2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa

Last updated

2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa
Flag of Iowa (xrmap collection).svg
  2016 November 6, 2018 (2018-11-06) 2020  

All 4 Iowa seats to the United States House of Representatives
 Majority partyMinority party
 
Party Democratic Republican
Last election13
Seats won31
Seat changeIncrease2.svg 2Decrease2.svg 2
Popular vote664,676612,338
Percentage50.5%46.5%
SwingIncrease2.svg 6.05%Decrease2.svg 7.11%

2018IAUSHouse Holds and Gains.svg
2018IAUSHouse.svg
2018 United States House of Representatives Elections in Iowa by county copy.svg
     Democratic hold     Democratic gain
     Republican hold

The 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa were held on November 6, 2018, to elect the four U.S. representatives from the State of Iowa, one from each of the state's four congressional districts. The elections coincided with the gubernatorial election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections. The state congressional delegation flipped from a 3–1 Republican majority to a 3–1 Democratic majority.

Contents

This was the first time the Democrats won the majority of Iowa's seats since 2010, and the first time they won the popular vote in the state since 2012. As of 2024, these results were also the last time the Democrats would achieve either due to Iowa's transition into a safe red state.

Overview

Statewide

PartyCandidatesVotesSeats
No. %No.+/– %
Democratic 4664,67650.48%3Increase2.svg275.00%
Republican 4612,33846.51%1Decrease2.svg225.00%
Libertarian 429,8942.27%0Steady2.svg0.00%
Independent 35,1000.39%0Steady2.svg0.00%
Legal Marijuana Now 12,0150.15%0Steady2.svg0.00%
Green 11,8880.14%0Steady2.svg0.00%
Write-in 7320.06%0Steady2.svg0.00%
Total171,316,643100.00%4Steady2.svg100.00%
Popular vote
Democratic
50.48%
Republican
46.51%
Libertarian
2.27%
Other
0.74%
House seats
Democratic
75.00%
Republican
25.00%

By district

Results of the 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa by district: [1]

District Democratic Republican OthersTotalResult
Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%
District 1 170,34250.96%153,44245.91%10,4593.13%334,243100.0%Democratic gain
District 2 171,44654.79%133,28742.60%8,1802.61%312,913100%Democratic hold
District 3 175,64249.30%167,93347.14%12,6663.56%356,241100.0%Democratic gain
District 4 147,24647.04%157,67650.37%8,1232.59%313,045100.0%Republican hold
Total664,67650.49%612,33846.51%39,4283.00%1,316,442100.0%

District 1

2018 Iowa's 1st congressional district election
Flag of Iowa.svg
  2016
2020  
  Abby Finkenauer, official portrait, 116th Congress (cropped).jpg Rod Blum 114th congress photo (cropped).jpg
Nominee Abby Finkenauer Rod Blum
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote170,342153,442
Percentage51.0%45.9%

2018IA01.svg
County results
Finkenauer:     50–60%
Blum:     40-50%     50–60%

U.S. Representative before election

Rod Blum
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Abby Finkenauer
Democratic

Incumbent Republican Rod Blum, who had represented the district since 2015, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 54% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+1.

The 1st district went for Donald Trump in the 2016 presidential election with a 49% to 45% margin, after voting for Barack Obama with a 56% to 43% margin in 2012. [2]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Rod Blum, incumbent U.S. Representative

Results

2018 Iowa's 1st congressional district Republican primary results by county:
Map legend
Blum--100%
Blum-->=90% 2018IA01GOPprimary.svg
2018 Iowa's 1st congressional district Republican primary results by county:
Map legend
  •   Blum—100%
  •   Blum—≥90%
Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Rod Blum (incumbent) 14,737 98.9
Republican Write-ins1671.1
Total votes14,904 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Thomas Heckroth, former staffer for United States Senator Tom Harkin [4] [5]
  • George Ramsey III, former military recruiter [5]
  • Courtney Rowe, engineer and Bernie Sanders delegate at the 2016 state convention [6]
Declined

Endorsements

Abby Finkenauer

State legislators

Individuals

Thomas Heckroth

State legislators

Individuals

Courtney Rowe

Organizations

Results

2018 Iowa's 1st congressional district Democratic primary results by county:
Map legend
Finkenauer--80-90%
Finkenauer--70-80%
Finkenauer--60-70%
Finkenauer--50-60%
Heckroth--50-60% 2018IA01Dprimary.svg
2018 Iowa's 1st congressional district Democratic primary results by county:
Map legend
  •   Finkenauer—80–90%
  •   Finkenauer—70–80%
  •   Finkenauer—60–70%
  •   Finkenauer—50–60%
  •   Heckroth—50–60%
Democratic primary results [14]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Abby Finkenauer 29,745 66.8
Democratic Thomas Heckroth8,51619.1
Democratic Courtney Rowe3,3817.6
Democratic George Ramsey2,8376.4
Democratic Write-ins 500.1
Total votes44,529 100

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Troy Hageman, activist

Green primary

Candidates

Nominee

Gaff was only 18, meaning he would not have met the U.S. Constitution's required minimum age of 25 to be elected to the House of Representatives. [15]

General election

Debates

2018 Iowa's 1st congressional district debates
No.DateHostModeratorLink Republican Democratic
Key:
 P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited  W  Withdrawn
Rod Blum Abby Finkenauer
1October 5, 2018 KWWL-TV Ron Steele
Abby Turpin
[16] PP
2October 16, 2018 KGAN
KXEL
Jeff Stein
Nick Weig
[17] PP

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Rod
Blum (R)
Abby
Finkenauer (D)
Troy
Hageman (L)
Undecided
Emerson College [18] October 29 – November 1, 2018353± 5.5%41%53%4%2%
NYT Upshot/Siena College [19] October 28–31, 2018452± 4.9%39%46%4%11%
The Polling Company (R-Blum) [20] October 12–13, 2018400± 4.9%43%45%4%6%
The Polling Company (R-Blum) [21] October 3–4, 2018400± 4.9%43%44%3%8%
NYT Upshot/Siena College [22] September 18–20, 2018502± 4.6%37%52%11%
Emerson College [23] September 6–8, 2018250± 6.4%38%43%12%
DCCC (D) [24] February 13–14, 201841%47%
Public Policy Polling (D) [25] February 12–13, 2018742± 3.6%42%43%15%
Public Policy Polling (D-Heckroth) [26] November 2–3, 201773742%43%16%
Public Policy Polling (D) [27] October 6–8, 20171,093± 3.0%40%42%18%

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [28] Lean D (flip)November 5, 2018
Inside Elections [29] Lean D (flip)November 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball [30] Lean D (flip)November 5, 2018
RCP [31] Lean D (flip)November 5, 2018
Daily Kos [32] Lean D (flip)November 5, 2018
538 [33] Safe D (flip)November 7, 2018
CNN [34] Lean D (flip)October 31, 2018
Fox News [35] Lean D (flip)September 21, 2018
Politico [36] Lean D (flip)November 2, 2018

Results

Finkenauer went on to flip the district, being one of many victories in swing districts for Democrats in a blue wave election.

Iowa's 1st congressional district, 2018
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Abby Finkenauer 170,342 51.0
Republican Rod Blum (incumbent)153,44245.9
Libertarian Troy Hageman10,2853.1
Write-in 1740.0
Total votes334,243 100.0
Democratic gain from Republican

District 2

2018 Iowa's 2nd congressional district election
Flag of Iowa.svg
  2016
2020  
  Dave Loebsack official photo (cropped).jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Dave Loebsack Christopher Peters
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote171,446133,287
Percentage54.8%42.6%

2018IA02.svg
County results
Loebsack:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%
Peters:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%

U.S. Representative before election

Dave Loebsack
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Dave Loebsack
Democratic

Democratic representative Dave Loebsack, who has represented the district since 2007, was reelected to a sixth term with 54% of the vote in 2016. Loebsack ran for reelection. [37]

The 2nd district went for Donald Trump in the 2016 presidential election with a 49% to 45% margin, after voting for Barack Obama with a 56% to 43% margin in 2012. [2]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Results

2018 Iowa's 2nd congressional district Democratic primary results by county:
Map legend
Loebsack--100%
Loebsack-->=90% 2018IA02Dprimary.svg
2018 Iowa's 2nd congressional district Democratic primary results by county:
Map legend
  •   Loebsack—100%
  •   Loebsack—≥90%
Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Dave Loebsack (incumbent) 42,378 99.3
Democratic Write-ins3140.7
Total votes42,692 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Christopher Peters, thoracic surgeon and nominee for this seat in 2016 [38]
Eliminated in primary
  • Ginny Caligiuri, businesswoman (write-in) [39] [40]
Declined

Results

2018 Iowa's 2nd congressional district Republican primary results by county:
Map legend
Peters-->=90%
Peters--80-90%
Peters--70-80%
Peters--50-60% 2018IA02GOPprimary.svg
2018 Iowa's 2nd congressional district Republican primary results by county:
Map legend
  •   Peters—≥90%
  •   Peters—80–90%
  •   Peters—70–80%
  •   Peters—50–60%
Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Christopher Peters 18,056 85.7
Republican Ginny Caligiuri (write-in)2,83913.5
Republican Other write-ins1810.9
Total votes21,076 100.0

Independents

General election

Polling

Poll sourceDates
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Dave
Loebsack (D)
Christopher
Peters (R)
OtherUndecided
Emerson College [18] October 29 – November 1, 2018373± 5.3%53%40%2%5%
Gravis Marketing (R-Peters) [42] September 8–11, 2018425± 4.8%46%38%16%
43%37%3% [43] 17%
Emerson College [23] September 6–8, 2018250± 6.4%45%21%28%

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [28] Safe DNovember 5, 2018
Inside Elections [29] Safe DNovember 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball [30] Safe DNovember 5, 2018
RCP [31] Likely DNovember 5, 2018
Daily Kos [32] Safe DNovember 5, 2018
538 [33] Safe DNovember 7, 2018
Fox News [35] Likely DSeptember 28, 2018
CNN [34] Safe DOctober 31, 2018
Politico [36] Likely DNovember 2, 2018

Results

Iowa's 2nd congressional district, 2018
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Dave Loebsack (incumbent) 171,446 54.8
Republican Christopher Peters133,28742.6
Libertarian Mark Strauss6,1812.0
Independent Daniel Clark1,8370.6
Write-in 1620.0
Total votes312,913 100.0
Democratic hold

District 3

2018 Iowa's 3rd congressional district election
Flag of Iowa.svg
  2016
2020  
  Cindy Axne, official portrait, 116th Congress (cropped).jpg David Young official congressional photo (cropped).jpg
Nominee Cindy Axne David Young
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote175,642167,933
Percentage49.3%47.1%

2018IA03.svg
County results
Axne:     50–60%
Young:     50–60%     60–70%

U.S. Representative before election

David Young
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Cindy Axne
Democratic

Incumbent Republican David Young, who had represented the district since 2015, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 53% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+1.

The 3rd district went for Donald Trump in the 2016 presidential election with a 49% to 45% margin, after voting for Barack Obama with a 51% to 47% margin in 2012. [2]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Results

2018 Iowa's 3rd congressional district Republican primary results by county:
Map legend
Young--100%
Young-->=90% 2018IA03GOPprimary.svg
2018 Iowa's 3rd congressional district Republican primary results by county:
Map legend
  •   Young—100%
  •   Young—≥90%
Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican David Young (incumbent) 21,712 98.9
Republican Write-ins2341.1
Total votes21,946 100

Democratic primary

After Greenfield's campaign manager was fired for forging signatures on nominating papers, she attempted to re-collect the 1,790 signatures necessary to make the ballot, but did not get enough signatures. [44]

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Did not make ballot
Withdrew
  • Austin Frerick, former Treasury Department economist [51] [52]
  • Paul Knupp, psychiatric rehabilitation practitioner and minister, [53] withdrew from the Democratic primary to join the Green party[ citation needed ]
  • Heather Ryan, nominee for KY-01 in 2008 [54] [55]
  • Anna Ryon, attorney with the Office of Consumer Advocate [56]
  • Mike Sherzan, businessman and candidate in 2016 [57] [58]

Declined

Endorsements

Austin Frerick (withdrawn)

U.S. Representatives

Pete D'Alessandro

U.S. Senators

State legislators

Labor unions

Organizations

Individuals

  • Sue Dvorsky, former Iowa Democratic Committee Chair [61]
  • Derek Eadon, former Iowa Democratic Committee Chair [61]
  • Ben Jacobs, Bernie Sanders’s 2016 campaign manager [65]

Polling

Poll sourceDates
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Cindy
Axne
Pete
D'Alessandro
Eddie
Mauro
Undecided
Selzer & Co. [66] May 13–16, 2018400± 4.9%26%11%27%36%

Results

2018 Iowa's 3rd congressional district Democratic primary results by county:
Map legend
Axne--70-80%
Axne--60-70%
Axne--50-60%
Mauro--40-50% 2018IA-03Dprimary.svg
2018 Iowa's 3rd congressional district Democratic primary results by county:
Map legend
  •   Axne—70–80%
  •   Axne—60–70%
  •   Axne—50–60%
  •   Mauro—40–50%
Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Cindy Axne 32,910 57.8
Democratic Eddie J. Mauro15,00626.4
Democratic Pete D'Alessandro8,87415.6
Democratic Write-ins1500.3
Total votes56,940 100

General election

Debate

2018 Iowa's 3rd congressional district debates
No.DateHostModeratorLink Republican Democratic
Key:
 P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited  W  Withdrawn
David Young Cindy Axne
1October 11, 2018 Iowa Public Television David Yepsen [67] PP

Polling

Poll sourceDates
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
David
Young (R)
Cindy
Axne (D)
Undecided
Emerson College [18] October 29 – November 1, 2018380± 5.3%45%46%3%
NYT Upshot/Siena College [68] October 25–27, 2018504± 4.6%41%43%11%
NYT Upshot/Siena College [69] September 27–30, 2018502± 4.6%43%44%13%
Emerson College [23] September 6–8, 2018260± 6.4%47%31%15%
DCCC (D) [70] September 4–5, 2018575± 4.1%43%46%11%
ALG Research (D-Axne) [71] July 8–12, 2018500± 4.4%41%45%14%
Hypothetical polling
Poll sourceDates
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
David
Young (R)
Democratic
candidate
OtherUndecided
PPP/Patriot Majority USA [72] October 6–8, 2017693± 3.7%44%43%

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [28] TossupNovember 5, 2018
Inside Elections [29] TossupNovember 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball [30] Lean D (flip)November 5, 2018
RCP [31] TossupNovember 5, 2018
Daily Kos [32] TossupNovember 5, 2018
538 [33] Lean D (flip)November 7, 2018
CNN [34] TossupOctober 31, 2018
Fox News [35] TossupSeptember 21, 2018
Politico [36] TossupNovember 2, 2018

Results

Iowa's 3rd congressional district, 2018
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Cindy Axne 175,642 49.3
Republican David Young (incumbent)167,93347.1
Libertarian Bryan Holder7,2672.0
Legal Marijuana Now Mark Elworth Jr.2,0150.6
Green Paul Knupp1,8880.5
Independent Joe Grandanette1,3010.4
Write-in 1950.1
Total votes356,241 100.0
Democratic gain from Republican

District 4

2018 Iowa's 4th congressional district election
Flag of Iowa.svg
  2016
2020  
  Steve King, official portrait, 110th Congress (cropped).jpg J. D. Scholten (2019).jpg
Nominee Steve King J. D. Scholten
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote157,676147,246
Percentage50.3%47.0%

2018IA04.svg
County results
King:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%
Scholten:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%

U.S. Representative before election

Steve King
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Steve King
Republican

Incumbent Republican Steve King, who had represented the district since 2013, and previously represented the 5th district from 2003 to 2013, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 61% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+11.

The 4th district went for Donald Trump in the 2016 presidential election with a 61% to 34% margin, after voting for Mitt Romney with a 53% to 45% margin in 2012. [2]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Cyndi Hanson, educational administrator [74]
Declined

Results

2018 Iowa's 4th congressional district Republican primary results by county:
Map legend
King--80-90%
King--70-80%
King--60-70% 2018IA04GOP.svg
2018 Iowa's 4th congressional district Republican primary results by county:
Map legend
  •   King—80–90%
  •   King—70–80%
  •   King—60–70%
Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Steve King (incumbent) 28,053 74.7
Republican Cyndi Hanson9,43725.1
Republican Write-ins440.1
Total votes37,534 100

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Leann Jacobsen, Spencer City Councilwoman [77]
  • John Paschen, physician [78]
Withdrawn
Declined

Results

2018 Iowa's 4th congressional district Democratic primary results by county:
Map legend
Scholten--70-80%
Scholten--60-70%
Scholten--50-60%
Scholten--40-50%
Scholten--30-40%
Jacobsen--40-50%
Jacobsen--50-60%
Jacobsen--60-70% 2018IA04Democratic.svg
2018 Iowa's 4th congressional district Democratic primary results by county:
Map legend
  •   Scholten—70–80%
  •   Scholten—60–70%
  •   Scholten—50–60%
  •   Scholten—40–50%
  •   Scholten—30–40%
  •   Jacobsen—40–50%
  •   Jacobsen—50–60%
  •   Jacobsen—60–70%
Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic J. D. Scholten 14,733 51.3
Democratic Leann Jacobsen9,17631.9
Democratic John Paschen4,80616.7
Democratic Write-ins290.1
Total votes28,744 100.0

General election

King declined to debate Scholten during the general election campaign. [83] [84]

Endorsements

J. D. Scholten (D)

U.S. Senators

Polling

Poll sourceDates
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Steve
King (R)
J.D.
Scholten (D)
OtherUndecided
NYT Upshot/Siena College [86] October 31 – November 4, 2018423± 5.0%47%42%1%9%
Emerson College [18] October 29 – November 1, 2018356± 5.5%51%42%4%
Change Research (D) [87] October 27–29, 201863145%44%
WPA Intelligence (R-King) [88] October 22–24, 2018401± 4.9%52%34%3%11%
Expedition Strategies (D-Scholten) [89] September 5–9, 2018380± 5.0%43%37%
Emerson College [23] September 6–8, 2018240± 6.5%41%31%16%

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [28] Lean RNovember 5, 2018
Inside Elections [29] Likely RNovember 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball [30] Lean RNovember 5, 2018
RCP [31] Lean RNovember 5, 2018
Daily Kos [32] Likely RNovember 5, 2018
538 [33] Likely RNovember 7, 2018
Fox News [35] Lean RSeptember 21, 2018
CNN [34] Likely ROctober 31, 2018
Politico [36] Likely RNovember 2, 2018

Results

King won by the slimmest margin of victory in his congressional electoral career. [90]

Iowa's 4th congressional district, 2018
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Steve King (incumbent) 157,676 50.3
Democratic J. D. Scholten 147,24647.0
Libertarian Charles Aldrich6,1612.0
Independent Edward Peterson1,9620.6
Write-in 2060.0
Total votes313,256 100.0
Republican hold

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Cynthia Lynne Axne is an American politician who served as the U.S. representative from Iowa's 3rd congressional district from 2019 until 2023. She is currently a senior adviser to the U.S. Department of Agriculture under the Biden Administration.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa</span>

The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa was held on November 3, 2020, to elect the four U.S. representatives from the state of Iowa, one from each of the state's four congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2022 United States Senate election in Iowa</span>

The 2022 United States Senate election in Iowa was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Iowa. Incumbent Republican Senator Chuck Grassley defeated Democratic nominee Michael Franken to win re-election to an eighth term.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2019 Des Moines mayoral election</span>

The 2019 Des Moines mayoral election had an initial round held on November 5, 2019, with a runoff scheduled for December 3 to elect the mayor of Des Moines, Iowa. It saw the reelection of incumbent mayor Frank Cownie.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa</span>

The 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa were held on November 8, 2022, to elect the four U.S. representatives from the State of Iowa, one from each of the state's four congressional districts. The elections coincided with the other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections. These were the first congressional elections held in Iowa after the 2020 redistricting cycle.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Theresa Greenfield</span> American politician from Iowa

Theresa Greenfield is an American businesswoman, government official, and former political candidate. She was the Democratic nominee for the 2020 United States Senate election in Iowa, losing to incumbent Republican Joni Ernst.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2022 Iowa gubernatorial election</span>

The 2022 Iowa gubernatorial election was held on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Iowa. Incumbent Republican governor Kim Reynolds won re-election to a second full term in a landslide, defeating Democratic nominee Deidre DeJear with 58.0% of the vote.

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Official campaign websites for first district candidates

Official campaign websites for second district candidates

Official campaign websites for third district candidates

Official campaign websites for fourth district candidates