1988 United States presidential election in Iowa

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1988 United States presidential election in Iowa
Flag of Iowa (xrmap collection).svg
  1984 November 8, 1988 1992  
  Dukakis campaign portrait 3x4.jpg VP George Bush crop.jpg
Nominee Michael Dukakis George H. W. Bush
Party Democratic Republican
Home state Massachusetts Texas
Running mate Lloyd Bentsen Dan Quayle
Electoral vote80
Popular vote670,557545,355
Percentage54.71%44.50%

Iowa Presidential Election Results 1988.svg
County Results

President before election

Ronald Reagan
Republican

Elected President

George H. W. Bush
Republican

The 1988 United States presidential election in Iowa took place on November 8, 1988, as part of the 1988 United States presidential election. Voters chose eight representatives, or electors to the Electoral College, who voted for president and vice president.

Contents

Iowa was won by Democratic governor Michael Dukakis of Massachusetts with 54.71% of the popular vote over Republican Vice President George H.W. Bush's 44.50%, a victory margin of 10.21%, which made Iowa exactly 18% more Democratic than the nation-at-large. This made it one of 10 states (plus the District of Columbia) to vote for Dukakis, while Bush won a convincing electoral victory nationwide. Bush became the first Republican to ever win the presidency without carrying Iowa, a feat that would only be repeated once more, when George W. Bush lost the state in 2000 but won the national election by extremely narrow margins. Bush Jr. would go on to carry the state in 2004, making the elder Bush the only Republican to have won the presidency without ever winning the state, as well as the only Republican to have ever won the national popular vote without winning the state. Dukakis was also the first Democratic presidential candidate to carry the state since Lyndon B. Johnson’s landslide victory in 1964. The state would not vote for the losing candidate again until 2000, the loser of the popular vote until 2016, and the loser of both the popular and electoral vote until 2020.

Background

The farm crisis of the 1980s under the incumbent Republican administration made the Midwest one of the targets for the Dukakis campaign in 1988, which ultimately proved successful in the region with Democrats performing strongly in many farm states. Nowhere was this more evident than in Iowa, which was the second most Democratic state in the nation in 1988 in terms of both vote percentage and victory margin; it was one of just two states (along with Rhode Island) to vote Democratic by a double-digit margin. This Democratic support was spread widely across the state, with Dukakis winning 75 of the state's 99 counties, whilst counties carried by Bush were concentrated within the state's typically archconservative western fringe. Iowa was also the only state in the nation where Dukakis won by a larger margin than fellow Democrat Bill Clinton would win it by four years later in 1992; Dukakis won 13 Iowa counties which would vote for Bush in 1992.

While Dukakis personally overperformed in Iowa due to the farm crisis, 1988 was also the beginning of a relatively long-term re-alignment of the state toward the Democratic Party, as the historically-Republican state became a Democratic-leaning swing state for a quarter of a century. Iowa had voted Republican in the five preceding elections, and nine of the previous eleven. From 1988 to 2012, Iowa voted Democratic in six of the seven elections that followed (out of the nine total elections overall), although starting in 2016, the state again became reliably Republican. Despite this, as of the 2024 presidential election , this is the last election in which Marion County, Buena Vista County, Sac County, and Humboldt County voted for a Democratic presidential candidate. [1]

Iowa (with four counties), Texas (with three), and Montana (with one) are the only states containing counties that Dukakis (as of 2024) was the last Democrat to carry.

As of the 2024 U.S. presidential election, this is the last time Iowa voted to the left of many modern-day blue states, including California, Connecticut, Hawaii, neighboring Illinois, neighboring Minnesota, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, New Jersey, New York, Washington state, and Vermont. [2] [3]

Results

1988 United States presidential election in Iowa [4]
PartyCandidateVotesPercentageElectoral votes
Democratic Michael Dukakis 670,55754.71%8
Republican George H. W. Bush 545,35544.50%0
Independent Lyndon LaRouche 3,5260.29%0
Libertarian Ron Paul 2,4940.20%0
N/A Write-ins 1,6130.13%0
America First David Duke 755 [a] 0.06%0
New Alliance Lenora Fulani 540 [a] 0.04%0
Socialist Willa Kenoyer 334 [a] 0.03%0
Socialist Equality Edward Winn 235 [a] 0.02%0
Socialist Workers James Warren 205 [a] 0.02%0
Totals1,225,614100.00%8
Voter Turnout (Voting age/Registered)59%/73%

Results by county

County [5] Michael Dukakis
Democratic
George H.W. Bush
Republican
Lyndon LaRouche
Independent
Ron Paul
Libertarian
Various candidates
Other parties
MarginTotal votes cast
# %# %# %# %# %# %
Adair 2,26154.84%1,83344.46%70.17%50.12%170.41%42810.38%4,123
Adams 1,28353.91%1,08045.38%40.17%50.21%80.34%2038.53%2,380
Allamakee 2,76846.17%3,18653.14%120.20%110.18%180.30%-418-6.97%5,995
Appanoose 3,20952.71%2,77945.65%621.02%150.25%230.38%4307.06%6,088
Audubon 1,86355.27%1,47843.84%160.47%40.12%100.30%38511.43%3,371
Benton 5,87358.87%4,01140.20%440.44%150.15%340.34%1,86218.67%9,977
Black Hawk 31,65756.36%24,11242.93%1430.25%820.15%1770.32%7,54513.43%56,171
Boone 7,23261.89%4,38137.49%440.38%110.09%180.15%2,85124.40%11,686
Bremer 4,96149.12%5,07950.29%240.24%180.18%170.17%-118-1.17%10,099
Buchanan 4,77857.42%3,49542.00%60.07%150.18%270.32%1,28315.42%8,321
Buena Vista 4,58051.90%4,17047.25%160.18%350.40%240.27%4104.65%8,825
Butler 2,59342.19%3,52357.32%120.20%60.10%120.20%-930-15.13%6,146
Calhoun 2,99054.31%2,47444.94%150.27%140.25%120.22%5169.37%5,505
Carroll 5,43758.63%3,70139.91%790.85%220.24%340.37%1,73618.72%9,273
Cass 2,93442.11%3,96256.86%430.62%120.17%170.24%-1,028-14.75%6,968
Cedar 4,03253.91%3,37345.10%100.13%160.21%480.64%6598.81%7,479
Cerro Gordo 12,85757.49%9,35841.84%740.33%360.16%400.18%3,49915.65%22,365
Cherokee 3,57452.14%3,21846.94%260.38%150.22%220.32%3565.20%6,855
Chickasaw 3,53057.53%2,54941.54%250.41%60.10%260.42%98115.99%6,136
Clarke 2,26257.50%1,63141.46%30.08%10.03%370.94%63116.04%3,934
Clay 4,17353.02%3,64146.26%300.38%130.17%130.17%5326.76%7,870
Clayton 4,32052.41%3,83946.58%300.36%180.22%350.42%4815.83%8,242
Clinton 12,54954.56%10,24344.53%1160.50%550.24%390.17%2,30610.03%23,002
Crawford 3,86852.91%3,37546.16%280.38%210.29%190.26%4936.75%7,311
Dallas 7,50160.40%4,85839.12%60.05%190.15%350.28%2,64321.28%12,419
Davis 2,24658.35%1,56340.61%120.31%70.18%210.55%68317.74%3,849
Decatur 2,19260.44%1,40638.76%40.11%90.25%160.44%78621.68%3,627
Delaware 3,94753.11%3,42546.08%260.35%110.15%230.31%5227.03%7,432
Des Moines 11,59359.84%7,65239.50%620.32%260.13%410.21%3,94120.34%19,374
Dickinson 3,34247.06%3,67851.80%410.58%190.27%210.30%-336-4.74%7,101
Dubuque 23,79761.74%14,53037.69%880.23%600.16%720.19%9,26724.05%38,547
Emmet 2,77855.82%2,17343.66%90.18%120.24%50.10%60512.16%4,977
Fayette 5,30451.56%4,92147.84%170.17%300.29%150.15%3833.72%10,287
Floyd 4,37756.60%3,26642.23%530.69%110.14%260.34%1,11114.37%7,733
Franklin 2,59452.39%2,32046.86%210.42%90.18%70.14%2745.53%4,951
Fremont 1,54743.86%1,94655.17%180.51%50.14%110.31%-399-11.31%3,527
Greene 3,01158.31%2,09140.49%320.62%100.19%200.39%92017.82%5,164
Grundy 2,21138.91%3,43360.42%190.33%100.18%90.16%-1,222-21.51%5,682
Guthrie 2,91058.40%2,00540.24%350.70%230.46%100.20%90518.16%4,983
Hamilton 4,15655.46%3,27743.73%230.31%140.19%240.32%87911.73%7,494
Hancock 2,83150.62%2,73148.83%170.30%60.11%80.14%1001.79%5,593
Hardin 5,08856.53%3,85642.84%140.16%180.20%250.28%1,23213.69%9,001
Harrison 2,88347.83%3,10851.57%70.12%80.13%210.35%-225-3.74%6,027
Henry 3,75448.39%3,95150.93%90.12%180.23%260.34%-197-2.54%7,758
Howard 2,33053.87%1,97045.55%50.12%30.07%170.39%3608.32%4,325
Humboldt 2,71350.64%2,59448.42%310.58%90.17%100.19%1192.22%5,357
Ida 1,78747.29%1,95151.63%190.50%110.29%110.29%-164-4.34%3,779
Iowa 3,33849.93%3,24748.57%420.63%210.31%370.55%911.36%6,685
Jackson 4,86459.08%3,23739.32%1021.24%220.27%80.10%1,62719.76%8,233
Jasper 8,94056.82%6,70342.60%200.13%220.14%480.31%2,23714.22%15,733
Jefferson 3,59449.26%3,61449.53%80.11%400.55%400.55%-20-0.27%7,296
Johnson 28,75964.41%15,45334.61%220.05%1490.33%2640.59%13,30629.80%44,647
Jones 4,64156.70%3,49642.71%50.06%80.10%350.43%1,14513.99%8,185
Keokuk 2,89955.43%2,27843.56%290.55%120.23%120.23%62111.87%5,230
Kossuth 5,08855.87%3,93843.24%600.66%130.14%80.09%1,15012.63%9,107
Lee 10,91163.11%6,22836.02%890.51%410.24%210.12%4,68327.09%17,290
Linn 42,99356.04%33,12943.18%570.07%1780.23%3610.47%9,86412.86%76,718
Louisa 2,26851.78%2,06047.03%100.23%150.34%270.62%2084.75%4,380
Lucas 2,45457.84%1,77641.86%20.05%30.07%80.19%67815.98%4,243
Lyon 1,70632.41%3,51766.81%260.49%80.15%70.13%-1,811-34.40%5,264
Madison 3,42158.36%2,41041.11%80.14%80.14%150.26%1,01117.25%5,862
Mahaska 4,45147.76%4,79851.48%410.44%160.17%140.15%-347-3.72%9,320
Marion 6,92253.44%5,91445.65%830.64%90.07%260.20%1,0087.79%12,954
Marshall 9,76055.62%7,65743.63%210.12%410.23%700.40%2,10311.99%17,549
Mills 2,09238.96%3,21259.82%270.50%250.47%130.24%-1,120-20.86%5,369
Mitchell 2,87054.66%2,33844.52%270.51%70.13%90.17%53210.14%5,251
Monona 2,40853.62%2,06846.05%40.09%20.04%90.20%3407.57%4,491
Monroe 2,33863.76%1,31335.81%40.11%40.11%80.22%1,02527.95%3,667
Montgomery 1,89837.22%3,16662.08%180.35%80.16%100.20%-1,268-24.86%5,100
Muscatine 7,05950.06%6,90448.96%780.55%290.21%320.23%1551.10%14,102
O'Brien 2,76839.14%4,24159.97%290.41%180.25%160.23%-1,473-20.83%7,072
Osceola 1,27739.12%1,95159.77%150.46%40.12%170.52%-674-20.65%3,264
Page 2,18532.12%4,58367.37%90.13%70.10%190.28%-2,398-35.25%6,803
Palo Alto 3,37761.82%2,04137.36%290.53%50.09%110.20%1,33624.46%5,463
Plymouth 4,22043.93%5,31655.33%340.35%220.23%150.16%-1,096-11.40%9,607
Pocahontas 2,72258.51%1,87140.22%220.47%240.52%130.28%85118.29%4,652
Polk 84,47659.01%57,85440.42%710.05%2820.20%4610.32%26,62218.59%143,144
Pottawattamie 14,95846.16%17,19353.06%1360.42%570.18%610.19%-2,235-6.90%32,405
Poweshiek 4,87656.53%3,68342.70%170.20%260.30%230.27%1,19313.83%8,625
Ringgold 1,60958.92%1,11040.64%30.11%10.04%80.29%49918.28%2,731
Sac 2,61351.47%2,41147.49%210.41%140.28%180.35%2023.98%5,077
Scott 34,41552.12%31,02546.98%2490.38%1880.28%1580.24%3,3905.14%66,035
Shelby 2,80647.88%3,01951.52%90.15%120.20%140.24%-213-3.64%5,860
Sioux 2,92322.00%10,27077.29%490.37%120.09%340.26%-7,347-55.29%13,288
Story 19,05157.55%13,78241.63%730.22%920.28%1070.32%5,26915.92%33,105
Tama 4,58457.21%3,36241.96%200.25%210.26%250.31%1,22215.25%8,012
Taylor 1,67150.15%1,64749.43%10.03%10.03%120.36%240.72%3,332
Union 3,23653.57%2,75145.54%310.51%90.15%140.23%4858.03%6,041
Van Buren 1,61248.35%1,69250.75%60.18%90.27%150.45%-80-2.40%3,334
Wapello 10,17764.93%5,35034.14%900.57%240.15%320.20%4,82730.79%15,673
Warren 9,62759.68%6,42439.82%300.19%140.09%360.22%3,20319.86%16,131
Washington 3,77649.58%3,74149.12%490.64%280.37%220.29%350.46%7,616
Wayne 1,98857.18%1,46742.19%60.17%160.46%00.00%52114.99%3,477
Webster 10,26759.03%6,92639.82%1210.70%260.15%530.30%3,34119.21%17,393
Winnebago 2,80449.17%2,86350.20%110.19%70.12%180.32%-59-1.03%5,703
Winneshiek 4,44350.92%4,19448.07%280.32%250.29%350.40%2492.85%8,725
Woodbury 20,15351.38%18,79047.90%1360.35%560.14%900.23%1,3633.48%39,225
Worth 2,44061.28%1,48837.37%30.08%90.23%421.05%95223.91%3,982
Wright 3,35355.38%2,65843.90%80.13%210.35%140.23%69511.48%6,054
Totals670,55754.71%545,35544.50%3,5260.29%2,4940.20%3,6820.30%125,20210.21%1,225,614

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

See also

Notes

  1. 1 2 3 4 5 Votes for this candidate were not separated by county and only given as a state-wide total. [5]

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References

  1. Sullivan, Robert David; ‘How the Red and Blue Map Evolved Over the Past Century’; America Magazine in The National Catholic Review; June 29, 2016
  2. "Iowa Voting Results and Participants". CountingTheVotes.com. Retrieved September 3, 2022.
  3. "Maryland Voting Results and Participants". CountingTheVotes.com. Retrieved September 3, 2022.
  4. "1988 Presidential General Election Results - Iowa". U.S. Election Atlas. Retrieved April 28, 2013.
  5. 1 2 "IA US President Race, November 03, 1988". Our Campaigns.