2024 Iowa Republican presidential caucuses

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2024 Iowa Republican presidential caucuses
Flag of Iowa.svg
←  2020 January 15, 20242028 →
NH  →
40 Republican National Convention delegates
Turnout15% of registered Republicans in Iowa [1]
  Donald Trump official portrait (3x4a).jpg Ron DeSantis (53299142646) (cropped).jpg
Candidate Donald Trump Ron DeSantis
Home state Florida Florida
Delegate count209
Popular vote56,24323,491
Percentage51.00%21.30%
  Nikki Haley (53299447738) (cropped).jpg Vivek Ramaswamy by Gage Skidmore (cropped).jpg
Candidate Nikki Haley Vivek Ramaswamy
Home state South Carolina Ohio
Delegate count83
Popular vote21,0278,430
Percentage19.07%7.64%
2024 Iowa Republican presidential caucuses.svg
2024 Iowa Republican Presidential Caucuses election by congressional district.svg

The 2024 Iowa Republican presidential caucuses were held on January 15, 2024, [2] as part of the Republican Party primaries for the 2024 presidential election. 40 delegates to the 2024 Republican National Convention will be allocated on a proportional basis. [3] As in past primary cycles, the Iowa caucuses were the first-in-the-nation Republican presidential nominating contest.

The results were a landslide victory for Donald Trump, with his 30-point margin being the largest margin of victory ever for a non-incumbent in the Iowa Republican caucuses. [4] Trump won 20 delegates, Ron DeSantis won nine, Nikki Haley won eight, and Vivek Ramaswamy won three. [5] Trump also became the first Republican ever to win a contested Iowa caucus with a majority of the vote, and third person of either major political party to do so (the others being Tom Harkin in 1992, and Al Gore in 2000). Analysts described the results as establishing him as the Republican Party's presumptive nominee, with both DeSantis's and Haley's campaigns seen as heavily damaged. [6] [7] [8]

Trump also won 98 out of Iowa's 99 counties, losing Johnson County to Haley by a single vote. [9] Ramaswamy announced the suspension of his campaign the night of the caucus, endorsing Trump, but retained his three delegates. Asa Hutchinson, who finished with less than 1% of the vote, dropped out the following day and endorsed Haley. DeSantis dropped out the following weekend and endorsed Trump. [10]

Background and electorate

History of the Iowa caucus

Beginning in 1972, the Iowa caucuses have been characterized as the first major electoral test for Republican presidential contenders. [11] Despite its strategic importance, between 1976 and 2016, only three out of eight winners of the Iowa caucuses went on to receive the Republican presidential nomination. [12]

Republican electorate

It has been argued that the Iowa Republican caucuses effectively serve as "referendums on who is the most socially conservative candidate" in the Republican field. [12]

Commentators have noted in the 2010s the decisive role of Evangelical Christian caucusgoers in past contests. The victory of social conservatives George W. Bush, [13] Mike Huckabee, [14] Rick Santorum, [15] and Ted Cruz in the 2000, 2008, 2012, and 2016 Iowa caucuses, respectively, was credited to their strong support among evangelical voters. [16] [17]

In 2016, it was noted by The Des Moines Register that almost half of likely Republican caucusgoers self-identify as evangelical or born-again Christians. [18] In the 2016 Iowa Republican caucus, Senator Ted Cruz of Texas defeated eventual nominee Donald Trump by a 27.6% to 24.3% margin in what was considered an upset victory.

Procedure

Delegates are proportionally allocated to candidates based on the statewide vote. Unlike most states, there is no minimum threshold for a candidate to be eligible for delegates. [19]

Campaign developments

In February 2023, the Trump campaign announced its Iowa campaign staff, with state representative Bobby Kaufmann and consultant Eric Branstad, the son of former Governor Terry Branstad, serving as senior advisors. [20] In March 2023, Trump's campaign announced that it would hold an "America First Education Policy" event in Davenport on March 13, marking his first official campaign appearance in the state. [21] [22]

Nikki Haley had held 22 events in Iowa by May 19, 2023. [23] Her campaign made ad buys of $10 million in Iowa and New Hampshire beginning in December 2023. [24] On December 8, Haley addressed a convention center conference where she stated her campaign had momentum and needed "to have a good showing in Iowa. I don’t think that means we have to win, necessarily, but I think that we have to have a good showing." [25]

Governor of Florida Ron DeSantis held a pair of events in the state on March 10 and was accompanied by Governor Kim Reynolds. [26] Reynolds remained neutral between Trump and DeSantis, which caused Trump to post on Truth Social accusing her of stealing the race from him and that like DeSantis, she would not have been elected without Trump's help. [27] Reynolds broke her neutrality in November 2023 and endorsed DeSantis. [28] Between October and December, DeSantis toured all 99 Iowan counties. [29] In December, DeSantis' wife, Casey DeSantis, was widely criticized for calling on Republicans from other states to participate in the Iowa caucuses. [30]

Asa Hutchinson focused most of his energy campaigning in the state, hoping to perform well and use that success as a springboard for the rest of his campaign. [31] [32]

Endorsements

Ron DeSantis

Governors

State senators

State representatives

Notable individuals

Nikki Haley

Former executive branch officials

State senators

State representatives

Mayors

Notable individuals

Asa Hutchinson

Newspapers

Vivek Ramaswamy

Former U.S. Representatives

State executive officials

State senators

Donald Trump

Former Executive Branch officials

Former U.S. Representatives

State Executive officials

State senators

State representatives

Notable individuals

Declined to endorse

U.S. Senators

U.S. Representatives

Newspapers

2024 United States presidential election Republican primary Iowa Senate endorsements.svg
Endorsements by incumbent Republicans in the Iowa Senate.
  Endorsed Ron DeSantis (13)
  Endorsed Donald Trump (8)
  Endorsed Nikki Haley (1)
  Endorsed Vivek Ramaswamy (1)
  No endorsement (11)
2024 United States presidential election Republican primary Iowa House endorsements.svg
Endorsements by incumbent Republicans in the Iowa House of Representatives.
  Endorsed Ron DeSantis (27)
  Endorsed Donald Trump (15)
  Endorsed Nikki Haley (7)
  Endorsed Vivek Ramaswamy (1)
  No endorsement (14)

Polling

Local regression graph of all polls conducted since November 2022. Opinion polling for the 2024 Iowa Republican presidential caucuses.svg
Local regression graph of all polls conducted since November 2022.

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation		Dates
administered		Dates
updated		Ron
DeSantis		Nikki
Haley		Asa
Hutchinson		Vivek
Ramaswamy		Donald
Trump		Other/
Undecided [lower-alpha 1] 		Margin
270toWin [72] January 11–15, 2024January 15, 202415.7%18.5%0.8%6.8%52.5%5.7% [lower-alpha 2] Trump +34.0
FiveThirtyEight [73] Through January 14, 2024January 15, 202415.8%18.7%0.7%6.4%52.7%5.7%Trump +34.0
RealClearPolling [74] January 5–14, 2024January 15, 202415.7%18.8%0.8%6.8%52.5%5.4%Trump +33.7
Average15.7%18.7%0.7%6.7%52.6%5.6%Trump +33.9
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 3] 		Margin
of error		Doug
Burgum		Chris
Christie		Ron
DeSantis		Larry
Elder		Nikki
Haley		Asa
Hutchinson		Mike
Pence		Vivek
Ramaswamy		Tim
Scott		Donald
Trump		OtherUndecided
Trafalgar Group [75] Jan 12–14, 20241,092 (LV)± 2.9%––19.3%–18.5%0.7%–6.5%–52.1%–2.9%
Selzer & Co. [76] [upper-alpha 1] Jan 7–12, 2024705 (LV)± 3.7%––16%–20%1%–8%–48%3% [lower-alpha 4] 5%
Insider Advantage [77] January 11, 2024850 (LV)± 4.3%––17%–17%0%–7%–51%–8%
Suffolk University [78] Jan 6–10, 2024500 (LV)± 4.4%––13%–20%0%–6%–54%––
Civiqs [79] Jan 5–10, 2024433 (LV)± 6.4%–4%14%–14%0%–8%–55%2%3%
InsiderAdvantage [80] Dec 18–19, 2023850 (LV)± 4.36%–4%15%–17%0%–8%–50%–6%
Fox Business [81] Dec 14–18, 2023804 (LV)± 3.5%–3%18%–16%0%–7%–52%1%2%
Emerson College [82] Dec 15–17, 2023420 (LV)± 4.7%–4%15%–17%0%–8%–50%–6%
Iowa State University/Civiqs [83] Dec 8–13, 2023438 (LV)± 6.0%–4%17%–15%1%–7%–54%0% [lower-alpha 5] 2%
Selzer & Co. [84] [upper-alpha 1] Dec 2–7, 2023502 (LV)± 4.4%–4%19%–16%1%–5%–51%2% [lower-alpha 6] 3%
Trafalgar Group [85] Dec 1–4, 20231,091 (LV)± 2.9%2%4%22%–19%1%–5%–45%–1%
Morning Consult [86] Nov 1–30, 2023324 (LV)–1%2%18%–11%0%–13%5%50%––
Iowa State University/Civiqs [87] Nov 10–15, 2023432 (LV)± 4.3%1%3%18%–12%0%–6%2%54%0%4%
Arc Insights [88] [upper-alpha 2] Nov 9–14, 2023800 (LV)± 3.5%1%4%17%–17%<1%–5%–44%2% [lower-alpha 7] 9%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates [89] [upper-alpha 3] Nov 9–12, 2023600 (LV)± 4.0%1%5%19%-16%0%-4%5%43%0%7%
2%5%20%-18%0%-5%-44%0%7%
Trafalgar Group (R) [90] Nov 3–5, 20231,084 (LV)± 2.9%4%5%18%–15%0%–5%9%44%0% [lower-alpha 8] 1%
Morning Consult [86] Oct 1–31, 2023324 (LV)–1%2%15%–7%0%3%9%6%57%––
Public Opinion Strategies [91] [upper-alpha 4] Oct 24–26, 2023400 (LV)± 4.9%1%2%20%–12%1%1%4%5%46%––
Selzer & Co. [92] [upper-alpha 1] Oct 22–26, 2023404 (LV)± 4.9%3%4%16%–16%1%2% [lower-alpha 9] 4%7%43%2% [lower-alpha 10] 3%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates [89] [upper-alpha 3] Oct 17–19, 2023600 (LV)± 4.0%2%3%21%0%14%0%2%4%5%42%2% [lower-alpha 11] 6%
Iowa State University/Civiqs [93] Oct 6–10, 2023425 (LV)± 6.1%0%2%17%0%11%0%1%5%4%55%2% [lower-alpha 12] 1%
Morning Consult [94] Sep 1–30, 2023316 (LV)–1%5%13%–6%–7%9%7%53%––
CBS News/YouGov [95] Sep 15–24, 2023458 (LV)± 6.1%0%1%21%0%8%1%6%5%6%51%0% [lower-alpha 13] –
Public Opinion Strategies [96] [upper-alpha 5] Sep 19–21, 2023400 (LV)± 4.9%1%2%21%–9%0%2%5%6%45%–9%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates [97] [upper-alpha 6] Sep 17–19, 2023500 (LV)± 4.4%1%5%15%–13%<1%2%5%5%45%<1% [lower-alpha 14] 7%
Trafalgar Group (R) [98] Sep 14–18, 20231,079 (LV)± 2.9%4%2%16%0%8%0%4%7%7%49%1% [lower-alpha 15] 2%
Fox Business [99] Sep 14–18, 2023813 (LV)± 3%2%3%15%<0.5%11%<0.5%3%7%7%46%3% [lower-alpha 16] 2%
Emerson College [100] Sep 7–9, 2023357 (V)± 5.1%3%–14%–7%–3%7%8%49%6%–
Civiqs [101] Sep 2–7, 2023434 (LV)± 5.8%2%3%14%–10%0%1%9%6%51%1% [lower-alpha 17] –
Public Opinion Strategies [102] Sep 5–6, 2023400 (LV)± 4.9%1%3%22%–6%1%2%6%5%45%––
Morning Consult [94] Aug 1–31, 2023341 (LV)–1%4%15%–6%0%6%8%7%52%0% [lower-alpha 18] 1%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates [103] Aug 25–28, 2023500 (LV)–2%3%18%<1%10%1%2%7%7%44%<2% [lower-alpha 19] 5%
Public Opinion Strategies [104] August 24, 2023400 (LV)± 4.9%1%1%21%–11%1%2%7%7%41%––
Public Opinion Strategies [104] Aug 19–21, 2023400 (LV)± 4.9%3%3%14%–3%<1%2%10%3%42%––
HarrisX [105] [upper-alpha 7] Aug 17–21, 20231,120 (LV)– [lower-alpha 20] 2%3%11%0%4%0%3%9%8%45%3% [lower-alpha 21] 12%
– [lower-alpha 22] 2%4%21%1%6%1%8%18%15%–4% [lower-alpha 23] 19%
Echelon Insights [106] [upper-alpha 8] Aug 15–17, 2023800 (LV)± 4.2%2%4%17%–2%<1%3%8%3%33%3% [lower-alpha 24] 14%
Selzer & Co. [107] [upper-alpha 1] Aug 13–17, 2023406 (LV)± 4.9%2%5%19%–6%–6%4%9%42%1% [lower-alpha 25] 5%
The Trafalgar Group (R) [108] Aug 14–16, 20231,126 (LV)± 2.9%3%4%16%1%5%1%4%6%13%42%3% [lower-alpha 26] 3%
New York Times/Siena College [109] Jul 28 – August 1, 2023432 (LV)± 5.9%1%<1%20%<1%4%<1%3%5%9%44%<2% [lower-alpha 27] 12%
––39%––––––55%–4%
Manhattan Institute [110] Jul 2023625 (LV)–3%4%17%0%5%1%4%6%10%42%1% [lower-alpha 28] 7%
Morning Consult [94] July 1–31, 2023350 (LV)–1%2%19%–4%0%4%8%5%55%–2%
National Research [111] [upper-alpha 9] Jul 23–24, 2023500 (LV)± 4.4%3%4%15%–3%0%2%5%9%42%–13%
Fox Business [112] Jul 15–19, 2023806 (LV)± 3.5%3%3%16%<1%5%1%4%6%11%46%1% [lower-alpha 29] 4%
co/efficient [113] [upper-alpha 10] Jul 15–17, 20232,238 (LV)± 2.6%–3%16%–3%–3%5%10%46%–10%
National Research [114] [upper-alpha 9] Jul 5–6, 2023500 (LV)± 4.4%–3%21%–2%1%3%3%7%44%–14%
Morning Consult [94] June 1–30, 2023317 (LV)–0%1%18%–2%1%7%3%3%64%0% [lower-alpha 30] 1%
McLaughlin & Associates [115] [upper-alpha 10] Jun 10–12, 2023500 (LV)± 4.4%––19%–––6%–9%51%–15%
––33%––––––60%–7%
National Research [116] [upper-alpha 9] Jun 5–7, 2023500 (LV)± 4.4%–2%24%–4%0%4%1%5%39%–21%
Victory Insights [117] Jun 3–6, 2023450 (LV)± 4.9%–3%21%–5%–5%2%6%44%3% [lower-alpha 31] 12%
––32%––––––49%–19%
WPA Intelligence [118] [upper-alpha 11] May 30 – June 1, 2023655 (RV)–––29%–6%<1%4%4%7%39%–11%
––43%––––––45%–12%
Morning Consult [94] May 1–31, 2023300 (LV)–––17%–5%0%8%5%1%60%4% [lower-alpha 32] 0%
McLaughlin & Associates [119] May 23–25, 2023400 (LV)–0%1%24%1%4%1%5%2%7%50%3% [lower-alpha 33] 4%
––36%––––––54%–11%
Emerson College [120] May 19–22, 2023600 (LV)± 3.9%0%–20%–5%1%5%2%3%62%2% [lower-alpha 34] –
National Research [121] [upper-alpha 9] May 9–11, 2023500 (LV)± 4.4%––26%–6%1%4%3%1%44%–11%
––33%––––––45%–22%
McLaughlin & Associates [122] [upper-alpha 10] Apr 27–30, 2023500 (LV)± 4.4%–1%20%1%5%0%7%2%1%54%5% [lower-alpha 35] 5%
––22%––––––57%––
Morning Consult [94] Apr 1–30, 2023294 (LV)–––20%–4%0%7%4%0%60%3% [lower-alpha 36] 2%
Victory Insights [123] Apr 10–13, 2023400 (LV)± 4.8%––24%–14%4%–3%–54%1% [lower-alpha 37] –
––59%–24%5%–8%––4% [lower-alpha 38] –
––41%––––––59%––
Cygnal [124] Apr 3–4, 2023600 (LV)± 3.9%––30%–5%1%2%2%1%37%3% [lower-alpha 39] 19%
J.L. Partners [125] Mar 25 – April 4, 2023628 (LV)± 3.9%––26%–5%–3%1%–41%10% [lower-alpha 40] 14%
––39%––––––47%–15%
Morning Consult [94] Mar 1–31, 2023329 (LV)–––27%–5%–7%–0%57%2% [lower-alpha 41] 2%
Morning Consult [94] Feb 1–28, 2023281 (LV)–––25%–6%–9%0%0%52%8% [lower-alpha 42] 0%
Morning Consult [94] Jan 1–31, 2023367 (LV)–––27%–5%–9%–1%51%5% [lower-alpha 43] 2%
Morning Consult [94] Dec 1–31, 2022227 (LV)–––35%–2%–11%–1%44%8% [lower-alpha 44] 0%
WPA Intelligence [126] [upper-alpha 12] Nov 11–13, 2022508 (LV)± 4.4%––48%––––––37%–16%
WPA Intelligence [126] [upper-alpha 12] Aug 7–10, 2022508 (LV)± 4.4%––37%––––––52%–12%
Neighborhood Research and Media [127] [upper-alpha 13] Jun 22 – July 1, 2022546 (LV)± 4.2%––17%–2%–2%––38%4% [lower-alpha 45] –
Victory Insights [128] Mar 5–8, 2021630 (RV)–––4%–6%–8%––61%13% [lower-alpha 46] –
––20%–10%–19%–––33% [lower-alpha 47] –

Results

Each candidate's vote share and 1st/2nd-place finisher in each county 2024 Iowa Republican presidential caucuses vote share and plurality.svg
Each candidate's vote share and 1st/2nd-place finisher in each county

Just minutes after the caucus events started at 7 pm local time, Trump was projected to win the most votes by the Associated Press. [129] Trump received 20 delegates, DeSantis nine, Haley eight, and Ramaswamy three. [130] Barring any shifts in votes after the conclusion of the Iowa Republican Party's ongoing recanvass of the caucus results, [131] Trump won all of Iowa's counties except for Johnson County, which he lost to Haley by one vote. [130]

DeSantis and Haley finished second and third place respectively. [132] [133] Ramaswamy, who placed fourth, announced the suspension of his campaign the night of the caucus, endorsing Trump, but will retain his three expected delegates. Hutchinson announced the suspension of his campaign the day after the caucus. [134] DeSantis, despite finishing in second place, announced the suspension of his campaign six days after the caucus.

The DeSantis campaign was highly critical of "media outlets" calling the results before the caucuses had closed. [135]

According to The Des Moines Register, [1] as well as The Hill [136] the turnout was reduced compared to the previous caucuses in 2020, due to the colder than normal weather.

Iowa Republican precinct caucuses, January 15, 2024 [137]
CandidateVotesPercentageActual delegate count
BoundUnboundTotal
Donald Trump 56,24351.00%20020
Ron DeSantis 23,49121.30%909
Nikki Haley 21,02719.07%808
Vivek Ramaswamy 8,4307.64%303
Ryan Binkley 7680.70%000
Asa Hutchinson 1880.17%000
Other900.08%000
Chris Christie (withdrawn)350.03%000
Total:110,272100.00%40040
By county
CountyDonald TrumpRon DeSantisNikki HaleyVivek
Ramaswamy		OthersMarginTotal

votes

%#%#%#%#%#%#
Adair 50.63%12028.27%678.86%2112.24%290.00%022.36%53237
Adams 58.70%10818.48%3414.13%268.15%150.54%140.22%74185
Allamakee 66.86%35315.53%8210.61%564.55%242.46%1351.33%271528
Appanoose 71.87%37311.95%626.94%368.48%440.77%459.92%311519
Audubon 64.26%17815.88%4410.11%289.39%260.36%148.38%134277
Benton 59.60%65221.85%2399.60%1058.59%940.37%437.75%4131,094
Black Hawk 52.23%1,78216.03%54721.98%7509.03%3080.73%2530.25%1,0323,412
Boone 46.46%50527.69%30116.01%1747.73%842.12%2318.77%2041,087
Bremer 46.59%43718.55%17423.13%21711.19%1050.53%523.45%220938
Buchanan 63.32%42315.42%1039.13%6110.48%701.65%1147.90%320668
Buena Vista 61.87%35714.56%8414.56%847.63%441.39%847.31%273577
Butler 58.47%35216.28%9812.96%7810.30%621.99%1242.19%254602
Calhoun 62.87%21015.87%5311.98%407.78%261.50%547.01%157334
Carroll 53.30%35520.42%13619.37%1295.56%371.35%932.88%219666
Cass 61.68%37517.93%10917.27%1052.63%160.49%343.75%266608
Cedar 60.19%37815.61%9815.61%987.96%500.64%444.59%280628
Cerro Gordo 59.56%94114.87%23517.78%2816.14%971.65%2641.77%6601,580
Cherokee 58.30%33717.13%9914.88%868.65%501.04%641.17%238578
Chickasaw 58.43%25317.32%7513.86%609.47%410.92%441.11%178433
Clarke 63.90%24614.55%5612.99%505.71%222.86%1149.35%190385
Clay 59.09%39018.18%12013.48%898.03%531.21%840.91%270660
Clayton 63.79%42818.63%1257.60%517.60%512.38%1645.16%303671
Clinton 69.83%1,13911.47%18712.75%2085.95%970.00%057.08%9311,631
Crawford 52.47%2029.61%3712.47%4823.90%921.56%628.57%110385
Dallas 38.95%1,97825.03%1,27126.60%1,3518.65%4390.77%3912.35%6275,078
Davis 67.30%17716.35%4310.65%284.56%121.14%350.95%134263
Decatur 60.71%15319.05%4813.89%355.95%150.40%141.67%105252
Delaware 55.62%29218.29%9616.19%858.95%470.95%537.33%196525
Des Moines 59.68%78621.49%28311.85%1566.68%880.30%438.19%5031,317
Dickinson 52.00%42920.97%17315.15%12510.91%900.97%831.03%256825
Dubuque 47.74%1,24423.37%60919.53%5099.13%2380.23%624.37%6352,606
Emmet 67.94%19514.63%426.97%209.41%271.05%353.31%153287
Fayette 56.70%36816.33%10617.87%1167.24%471.85%1238.83%252649
Floyd 66.41%34617.08%8910.56%554.61%241.34%749.33%257521
Franklin 54.25%21720.00%8015.25%617.75%312.75%1134.25%137400
Fremont 68.33%16412.08%2915.00%364.58%110.00%053.33%128240
Greene 56.33%20918.33%6816.44%616.74%252.16%838.01%141371
Grundy 51.68%29220.35%11515.04%8511.86%671.06%631.33%177565
Guthrie 55.58%26417.47%8318.53%888.00%380.42%237.05%176475
Hamilton 56.90%33420.61%12114.48%857.16%420.85%536.29%213587
Hancock 65.44%33717.67%918.93%466.21%321.75%947.77%246515
Hardin 50.97%36823.41%16912.33%8910.80%782.49%1827.56%199722
Harrison 66.56%42813.53%8711.82%767.31%470.78%553.03%341643
Henry 64.88%43618.30%12312.20%824.02%270.60%446.58%313672
Howard 63.79%22210.06%3516.95%598.62%300.57%246.84%163348
Humboldt 70.65%31311.06%498.80%399.03%400.45%259.59%264443
Ida 51.16%13215.89%4121.32%559.30%242.33%629.84%77258
Iowa 55.21%36022.39%14615.18%996.29%410.92%632.82%214652
Jackson 71.97%4989.83%6810.84%757.37%510.00%061.13%423692
Jasper 54.62%75122.84%31413.02%1797.85%1081.67%2331.78%4371,375
Jefferson 69.52%30112.01%529.24%408.55%370.69%357.51%249433
Johnson 35.49%1,27021.10%75535.52%1,2717.15%2560.73%26-0.03%-13,578
Jones 55.91%42619.16%14614.83%1139.19%700.92%736.75%280762
Keokuk 74.61%28512.83%497.59%294.45%170.52%261.78%236382
Kossuth 66.87%43015.86%1029.02%587.93%510.31%251.01%328643
Lee 65.79%55016.27%1368.97%756.82%572.15%1849.52%414836
Linn 42.75%2,99223.59%1,65124.80%1,7368.07%5650.79%5517.95%1,2566,999
Louisa 70.65%21917.74%558.71%272.90%90.00%052.90%164310
Lucas 66.46%21814.33%476.40%2111.59%381.22%452.13%171328
Lyon 58.73%42728.20%2057.43%545.36%390.28%230.54%222727
Madison 57.10%43019.79%14914.74%1117.84%590.53%437.32%281753
Mahaska 52.75%49928.96%2749.41%897.29%691.59%1523.78%225946
Marion 46.08%70028.97%44017.18%2616.78%1030.99%1517.12%2601,519
Marshall 52.68%64924.19%29814.53%1797.06%871.54%1928.49%3511,232
Mills 59.00%44920.24%15416.56%1263.94%300.26%238.76%295761
Mitchell 49.86%17820.45%7315.41%5514.01%500.28%129.41%105357
Monona 70.18%20015.44%447.72%226.67%190.00%054.74%156285
Monroe 66.67%16214.81%369.05%227.00%172.47%651.85%126243
Montgomery 57.28%1779.71%3022.01%688.74%272.27%735.28%109309
Muscatine 53.74%58218.10%19620.22%2197.76%840.18%233.52%3631,083
O'Brien 62.91%32917.40%918.80%467.07%373.82%2045.51%238523
Osceola 64.36%12115.96%3012.23%236.38%121.06%248.40%91188
Page 63.94%32815.40%7915.59%803.90%201.17%648.34%248513
Palo Alto 56.63%18821.39%7112.05%409.64%320.30%135.24%117332
Plymouth 63.97%71217.61%19611.41%1276.29%700.72%846.36%5161,113
Pocahontas 67.11%25510.26%3911.32%4311.05%420.26%155.79%212380
Polk 38.03%6,62927.20%4,74226.36%4,5957.50%1,3080.91%15910.82%1,88717,433
Pottawattamie 61.01%1,77013.37%38818.20%5286.55%1900.86%2542.81%1,2422,901
Poweshiek 51.86%29323.36%13215.40%878.14%461.24%728.50%161565
Ringgold 59.28%13129.41%657.24%162.26%51.81%429.86%66221
Sac 54.72%17416.35%5216.35%5211.32%361.26%438.36%122318
Scott 49.20%2,85718.32%1,06424.30%1,4117.68%4460.50%2924.90%1,4465,807
Shelby 68.55%32710.06%4811.74%567.76%371.89%956.81%271477
Sioux 44.98%96431.12%66715.59%3346.16%1322.15%4613.86%2972,143
Story 33.94%1,18426.45%92329.95%1,0458.31%2901.35%473.98%1393,489
Tama 58.45%33919.66%11411.90%699.14%530.86%538.79%225580
Taylor 69.06%12516.02%298.84%166.08%110.00%053.04%96181
Union 58.77%20123.10%799.94%346.14%212.05%735.67%122342
Van Buren 71.28%21117.23%516.08%185.41%160.00%054.05%160296
Wapello 71.64%53812.52%949.19%696.26%470.40%359.12%444751
Warren 51.29%1,29226.52%66815.16%3826.43%1620.60%1524.77%6242,519
Washington 57.27%49622.29%19312.12%1057.51%650.81%734.99%303866
Wayne 66.28%17120.54%535.81%156.59%170.78%245.74%118258
Webster 66.46%65216.11%1589.48%937.03%690.92%950.36%494981
Winnebago 55.29%25623.11%10711.45%539.50%440.65%332.18%149463
Winneshiek 53.90%41517.27%13319.22%1487.40%572.21%1734.68%267770
Woodbury 56.62%1,56521.53%59513.17%3646.80%1881.88%5235.09%9702,764
Worth 66.90%19412.07%3510.00%2910.34%300.69%254.83%159290
Wright 55.21%21222.92%8814.32%556.77%260.78%332.29%124384

See also

Notes

  1. ↑ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. ↑ Chris Christie 3.0%
    Ryan Binkley 1.5%
  3. ↑ Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  4. ↑ Ryan Binkley with 1%; "None of these" with 2%
  5. ↑ Ryan Binkley and David Stuckenberg with 0%
  6. ↑ Ryan Binkley with 0%; "None of these" with 2%
  7. ↑ "Someone else" with 2%
  8. ↑ Ryan Binkley with 0%
  9. ↑ The other percentages in this result were increased by redistributing Pence's supporters to their second-choice candidates in the poll
  10. ↑ "Someone else" with 2%; Ryan Binkley with 0%
  11. ↑ Perry Johnson with 1%
  12. ↑ Ryan Binkley with 2%; Will Hurd and Perry Johnson with 0%
  13. ↑ Will Hurd with 0%
  14. ↑ Perry Johnson & Will Hurd with <1%
  15. ↑ Perry Johnson with 1%; Ryan Binkley with and Will Hurd with 0%
  16. ↑ Ryan Binkley, Perry Johnson and "Other" with 1%; Asa Hutchinson and "None of the above" with <0.5%
  17. ↑ Ryan Binkley with 1% and Will Hurd with 0%
  18. ↑ Francis Suarez with 0%
  19. ↑ Perry Johnson and Will Hurd with <1%; Francis Suarez with 0%
  20. ↑ Standard VI response
  21. ↑ "Someone else" with 2%; Ryan Binkley with 1%; Will Hurd, Perry Johnson, Corey Stapleton and Francis Suarez with 0%
  22. ↑ If Trump did not run in the caucuses
  23. ↑ "Someone else" with 3%; Ryan Binkley with 1%; Will Hurd, Perry Johnson, Corey Stapleton and Francis Suarez with 0%
  24. ↑ "Someone else" with 2%; Will Hurd with 1%; Ryan Binkley and Francis Suarez with <1%
  25. ↑ Will Hurd with 1%
  26. ↑ Ryan Binkley and Perry Johnson with 1%; Will Hurd and Francis Suarez with 0%
  27. ↑ "Someone else" with <1%; Will Hurd with <1%; Francis Suarez with 0%
  28. ↑ "Someone else" with 1%; Francis Suarez with 0%
  29. ↑ Franciz Suarez at 1%; Will Hurd at less than 1%
  30. ↑ Francis Saurez with 0%
  31. ↑ Someone else with 3%
  32. ↑ Greg Abbott with 2%; Liz Cheney and Kristi Noem with 1%
  33. ↑ Mitt Romney with 3%; Rick Perry, Chris Sununu, Perry Johnson, Francis Suarez with 0%
  34. ↑ Someone else with 2%
  35. ↑ Mitt Romney with 4%, Liz Cheney with 1%, Chris Sununu, John Bolton and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  36. ↑ Greg Abbott, Liz Cheney and Kristi Noem with 1%; Greg Abbott, Mike Pompeo with 0%
  37. ↑ Perry Johnson with 1%
  38. ↑ Perry Johnson with 4%
  39. ↑ Kristi Noem with 2%; Mike Pompeo with 1%
  40. ↑ Mike Pompeo with 3%; Glenn Youngkin with 1%; "Someone else" with 6%
  41. ↑ Kristi Noem and Mike Pompeo with 1%; Greg Abbott, Liz Cheney and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  42. ↑ Liz Cheney and Ted Cruz with 3%; Kristi Noem and Mike Pompeo with 1%
  43. ↑ Ted Cruz with 3%; Greg Abbott, Kristi Noem and Mike Pompeo with 1%, Liz Cheney with 0%
  44. ↑ Kristi Noem with 3%; Ted Cruz with 2%; Greg Abbott, Liz Cheney and Mike Pompeo with 1%, Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  45. ↑ Kim Reynolds, Kristi Noem, Ted Cruz, and Marco Rubio with 1%
  46. ↑ Mitt Romney with 5%; Ted Cruz with 4%; Kristi Noem and Mike Pompeo with 2%
  47. ↑ Ted Cruz with 16%; Mitt Romney with 5%; Kristi Noem and Mike Pompeo with 6%

Partisan clients

  1. 1 2 3 4 Poll sponsored by the Des Moines Register, NBC News & Mediacom Iowa
  2. ↑ Poll sponsored by Fields of Freedom
  3. 1 2 Poll sponsored by the Make America Great Again Inc. (Super Pac)
  4. ↑ Poll sponsored by And To The Republic, a non-profit with ties to DeSantis
  5. ↑ Poll sponsored by Citizens Awareness Project
  6. ↑ Poll sponsored by Make America Great Again Inc. super PAC, which supports Trump
  7. ↑ Poll sponsored by American Free Enterprise Chamber of Commerce
  8. ↑ Poll commissioned by Republican Main Street Partnership
  9. 1 2 3 4 Poll sponsored by American Greatness, which supports Trump
  10. 1 2 3 Poll sponsored by Trump campaign
  11. ↑ Poll sponsored by Never Back Down PAC, which supports DeSantis.
  12. 1 2 Poll sponsored by Club for Growth
  13. ↑ Poll sponsored by Courageous Conservatives PAC

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