2014 Wyoming gubernatorial election

Last updated

2014 Wyoming gubernatorial election
Flag of Wyoming.svg
  2010 November 4, 2014 2018  
Turnout63.37% Registered Decrease2.svg 6.41%
34.00% of Total Population Decrease2.svg 4.17%
  Matt Mead.jpg Pete Gosar.jpg Don Wills (cropped).jpg
Nominee Matt Mead Pete Gosar Don Wills
Party Republican Democratic Independent
Popular vote99,70045,7529,895
Percentage59.39%27.25%5.89%

2014 Wyoming gubernatorial election results map by county.svg
County results
Mead:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%
Gosar:     40–50%

Governor before election

Matt Mead
Republican

Elected Governor

Matt Mead
Republican

The 2014 Wyoming gubernatorial election was held on November 4, 2014, to elect the governor of Wyoming. The election coincided with elections to other federal and state offices.

Contents

Incumbent Republican governor Matt Mead ran for re-election to a second term in office. Mead won the election with 59% of the vote, defeating Democrat Pete Gosar, Independent candidate Don Wills and Libertarian Dee Cozzens.

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

  • Taylor Haynes, physician, rancher and Independent write-in candidate for governor in 2010 [1]
  • Cindy Hill, State Superintendent of Public Instruction [2]
  • Matt Mead, incumbent governor [3]

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Matt
Mead
Cindy
Hill
Undecided
Public Policy Polling [4] July 19–21, 2013780± 3.5%69%15%16%

Results

Results by county:
Mead
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Mead--70-80%
Mead--60-70%
Mead--50-60%
Mead--40-50%
Haynes
Haynes--40-50% 2014 WY gubernatorial Republican primary.svg
Results by county:
Mead
  •   Mead—70–80%
  •   Mead—60–70%
  •   Mead—50–60%
  •   Mead—40–50%
Haynes
  •   Haynes—40–50%
Republican primary results [5]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Matt Mead (incumbent) 53,673 54.04
Republican Taylor Haynes31,53231.75
Republican Cindy Hill12,46412.55
Republican Write-in2150.22
Republican Over Votes 260.03
Republican Under Votes 1,4021.41
Total votes99,312 100

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Results

Results by county:
Gosar-->90% 2014 WY gubernatorial Democratic primary.svg
Results by county:
  Gosar—>90%
Democratic primary results [5]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Pete Gosar 15,289 83.52
Democratic Write-in5102.78
Democratic Over Votes 50.03
Democratic Under Votes 2,50213.67
Total votes18,306 100

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [7] Solid RNovember 3, 2014
Sabato's Crystal Ball [8] Safe RNovember 3, 2014
Rothenberg Political Report [9] Safe RNovember 3, 2014
Real Clear Politics [10] Safe RNovember 3, 2014

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Matt
Mead (R)
Pete
Gosar (D)
OtherUndecided
CBS News/NYT/YouGov [11] October 16–23, 2014258± 11%58%33%0%9%
Mason-Dixon [12] October 6–8, 2014625± 4%53%28%6% [13] 13%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov [14] September 20–October 1, 2014264± 7%53%30%7%11%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov [15] August 18–September 2, 2014350± 8%53%25%12%9%
Rasmussen Reports [16] August 20–21, 2014700± 4%55%34%7%4%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov [17] July 5–24, 2014416± 5.1%53%25%16%5%
Hypothetical polling

With Mead

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Matt
Mead (R)
Dave
Freudenthal (D)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [4] July 19–21, 20131,203± 2.8%47%36%17%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Matt
Mead (R)
Gary
Trauner (D)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [4] July 19–21, 20131,203± 2.8%62%20%18%

With Hill

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Cindy
Hill (R)
Dave
Freudenthal (D)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [4] July 19–21, 20131,203± 2.8%23%57%20%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Cindy
Hill (R)
Gary
Trauner (D)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [4] July 19–21, 20131,203± 2.8%29%38%33%

Results

Results map by county with pie charts 2014 Wyoming gubernatorial election results map by county with pie chart.svg
Results map by county with pie charts
Wyoming gubernatorial election, 2014 [18]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican Matt Mead (incumbent) 99,700 59.39% −6.29%
Democratic Pete Gosar45,75227.25%+4.31%
Independent Don Wills9,8955.89%N/A
Write-in 8,4905.06%+3.85%
Libertarian Dee Cozzens4,0402.41%−0.44%
Total votes167,877 100.00% N/A
Republican hold

By county

CountyMatt Mead
Republican
Pete Gosar
Democratic
Don Wills
Independent
Dee Cozzens
Libertarian
Write-insMarginTotal
#%#%#%#%#%#%
Albany 4,52043.75%4,88547.28%3863.74%2152.08%3253.15%−365−3.53%10,331
Big Horn 2,71766.38%54513.32%2145.23%3859.41%2325.67%2,17253.07%4,093
Campbell 7,66772.38%1,26711.96%7226.82%2422.28%6946.55%6,40060.42%10,592
Carbon 2,94864.95%1,16425.64%1854.08%871.92%1553.41%1,78439.30%4,539
Converse 2,57261.24%82319.60%3448.19%791.88%3829.10%1,74941.64%4,200
Crook 1,97071.51%30411.03%1937.01%732.65%2157.80%1,66660.47%2,755
Fremont 6,65554.50%4,12633.79%5234.28%2211.81%6875.63%2,52920.71%12,212
Goshen 2,49458.65%1,06625.07%3518.25%1172.75%2245.27%1,42833.58%4,252
Hot Springs 1,15557.52%53626.69%1738.62%733.64%713.54%61930.83%2,008
Johnson 2,17966.27%81224.70%1564.74%511.55%902.74%1,36741.58%3,288
Laramie 14,27055.30%7,78030.15%1,2514.85%6262.43%1,8767.27%6,49025.15%25,803
Lincoln 4,04570.14%86715.03%4267.39%1482.57%2814.87%3,17855.11%5,767
Natrona 12,45459.11%5,79627.51%1,3906.60%3581.70%1,0725.09%6,65831.60%21,070
Niobrara 57955.89%16716.12%838.01%272.61%18017.37%39938.51%1,036
Park 6,16365.14%1,51816.04%99010.46%3733.94%4174.41%4,64549.10%9,461
Platte 1,85752.70%91525.96%2838.03%852.41%38410.90%94226.73%3,524
Sheridan 6,40067.16%2,31124.25%4574.80%1531.61%2082.18%4,08942.91%9,529
Sublette 1,75754.75%96830.17%1986.17%521.62%2347.29%78924.59%3,209
Sweetwater 6,43157.03%3,85734.20%5414.80%2432.15%2051.82%2,57422.83%11,277
Teton 3,99850.37%3,57345.01%1922.42%1151.45%600.76%4255.35%7,938
Uinta 3,25157.11%1,62028.46%3966.96%1682.95%2584.53%1,63128.65%5,693
Washakie 2,04171.79%50017.59%1214.26%1023.59%792.78%1,54154.20%2,843
Weston 1,57764.18%35214.33%32013.02%471.91%1616.55%1,22549.86%2,457
Totals99,70059.39%45,75227.25%9,8955.89%4,0402.41%8,4905.06%53,94832.14%167,877

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

References

  1. Doug Randall (April 29, 2013). "Haynes Announces Run For Governor". KGAB.com. Retrieved January 20, 2014.
  2. Doug Randall (January 31, 2013). "Hill Announces Run for Governor in 2014". KGAB.com. Retrieved January 20, 2014.
  3. Kari Gray (March 11, 2014). "Governor Matt Mead Announces 2014 Re-Election Campaign". meadforgovernor.com. Archived from the original on March 13, 2014. Retrieved March 12, 2014.
  4. 1 2 3 4 5 Public Policy Polling
  5. 1 2 "2014 Official Primary Election results" (PDF). Wyoming Secretary of State. Retrieved September 2, 2014.
  6. Ben Neary (May 17, 2014). "(Updated) Gosar announces run for Wyoming governor on Democratic side". Casper Star-Tribune . Retrieved May 18, 2014.
  7. "2014 Governor Race Ratings for November 3, 2014". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved October 1, 2018.
  8. "The Crystal Ball's Final 2014 Picks". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved October 1, 2018.
  9. "2014 Gubernatorial Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 1, 2018.
  10. "2014 Elections Map - 2014 Governors Races". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved October 1, 2018.
  11. CBS News/NYT/YouGov
  12. Mason-Dixon
  13. Dee Cozzens (L) 3%, Don Wills (I) 3%
  14. CBS News/NYT/YouGov
  15. CBS News/NYT/YouGov
  16. Rasmussen Reports
  17. CBS News/NYT/YouGov
  18. "Statewide Candidates Official Summary Wyoming General Election - November 4, 2014" (PDF). Wyoming Secretary of State. Archived from the original (PDF) on November 7, 2014. Retrieved November 16, 2014.

Official campaign websites (archived)