2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri

2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri

←  2018 November 3, 2020 2022  →
All 8 Missouri seats to the United States House of Representatives
Majority party Minority party   Party Republican Democratic Last election 6 2 Seats won 6 2 Seat change Popular vote 1,723,982 1,172,135 Percentage 57.98% 39.42% Swing 2.95% 3.09%
Republican   50–60%   60–70%   70–80% Democratic   50–60%   70–80%

The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri was held on November 3, 2020, to elect the eight U.S. representatives from the state of Missouri, one from each of the state's eight congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2020 United States presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.

The primaries were held on August 4. ^[1]

Overview

District	Republican		Democratic		Others		Total		Result
	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%
District 1	59,940	18.96%	249,087	78.78%	7,144	2.26%	316,171	100.0%	Democratic hold
District 2	233,157	51.89%	204,540	45.52%	11,651	2.59%	449,348	100.0%	Republican hold
District 3	282,866	69.44%	116,095	28.50%	8,387	2.06%	407,348	100.0%	Republican hold
District 4	245,247	67.59%	107,635	29.66%	9,954	2.74%	362,836	100.0%	Republican hold
District 5	135,934	38.57%	207,180	58.79%	9,316	2.64%	352,430	100.0%	Democratic hold
District 6	258,709	67.06%	118,926	30.83%	8,144	2.11%	385,779	100.0%	Republican hold
District 7	254,318	68.87%	98,111	26.57%	16,854	4.56%	369,283	100.0%	Republican hold
District 8	253,811	76.86%	70,561	21.37%	5,854	1.77%	330,226	100.0%	Republican hold
Total	1,723,982	57.98%	1,172,135	39.42%	77,304	2.60%	2,973,421	100.0%

Popular Vote Republican   57.98% Democratic   39.42% Other   2.60%

House Seats Republican   75.00% Democratic   25.00%

District 1

2020 Missouri's 1st congressional district election

←  2018 2022  →

Nominee Cori Bush Anthony Rogers Party Democratic Republican Popular vote 249,087 59,940 Percentage 78.8% 19.0%

U.S. Representative before election Lacy Clay Democratic Elected U.S. Representative Cori Bush Democratic

See also: Missouri's 1st congressional district

The 1st district is of the city of St. Louis and much of northern St. Louis County, including Florissant and University City. The incumbent is Democrat Lacy Clay, who was re-elected with 80.1% of the vote in 2018. ^[2]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

• Katherine Bruckner, candidate for MO-91 in 2008 ^[3]
• Cori Bush, civil rights activist, candidate for Missouri's 1st congressional district in 2018, and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2016 ^[4]
• Lacy Clay, incumbent U.S. Representative

Endorsements

Lacy Clay

Federal officials

• Nancy Pelosi, U.S. representative from California's 12th congressional district and House Speaker ^[5]
• Kamala Harris, U.S. senator from California ^[6]

Labor unions

• Alliance for Retired Americans ^[7]

Organizations

• Congressional Progressive Caucus ^[8]
• Planned Parenthood Action Fund ^[9]
• Sierra Club ^[10]

Newspapers and Media

• St. Louis American ^[11]
• St. Louis Post-Dispatch ^[12]

Cori Bush

U.S. senators

• Bernie Sanders, U.S. senator from Vermont ^[13]

State officials

• Bruce Franks Jr., former state representative (2016–2019) ^[14]

Organizations

• Brand New Congress ^[15]
• Democratic Socialists of America ^[16]
• Justice Democrats ^[17]
• National Women's Political Caucus ^[18]
• Our Revolution-Missouri Chapter ^[19]
• Sierra Club ^[10]
• Sunrise Movement STL ^[19]

Individuals

• Jamaal Bowman, middle school principal and 2020 Democratic nominee in NY-16 ^[20]

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [lower-alpha 1]	Margin of error	Katherine Bruckner	Cori Bush	Lacy Clay	Undecided
Data for Progress [upper-alpha 1]	August 1–3, 2020	250 (LV)	–	7%	42%	42%	9%

Primary results

Democratic primary results ^[21]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Cori Bush	73,274	48.5
	Democratic	Lacy Clay (incumbent)	68,887	45.6
	Democratic	Katherine Bruckner	8,850	5.9
Total votes			151,011	100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

• Winnie Heartstrong, activist ^[22]
• Anthony Rogers, radio show host ^[3]

Primary results

Republican primary results ^[21]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Anthony Rogers	6,979	61.5
	Republican	Winnie Heartstrong	4,367	38.5
Total votes			11,346	100.0

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Declared

• Alex Furman, Vice President of the St. Louis chapter of the far-right neo-fascist organization Proud Boys ^{[23] [24]}

Primary results

Libertarian primary results ^[21]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Libertarian	Alex Furman	337	100.0
Total votes			337	100.0

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report [25]	Safe D	July 2, 2020
Inside Elections [26]	Safe D	June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball [27]	Safe D	July 2, 2020
Politico [28]	Safe D	April 19, 2020
Daily Kos [29]	Safe D	June 3, 2020
RCP [30]	Safe D	June 9, 2020
Niskanen [31]	Safe D	June 7, 2020

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [lower-alpha 1]	Margin of error	Cori Bush (D)	Anthony Rodgers (R)	Other	Undecided
YouGov	September 24 – October 7, 2020	152 (LV)	–	61%	26%	7%	7%

Results

Missouri's 1st congressional district, 2020 ^[32]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Cori Bush	249,087	78.8
	Republican	Anthony Rogers	59,940	19.0
	Libertarian	Alex Furman	6,766	2.1
	Independent	Martin Baker (write-in)	378	0.1
Total votes			316,171	100.0
	Democratic hold

District 2

2020 Missouri's 2nd congressional district election

←  2018 2022  →

Nominee Ann Wagner Jill Schupp Party Republican Democratic Popular vote 233,157 204,540 Percentage 51.9% 45.5%

U.S. Representative before election Ann Wagner Republican Elected U.S. Representative Ann Wagner Republican

See also: Missouri's 2nd congressional district

The 2nd district is based in eastern Missouri, and includes the southern and western suburbs of St. Louis, including Arnold, Town and Country, Wildwood, Chesterfield, and Oakville. The incumbent is Republican Ann Wagner, who was re-elected with 51.2% of the vote in 2018. ^[2]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

• Ann Wagner, incumbent U.S. Representative

Primary results

Republican primary results ^[21]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Ann Wagner (incumbent)	63,686	100.0
Total votes			63,686	100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

• Jill Schupp, state senator ^[33]

Declined

• Becky Morgan, leader of the Missouri chapter of Moms Demand Action for Gun Sense in America ^[34]
• Cort VanOstran, attorney and nominee for Missouri's 2nd congressional district in 2018 ^[35]

Endorsements

Jill Schupp

U.S. presidents

• Barack Obama, 44th president of the United States (2009-2017), U.S. senator from Illinois (2005-2008) ^[36]

U.S. vice presidents

• Joe Biden, 47th vice president of the United States (2009-2017), U.S. senator from Delaware (1973-2009) ^[37]

Newspapers

• The St. Louis American ^[38]
• The St. Louis Post Dispatch ^[39]

Organizations

• American Association for Justice ^[40]
• Emily's List ^[40]
• End Citizens United ^[40]
• Human Rights Campaign ^[41]
• League of Conservation Voters ^[42]
• Planned Parenthood ^[43]
• NARAL Pro-Choice America ^[44]
• Sierra Club ^[10]

Primary results

Democratic primary results ^[21]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Jill Schupp	103,164	100.0
Total votes			103,164	100.0

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Declared

• Martin Schulte ^[45]

Primary results

Libertarian primary results ^[21]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Libertarian	Martin Schulte	737	100.0
Total votes			737	100.0

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report [25]	Tossup	August 6, 2020
Inside Elections [46]	Tilt D (flip)	October 28, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball [27]	Lean R	November 2, 2020
Politico [47]	Tossup	October 11, 2020
Daily Kos [48]	Tossup	August 31, 2020
RCP [49]	Tossup	June 9, 2020
Niskanen [31]	Lean D (flip)	June 7, 2020
538 [50]	Lean R	October 30, 2020

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [lower-alpha 1]	Margin of error	Ann Wagner (R)	Jill Schupp (D)	Other	Undecided
Change Research	October 29 – November 2, 2020	597 (LV)	± 4.3%	46%	46%	5% [lower-alpha 2]	2%
YouGov	September 24 – October 7, 2020	115 (LV)	–	42%	51%	3%	4%
Normington, Petts & Associates (D) Archived October 13, 2020, at the Wayback Machine	September 10–14, 2020	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	49%	49%	<1%	2%
Public Policy Polling (D) Archived August 19, 2020, at the Wayback Machine [upper-alpha 2]	August 13–14, 2020	925 (V)	–	42%	45%	–	14%
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout	February 19–20, 2020	1,360 (LV)	± 2.6%	50%	40%	–	10%

Hypothetical polling

with Generic Republican and Generic Democrat

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [lower-alpha 1]	Margin of error	Generic Republican	Generic Democrat	Undecided
Normington, Petts & Associates (D) Archived October 13, 2020, at the Wayback Machine	September 10–14, 2020	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	47%	48%	5%

Results

Missouri's 2nd congressional district, 2020 ^[32]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Ann Wagner (incumbent)	233,157	51.9
	Democratic	Jill Schupp	204,540	45.5
	Libertarian	Martin Schulte	11,647	2.6
	Write-in		4	0.0
Total votes			449,348	100.0
	Republican hold

District 3

2020 Missouri's 3rd congressional district election

←  2018 2022  →

Nominee Blaine Luetkemeyer Megan Rezabek Party Republican Democratic Popular vote 282,866 116,095 Percentage 69.4% 28.5%

U.S. Representative before election Blaine Luetkemeyer Republican Elected U.S. Representative Blaine Luetkemeyer Republican

See also: Missouri's 3rd congressional district

The third district encompasses east-central Missouri, taking in Jefferson City, Troy, O'Fallon, and Washington. The incumbent is Republican Blaine Luetkemeyer, who was re-elected with 65.1% of the vote in 2018. ^[2]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

• Adela Wisdom, anti-prohibition activist ^[51]
• Blaine Luetkemeyer, incumbent U.S. Representative
• Jeffrey Nowak, former marine ^[51]
• Lynette Trares, Missouri State Department of Health and Senior Services employee ^[51]
• Brandon Wilkinson, truck driver ^{[51] [52]}

Primary results

Republican primary results ^[21]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Blaine Luetkemeyer (incumbent)	80,627	74.8
	Republican	Brandon Wilkinson	15,901	14.8
	Republican	Lynette Trares	4,197	3.9
	Republican	Jeffrey Nowak	3,517	3.3
	Republican	Adela Wisdom	3,485	3.2
Total votes			107,727	100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

• Dennis Oglesby, chairman of Warren County Democrats ^[53]
• Megan Rezabek, maintenance worker ^[54]

Primary results

Democratic primary results ^[21]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Megan Rezabek	27,826	66.8
	Democratic	Dennis Oglesby	13,801	33.2
Total votes			41,627	100.0

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Declared

• Leonard J. Steinman II, perennial candidate ^[55]

Primary results

Libertarian primary results ^[21]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Libertarian	Leonard J. Steinman II	627	100.0
Total votes			627	100.0

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report [25]	Safe R	July 2, 2020
Inside Elections [26]	Safe R	June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball [27]	Safe R	July 2, 2020
Politico [28]	Safe R	April 19, 2020
Daily Kos [29]	Safe R	June 3, 2020
RCP [30]	Safe R	June 9, 2020
Niskanen [31]	Safe R	June 7, 2020

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [lower-alpha 1]	Margin of error	Blaine Luetkemeyer (R)	Megan Rezabek (D)	Other	Undecided
YouGov	September 24 – October 7, 2020	106 (LV)	–	64%	29%	1%	6%

Results

Missouri's 3rd congressional district, 2020 ^[32]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Blaine Luetkemeyer (incumbent)	282,866	69.4
	Democratic	Megan Rezabek	116,095	28.5
	Libertarian	Leonard J. Steinman II	8,344	2.1
	Write-in		43	0.0
Total votes			407,348	100.0
	Republican hold

District 4

2020 Missouri's 4th congressional district election

←  2018 2022  →

Nominee Vicky Hartzler Lindsey Simmons Party Republican Democratic Popular vote 245,247 107,635 Percentage 67.6% 29.7%

U.S. Representative before election Vicky Hartzler Republican Elected U.S. Representative Vicky Hartzler Republican

See also: Missouri's 4th congressional district

The 4th district is based in predominantly rural west-central Missouri, taking in Columbia, Sedalia, Warrensburg, and Lebanon. The incumbent is Republican Vicky Hartzler, who was re-elected with 64.8% of the vote in 2018. ^[2]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

• Neal Gist, software engineer ^[56]
• Vicky Hartzler, incumbent U.S. Representative

Primary results

Republican primary results ^[21]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Vicky Hartzler (incumbent)	80,652	76.6
	Republican	Neal Gist	24,646	23.4
Total votes			105,298	100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

• Lindsey Simmons, attorney ^[57]

Primary results

Democratic primary results ^[21]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Lindsey Simmons	38,339	100.0
Total votes			38,339	100.0

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Declared

• Steven K. Koonse, retiree and Libertarian candidate for Missouri's 4th congressional district in 2018 ^[58]
• Robert Smith, small business owner ^[58]

Primary results

Libertarian primary results ^[21]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Libertarian	Steven K. Koonse	357	53.0
	Libertarian	Robert E. Smith	316	47.0
Total votes			673	100.0

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report [25]	Safe R	July 2, 2020
Inside Elections [26]	Safe R	June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball [27]	Safe R	July 2, 2020
Politico [28]	Safe R	April 19, 2020
Daily Kos [29]	Safe R	June 3, 2020
RCP [30]	Safe R	June 9, 2020
Niskanen [31]	Safe R	June 7, 2020

Polling

Polls with a sample size of <100 have their sample size entries marked in red to indicate a lack of reliability.

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [lower-alpha 1]	Margin of error	Vicky Hartzler (R)	Lindsey Simmons (D)	Other	Undecided
YouGov	September 24 – October 7, 2020	92 (LV)	–	53%	37%	6%	5%

Results

Missouri's 4th congressional district, 2020 ^[32]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Vicky Hartzler (incumbent)	245,247	67.6
	Democratic	Lindsey Simmons	107,635	29.7
	Libertarian	Steven K. Koonse	9,954	2.7
Total votes			362,836	100.0
	Republican hold

District 5

2020 Missouri's 5th congressional district election

←  2018 2022  →

Nominee Emanuel Cleaver Ryan Derks Party Democratic Republican Popular vote 207,180 135,934 Percentage 58.8% 38.6%

U.S. Representative before election Emanuel Cleaver Democratic Elected U.S. Representative Emanuel Cleaver Democratic

See also: Missouri's 5th congressional district

The 5th district primarily consists of the inner ring of the Kansas City metropolitan area, including nearly all of Kansas City south of the Missouri River. The incumbent is Democrat Emanuel Cleaver, who was re-elected with 61.7% of the vote in 2018. ^[2]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

• Emanuel Cleaver, incumbent U.S. Representative
• Maite Salazar, progressive activist ^[59]

Primary results

Democratic primary results ^[21]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Emanuel Cleaver (incumbent)	75,040	85.3
	Democratic	Maite Salazar	12,923	14.7
Total votes			87,963	100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

• Jerry Barham, gas station owner ^{[60] [61]}
• Clay Chastain, transportation activist ^{[60] [62]}
• Ryan Derks, investment manager ^[63]
• R.H. Hess, ICWA child custody law advocate and deacon ^{[60] [64]}
• Richonda Oaks, analyst and dominionist ^{[60] [65]}
• Weldon "Wilbur" Woodward, beekeeper ^{[60] [66]}

Primary results

Republican primary results ^[21]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Ryan Derks	13,832	34.0
	Republican	Jerry W. Barham	12,880	31.7
	Republican	Clay Chastain	7,519	18.5
	Republican	Weldon "Wilbur" Woodward	2,381	5.8
	Republican	R.H. Hess	2,207	5.4
	Republican	Richonda Oaks	1,872	4.6
Total votes			40,691	100.0

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Declared

• Robin Dominick ^[67]

Primary results

Libertarian primary results ^[21]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Libertarian	Robin Dominick	542	100.0
Total votes			542	100.0

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report [25]	Safe D	July 2, 2020
Inside Elections [26]	Safe D	June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball [27]	Safe D	July 2, 2020
Politico [28]	Safe D	April 19, 2020
Daily Kos [29]	Safe D	June 3, 2020
RCP [30]	Safe D	June 9, 2020
Niskanen [31]	Safe D	June 7, 2020

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [lower-alpha 1]	Margin of error	Emmanuel Cleaver (D)	Ryan Derks (R)	Other	Undecided
YouGov	September 24 – October 7, 2020	135 (LV)	–	59%	26%	1%	7%

Results

Missouri's 5th congressional district, 2020 ^[32]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Emanuel Cleaver (incumbent)	207,180	58.8
	Republican	Ryan Derks	135,934	38.6
	Libertarian	Robin Dominick	9,272	2.6
	Write-in		44	0.0
Total votes			352,430	100.0
	Democratic hold

District 6

2020 Missouri's 6th congressional district election

←  2018 2022  →

Nominee Sam Graves Gena Ross Party Republican Democratic Popular vote 258,709 118,926 Percentage 67.1% 30.8%

U.S. Representative before election Sam Graves Republican Elected U.S. Representative Sam Graves Republican

See also: Missouri's 6th congressional district

The 6th district encompasses rural northern Missouri, St. Joseph and much of Kansas City north of the Missouri River. The incumbent is Republican Sam Graves, who was re-elected with 65.4% of the vote in 2018. ^[2]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

• Sam Graves, incumbent U.S. Representative
• Chris Ryan, perennial candidate ^[68]

Primary results

Republican primary results ^[21]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Sam Graves (incumbent)	81,584	79.7
	Republican	Chris Ryan	20,826	20.3
Total votes			102,410	100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

• Henry Martin, U.S. Army veteran ^[68]
• Gena L. Ross, college professor ^[68]
• Donald Robert Sartain ^[68]
• Charles West, Clark County school board member ^[68]
• Ramona Farris, consultant ^[68]

Primary results

Democratic primary results ^[21]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Gena L. Ross	14,503	32.8
	Democratic	Ramona Farris	11,882	26.9
	Democratic	Henry Martin	9,393	21.3
	Democratic	Charles West	6,951	15.7
	Democratic	Donald Robert Sartain	1,447	3.3
Total votes			44,176	100.0

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Declared

• Jim Higgins, former vice chairman of the Missouri Libertarian Party ^[69]

Primary results

Libertarian primary results ^[21]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Libertarian	Jim Higgins	431	100.0
Total votes			431	100.0

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report [25]	Safe R	July 2, 2020
Inside Elections [26]	Safe R	June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball [27]	Safe R	July 2, 2020
Politico [28]	Safe R	April 19, 2020
Daily Kos [29]	Safe R	June 3, 2020
RCP [30]	Safe R	June 9, 2020
Niskanen [31]	Safe R	June 7, 2020

Polling

Polls with a sample size of <100 have their sample size entries marked in red to indicate a lack of reliability.

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [lower-alpha 1]	Margin of error	Sam Graves (R)	Gena Ross (D)	Other	Undecided
YouGov	September 24 – October 7, 2020	98 (LV)	–	58%	36%	1%	6%

Results

Missouri's 6th congressional district, 2020 ^[32]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Sam Graves (incumbent)	258,709	67.1
	Democratic	Gena Ross	118,926	30.8
	Libertarian	Jim Higgins	8,144	2.1
Total votes			385,779	100.0
	Republican hold

District 7

2020 Missouri's 7th congressional district election

←  2018 2022  →

Nominee Billy Long Teresa Montseny Party Republican Democratic Popular vote 254,318 98,111 Percentage 68.9% 26.6%

U.S. Representative before election Billy Long Republican Elected U.S. Representative Billy Long Republican

See also: Missouri's 7th congressional district

The 7th district is located in southwestern Missouri, taking in Springfield, Joplin, Branson, and Nixa. The incumbent is Republican Billy Long, who was re-elected with 66.2% of the vote in 2018. ^[2]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

• Steve Chetnik, manufacturing worker ^{[70] [71]}
• Eric Harleman, businessman ^[70]
• Camille Lombardi-Olive, perennial candidate ^[70]
• Billy Long, incumbent U.S. representative ^[70]
• Kevin VanStory, real estate broker ^[70]

Primary results

Republican primary results ^[21]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Billy Long (incumbent)	69,407	66.1
	Republican	Eric Harleman	11,696	11.1
	Republican	Kevin VanStory	10,486	10.0
	Republican	Steve Chetnik	7,407	7.1
	Republican	Camille Lombardi-Olive	5,969	5.7
Total votes			104,965	100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

• Teresa Montseny, historian (Dropped out) ^{[70] [72]}

Primary results

Democratic primary results ^[21]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Teresa Montseny	30,568	100.0
Total votes			30,568	100.0

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Declared

• Kevin Craig ^[73]

Primary results

Libertarian primary results ^[21]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Libertarian	Kevin Craig	508	100.0
Total votes			508	100.0

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report [25]	Safe R	July 2, 2020
Inside Elections [26]	Safe R	June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball [27]	Safe R	July 2, 2020
Politico [28]	Safe R	April 19, 2020
Daily Kos [29]	Safe R	June 3, 2020
RCP [30]	Safe R	June 9, 2020
Niskanen [31]	Safe R	June 7, 2020

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [lower-alpha 1]	Margin of error	Billy Long (R)	Teresa Montseny (D)	Other	Undecided
YouGov	September 24 – October 7, 2020	142 (LV)	–	57%	32%	2%	10%

Results

Missouri's 7th congressional district, 2020 ^[32]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Billy Long (incumbent)	254,318	68.9
	Democratic	Teresa Montseny	98,111	26.6
	Libertarian	Kevin Craig	15,573	4.2
	Independent	Audrey Richards (write-in)	1,279	0.3
	Write-in		2	0.0
Total votes			369,283	100.0
	Republican hold

District 8

2020 Missouri's 8th congressional district election

←  2018 2022  →

Nominee Jason Smith Kathy Ellis Party Republican Democratic Popular vote 253,811 70,561 Percentage 76.9% 21.4%

U.S. Representative before election Jason Smith Republican Elected U.S. Representative Jason Smith Republican

See also: Missouri's 8th congressional district

The 8th district is the most rural district of Missouri, taking in rural southeastern Missouri, including the Missouri Bootheel, as well as the cities of Cape Girardeau and Poplar Bluff. The incumbent is Republican Jason Smith, who was re-elected with 73.4% of the vote in 2018. ^[2]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

• Jason Smith, incumbent U.S. Representative

Primary results

Republican primary results ^[21]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Jason Smith (incumbent)	114,074	100.0
Total votes			114,074	100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

• Kathy Ellis, social worker and nominee for Missouri's 8th congressional district in 2018 ^[74]

Primary results

Democratic primary results ^[21]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Kathryn Ellis	20,354	100.0
Total votes			20,354	100.0

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Declared

• Tom Schmitz ^[75]

Primary results

Libertarian primary results ^[21]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Libertarian	Tom Schmitz	265	100.0
Total votes			265	100.0

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report [25]	Safe R	July 2, 2020
Inside Elections [26]	Safe R	June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball [27]	Safe R	July 2, 2020
Politico [28]	Safe R	April 19, 2020
Daily Kos [29]	Safe R	June 3, 2020
RCP [30]	Safe R	June 9, 2020
Niskanen [31]	Safe R	June 7, 2020

Polling

Polls with a sample size of <100 have their sample size entries marked in red to indicate a lack of reliability.

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [lower-alpha 1]	Margin of error	Jason Smith (R)	Kathy Ellis (D)	Other	Undecided
YouGov	September 24 – October 7, 2020	96 (LV)	–	72%	22%	5%	2%

Results

Missouri's 8th congressional district, 2020 ^[32]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Jason Smith (incumbent)	253,811	76.9
	Democratic	Kathy Ellis	70,561	21.4
	Libertarian	Tom Schmitz	5,854	1.8
Total votes			330,226	100.0
	Republican hold

Notes

1. Key:
   A – all adults
   RV – registered voters
   LV – likely voters
   V – unclear
2. "Don't recall" and Schulte (L) with 2%; Did not vote with 1%; Would not vote with 0%

Partisan clients

1. Poll released after the primary in August
2. Poll conducted for the House Majority Pac.

References

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External links

• Government Documents Round Table of the American Library Association, "Missouri", Voting & Elections Toolkits
• "Missouri: Election Tools, Deadlines, Dates, Rules, and Links", Vote.org , Oakland, CA
• "League of Women Voters of Missouri". (State affiliate of the U.S. League of Women Voters)
• Missouri at Ballotpedia

Official campaign websites for 1st district candidates

• Cori Bush (D) for Congress
• Alex Furman (L) for Congress
• Anthony Rogers (R) for Congress Archived May 28, 2020, at the Wayback Machine

Official campaign websites for 2nd district candidates

• Martin Schulte (L) for Congress Archived September 13, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
• Jill Schupp (D) for Congress Archived August 16, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
• Ann Wagner (R) for Congress

Official campaign websites for 3rd district candidates

• Blaine Luetkemeyer (R) for Congress
• Megan Rezabek (D) for Congress

Official campaign websites for 4th district candidates

• Vicky Hartzler (R) for Congress Archived May 6, 2021, at the Wayback Machine
• Lindsey Simmons (D) for Congress Archived August 6, 2020, at the Wayback Machine

Official campaign websites for 5th district candidates

• Emanuel Cleaver (D) for Congress
• Ryan Derks (R) for Congress
• Robin Dominick (L) for Congress Archived October 21, 2020, at the Wayback Machine

Official campaign websites for 6th district candidates

• Sam Graves (R) for Congress
• Gena L. Ross (D) for Congress Archived August 6, 2020, at the Wayback Machine

Official campaign websites for 7th district candidates

• Kevin Craig (L) for Congress
• Billy Long (R) for Congress Archived March 8, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
• Teresa Montseny (D) for Congress Archived July 9, 2020, at the Wayback Machine

Official campaign websites for 8th district candidates

• Kathy Ellis (D) for Congress
• Tom Schmitz (L) for Congress Archived September 13, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
• Jason Smith (R) for Congress