2020 United States presidential election in Utah

Main article: 2020 United States presidential election

2020 United States presidential election in Utah

←  2016 November 3, 2020 2024  →
Turnout	69.17% (of registered voters) [1]
Nominee Donald Trump Joe Biden Party Republican Democratic Home state Florida Delaware Running mate Mike Pence Kamala Harris Electoral vote 6 0 Popular vote 865,140 560,282 Percentage 58.13% 37.65%
County Results Precinct Results Trump   40–50%   50–60%   60–70%   70–80%   80–90%   90–100% Biden   40–50%   50–60%   60–70%   70–80%   80–90%   90–100% Tie/No Data
President before election Donald Trump Republican Elected President Joe Biden Democratic

The 2020 United States presidential election in Utah was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. ^[2] Utah voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. Utah has six electoral votes in the Electoral College. ^[3]

Prior to the election, all 14 news organizations projected Utah as leaning towards Trump, or a safe red state. Throughout the campaign, Trump did not exceed 60% in a single poll conducted. Some polls even showed the president leading by single digits against Biden, likely indicating a closer than normal contest in this traditionally Republican stronghold. In past elections, Utah has often given the GOP nominee one of their largest victories in the nation, having awarded George W. Bush and Mitt Romney over 70% of the vote in 2004 and 2012, respectively. However, Trump only won Utah with 58.1% of the vote and a margin of 20.5%, which although an improvement on his 18.1% margin over Hillary Clinton in 2016, is still relatively narrow compared to past Republican nominees. He performed strongly in rural areas, as well as in some larger counties like Utah (Provo), Davis (Farmington), and Weber (Ogden). Trump improved over his 45.5% plurality win in 2016, due in part to the lack of a strong third party presence, as Evan McMullin, who endorsed Biden, ^{[4] [5]} earned 21.5% of the vote that year. The election was far more of a two-party contest in 2020, with third parties receiving 4.2% of the vote, compared to 27% in 2016. Despite this, the Associated Press reported a less partisan and more cooperative cultural environment in Utah compared to other states during the election. ^[6]

With no major third-party challenges, Trump improved his vote share by 13% while Biden improved on Hillary Clinton's 2016 results by 10.3 percentage points. Biden's improvement garnered him the highest percentage by a Democratic presidential nominee in Utah since Lyndon Johnson won with 54.9% of the vote in 1964, as Biden overtook the vote shares of Hubert Humphrey in 1968, Barack Obama in 2008, and Jimmy Carter in 1976 (the only other Democratic nominees to surpass a third of the state's vote since 1964). Biden's greatest support came from Salt Lake County, the state's most populous county, where he won 53.7%, the first outright majority for a Democratic nominee in the county since Johnson in 1964. Biden also won Summit County (Park City), which, along with Salt Lake, was one of two counties in the state Hillary Clinton had carried in 2016 (and the only one where she had won a majority); and he flipped Grand County (Moab), which had voted Democratic in 1992 and 2008. ^[7]

Per exit polls by the Associated Press, Trump's strength in Utah came from Mormons. 53% of voters identified as Mormons, and Trump received 72% of their votes. ^[8] Trump also won the suburban areas, which make up 57% of the state, with 54% of the vote. ^[8]

Utah is also one of the six states (along with Arkansas, Nevada, California, Florida, and Hawaii) as well as the District of Columbia in which Trump's margin increased from 2016.

Primary elections

Republican primary

Further information: 2020 Utah Republican presidential primary

The Republican primary was held on March 3, 2020. Utah politicians Jon Huntsman and Mitt Romney both declined to run against Trump.

This section is an excerpt from 2020 Utah Republican presidential primary § UTresults.[ edit ]

2020 Utah Republican presidential primary ^{[9] [10] [11]}

Candidate	Votes	%	Estimated delegates
Donald Trump (incumbent)	302,751	87.79%	40
Bill Weld	23,652	6.86%	0
Joe Walsh (withdrawn)	7,509	2.18%	0
Matthew John Matern	5,751	1.67%	0
Robert Ardini	3,971	1.15%	0
Bob Ely	1,218	0.35%	0
Total	344,852	100%	40

Democratic primary

Further information: 2020 Utah Democratic presidential primary

The Democratic primary was held on March 3, 2020. Elizabeth Warren, Bernie Sanders, and former Vice President Joe Biden were among the major declared candidates. ^{[12] [13]}

This section is an excerpt from 2020 Utah Democratic presidential primary § UTresults.[ edit ]

2020 Utah Democratic presidential primary ^[14]

Candidate	Votes	%	Delegates [15]
Bernie Sanders	79,728	36.14	16 [lower-alpha 1]
Joe Biden	40,674	18.44	7 [lower-alpha 2]
Elizabeth Warren	35,727	16.20	3 [lower-alpha 3]
Michael Bloomberg	33,991	15.41	3 [lower-alpha 4]
Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn) [lower-alpha 5]	18,734	8.49
Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn) [lower-alpha 5]	7,603	3.45
Tulsi Gabbard	1,704	0.77
Andrew Yang (withdrawn)	950	0.43
Tom Steyer (withdrawn) [lower-alpha 5]	703	0.32
Marianne Williamson (withdrawn)	220	0.10
Julian Castro (withdrawn)	159	0.07
Cory Booker (withdrawn)	138	0.06
Deval Patrick (withdrawn)	55	0.02
Other candidates	196	0.09
Total	220,582	100%	29

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report [16]	Likely R	November 3, 2020
Inside Elections [17]	Likely R	November 3, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball [18]	Likely R	November 3, 2020
Politico [19]	Likely R	November 3, 2020
RCP [20]	Likely R	November 3, 2020
Niskanen [21]	Safe R	November 3, 2020
CNN [22]	Safe R	November 3, 2020
The Economist [23]	Safe R	November 3, 2020
CBS News [24]	Likely R	November 3, 2020
270towin [25]	Likely R	November 3, 2020
ABC News [26]	Safe R	November 3, 2020
NPR [27]	Likely R	November 3, 2020
NBC News [28]	Likely R	November 3, 2020
538 [29]	Safe R	November 3, 2020

Polling

Aggregate polls

Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Joe Biden Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other/ Undecided [lower-alpha 6]	Margin
270 to Win [30]	October 23–31, 2020	November 3, 2020	41.0%	50.5%	8.5%	Trump +9.5
FiveThirtyEight [31]	until November 2, 2020	November 3, 2020	42.1%	51.9%	6.0%	Trump +9.8
Average			41.6%	51.2%	7.2%	Trump +9.6

Polls

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [lower-alpha 7]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Jo Jorgensen Libertarian	Howie Hawkins Green	Other	Undecided
SurveyMonkey/Axios [32]	Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020	1,586 (LV)	± 3.5%	55% [lower-alpha 8]	43%	–	–	–	–
SurveyMonkey/Axios [32]	Oct 1–28, 2020	2,783 (LV)	–	55%	43%	–	–	–	–
Y2 Analytics/Salt Lake Tribune [33]	Oct 15–24, 2020	660 (LV)	± 3.8%	51%	44%	–	–	5% [lower-alpha 9]	–
RMG Research/Deseret News/Hinckley Institute of Politics [34]	Oct 12–17, 2020	1,000 (LV)	± 3.1%	50%	38%	3%	0%	1%	7%
Y2 Analytics/Salt Lake Tribune [35]	Sep 26 – Oct 4, 2020	1,214 (LV)	± 2.8%	50%	40%	–	–	10%	1%
SurveyMonkey/Axios [32]	Sep 1–30, 2020	1,192 (LV)	–	56%	42%	–	–	–	2%
RMG Research/Deseret News/Hinckley Institute of Politics [36]	Sep 7–12, 2020	1,000 (LV)	± 3.1%	53%	35%	5%	0%	1%	6%
SurveyMonkey/Axios [32]	Aug 1–31, 2020	893 (LV)	–	57%	41%	–	–	–	2%
RMG Research/Scott Rasmussen/Deseret News [37]	Jul 27 – Aug 1, 2020	1,000 (RV)	± 3.1%	50%	31%	3%	1%	4%	11%
SurveyMonkey/Axios [32]	Jul 1–31, 2020	1,037 (LV)	–	58%	40%	–	–	–	2%
SurveyMonkey/Axios [32]	Jun 8–30, 2020	412 (LV)	–	57%	41%	–	–	–	1%
Y2 Analytics/UtahPolicy.com/KUTV 2 [38]	May 9–15, 2020	1,099 (LV)	± 3%	44%	41%	–	–	9% [lower-alpha 10]	5%
Scott Rasmussen/Deseret News [39]	Apr 15–21, 2020	964 (RV)	± 3.2%	51%	32%	–	–	8%	9%
Y2 Analytics [40]	Mar 21–30, 2020	1,266 (RV)	± 2.8%	46%	41%	–	–	7%	5%
Scott Rasmussen/Deseret News [41]	Feb 24 – Mar 1, 2020	1,000 (RV)	± 3.1%	50%	33%	–	–	8% [lower-alpha 11]	8%
Scott Rasmussen/Deseret News [42]	Jan 15–22, 2020	1,017 (RV)	± 3.1%	49%	31%	–	–	13% [lower-alpha 12]	7%
Y2 Analytics [43]	Jul 31 – Aug 6, 2019	149 (RV)	–	36%	35%	–	–	14% [lower-alpha 13]	5%

Former candidates

with Donald Trump and Michael Bloomberg Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size [lower-alpha 7] Margin of error Donald Trump (R) Michael Bloomberg (D) Other Undecided Scott Rasmussen/Deseret News [42] Jan 15–22, 2020 1,017 (RV) ± 3.1% 45% 32% 11% [lower-alpha 14] 13% with Donald Trump and Cory Booker Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size [lower-alpha 7] Margin of error Donald Trump (R) Cory Booker (D) Other Undecided Y2 Analytics [43] Jul 31 – Aug 6, 2019 153 (RV) – 31% 43% 23% [lower-alpha 15] 3% with Donald Trump and Pete Buttigieg Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size [lower-alpha 7] Margin of error Donald Trump (R) Pete Buttigieg (D) Other Undecided Scott Rasmussen/Deseret News [42] Jan 15–22, 2020 1,017 (RV) ± 3.1% 48% 25% 13% [lower-alpha 12] 14% Y2 Analytics [43] Jul 31 – Aug 6, 2019 144 (RV) – 48% 28% 15% [lower-alpha 16] 9% with Donald Trump and Kamala Harris Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size [lower-alpha 7] Margin of error Donald Trump (R) Kamala Harris (D) Other Undecided Y2 Analytics [43] Jul 31 – Aug 6, 2019 144 (RV) – 48% 33% 15% [lower-alpha 17] 5% with Donald Trump and Amy Klobuchar Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size [lower-alpha 7] Margin of error Donald Trump (R) Amy Klobuchar (D) Other Undecided Scott Rasmussen/Deseret News [42] Jan 15–22, 2020 1,017 (RV) ± 3.1% 49% 23% 14% [lower-alpha 18] 14% with Donald Trump and Beto O'Rourke Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size [lower-alpha 7] Margin of error Donald Trump (R) Beto O'Rourke (D) Other Undecided Y2 Analytics [43] Jul 31 – Aug 6, 2019 140 (RV) – 41% 27% 25% [lower-alpha 19] 7% with Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size [lower-alpha 7] Margin of error Donald Trump (R) Bernie Sanders (D) Other Undecided Scott Rasmussen/Deseret News [41] Feb 24 – Mar 1, 2020 1,000 (RV) ± 3.1% 50% 33% 9% [lower-alpha 20] 7% Scott Rasmussen/Deseret News [42] Jan 15–22, 2020 1,017 (RV) ± 3.1% 50% 31% 13% [lower-alpha 21] 6% Y2 Analytics [43] Jul 31 – Aug 6, 2019 153 (RV) – 38% 44% 14% [lower-alpha 13] 5% with Donald Trump and Elizabeth Warren Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size [lower-alpha 7] Margin of error Donald Trump (R) Elizabeth Warren (D) Other Undecided Scott Rasmussen/Deseret News [41] Feb 24 – Mar 1, 2020 1,000 (RV) ± 3.1% 50% 28% 12% [lower-alpha 22] 10% Scott Rasmussen/Deseret News [42] Jan 15–22, 2020 1,017 (RV) ± 3.1% 50% 28% 12% [lower-alpha 22] 10% Y2 Analytics [43] Jul 31 – Aug 6, 2019 144 (RV) – 39% 36% 19% [lower-alpha 23] 6%

Hypothetical polling

with Donald Trump and Generic Democrat Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size [lower-alpha 7] Margin of error Donald Trump (R) Generic Democrat Other Undecided Y2 Analytics/UtahPolicy/KUTV 2 News [44] Jan 16–30, 2020 2,174 (LV) – 47% 31% 12% [lower-alpha 24] 10% Y2 Analytics/UtahPolicy/KUTV 2 News [44] Sep 25 – Oct 8, 2019 944 (LV) – 41% 33% 16% [lower-alpha 25] 10% Y2 Analytics/UtahPolicy/KUTV 2 News [45] Jun 27 – Jul 17, 2019 2,464 (LV) – 38% 30% 18% [lower-alpha 26] 14% with Donald Trump and Generic Opponent Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size [lower-alpha 7] Margin of error Donald Trump (R) Generic Opponent Undecided Dan Jones & Associates/Salt Lake Chamber of Commerce [46] Feb 28 – Mar 11, 2020 798 (LV) ± 3.47% 52% 45% [lower-alpha 27] 3% Dan Jones & Associates/Salt Lake Chamber of Commerce [47] Oct 3–10, 2019 600 (LV) ± 4% 50% 46% [lower-alpha 27] 4% Dan Jones & Associates/Salt Lake Chamber of Commerce [48] Jun 11 – Jul 1, 2019 801 (LV) – 45% 52% [lower-alpha 27] 4%

Results

2020 United States presidential election in Utah ^[49]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Republican	Donald Trump Mike Pence	865,140	58.13%	+12.59%
	Democratic	Joe Biden Kamala Harris	560,282	37.65%	+10.19%
	Libertarian	Jo Jorgensen Spike Cohen	38,447	2.58%	−0.92%
	Independent	Kanye West Michelle Tidball	7,213	0.48%	−
	Constitution	Don Blankenship William Mohr	5,551	0.37%	−0.34%
	Green	Howie Hawkins Angela Walker	5,053	0.34%	−0.49%
	Independent	Brock Pierce Karla Ballard	2,623	0.18%	−
	Independent	Joe McHugh Elizabeth Storm	2,229	0.15%	−
	Socialism and Liberation	Gloria La Riva Sunil Freeman	1,139	0.08%	−
	Write-in		612	0.04%	-0.38%
Total votes			1,488,289	100.00%	-

By county

County [49]	Donald Trump Republican		Joe Biden Democratic		Jo Jorgensen Libertarian		Kanye West Independent		Don Blankenship Constitution		Howie Hawkins Green		Other		Margin		Total votes cast
	#	%	#	%	#	%	#	%	#	%	#	%	#	%	#	%
Beaver	2,695	86.94%	357	11.52%	23	0.74%	7	0.23%	4	0.13%	6	0.19%	8	0.26%	2,338	75.42%	3,100
Box Elder	21,548	78.87%	4,473	16.37%	614	2.25%	112	0.41%	134	0.49%	55	0.20%	384	1.41%	17,075	62.50%	27,320
Cache	38,032	65.17%	16,650	28.53%	1,796	3.08%	230	0.39%	351	0.60%	217	0.37%	1,082	1.86%	21,382	36.64%	58,358
Carbon	6,693	71.05%	2,392	25.39%	151	1.60%	44	0.47%	22	0.23%	18	0.19%	100	1.06%	4,301	45.91%	9,420
Daggett	496	79.74%	111	17.85%	7	1.13%	2	0.32%	2	0.32%	0	0.00%	4	0.64%	385	61.89%	622
Davis	104,135	60.04%	57,411	33.10%	5,004	2.89%	1,012	0.58%	827	0.48%	597	0.34%	4,448	2.56%	46,724	26.94%	173,434
Duchesne	7,513	87.75%	843	9.85%	107	1.25%	18	0.21%	21	0.25%	9	0.11%	51	0.60%	6,670	77.90%	8,562
Emery	4,207	85.89%	572	11.68%	47	0.96%	15	0.31%	4	0.08%	8	0.16%	45	0.91%	3,635	74.21%	4,898
Garfield	2,158	78.99%	514	18.81%	37	1.35%	2	0.07%	3	0.11%	11	0.40%	7	0.26%	1,644	60.18%	2,732
Grand	2,248	43.19%	2,806	53.91%	62	1.19%	19	0.37%	5	0.10%	23	0.44%	42	0.81%	-558	-10.72%	5,205
Iron	18,989	75.64%	4,892	19.49%	666	2.65%	94	0.37%	88	0.35%	78	0.31%	297	1.18%	14,097	56.15%	25,104
Juab	5,087	86.18%	645	10.93%	91	1.54%	13	0.22%	16	0.27%	5	0.08%	46	0.79%	4,442	75.72%	5,903
Kane	2,998	71.30%	1,083	25.76%	51	1.21%	15	0.36%	16	0.38%	8	0.19%	34	0.81%	1,915	45.54%	4,205
Millard	5,404	87.30%	624	10.08%	64	1.03%	16	0.26%	26	0.42%	5	0.08%	51	0.83%	4,780	77.22%	6,190
Morgan	5,181	78.43%	1,086	16.44%	160	2.42%	35	0.53%	21	0.32%	13	0.20%	110	1.67%	4,095	61.99%	6,606
Piute	773	88.44%	86	9.84%	7	0.80%	3	0.34%	1	0.11%	0	0.00%	4	0.45%	687	78.60%	874
Rich	1,157	84.51%	180	13.15%	14	1.02%	4	0.29%	3	0.22%	2	0.15%	9	0.66%	977	71.36%	1,369
Salt Lake	230,174	42.11%	289,906	53.04%	12,219	2.24%	2,590	0.47%	1,570	0.29%	2,203	0.40%	7,919	1.45%	-59,732	-10.93%	546,581
San Juan	3,535	51.20%	3,113	45.09%	99	1.43%	45	0.65%	28	0.41%	17	0.25%	67	0.97%	422	6.11%	6,904
Sanpete	10,459	82.19%	1,794	14.10%	215	1.69%	39	0.31%	50	0.39%	19	0.15%	149	1.18%	8,665	68.09%	12,725
Sevier	9,052	87.35%	1,084	10.46%	133	1.28%	28	0.27%	31	0.30%	14	0.14%	21	0.20%	7,968	76.89%	10,363
Summit	10,252	39.00%	15,244	57.99%	367	1.40%	86	0.33%	25	0.10%	65	0.25%	250	0.93%	-4,992	-18.99%	26,289
Tooele	21,014	66.67%	8,943	28.37%	958	3.04%	152	0.48%	181	0.57%	81	0.26%	189	0.60%	12,071	38.30%	31,518
Uintah	13,261	86.28%	1,663	10.82%	226	1.47%	37	0.24%	56	0.36%	29	0.19%	98	0.67%	11,598	75.46%	15,370
Utah	192,812	66.69%	76,033	26.30%	10,377	3.59%	1,680	0.58%	1,375	0.48%	853	0.30%	5,971	2.07%	116,779	40.39%	289,101
Wasatch	10,795	60.68%	6,187	34.78%	352	1.98%	86	0.48%	53	0.30%	45	0.25%	272	1.52%	4,608	25.90%	17,790
Washington	67,294	73.82%	20,530	22.52%	1,742	1.91%	298	0.33%	220	0.24%	187	0.21%	889	0.98%	46,764	51.30%	91,160
Wayne	1,229	75.40%	365	22.39%	9	0.55%	7	0.43%	3	0.18%	3	0.18%	14	0.85%	864	53.01%	1,630
Weber	65,949	58.54%	40,695	36.13%	2,849	2.53%	524	0.47%	415	0.37%	482	0.43%	1,735	1.54%	25,254	22.41%	112,649
Totals	865,140	57.45%	560,282	37.20%	38,447	2.55%	7,213	0.48%	5,551	0.37%	5,053	0.34%	24,296	1.61%	304,858	20.25%	1,505,982

Swing by county

Legend

•   Democratic — +12.5-15%
•   Democratic — +10-12.5%
•   Democratic — +5-7.5%
•   Democratic — +2.5-5%
•   Democratic — +0-2.5%
•   Republican — +0-2.5%
•   Republican — +2.5-5%
•   Republican — +5-7.5%
•   Republican — +7.5-10%
•   Republican — +10-12.5%
•   Republican — +12.5-15%
•   Republican — +>15%

Trend relative to the state by county

Legend

•   Democratic — +12.5-15%
•   Democratic — +10-12.5%
•   Democratic — +5-7.5%
•   Democratic — +2.5-5%
•   Democratic — +0-2.5%
•   Republican — +0-2.5%
•   Republican — +2.5-5%
•   Republican — +5-7.5%
•   Republican — +7.5-10%
•   Republican — +10-12.5%
•   Republican — +12.5-15%
•   Republican — +>15%

County flips

Legend

• Democratic   Hold   Gain from Republican

  Republican   Hold

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

• Grand (largest municipality: Moab)

By congressional district

Trump won all four congressional districts. ^[50]

District	Trump	Biden	Representative
1st	64.2%	31.6%	Rob Bishop
			Blake Moore
2nd	56.1%	40.2%	Chris Stewart
3rd	60.3%	35.2%	John Curtis
4th	52.4%	43.3%	Ben McAdams
			Burgess Owens

See also

• United States presidential elections in Utah
• Presidency of Joe Biden
• 2020 United States presidential election
• 2020 Democratic Party presidential primaries
• 2020 Republican Party presidential primaries
• 2020 United States elections

Notes

1. 13 delegates, if Warren's and Bloomberg's statewide delegates would have been calculated.
2. 6 delegates, if Warren's and Bloomberg's statewide delegates would have been calculated.
3. 5 delegates, if Warren's and Bloomberg's statewide delegates would have been calculated.
4. 5 delegates, if Warren's and Bloomberg's statewide delegates would have been calculated.
5. Candidate withdrew shortly before the primary after all-mail voting had started.
6. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
7. Key:
   A – all adults
   RV – registered voters
   LV – likely voters
   V – unclear
8. Overlapping sample with the previous SurveyMonkey/Axios poll, but more information available regarding sample size
9. "Someone else" with 5%
10. "Third party candidate" with 8%; "other" with 1%
11. Other with 5%; would not vote with 3%
12. Other with 9%; would not vote with 4%
13. "A third-party candidate" with 10%; other with 4%
14. Other with 8%; would not vote with 3%
15. "A third-party candidate" with 16%; other with 7%
16. "A third-party candidate" with 12%; other with 3%
17. "A third-party candidate" with 13%; other with 2%
18. Other with 10%; would not vote with 4%
19. "A third-party candidate" with 20%; other with 5%
20. Other with 6%; would not vote with 3%
21. Other with 10%; would not vote with 3%
22. Other with 9%; would not vote with 3%
23. "A third-party candidate" with 15%; other with 4%
24. "Third party candidate" with 8%; "other" with 4%
25. "Third party candidate" with 12%; "other" with 4%
26. "Third party candidate" with 12%; "other" with 6%
27. Listed as "Time to give someone new a chance to serve" (as opposed to "should be re-elected")

References

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External links

• Government Documents Round Table of the American Library Association, "Utah", Voting & Elections Toolkits
• "Utah: Election Tools, Deadlines, Dates, Rules, and Links", Vote.org , Oakland, CA
• "League of Women Voters of Utah". (state affiliate of the U.S. League of Women Voters)
• Utah at Ballotpedia