2008 United States House of Representatives election in Wyoming

Last updated

2008 United States House of Representatives election in Wyoming's at-large district
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  CynthiaLummis.jpg Gary Trauner (100222328).jpg
Nominee Cynthia Lummis Gary Trauner
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote131,244106,758
Percentage52.70%42.87%
Wyoming House Election Results, 2008.svg
County results
Lummis:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%
Trauner:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%
U.S. Representative before election

Barbara Cubin
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Cynthia Lummis
Republican

The 2008 United States House of Representatives election in Wyoming took place on November 4, 2008. Incumbent Republican Congresswoman Barbara Cubin declined to seek re-election. Former State Treasurer Cynthia Lummis won the Republican primary to succeed Cubin, and advanced to the general election, where she was opposed by businessman Gary Trauner, the Democratic nominee, who had previously run for the seat in 2006. Lummis defeated Trauner by a wide margin, improving significantly from Cubin's narrow victory over him two years prior.

Contents

Democratic primary

Candidates

Results

Democratic primary results [1]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Gary Trauner 24,741 100.00%
Total votes24,741 100.00%

Republican primary

Candidates

Declined to run

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Cynthia
Lummis		Tom
Sansonetti		Dan
Zwonitzer		Roy
Cohee		Matt
Mead		Swede
Nelson		Bill
Winney		Undecided
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy [9] January 18-21, 20083254%31%9%5%4%3%2%1%45%

Results

Republican primary results [10]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Cynthia Lummis 33,149 46.24%
Republican Mark Gordon26,82737.42%
Republican Bill Winney8,53711.91%
Republican Michael S. Holland3,1714.42%
Total votes71,684 100.00%

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Results

Libertarian primary results [12]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Libertarian W. David Herbert 187 100.00%
Total votes187 100.00%

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [13] Lean RNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg [14] Lean RNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball [15] Lean RNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics [16] Lean RNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics [17] TossupNovember 6, 2008

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Trauner
(D)		Lummis
(R)		Herbert
(L)		Undecided
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy [9] January 18-21, 20086254%41%40%—19%
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy [18] October 13-14, 20086254%44%43%4%9%

Results

2008 Wyoming's at-large congressional district general election results [19]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Cynthia Lummis 131,244 52.62%
Democratic Gary Trauner 106,75842.81%
Libertarian W. David Herbert11,0304.42%
Write-in 3630.15%
Total votes249,395 100.00%
Republican hold

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

References

  1. ↑ Wyoming Secretary of State, Elections Division (2008). "Democratic Statewide Candidates Official Summary Wyoming Primary Election - August 19, 2008" (PDF). Retrieved June 18, 2025.
  2. ↑ Barron, Joan (May 29, 2008). "Gordon pushes lower taxes". Casper Star-Tribune . Casper, Wyoming. p. B1. Retrieved June 18, 2025.
  3. 1 2 Miller, Jared (August 17, 2008). "GOP House race comes down to wire". Casper Star-Tribune . Casper, Wyoming. p. A1. Retrieved June 18, 2025.
  4. 1 2 Barron, Joan (April 13, 2008). "A wild election year scenario". Casper Star-Tribune . Casper, Wyoming. p. A6. Retrieved June 18, 2025.
  5. ↑ Drucker, David M. (November 14, 2007). "Crowded Race Likely for Cubin's seat". Roll Call . Retrieved June 19, 2025.
  6. ↑ "Winney fundraising trails rivals". Jackson Hole News&Guide . Jackson, Wyoming. April 23, 2008. p. 26A. Retrieved June 18, 2025.
  7. ↑ "Sansonetti won't run for House". Casper Star-Tribune . Casper, Wyoming. January 29, 2008. p. B1. Retrieved June 18, 2025.
  8. ↑ "Zwonitzer pulls out of House race". Casper Star-Tribune . Casper, Wyoming. May 9, 2008. p. B1. Retrieved June 18, 2025.
  9. 1 2 Miller, Jared (January 27, 2008). "Poll points to Trauner vs. Lummis showdown". Casper Star-Tribune . pp. A1, A14. Retrieved June 19, 2025.
  10. ↑ Wyoming Secretary of State, Elections Division (2008). "Republican Statewide Candidates Official Summary Wyoming Primary Election - August 19, 2008" (PDF). Retrieved June 18, 2025.
  11. ↑ Morton, Tom (October 6, 2008). "House candidates spar over domestic issues". Casper Star-Tribune . pp. A1, A14. Retrieved June 19, 2025.
  12. ↑ Wyoming Secretary of State, Elections Division (2008). "Libertarian Statewide Candidates Official Summary Wyoming Primary Election - August 19, 2008" (PDF). Retrieved June 18, 2025.
  13. ↑ "2008 Competitive House Race Chart". House: Race Ratings. The Cook Political Report. November 6, 2006. Archived from the original on November 6, 2008. Retrieved November 20, 2023.
  14. ↑ "2008 House Ratings". House Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. November 2, 2006. Archived from the original on November 6, 2008. Retrieved November 20, 2023.
  15. ↑ "2008 House". Sabato's Crystal Ball. November 6, 2008. Archived from the original on November 6, 2008. Retrieved November 20, 2023.
  16. ↑ "Battle for the House of Representatives". realclearpolitics.com. Real Clear Politics. November 7, 2008. Archived from the original on December 17, 2008. Retrieved December 9, 2023.
  17. ↑ "Race Ratings Chart: House". cqpolitics.com. Congressional Quarterly Inc. Archived from the original on November 6, 2008. Retrieved November 20, 2023.
  18. ↑ Miller, Jared (October 19, 2008). "Dead heat: Poll shows Lummis, Trauner race undecided entering home stretch". Casper Star-Tribune . pp. A1, A12. Retrieved June 19, 2025.
  19. ↑ Wyoming Secretary of State, Elections Division (2006). "Statewide Candidates Official Summary Wyoming General Election - November 7, 2006" (PDF). Retrieved June 17, 2025.
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