2014 United States Senate election in Wyoming

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2014 United States Senate election in Wyoming
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Nominee Mike Enzi Charlie HardyCurt Gottshall
Party Republican Democratic Independent
Popular vote121,55429,37713,311
Percentage72.19%17.45%7.90%
2014 United States Senate election in Wyoming results map by county.svg
County results
Enzi:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
U.S. senator before election

Mike Enzi
Republican

Elected U.S. Senator

Mike Enzi
Republican

The 2014 United States Senate election in Wyoming took place on November 4, 2014, to elect a member of the United States Senate for the State of Wyoming. Incumbent Republican senator Mike Enzi won re-election to a fourth term in office. Enzi held Democratic nominee Charlie Hardy to just 17.4 percent of the vote – the lowest percentage of the vote for any major party nominee in Wyoming U.S. Senate electoral history out of the 39 races conducted during the direct election era. [1]

Contents

Republican primary

No incumbent Wyoming Republican senator running for re-election in the direct vote era has failed to win their party's nomination. [2]

Candidates

Declared

  • Thomas Bleming, former mercenary and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2012 [3] [4]
  • Arthur Bruce Clifton, oil company worker [5] [6]
  • Mike Enzi, incumbent senator [7]
  • James "Coaltrain" Gregory [5]
  • Bryan E. Miller, retired air force officer and energy consultant [5]

Withdrew

Endorsements

Mike Enzi
Liz Cheney (withdrawn)
U.S. Ambassadors
Individuals

Polling

Hypothetical polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Mike
Enzi		Liz
Cheney		Undecided
Harper Polling July 17–18, 2013422± 4.77%55%21%24%
Public Policy Polling July 19–21, 2013780± 3.5%54%26%19%
Wickers Group ^ August 22–28, 2013400± 4.5%61%21%18%
Wickers Group ^ October 25–28, 2013400± 4.5%69%17%14%
  • ^ Internal poll for the Mike Enzi campaign
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Liz
Cheney		Cynthia
Lummis		Undecided
Public Policy Polling July 19–21, 2013780± 3.5%34%41%25%

Results

Results by county: .mw-parser-output .legend{page-break-inside:avoid;break-inside:avoid-column}.mw-parser-output .legend-color{display:inline-block;min-width:1.25em;height:1.25em;line-height:1.25;margin:1px 0;text-align:center;border:1px solid black;background-color:transparent;color:black}.mw-parser-output .legend-text{} Enzi 70-80% 80-90% 2014 WY US Senate Republican primary.svg
Results by county:
  Enzi
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
Republican primary results [19]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Mike Enzi (incumbent) 77,965 78.51%
Republican Bryan E. Miller9,3309.39%
Republican James "Coaltrain" Gregory3,7403.77%
Republican Thomas Bleming2,5042.52%
Republican Arthur Bruce Clifton1,4031.41%
Republican Write-in3460.35%
Republican Over Votes 510.05%
Republican Under Votes 3,9734.00%
Total votes99,312 100.00%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

  • William Bryk, attorney from New York and perennial candidate [5]
  • Charlie Hardy, retired priest and candidate for Congress in 2012 [20]
  • Al Hamburg, retired house painter, veteran and perennial candidate [5] [21] [22]
  • Rex Wilde, contracting company employee and candidate for governor in 2010 [23]

Declined

Results

Results by county: Hardy 30-40% 40-50% 50-60% Wilde 40-50% 2014 WY US Senate Democratic primary.svg
Results by county:
  Hardy
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  Wilde
  •   40–50%
Democratic primary results [19]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Charlie Hardy 7,200 39.33%
Democratic Rex Wilde3,01216.46%
Democratic Al Hamburg2,98816.32%
Democratic William Bryk1,6709.12%
Democratic Write-in2161.18%
Democratic Over Votes 310.17%
Democratic Under Votes 3,18917.42%
Total votes18,306 100.00%

Independents and Third Parties

Candidates

Declared

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [27] Solid RNovember 3, 2014
Sabato's Crystal Ball [28] Safe RNovember 3, 2014
Rothenberg Political Report [29] Safe RNovember 3, 2014
Real Clear Politics [30] Safe RNovember 3, 2014

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Mike
Enzi (R)		Charlie
Hardy (D)		OtherUndecided
CBS News/NYT/YouGov July 5–24, 2014419± 5.1%66%23%5%7%
Rasmussen Reports August 20–21, 2014700± 4%63%27%4%5%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov August 18 – September 2, 2014350± 8%66%21%4%8%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov September 20 – October 1, 2014264± 7%75%17%2%6%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov October 16–23, 2014258± 11%67%27%0%6%
Hypothetical polling
With Enzi
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Mike
Enzi (R)		Dave
Freudenthal (D)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling July 19–21, 20131,203± 2.8%54%31%—15%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Mike
Enzi (R)		Gary
Trauner (D)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling July 19–21, 20131,203± 2.8%66%19%—14%
With Cheney
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Liz
Cheney (R)		Dave
Freudenthal (D)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling July 19–21, 20131,203± 2.8%42%45%—13%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Liz
Cheney (R)		Gary
Trauner (D)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling July 19–21, 20131,203± 2.8%49%31%—20%

Results

United States Senate election in Wyoming, 2014 [31]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican Mike Enzi (incumbent) 121,554 72.19% -3.44%
Democratic Charlie Hardy29,37717.45%-6.81%
Independent Curt Gottshall13,3117.90%N/A
Libertarian Joseph Porambo3,6772.18%N/A
Write-in 4710.28%+0.17%
Total votes168,390 100.00% N/A
Republican hold

See also

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References

  1. ↑ Ostermeier, Eric (November 10, 2014). "Rock Bottom: Democrats Hit Multiple Low Water Marks in US Senate Elections". Smart Politics.
  2. ↑ Ostermeier, Eric (July 9, 2013). "Could Liz Cheney End Wyoming's GOP Incumbency Streak?". Smart Politics.
  3. ↑ "Bleming Announces Another Run for Wyoming U.S. Senate Seat". Kitsap Sun. May 17, 2013. Retrieved June 15, 2013.
  4. ↑ "Ex-Mercenary Running for Wyo. Senate Seat has 'Psychopath' in Crosshairs". U.S. News & World Report. June 28, 2013. Retrieved July 8, 2013.
  5. 1 2 3 4 5 "2014 Primary Candidate Roster" (PDF). Wyoming Secretary of State. Retrieved June 3, 2014.
  6. ↑ "Arizona man the only Democratic challenger to Wyoming Rep. Cynthia Lummi". Casper Star-Tribune. May 30, 2014. Retrieved June 3, 2014.
  7. ↑ Reilly, Mollie (July 16, 2013). "Mike Enzi Will Seek Reelection In 2014 Senate Race". Huffington Post. Retrieved July 16, 2013.
  8. ↑ Martin, Jonathan (January 6, 2014). "Liz Cheney Quits Wyoming Senate Race". The New York Times . Retrieved January 6, 2014.
  9. 1 2 3 Zeleny, Jeff (July 16, 2013). "Liz Cheney Jumps Into Wyoming Senate Race Against Mike Enzi". ABC News. Retrieved July 23, 2013.
  10. 1 2 3 4 5 Everett, Burgess (July 28, 2013). "GOP Senators to Liz Cheney: We Like Mike Enzi". Politico. Retrieved July 29, 2013.
  11. 1 2 "McCain supports Mike Enzi in race over Liz Cheney". AZCentral.com. July 21, 2013. Retrieved July 23, 2013.
  12. ↑ Burns, Alexander (July 11, 2013). "Rand Paul: I've got Mike Enzi's back vs. Liz Cheney". Politico . Retrieved July 22, 2013.
  13. ↑ Everett, Burgess (July 22, 2013). "Olympia Snowe: Liz Cheney challenge to Mike Enzi 'unfortunate'". Politico . Retrieved July 24, 2013.
  14. ↑ Hohmann, James; Burns, Alexander; Raju, Manu (July 16, 2013). "Liz Cheney announces Senate bid". Politico. Retrieved July 23, 2013.
  15. ↑ "Twitter / HeyTammyBruce: I'm thrilled w @Liz_Cheney's". Twitter.com. July 16, 2013. Retrieved July 25, 2014.
  16. ↑ "Sean Hannity Endorses Liz Cheney For Senate". Huffington Post. July 19, 2013. Retrieved July 22, 2013.
  17. ↑ Spiering, Charlie (July 22, 2013). "Conservative talk radio lining up behind Liz Cheney". Washington Examiner. Retrieved July 22, 2013.
  18. ↑ Gold, Hadas (July 22, 2013). "Rush Limbaugh lines up with Liz Cheney". Politico. Retrieved July 23, 2013.
  19. 1 2 "2014 Official Primary Election results" (PDF). Wyoming Secretary of State. Retrieved September 2, 2014.
  20. ↑ Roerink, Kyle (January 21, 2014). "Mike Enzi has new opponent: Democrat and former Catholic priest Charlie Hardy". Casper Star-Tribune . Retrieved January 22, 2014.
  21. ↑ Laura Hancock (June 1, 2014). "Felon, out-of-staters among candidates who filed to run for office". Casper Star-Tribune . Retrieved June 3, 2014.
  22. ↑ Trevor Brown (May 25, 2014). "Controversial candidate bids for U.S. Senate seat". Wyoming Tribune Eagle . Retrieved June 3, 2014.
  23. ↑ Roerink, Kyle (January 22, 2014). "Second Democrat enters race against Wyoming U.S. Sen. Enzi". Casper Star-Tribune . Retrieved January 22, 2014.
  24. ↑ Edwards-Levy, Ariel (July 23, 2013). "Liz Cheney Trails Mike Enzi In Wyoming Senate Race: Poll". Huffington Post. Retrieved July 24, 2013.
  25. ↑ Trevor Brown (April 3, 2014). "Laramie pilot is making independent Senate run". Wyoming Tribune Eagle . Retrieved June 3, 2014.
  26. ↑ Trevor Brown (April 9, 2014). "Casper cook seeks U.S. Senate seat". Wyoming Tribune Eagle . Retrieved June 3, 2014.
  27. ↑ "2014 Senate Race Ratings for November 3, 2014". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
  28. ↑ "The Crystal Ball's Final 2014 Picks". Sabato's Crystal Ball. November 3, 2014. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
  29. ↑ "2014 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
  30. ↑ "2014 Elections Map - Battle for the Senate 2014". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
  31. ↑ "Statewide Candidates Official Summary Wyoming General Election - November 4, 2014" (PDF). Wyoming Secretary of State. Retrieved November 16, 2014.
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