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All 2 Maine seats to the United States House of Representatives | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Maine |
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The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Maine were held on November 3, 2020, to elect the two U.S. representatives from the state of Maine, one from each of the state's two congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections. The election was conducted with ranked choice voting, as per the result of a referendum passed in 2016.
Party primaries were initially scheduled to take place on June 9, 2020. They were rescheduled by Gov. Janet Mills to July 14, 2020, due to the COVID-19 pandemic. Mills' executive order also expanded the ability to request absentee ballots, which may now be done up to and on election day. [1] Parties that qualified to participate in the 2020 primary election were the Democratic Party, the Green Independent Party, and the Republican Party. Two candidates in District 1 and four candidates in District 2 filed petitions with the secretary of state by March 16, 2020. [2] Non-party candidates could also file petitions to be included on the ballot by June 1, 2020. [3]
District | Democratic | Republican | Others | Total | Result | ||||
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Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||
District 1 | 271,004 | 62.15% | 165,008 | 37.84% | 15 | 0.00% | 436,027 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 2 | 197,974 | 53.04% | 175,228 | 46.95% | 33 | 0.01% | 373,235 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
Total | 468,978 | 57.95% | 340,236 | 42.04% | 48 | 0.01% | 809,262 | 100.0% |
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County results Pingree: 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 1st district encompasses the southern coastal area of the state, taking in Portland, Augusta, Brunswick and Saco. The incumbent was Democrat Chellie Pingree, who was re-elected with 58.8% of the vote in 2018. [4]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Chellie Pingree (incumbent) | 102,773 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 102,773 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Jay Allen | 31,124 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 31,124 | 100.0 |
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Republican |
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Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | ||||||
Chellie Pingree | Jay Allen | |||||
1 | Oct. 21, 2020 | Maine Public Broadcasting Network | Jennifer Rooks | YouTube | P | P |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [7] | Safe D | October 2, 2020 |
Inside Elections [8] | Safe D | October 1, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [9] | Safe D | October 1, 2020 |
Politico [10] | Safe D | September 8, 2020 |
Daily Kos [11] | Safe D | September 25, 2020 |
RCP [12] | Safe D | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen [13] | Safe D | July 26, 2020 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 1] | Margin of error | Chellie Pingree (D) | Jay Allen (R) | Other/ Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Colby College | October 21–25, 2020 | 426 (LV) | – | 58% | 31% | 11% [lower-alpha 2] |
Pan Atlantic Research | October 2–6, 2020 | 300 (LV) | ± 6.4% | 54% | 35% | 11% [lower-alpha 2] |
Critical Insights | September 25 – October 4, 2020 | 232 (LV) | – | 58% | 24% | 18% [lower-alpha 3] |
Critical Insights | July 28 – August 10, 2020 | 233 (LV) | – | 50% | 22% | 27% [lower-alpha 4] |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Chellie Pingree (incumbent) | 271,004 | 62.2 | |
Republican | Jay Allen | 165,008 | 37.8 | |
Write-in | 15 | 0.0 | ||
Total votes | 436,027 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
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County results Golden: 50–60% 60–70% Crafts: 40–50% 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 2nd district covers most of northern rural Maine, including the cities of Lewiston, Bangor, Auburn and Presque Isle. The incumbent was Democrat Jared Golden, who flipped the district and was elected with 50.6% of the vote in 2018, [4] making him the first member of Congress to be elected by ranked choice voting. [15] Donald Trump won the district in the concurrent presidential election.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Jared Golden (incumbent) | 57,718 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 57,718 | 100.0 |
x*National Federation of Independent Business [49]
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 1] | Margin of error | Adrienne Bennett | Eric Brakey | Dale Crafts | Undecided |
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SurveyUSA | June 30 – July 6, 2020 | 604 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 25% [lower-alpha 5] | 19% | 37% | 19% |
31% [lower-alpha 6] | – | 45% | 34% | ||||
We Ask America | June 16–17, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 28% | 22% | 20% | 29% |
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Republican | Republican |
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Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | |||||||
Adrienne Bennett | Eric Brakey | Dale Crafts | |||||
1 | Jul. 9, 2020 | Maine Public Television | Jennifer Rooks | YouTube | P | P | P |
Both Bennett and Brakey conceded the race to Crafts the day after the primary. As Crafts did not get 50% of the vote, Maine's ranked choice system calls for the second choices of the last place candidate's votes to be distributed to the other candidates, whether or not the candidates concede the race. Crafts criticized this as a waste of taxpayer dollars, and both Bennett and Brakey said they would refuse to accept the results of the ranked choice tabulation. Maine Secretary of State Matthew Dunlap said whether the concessions could stop the tabulation was "a question for lawyers", but that the tabulation would begin on July 18. Crafts called on the Maine Legislature to examine this issue. Dunlap's office, while not responding directly to Crafts' call to action on the Legislature, did agree with Crafts that Dunlap was performing his duty under the law. [52]
Republican primary results [53] | |||||||||||
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Party | Candidate | Round 1 | Round 2 | ||||||||
Votes | % | Transfer | Votes | % (gross) | % (net) | ||||||
Republican | Dale Crafts | 23,665 | 45.0% | +3,551 | 28,019 | 53.3% | 58.0% | ||||
Republican | Adrienne Bennett | 16,920 | 32.2% | +3,375 | 20,295 | 38.6% | 42.0% | ||||
Republican | Eric Brakey | 11,976 | 22.8% | -11,976 | Eliminated | ||||||
Total active votes | 52,561 | 48,314 | 100.0% | ||||||||
Exhausted ballots | +3,252 | 4190 | 8.0% | ||||||||
Total votes | 52,561 | 100.0% | 52,561 | 100.0% |
% (gross) = percent of all valid votes cast (without eliminating the exhausted votes)
% (net) = percent of votes cast after eliminating the exhausted votes
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [7] | Likely D | October 2, 2020 |
Inside Elections [8] | Safe D | October 16, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [9] | Likely D | October 1, 2020 |
Politico [10] | Lean D | October 11, 2020 |
Daily Kos [11] | Likely D | October 29, 2020 |
RCP [12] | Lean D | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen [13] | Lean D | July 26, 2020 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 1] | Margin of error | Jared Golden (D) | Dale Crafts (R) | Other/ Undecided |
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Change Research | October 29 – November 2, 2020 | 475 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 53% | 44% | 3% [lower-alpha 7] |
Colby College | October 21–25, 2020 | 453 (LV) | – | 56% | 31% | 13% [lower-alpha 8] |
Pan Atlantic Research | October 2–6, 2020 | 300 (LV) | ± 6.4% | 60% | 33% | 7% [lower-alpha 9] |
Critical Insights | September 25 – October 4, 2020 | 234 (LV) | – | 52% | 34% | 14% [lower-alpha 10] |
Colby College | September 17–23, 2020 | 275 (LV) | – | 56% | 33% | 11% [lower-alpha 2] |
Siena College/NYT Upshot | September 11–16, 2020 | 440 (LV) | – | 56% [lower-alpha 11] | 37% | 6% [lower-alpha 12] |
Fabrizio Ward/Hart Research Associates [upper-alpha 1] | August 30 – September 5, 2020 | 367 (LV) | – | 53% | 40% | 7% [lower-alpha 13] |
Wick Surveys (D) [upper-alpha 2] | August 25–28, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 50% | 44% | 6% [lower-alpha 14] |
Critical Insights | July 28 – August 10, 2020 | 218 (LV) | – | 46% | 36% | 18% [lower-alpha 15] |
Colby College/SocialSphere | July 18–24, 2020 | 888 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 45% | 33% | 22% [lower-alpha 16] |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 1] | Margin of error | Jared Golden (D) | Generic Republican | Undecided |
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Colby College/SocialSphere | February 10–13, 2020 | 493 (LV) | – | 43% | 29% | 28% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Jared Golden (incumbent) | 197,974 | 53.0 | |
Republican | Dale Crafts | 175,228 | 46.9 | |
Write-in | 33 | 0.1 | ||
Total votes | 373,235 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
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