2020 Indiana gubernatorial election

Last updated

2020 Indiana gubernatorial election
Flag of Indiana.svg
←  2016 November 3, 2020 2024  →
  Holcomb Official Headshot (cropped).jpg WoodyMyers.png Donald Rainwater (cropped).png
Nominee Eric Holcomb Woody Myers Donald Rainwater
Party Republican Democratic Libertarian
Running mate Suzanne Crouch Linda Lawson William Henry
Popular vote1,706,727968,094345,569
Percentage56.51%32.05%11.44%
2020 Indiana gubernatorial election results map by county.svg
2020 Indiana gubernatorial election results by congressional district.svg
IN Governor 2020.svg
Holcomb:     30–40%     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Myers:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Tie:     40–50%     50%     No data
Governor before election

Eric Holcomb
Republican

Elected Governor

Eric Holcomb
Republican

The 2020 Indiana gubernatorial election was won by incumbent Republican Eric Holcomb on November 3, 2020. The election was held concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Contents

Holcomb was eligible to run for re-election to a second term in office, and announced his intention to do so on July 13, 2019, alongside his lieutenant governor, Suzanne Crouch. [1] He faced Democrat Woody Myers, the former health commissioner of Indiana (and later, of New York City) and his running mate, Linda Lawson, the former minority leader of the Indiana House of Representatives, in addition to Libertarian Donald Rainwater, a U.S. Navy veteran and his running mate William Henry. [2] [3] Primary elections were held on June 2; Holcomb and Myers ran unopposed.

In the general election, Holcomb won re-election to a second term. Myers also became the first major party candidate to receive fewer than one million votes since Republican David McIntosh in 2000. [4] The election was also notable for the strong performance of Libertarian candidate Rainwater, who finished in second place, behind Holcomb and ahead of Myers, in over one-third of Indiana's counties, 33 out of 92. [5] The stronger-than-expected performance by Rainwater was perceived to be a reaction to Governor Holcomb's response to the COVID-19 pandemic, with Rainwater pushing for fewer government restrictions. [6]

The Associated Press's large-scale pre-election survey found that Eric Holcomb won white Hoosiers 62–27%, while Myers won black Hoosiers 76–20%. [7]

This election marked the worst performance by a Democratic candidate for governor in Indiana history. [8]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Removed from ballot

Declined

Results

Republican primary results [15]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Eric Holcomb (incumbent) 524,496 100.00%
Total votes524,496 100.00%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Withdrew

Declined

Results

Democratic primary results [15]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Woody Myers 408,230 100.00%
Total votes408,230 100.00%

Libertarian convention

Candidates

Nominee

  • Running mate: William Henry

Eliminated at convention

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [29] Safe ROctober 23, 2020
Inside Elections [30] Safe ROctober 28, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball [31] Safe RNovember 2, 2020
Politico [32] Likely RNovember 2, 2020
Daily Kos [33] Safe ROctober 28, 2020
RCP [34] Safe RNovember 2, 2020
270towin [35] Safe RNovember 2, 2020

Endorsements

Woody Myers (D)

U.S. vice presidents

U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

State officials

State senators

  • Jean Breaux, Member of the Indiana Senate from the 34th district (2006–present) [42]
  • J. D. Ford, Member of the Indiana Senate from the 34th district (2018–present) [42]
  • Tim Lanane, Minority Leader of the Indiana Senate (2008–present) and Member of the Indiana Senate from the 25th district (1997–present) [42]
  • Eddie Melton, Member of the Indiana Senate from the 34th district (2016–present) [42]

State representatives

Local officials

Donald Rainwater (L)

Organizations

State representatives

  • Jim Lucas (R), Member of the Indiana House of Representatives from the 69th district (2012–present) [45]

Individuals

Polling

Graphical summary

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [a] 		Margin
of error		Eric
Holcomb (R)		Woody
Myers (D)		Donald
Rainwater (L)		Other /
Undecided
Cygnal [47] October 21–23, 2020600 (LV)± 4%47%29%15%10% [b]
Ragnar Research (R) [48] October 18–21, 2020529 (LV)± 4%52%26%14%8% [c]
SurveyUSA [49] [A] October 10–13, 2020527 (LV)± 5.2%55%25%10%11% [d]
BK Strategies (R) [50] [B] October 4–5, 2020600 (LV)± 4%60%21%8%11%
Change Research [51] September 3–7, 20201,033 (LV)± 3.1%36%30%24%10%
BK Strategies (R) [52] [B] May 20–21, 2020600 (LV)± 4%64%21%–15%
Change Research [53] April 10–13, 20201,021 (LV)± 3.1%45%25%8%22% [e]

Results

Holcomb won reelection by over 24 percentage points, the biggest margin of victory for an Indiana gubernatorial candidate since Evan Bayh in 1992 as well as the biggest ever for a Republican. Exit polls show Holcomb won over 30% of voters who voted for Democrat Joe Biden for president. This is also one of the strongest performances for a third-party candidate in a statewide election in Indiana, with Libertarian nominee Donald Rainwater receiving over 11% of the total vote. Rainwater outperformed Myers in several counties; his best performance was in Putnam County, where he received nearly 26% of the vote.

Indiana gubernatorial election, 2020 [54] [55] [56]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican
1,706,727 56.51% +5.13%
Democratic
968,09432.05%−13.37%
Libertarian
  • Donald Rainwater
  • William Henry
345,56711.44%+8.24%
Total votes3,020,388 100.00% N/A
Turnout 3,068,62565.58%
Registered electors 4,751,370
Republican hold

By county

Vote breakdown by county [54]
Holcomb/Crouch
Republican		Myers/Lawson
Democratic		Rainwater/Henry
Libertarian		Total
CountyVotes %Votes %Votes %Votes
Adams 9,44166.7%2,14315.1%2,57018.2%14,154
Allen 98,40658.5%53,89532.0%16,0119.5%168,312
Bartholomew 21,95960.9%9,01325.0%5,06514.1%36,037
Benton 2,81568.7%67116.4%61415.0%4,100
Blackford 3,33363.1%93317.7%1,01719.3%5,283
Boone 23,73761.7%9,66125.1%5,09413.2%38,492
Brown 4,95355.3%2,38126.6%1,62318.1%8,957
Carroll 6,07763.9%1,56916.5%1,86419.6%9,510
Cass 8,83358.3%3,37322.3%2,94019.4%15,146
Clark 34,66960.4%19,07733.2%3,6806.4%57,426
Clay 8,16467.0%1,78014.6%2,24218.4%12,186
Clinton 7,97161.8%2,40618.7%2,51419.5%12,891
Crawford 3,06463.1%1,24225.6%55311.4%4,859
Daviess 8,31370.1%1,53112.9%2,01617.0%11,860
Dearborn 18,35372.6%4,55918.0%2,3839.4%25,295
Decatur 7,91164.5%1,56212.7%2,78722.7%12,260
Dekalb 13,04266.9%3,29316.9%3,15816.2%19,493
Delaware 26,82956.0%15,63832.6%5,48211.4%47,949
Dubois 14,40366.7%4,58621.2%2,59912.0%21,588
Elkhart 46,22362.1%20,51227.6%7,69010.3%74,425
Fayette 6,93369.0%1,70717.0%1,41414.1%10,054
Floyd 24,97260.0%14,94835.9%1,6694.0%41,589
Fountain 5,18965.3%1,15014.5%1,61320.3%7,952
Franklin 8,63373.0%1,69014.3%1,49912.7%11,822
Fulton 5,43659.6%1,60317.6%2,08422.8%9,123
Gibson 11,60772.0%2,99018.5%1,5339.5%16,130
Grant 16,84762.3%5,84921.6%4,32516.0%27,021
Greene 9,57965.2%2,51117.1%2,60417.7%14,694
Hamilton 117,74960.8%58,71430.3%17,1218.8%193,584
Hancock 25,64759.9%8,53819.9%8,62420.1%42,809
Harrison 14,08369.7%4,51422.3%1,6027.9%20,199
Hendricks 50,69757.5%23,17926.3%14,24616.2%88,122
Henry 12,49159.3%4,12819.6%4,44221.1%21,061
Howard 24,35960.1%9,87124.3%6,31715.6%40,547
Huntington 11,75966.3%2,80415.8%3,16817.9%17,731
Jackson 11,71461.2%3,23416.9%4,18821.9%19,136
Jasper 10,37867.5%2,90418.9%2,08913.6%15,371
Jay 5,22762.2%1,24014.8%1,93823.1%8,405
Jefferson 9,07662.4%3,71125.5%1,75012.0%14,537
Jennings 7,54762.1%1,93015.9%2,67622.0%12,153
Johnson 47,46761.4%17,63022.8%12,17715.8%77,274
Knox 11,21070.8%2,80917.7%1,82111.5%15,840
Kosciusko 23,02964.6%5,78416.2%6,84519.2%35,658
Lagrange 7,52071.1%1,69016.0%1,36512.9%10,575
Lake 94,84143.7%112,35251.7%10,0394.6%217,232
LaPorte 26,12953.7%18,13337.3%4,3569.0%48,618
Lawrence 13,37164.1%3,61617.3%3,88118.6%20,868
Madison 29,43456.8%14,25427.5%8,11815.7%51,806
Marion 152,40539.0%203,47552.1%34,9748.9%390,854
Marshall 13,14566.4%4,02520.3%2,63413.3%19,804
Martin 3,23263.1%70913.9%1,17723.0%5,118
Miami 9,20864.1%2,43917.0%2,71418.9%14,361
Monroe 24,60539.4%33,03352.8%4,8857.8%62,523
Montgomery 10,58761.6%2,81216.4%3,78522.0%17,184
Morgan 22,16161.6%5,60215.6%8,18422.8%35,947
Newton 4,35866.5%1,14817.5%1,05016.0%6,556
Noble 12,49865.5%3,23717.0%3,35317.6%19,088
Ohio 2,21069.4%64120.1%33510.5%3,186
Orange 5,59163.8%1,95222.3%1,21613.9%8,759
Owen 5,85759.5%1,85218.8%2,13721.7%9,846
Parke 4,76668.4%1,12716.2%1,07915.5%6,972
Perry 5,52363.9%2,51829.1%6077.0%8,648
Pike 4,19968.4%1,09217.8%85013.8%6,141
Porter 45,99653.2%33,39738.6%7,1318.2%86,524
Posey 9,64872.9%2,77321.0%8096.1%13,230
Pulaski 3,87467.2%1,01917.7%87515.2%5,768
Putnam 9,37556.7%2,87617.4%4,26925.8%16,520
Randolph 7,39967.3%1,86316.9%1,73215.8%10,994
Ripley 9,51867.0%2,23115.7%2,45817.3%14,207
Rush 4,94962.8%1,21515.4%1,71621.8%7,880
Scott 6,06560.8%2,29723.0%1,61316.2%9,975
Shelby 12,26961.8%3,49917.6%4,09920.6%19,867
Spencer 7,27268.2%2,46123.1%9268.7%10,659
St. Joseph 60,69652.9%48,61042.4%5,3874.7%114,693
Starke 6,73066.1%2,02619.9%1,42714.0%10,183
Steuben 11,40770.9%2,93918.3%1,73910.8%16,085
Sullivan 6,00967.4%1,55017.4%1,35715.2%8,916
Switzerland 2,84669.8%82220.1%41210.1%4,080
Tippecanoe 37,97953.3%26,17936.8%7,0579.9%71,215
Tipton 5,16964.0%1,20014.9%1,70721.1%8,076
Union 2,53373.2%60317.4%3239.3%3,459
Vanderburgh 46,49060.1%27,24235.2%3,6584.7%77,390
Vermillion 4,93866.9%1,53120.7%91712.4%7,386
Vigo 25,91759.8%13,99932.3%3,4197.9%43,335
Wabash 9,11162.8%2,42116.7%2,97920.5%14,511
Warren 3,00967.5%67215.1%77717.4%4,458
Warrick 22,70367.7%9,07427.1%1,7475.2%33,524
Washington 7,91965.6%2,40819.9%1,74614.5%12,073
Wayne 16,91461.2%7,53427.3%3,17211.5%27,620
Wells 9,37166.7%1,96714.0%2,71219.3%14,050
White 7,33465.8%1,97817.8%1,82616.4%11,138
Whitley 11,52266.0%2,73815.7%3,19118.3%17,451

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

Holcomb won 7 of 9 congressional districts. [57]

DistrictHolcombMyersRainwaterRepresentative
1st 47%48%6% Frank J. Mrvan
2nd 59%31%10% Jackie Walorski
3rd 62%24%13% Jim Banks
4th 59%25%16% Jim Baird
5th 56%34%10% Victoria Spartz
6th 63%22%15% Greg Pence
7th 37%53%10% André Carson
8th 65%25%10% Larry Bucshon
9th 58%30%12% Trey Hollingsworth

Notes

  1. ↑ Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ↑ Undecided with 10%
  3. ↑ Undecided with 8%
  4. ↑ Undecided with 11%
  5. ↑ Undecided with 22%

Partisan clients

  1. ↑ Polling's funding was crowdsourced by Election Twitter.
  2. 1 2 Poll sponsored by Eric Holcomb's campaign

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References

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  2. ↑ "2020 General Election Candidate List - Abbreviated" (PDF). Indiana Secretary of State (Election Division). Archived from the original (PDF) on October 3, 2020. Retrieved October 2, 2020.
  3. ↑ "Libertarian governor candidate Donald Rainwater to visit Kokomo". Kokomo Tribune. October 22, 2020. Retrieved October 24, 2020.
  4. ↑ "2000 Gubernatorial General Election Results - Indiana" . Retrieved March 31, 2023.
  5. ↑ Martin, Ryan; Sikich, Chris. "'We sent a message': Donald Rainwater doesn't win, sets Indiana Libertarian record". IndyStar. Retrieved May 8, 2021.
  6. ↑ Sikich, Chris. "Indiana Libertarian candidate for governor targets voters upset by COVID-19 mandates". The Indianapolis Star. Retrieved March 16, 2022.
  7. ↑ "Poll Results". November 3, 2021.
  8. ↑ "Our Campaigns - Container Detail Page". www.ourcampaigns.com. Retrieved March 18, 2022.
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  10. ↑ Smith, Brandon (September 11, 2019). "Carmel Republican Files For Potential Holcomb Challenge". WFYI. Retrieved September 21, 2019.
  11. ↑ Sikich, Chris (September 11, 2019). "Westfield Republican signs up to challenge Gov. Holcomb in primary". Indianapolis Star. Retrieved September 23, 2019.
  12. ↑ Berman, Eric (February 21, 2020). "CHALLENGERS TO HOLCOMB AND BAIRD BOOTED FROM PRIMARY BALLOT". WIBC. Retrieved February 22, 2020.
  13. ↑ "Hill challenging Holcomb? A fool's errand". howeypolitics.com. Archived from the original on April 24, 2018. Retrieved April 24, 2018.
  14. ↑ "Indiana Attorney General Curtis Hill announces re-election campaign". WNDU. November 14, 2019. Retrieved December 1, 2019.
  15. 1 2 "Indiana State Primary Election Results 2020". Indiana Secretary of State. June 3, 2020. Retrieved June 3, 2020.
  16. ↑ Davies, Tom (July 11, 2019). "Business executive enters 2020 Indiana governor's race". AP News. Retrieved July 11, 2019.
  17. ↑ Johnson, Dirk (January 20, 1990). "Man in the News: Woodrow Augustus Myers Jr.; A Commissioner Who Knows Strife". The New York Times. ISSN   0362-4331 . Retrieved October 2, 2020.
  18. ↑ VanTryon, Matthew (May 8, 2020). "Indiana Democratic gubernatorial candidate Woody Myers names running mate". The Indianapolis Star . Retrieved September 23, 2020.
  19. ↑ "Senator Eddie Melton withdraws from Indiana's governor race". FOX 59. January 6, 2020. Retrieved January 7, 2020.
  20. ↑ Sikich, Chris (February 6, 2020). "Democrat Josh Owens withdraws from governor's race, endorses Woody Myers". Indianapolis Star.
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  24. ↑ Hakim-Shabazz, Abdul (August 13, 2019). "Macer Not Running For Governor". Indy Politics. Retrieved August 13, 2019.
  25. ↑ Langhorne, Thomas B. (December 10, 2019). "Former Evansville mayor Weinzapfel will run for Attorney General". Courier & Press.
  26. ↑ Hakim-Shabazz, Abdul (February 29, 2020). "LIBERTARIAN GUBERNATORIAL CANDIDATES DEBATE". Indy Politics. Retrieved March 2, 2020.
  27. ↑ WTHR.com Staff. "Indiana Libertarians nominate Rainwater for Governor". wthr.com. Archived from the original on March 10, 2020. Retrieved March 3, 2020.
  28. ↑ "First Church of Cannabis founder Bill Levin running for Indiana governor". RTV6 Indianapolis. July 1, 2019. Retrieved July 1, 2019.
  29. ↑ "2020 Governor Race Ratings for October 23, 2020". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved March 11, 2021.
  30. ↑ "2020 Gubernatorial Ratings". insideelections.com. Retrieved March 11, 2021.
  31. ↑ "2020 Gubernatorial race ratings". Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball. November 2, 2020. Retrieved March 13, 2021.
  32. ↑ "We rated every gubernatorial race in 2020. Here's who we think will win". Politico. Retrieved November 19, 2019.
  33. ↑ "2020 Governor Race Ratings". Daily Kos. June 1, 2020. Retrieved June 5, 2020.
  34. ↑ "2020 Governor Races". RealClearPolitics. June 13, 2020. Retrieved June 14, 2020.
  35. ↑ "2020 Gubernatorial Elections Map". 270towin.
  36. ↑ "2020 Endorsements" . Retrieved October 31, 2020.
  37. ↑ "Endorsements". Governor Eric Holcomb. Archived from the original on September 22, 2020. Retrieved September 17, 2020.
  38. ↑ "Indiana Endorsements" . Retrieved September 19, 2020.
  39. ↑ "Indiana Grades & Endorsements". nrapvf.org. NRA-PVF. Archived from the original on November 3, 2020. Retrieved February 15, 2023.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: unfit URL (link)
  40. ↑ "Endorsements". Archived from the original on November 21, 2020. Retrieved October 31, 2020.
  41. ↑ Carden, Dan (September 16, 2020). "Biden calls on Hoosiers to elect Dr. Woody Myers as Indiana governor". The Times of Northwest Indiana.
  42. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 "ENDORSERS". Archived from the original on October 8, 2020. Retrieved November 20, 2020.
  43. ↑ "Republican Jennifer McCormick is endorsing Democrats in Indiana election". IndyStar.
  44. ↑ "Indiana NORML". www.facebook.com.
  45. ↑ Hakim-Shabazz, Abdul. "Lucas endorses Rainwater for governor". IndyPolitics. Retrieved September 17, 2020.
  46. ↑ "Indiana Conservatives Bail on Holcomb's GOP". September 20, 2020.
  47. ↑ Cygnal
  48. ↑ Ragnar Research (R)
  49. ↑ SurveyUSA
  50. ↑ BK Strategies (R)
  51. ↑ Change Research
  52. ↑ BK Strategies (R)
  53. ↑ Change Research
  54. 1 2 "Indiana Election Results". Indiana Election Division. November 23, 2020. Retrieved November 23, 2020.
  55. ↑ "Indiana Election Results". enr.indianavoters.in.gov. Retrieved March 31, 2023.
  56. ↑ https://www.in.gov/sos/elections/voter-information/files/Election_Turnout_and_Registration_20201202_052923PM.pdf [ bare URL PDF ]
  57. ↑ "Our Campaigns - IN Governor Race - Nov 03, 2020". www.ourcampaigns.com. Retrieved August 18, 2024.

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