2020 United States Senate election in Colorado

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2020 United States Senate election in Colorado
Flag of Colorado.svg
  2014 November 3, 2020 2026  
  John Hickenlooper, official portrait, 117th Congress (cropped).jpeg Cory Gardner official Senate portrait (cropped).jpeg
Nominee John Hickenlooper Cory Gardner
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote1,731,1141,429,492
Percentage53.50%44.18%

2020 United States Senate election in Colorado results map by county.svg
2020 United States Senate election in Colorado results by congressional district.svg
CO Senate 2020.svg
Hickenlooper:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Gardner:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Tie:     40–50%     No data

U.S. senator before election

Cory Gardner
Republican

Elected U.S. Senator

John Hickenlooper
Democratic

The 2020 United States Senate election in Colorado was held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Colorado, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Contents

Under Colorado law, the filing deadline for U.S. Senate candidates was March 17, 2020, the third Tuesday in March of the election year; the primary election occurred on June 30. [1] [2] Incumbent senator Cory Gardner lost re-election to former governor John Hickenlooper. [3] Gardner was unopposed in the Republican primary, and Hickenlooper defeated former State House Speaker Andrew Romanoff in the Democratic primary. [4]

This race was one of two Republican-held U.S. Senate seats up for election in 2020 in a state President Trump lost in 2016; the other was in Maine. Many pollsters and pundits [5] [6] considered Gardner to be the most vulnerable Republican senator facing re-election in 2020 due to his narrow victory in 2014, the state's leftward shift, and Trump's unpopularity in the state.

As predicted, Hickenlooper easily defeated Gardner by a 9.3-point margin. However, Gardner did manage to outperform Donald Trump in the concurrent presidential election by roughly four points. [7] This became the first election Gardner had lost in his political career as well as being the widest margin of loss for a Coloradan U.S. Senator since 1978. [8] This was the third consecutive election where this seat flipped parties, and also the second consecutive election in which the incumbent senator lost re-election to a second term for this particular seat. At the age of 68, Hickenlooper is the oldest first term senator from Colorado.

Background

Gardner was elected to the U.S. Senate in 2014, narrowly defeating incumbent Democratic senator Mark Udall in a very successful election year for Republicans. Gardner was widely considered vulnerable in 2020 due to Colorado's recent Democratic trend and his support for Trump. [9] Polling showed that more voters had a negative view of Gardner compared to a positive one. [10] Gardner also faced a four-year grassroots campaign across the state by progressive political activists to hold him accountable for his votes, featured a cardboard cutout dubbed "Cardboard Cory". [11] The seat was expected to be highly competitive and the most likely Republican-held seat to flip Democratic. The Democratic nominee, former governor John Hickenlooper, had a consistent double-digit lead over Gardner in the polls. [12] [13]

Various minor scandals in the days leading up to the June 30 Democratic primary sparked speculation that Romanoff might win, but Hickenlooper had an advantage in name recognition, and harsh negative attacks by Romanoff reportedly led many state Democrats and voters to sour on him. [14]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Withdrawn

  • Margot Dupre, estate agent [16] [17]
  • Gail Prentice, veteran and business owner [18] [19]

Endorsements

Cory Gardner (R)

U.S. presidents

U.S. Executive Branch officials

Organizations

Other individuals

Results

Republican primary results [28]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Cory Gardner (incumbent) 554,806 100.00%
Total votes554,806 100.00%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Withdrawn

Declined

Endorsements

John Hickenlooper

U.S. presidents

Former U.S. Executive Branch officials

U.S senators

U.S. representatives

State officials

Local officials

Newspapers

Organizations

Andrew Romanoff

State officials

  • Peter Groff, former Colorado State Senate president and state representative [88]
  • Polly Baca, former state senator and state representative [88]

Individuals

Newspapers

Organizations

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [c]
Margin
of error
Jena
Griswold
John
Hickenlooper
Mike
Johnston
Andrew
Romanoff
Other /
Undecided
SurveyUSA [96] June 19–24, 2020575 (LV)± 6.0%58%28%15% [d]
Myers Research and Strategic Services [97] [A] June 16–17, 2020500 (LV)± 4.4%51%39%
Unspecified polling firm [98] [A] October 2019– (LV) [e] 68%19%
September 3, 2019Johnston withdraws from the race
Public Policy Polling (D) [99] [B] August 28–29, 2019509 (LV)60% [f] 3%9%27% [g]
[h] 66%17%17% [i]
August 21, 2019Hickenlooper announces his candidacy
August 9, 2019Griswold announces that she will not run
Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group [100] July 25–28, 2019600 (LV)6%61%10%8%15% [d]
Public Policy Polling (D) [101] July 12–14, 2019561 (LV)4%44%3%12%38% [j]
Hypothetical polling

with Dan Baer and John Hickenlooper

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [c]
Margin
of error
Dan
Baer
John
Hickenlooper
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D) [99] [B] August 28–29, 2019509 (LV)11%72%17%

with John Hickenlooper and Mike Johnston

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [c]
Margin
of error
John
Hickenlooper
Mike
Johnston
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D) [99] [B] August 28–29, 2019509 (LV)69%14%18%

with John Hickenlooper and Alice Madden

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [c]
Margin
of error
John
Hickenlooper
Alice
Madden
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D) [99] [B] August 28–29, 2019509 (LV)69%14%17%

with John Hickenlooper and Angela Williams

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [c]
Margin
of error
John
Hickenlooper
Angela
Williams
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D) [99] [B] August 28–29, 2019509 (LV)70%11%18%

Caucus

On March 7, 2020, the Colorado Democratic Party held a non-binding Senate primary preference poll at its caucus sites. Attendees could choose delegates to county and then state conventions. If a candidate received at least 30% of the delegates at the state convention they would be placed on the ballot. Some candidates were not listed because they instead chose to attempt to collect signatures to reach the ballot. Candidates needed 1,500 signatures from each congressional district. Hickenlooper and Underwood chose to do both. Romanoff collected the needed signatures as of March 8, 2020. [102] [103]

Caucus results

Romanoff was the only candidate to get more than 30% in the initial precinct caucuses. Hickenlooper withdrew from the assembly process soon afterward, choosing to qualify for the ballot exclusively by petition. Ballot access for assembly candidates will be decided at the state assembly. Caucus winners do not always receive the party's nomination; Romanoff won them in the 2010 Democratic primary for Colorado's Senate race, but Michael Bennet won the party's nomination that year. [104]

The aggregate results of the various precinct caucuses on March 7, 2020, were: [105]

CandidateTotal raw votesPercentage of vote won (%)
Andrew Romanoff 8,62954.98
John Hickenlooper 4,76130.34
Trish Zornio9766.21
Stephany Rose Spaulding7714.91
Uncommitted5203.31
Erik Underwood350.22

Results

Results by county:
Hickenlooper
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50-60%
60-70%
70-80%
Romanoff
50-60% Colorado U.S. Senate Democratic primary, 2020.svg
Results by county:
Hickenlooper
  •   50–60%
      60–70%
      70–80%
Romanoff
  •   50–60%
Democratic primary results [106]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic John Hickenlooper 585,826 58.65%
Democratic Andrew Romanoff 412,95541.35%
Total votes998,781 100.00%

Other candidates

Libertarian primary

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Results

Libertarian primary results [109]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Libertarian Raymon Doane 3,477 62.41%
Libertarian Gaylon Kent2,09437.59%
Total votes5,571 100.00%

Unity Party

Nominee

  • Stephan "Chairman Seku" Evans, former candidate for mayor of Denver [110]

Eliminated at Unity Party convention

Withdrawn

Write-in candidates

Declared

Withdrawn

General election

Debate

HostDate & timeLink(s)Participants
John

Hickenlooper

Cory Gardner
Colorado State University October 13, 2020
6:00pm MDT
[119] PresentPresent

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [120] Lean D (flip)October 29, 2020
Inside Elections [121] Lean D (flip)October 28, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball [122] Likely D (flip)November 2, 2020
Daily Kos [123] Likely D (flip)October 30, 2020
Politico [124] Lean D (flip)November 2, 2020
RCP [125] Lean D (flip)October 23, 2020
DDHQ [126] Likely D (flip)November 3, 2020
538 [127] Likely D (flip)November 2, 2020
Economist [128] Likely D (flip)November 2, 2020

Endorsements

Cory Gardner (R)

U.S. presidents

U.S. Executive Branch officials

Organizations

Other individuals

Newspapers

John Hickenlooper (D)

U.S. presidents

Former U.S. Executive Branch officials

U.S senators

U.S. representatives

State officials

Local officials

Newspapers

Unions

Organizations

Polling

Graphical Summary

Poll Results

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [c]
Margin
of error
Cory
Gardner (R)
John
Hickenlooper (D)
Other /
Undecided
Keating Research/Onsight Public Affairs/Colorado Sun [142] October 29 – November 1, 2020502 (LV) [k] ± 4.4%42%53%
Data for Progress [143] October 27 – November 1, 2020709 (LV)± 3.7%45%54%2% [l]
Swayable [144] October 23 – November 1, 2020443 (LV)± 6%43%57%
Morning Consult [145] October 22–31, 2020727 (LV)± 4%44%52%
Morning Consult [145] October 11–20, 2020788 (LV)± 3.5%42%50%
RBI Strategies & Research [146] October 12–16, 2020502 (LV)± 4.4%39%53%7% [m]
RMG Research/PoliticalIQ [147] October 9–15, 2020800 (LV)± 3.5%42%51%7% [n]
Civiqs/Daily Kos [148] October 11–14, 20201,013 (LV)± 3.6%42%53%3% [o]
Keating Research/OnSight Public Affairs/Melanson [149] October 8–13, 2020519 (LV)± 4.3%41%51%7% [p]
Morning Consult [145] October 2–11, 2020837 (LV)± 3.4%40%50%
YouGov/University of Colorado [150] October 5–9, 2020800 (LV)± 4.64%40%48%12% [q]
SurveyUSA [151] October 1–6, 20201,021 (LV)± 3.9%39%48%14% [r]
Morning Consult [152] September 11–20, 2020613 (LV)± (2% – 7%)42% [s] 49%
Morning Consult [153] September 8–17, 2020599 (LV) [k] ± (2% – 4%)44%46%
Fabrizio Ward/Hart Research Associates [154] [C] August 30 – September 5, 2020800 (LV)± 3.5%46%51%4% [t]
Global Strategy Group (D) [155] [D] August 28 – September 1, 2020800 (LV)± 3.5%42%52%5%
Morning Consult [156] August 21–30, 2020638 (LV)± 4.0%39% [s] 48%13%
Morning Consult [156] August 16–25, 2020≈600 (LV)± 4.0%39%48%
Public Policy Polling (D) [157] [E] August 18–19, 2020731 (V)± 3.2%42%51%7% [u]
Morning Consult [156] August 6–15, 2020≈600 (LV)± 4.0%38%49%
Morning Consult [156] July 27 – August 5, 2020≈600 (LV)± 4.0%39%50%
Morning Consult [158] July 17–26, 2020616 (LV)± 4.0%42% [v] 48%11% [w]
Morning Consult [156] July 13–22, 2020≈600 (LV)± 4.0%41%50%
Public Policy Polling [159] [F] June 29–30, 2020840 (V)± 3.4%40%51%9% [x]
Keating Research/OnSight Public Affairs/Melanson [160] May 1–3, 2020600 (LV)± 4.0%36%54%10% [y]
Montana State University Bozeman [161] April 10–19, 2020379 (LV)± 4.4%31%48%21% [z]
Keating Research [162] October 10–14, 2019500 (LV)± 4.4%42%53%5%
Emerson College [163] August 16–19, 20191,000 (RV)± 3.0%40%53%8%
Global Strategy Group (D) [164] [G] August 13–14, 2019617 (LV)± 3.9%39%49%13%
Public Policy Polling [165] [B] August 8–11, 2019739 (V)± 3.6%38%51%12%
Hypothetical polling

with generic Democrat

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [c]
Margin
of error
Cory
Gardner (R)
Generic
Democrat
Other /
Undecided
Global Strategy Group (D) [164] [G] August 13–14, 2019617 (LV)± 3.9%38%48%14%
Global Strategy Group [166] January 31 – February 4, 2019818 (RV)± 3.4%40%51%9%
DFM Research [167] January 2–5, 2019550 (A)± 4.2%38%46%16%
Change Research (D) [168] [H] December 2–4, 2018540 (LV)± 4.2%41%47%
Public Policy Polling (D) [169] [I] August 2–3, 2017628 (V)± 3.8%41%46%13%
Public Policy Polling (D) [170] [J] June 30 – July 1, 2017870 (V)± 3.6%39%53%8%

on whether Cory Gardner deserves to be re-elected

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [c]
Margin
of error
YesNoOther /
Undecided
Fabrizio Ward/AARP [171] July 29–31, 2019600 (LV)± 4.0%32%50%19% [aa]

with Generic Republican and Generic Democrat

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [c]
Margin
of error
Generic
Republican
Generic
Democrat
Other /
Undecided
YouGov/University of Colorado [150] October 5–9, 2020800 (LV)± 4.64%39%47%14% [ab]
Climate Nexus [172] February 15–19, 2020485 (RV)± 4.5%40%48%12% [ac]
Fabrizio Ward/AARP [171] July 29–31, 2019600 (LV)± 4.0%42%44%14% [ad]

with Mike Johnston

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [c]
Margin
of error
Cory
Gardner (R)
Mike
Johnston (D)
OtherUndecided
Global Strategy Group (D) [164] [G] August 13–14, 2019617 (LV)± 3.9%39%50%11%
Fabrizio Ward/AARP [171] July 29–31, 2019600 (LV)± 4.0%45%39%2% [ae] 14%

Results

The election was not particularly close, with Hickenlooper winning by 9.32%. Hickenlooper's win was expected, as Colorado has moved more toward being a blue state. Key to Hickenlooper's victory was Denver County and its surrounding suburban counties, Adams, Arapahoe, Boulder, and Jefferson, the latter of which had been pivotal to Gardner's victory in 2014.[ citation needed ] Gardner did well in the typically red El Paso County, home of Colorado Springs. Gardner also did well in many rural areas of the state. However, Hickenlooper's strong performance in heavily populated counties proved too much for Gardner to overcome. Hickenlooper was also likely helped by Joe Biden, who won the state by 13.5%.

Hickenlooper is the first senator from Colorado who was also the Governor of Colorado since Senator Edwin Johnson was elected in 1936. Hickenlooper was sworn in as Senator on January 3, 2021, for a six-year term that expires on January 3, 2027.

United States Senate election in Colorado, 2020 [173] [174]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Democratic John Hickenlooper 1,731,114 53.50% +7.24%
Republican Cory Gardner (incumbent)1,429,49244.18%−4.03%
Libertarian Raymon Doane56,2621.74%−0.85%
Approval Voting Daniel Doyle9,8200.30%N/A
Unity Stephen Evans8,9710.28%−0.04%
Total votes3,235,659 100.00% N/A
Democratic gain from Republican

By county

By county
County [175] John Hickenlooper
Democratic
Cory Gardner
Republican
Raymon Doane
Libertarian
Daniel Doyle
Approval Voting
Stephen Evans
Unity
MarginTotal
votes
#%#%#%#%#%#%
Adams 130,40955.3398,34141.724,9162.091,0710.459630.4132,06813.60235,700
Alamosa 3,73448.453,80049.311041.35400.52290.38-66-0.867,707
Arapahoe 204,05458.53136,71339.215,6941.631,0740.311,1110.3267,34119.31348,646
Archuleta 3,59139.825,22557.931631.81260.29140.16-1,634-18.129,019
Baca 32914.981,81682.70321.46120.5570.32-1,487-67.712,196
Bent 70231.121,48865.96331.46261.1570.31-786-34.842,256
Boulder 154,55275.2047,32123.032,8691.403170.154570.22107,23152.18205,516
Broomfield 27,44759.4117,85538.657121.54820.181000.229,59220.7646,196
Chaffee 6,94851.176,34446.722321.71320.24220.166044.4513,578
Cheyenne 11910.5899588.4470.6220.1820.18-876-77.871,125
Clear Creek 3,49453.942,83543.771211.87150.23120.1965910.176,477
Conejos 1,97546.262,24352.54240.56180.4290.21-268-6.284,269
Costilla 1,31362.9171334.16401.92120.5790.4360028.752,087
Crowley 45626.191,23070.65362.07120.6970.40-774-44.461,741
Custer 1,05929.472,45668.34621.73100.2870.19-1,397-38.873,594
Delta 5,76429.8613,11867.963081.60790.41340.18-7,354-38.1019,303
Denver 305,60277.7480,16320.394,9841.279630.241,3760.35225,43957.35393,088
Dolores 33823.691,06474.56171.1940.2840.28-726-50.881,427
Douglas 97,55342.13130,04556.163,2791.423320.143500.15-32,492-14.03231,559
Eagle 17,90262.2710,35036.003841.34530.18590.217,55226.2728,748
El Paso 152,12640.36212,05756.279,9322.641,4510.391,3140.35-59,931-15.90376,880
Elbert 4,25722.4614,34075.642991.58350.18260.14-10,083-53.1918,957
Fremont 7,20128.4017,45068.815082.001290.51710.28-10,249-40.4225,359
Garfield 14,99948.7215,02748.815981.94920.30710.23-28-0.0930,787
Gilpin 2,18352.291,86744.72992.37150.36110.263167.574,175
Grand 4,57946.365,07551.381811.83280.28150.15-496-5.029,878
Gunnison 6,92262.133,97835.711931.73300.27180.162,94426.4211,141
Hinsdale 24439.3536558.8791.4500.0020.32-121-19.52620
Huerfano 2,07747.522,16049.42972.22250.57120.27-83-1.904,371
Jackson 16418.9268478.89121.3850.5820.23-520-59.98867
Jefferson 210,61955.87158,27641.996,1911.641,0260.278490.2352,34313.88376,961
Kiowa 9310.4578387.98101.1230.3410.11-690-77.53890
Kit Carson 62816.463,13882.25360.9480.2150.13-2,510-65.793,815
La Plata 19,87356.0514,77641.686321.78710.201010.285,09714.3835,453
Lake 2,29758.111,51138.221092.76150.38210.5378619.883,953
Larimer 116,41953.9194,58543.803,9141.815440.254710.2221,83410.11215,933
Las Animas 3,50944.284,21753.211301.64450.57240.30-708-8.937,925
Lincoln 43416.462,14181.22391.48170.6450.19-1,707-64.762,636
Logan 2,11720.208,16777.921311.25370.35290.28-6,050-57.7210,481
Mesa 29,47833.0557,23664.171,7852.004570.512440.27-27,758-31.1289,200
Mineral 30239.8943757.73151.9810.1320.26-135-17.83757
Moffat 1,12016.455,54481.411061.56310.4690.13-4,424-64.966,810
Montezuma 5,53836.459,27361.032721.79470.31640.42-3,735-24.5815,194
Montrose 7,32129.4516,97868.314101.65920.37550.22-9,657-38.8524,856
Morgan 3,78727.919,54470.331361.00690.51350.26-5,757-42.4213,571
Otero 3,42836.605,73161.181131.21670.72280.30-2,303-24.599,367
Ouray 2,29157.451,62240.67681.7130.0840.1066916.773,988
Park 4,80039.207,10057.982812.29310.25340.28-2,300-18.7812,246
Phillips 46318.741,98080.13220.8960.2400.00-1,517-61.392,471
Pitkin 8,76173.882,93524.751301.10130.11200.175,82649.1311,859
Prowers 1,43526.093,96672.11551.00260.47180.33-2,531-46.025,500
Pueblo 42,79148.9342,09848.141,7201.975330.613080.356930.7987,450
Rio Blanco 52914.473,06583.86461.26130.3620.05-2,536-69.383,655
Rio Grande 2,50239.853,63557.89841.34400.64180.29-1,133-18.046,279
Routt 10,28461.126,25637.182231.33390.23240.144,02823.9416,826
Saguache 1,88755.841,40541.58551.63110.33210.6248214.263,379
San Juan 32859.6420737.64101.8220.3630.5512122.00550
San Miguel 3,80874.361,22723.96761.4820.0480.162,58150.405,121
Sedgwick 32022.111,10376.23140.9790.6210.07-783-54.111,447
Summit 12,17566.145,81731.603531.92250.14370.206,35834.5418,407
Teller 5,03930.0611,30767.463392.02540.32220.13-6,268-37.4016,761
Washington 34611.552,61787.35220.7340.1370.23-2,271-75.802,996
Weld 63,64738.1999,42459.652,7611.664700.283760.23-35,777-21.46166,678
Yuma 65213.104,27385.85290.58190.3840.08-3,621-72.754,977
Totals1,731,11453.501,429,49244.1856,2621.749,8200.308,9710.28301,6229.323,235,659

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

Hickenlooper won four of seven congressional districts. [176]

DistrictGardnerHickenlooperRepresentative
1st 24%74% Diana DeGette
2nd 36%62% Joe Neguse
3rd 52%45% Scott Tipton
Lauren Boebert
4th 59%39% Ken Buck
5th 57%40% Doug Lamborn
6th 42%56% Jason Crow
7th 39%58% Ed Perlmutter

See also

Notes

Partisan clients

  1. 1 2 Poll sponsored by Romanoff's campaign
  2. 1 2 3 4 5 6 Poll sponsored by 314 Action
  3. Poll sponsored by AARP.
  4. Poll sponsored by Progress Colorado, a progressive and pro-Affordable Care Act organization.
  5. Giffords endorsed Hickenlooper prior to this poll's sampling period
  6. End Citizens United supports candidates who oppose the landmark Citizens United Supreme Court ruling
  7. 1 2 3 Poll conducted for Mike Johnston
  8. Poll sponsored by ProgressNow Colorado
  9. Poll sponsored by Our Lives on the Line
  10. Poll sponsored by Save My Care, a pro-Affordable Care Act organisation

Voter samples

  1. A judge ruled that Lorena Garcia could appear on the ballot despite only getting 50% of the signatures needed to qualify, citing how signatures can't be collected due to COVID-19. The Colorado Supreme Court overruled the ruling after an appeal from Colorado's Secretary of State.
  2. A judge ruled that Michelle Ferrigno Warren could appear on the ballot despite only getting 50% of the signatures needed to qualify, citing how signatures can't be collected due to COVID-19. The Colorado Supreme Court overruled the ruling after an appeal from Colorado's Secretary of State.
  3. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  4. 1 2 Undecided with 15%
  5. Not yet released
  6. Standard VI response
  7. Undecided with 16%; Baer, Madden and Williams with 2%; Walsh with 1%; "someone else" with 4%
  8. With only Hickenlooper and Romanoff as candidates
  9. Undecided with 17%
  10. Undecided with 29%; Walsh with 4%; Williams with 3%; Baer and Madden with 1%
  11. 1 2 Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
  12. "Other candidate or write-in" with 2%
  13. Doane (L) with 2%; Evans (Unity) with 1%; Undecided with 4%
  14. "Some other candidate" with 3%; Undecided with 4%
  15. Doane (L) with 2%; Doyle (Approval Voting), Evans (Unity) and "Someone else" with 0%; Undecided with 1%
  16. "Other candidate" with 3%; Undecided with 4%
  17. "Other" with 1%; Undecided with 11%
  18. "Some other candidate" with 6%; Undecided with 8%
  19. 1 2 Overlapping sample with the previous Morning Consult poll, but more information available regarding sample size
  20. Would not vote with 1%; Undecided with 3%
  21. Undecided with 7%
  22. Overlapping sample with the previous Morning Consult poll, but more information available regarding sample size and voters who are undecided or for third party candidates
  23. "Someone else" with 5%; Undecided with 6%
  24. Undecided with 9%
  25. Undecided with 9%; "Another candidate" with 1%
  26. "Don't know" with 17%; "other/none of the above" with 4%
  27. "Refused" with 3%; Undecided with 16%
  28. "Other" with 2%; Undecided with 12%
  29. "Neither candidate or other candidate" with 12%
  30. "Undecided" with 10%; "don't know/refused" with 4%
  31. Would not vote/would not vote for U.S. Senate with 2%

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Further reading

Official campaign websites