2020 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire

Last updated

2020 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire
Flag of New Hampshire.svg
  2018 November 3, 2020 2022  

All 2 New Hampshire seats to the United States House of Representatives
 Majority partyMinority party
 
Party Democratic Republican
Last election20
Seats won20
Seat changeSteady2.svgSteady2.svg
Popular vote413,469353,650
Percentage52.59%44.98%
SwingDecrease2.svg 1.94%Increase2.svg 1.36%

2020NHUSHouse.svg
New Hampshire House Results 2020 by Municipality.svg

The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire were held on November 3, 2020, to elect the two U.S. representatives from the state of New Hampshire, one from each of the state's two congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.

Contents

Overview

District Democratic Republican OthersTotalResult
Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%
District 1 205,60651.32%185,15946.21%9,8962.47%400,661100.0%Democratic hold
District 2 208,28953.91%168,88643.70%9,2662.40%386,441100.0%Democratic hold
Total413,46952.59%353,65044.98%19,1362.43%787,102100.0%
Popular vote
Democratic
52.59%
Republican
44.98%
Other
2.43%
House seats
Democratic
100.00%

District 1

2020 New Hampshire's 1st congressional district election
Flag of New Hampshire.svg
  2018
2022  
  Chris Pappas, official portrait, 116th Congress (cropped).jpg No image.svg
Nominee Chris Pappas Matt Mowers
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote205,606185,159
Percentage51.3%46.2%

2020 New Hampshire's 1st congressional district election results by town.svg
Municipality results
Pappas:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%
Mowers:     50–60%     60–70%

U.S. Representative before election

Chris Pappas
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Chris Pappas
Democratic

The 1st district is based in southeastern New Hampshire, and includes Greater Manchester, the Seacoast and the Lakes Region. The incumbent was Democrat Chris Pappas, who was elected with 53.6% of the vote in 2018. [1]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Endorsements
Chris Pappas
U.S. presidents
Organizations

Primary results

Democratic primary results [6]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Chris Pappas (incumbent) 70,643 100.0
Total votes70,643 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Michael Callis [8]
  • Jeff Denaro [8]
  • Matt Mayberry, U.S. Air Force veteran and former Dover city councilor [9]
  • Kevin Rondeau [8]
Withdrawn
Declined

Endorsements

Matt Mayberry
Federal officials
  • Jeb Bradley, former U.S. representative from this district (2003–2007) [12]
State officials
State legislators
Matt Mowers
Federal officials
State officials
Organizations

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Matt MayberryMatt MowersOtherUndecided
University of New Hampshire August 28 – September 1, 2020323 (LV)17%48%0% [lower-alpha 2] 34%
Saint Anselm College August 15–17, 2020261 (RV)± 6.1%12%23%8% [lower-alpha 3] 57%

Debate

2020 New Hampshire's 1st congressional district republican primary debate
No.DateHostModeratorLink Republican Republican
Key:
 P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited  W  Withdrawn
Matt MayberryMatt Mowers
1Sep. 2, 2020 New Hampshire Institute of Politics
WMUR
Adam Sexton YouTube PP

Primary results

Republican primary results [17]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Matt Mowers 41,100 59.4
Republican Matt Mayberry18,47926.7
Republican Kevin Rondeau4,2036.1
Republican Jeff Denaro2,7233.9
Republican Michael Callis2,7033.9
Total votes69,208 100.0

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Declared

General election

Debates

2022 New Hampshire's 1st congressional district debates
No.DateHostModeratorLink Democratic Republican Libertarian
Key:
 P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited  W  Withdrawn
Chris Pappas Matt MowersZachary Dumont
1October 7, 2020 NHPR
New Hampshire PBS
Peter Biello
Laura Knoy
YouTube PPN
1October 21, 2020 New Hampshire Institute of Politics
WMUR
YouTube PPN

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [19] Likely DAugust 14, 2020
Inside Elections [20] Likely DAugust 7, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball [21] Likely DOctober 8, 2020
Politico [22] Lean DJuly 6, 2020
Daily Kos [23] Likely DOctober 26, 2020
RCP [24] Lean DJune 9, 2020
Niskanen [25] Safe DJuly 26, 2020

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Chris
Pappas (D)
Matt
Mowers (R)
OtherUndecided
University of New Hampshire October 24–28, 2020451 (LV)± 4.6%48%50%2% [lower-alpha 4] 0%
Saint Anselm College October 23–26, 2020560 (LV)± 4.1%49%44%2% [lower-alpha 5] 5%
University of New Hampshire October 9–12, 2020477 (LV)± 4.5%53%43%1% [lower-alpha 6] 3%
Saint Anselm College October 1–4, 2020595 (LV)± 4%49%41%3% [lower-alpha 7] 7%
University of New Hampshire September 24–28, 2020504 (LV)± 4.4%56%38%2% [lower-alpha 8] 4%
University of New Hampshire August 28 – September 1, 2020925 (LV)52%34%2% [lower-alpha 9] 12%
Hypothetical polling
with Matt Mayberry
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Chris
Pappas (D)
Matt
Mayberry (R)
OtherUndecided
University of New Hampshire August 28 – September 1, 2020926 (LV)52%34%2% [lower-alpha 9] 12%
Generic Democrat vs Generic Republican
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Generic
Democrat
Generic
Republican
OtherUndecided
Saint Anselm College June 13–16, 2020567 (RV)± 4.1%48%42%2%8%
Saint Anselm College April 23–27, 2020442 (RV)± 4.7%49%43%1%6%

Results

New Hampshire's 1st congressional district, 2020 [26]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Chris Pappas (incumbent) 205,606 51.3
Republican Matt Mowers185,15946.2
Libertarian Zachary Dumont9,7472.4
N/A Scatter1490.0
Total votes400,661 100.0
Democratic hold

District 2

2020 New Hampshire's 2nd congressional district election
Flag of New Hampshire.svg
  2018
2022  
  Ann McLane Kuster official photo (cropped 2).jpg Steve Negron.png
Nominee Annie Kuster Steve Negron
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote207,863168,491
Percentage53.9%43.7%

2020 New Hampshire's 2nd congressional district election results by town.svg
Municipality results
Kuster:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%
     80–90%     90–100%
Negron:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%

U.S. Representative before election

Annie Kuster
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Annie Kuster
Democratic

The 2nd district encompasses western and northern New Hampshire, and includes the cities of Nashua and Concord. The incumbent was Democrat Annie Kuster, who was re-elected with 55.3% of the vote in 2018. [1]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Joseph Mirzoeff [28]

Primary results

Democratic primary results [6]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Annie Kuster (incumbent) 71,358 92.8
Democratic Joseph Mirzoeff5,5007.2
Total votes76,858 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Steve Negron, former state representative and nominee for this seat in 2018
Eliminated in primary

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Lynn BlankenbekerSteve NegronOtherUndecided
University of New Hampshire August 28 – September 1, 2020367 (LV)20%50%1% [lower-alpha 10] 29%
Saint Anselm College August 15–17, 2020216 (RV)± 6.7%15%37%4% [lower-alpha 11] 44%

Primary results

Republican primary results [17]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Steve Negron 30,503 48.3
Republican Lynne Blankenbeker 24,46438.7
Republican Matthew Bjelobrk4,3816.9
Republican Eli Clemmer3,8506.1
Total votes63,198 100.0

Endorsements

Annie Kuster (D)
U.S. presidents
Local officials
Organizations
Steve Negron (R)
U.S. presidents
Organizations

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Declared

General election

Debate

2022 New Hampshire's 2nd congressional district debate
No.DateHostModeratorLink Democratic Republican Libertarian
Key:
 P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited  W  Withdrawn
Annie Kuster Steve Negron Andrew Olding
1October 22, 2020 New Hampshire Institute of Politics
WMUR
YouTube PPN

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [19] Safe DAugust 5, 2020
Inside Elections [20] Safe DAugust 7, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball [21] Likely DJuly 23, 2020
Politico [22] Likely DJuly 6, 2020
Daily Kos [23] Safe DJuly 21, 2020
RCP [24] Lean DOctober 24, 2020
Niskanen [25] Safe DJuly 26, 2020

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Annie
Kuster (D)
Steve
Negron (R)
Andrew
Olding (L)
OtherUndecided
University of New Hampshire October 24–28, 2020451 (LV)± 4.6%51%41%7%0% [lower-alpha 12] 1%
Saint Anselm College October 23–26, 2020458 (LV)± 4.6%54%39%3%1% [lower-alpha 13] 3%
University of New Hampshire October 9–12, 2020410 (LV)± 4.8%49%45%2%0% [lower-alpha 2] 3%
Saint Anselm College October 1–4, 2020552 (LV)± 4.1%52%38%4%2% [lower-alpha 14] 5%
University of New Hampshire September 24–28, 2020463 (LV)± 4.5%48%42%5%0% [lower-alpha 2] 5%
University of New Hampshire August 28 – September 1, 2020917 (LV)52%40%2%3% [lower-alpha 15] 4%
Hypothetical polling
with Lynne Blankenbeker
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Annie
Kuster (D)
Lynne
Blankenbeker (R)
OtherUndecided
University of New Hampshire August 28 – September 1, 2020920 (LV)52%39%5% [lower-alpha 16] 5%
Generic Democrat vs Generic Republican
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Generic
Democrat
Generic
Republican
OtherUndecided
Saint Anselm College Jun 13–16, 2020505 (RV)± 4.4%44%44%3%9%
Saint Anselm College Apr 23–27, 2020378 (RV)± 5%47%41%5%7%

Results

New Hampshire's 2nd congressional district, 2020 [26]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Annie Kuster (incumbent) 208,289 53.9
Republican Steve Negron 168,88643.7
Libertarian Andrew Olding9,1192.4
N/A Scatter1470.0
Total votes386,441 100.0
Democratic hold

See also

Notes

  1. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. 1 2 3 "Another candidate" with 0%
  3. "Someone else" with 8%
  4. Dumont (L) with 2%; "Other" with no voters
  5. Dumont (L) and "Someone else" with 1%
  6. Dumont (L) with 1%; "Another Candidate" with no voters
  7. Olding (L) with 2%; "Someone else" with 1%
  8. Dumont (L) with 2%; "Another Candidate" with no voters
  9. 1 2 Dumont (L) with 1%; "Another candidate" with 1%
  10. "Another candidate" with 1%
  11. "Someone else" with 4%
  12. "Other" with no voters
  13. "Someone else" with 1%
  14. "Someone else" with 2%
  15. "Another candidate" with 3%
  16. "Another candidate" with 3%; Olding (L) with 2%

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Official campaign websites for 1st district candidates
Official campaign websites for 2nd district candidates