2020 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire

2020 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire

←  2018 November 3, 2020 2022  →
All 2 New Hampshire seats to the United States House of Representatives
Majority party Minority party   Party Democratic Republican Last election 2 0 Seats won 2 0 Seat change Popular vote 413,469 353,650 Percentage 52.59% 44.98% Swing 1.94% 1.36%
Democratic hold

The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire were held on November 3, 2020, to elect the two U.S. representatives from the state of New Hampshire, one from each of the state's two congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.

Overview

District	Democratic		Republican		Others		Total		Result
	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%
District 1	205,606	51.32%	185,159	46.21%	9,896	2.47%	400,661	100.0%	Democratic hold
District 2	208,289	53.91%	168,886	43.70%	9,266	2.40%	386,441	100.0%	Democratic hold
Total	413,469	52.59%	353,650	44.98%	19,136	2.43%	787,102	100.0%

Popular vote Democratic   52.59% Republican   44.98% Other   2.43%

House seats Democratic   100.00%

District 1

2020 New Hampshire's 1st congressional district election

←  2018 2022  →

Nominee Chris Pappas Matt Mowers Party Democratic Republican Popular vote 205,606 185,159 Percentage 51.3% 46.2%

Municipality results Pappas:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80% Mowers:     50–60%     60–70%

U.S. Representative before election Chris Pappas Democratic Elected U.S. Representative Chris Pappas Democratic

See also: New Hampshire's 1st congressional district

The 1st district is based in southeastern New Hampshire, and includes Greater Manchester, the Seacoast and the Lakes Region. The incumbent was Democrat Chris Pappas, who was elected with 53.6% of the vote in 2018. ^[1]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Chris Pappas, incumbent U.S. Representative

Endorsements

Chris Pappas

U.S. presidents

• Barack Obama, 44th president of the United States (2009–2017), U.S. senator from Illinois (2005–2008) ^[2]

Organizations

• League of Conservation Voters Action Fund ^[3]
• LGBTQ Victory Fund ^[4]
• Sierra Club ^[5]

Primary results

Democratic primary results ^[6]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Chris Pappas (incumbent)	70,643	100.0
Total votes			70,643	100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Matt Mowers, former executive director of the New Hampshire Republican Party and former U.S. State Department staffer ^[7]

Eliminated in primary

• Michael Callis ^[8]
• Jeff Denaro ^[8]
• Matt Mayberry, U.S. Air Force veteran and former Dover city councilor ^[9]
• Kevin Rondeau ^[8]

Withdrawn

• William Fowler, state representative (endorsed Mowers) ^[10]

Declined

• Eddie Edwards, former police chief of South Hampton, former chief of the New Hampshire State Division of Liquor Enforcement, and nominee for New Hampshire's 1st congressional district in 2018 ^[11]

Endorsements

Matt Mayberry

State officials

• Craig Benson, former governor of New Hampshire (2003–2005) (along with 25 other people) ^[12]

Matt Mowers

Federal officials

• Kevin McCarthy, House Minority Leader and Representative for California's 23rd congressional district ^[13]
• Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States ^[14]

State officials

• Chris Sununu, Governor of New Hampshire (2017–present) ^[15]

Organizations

• Tea Party Express, conservative PAC ^[16]

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [lower-alpha 1]	Margin of error	Matt Mayberry	Matt Mowers	Other	Undecided
University of New Hampshire	August 28 – September 1, 2020	323 (LV)	–	17%	48%	0% [lower-alpha 2]	34%
Saint Anselm College	August 15–17, 2020	261 (RV)	± 6.1%	12%	23%	8% [lower-alpha 3]	57%

Primary results

Republican primary results ^[17]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Matt Mowers	41,100	59.4
	Republican	Matt Mayberry	18,479	26.7
	Republican	Kevin Rondeau	4,203	6.1
	Republican	Jeff Denaro	2,723	3.9
	Republican	Michael Callis	2,703	3.9
Total votes			69,208	100.0

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Declared

• Zachary Dumont, Newmarket town councilor ^[18]

General election

Debates

2022 New Hampshire's 1st congressional district debates

No.	Date	Host	Moderator	Link	Democratic	Republican	Libertarian
Key:  P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited  W  Withdrawn
					Chris Pappas	Matt Mowers	Zachary Dumont
1	October 7, 2020	NHPR New Hampshire PBS	Peter Biello Laura Knoy	YouTube	P	P	N
1	October 21, 2020	New Hampshire Institute of Politics WMUR		YouTube	P	P	N

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report [19]	Likely D	August 14, 2020
Inside Elections [20]	Likely D	August 7, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball [21]	Likely D	October 8, 2020
Politico [22]	Lean D	July 6, 2020
Daily Kos [23]	Likely D	October 26, 2020
RCP [24]	Lean D	June 9, 2020
Niskanen [25]	Safe D	July 26, 2020

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [lower-alpha 1]	Margin of error	Chris Pappas (D)	Matt Mowers (R)	Other	Undecided
University of New Hampshire	October 24–28, 2020	451 (LV)	± 4.6%	48%	50%	2% [lower-alpha 4]	0%
Saint Anselm College	October 23–26, 2020	560 (LV)	± 4.1%	49%	44%	2% [lower-alpha 5]	5%
University of New Hampshire	October 9–12, 2020	477 (LV)	± 4.5%	53%	43%	1% [lower-alpha 6]	3%
Saint Anselm College	October 1–4, 2020	595 (LV)	± 4%	49%	41%	3% [lower-alpha 7]	7%
University of New Hampshire	September 24–28, 2020	504 (LV)	± 4.4%	56%	38%	2% [lower-alpha 8]	4%
University of New Hampshire	August 28 – September 1, 2020	925 (LV)	–	52%	34%	2% [lower-alpha 9]	12%

Hypothetical polling

with Matt Mayberry

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [lower-alpha 1]	Margin of error	Chris Pappas (D)	Matt Mayberry (R)	Other	Undecided
University of New Hampshire	August 28 – September 1, 2020	926 (LV)	–	52%	34%	2% [lower-alpha 9]	12%

Generic Democrat vs Generic Republican

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [lower-alpha 1]	Margin of error	Generic Democrat	Generic Republican	Other	Undecided
Saint Anselm College	June 13–16, 2020	567 (RV)	± 4.1%	48%	42%	2%	8%
Saint Anselm College	April 23–27, 2020	442 (RV)	± 4.7%	49%	43%	1%	6%

Results

New Hampshire's 1st congressional district, 2020 ^[26]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Chris Pappas (incumbent)	205,606	51.3
	Republican	Matt Mowers	185,159	46.2
	Libertarian	Zachary Dumont	9,747	2.4
	N/A	Scatter	149	0.0
Total votes			400,661	100.0
	Democratic hold

District 2

2020 New Hampshire's 2nd congressional district election

←  2018 2022  →

Nominee Annie Kuster Steve Negron Party Democratic Republican Popular vote 207,863 168,491 Percentage 53.9% 43.7%

Municipality results Kuster:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%      80–90%     90–100% Negron:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%

U.S. Representative before election Annie Kuster Democratic Elected U.S. Representative Annie Kuster Democratic

See also: New Hampshire's 2nd congressional district

The 2nd district encompasses western and northern New Hampshire, and includes the cities of Nashua and Concord. The incumbent was Democrat Annie Kuster, who was re-elected with 55.3% of the vote in 2018. ^[1]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Annie Kuster, incumbent U.S. representative ^[27]

Eliminated in primary

• Joseph Mirzoeff ^[28]

Primary results

Democratic primary results ^[6]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Annie Kuster (incumbent)	71,358	92.8
	Democratic	Joseph Mirzoeff	5,500	7.2
Total votes			76,858	100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Steve Negron, former state representative and nominee for this seat in 2018

Eliminated in primary

• Matthew Bjelobrk, Haverhill town selectman ^[28]
• Lynne Blankenbeker, former state representative and candidate for this district in 2018 ^[29]
• Eli Clemmer, school media specialist ^{[30] [31]}

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [lower-alpha 1]	Margin of error	Lynn Blankenbeker	Steve Negron	Other	Undecided
University of New Hampshire	August 28 – September 1, 2020	367 (LV)	–	20%	50%	1% [lower-alpha 10]	29%
Saint Anselm College	August 15–17, 2020	216 (RV)	± 6.7%	15%	37%	4% [lower-alpha 11]	44%

Primary results

Republican primary results ^[17]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Steve Negron	30,503	48.3
	Republican	Lynne Blankenbeker	24,464	38.7
	Republican	Matthew Bjelobrk	4,381	6.9
	Republican	Eli Clemmer	3,850	6.1
Total votes			63,198	100.0

Endorsements

Annie Kuster (D)

U.S. presidents

• Barack Obama, 44th president of the United States (2009–2017), U.S. senator from Illinois (2005–2008) ^[2]

Local officials

• Pete Buttigieg, former mayor of South Bend, Indiana (2012–2020), and former candidate for 2020 Democratic presidential nomination ^[32]

Organizations

• J Street PAC ^[33]
• League of Conservation Voters Action Fund ^[34]
• Planned Parenthood Action Fund ^[35]
• Sierra Club ^[5]

Steve Negron (R)

U.S. presidents

• Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States ^[36]

Organizations

• Maggie's List ^[37]

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Declared

• Andrew Olding ^[28]

General election

Debate

2022 New Hampshire's 2nd congressional district debate

No.	Date	Host	Moderator	Link	Democratic	Republican	Libertarian
Key:  P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited  W  Withdrawn
					Annie Kuster	Steve Negron	Andrew Olding
1	October 22, 2020	New Hampshire Institute of Politics WMUR		YouTube	P	P	N

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report [19]	Safe D	August 5, 2020
Inside Elections [20]	Safe D	August 7, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball [21]	Likely D	July 23, 2020
Politico [22]	Likely D	July 6, 2020
Daily Kos [23]	Safe D	July 21, 2020
RCP [24]	Lean D	October 24, 2020
Niskanen [25]	Safe D	July 26, 2020

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [lower-alpha 1]	Margin of error	Annie Kuster (D)	Steve Negron (R)	Andrew Olding (L)	Other	Undecided
University of New Hampshire	October 24–28, 2020	451 (LV)	± 4.6%	51%	41%	7%	0% [lower-alpha 12]	1%
Saint Anselm College	October 23–26, 2020	458 (LV)	± 4.6%	54%	39%	3%	1% [lower-alpha 13]	3%
University of New Hampshire	October 9–12, 2020	410 (LV)	± 4.8%	49%	45%	2%	0% [lower-alpha 2]	3%
Saint Anselm College	October 1–4, 2020	552 (LV)	± 4.1%	52%	38%	4%	2% [lower-alpha 14]	5%
University of New Hampshire	September 24–28, 2020	463 (LV)	± 4.5%	48%	42%	5%	0% [lower-alpha 2]	5%
University of New Hampshire	August 28 – September 1, 2020	917 (LV)	–	52%	40%	2%	3% [lower-alpha 15]	4%

Hypothetical polling

with Lynne Blankenbeker

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [lower-alpha 1]	Margin of error	Annie Kuster (D)	Lynne Blankenbeker (R)	Other	Undecided
University of New Hampshire	August 28 – September 1, 2020	920 (LV)	–	52%	39%	5% [lower-alpha 16]	5%

Generic Democrat vs Generic Republican

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [lower-alpha 1]	Margin of error	Generic Democrat	Generic Republican	Other	Undecided
Saint Anselm College	Jun 13–16, 2020	505 (RV)	± 4.4%	44%	44%	3%	9%
Saint Anselm College	Apr 23–27, 2020	378 (RV)	± 5%	47%	41%	5%	7%

Results

New Hampshire's 2nd congressional district, 2020 ^[26]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Annie Kuster (incumbent)	208,289	53.9
	Republican	Steve Negron	168,886	43.7
	Libertarian	Andrew Olding	9,119	2.4
	N/A	Scatter	147	0.0
Total votes			386,441	100.0
	Democratic hold

See also

• 2020 New Hampshire elections

Notes

1. Key:
   A – all adults
   RV – registered voters
   LV – likely voters
   V – unclear
2. "Another candidate" with 0%
3. "Someone else" with 8%
4. Dumont (L) with 2%; "Other" with no voters
5. Dumont (L) and "Someone else" with 1%
6. Dumont (L) with 1%; "Another Candidate" with no voters
7. Olding (L) with 2%; "Someone else" with 1%
8. Dumont (L) with 2%; "Another Candidate" with no voters
9. Dumont (L) with 1%; "Another candidate" with 1%
10. "Another candidate" with 1%
11. "Someone else" with 4%
12. "Other" with no voters
13. "Someone else" with 1%
14. "Someone else" with 2%
15. "Another candidate" with 3%
16. "Another candidate" with 3%; Olding (L) with 2%

References

1. Wasserman, David; Flinn, Ally (November 7, 2018). "2018 House Popular Vote Tracker". Cook Political Report. Archived from the original on April 3, 2019. Retrieved February 15, 2019.
2. "Second Wave of 2020 Endorsements". Medium. September 25, 2020.
3. Sittenfeld, Tiernan (June 5, 2019). "LCV Action Fund Announces First Round of 2020 Environmental Majority Makers". League of Conservation Voters. LCV Action Fund.
4. Imse, Elliot (November 26, 2019). "Victory Fund Endorses 39 LGBTQ Candidates for 2019 and 2020" . Retrieved March 25, 2020.
5. "Sierra Club #ClimateVoter Guide: Endorsements". Sierra Club.
6. "2020 State Primary Democratic State Primary". New Hampshire Department of State. Retrieved September 16, 2020.
7. Sexton, Adam (August 26, 2020). "Republicans Mayberry, Mowers push for chance to unseat Pappas in First Congressional District". WMUR 9. Retrieved August 29, 2020.
8. Markos, Mary (August 21, 2020). "2020 Voter's Guide: How to Cast a Ballot in New England During the Pandemic". New England Cable News. Retrieved August 29, 2020.
9. DiStaso, John (December 5, 2019). "NH Primary Source: Republican Matt Mayberry says he'll run for 1st District US House seat". WMUR 9. Retrieved December 9, 2019.
10. DiStaso, John (April 9, 2020). "NH Primary Source: Fowler ends US House campaign, endorses Mowers". WMUR. WMUR9.
11. DiStaso, John (January 17, 2019). "NH Primary Source: Eddie Edwards is being urged to run again for US House". WMUR. Retrieved February 15, 2019.
12. DiStaso, John (January 6, 2020). "Republican Mayberry launches 1st Distric US House bid, rolls out 26 endorsements". www.wmur.com. WMUR-TV . Retrieved December 17, 2021.
13. DiStaso, John (June 1, 2020). "US House Republican Leader Kevin McCarthy endorses Matt Mowers in 1st Congressional District race". WMUR.
14. DiStaso, John (June 12, 2020). "Trump gives 'Complete and Total Endorsement' to former appointee Mowers in 1st US House District". WMUR.
15. Staff report (June 11, 2020). "Trump endorses Mowers in Republican primary". UnionLeader.com.
16. "Tea Party Express Endorses Matt Mowers for Congress in New Hampshire". Insider NJ. June 30, 2020.
17. "2020 State Primary Republican State Primary". New Hampshire Department of State. Retrieved September 16, 2020.
18. DiStaso, John (August 27, 2020). "Libertarian Party says it has enough certified petitions for its candidates to appear on Nov. ballot". WMUR 9. Retrieved August 29, 2020.
19. "2020 Senate Race Ratings for April 19, 2019". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 20, 2019.
20. "2020 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 3, 2019.
21. "2020 Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Archived from the original on August 22, 2019. Retrieved August 28, 2019.
22. "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
23. "Daily Kos Elections releases initial Senate race ratings for 2020". Daily Kos Elections. Retrieved February 28, 2020.
24. "Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.
25. "2020 Negative Partisanship and the 2020 Congressional Elections". Niskanen Center. April 28, 2020. Archived from the original on June 21, 2020. Retrieved May 1, 2020.
26. Gardner, William M. (November 19, 2020). "2020 General Election Results". New Hampshire Department of State. Retrieved November 22, 2020.
27. "Home - Annie Kuster for Congress". www.kusterforcongress.com.
28. Rooney, Jack (August 29, 2020). "Four Republicans seek Congressional seat in NH-2". Sentinel Source. Retrieved August 29, 2020.
29. Steinhauser, Paul (October 10, 2019). "On the trail: Blankenbeker launches 2020 congressional bid, Gabbard accuses Dems of election rigging" . Retrieved October 28, 2019.
30. "Clemmer For NH". Clemmer For NH. Archived from the original on February 22, 2020. Retrieved February 19, 2020.
31. "Berlin 1-14-20". The Berlin Sun. Retrieved February 19, 2020.^{[ permanent dead link ]}
32. Merica, Dan (May 13, 2020). "Buttigieg highlights importance of local officials in first post-campaign endorsements". CNN . Retrieved May 14, 2020.
33. "JStreetPAC Candidates". JStreetPAC. Archived from the original on May 2, 2018. Retrieved January 29, 2020.
34. Sittenfeld, Tiernan (August 13, 2020). "LCV Action Fund Endorses Annie Kuster for Re-Election". League of Conservation Voters. LCV Action Fund.
35. "2020 Endorsements". plannedparenthoodaction.org. Planned Parenthood Action Fund. Archived from the original on November 15, 2019. Retrieved January 29, 2020.
36. Donald Trump [@realDonaldTrump] (October 31, 2020). "Steve Negron (@SteveNegronNH) will be a tireless advocate in Congress for the State of New Hampshire! An Air Force Veteran, he is Strong on the Economy, our Brave Law Enforcement and your Second Amendment. Steve has my Complete and Total Endorsement! #NH02 https://t.co/9Zq8LQXZkn" (Tweet). Archived from the original on November 6, 2020. Retrieved January 29, 2021– via Twitter.
37. "2020 Candidates". Maggie's List. Retrieved February 27, 2020.

External links

• Government Documents Round Table of the American Library Association, "New Hampshire", Voting & Elections Toolkits
• "New Hampshire: Election Tools, Deadlines, Dates, Rules, and Links", Vote.org , Oakland, CA
• "League of Women Voters of New Hampshire". (State affiliate of the U.S. League of Women Voters)
• New Hampshire at Ballotpedia

Official campaign websites for 1st district candidates

• Zachary Dumont (L) for Congress Archived September 13, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
• Matt Mowers (R) for Congress
• Chris Pappas (D) for Congress

Official campaign websites for 2nd district candidates

• Annie Kuster (D) for Congress
• Steve Negron (R) for Congress