2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa

Last updated

2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa
Flag of Iowa.svg
←  2018 November 3, 2020 2022  →
All 4 Iowa seats to the United States House of Representatives
 Majority partyMinority party
 
Party Republican Democratic
Last election13
Seats won31
Seat changeIncrease2.svg 2Decrease2.svg 2
Popular vote859,418762,271
Percentage52.42%46.5%
SwingIncrease2.svg 5.88%Decrease2.svg 4.02%
2020IAUSHouse Holds and Gains.svg
2020IAUSHouse.svg
2020 United States House of Representatives Elections in Iowa by county.svg
     Democratic hold
     Republican hold     Republican gain

The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa was held on November 3, 2020, to elect the four U.S. representatives from the state of Iowa, one from each of the state's four congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.

Contents

Overview

PartyCandi-
dates		VotesSeats
No. %No.+/– %
Republican Party 4859,41852.42%3Increase2.svg 275.00%
Democratic Party 4762,27146.5%1Decrease2.svg 225.00%
Libertarian Party 115,3610.94%0Steady2.svg0.00%
Write-in 2,4130.15%0Steady2.svg0.00%
Total91,639,463100.0%4Steady2.svg100.00%
Popular vote
Republican
 
52.42%
Democratic
 
46.5%
Other
 
1.09%
House seats
Republican
 
75.00%
Democratic
 
25.00%

By district

District Republican Democratic OthersTotalResult
Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%
District 1 212,08851.25%201,34748.65%4340.10%413,869100%Republican gain
District 2 196,96449.912% 196,95849.910%7030.178%394,625100%Republican gain
District 3 212,99747.55%219,20548.94%15,7453.51%447,947100%Democratic hold
District 4 237,36961.97%144,76137.80%8920.23%383,022100%Republican hold
Total859,41852.42%762,27146.50%17,774 1.08%1,639,463100%

District 1

2020 Iowa's 1st congressional district election
Flag of Iowa.svg
←  2018
2022  →
  Ashley Hinson.jpg Abby Finkenauer, official portrait, 116th Congress (cropped).jpg
Nominee Ashley Hinson Abby Finkenauer
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote212,088201,347
Percentage51.2%48.7%
2020IA01.svg
County results
Hinson:     50–60%     60–70%
Finkenauer:     50–60%
U.S. Representatives before election

Abby Finkenauer
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representatives

Ashley Hinson
Republican

The 1st district is based in northeastern Iowa, and includes the cities of Dubuque, Cedar Rapids and Waterloo. The incumbent was Democrat Abby Finkenauer, who flipped the district and was elected with 51.0% of the vote in 2018. [1]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Endorsements

Abby Finkenauer

Former US Executive Branch officials

  • Barack Obama, former president of the United States (2009–2017), former Senator from Illinois (2005–2008) [3]

Federal officials

Organizations

Results

2020 Iowa's 1st congressional district Democratic primary results by county: Map legend Finkenauer--100% Finkenauer-->=90% 2020IA01Dprimary.svg
2020 Iowa's 1st congressional district Democratic primary results by county:
Map legend
  •   Finkenauer—100%
  •   Finkenauer—≥90%
Democratic primary results [12]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Abby Finkenauer (incumbent) 72,474 99.3
Write-in 4820.7
Total votes72,956 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Defeated in primary
  • Thomas Hansen, farmer and businessman [14]
Declined

Endorsements

Results

2020 Iowa's 1st congressional district Republican primary results by county: Map legend Hinson--80-90% Hinson--70-80% Hinson--60-70% Hinson--50-60% 2020IA01GOPprimary.svg
2020 Iowa's 1st congressional district Republican primary results by county:
Map legend
  •   Hinson—80–90%
  •   Hinson—70–80%
  •   Hinson—60–70%
  •   Hinson—50–60%
Republican primary results [12]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Ashley Hinson 38,552 77.8
Republican Thomas Hansen10,84521.9
Write-in 1520.3
Total votes49,549 100.0

General election

Debate

2020 Iowa's 1st congressional district debate
No.DateHostModeratorLink Democratic Republican
Key:
 P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited  W  Withdrawn
Abby Finkenauer Ashley Hinson
1Sep. 7, 2020 Iowa PBS [19] PP

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [20] TossupNovember 2, 2020
Inside Elections [21] Lean DOctober 28, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball [22] Lean DNovember 2, 2020
Politico [23] TossupSeptember 8, 2020
Daily Kos [24] Lean DOctober 15, 2020
RCP [25] TossupOctober 13, 2020
Niskanen [26] Lean DJuly 26, 2020
The Economist [27] Likely DOctober 2, 2020

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 1] 		Margin
of error		Abby
Finkenauer (D)		Ashley
Hinson (R)		Other/
Undecided
Monmouth University [28] October 15–20, 2020352 (RV)± 5.2%52%44%4% [lower-alpha 2]
352 (LV) [lower-alpha 3] 54%44%–
352 (LV) [lower-alpha 4] 56%42%–
Basswood Research (R) [29] [upper-alpha 1] September 26–28, 2020400 (LV)± 4.9%45%45%10% [lower-alpha 5]
Monmouth University [30] July 25 – August 3, 2020391 (RV)± 5%51%41%9% [lower-alpha 6]
391 (LV) [lower-alpha 3] 52%41%8% [lower-alpha 7]
391 (LV) [lower-alpha 4] 52%40%8% [lower-alpha 7]
Public Opinion Strategies (R) [31] [upper-alpha 2] March 3–5, 2020400 (LV)± 4.0%45%44%–
Harper Polling (R) [32] [upper-alpha 3] January 11–12, 2020400 (LV)± 4.0%44% [lower-alpha 8] 40%15%
40% [lower-alpha 9] 48%–
Hypothetical polling

Generic Democrat vs Generic Republican

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 1] 		Margin
of error		Generic
Democrat		Generic
Republican		OtherUndecided
Selzer & Co./Des Moines Register [33] October 26–29, 2020– (LV) [lower-alpha 10] ± 7.1%36%51%9% [lower-alpha 11] 5% [lower-alpha 12]
Selzer and Co./Des Moines Register [34] September 14–17, 2020– (LV) [lower-alpha 13] ± 7.8%47%41%––
Selzer and Co./Des Moines Register [35] June 7–10, 2020– (LV) [lower-alpha 14] <= ± 7.7%48%42%––
Public Opinion Strategies (R) [36] [upper-alpha 2] March 3–5, 2020400 (LV)± 4%37%44%––
Selzer and Co./Des Moines Register [37] March 2–5, 2020– (LV) [lower-alpha 15] –46%49%––
Harper Polling (R) [32] [upper-alpha 3] January 11–12, 2020400 (LV)± 4%43% [lower-alpha 8] 44%––

Results

Iowa's 1st congressional district, 2020 [38]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Ashley Hinson 212,088 51.2
Democratic Abby Finkenauer (incumbent)201,34748.7
Write-in 4340.1
Total votes413,869 100.0
Republican gain from Democratic

District 2

2020 Iowa's 2nd congressional district election
Flag of Iowa.svg
←  2018  () 2022  →
  Iowa State Senator, Mariannette Miller-Meeks (cropped).jpg Rita Hart (cropped).jpeg
Nominee Mariannette Miller-Meeks Rita Hart
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote196,964196,958
Percentage49.91%49.91%
2020IA02.svg
County results
Miller-Meeks:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%
Hart:     50–60%     60–70%
U.S. Representative before election

Dave Loebsack
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Mariannette Miller-Meeks
Republican

The 2nd district encompasses southeastern Iowa, and is home to the cities of Davenport, Iowa City, Muscatine, Clinton, Burlington, Ottumwa, Fort Madison, Oskaloosa, Bettendorf, Newton and Pella. The incumbent was Democrat Dave Loebsack, who was re-elected with 54.8% of the vote in 2018. [1] On April 12, 2019, he announced that he would not seek re-election. [39]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Rita Hart, former state senator and nominee for Lieutenant Governor of Iowa in 2018 [40]
Withdrawn
  • Newman Abuissa, engineer [41]
Declined

Endorsements

Rita Hart

Former US Executive Branch officials

  • Barack Obama, former president of the United States (2009–2017, former Senator from Illinois (2005–2008) [3]

Federal politicians

Statewide politicians

State Senators

State representatives

Local politicians

Party officials

Organizations

Results

2020 Iowa's 2nd congressional district Democratic primary results by county: Map legend Hart--100% Hart-->=90% 2020IA02Dprimary.svg
2020 Iowa's 2nd congressional district Democratic primary results by county:
Map legend
  •   Hart—100%
  •   Hart—≥90%
Democratic primary results [12]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Rita Hart 67,039 99.6
Write-in 2710.4
Total votes67,310 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Defeated in primary
Withdrawn
Declined

Endorsements

Mariannette Miller-Meeks

Federal officials

Statewide politicians

Organizations

Bobby Schilling

Federal politicians

Results

2020 Iowa's 2nd congressional district Republican primary results by county: Map legend Miller-Meeks--70-80% Miller-Meeks--60-70% Miller-Meeks--50-60% Miller-Meeks--40-50% Miller-Meeks--30-40% Schilling--40-50% Schilling--50-60% 2020IA02GOPprimary.svg
2020 Iowa's 2nd congressional district Republican primary results by county:
Map legend
  •   Miller-Meeks—70–80%
  •   Miller-Meeks—60–70%
  •   Miller-Meeks—50–60%
  •   Miller-Meeks—40–50%
  •   Miller-Meeks—30–40%
  •   Schilling—40–50%
  •   Schilling—50–60%
Republican primary results [12]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Mariannette Miller-Meeks 23,052 47.6
Republican Bobby Schilling 17,58236.3
Republican Steven Everly2,8065.8
Republican Rick Phillips2,4445.1
Republican Tim Borchardt2,3704.9
Write-in 1610.3
Total votes48,415 100.0

General election

Debate

2020 Iowa's 2nd congressional district debate
No.DateHostModeratorLink Democratic Republican
Key:
 P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited  W  Withdrawn
Rita Hart Mariannette Miller-Meeks
1Oct. 8, 2020 The Gazette
KCRG-TV
KYOU-TV 		Chris Earl
James Lynch		 [80] PP

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [20] TossupNovember 2, 2020
Inside Elections [21] Lean DOctober 28, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball [22] Lean DNovember 2, 2020
Politico [23] TossupSeptember 8, 2020
Daily Kos [24] Lean DSeptember 25, 2020
RCP [25] TossupOctober 13, 2020
Niskanen [26] Likely DJuly 26, 2020
The Economist [27] Likely DOctober 2, 2020

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 1] 		Margin
of error		Rita
Hart (D)		Mariannette
Miller-Meeks (R)		Other/
Undecided
Monmouth University [28] October 15–20, 2020355 (RV)± 5.2%49%43%8% [lower-alpha 16]
355 (LV) [lower-alpha 3] 51%42%–
355 (LV) [lower-alpha 4] 54%41%–
Monmouth University [30] July 25 – August 3, 2020374 (RV)± 5.1%47%44%9% [lower-alpha 6]
374 (LV) [lower-alpha 3] 44%48%8% [lower-alpha 7]
374 (LV) [lower-alpha 4] 45%48%7% [lower-alpha 17]
Harper Polling (R) [81] [upper-alpha 4] July 26–28, 2020406 (LV)± 4.9%41%41%16%
Hypothetical polling

with Generic Democrat and Generic Republican

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 1] 		Margin
of error		Generic
Democrat		Generic
Republican		OtherUndecided
Selzer & Co./Des Moines Register [33] October 26–29, 2020– (LV) [lower-alpha 10] ± 6.9%40%41%11% [lower-alpha 18] 8% [lower-alpha 12]
Selzer and Co./Des Moines Register [34] September 14–17, 2020– (LV) [lower-alpha 19] ± 8.7%50%46%––
Selzer and Co./Des Moines Register [35] June 7–10, 2020– (LV) [lower-alpha 20] <= ± 7.7%53%35%––
Selzer and Co./Des Moines Register [37] March 2–5, 2020– (LV) [lower-alpha 21] –41%49%––

Results

Iowa's 2nd congressional district, 2020 [38]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Mariannette Miller-Meeks 196,964 49.912
Democratic Rita Hart 196,95849.910
Write-in 7030.178
Total votes394,625 100.0
Republican gain from Democratic

Republican Mariannette Miller-Meeks was state-certified as the winner over Democrat Rita Hart on November 30 by an extremely narrow margin of 6 votes. [82] On December 2, Hart announced that she would contest the election with the House Administration Committee under the 1969 Federal Contested Elections Act. [83] On December 30, House Speaker Nancy Pelosi announced Miller-Meeks would be seated provisionally on January 3, 2021, with the rest of the incoming new Congress members. [84] Republicans sharply criticized Pelosi's decision to review the race in the House Administration Committee, calling it an attempt to steal the election. It was also criticized by moderate Democrats, who argued it was hypocritical to overturn a certified state election after criticizing attempts to overturn the results of the 2020 presidential election. [85] Hart withdrew her challenge on March 31, 2021. [86] This was the closest House race in 2020 and one of the closest House races in a century.

District 3

2020 Iowa's 3rd congressional district election
Flag of Iowa.svg
←  2018
2022  →
  Cindy Axne, official portrait, 116th Congress (cropped).jpg David Young official congressional photo (cropped).jpg
Nominee Cindy Axne David Young
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote219,205212,997
Percentage48.9%47.6%
2020IA03.svg
County results
Axne:     50–60%
Young:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%
U.S. Representative before election

Cindy Axne
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Cindy Axne
Democratic

The 3rd district encompasses southwestern Iowa, stretching from Des Moines to the state's borders with Nebraska and Missouri. The incumbent was Democrat Cindy Axne, who flipped the district and was elected with 49.3% of the vote in 2018. [1]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Results

2020 Iowa's 3rd congressional district Democratic primary results by county: Map legend Axne--100% Axne-->=90% 2020IA-03Dprimary.svg
2020 Iowa's 3rd congressional district Democratic primary results by county:
Map legend
  •   Axne—100%
  •   Axne—≥90%
Democratic primary results [12]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Cindy Axne (incumbent) 76,681 99.2
Write-in 6230.8
Total votes77,304 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Defeated in primary
  • Bill Schafer, U.S. Army veteran [88]
Declined

Results

2020 Iowa's 3rd congressional district Republican primary results by county: Map legend Young--70-80% Young--60-70% Young--50-60% 2020IA03GOPprimary.svg
2020 Iowa's 3rd congressional district Republican primary results by county:
Map legend
  •   Young—70–80%
  •   Young—60–70%
  •   Young—50–60%
Republican primary results [12]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican David Young 39,103 69.5
Republican Bill Schafer16,90430.1
Write-in 2270.4
Total votes56,234 100.0

Third parties

Candidates

  • Bryan Jack Holder (Libertarian) [92]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [20] Lean DNovember 2, 2020
Inside Elections [21] Lean DOctober 28, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball [22] Lean DNovember 2, 2020
Politico [23] Lean DNovember 2, 2020
Daily Kos [24] Lean DOctober 15, 2020
RCP [25] TossupOctober 13, 2020
Niskanen [26] Lean DJuly 26, 2020
The Economist [27] Lean DOctober 2, 2020

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 1] 		Margin
of error		Cindy
Axne (D)		David
Young (R)		Bryan
Holder (L)		Other/
Undecided
Monmouth University [28] October 15–20, 2020426 (RV)± 4.8%52%43%–2% [lower-alpha 22]
426 (LV) [lower-alpha 3] 53%42%––
426 (LV) [lower-alpha 4] 55%41%––
Monmouth University [30] July 25 – August 3, 2020507 (RV)± 4.4%48%42%2%8% [lower-alpha 16]
507 (LV) [lower-alpha 3] 50%42%–8% [lower-alpha 23]
507 (LV) [lower-alpha 4] 52%41%–7% [lower-alpha 24]
The Tarrance Group (R) [93] [upper-alpha 2] July 7–9, 2020400 (LV)± 4.9%43%44%6%7% [lower-alpha 25]
The Tarrance Group (R) [94] [upper-alpha 2] March 10–12, 2020400 (LV)± 4.9%48%48%–5% [lower-alpha 26]
Hypothetical polling

with Generic Democrat and Generic Republican

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 1] 		Margin
of error		Generic
Democrat		Generic
Republican		OtherUndecided
Selzer & Co./Des Moines Register [33] October 26–29, 2020– (LV) [lower-alpha 10] ± 6.6%45%39%8% [lower-alpha 27] 9% [lower-alpha 12]
Selzer and Co./Des Moines Register [34] September 14–17, 2020– (LV) [lower-alpha 28] ± 7.7%48%42%––
Selzer and Co./Des Moines Register [35] June 7–10, 2020– (LV) [lower-alpha 29] <= ± 7.7%52%36%––
Selzer and Co./Des Moines Register [37] March 2–5, 2020– (LV) [lower-alpha 30] –42%43%––

Results

Iowa's 3rd congressional district, 2020 [38]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Cindy Axne (incumbent) 219,205 48.9
Republican David Young 212,99747.6
Libertarian Bryan Jack Holder15,3613.4
Write-in 3840.1
Total votes447,947 100.0
Democratic hold

District 4

2020 Iowa's 4th congressional district election
Flag of Iowa.svg
←  2018
2022  →
  Randy Feenstra, official portrait, 117th Congress (cropped).jpg J. D. Scholten (2019).jpg
Nominee Randy Feenstra J. D. Scholten
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote237,369144,761
Percentage62.0%37.8%
2020IA04.svg
County results
Feenstra:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
Scholten:     50–60%
U.S. Representative before election

Steve King
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Randy Feenstra
Republican

The 4th district is based in northwestern Iowa, including Sioux City, Ames, Mason City, Fort Dodge, Boone and Carroll. The incumbent was Republican Steve King, who had been re-elected with 50.3% of the vote in 2018. [1]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Defeated in primary
Declined

Endorsements

Randy Feenstra

State senators

State representatives

Individuals

Organizations

Newspapers

Steve King

State representatives

Individuals

  • Sam Clovis, national co-chair of Donald Trump's 2016 presidential campaign, candidate for State Treasurer of Iowa in 2014 [114]

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 1] 		Margin
of error		Steve
King		Randy
Feenstra		Steve
Reeder		Jeremy
Taylor		OtherUndecided
Public Opinion Strategies (R) [115] [upper-alpha 5] May 16–18, 2020400 (V)± 4.9%39%41%1%4%3% [upper-alpha 6] –
41% [lower-alpha 31] 48%––––
American Viewpoint [116] [upper-alpha 7] May 7–8, 2020350 (LV)± 5.2%39%36%––9% [lower-alpha 32] 10%
American Viewpoint [117] [upper-alpha 7] April 27–29, 2020400 (LV)± 4.9%41%34%––8% [lower-alpha 33] 15%
American Viewpoint [117] [upper-alpha 7] January 27–29, 2020– (V) [lower-alpha 10] –53%22%–––– [lower-alpha 10]
G1 Survey Research [118] October 1–3, 2019400 (LV)± 4.89%59%15%6%0%2% [lower-alpha 34] 17%
64% [lower-alpha 35] 24%–––12% [lower-alpha 36]
64% [lower-alpha 35] ––19%–17% [lower-alpha 37]

Results

2020 Iowa's 4th congressional district Republican primary results by county: Map legend Feenstra--80-90% Feenstra--60-70% Feenstra--50-60% Feenstra--40-50% Feenstra--30-40% King--30-40% King--40-50% King--50-60% 2020IA04GOP.svg
2020 Iowa's 4th congressional district Republican primary results by county:
Map legend
  •   Feenstra—80–90%
  •   Feenstra—60–70%
  •   Feenstra—50–60%
  •   Feenstra—40–50%
  •   Feenstra—30–40%
  •   King—30–40%
  •   King—40–50%
  •   King—50–60%
Republican primary results [12]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Randy Feenstra 37,329 45.5
Republican Steve King (incumbent)29,36635.9
Republican Jeremy Taylor 6,4187.8
Republican Bret Richards6,1407.5
Republican Steve Reeder2,5283.1
Write-in 1760.2
Total votes81,957 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Endorsements

J.D. Scholten

Organizations

Results

2020 Iowa's 4th congressional district Democratic primary results by county: Map legend Scholten--100% Scholten-->=90% 2020IA04Democratic.svg
2020 Iowa's 4th congressional district Democratic primary results by county:
Map legend
  •   Scholten—100%
  •   Scholten—≥90%
Democratic primary results [12]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic J. D. Scholten 46,370 99.6
Write-in 1660.4
Total votes46,536 100.0

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [20] Safe RNovember 2, 2020
Inside Elections [21] Safe ROctober 16, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball [22] Safe ROctober 15, 2020
Politico [120] Likely RNovember 2, 2020
Daily Kos [24] Safe ROctober 15, 2020
RCP [25] Lean ROctober 13, 2020
Niskanen [26] Likely RJuly 26, 2020
The Economist [27] Likely ROctober 2, 2020

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 1] 		Margin
of error		Randy
Feenstra (R)		J.D.
Scholten (D)		Other/
Undecided
Monmouth University [28] October 15–20, 2020414 (RV)± 4.8%48%42%10% [lower-alpha 38]
414 (LV) [lower-alpha 3] 48%43%–
414 (LV) [lower-alpha 4] 47%44%–
Change Research (D) [121] [upper-alpha 8] October 13–15, 2020603 (LV)± 4%50%45%–
American Viewpoint (R) [122] [upper-alpha 7] October 6–8, 2020400 (LV)± 5.0%54%31%11% [lower-alpha 39]
Monmouth University [30] July 25 – August 3, 2020374 (RV)± 5.1%54%34%12% [lower-alpha 40]
374 (LV) [lower-alpha 3] 55%34%10% [lower-alpha 41]
374 (LV) [lower-alpha 4] 56%33%10% [lower-alpha 41]
Hypothetical polling

with Steve King and J.D. Scholten

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 1] 		Margin
of error		Steve
King (R)		J.D.
Scholten (D)		Undecided
20 Insight (D) [123] [upper-alpha 9] January 16–17, 2019472 (LV)± 4.5%39%44%17%

with Steve King and Generic Democrat

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 1] 		Margin
of error		Steve
King (R)		Generic
Democrat		Undecided
20/20 Insight (D) [123] [upper-alpha 9] January 16–17, 2019472 (LV)± 4.5%37%45%18%

with Generic Republican and Generic Democrat

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 1] 		Margin
of error		Generic
Republican		Generic
Democrat		OtherUndecided
Selzer & Co./Des Moines Register [33] October 26–29, 2020– (LV) [lower-alpha 10] ± 6.9%50%33%10% [lower-alpha 42] 8% [lower-alpha 12]
Selzer and Co./Des Moines Register [34] September 14–17, 2020– (LV) [lower-alpha 43] ± 7.5%49%44%––
Selzer and Co./Des Moines Register [35] June 7–10, 2020– (LV) [lower-alpha 44] <= ± 7.7%57%35%––
Selzer and Co./Des Moines Register [37] March 2–5, 2020– (LV) [lower-alpha 45] –51%40%––

Results

Iowa's 4th congressional district, 2020 [38]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Randy Feenstra 237,369 62.0
Democratic J. D. Scholten 144,76137.8
Write-in 8920.2
Total votes383,022 100.0
Republican hold

See also

Notes

  1. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ↑ "No one" with 1%; Undecided with 3%
  3. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 With a likely voter turnout model featuring higher turnout than in the 2016 presidential election
  4. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 With a likely voter turnout model featuring lower turnout than in the 2016 presidential election
  5. ↑ Undecided with 10%
  6. 1 2 "Other/none" with 1%; Undecided with 8%
  7. 1 2 3 "Other/none" with 1%; Undecided with 7%
  8. 1 2 Standard VI response
  9. ↑ Response after pollster addresses respondents with message testing
  10. 1 2 3 4 5 6 Not yet released
  11. ↑ "Refused" with 5%; "Someone else" with 3%; would not vote with 1%
  12. 1 2 3 4 Includes "Do not remember"
  13. ↑ Not yet released; IA-01 subsample of statewide sample of 658
  14. ↑ Not yet released; IA-01 subsample of statewide sample of 674
  15. ↑ Not yet released; IA-01 subsample of statewide sample of 667
  16. 1 2 "Other" and "No one" with 1%; Undecided with 6%
  17. ↑ "Other/none" with 1%; Undecided with 6%
  18. ↑ "Refused" with 5%; "Someone else" with 4%; would not vote with 2%
  19. ↑ Not yet released; IA-02 subsample of statewide sample of 658
  20. ↑ Not yet released; IA-02 subsample of statewide sample of 674
  21. ↑ Not yet released; IA-02 subsample of statewide sample of 667
  22. ↑ "Other" with 0%; Undecided with 2%
  23. ↑ "Holder (L)/Other" with 3%; Undecided with 5%
  24. ↑ "Holder (L)/Other" with 2%; Undecided with 5%
  25. ↑ Undecided with 7%
  26. ↑ Undecided with 5%
  27. ↑ "Refused" with 4%; "Someone else" with 3%; would not vote with 1%
  28. ↑ Not yet released; IA-03 subsample of statewide sample of 658
  29. ↑ Not yet released; IA-03 subsample of statewide sample of 674
  30. ↑ Not yet released; IA-03 subsample of statewide sample of 667
  31. ↑ If only King and Feenstra were candidates
  32. ↑ "Another candidate" with 9%
  33. ↑ "Another candidate" with 8%
  34. ↑ Bret Richards with 2%
  35. 1 2 If respondents had to choose between the two candidates for which percentages are listed
  36. ↑ "Undecided/don't know/refused" with 12%
  37. ↑ "Undecided/don't know/refused" with 17%
  38. ↑ "Other" and "No one" with 2%; Undecided with 6%
  39. ↑ Undecided with 11%
  40. ↑ "Other/none" with 4%; Undecided with 8%
  41. 1 2 "Other/none" with 3%; Undecided with 7%
  42. ↑ "Refused" with 4%; "Someone else" and would not vote with 3%
  43. ↑ Not yet released; IA-04 subsample of statewide sample of 658
  44. ↑ Not yet released; IA-04 subsample of statewide sample of 674
  45. ↑ Not yet released; IA-04 subsample of statewide sample of 667

Partisan clients

  1. ↑ This poll's sponsor, the Congressional Leadership Fund, had endorsed Hinson prior to the poll's sampling period.
  2. 1 2 3 4 This poll was sponsored by the NRCC
  3. 1 2 The Future Leaders Fund is a pro-Republican PAC
  4. ↑ Poll conducted for the Congressional Leadership Fund.
  5. ↑ American Future Fund is a PAC supporting Randy Feenstra
  6. ↑ Richards with 3%
  7. 1 2 3 4 Poll sponsored by Feenstra's campaign
  8. ↑ Poll sponsored by Scholten's campaign.
  9. 1 2 Poll sponsored by Majority Rules PAC

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  121. ↑ Change Research (D)
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  123. 1 2 20/20 Insight (D)

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