

See also

Notes

Partisan clients

  1. ↑ [30]
  2. ↑ Poll conducted for the Women's Liberation Front.
  1. ↑ Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ↑ "Another candidate" with 8%

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References

  1. ↑ Russell, Betsy (August 12, 2019). "Risch announces re-election bid for 3rd Senate term in 2020". Idaho Press. Retrieved August 12, 2019.
  2. 1 2 "OFFICIAL ELECTION RESULTS". State of Idaho - Elections Department. Retrieved August 28, 2020.
  3. ↑ Jennifer Bendery. "Idaho Democrat Paulette Jordan Is Running For Senate", HuffPost , February 7, 2020. Retrieved February 7, 2020.
  4. ↑ "Third Dem announces bid for Risch's Senate seat in 2020". Idaho Press. October 7, 2019.
  5. ↑ "Harris withdraws from Idaho Senate race". Kootenai Valley Times. February 13, 2020.[ permanent dead link ]
  6. ↑ "Travis Oler Discontinues US Senate Campaign and Runs for Idaho State Legislature". Travis Oler for Idaho. Retrieved March 14, 2020.[ permanent dead link ]
  7. 1 2 3 Singiser, Steve. "Here's our ultimate Democratic wishlist for Senate in 2020. Who's on yours?". Daily Kos. Retrieved February 19, 2019.
  8. 1 2 "Paulette Jordan on Instagram: "Nancy Harris has a strong voice and the best of intentions for Idaho. I'm very grateful for her support. Thank you, @nancyharrisforsenate…"". Instagram. Archived from the original on December 26, 2021.
  9. 1 2 Miller, Kevin (February 14, 2020). "Aaron Paul endorses Jordan Paulette". Kido Talk Radio. Retrieved April 25, 2020.
  10. ↑ "Statesman endorses Democrat primary candidate for U.S. Senate". Idaho Statesman. May 10, 2020.
  11. ↑ "Log In or Sign Up to View". www.facebook.com. Retrieved April 6, 2020.
  12. ↑ "WRITZ, RAY - Candidate overview". FEC.gov.
  13. ↑ "Natalie M Fleming for United States Senate – Partisan Free Independent Candidate for United States Congress for Idaho".
  14. ↑ "2020 Senate Race Ratings for October 29, 2020". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved March 11, 2021.
  15. ↑ "2020 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved March 11, 2021.
  16. ↑ "2020 Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved March 12, 2021.
  17. ↑ "2020 Senate Race Ratings". Daily Kos Elections. Retrieved March 13, 2021.
  18. ↑ "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
  19. ↑ "Battle for the Senate 2020". RCP. October 23, 2020.
  20. ↑ "2020 Senate Elections Model". Decision Desk HQ. September 2, 2020. Retrieved September 2, 2020.
  21. ↑ Silver, Nate (September 18, 2020). "Forecasting the race for the Senate". FiveThirtyEight . Retrieved September 18, 2020.
  22. ↑ "Forecasting the US elections". The Economist. November 2, 2020. Retrieved March 13, 2021.
  23. ↑ "Biden endorses Idaho's Paulette Jordan for U.S. Senate". KHQ. October 8, 2020.
  24. ↑ "2020 Endorsements". Center Action Fund.
  25. ↑ "DSCC Endorses Paulette Jordan in Idaho Senate Race". DSCC. July 23, 2020.
  26. ↑ "Paulette Jordan for U.S. Senate, Idaho | EMILY's List". Archived from the original on September 26, 2020. Retrieved October 14, 2020.
  27. ↑ "U.S. Senate - Education Votes". educationvotes.nea.org.
  28. ↑ "Endorsed candidates". NWPC. Retrieved July 26, 2020.
  29. ↑ @electpaulette (October 4, 2020). "I am proud to receive this historic endorsement from Idaho's biggest newspaper! They write that Senator Risch has been disappointing and that it's time for new leadership. I couldn't agree more. Let's win this and make Idaho proud. Link in my bio! #Paulette2020 #idpol" – via Instagram.
  30. ↑
  31. ↑ "2020 General Election Results – Statewide". Idaho Secretary of State. Retrieved December 18, 2020.
  32. ↑ "Idaho Senate Election Results 2020". National Election Pool . NBC News. March 7, 2021. Retrieved January 24, 2022.
  33. ↑ "Idaho U.S. Senate Election Results" . The New York Times. November 3, 2020. ISSN   0362-4331 . Retrieved October 3, 2021.
  34. ↑ "Dra 2020".

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