2018 United States House of Representatives election in South Dakota

Last updated

2018 United States House of Representatives election in South Dakota, At-large district
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Nominee Dusty Johnson Tim Bjorkman
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote202,695121,033
Percentage60.33%36.03%
South Dakota House Election Results by County, 2018.svg
SD House 2018.svg
Johnson:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Bjorkman:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
Tie:     40–50%
U.S. Representative before election

Kristi Noem
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Dusty Johnson
Republican

The 2018 United States House of Representatives election in South Dakota was held on November 6, to elect the U.S. representative for South Dakota's at-large congressional district. The election coincided with other statewide, legislative, and local elections.

Contents

Incumbent Republican U.S. Representative Kristi Noem did not run for a fifth term and instead ran successfully for governor of South Dakota. [1] This was the first open seat election since 2004, and the first time a male candidate was elected since 2002. This was the last U.S. House election in South Dakota until 2024 that a Democrat appeared on the November ballot.

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Dusty
Johnson		Shantel
Krebs		Neal
Tapio		Undecided
Mason-Dixon [6] May 21–23, 2018625± 4.5%41%23%13%23%

Primary results

Results by county: .mw-parser-output .legend{page-break-inside:avoid;break-inside:avoid-column}.mw-parser-output .legend-color{display:inline-block;min-width:1.25em;height:1.25em;line-height:1.25;margin:1px 0;text-align:center;border:1px solid black;background-color:transparent;color:black}.mw-parser-output .legend-text{} Johnson 30-40% 40-50% 50-60% Krebs 30-40% 40-50% Tapio 30-40% 40-50% 2018 SD-AL Republican primary.svg
Results by county:
  Johnson
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  Krebs
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  Tapio
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Dusty Johnson 47,032 46.8
Republican Shantel Krebs 29,44229.3
Republican Neal Tapio 23,98024.0
Total votes100,454 100

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

  • Tim Bjorkman, former circuit court judge [7]

Failed to file

  • Chris Martian, former IT professional [8]

Declined

Libertarian nomination

Candidates

Declared

  • George Hendrickson, former police officer [15] [16]

Independents

Candidates

Declined

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [19] Solid RJune 1, 2018
The Rothenberg Political Report [20] Solid RJune 1, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball [21] Safe RJune 6, 2018

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Dusty
Johnson (R)		Tim
Bjorkman (D)		OtherUndecided
Change Research (D) [22] November 2–4, 2018851–51%41%5% [23] –
Emerson College [24] November 1–4, 2018514± 4.5%54%38%–5%
Mason-Dixon [25] October 18–22, 2018500± 4.5%54%31%3% [26] 12%
Public Opinion Strategies (R-Johnson) [27] August 1–3 & 5, 2018400± 4.9%54%33%–10%
Public Policy Polling (D-Bjorkman) [28] July 19–20, 2018641± 3.9%43%33%–14%

Results

South Dakota's at-large congressional district, 2018 [29]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican Dusty Johnson 202,695 60.33% −3.77%
Democratic Tim Bjorkman121,03336.03%+0.13%
Independent Ron Wieczorek7,3232.18%N/A
Libertarian George D. Hendrickson4,9141.46%N/A
Total votes335,965 100.00% N/A
Republican hold

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

See also

References

  1. 1 2 Ellis, Jonathan (November 14, 2016). "Noem announces historic bid for governor". Argus Leader . Retrieved November 15, 2016.
  2. 1 2 Pathé, Simone (November 15, 2016). "Who Could Run for Kristi Noem's At-Large Seat?". Roll Call . Retrieved November 15, 2016.
  3. ↑ Ferguson, Dana (January 29, 2018). "Former Trump state campaign director Neal Tapio announces bid for U.S. House". Argus Leader .
  4. ↑ Powers, Pat (May 20, 2017). "Man files Tennessee based Statement of Candidacy to run as Republican in South Dakota Congressional race?". South Dakota War College. Retrieved May 25, 2017.
  5. ↑ Heidelberger, Cory (May 22, 2017). "SD Republican Among First Ten Bernie-Bloomer "Brand New Congress" Candidates to File". Dakota Free Press. Retrieved May 25, 2017.
  6. ↑ Mason-Dixon
  7. ↑ Strubinger, Lee (June 7, 2018). "Bjorkman Says There's Key Differences Between Him, Johnson". South Dakota Public Radio. Retrieved April 11, 2024.
  8. ↑ Leischner, Mike (April 11, 2017). "Rapid City Democrat emerges as US House candidate". KELO . Archived from the original on April 14, 2017. Retrieved April 14, 2017.
  9. 1 2 3 Hendershot, Evan (July 7, 2017). "Democratic town hall meeting sets the stage for possible campaign announcement". Mitchell Daily Republic . Archived from the original on August 6, 2017. Retrieved August 6, 2017.
  10. 1 2 Anderson, Patrick (December 19, 2016). "Huether dumps Dems amid speculation of statewide run". Argus Leader . Retrieved April 1, 2017.
  11. 1 2 Lawrence, Tom (November 22, 2016). "The 2018 campaign is underway". Black Hills Pioneer . Retrieved November 24, 2016.
  12. ↑ Raposa, Megan (February 23, 2017). "Herseth Sandlin: 'I am done seeking political office'". Argus Leader . Retrieved April 1, 2017.
  13. ↑ Ferguson, Dana (April 12, 2017). "SD Dems' director exits for 'statewide' campaign". Argus Leader . Retrieved April 13, 2017.
  14. ↑ Ferguson, Dana (May 30, 2017). "Democrats, Sutton enter South Dakota governor race". Argus Leader . Retrieved May 31, 2017.
  15. ↑ Ferguson, Dana (July 15, 2017). "Medical cannabis advocate, former police officer enters U.S. House race". Argus Leader . Retrieved July 16, 2017.
  16. ↑ "2018 Candidates". January 8, 2018.
  17. ↑ Sneve, Joe (March 7, 2017). "Huether moves hint at 2018 run". Argus Leader . Retrieved April 1, 2017.
  18. ↑ Ferguson, Danielle; Sneve, Joe (June 22, 2017). "Mayor Mike Huether not seeking U.S. House seat". Argus Leader . Retrieved July 1, 2017.
  19. ↑ "House Maps". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved June 7, 2018.
  20. ↑ "South Dakota | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved June 7, 2018.
  21. ↑ "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2018 House". www.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved June 7, 2018.
  22. ↑ Change Research (D)
  23. ↑ Ron Wieczorek (I) with 3%, George Hendrickson (L) with 2%
  24. ↑ Emerson College
  25. ↑ Mason-Dixon
  26. ↑ Ron Wieczorek (I) with 2%, George Hendrickson (L) with 1%
  27. ↑ Public Opinion Strategies (R-Johnson) [ permanent dead link ]
  28. ↑ Public Policy Polling (D-Bjorkman)
  29. ↑ https://sdsos.gov/elections-voting/assets/2018%20Assets/2018GeneralElectionCanvassPDF.pdf

Official campaign websites

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