2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Maine

Last updated

2020 United States House of Representatives Elections in Maine
Flag of Maine.svg
←  2018 November 3, 2020 2022  →
All 2 Maine seats to the United States House of Representatives
 Majority partyMinority party
 
Party Democratic Republican
Last election20
Seats won20
Seat changeSteady2.svgSteady2.svg
Popular vote468,978340,236
Percentage57.95%42.04%
SwingIncrease2.svg 2.83%Increase2.svg 1.92%
United States House of Representatives elections in Maine, 2020 results by district.svg
United States House of Representatives elections in Maine, 2020 results by county.svg

The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Maine were held on November 3, 2020, to elect the two U.S. representatives from the state of Maine, one from each of the state's two congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections. The election was conducted with ranked choice voting, as per the result of a referendum passed in 2016.

Contents

Party primaries were initially scheduled to take place on June 9, 2020. They were rescheduled by Gov. Janet Mills to July 14, 2020, due to the COVID-19 pandemic. Mills' executive order also expanded the ability to request absentee ballots, which may now be done up to and on election day. [1] Parties that qualified to participate in the 2020 primary election were the Democratic Party, the Green Independent Party, and the Republican Party. Two candidates in District 1 and four candidates in District 2 filed petitions with the secretary of state by March 16, 2020. [2] Non-party candidates could also file petitions to be included on the ballot by June 1, 2020. [3]

Overview

District Democratic Republican OthersTotalResult
Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%
District 1 271,00462.15%165,00837.84%150.00%436,027100.0%Democratic hold
District 2 197,97453.04%175,22846.95%330.01%373,235100.0%Democratic hold
Total468,97857.95%340,23642.04%480.01%809,262100.0%
Popular vote
Democratic
 
57.95%
Republican
 
42.04%
Other
 
0.01%
House seats
Democratic
 
100.00%

District 1

2020 Maine's 1st congressional district election
Flag of Maine.svg
←  2018
2022  →
  Chellie Pingree official photo (cropped).jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Chellie Pingree Jay Allen
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote271,004165,008
Percentage62.2%37.8%
Maine District 1 2020 County Results.svg
County results
Pingree:     50–60%     60–70%
U.S. Representative before election

Chellie Pingree
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Chellie Pingree
Democratic

The 1st district encompasses the southern coastal area of the state, taking in Portland, Augusta, Brunswick and Saco. The incumbent was Democrat Chellie Pingree, who was re-elected with 58.8% of the vote in 2018. [4]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Primary results

Democratic primary results [5]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Chellie Pingree (incumbent) 102,773 100.0
Total votes102,773 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared
  • Jay Allen, physician [6]

Primary results

Republican primary results [5]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Jay Allen 31,124 100.0
Total votes31,124 100.0

General election

Debate

2022 Maine's 1st congressional district debate
No.DateHostModeratorLink Democratic Republican
Key:
 P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited  W  Withdrawn
Chellie Pingree Jay Allen
1Oct. 21, 2020 Maine Public
Broadcasting Network 		Jennifer Rooks [7] PP

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [8] Safe DOctober 2, 2020
Inside Elections [9] Safe DOctober 1, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball [10] Safe DOctober 1, 2020
Politico [11] Safe DSeptember 8, 2020
Daily Kos [12] Safe DSeptember 25, 2020
RCP [13] Safe DJune 9, 2020
Niskanen [14] Safe DJuly 26, 2020

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [a] 		Margin
of error		Chellie
Pingree (D)		Jay
Allen (R)		Other/
Undecided
Colby College [15] October 21–25, 2020426 (LV)–58%31%11% [b]
Pan Atlantic Research [16] October 2–6, 2020300 (LV)± 6.4%54%35%11% [b]
Critical Insights [17] September 25 – October 4, 2020232 (LV)–58%24%18% [c]
Critical Insights [18] July 28 – August 10, 2020233 (LV)–50%22%27% [d]

Results

Maine's 1st congressional district, 2020 [19]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Chellie Pingree (incumbent) 271,004 62.2
Republican Jay Allen165,00837.8
Write-in 150.0
Total votes436,027 100.0
Democratic hold

District 2

2020 Maine's 2nd congressional district election
Flag of Maine.svg
←  2018
2022  →
  Jared Golden 117th Congress portrait (cropped).jpeg 3x4.svg
Nominee Jared Golden Dale Crafts
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote197,974175,228
Percentage53.04%46.95%
Maine District 2 2020.svg
County results
Golden:     50–60%     60–70%
Crafts:     40–50%     50–60%
U.S. Representative before election

Jared Golden
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Jared Golden
Democratic

The 2nd district covers most of northern rural Maine, including the cities of Lewiston, Bangor, Auburn and Presque Isle. The incumbent was Democrat Jared Golden, who flipped the district and was elected with 50.6% of the vote in 2018, [4] making him the first member of Congress to be elected by ranked choice voting. [20] Donald Trump won the district in the concurrent presidential election.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Endorsements

Primary results

Democratic primary results [5]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Jared Golden (incumbent) 57,718 100.0
Total votes57,718 100.0

Republican primary

On the ballot

Declined

Endorsements

Adrienne Bennett

Federal officials

Organizations

Eric Brakey

Federal officials

State officials

  • Paul Davis, state senator and former state representative (2008-2014), state Senate minority leader (2004-2006), and state senator (1998-2006) (co-endorsed with Dale Crafts) [40]

Organizations

Dale Crafts

Federal officials

U.S. Governors

State officials

  • Bernard Ayotte, former state representative (2006-2014) [48]
  • Kevin Battle, former state representative (2014-2018) [48]
  • Robert Berube, former state representative (2002-2008) [48]
  • Russell Black, state senator and former state representative (2010-2018) [49]
  • David C. Burns, former state senator (2012-2016) [49]
  • Richard Cebra, state representative and former Maine Republican Party chair (2012-2013) and state representative (2004-2012) [48]
  • Patrick Corey, state representative [49]
  • Dean Cray, former state representative (2008-2014) [49]
  • Andre Cushing III, former state senator (2012-2018), state Senate assistant majority leader, and state representative (2008-2012) [48]
  • Scott Cyrway, state senator [48]
  • Douglas Damon, former state representative (2010-2012) [50]
  • Paul Davis, state senator and former state representative (2008-2014), state senator (2002-2006), and state Senate minority leader (2004-2006) (co-endorsed with Eric Brakey) [48]
  • Peter Doak, former state representative (2012-2014) [50]
  • Dana Dow, state senator and state Senate minority leader [48]
  • Gary Drinkwater, state representative [49]
  • Bradlee Farrin, state senator and former state representative (2014-2018) [50]
  • Jeffery Gifford, former state representative (2006-2014) [48]
  • Randall Greenwood, former state representative (2014-2016) [51]
  • James Hamper, state senator and former state representative (2004-2012) [48]
  • Jeffery Hanley, state representative (co-endorsed with Eric Brakey) [48]
  • Gary Hilliard, former state representative (2014-2018) [48]
  • Brian Hobart, former state representative (2014-2016) [48]
  • Peter Johnson, former state representative (2008-2014) [48]
  • L. Gary Knight, former state representative (2006-2014) [48]
  • Ricky Long, former state representative (2010-2016) [48]
  • Tom Martin, state representative and former state senator (2010-2012) [48]
  • Garrett Mason, former state senator (2010-2018) and state Senate majority leader [48]
  • Rick Mason, state representative (co-endorsed with Eric Brakey) [49]
  • Michael McClellan, former state representative (2010-2016) [48]
  • Susan Morissette, former state representative (2010-2012) [48]
  • Joshua Morris, state representative (co-endorsed with Eric Brakey) [48]
  • Allen Nadeau, former state representative (2012-2014) [48]
  • Melvin Newendyke, former state representative (2010-2014) [48]
  • John Picchiotti, former state representative (2010-2012, 2014-2018) [48]
  • Richard Pickett, state representative [48]
  • Jeffrey Pierce, former state representative (2014-2018) [48]
  • Debra Plowman, acting Education Commissioner (2016), Republican candidate in 2012 U.S. Senate race, and former state senator (2004-2012) and state Senate assistant majority leader and state representative (1992-2000) [48]
  • Gary Plummer, former state senator (2012-2014) and state representative (2004-2012) [48]
  • Matthew Pouliot, state senator and former state representative (2014-2018) [48]
  • Kerri Prescott, former state representative (2006-2012) [48]
  • Deborah Sanderson, state representative [48]
  • Jeff Timberlake, state senator and former state representative (2010-2018) [49]
  • Michael Timmons, former state representative (2014-2016) [48]
  • William Tuell, state representative [48]
  • Charlie Webster, former Maine Republican Party chair (2008-2012), 1994 Republican gubernatorial candidate, and former state senator (1984-1994), state Senate minority leader (1988-1992), state Senate assistant minority leader (1986-1988), and state representative (1980-1984) [48]
  • Stephen Wood, former state representative (2010-2018) [49]
  • David Woodsome, state senator [48]

Newspapers

Organizations

Individuals

  • Shawn Moody, businessman, 2018 Republican gubernatorial nominee, and 2010 independent gubernatorial candidate [55]
Declined to endorse

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [a] 		Margin
of error		Adrienne
Bennett		Eric
Brakey		Dale
Crafts		Undecided
SurveyUSA [57] June 30 – July 6, 2020604 (LV)± 4.1%25% [e] 19%37%19%
31% [f] –45%34%
We Ask America [58] June 16–17, 2020400 (LV)± 4.9%28%22%20%29%

Debate

2020 Maine's 2nd congressional district republican primary debate
No.DateHostModeratorLink Republican Republican Republican
Key:
 P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited  W  Withdrawn
Adrienne Bennett Eric Brakey Dale Crafts
1Jul. 9, 2020 Maine Public Television Jennifer Rooks [59] PPP

Primary results

Both Bennett and Brakey conceded the race to Crafts the day after the primary. As Crafts did not get 50% of the vote, Maine's ranked choice system calls for the second choices of the last place candidate's votes to be distributed to the other candidates, whether or not the candidates concede the race. Crafts criticized this as a waste of taxpayer dollars, and both Bennett and Brakey said they would refuse to accept the results of the ranked choice tabulation. Maine Secretary of State Matthew Dunlap said whether the concessions could stop the tabulation was "a question for lawyers", but that the tabulation would begin on July 18. Crafts called on the Maine Legislature to examine this issue. Dunlap's office, while not responding directly to Crafts' call to action on the Legislature, did agree with Crafts that Dunlap was performing his duty under the law. [60]

Republican primary results [61]
PartyCandidateRound 1Round 2
Votes%TransferVotes% (gross)% (net)
Republican Dale Crafts 23,66545.0%+3,55128,01953.3%58.0%
Republican Adrienne Bennett16,92032.2%+3,37520,29538.6%42.0%
Republican Eric Brakey 11,97622.8%-11,976Eliminated
Total active votes52,56148,314100.0%
Exhausted ballots+3,25241908.0%
Total votes52,561100.0%52,561100.0%

% (gross) = percent of all valid votes cast (without eliminating the exhausted votes)
% (net) = percent of votes cast after eliminating the exhausted votes

General election

Debate

2020 Maine's 1st congressional district debate
No.DateHostModeratorLink Democratic Republican
Key:
 P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited  W  Withdrawn
Jared Golden Dale Crafts
1Oct. 25, 2020 Maine Public Television Jennifer Rooks [62] PP

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [8] Likely DOctober 2, 2020
Inside Elections [9] Safe DOctober 16, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball [10] Likely DOctober 1, 2020
Politico [11] Lean DOctober 11, 2020
Daily Kos [12] Likely DOctober 29, 2020
RCP [13] Lean DJune 9, 2020
Niskanen [14] Lean DJuly 26, 2020

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [a] 		Margin
of error		Jared
Golden (D)		Dale
Crafts (R)		Other/
Undecided
Change Research [63] October 29 – November 2, 2020475 (LV)± 4.6%53%44%3% [g]
Colby College [15] October 21–25, 2020453 (LV)–56%31%13% [h]
Pan Atlantic Research [16] October 2–6, 2020300 (LV)± 6.4%60%33%7% [i]
Critical Insights [17] September 25 – October 4, 2020234 (LV)–52%34%14% [j]
Colby College [64] September 17–23, 2020275 (LV)–56%33%11% [b]
Siena College/NYT Upshot [65] September 11–16, 2020440 (LV)–56% [k] 37%6% [l]
Fabrizio Ward/Hart Research Associates [66] [A] August 30 – September 5, 2020367 (LV)–53%40%7% [m]
Wick Surveys (D) [67] [B] August 25–28, 2020400 (LV)± 4.9%50%44%6% [n]
Critical Insights [18] July 28 – August 10, 2020218 (LV)–46%36%18% [o]
Colby College/SocialSphere [68] July 18–24, 2020888 (LV)± 3.9%45%33%22% [p]
Hypothetical polling

Jared Golden vs. generic Republican

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [a] 		Margin
of error		Jared
Golden (D)		Generic
Republican		Undecided
Colby College/SocialSphere [69] February 10–13, 2020493 (LV)–43%29%28%

Results

Maine's 2nd congressional district, 2020 [19]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Jared Golden (incumbent) 197,974 53.04
Republican Dale Crafts 175,22846.95
Write-in 330.01
Total votes373,235 100.00
Democratic hold

See also

Notes

  1. 1 2 3 4 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. 1 2 3 Undecided with 11%
  3. ↑ "Someone else" with 3%; "Refused" with 2%; would not vote with 1%; Undecided with 12%
  4. ↑ "Someone else" with 4%; "Prefer not to say" with 1%; would not vote with no voters; Undecided with 22%
  5. ↑ Standard IV response
  6. ↑ With ranked choice voting
  7. ↑ Would not vote with 1%; "Don't recall and Did not vote with 0%; Undecided with 2%
  8. ↑ Undecided with 13%
  9. ↑ Undecided with 7%
  10. ↑ "Someone else" with 2%; "Refused" with 1%; would not vote with 0%; Undecided with 11%
  11. ↑ Topline after Ranked Choice Voting is used
  12. ↑ "Someone else" and would not vote with 0%; "Undecided/Refused" with 6%
  13. ↑ Would not vote with 0%; Undecided with 7%
  14. ↑ Undecided with 6%
  15. ↑ "Someone else" with 1%; would not vote with 0%; "Prefer not to say" with no voters; Undecided with 16%
  16. ↑ "One of the minor party candidates" with 5%; Undecided with 17%

Partisan clients

  1. ↑ Poll sponsored by AARP.
  2. ↑ Poll sponsored by Left of Center PAC, which has endorsed Golden prior to this poll's sampling period.

References

  1. ↑ Andrews, Caitlin (December 18, 2019). "Mills officially pushes back June elections to July 14". Bangor Daily News . Retrieved April 10, 2020.
  2. ↑ "Candidates Listing (xls)". www.maine.gov/sos/cec/elec/upcoming/. Retrieved March 25, 2020.
  3. ↑ "Candidate's Guide" (PDF). www.maine.gov/sos/cec/elec/. Retrieved March 12, 2020.
  4. 1 2 Wasserman, David; Flinn, Ally (November 7, 2018). "2018 House Popular Vote Tracker". Cook Political Report. Retrieved February 15, 2019.
  5. 1 2 3 "July 14, 2020 - Primary Election - Non-Ranked Choice Offices". Maine Department Secretary of State. July 21, 2020. Retrieved August 9, 2020.
  6. ↑ Houk, Evan (August 29, 2019). "New Harbor Man Seeks Republican Nomination for Congress". The Lincoln County News. Retrieved August 29, 2019.
  7. ↑ YouTube
  8. 1 2 "2020 Senate Race Ratings for April 19, 2019". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 20, 2019.
  9. 1 2 "2020 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 3, 2019.
  10. 1 2 "2020 Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Archived from the original on August 22, 2019. Retrieved August 28, 2019.
  11. 1 2 "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
  12. 1 2 "Daily Kos Elections releases initial Senate race ratings for 2020". Daily Kos Elections. Retrieved February 28, 2020.
  13. 1 2 "Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.
  14. 1 2 "2020 Negative Partisanship and the 2020 Congressional Elections". Niskanen Center. April 28, 2020. Archived from the original on June 21, 2020. Retrieved May 1, 2020.
  15. 1 2 Colby College
  16. 1 2 Pan Atlantic Research
  17. 1 2 Critical Insights
  18. 1 2 Critical Insights
  19. 1 2 "November 3, 2020 General Election". Maine Department of Secretary of State. Retrieved November 24, 2020.
  20. ↑ "Ranked-choice voting worked in Maine. Now we should use it in presidential races". USA TODAY. Retrieved November 18, 2018.
  21. ↑ Collins, Steve [@SteveCollinsSJ] (May 20, 2019). "Not surprising, but @RepGolden said today he is not going to run for US Senate. He said he respects @SenatorCollins & her approach to governing, even if he doesn't always agree with her. Besides, he said, his #ME02 seat is "not a stepping stone" & he plans to stay. #mepolitics" (Tweet). Retrieved May 20, 2019– via Twitter.
  22. ↑ "Former GOP Sen. William Cohen backs Democrat Jared Golden in Maine's 2nd District". Bangor Daily News. September 30, 2020.
  23. ↑ "Endorsed Candidates". End Citizens United. Archived from the original on December 8, 2019. Retrieved January 26, 2020.
  24. ↑ "JStreetPAC Candidates". JStreetPAC. Archived from the original on May 2, 2018. Retrieved January 26, 2020.
  25. ↑ Sittenfeld, Tiernan (August 15, 2019). "LCV Action Fund Announces Second Round of 2020 Environmental Majority Makers". League of Conservation Voters. LCV Action Fund.
  26. ↑ Hogue, Ilyse (March 8, 2019). "NARAL Announces First Slate of Frontline Pro-Choice Endorsements for 2020". NARAL Pro-Choice America. Archived from the original on August 5, 2020. Retrieved January 26, 2020.
  27. ↑ "2020 Endorsements". plannedparenthoodaction.org. Planned Parenthood Action Fund. Archived from the original on November 15, 2019. Retrieved January 26, 2020.
  28. ↑ "Sierra Club #ClimateVoter Guide: Endorsements". Sierra Club. March 19, 2021.
  29. ↑ "Candidates". VoteVets.org.
  30. ↑ Blanchard, Zach (October 8, 2019). "Paul LePage's former press secretary eyes 2nd District U.S. House seat". newscentermaine.com. Retrieved October 8, 2019.
  31. ↑ Collins, Steve (July 29, 2019). "Maine republicans to hold 'Stop The Madness' rally in defense of Trump". Sun Journal. Retrieved July 30, 2019.
  32. ↑ Collins, Steve (October 3, 2019). "Crafts, a former state lawmaker, plans to seek 2nd Congressional District seat". Sun Journal. Retrieved October 4, 2019.
  33. ↑ Shepherd, Michael (September 5, 2019). "Paul LePage hints that another Republican will join race to unseat Jared Golden". WGME. Retrieved September 5, 2019.
  34. ↑ Hoey, Dennis (August 3, 2019). "Bruce Poliquin will not run against Jared Golden in 2020". Portland Press Herald. Retrieved August 4, 2019.
  35. ↑ "Adrienne Bennett receives key endorsement from Trump ally congresswoman Elise Stefanik". Archived from the original on July 5, 2020. Retrieved July 5, 2020.
  36. ↑ "E-PAC ENDORSES 2 NEW RISING STAR CANDIDATES, TOUTS NY PRIMARY VICTORIES". June 24, 2020. Archived from the original on July 5, 2020. Retrieved July 5, 2020.
  37. ↑ "Adrienne Bennett - Susan B. Anthony List". Archived from the original on July 15, 2020. Retrieved July 15, 2020.
  38. ↑ "Leading womens group endorses Adrianne Bennett for Congress". Archived from the original on June 16, 2020. Retrieved June 19, 2020.
  39. ↑ "U.S. Senator Rand Paul Endorses Eric Brakey for Congress". ericbrakey.com. Archived from the original on February 19, 2020. Retrieved February 19, 2020.
  40. ↑ "Release: Brakey Releases Major List of Endorsements". Archived from the original on November 3, 2019. Retrieved November 3, 2019.
  41. ↑ "Eric Brakey (ME-02)". Club for Growth. Retrieved February 29, 2020.[ permanent dead link ]
  42. ↑ "Meet the Top Candidates". FreedomWorks for America. Retrieved February 29, 2020.
  43. ↑ "Protect Freedom PAC Launches Ad in ME-02 in Support of Eric Brakey". www.protectfreedompac.com.
  44. ↑ Crafts, Dale (October 5, 2020). "Congressman Dan Crenshaw Endorses Dale Crafts for Congress". YouTube .
  45. ↑ Russell, Eric (August 2, 2020). "Trump tweets endorsement of Republican Crafts in Maine's 2nd District race".
  46. ↑ Carriagn, Dan (October 10, 2019). "Another candidate joins Maine's 2nd District race, with big name support". News Center Maine. Retrieved October 14, 2019.
  47. ↑ Crafts, Dale (September 28, 2020). "South Dakota Governor, Kirsti Noem endorses Dale Crafts". YouTube .
  48. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 "ENDORSEMENTS". Archived from the original on April 3, 2023. Retrieved March 7, 2023.
  49. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 "Crafts for Congress: Sportsman's Coalition". February 25, 2020. Archived from the original on June 22, 2020. Retrieved June 19, 2020.
  50. 1 2 3 "VETERANS COALITION - CRAFTS FOR CONGRESS". February 26, 2020. Archived from the original on June 20, 2020. Retrieved June 19, 2020.
  51. ↑ "Randall Greenwood Supports Dale Crafts for U.S. Congress" – via www.youtube.com.
  52. ↑ Board, The BDN Editorial (June 29, 2020). "Dale Crafts is top choice in 2nd District Republican primary". Bangor Daily News.
  53. ↑ "FRC Action PAC". www.frcaction.org.
  54. ↑ Burns, Christopher (September 10, 2020). "Small-business group endorses Dale Crafts in 2nd District race". Bangor Daily News.
  55. ↑ Collins, Steve (October 11, 2019). "Lisbon's Dale Crafts formally declares candidacy for US House seat".
  56. ↑ "Dale Crafts holds big lead in Republican congressional primary". Centralmaine.com. July 15, 2020. Retrieved July 15, 2020.
  57. ↑ SurveyUSA
  58. ↑ We Ask America
  59. ↑ YouTube
  60. ↑ Mannino, Gabrielle (July 16, 2020). "Crafts says ranked-choice tabulation is 'not necessary' and 'an affront to the taxpayer'". WCSH . Retrieved July 16, 2020.
  61. ↑ "Bureau of Corporations, Elections & Commissions, Elections and Voting, Tabulations June 12, 2018". www.maine.gov.
  62. ↑ PBS
  63. ↑ Change Research
  64. ↑ Colby College
  65. ↑ Siena College/NYT Upshot
  66. ↑ Fabrizio Ward/Hart Research Associates
  67. ↑ Wick Surveys (D)
  68. ↑ Colby College/SocialSphere
  69. ↑ Colby College/SocialSphere

Official campaign websites for 1st district candidates

Official campaign websites for 2nd district candidates

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