2014 United States Senate election in South Dakota

Last updated

2014 United States Senate election in South Dakota
Flag of South Dakota.svg
  2008 November 4, 2014 (2014-11-04) 2020  
  Mike Rounds official photo.JPG Rick Weiland.jpg Larry Pressler 1989.jpg
Nominee Mike Rounds Rick Weiland Larry Pressler
Party Republican Democratic Independent
Popular vote140,74182,45647,741
Percentage50.37%29.51%17.09%

2014 United States Senate election in South Dakota results map by county.svg
SD Senate 2014.svg
Rounds:     30–40%     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
Weiland:     30–40%     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
Pressler:     30–40%
Tie:     30–40%     40–50%

U.S. senator before election

Tim Johnson
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

Mike Rounds
Republican

The 2014 United States Senate election in South Dakota took place on November 4, 2014, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of South Dakota, concurrently with the election of the Governor of South Dakota, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Contents

Incumbent Democratic Senator Tim Johnson decided to retire instead of running for re-election to a fourth term in office. As a result, this was the first open seat election since 1978. With Mike Rounds' election, Republicans held both of South Dakota's Senate seats for the first time since 1987 and gave South Dakota an all-GOP congressional delegation for the first time since 1963.

Businessman Rick Weiland ran unopposed for the Democratic nomination, while the Republicans picked former Governor of South Dakota Mike Rounds. Also running were two independent candidates: former Republican U.S. Senator Larry Pressler, who served three terms in the Senate from 1979 to 1997, and former Republican state senator Gordon Howie.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

  • Kevin Artz, businessman [2] [3] [4]
  • Henry Jo Sinkie, rancher and resort owner [2] [5]

Declined

Endorsements

Rick Weiland

Politicians

Organizations

Polling

Hypothetical polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Brendan
Johnson
Stephanie Herseth
Sandlin
Undecided
Public Policy Polling [21] March 18–19, 2013390± 5%16%68%16%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Steve
Jarding
Brendan
Johnson
Rick
Weiland
Undecided
Nielson Brothers Polling [22] October 2–6, 2013282± 5.84%6.6%30.7%10.1%52.7%

Results

Weiland faced no opposition in the Democratic primary.

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Endorsements

Stace Nelson
  • Blaine "Chip" Campbell, state representative [35]
  • Gordon Howie, radio host, former State Senator and candidate for Governor in 2010 [35]
  • Dan Kaiser, state representative [35]
  • Elizabeth May, state representative [35]
  • Lance Russell, state representative [35]
Larry Rhoden
Mike Rounds

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Annette
Bosworth
Stace
Nelson
Larry
Rhoden
Mike
Rounds
Undecided
Harper Polling [39] September 4–5, 2013252±6.17%6%8%7%58%22%
Nielson Brothers Polling [22] October 2–6, 2013410± 4.84%2.7%10.4%3.9%46.1%37%
Public Opinion Strategies [40] April 8–10, 2014500± 4.38%8%14%7%61%9%
Hypothetical polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Kristi
Noem
Mike
Rounds
Undecided
Public Policy Polling [21] March 18–19, 2013501± 4.4%39%43%17%

Results

Results by county
.mw-parser-output .legend{page-break-inside:avoid;break-inside:avoid-column}.mw-parser-output .legend-color{display:inline-block;min-width:1.25em;height:1.25em;line-height:1.25;margin:1px 0;text-align:center;border:1px solid black;background-color:transparent;color:black}.mw-parser-output .legend-text{}
Rounds
30-40%
40-50%
50-60%
60-70%
70-80%
Rhoden
40-50%
50-60%
Nelson
40-50%
70-80% 2014 United States Senate Republican primary election in South Dakota results map by county.svg
Results by county
  Rounds
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  Rhoden
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  Nelson
  •   40–50%
  •   70–80%
Republican primary results [41]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Mike Rounds 41,377 55.54%
Republican Larry Rhoden13,59318.25%
Republican Stace Nelson13,17917.69%
Republican Annette Bosworth4,2835.75%
Republican Jason Ravnsborg2,0662.77%
Total votes74,490 100.00%

Independents and third parties

Candidates

Declared

Disqualified

  • Clayton Walker (Independent), small business consultant and Democratic candidate for state representative in 2010 [45] [46]

Withdrew

General election

Campaign

Rounds was widely seen as the front runner throughout the campaign. [49] However, he faced ongoing criticism on the election trail for his possible involvement with the State's ongoing EB-5 visa investigation, concerning the conflict of interest that Rounds' administration had when administering the EB-5 program. State officials misused funds to pay for their salaries, did not disclose that they owned companies which they gave contracts to, directed money towards companies that went bankrupt and arranged for loans from unknown sources from shell companies located in tax havens. [50] [51] [52] In October 2014, Rounds admitted that he had approved a $1 million state loan to meat-packing company Northern Beef shortly after learning that Secretary of Tourism and State Development Richard Benda had agreed to join the company, with Benda then getting another $600,000 in loans that was ultimately used to pay his own salary. [53] [54] Benda committed suicide in October 2013, days before a possible indictment over embezzlement and grand theft charges. [55]

Columnist Jonathan Ellis of the Argus Leader called Rounds' fundraising "anemic" compared to the amount of outside money coming into the state on Weiland's side, and criticized the entire Rounds campaign as "more suited for sheriff of Mayberry County than U.S. Senate." [56]

Debates

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [57] Lean R (flip)November 3, 2014
Sabato's Crystal Ball [58] Likely R (flip)November 3, 2014
Rothenberg Political Report [59] Likely R (flip)November 3, 2014
Real Clear Politics [60] Likely R (flip)November 3, 2014

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Rick
Weiland (D)
Mike
Rounds (R)
Larry
Pressler (I)
Gordon
Howie (I)
OtherUndecided
Nielson Brothers Polling [61] June 10–14, 2013500± 4.4%27%54%19%
Harper Polling [62] September 4–5, 2013517± 4.31%38%52%10%
Nielson Brothers Polling [22] October 2–6, 2013818± 3.43%35%50%15%
Public Policy Polling [63] October 10–13, 2013882± 3.3%34%40%11% [64] 15%
Rasmussen Reports [65] February 25–26, 2014500± 4.5%31%51%6%11%
Public Policy Polling^ [66] April 30 – May 1, 2014745± 3.6%28%38%15%4%15%
SurveyUSA [67] May 6–10, 2014504± 4.5%30%44%17%3%2% [68] 5%
Rasmussen Reports [65] June 4–5, 2014750± 4%29%44%18%2%7%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov [69] July 5–24, 2014631± 4.5%34%59%3%5%
Clarity Campaign Labs^ [70] July 16–23, 20143,837± 1.44%24%34%10%3%29%
Nielson Brothers Polling [71] July 23–28, 2014578± 4.04%30%43%14%4%9%
Public Opinion Strategies* [72] August 11–13, 2014500± 4.38%24%49%15%4%7%
Public Policy Polling^ [73] August 12–13, 2014726± 3.6%31%39%16%5%9%
Public Policy Polling^ [74] August 27–28, 2014709± 3.7%33%39%17%4%7%
42%45%13%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov [75] August 18 – September 2, 2014526± 6%29%43%6%1%21%
SurveyUSA [76] September 3–7, 2014510± 4.4%28%39%25%3%5%
42%44%3%11%
ccAdvertising [77] September 22–23, 20141,769± ?17%39%17%27%
Public Opinion Strategies* [78] September 22–23, 2014500± 4.38%23%41%19%4%12%
Nielson Brothers Polling [79] September 21–25, 2014647± 3.24%26%39%24%4%7%
636± 3.27%37.1%45%7%10%
623± 3.3%40%39%8%13%
Public Policy Polling^ [80] September 29–30, 2014703± 3.7%28%35%24%8%5%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov [81] September 20 – October 1, 2014382± 7%27%42%12%1%17%
SurveyUSA [82] October 1–5, 2014616± 4%28%35%32%3%2%
47%47%3%3%
39%54%3%4%
Harper Polling [83] October 9–11, 2014630± 3.9%33%37%23%5%2%
Public Opinion Strategies* [84] October 18–20, 2014500± 4.38%24%48%16%3%9%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov [81] October 16–23, 2014527± 8%25%38%17%0%21%
NBC News/Marist [85] October 19–23, 2014730 LV± 3.6%29%43%16%3%<1%7%
990 RV± 3.1%28%43%16%4%<1%9%
Mason-Dixon [86] October 20–23, 2014800± 3.5%33%42%13%2%10%
SurveyUSA [87] October 21–26, 2014611± 4%32%43%19%2%4%
Rasmussen Reports [65] October 22–26, 2014908± 3.5%31%45%21%3%
Monmouth University [88] October 24–27, 2014429± 4.7%31%45%19%1%4%
40%48%1%11%
Hypothetical polling

With Herseth Sandlin

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Stephanie Herseth
Sandlin (D)
Kristi
Noem (R)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [21] March 18–19, 20131,069± 3%48%47%5%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Stephanie Herseth
Sandlin (D)
Mike
Rounds (R)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [21] March 18–19, 20131,069± 3%44%49%7%

With B. Johnson

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Brendan
Johnson (D)
Kristi
Noem (R)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [21] March 18–19, 20131,069± 3%37%49%14%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Brendan
Johnson (D)
Mike
Rounds (R)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [21] March 18–19, 20131,069± 3%32%53%15%

With T. Johnson

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Tim
Johnson (D)
Kristi
Noem (R)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [21] March 18–19, 20131,069± 3%45%49%7%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Tim
Johnson (D)
Mike
Rounds (R)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [21] March 18–19, 20131,069± 3%41%52%7%

With Weiland

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Rick
Weiland (D)
Annette
Bosworth (R)
OtherUndecided
Harper Polling [89] September 4–5, 2013517± 4.31%38%36%26%
Nielson Brothers Polling [22] October 2–6, 2013815± 3.43%38%33%30%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Rick
Weiland (D)
Stace
Nelson (R)
OtherUndecided
Harper Polling [90] September 4–5, 2013517± 4.31%38%40%22%
Nielson Brothers Polling [22] October 2–6, 2013815± 3.43%36%35%30%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Rick
Weiland (D)
Larry
Rhoden (R)
OtherUndecided
Harper Polling [91] September 4–5, 2013517± 4.31%35%41%23%
Nielson Brothers Polling [22] October 2–6, 2013815± 3.43%37%32%31%

Results

United States Senate election in South Dakota, 2014 [92]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican Mike Rounds 140,741 50.37% +12.86%
Democratic Rick Weiland 82,45629.51%−32.98%
Independent Larry Pressler 47,74117.09%N/A
Independent Gordon Howie 8,4743.03%N/A
Total votes279,412 100.00% N/A
Republican gain from Democratic

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Maps

See also

Related Research Articles

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Mike Rounds</span> American businessman and politician (born 1954)

Marion Michael Rounds is an American businessman and politician serving as the junior United States senator from South Dakota since 2015. A member of the Republican Party, he served as the 31st governor of South Dakota from 2003 to 2011.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Stephanie Herseth Sandlin</span> American politician (born 1970)

Stephanie Marie Herseth Sandlin is an American attorney, university administrator, and politician from the Democratic Party. She represented South Dakota's at-large congressional district in the United States House of Representatives from 2004 until 2011. Sandlin was first elected to Congress in a July 2004 and won three full terms before losing to Republican Kristi Noem in 2010. She was the youngest female member of the House, and the first woman elected to the House from South Dakota. Before her 2007 marriage to Max Sandlin, she was known as Stephanie Herseth. She is a Democrat and a member of the Herseth family of South Dakota. She and Senator Tim Johnson are the last Democrats to win a statewide and/or federal election in South Dakota.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Larry Pressler</span> American politician (born 1942)

Larry Lee Pressler is an American lawyer and politician from South Dakota who served in the United States House of Representatives from 1975 to 1979, and United States Senate from 1979 to 1997, as a Republican. He remained active in politics following his failed reelection campaign in 1996 and attempted to regain his former seat in 2014 as an independent, but was unsuccessful. He has since supported Democratic tickets.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2008 United States Senate election in South Dakota</span>

The 2008 United States Senate election in South Dakota was held on November 4, 2008. Primary elections were held on June 3, 2008. Incumbent Senator Tim Johnson won re-election to a third term. As of 2024, this election alongside the simultaneous House race is the last time a Democrat won a statewide election in South Dakota. This is the last time that a Senate candidate and a presidential candidate of different political parties simultaneously won South Dakota.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Government of South Dakota</span> Government of the U.S. state of South Dakota

The structure of the government of South Dakota is based on that of the federal government, with three branches of government: executive, legislative, and judicial. The structure of the state government is laid out in the Constitution of South Dakota, the highest law in the state. The constitution may be amended either by a majority vote of both houses of the legislature, or by voter initiative.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2010 South Dakota gubernatorial election</span>

The 2010 South Dakota gubernatorial election was held on November 2, 2010, to elect the Governor of South Dakota to a four-year term. Incumbent Republican Governor Mike Rounds was ineligible to run for re-election due to term limits.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2010 United States Senate election in South Dakota</span>

The 2010 United States Senate election in South Dakota was held on November 2, 2010, along other elections to the United States Senate in other states as well as elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Republican Senator John Thune won re-election to a second term unopposed.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2014 New Mexico gubernatorial election</span>

The 2014 New Mexico gubernatorial election took place on November 4, 2014, to elect the governor of New Mexico. Incumbent Republican governor Susana Martínez successfully ran for re-election to a second term in office, defeating Democratic Attorney General Gary King, son of former governor Bruce King.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2014 South Dakota gubernatorial election</span>

The 2014 South Dakota gubernatorial election took place on November 4, 2014, to elect the Governor and Lieutenant Governor of South Dakota, concurrently with the election of South Dakota's Class II U.S. Senate seat, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Rick Weiland</span> American politician

Richard Paul Weiland is an American businessman, politician and member of the Democratic Party from the state of South Dakota. Weiland was the chief executive officer of the International Code Council, was appointed by Bill Clinton to the Federal Emergency Management Agency and served as senior advisor to former U.S. Senator Tom Daschle.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2014 United States House of Representatives election in South Dakota</span>

The 2014 United States House of Representatives election in South Dakota was held on Tuesday, November 4, 2014, to elect the U.S. representative from South Dakota's at-large congressional district, who would represent the state of South Dakota in the 114th United States Congress. The election coincided with the elections of a U.S. Senator from South Dakota, the Governor of South Dakota and other federal and state offices. Incumbent Republican U.S. Representative Kristi Noem won reelection.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Larry Rhoden</span> American politician

Larry Rhoden is an American politician and businessman serving as the 39th lieutenant governor of South Dakota since 2019.

Lora Lyn Hubbel is an American politician; a former member of the South Dakota House of Representatives and a former chair of the Minnehaha County Republican Party and the former state chair of the Constitution Party of South Dakota.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Marty Jackley</span> American lawyer

Martin J. Jackley is an American attorney and politician who is currently serving as the Attorney General of South Dakota since 2023, having previously served from 2009 to 2019. He assumed office as Attorney General again in 2023 after winning the 2022 election unopposed. He previously served as the 39th United States Attorney for the District of South Dakota. He ran unsuccessfully for Governor of South Dakota in 2018, losing the Republican primary to Kristi Noem.

Gordon K. Howie is an American politician from the state of South Dakota. As a member of the Republican Party, he served in the South Dakota House of Representatives and the South Dakota Senate. Howie ran for the Republican nomination for Governor of South Dakota in 2010. He also ran for the U.S. Senate as an Independent in the 2014 elections.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2016 United States Senate election in South Dakota</span>

The 2016 United States Senate election in South Dakota was held November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of South Dakota, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. The primaries were held June 7.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2018 South Dakota gubernatorial election</span>

The 2018 South Dakota gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2018, to elect the next governor of South Dakota. Incumbent Republican governor Dennis Daugaard was term-limited and could not seek a third consecutive term.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2020 United States Senate election in South Dakota</span>

The 2020 United States Senate election in South Dakota was held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of South Dakota, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Republican Senator Mike Rounds was reelected to a second term in office, overperforming Donald Trump in the concurrent presidential election by 4.93 points.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2018 United States House of Representatives election in South Dakota</span>

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<span class="mw-page-title-main">1930 South Dakota gubernatorial election</span>

The 1930 South Dakota gubernatorial election was held on November 4, 1930. Incumbent Democratic Governor William J. Bulow declined to run for re-election to a third term, instead opting to successfully run for the U.S. Senate. The Republican nomination was hard-fought and the primary was crowded; because no candidate received 35% of the vote, state law required that the nomination be decided at a state party convention. There, former State Senator Warren Green, the last-place finisher in the primary, defeated Secretary of State Gladys Pyle, the plurality winner. In the general election, Green faced D. A. McCullough, the state's Rural Credits Commissioner and the Democratic nominee. Despite Bulow's success in the preceding two elections, Green defeated McCullough by a decisive margin—even as Bulow himself was elected to the U.S. Senate.

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  51. "This immigration scandal drove a state official to suicide — and could give Dems the Senate". Vox . Vox Media. October 10, 2014. Retrieved October 13, 2014.
  52. "State EB-5 director signed deal with own company". Argus Leader. September 23, 2014. Retrieved October 13, 2014.
  53. "Rounds knew of Benda conflict in final days of term". Argus Leader. October 22, 2014. Retrieved October 23, 2014.
  54. "$550,000 from Northern Beef grant was used to pay Benda for two years". Capital Journal. December 13, 2013. Retrieved October 23, 2014.
  55. "AG: Benda Suicide Came Days Prior To Possible Indictment". Keloland. July 29, 2014. Archived from the original on October 23, 2014. Retrieved October 23, 2014.
  56. "Ellis: Why it's a close race for Senate". Argus Leader. October 13, 2014. Retrieved October 13, 2014.
  57. "2014 Senate Race Ratings for November 3, 2014". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
  58. "The Crystal Ball's Final 2014 Picks". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
  59. "2014 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
  60. "2014 Elections Map - Battle for the Senate 2014". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
  61. Nielson Brothers Polling
  62. Harper Polling Archived June 6, 2014, at the Wayback Machine
  63. Public Policy Polling
  64. Kurt Evans (L) 11%
  65. 1 2 3 Rasmussen Reports
  66. Public Policy Polling^
  67. SurveyUSA
  68. Clayton Walker (I) 2%
  69. CBS News/NYT/YouGov
  70. Clarity Campaign Labs^
  71. Nielson Brothers Polling [ permanent dead link ]
  72. Public Opinion Strategies*
  73. Public Policy Polling^
  74. Public Policy Polling^
  75. CBS News/NYT/YouGov
  76. SurveyUSA
  77. ccAdvertising
  78. Public Opinion Strategies*
  79. Nielson Brothers Polling
  80. Public Policy Polling^
  81. 1 2 CBS News/NYT/YouGov
  82. SurveyUSA
  83. Harper Polling
  84. Public Opinion Strategies*
  85. NBC News/Marist
  86. Mason-Dixon
  87. SurveyUSA
  88. Monmouth University
  89. Harper Polling Archived June 6, 2014, at the Wayback Machine
  90. Harper Polling Archived June 6, 2014, at the Wayback Machine
  91. Harper Polling Archived June 6, 2014, at the Wayback Machine
  92. 2014 General State Canvass

Official campaign websites (Archived)