2004 United States Senate election in Colorado

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2004 United States Senate election in Colorado
Flag of Colorado.svg
  1998 November 2, 2004 2010  
  Kensalazar.jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Ken Salazar Pete Coors
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote1,081,188980,668
Percentage51.30%46.53%

2004 United States Senate election in Colorado results map by county.svg
County results
Salazar:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%
Coors:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%

U.S. senator before election

Ben Nighthorse Campbell
Republican

Elected U.S. Senator

Ken Salazar
Democratic

The 2004 United States Senate election in Colorado took place on November 2, 2004 alongside other elections to the United States Senate in other states as well as elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Senator Ben Nighthorse Campbell (first elected in 1992 as a Democrat and re-elected in 1998 as a Republican, having switched parties in 1995) retired instead of seeking a third term. Democratic nominee Ken Salazar won the open seat, defeating Republican nominee Pete Coors despite Republican President George W. Bush carrying the state over John Kerry in the concurrent presidential race.

Contents

Background

On March 3, 2004, incumbent Republican Senator Ben Nighthorse Campbell announced that he would not seek reelection due to health concerns, having recently been treated for prostate cancer and heartburn. [1] Before Campbell's retirement, no prominent Democrat had entered the race, with educator Mike Miles and businessman Rutt Bridges pursuing the Democratic nomination. After Campbell's retirement, many expected popular Republican Governor Bill Owens to enter the race, [2] however he declined to run. Campbell's retirement and Owens' decision not to run prompted a number of prominent Democrats to reexamine the race. [3]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Campaign

On March 10, the same day Owens announced he would not run, U.S. Congressman Mark Udall entered the race. [4] The next day, state Attorney General Ken Salazar entered the race, [5] leading Udall to immediately withdraw and endorse him; Udall held Colorado’s other Senate seat from 2009 to 2015. [6] Salazar lost to Mike Miles at the State nominating convention. In spite of this loss, the national Democratic Party backed Salazar with contributions from the DSCC and promotion of Salazar as the only primary candidate. [7]

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [a]
Margin
of error
Ken
Salazar
Mike
Miles
OtherUndecided
Mason-Dixon [8] [A] August 2004– (LV)67%21%12%
Mason-Dixon [9] [A] June 15–18, 2004300 (LV)± 6.0%61%15%24%

Results

Democratic primary results by county
.mw-parser-output .legend{page-break-inside:avoid;break-inside:avoid-column}.mw-parser-output .legend-color{display:inline-block;min-width:1.25em;height:1.25em;line-height:1.25;margin:1px 0;text-align:center;border:1px solid black;background-color:transparent;color:black}.mw-parser-output .legend-text{}
Salazar
50-60%
60-70%
70-80%
80-90%
>90%
Miles
50-60%
60-70% 2004 United States Senate Democratic primary election in Colorado results map by county.svg
Democratic primary results by county
  Salazar
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  •   >90%
  Miles
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
Democratic Primary results [10]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Ken Salazar 173,167 73.02%
Democratic Mike Miles63,97326.98%
Total votes237,140 100.00%

Republican primary

Candidates

Declined

Endorsements

Pete Coors
Elected officials
Bob Schaffer
Elected officials
  • Bill Owens, Governor of Colorado(switched endorsement to Coors) [12]

Campaign

The two candidates got into an ideological battle, as Schaffer attacked Coors because his company had provided benefits to the partners of its gay and lesbian employees, in addition to promoting its beer in gay bars. Coors defended himself by saying that he was opposed to same-sex marriage and supported a constitutional amendment to ban it, although he noted that he supported civil unions for gay couples. According to the Rocky Mountain News, Coors described his company's pro-LGBT practices as "good business, separate from politics." [13]

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [a]
Margin
of error
Pete
Coors
Bob
Schaffer
OtherUndecided
Mason-Dixon [8] [A] August 2004– (LV)45%41%14%
Tarrance Group (R) [14] [B] July 14–15, 2004500 (LV)± 4.5%53%34%13%
Mason-Dixon [9] [A] June 15–18, 2004300 (LV)± 6.0%39%35%26%

Results

Republican primary results by county
Coors
50-60%
60-70%
70-80%
80-90%
Schaffer
50-60%
60-70% 2004 United States Senate Republican primary election in Colorado results map by county.svg
Republican primary results by county
  Coors
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  Schaffer
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%

Coors defeated Schaffer with 61% of the vote in the primary, with many analysts citing his high name recognition in the state as a primary factor. [15] [16]

Republican Primary results [17]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Pete Coors 203,157 60.57%
Republican Bob Schaffer132,27439.43%
Total votes335,431 100.00%

General election

Candidates

Major

Minor

  • Douglas Campbell (C)
  • Victor Good (Re)
  • Finn Gotaas (I)
  • John Harris (I)
  • Richard Randall (L)

Campaign

Pete Coors, Chairman of Coors Brewing Company, ran as a moderate conservative. However, Salazar was also a moderate and a highly popular State Attorney General. [18] Coors is also a great-grandson of Adolph Coors, founder of the brewing company. His father is Joseph Coors, president of the company and a founding member of The Heritage Foundation. Salazar narrowly won the open seat. It was one of only two Democratic pickups in the 2004 Senate elections (Illinois was the other).

Debates

Finances

According to OpenSecrets, Coors gave his own campaign $1,213,657 and received individual donations of $60,550 from other Coors family members[ citation needed ].

A state record total of over $11 million was raised during the election. [19]

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Sabato's Crystal Ball [20] Lean D (flip)November 1, 2004

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [a]
Margin
of error
Pete
Coors (R)
Ken
Salazar (D)
OtherUndecided
Reuters/Zogby International [21] October 29 – November 1, 2004600 (LV)± 4.1%44%52%1%3%
SurveyUSA [22] [C] October 30–31, 2004701 (LV)± 3.8%47%51%2%
Reuters/Zogby International [21] October 28–31, 2004600 (LV)± 4.0%44%52%4%
Reuters/Zogby International [21] October 27–30, 2004600 (LV)± 4.1%46%49%1%4%
Reuters/Zogby International [21] October 26–29, 2004600 (LV)± 4.1%45%50%2%3%
Reuters/Zogby International [21] October 25–28, 2004600 (LV)± 4.1%43%52%1%4%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) [23] [D] October 25–27, 2004500 (LV)± 4.3%42%48%4%
Mason-Dixon [24] [A] October 25–27, 2004625 (LV)± 4.8%46%46%1% [b] 7%
Reuters/Zogby International [21] October 24–27, 2004600 (LV)± 4.1%42%53%1%4%
Reuters/Zogby International [21] October 23–26, 2004600 (LV)± 4.1%43%53%4%
Reuters/Zogby International [21] October 22–25, 2004600 (LV)± 4.1%44%50%6%
Reuters/Zogby International [21] October 21–24, 2004600 (LV)± 4.1%42%51%7%
SurveyUSA [25] [E] October 18–20, 2004596 (LV)± 4.1%50%46%3%1%
Ciruli Associates [26] [F] October 15–19, 2004600 (RV)± 4.0%43%47%10%
Rasmussen Reports [27] October 18, 2004500 (LV)± 4.5%49%48%2%1%
Gallup/CNN/USA Today [28] October 14–17, 2004666 (LV)± 4.0%48%49%3%
815 (RV)45%51%4%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) [29] [D] October 13–15, 2004400 (V)± 4.9%45%40%6%6%
SurveyUSA [30] [E] October 5–7, 2004594 (LV)± 4.1%48%48%3%1%
Mason-Dixon [31] [A] October 4–6, 2004630 (RV)± 4.0%44%46%1%9%
Gallup/CNN/USA Today [32] October 3–6, 2004667 (LV)± 5.0%43%54%3%
820 (RV)± 4.0%43%53%4%
SurveyUSA [33] [E] September 21–23, 2004625 (LV)± 4.0%51%46%3%
Rasmussen Reports [34] September 16, 2004500 (LV)± 4.3%49%48%1%1%
Ciruli Associates [35] [F] September 14–18, 2004600 (RV)± 4.0%45%46%9%
Tarrance Group (R) [36] [B] September 14–16, 2004± 4.5%44%46%10%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) [37] [D] September 12–13, 2004500 (LV)± 4.3%42%53%1%4%
Tarrance Group (R) [36] [B] August 24–26, 2004600 (LV)± 4.0%43%47%10%
Rasmussen Reports [38] August 19, 2004500 (LV)± 4.5%45%49%2%4%
SurveyUSA [39] [E] August 14–16, 2004618 (LV)± 4.0%48%47%4%1%
Harstad Strategic Research (D) [40] [G] August 2004± 3.5%42%48%10%
Mason-Dixon [9] [A] June 15–18, 2004800 (RV)± 3.5%40%47%13%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) [41] [D] April 20–24, 2004600 (RV)36%52%12%
Rasmussen Reports [42] April 14, 2004500 (LV)± 4.3%41%47%3%8%
Hypothetical polling

Bob Schaffer vs. Ken Salazar

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [a]
Margin
of error
Bob
Schaffer (R)
Ken
Salazar (D)
OtherUndecided
Mason-Dixon [9] [A] June 15–18, 2004800 (RV)± 3.5%35%49%16%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) [41] [D] April 20–24, 2004600 (RV)37%48%15%
Rasmussen Reports [42] April 14, 2004500 (LV)± 4.3%37%49%5%9%

Pete Coors vs. Mike Miles

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [a]
Margin
of error
Pete
Coors (R)
Mike
Miles (D)
OtherUndecided
Mason-Dixon [9] [A] June 15–18, 2004800 (RV)± 3.5%45%30%25%

Bob Schaffer vs. Mike Miles

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [a]
Margin
of error
Bob
Schaffer (R)
Mike
Miles (D)
OtherUndecided
Mason-Dixon [9] [A] June 15–18, 2004800 (RV)± 3.5%43%29%28%

Results

General election results [43]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Democratic Ken Salazar 1,081,188 51.30% +16.29%
Republican Pete Coors 980,66846.53%−15.96%
Constitution Douglas Campbell18,7830.89%+0.15%
Libertarian Richard Randall10,1600.48%
Independent John R. Harris8,4420.40%
Reform Victor Good6,4810.31%
Independent Finn Gotaas1,7500.08%
Majority 100,5204.77%−22.70%
Turnout 2,107,472
Democratic gain from Republican Swing

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

See also

Notes

  1. 1 2 3 4 5 6 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. "Someone else" with 1%

Partisan clients

  1. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Poll sponsored by The Denver Post
  2. 1 2 3 Poll sponsored by Coors' campaign
  3. Poll conducted for KUSA-TV
  4. 1 2 3 4 5 Poll sponsored by Rocky Mountain News & KCNC-TV
  5. 1 2 3 4 Poll conducted for KUSA-TV & KOAA-TV
  6. 1 2 Poll sponsored by The Pueblo Chieftain
  7. Poll sponsored by Salazar's campaign

References

  1. Janofsky, Michael (March 4, 2004). "G.O.P. Senator Campbell of Colorado Will Retire". The New York Times.
  2. "Analysis: Owens focus of Senate talk - UPI Archives". UPI. Retrieved June 1, 2024.
  3. Chris Cillizza (March 3, 2004). "Campbell Exit Sparks a Scramble". Roll Call. Retrieved June 1, 2024.
  4. Writer, Steven K. Paulson/AP (March 10, 2004). "Rep. Udall announces his bid for senate". www.vaildaily.com. Retrieved June 1, 2024.
  5. Chris Cillizza (March 10, 2004). "Salazar Clears the Field". Roll Call. Retrieved June 1, 2024.
  6. "Colorado - Election Results 2008 - The New York Times". archive.nytimes.com. Retrieved June 1, 2024.
  7. Chris Cillizza (March 10, 2004). "Salazar Clears the Field". Roll Call. Retrieved June 1, 2024.
  8. 1 2 "Colorado hopefuls all tied up". The Washington Times . August 9, 2004. Retrieved June 4, 2025.
  9. 1 2 3 4 5 6 "Poll: Salazar leads Senate candidates". KUSA-TV . June 28, 2004. Retrieved June 4, 2025.
  10. "Archived copy" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on December 31, 2010. Retrieved June 6, 2011.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
  11. 1 2 3 4 5 Cillizza, Chris (April 7, 2004). "Trouble Brewing In Colo.?". Roll Call. Archived from the original on June 17, 2025. Retrieved June 17, 2025.
  12. 1 2 3 "Coors launches bid for U.S. Senate". CNN. April 14, 2004. Archived from the original on June 17, 2025. Retrieved June 17, 2025.
  13. "Rocky Mountain News: Denver News, Business, Homes, Jobs, Cars, & Information". Archived from the original on August 19, 2004. Retrieved January 9, 2006.
  14. Cillizza, Chris (July 19, 2004). "New 527 Targets Coors". Roll Call . Archived from the original on November 28, 2021. Retrieved June 4, 2025.
  15. "The New York Times > Congressional Quarterly > Washington > Campaign 2004 > CQ Today: Republican Coors Gets Primary Win for Colorado Senate Seat". archive.nytimes.com. Retrieved June 1, 2024.
  16. Archives, L. A. Times (August 11, 2004). "Coors Among Winners in Primaries for U.S. Senate". Los Angeles Times. Retrieved June 1, 2024.
  17. "Archived copy" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on December 31, 2010. Retrieved June 6, 2011.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
  18. "The Coors campaign's deceptive advertising - Salon.com". Archived from the original on February 10, 2009. Retrieved May 5, 2009.
  19. HighBeam
  20. "The Final Predictions". Sabato's Crystal Ball. November 2004. Retrieved May 2, 2021.
  21. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 "Election 2004 Zogby Battleground State Polls". Zogby International . November 2, 2004. Archived from the original on November 6, 2004. Retrieved May 30, 2025.
  22. "CO, at the Wire: Salazar Atop Coors; Bush Holds On, Barely" (PDF). SurveyUSA . November 1, 2004. Archived from the original (PDF) on November 8, 2004. Retrieved June 4, 2025.
  23. Brennan, Charlie (October 28, 2004). "Salazar pulls ahead of Coors as the finish line approaches". Rocky Mountain News . Archived from the original on November 24, 2004. Retrieved June 4, 2025.
  24. Whaley, Monte (October 29, 2004). "Tight sprint to Senate – Rivals at 46% each in poll before final bids for votes". The Denver Post . Archived from the original on January 13, 2005. Retrieved June 4, 2025.
  25. "CO: Bush Stable, Would Get 9 ECV Today; Coors 4 Pts Atop Salazar" (PDF). SurveyUSA . October 21, 2004. Archived from the original (PDF) on November 8, 2004. Retrieved June 4, 2025.
  26. Roper, Peter (October 22, 2004). "Bush lead shrinking in Colorado – Salazar ahead of Coors". The Pueblo Chieftain . Archived from the original on October 29, 2004. Retrieved June 4, 2025.
  27. "Colorado Senate: Coors 49% Salazar 48%". Rasmussen Reports . October 21, 2004. Archived from the original on May 23, 2022. Retrieved June 4, 2025.
  28. "Bush gains edge in Colorado". USA Today . October 18, 2004. Archived from the original on September 12, 2005. Retrieved June 4, 2025.
  29. Bartel, Lynn (October 19, 2004). "Poll: Coors jumps ahead". Rocky Mountain News . Archived from the original on October 22, 2004. Retrieved June 4, 2025.
  30. "Bush Up 8 in CO, but Would He Get 5 or 9 ECV? Coors, Salazar Tied" (PDF). SurveyUSA . October 8, 2004. Archived from the original (PDF) on November 8, 2004. Retrieved June 4, 2025.
  31. Couch, Mark P.; Crummy, Karen E. (October 9, 2004). "'Close race,' but Salazar has edge". The Denver Post . Archived from the original on January 13, 2005. Retrieved June 4, 2025.
  32. "Dead heat in Colorado; Bush lead slim in New Mexico, Wisconsin". USA Today . October 7, 2004. Archived from the original on September 12, 2005. Retrieved June 4, 2025.
  33. "Colorado: Bush Now 8 Points Ahead of Kerry, 39 Days to Go" (PDF). SurveyUSA . September 24, 2004. Archived from the original (PDF) on November 8, 2004. Retrieved June 4, 2025.
  34. "Colorado Senate: Coors 49% Salazar 48%". Rasmussen Reports . September 20, 2004. Archived from the original on September 22, 2004. Retrieved June 4, 2025.
  35. Roper, Peter (November 1, 2004). "Coors and Salazar locked in dead heat". The Pueblo Chieftain . Archived from the original on October 10, 2004. Retrieved June 4, 2025.
  36. 1 2 "Colorado 2004 Polls". RealClearPolitics . Archived from the original on November 8, 2004. Retrieved June 4, 2025.
  37. Bartels, Lynn (September 18, 2004). "Voters favor Salazar". Rocky Mountain News . Archived from the original on October 10, 2004. Retrieved June 4, 2025.
  38. "Colorado Senate: Salazar 49% Coors 45%". Rasmussen Reports . August 20, 2004. Archived from the original on October 11, 2004. Retrieved June 4, 2025.
  39. "No Breathing Room in Colorado: President & U.S. Senate Races Tied" (PDF). SurveyUSA . August 17, 2004. Archived from the original (PDF) on October 13, 2004. Retrieved June 4, 2025.
  40. Moulitsas, Markos (September 8, 2004). "CO-Sen: Salazar takes the lead". Daily Kos . Retrieved June 4, 2025.
  41. 1 2 Roberts, Joel (April 28, 2004). "Washington Wrap". CBS News . Retrieved June 4, 2025.
  42. 1 2 "Colorado Senate: Salazar 47% Coors 41%". Rasmussen Reports . April 15, 2004. Archived from the original on September 21, 2004. Retrieved June 4, 2025.
  43. "Office of the Clerk, U.S. House of Representatives".