2014 United States Senate election in Wyoming

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2014 United States Senate election in Wyoming
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Nominee Mike Enzi Charlie Hardy Curt Gottshall
Party Republican Democratic Independent
Popular vote121,55429,37713,311
Percentage72.19%17.45%7.90%
2014 United States Senate election in Wyoming results map by county.svg
County results
Enzi:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
U.S. senator before election

Mike Enzi
Republican

Elected U.S. Senator

Mike Enzi
Republican

The 2014 United States Senate election in Wyoming took place on November 4, 2014, to elect a member of the United States Senate for the State of Wyoming. Incumbent Republican senator Mike Enzi won re-election to a fourth term in office. Enzi held Democratic nominee Charlie Hardy to just 17.4 percent of the vote – the lowest percentage of the vote for any major party nominee in Wyoming U.S. Senate electoral history out of the 39 races conducted during the direct election era. [1]

Contents

Republican primary

No incumbent Wyoming Republican senator running for re-election in the direct vote era has failed to win their party's nomination. [2]

Candidates

Declared

  • Thomas Bleming, former mercenary and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2012 [3] [4]
  • Arthur Bruce Clifton, oil company worker [5] [6]
  • Mike Enzi, incumbent senator [7]
  • James "Coaltrain" Gregory [5]
  • Bryan E. Miller, retired air force officer and energy consultant [5]

Withdrew

Endorsements

Mike Enzi
Liz Cheney (withdrawn)

U.S. Ambassadors

Individuals

Polling

Hypothetical polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Mike
Enzi		Liz
Cheney		Undecided
Harper Polling [19] July 17–18, 2013422± 4.77%55%21%24%
Public Policy Polling [20] July 19–21, 2013780± 3.5%54%26%19%
Wickers Group ^ [21] August 22–28, 2013400± 4.5%61%21%18%
Wickers Group ^ [21] October 25–28, 2013400± 4.5%69%17%14%
  • ^ Internal poll for the Mike Enzi campaign
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Liz
Cheney		Cynthia
Lummis		Undecided
Public Policy Polling [20] July 19–21, 2013780± 3.5%34%41%25%

Results

Results by county: .mw-parser-output .legend{page-break-inside:avoid;break-inside:avoid-column}.mw-parser-output .legend-color{display:inline-block;min-width:1.25em;height:1.25em;line-height:1.25;margin:1px 0;text-align:center;border:1px solid black;background-color:transparent;color:black}.mw-parser-output .legend-text{} Enzi 70-80% 80-90% 2014 WY US Senate Republican primary.svg
Results by county:
  Enzi
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
Republican primary results [22]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Mike Enzi (incumbent) 77,965 78.51%
Republican Bryan E. Miller9,3309.39%
Republican James "Coaltrain" Gregory3,7403.77%
Republican Thomas Bleming2,5042.52%
Republican Arthur Bruce Clifton1,4031.41%
Republican Write-in3460.35%
Republican Over Votes 510.05%
Republican Under Votes 3,9734.00%
Total votes99,312 100.00%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

  • William Bryk, attorney from New York and perennial candidate [5]
  • Charlie Hardy, retired priest and candidate for Congress in 2012 [23]
  • Al Hamburg, retired house painter, veteran and perennial candidate [5] [24] [25]
  • Rex Wilde, contracting company employee and candidate for governor in 2010 [26]

Declined

Results

Results by county: Hardy 30-40% 40-50% 50-60% Wilde 40-50% 2014 WY US Senate Democratic primary.svg
Results by county:
  Hardy
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  Wilde
  •   40–50%
Democratic primary results [22]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Charlie Hardy 7,200 39.33%
Democratic Rex Wilde3,01216.46%
Democratic Al Hamburg2,98816.32%
Democratic William Bryk1,6709.12%
Democratic Write-in2161.18%
Democratic Over Votes 310.17%
Democratic Under Votes 3,18917.42%
Total votes18,306 100.00%

Independents and third parties

Candidates

Declared

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [30] Solid RNovember 3, 2014
Sabato's Crystal Ball [31] Safe RNovember 3, 2014
Rothenberg Political Report [32] Safe RNovember 3, 2014
Real Clear Politics [33] Safe RNovember 3, 2014

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Mike
Enzi (R)		Charlie
Hardy (D)		OtherUndecided
CBS News/NYT/YouGov [34] July 5–24, 2014419± 5.1%66%23%5%7%
Rasmussen Reports [35] August 20–21, 2014700± 4%63%27%4%5%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov [36] August 18 – September 2, 2014350± 8%66%21%4%8%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov [37] September 20 – October 1, 2014264± 7%75%17%2%6%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov [37] October 16–23, 2014258± 11%67%27%0%6%
Hypothetical polling

With Enzi

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Mike
Enzi (R)		Dave
Freudenthal (D)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [20] July 19–21, 20131,203± 2.8%54%31%—15%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Mike
Enzi (R)		Gary
Trauner (D)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [20] July 19–21, 20131,203± 2.8%66%19%—14%

With Cheney

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Liz
Cheney (R)		Dave
Freudenthal (D)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [20] July 19–21, 20131,203± 2.8%42%45%—13%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Liz
Cheney (R)		Gary
Trauner (D)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [20] July 19–21, 20131,203± 2.8%49%31%—20%

Results

United States Senate election in Wyoming, 2014 [38]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican Mike Enzi (incumbent) 121,554 72.19% −3.44%
Democratic Charlie Hardy29,37717.45%−6.81%
Independent Curt Gottshall13,3117.90%N/A
Libertarian Joseph Porambo3,6772.18%N/A
Write-in 4710.28%+0.17%
Total votes168,390 100.00% N/A
Republican hold

By county

Vote breakdown by county
Mike Enzi
Republican 		Charlie Hardy
Democrat 		Curt Gottshall
Independent		All Others
CountyVotes%Votes%Votes%Votes%
Albany 5,67255.3%3,27631.9%1,04110.1%2742.7%
Big Horn 3,39881.9%3518.5%2486.0%2543.7%
Campbell 8,90383.6%7166.7%7036.6%2293.1%
Carbon 3,35673.5%82017.9%2836.2%1102.4%
Converse 3,25576.8%3849.1%49711.7%1012.3%
Crook 2,36984.9%1967.0%1445.2%813.0%
Fremont 8,62970.0%2,33118.9%1,1239.1%2492.0%
Goshen 3,30276.5%51111.8%4169.6%882.0%
Hot Springs 1,52975.1%1909.3%24812.2%683.3%
Johnson 2,73583.3%3209.7%1604.9%682.0%
Laramie 17,64768.2%5,56021.5%2,0437.9%6132.4%
Lincoln 4,75882.0%58010.0%3045.2%1582.7%
Natrona 14,36168.1%3,38716.1%2,85613.6%4712.3%
Niobrara 87583.3%848.0%706.7%222.1%
Park 7,69580.6%1,06611.2%5235.5%2662.7%
Platte 2,62574.0%55215.6%2848.0%882.5%
Sheridan 7,30776.5%1,47415.4%5575.8%2132.2%
Sublette 2,54679.9%41613.1%1384.3%852.7%
Sweetwater 7,65668.0%2,71124.1%6365.6%2542.2%
Teton 4,26154.4%3,10339.6%2613.3%2022.6%
Uinta 4,36876.4%89215.6%3225.6%1342.3%
Washakie 2,28079.9%2639.2%2538.9%572.0%
Weston 2,02781.6%1947.8%2018.1%632.5%

See also

References

  1. ↑ Ostermeier, Eric (November 10, 2014). "Rock Bottom: Democrats Hit Multiple Low Water Marks in US Senate Elections". Smart Politics.
  2. ↑ Ostermeier, Eric (July 9, 2013). "Could Liz Cheney End Wyoming's GOP Incumbency Streak?". Smart Politics.
  3. ↑ "Bleming Announces Another Run for Wyoming U.S. Senate Seat". Kitsap Sun. May 17, 2013. Retrieved June 15, 2013.
  4. ↑ "Ex-Mercenary Running for Wyo. Senate Seat has 'Psychopath' in Crosshairs". U.S. News & World Report. June 28, 2013. Retrieved July 8, 2013.
  5. 1 2 3 4 5 "2014 Primary Candidate Roster" (PDF). Wyoming Secretary of State. Retrieved June 3, 2014.
  6. ↑ "Arizona man the only Democratic challenger to Wyoming Rep. Cynthia Lummi". Casper Star-Tribune. May 30, 2014. Retrieved June 3, 2014.
  7. ↑ Reilly, Mollie (July 16, 2013). "Mike Enzi Will Seek Reelection In 2014 Senate Race". Huffington Post. Retrieved July 16, 2013.
  8. ↑ Martin, Jonathan (January 6, 2014). "Liz Cheney Quits Wyoming Senate Race". The New York Times . Retrieved January 6, 2014.
  9. 1 2 3 Zeleny, Jeff (July 16, 2013). "Liz Cheney Jumps Into Wyoming Senate Race Against Mike Enzi". ABC News. Retrieved July 23, 2013.
  10. 1 2 3 4 5 Everett, Burgess (July 28, 2013). "GOP Senators to Liz Cheney: We Like Mike Enzi". Politico. Retrieved July 29, 2013.
  11. 1 2 "McCain supports Mike Enzi in race over Liz Cheney". AZCentral.com. July 21, 2013. Retrieved July 23, 2013.
  12. ↑ Burns, Alexander (July 11, 2013). "Rand Paul: I've got Mike Enzi's back vs. Liz Cheney". Politico . Retrieved July 22, 2013.
  13. ↑ Everett, Burgess (July 22, 2013). "Olympia Snowe: Liz Cheney challenge to Mike Enzi 'unfortunate'". Politico . Retrieved July 24, 2013.
  14. ↑ Hohmann, James; Burns, Alexander; Raju, Manu (July 16, 2013). "Liz Cheney announces Senate bid". Politico. Retrieved July 23, 2013.
  15. ↑ "Twitter / HeyTammyBruce: I'm thrilled w @Liz_Cheney's". Twitter.com. July 16, 2013. Retrieved July 25, 2014.
  16. ↑ "Sean Hannity Endorses Liz Cheney For Senate". Huffington Post. July 19, 2013. Retrieved July 22, 2013.
  17. ↑ Spiering, Charlie (July 22, 2013). "Conservative talk radio lining up behind Liz Cheney". Washington Examiner. Retrieved July 22, 2013.
  18. ↑ Gold, Hadas (July 22, 2013). "Rush Limbaugh lines up with Liz Cheney". Politico. Retrieved July 23, 2013.
  19. ↑ Harper Polling
  20. 1 2 3 4 5 6 Public Policy Polling
  21. 1 2 Wickers Group ^
  22. 1 2 "2014 Official Primary Election results" (PDF). Wyoming Secretary of State. Retrieved September 2, 2014.
  23. ↑ Roerink, Kyle (January 21, 2014). "Mike Enzi has new opponent: Democrat and former Catholic priest Charlie Hardy". Casper Star-Tribune . Retrieved January 22, 2014.
  24. ↑ Laura Hancock (June 1, 2014). "Felon, out-of-staters among candidates who filed to run for office". Casper Star-Tribune . Retrieved June 3, 2014.
  25. ↑ Trevor Brown (May 25, 2014). "Controversial candidate bids for U.S. Senate seat". Wyoming Tribune Eagle . Retrieved June 3, 2014.
  26. ↑ Roerink, Kyle (January 22, 2014). "Second Democrat enters race against Wyoming U.S. Sen. Enzi". Casper Star-Tribune . Retrieved January 22, 2014.
  27. ↑ Edwards-Levy, Ariel (July 23, 2013). "Liz Cheney Trails Mike Enzi In Wyoming Senate Race: Poll". Huffington Post. Retrieved July 24, 2013.
  28. ↑ Trevor Brown (April 3, 2014). "Laramie pilot is making independent Senate run". Wyoming Tribune Eagle . Retrieved June 3, 2014.
  29. ↑ Trevor Brown (April 9, 2014). "Casper cook seeks U.S. Senate seat". Wyoming Tribune Eagle . Retrieved June 3, 2014.
  30. ↑ "2014 Senate Race Ratings for November 3, 2014". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
  31. ↑ "The Crystal Ball's Final 2014 Picks". Sabato's Crystal Ball. November 3, 2014. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
  32. ↑ "2014 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
  33. ↑ "2014 Elections Map - Battle for the Senate 2014". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
  34. ↑ CBS News/NYT/YouGov
  35. ↑ Rasmussen Reports
  36. ↑ CBS News/NYT/YouGov
  37. 1 2 CBS News/NYT/YouGov
  38. ↑ "Statewide Candidates Official Summary Wyoming General Election - November 4, 2014" (PDF). Wyoming Secretary of State. Retrieved November 16, 2014.

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