2014 United States Senate election in Michigan

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2014 United States Senate election in Michigan
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  U.S. Rep. Gary Peters 2013 Official Photo.jpg Terri Lynn Land portrait crop.jpg
Nominee Gary Peters Terri Lynn Land
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote1,704,9361,290,199
Percentage54.61%41.33%
2014 United States Senate election in Michigan results map by county.svg
2014 United States Senate election in Michigan by Congressional District.svg
2014 United States Senate election in Michigan results map by municipality.svg
2014 United States Senate election in Michigan results map by precinct.svg
Peters:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Land:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Tie:     
U.S. senator before election

Carl Levin
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

Gary Peters
Democratic

The 2014 United States Senate election in Michigan was held on November 4, 2014, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Michigan, concurrently with the election of the governor of Michigan, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Contents

Incumbent Democratic Senator Carl Levin decided to retire instead of running for re-election to a seventh term. Primary contests took place on August 5, 2014, with U.S. Representative Gary Peters and former Michigan Secretary of State Terri Lynn Land unopposed on the Democratic and Republican primary ballots, respectively. [1] Peters defeated Land in the general election, becoming the only freshman Democratic senator in the 114th Congress.

This was the first open seat election in Michigan since 1994 and the first on this seat since 1918. This was the first election since 1990 that the winner was of a different party than the concurrent gubernatorial election.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Failed to qualify

  • Terry Whitney, technology executive [1] [3] [4]

Declined

Endorsements

Gary Peters

Politicians

Newspapers and other media

Organizations

Polling

Hypothetical polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Deborah
Dingell		Jennifer
Granholm		Dan
Kildee		Gary
Peters		OtherUndecided— Harper Polling [29] March 9–10, 2013—±23.29%57.50%6.40%12.81%45%25%—
Mitchell Research [30] March 19 & 21, 2013387±4.98%30%—

Results

Democratic primary results [31]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Gary Peters 504,102 100.00%
Total votes504,102 100.00%

Republican primary

After Terri Lynn Land declared her candidacy in June 2013, Republicans attempted to recruit U.S. Representative Dave Camp and Oakland County District Court Judge Kimberly Small to run instead. [32] Camp, after earlier having said that he was not interested in running, reconsidered it, and Land indicated that she would consider dropping out if Camp decided to run. [33] Republicans were initially reluctant to rally around Land, [34] [35] but after Camp and Small declined to run, other Republicans like U.S. Representative Justin Amash and Holland Mayor Kurt Dykstra also said no, and a late attempt to convince cardiologist Rob Steele to run failed, Land emerged as the de facto nominee. [35]

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

  • Matthew Wiedenhoeft, businessman and former minor league hockey player and coach (running for the state house) [3] [37]

Declined

Endorsements

Terri Lynn Land

Politicians

Organizations

Polling

Hypothetical polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Justin
Amash		Saul
Anuzis		Dave
Camp		Kurt
Dykstra		Roger
Kahn		Terri Lynn
Land		Pete
Lund		Jim
Murray		Mike
Rogers		G. Scott
Romney		Ronna Romney
McDaniel		Kimberly
Small		Rob
Steele		Undecided
Harper Polling [66] March 9–10, 20131,744±2.35%10.57%————8.94%——17.07%25.85%———37.56%
Mitchell Research [30] March 19 & 21, 2013438±4.68%18%————11%——21%—19%——31%
Murray Comm's [67] May 20, 20131,158±4.68%10.28%1.38%—9.93%5.18%28.84%4.66%1.21%35.66%———2.85%—
PPP [68] May 30 – June 2, 2013334±5.4%16%7%21%—1%15%——18%——2%1%20%
Harper Polling [69] September 4, 2013958±3.17%———16%—45%—————2%4%33%
—————50%——————13%37%

Results

Republican primary results [31]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Terri Lynn Land 588,084 100.00%
Total votes588,084 100.00%

Minor parties

Libertarian Party

U.S. Taxpayers Party

Green Party

Independents

Candidates

Declared

  • Jeff Jones, retired financial services industry worker and pastor [74]
  • Paul Marineau, attorney and former mayor pro tem of Douglas [75]

General election

Campaign

Early on, the open seat was considered to be competitive. However, various missteps by the Land campaign [76] as well as Land's reluctance to appear in public after suffering a meltdown in front of the media in May, [77] [78] weighed down the Land campaign, allowing Peters to open up a consistent lead in the polls beginning in September. The Republican establishment effectively gave up on Land's campaign the following month. [79] [80]

Debates

Peters agreed to four debates; Land did not respond to invitations. [81] Negotiations between the Land and Peters campaigns broke down over the format of proposed debates between the two candidates. [82]

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [83] Lean DNovember 3, 2014
Sabato's Crystal Ball [84] Likely DNovember 3, 2014
Rothenberg Political Report [85] Likely DNovember 3, 2014
Real Clear Politics [86] Likely DNovember 3, 2014

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Gary
Peters (D)		Terri Lynn
Land (R)		OtherUndecided
Harper Polling [29] March 9–10, 20131,744± 2.35%21%29%—50%
Mitchell Research [87] March 19 & 21, 2013571± 4.1%33%32%—35%
Public Policy Polling [88] May 30 – June 2, 2013697± 3.7%41%36%—23%
Denno Research [89] July 23–24, 2013600± 4%39%39%—22%
Mitchell Research [90] August 26, 20131,881± 2.23%36%39%—25%
EPIC-MRA [91] September 7–10, 2013600± 4%38%37%—25%
MRG/Mitchell Research [92] October 6–10, 2013600± 4%39%40%—21%
Public Policy Polling [93] October 14–15, 2013642± 3.9%43%36%—21%
Inside Michigan Politics [94] October 29, 2013794± 4%43%38%—19%
Denno Research [95] November 12–14, 2013600± 4%37%36%—27%
Public Policy Polling [96] December 5–8, 20131,034± 3%40%42%—18%
Harper Polling [97] January 7–8, 20141,004± 3.09%36%44%—20%
Rasmussen Reports [98] January 14–15, 2014500± 4.5%35%37%8%20%
Harper Polling [99] January 19–20, 2014750± 3.58%37%42%—21%
EPIC-MRA [100] February 5–11, 2014600± 4%38%41%—21%
Clarity Campaigns [101] February 22–23, 2014859± 2.55%46%40%—14%
Denno Research [102] March 9–10, 2014600± 4%40%37%2%22%
Marketing Resource Group [103] March 24–28, 2014600± 4.1%38%40%—22%
Public Policy Polling [104] April 3–6, 2014825± 3.4%41%36%—23%
Mitchell Research [105] April 9, 20141,460± 2.56%38%44%—18%
Harper Polling [106] April 7–8, 2014538± 4.22%40%43%—18%
Magellan Strategies [107] April 14–15, 2014875± 3.31%46%41%8%5%
Hickman Analytics [108] April 24–30, 2014502± 4.4%42%37%—21%
EPIC-MRA [109] May 17–20, 2014600± 4%44%38%—18%
Glengariff Group [110] May 20–22, 2014600± 4.3%40%35%—25%
Mitchell Research [111] June 6, 2014961± 3.16%45%42%—14%
Magellan Strategies [112] June 5 & 8, 2014753± 3.57%50%41%5%4%
Public Policy Polling [113] June 26–29, 2014578± 4.1%41%36%—24%
NBC News/Marist [114] July 7–10, 2014870± 3.3%43%37%2%19%
Denno Research [115] July 9–11, 2014600± 4%40%37%—23%
EPIC-MRA [116] July 12–15, 2014600± 4%45%36%—19%
Mitchell Research [117] July 7–17, 2014600± 4%43%38%—19%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov [118] July 5–24, 20143,849± 2.8%44%45%1%10%
Benenson Strategy Group [119] July 26–29, 2014900± 3.2%47%42%—11%
Rasmussen Reports [120] July 28–29, 2014750± 4%45%39%6%10%
Marketing Resource Group [121] July 26–30, 2014600± 4%47%40%—13%
Harper Polling [122] August 4–5, 2014549± 4.18%45%44%—11%
Mitchell Research [123] August 5, 2014626± 5%45%44%—11%
Lake Research Partners [124] August 6–11, 2014800± 3.5%42%38%—19%
EPIC-MRA [125] August 22–25, 2014600± 4%45%39%—16%
Mitchell Research [126] August 27, 20141,004± 3.09%46%44%—10%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov [127] August 18 – September 2, 20142,897± 3%42%43%2%13%
Glengariff Group [128] September 3–5, 2014600± 4%47%37%4%13%
Public Policy Polling [129] September 4–7, 2014687± 3.7%43%36%7% [130] 13%
45%40%—15%
Suffolk [131] September 6–10, 2014500± 4.4%46%37%6% [132] 11%
Denno Research [133] September 11–13, 2014600± 4%45%38%—18%
Mitchell Research [134] September 14, 2014829± 3.4%43%41%8% [135] 9%
Magellan Strategies [136] September 14–15, 2014717± 3.66%45%40%5% [137] 5%
Rasmussen Reports [120] September 17–18, 2014750± 4%41%39%5%15%
We Ask America [138] September 18–19, 20141,182± 3%42%39%5% [139] 14%
Public Policy Polling [140] September 18–19, 2014852± 3.4%47%40%—13%
Target Insyght [141] September 22–24, 2014616± 4%48%38%6%7%
EPIC-MRA [142] September 25–29, 2014600± 4%42%33%11%14%
Mitchell Research [143] September 29, 20141,178± 2.86%49%36%5% [139] 9%
Lake Research Partners [124] September 27–30, 2014600± 4%45%36%—18%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov [144] September 20 – October 1, 20142,560± 2%46%41%2%11%
Marketing Resource Group [145] September 30 – October 2, 2014600± 4%47%36%—16%
Public Policy Polling [146] October 2–3, 2014654± 3.8%49%42%—9%
Glengariff Group [147] October 2–4, 2014600± 4%44%35%6%15%
Wenzel Strategies [148] October 6–7, 2014615± 3.93%47%44%—9%
Mitchell Research [149] October 9, 20141,306± 2.71%48%43%4% [150] 6%
Mitchell Research [151] October 12, 20141,340± 2.68%50%39%4% [152] 8%
Lake Research Partners [153] October 11–13, 2014 ?± ?49%37%—14%
Clarity Campaign Labs [154] October 12–14, 2014967± 3.16%49%36%—18%
EPIC-MRA [155] October 17–19, 2014600± 4%45%34%4%16%
Mitchell Research [156] October 19, 2014919± 3.23%51%38%4% [152] 7%
Clarity Campaign Labs [157] October 19–20, 20141,032± ?48%33%—19%
Public Policy Polling [158] October 20–21, 2014723± ?53%39%—8%
Rasmussen Reports [120] October 20–22, 20141,000± 3%51%42%3%4%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov [144] October 16–23, 20142,394± 3%49%41%1%10%
Glengariff Group [159] October 22–24, 2014600± 4%48%33%6%14%
Mitchell Research [160] October 27, 20141,159± 2.88%52%38%5% [161] 5%
EPIC-MRA [162] October 26–28, 2014600± 4%50%35%5%10%
Public Policy Polling [163] November 1–2, 2014914± 3.2%51%38%4% [152] 6%
54%41%—5%
Mitchell Research [164] November 2, 20141,224± 2.8%52%40%4% [152] 4%
Hypothetical polling

With Dingell

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Deborah
Dingell (D)		Justin
Amash (R)		OtherUndecided
Mitchell Research [30] March 19 & 21, 20131,744± 2.35%38%28%—34%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Deborah
Dingell (D)		Terri Lynn
Land (R)		OtherUndecided
Mitchell Research [30] March 19 & 21, 20131,744± 2.35%31%35%—34%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Deborah
Dingell (D)		Mike
Rogers (R)		OtherUndecided
Mitchell Research [30] March 19 & 21, 20131,744± 2.35%34%29%—37%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Deborah
Dingell (D)		Ronna Romney
McDaniel (R)		OtherUndecided
Mitchell Research [30] March 19 & 21, 20131,744± 2.35%36%29%—35%

With Granholm

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Jennifer
Granholm (D)		Justin
Amash (R)		OtherUndecided
Harper Polling [29] March 9–10, 20131,744± 2.35%42%34%—23%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Jennifer
Granholm (D)		Terri Lynn
Land (R)		OtherUndecided
Harper Polling [29] March 9–10, 20131,744± 2.35%43%40%—17%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Jennifer
Granholm (D)		Mike
Rogers (R)		OtherUndecided
Harper Polling [29] March 9–10, 20131,744± 2.35%42%40%—18%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Jennifer
Granholm (D)		G. Scott
Romney (R)		OtherUndecided
Harper Polling [29] March 9–10, 20131,744± 2.35%43%40%—17%

With Levin

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Carl
Levin (D)		Justin
Amash (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [165] December 13–16, 2012650± 3.8%53%32%—15%
Public Policy Polling [166] March 2–4, 2013702± 3.7%49%34%—18%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Carl
Levin (D)		Roger
Kahn (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [165] December 13–16, 2012650± 3.8%53%31%—17%
Public Policy Polling [166] March 2–4, 2013702± 3.7%50%30%—20%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Carl
Levin (D)		Candice
Miller (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [165] December 13–16, 2012650± 3.8%52%34%—14%
Public Policy Polling [166] March 2–4, 2013702± 3.7%46%35%—19%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Carl
Levin (D)		Mike
Rogers (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [165] December 13–16, 2012650± 3.8%55%31%—14%
Public Policy Polling [166] March 2–4, 2013702± 3.7%49%33%—18%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Carl
Levin (D)		Bill
Schuette (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [165] December 13–16, 2012650± 3.8%54%32%—15%
Public Policy Polling [166] March 2–4, 2013702± 3.7%51%32%—17%

With LOLGOP

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		 LOLGOP [167] (D)Justin
Amash (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [168] May 30 – June 2, 2013697± 3.7%23%22%—55%

With Peters

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Gary
Peters (D)		Justin
Amash (R)		OtherUndecided
Harper Polling [29] March 9–10, 20131,744± 2.35%23%19%—57%
Mitchell Research [30] March 19 & 21, 20131,744± 2.35%39%29%—32%
Public Policy Polling [88] May 30 – June 2, 2013697± 3.7%42%30%—29%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Gary
Peters (D)		Saul
Anuzis (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [88] May 30 – June 2, 2013697± 3.7%44%24%—32%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Gary
Peters (D)		Dave
Camp (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [88] May 30 – June 2, 2013697± 3.7%43%31%—26%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Gary
Peters (D)		Kurt
Dykstra (R)		OtherUndecided
Mitchell Research [90] August 26, 20131,881± 2.23%38%37%—25%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Gary
Peters (D)		Roger
Kahn (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [88] May 30 – June 2, 2013697± 3.7%44%26%—30%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Gary
Peters (D)		Mike
Rogers (R)		OtherUndecided
Harper Polling [29] March 9–10, 20131,744± 2.35%20%23%—57%
Mitchell Research [30] March 19 & 21, 20131,744± 2.35%36%31%—33%
EPIC-MRA [169] May 11–15, 2013600± 4%37%30%—33%
Public Policy Polling [88] May 30 – June 2, 2013697± 3.7%42%32%—25%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Gary
Peters (D)		G. Scott
Romney (R)		OtherUndecided
Harper Polling [29] March 9–10, 20131,744± 2.35%26%29%—45%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Gary
Peters (D)		Ronna Romney
McDaniel (R)		OtherUndecided
Mitchell Research [30] March 19 & 21, 20131,744± 2.35%36%29%—35%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Gary
Peters (D)		Kimberly
Small (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [88] May 30 – June 2, 2013697± 3.7%42%26%—32%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Gary
Peters (D)		Rob
Steele (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [88] May 30 – June 2, 2013697± 3.7%44%26%—29%

Results

Peters was declared the winner right when the polls closed in Michigan.

2014 United States Senate election in Michigan [170]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Democratic Gary Peters 1,704,936 54.61% −8.05%
Republican Terri Lynn Land 1,290,19941.33%+7.48%
Libertarian Jim Fulner62,8972.01%+0.44%
Constitution Richard Matkin37,5291.20%+0.56%
Green Chris Wahmhoff26,1370.84%−0.06%
Write-in 770.00%N/A
Total votes3,121,775 100.00% N/A
Democratic hold

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

[171] [172]

By congressional district

Peters won 9 of 14 congressional districts, including four that elected Republicans. [173]

DistrictPetersLandRepresentative
1st 46.8%49.6% Dan Benishek
2nd 41.4%54.2%
Bill Huizenga
3rd 45.1%50.4% Justin Amash
4th 48.1%47.2% Dave Camp (113th Congress)
John Moolenaar (114th Congress)
5th 63.7%32.5% Dan Kildee
6th 45.9%49.4% Fred Upton
7th 48.6%47.1% Tim Walberg
8th 49.6%46.3% Mike Rogers (113th Congress)
Mike Bishop (114th Congress)
9th 59.3%36.2% Sander Levin
10th 46.6%48.5% Candice Miller
11th 49.1%47.0% Kerry Bentivolio (113th Congress)
Dave Trott (114th Congress)
12th 66.3%29.5% John Dingell (113th Congress)
Debbie Dingell (114th Congress)
13th 83.5%13.6% John Conyers
14th 80.3%17.8% Gary Peters (113th Congress)
Brenda Lawrence (114th Congress)

Post-election

Land ended up paying a fee of $66,000 to the Federal Election Commission for a violation of the Federal Election Campaign Act related to the 2014 campaign. [174] [175]

Peters would run again in 2020 to retain the Senate seat he won, [176] while Land would go on to win a seat on the Board of Governors for Wayne State University in the same year. [177]

See also

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<span class="mw-page-title-main">2018 Michigan gubernatorial election</span>

The 2018 Michigan gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2018, to elect the next governor of Michigan, concurrently with the election of Michigan's Class I U.S. Senate seat, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2018 United States Senate election in Michigan</span>

The 2018 United States Senate election in Michigan took place on November 6, 2018, in order to elect the Class 1 U.S. Senator from the State of Michigan, concurrently with a gubernatorial election, as well as other elections to the U.S. House of Representatives. This was one of ten Democratic-held Senate seats up for election in a state that Donald Trump won in the 2016 presidential election.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2020 United States Senate election in Michigan</span>

The 2020 United States Senate election in Michigan was held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent Michigan. It was held concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan</span>

The 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan were held on November 6, 2018, to elect the 14 U.S. representatives from the state of Michigan, one from each of the state's 14 congressional districts. The elections coincided with the elections of other offices, including a gubernatorial election, other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections. The filing deadline for candidates filing for the August 7 primary was April 24, 2018. Unless otherwise indicated, the Cook Political Report rated the congressional races as safe for the party of the incumbent.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2018 Michigan Attorney General election</span>

The 2018 Michigan Attorney General election took place on November 6, 2018, alongside elections to elect Michigan's governor, Class I United States Senator, Secretary of State, as well elections for Michigan's 14 seats in the United States House of Representatives, all 38 seats in the Michigan Senate and all 110 seats in the Michigan House of Representatives; to elect the Secretary of State of Michigan. Incumbent Republican Attorney General Bill Schuette was prohibited from seeking a third term due to term limits and unsuccessfully ran for Governor of Michigan instead. The Michigan GOP was unsuccessful in looking to win its 5th straight attorney general election. Along with the offices of Lieutenant Governor and Secretary of State, the nominees for attorney general were chosen by party delegates at their respective party conventions.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2018 Michigan Secretary of State election</span>

The Michigan Secretary of State election of 2018 took place on November 6, 2018, alongside Michigan's governor, Class I United States Senator, Attorney General, as well elections for Michigan's 14 seats in the United States House of Representatives, all 38 seats in the Michigan Senate and all 110 seats in the Michigan House of Representatives; to elect the Secretary of State of Michigan. Incumbent Republican Secretary of State Ruth Johnson could not seek a third term due to term limits. The Michigan Republican Party was looking to win its 7th straight Secretary of State election. Along with the offices of Lieutenant Governor and Attorney General, the nominees for Secretary of State were chosen by party delegates at their respective party conventions.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2022 Michigan gubernatorial election</span>

The 2022 Michigan gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Michigan. Incumbent Democratic Governor Gretchen Whitmer ran for re-election to a second term and faced former political commentator Tudor Dixon in the general election. Whitmer defeated Dixon by a margin of nearly 11 percentage points, a wider margin than polls indicated as well as a wider margin than Whitmer's first victory four years prior. Whitmer won independent voters by double-digit margins, which contributed to Dixon's defeat.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2014 Michigan elections</span>

A general election was held in the U.S. state of Michigan on November 4, 2014. Primary elections were held on August 5, 2014.

References

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  2. ↑ Todd Spangler (May 1, 2013). "Congressman Gary Peters to run for retiring Sen. Carl Levin's seat in 2014". Detroit Free Press . Retrieved May 23, 2013.
  3. 1 2 Jonathan Oosting (January 12, 2014). "Fringe candidates: Meet Michigan's little-known hopefuls for governor, U.S. Senate". MLive. Retrieved April 29, 2014.
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