2004 United States Senate election in California

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2004 United States Senate election in California
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  Barbara Boxer 2005 (cropped).jpg Bill Jones, 1995.jpg
Nominee Barbara Boxer Bill Jones
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote6,955,7284,555,922
Percentage57.7%37.8%
2004 United States Senate election in California results map by county.svg
County results
Boxer:     40-50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
Jones:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%
U.S. senator before election

Barbara Boxer
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

Barbara Boxer
Democratic

The 2004 United States Senate election in California took place on November 2, 2004 alongside other elections to the United States Senate in other states as well as elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Barbara Boxer ran for re-election and defeated Republican former Secretary of State Bill Jones. Boxer's 6.96 million votes set the all-time record for the most votes cast for one candidate in one state in one election, although it was surpassed by Senator Dianne Feinstein's 7.75 million votes in 2012.

Contents

Democratic primary

Candidates

Results

2004 United States Senate Democratic primary, California
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Barbara Boxer (Incumbent) 2,566,298 100.00%

Republican primary

Candidates

Results

2004 California Republican primary
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Bill Jones 1,015,748 44.81%
Republican Rosario Marin 454,17620.03%
Republican Howard Kaloogian 253,33111.17%
Republican Toni Casey142,0806.27%
Republican Tim Stoen124,9405.51%
Republican James Stewart78,2643.45%
Republican Barry L. Hatch71,2443.14%
Republican John M. Van Zandt56,9252.51%
Republican Danney Ball37,7451.66%
Republican Bill Quraishi32,5151.43%
Total votes2,266,968 100.00%

Third party primaries

American Independent

2004 United States AI Senate primary, California
PartyCandidateVotes%
American Independent Don J. Grundmann 32,025 100.00%

Libertarian

2004 United States Senate Libertarian primary, California
CandidateVotes %
Jim Gray 13,65657.30%
Gail Lightfoot10,17742.70%
Total votes23,833 100.00%

Peace and Freedom

2004 United States PF Senate primary, California
PartyCandidateVotes%
Peace and Freedom Marsha Feinland 4,864 100.00%

General election

Candidates

Major

Minor

Campaign

Boxer originally had decided to retire in 2004 but changed her mind to "fight for the right to dissent" against conservatives like Majority Leader Tom DeLay. Jones was widely considered as the underdog. [3] Jones got a major endorsement form the popular Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger. [4] The two major candidates had a debate. Pre-election polling had Boxer leading in double digits. [5] But he never released a single TV ad. Boxer portrayed Jones as too conservative for California, citing his votes in the California Assembly (1982 to 1994) against gun control, increased minimum wage, support for offshore drilling, and a loosening of environmental regulations. [6]

Fundraising

Jones raised about $700,000 more than Boxer during the third quarter, pulling in $2.5 million to Boxer's $1.8 million. But overall, Boxer has raised $16 million to Jones' $6.2 million. And Boxer has spent about $7 million on radio and television ads alone. [7]

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Sabato's Crystal Ball [8] Safe DNovember 1, 2004

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 1] 		Margin
of error		Barbara
Boxer (D)		Bill
Jones (R)		Other /
Undecided
SurveyUSA October 29–31, 2004763 (LV)± 3.6%57%36%7%

Results

The election was not close, with Boxer winning by an authoritative 20 point margin. Jones only performed well in rural parts of the state. Boxer on the other hand won almost all major metropolitan areas in the state. The race was called right when the polls closed at 11:00 P.M. EST, and 7:00 P.M. PTZ. Jones conceded defeat to Boxer at 11:12 P.M. EST, and 7:12 PTZ.

2004 United States Senate election, California [9]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Barbara Boxer (Incumbent) 6,955,728 57.71%
Republican Bill Jones 4,555,92237.80%
Peace and Freedom Marsha Feinland 243,8462.02%
Libertarian James P. "Jim" Gray 216,5221.80%
American Independent Don J. Grundmann81,2440.67%
No partyDennis Richter (write-in)430.00%
No partyHoward Johnson (write-in)80.00%
No partyJohn Emery Jones (write-in)20.00%
Invalid or blank votes536,3884.26%
Total votes12,589,703 100.00%
Turnout  57.03%
Democratic hold

By county

Final results from the Secretary of State of California. [10]

County Boxer Votes Jones Votes Feinland VotesOthersVotes
San Francisco 82.67%277,19312.83%43,0292.15%7,2202.34%7,862
Alameda 75.66%403,89220.23%107,9662.22%11,8511.89%10,103
Marin 70.86%94,16425.81%34,3011.44%1,9151.89%2,505
San Mateo 70.53%196,28526.29%73,1711.33%3,7151.84%5,126
Santa Cruz 70.58%84,84023.49%28,2392.77%3,3293.15%3,791
Los Angeles 66.75%1,940,49328.29%822,3512.36%68,7432.60%75,449
Santa Clara 66.00%380,55129.83%172,0081.66%9,5502.51%14,487
Sonoma 65.67%143,12429.57%64,4382.28%4,9622.49%5,419
Contra Costa 63.49%258,90533.24%135,5591.48%6,0441.78%7,277
Monterey 62.31%76,64732.96%40,5471.84%2,2632.89%3,560
Yolo 61.94%44,08534.05%24,2341.88%1,3402.13%1,518
Mendocino 61.87%23,41529.41%11,1312.76%1,0445.96%2,254
Solano 61.32%89,77935.07%51,3541.61%2,3552.00%2,929
Napa 60.30%33,57735.94%20,0121.59%8842.17%1,208
Humboldt 58.76%38,01634.61%22,3943.47%2,2463.16%2,044
Imperial 57.65%19,49836.06%12,1953.43%1,1592.87%971
Lake 56.32%13,81239.22%9,6191.91%4692.55%625
San Benito 55.82%10,34939.73%7,3651.96%3632.49%462
Santa Barbara 55.10%91,05540.02%66,1462.03%3,3472.85%4,717
Sacramento 54.16%252,01642.34%196,9841.50%6,9952.00%9,283
Alpine 53.90%37341.76%2892.31%162.02%14
San Joaquin 53.00%99,07442.98%80,3501.92%3,5822.10%3,921
Ventura 52.13%159,92043.66%133,9171.84%5,6302.37%7,284
San Diego 51.45%565,45744.13%484,9482.04%22,4312.38%26,125
Mono 49.95%2,59244.59%2,3142.14%1113.31%172
San Bernardino 49.76%251,77645.36%229,5272.18%11,0382.70%13,655
Merced 49.65%27,97546.18%26,0231.95%1,0982.22%1,251
Riverside 47.39%259,16948.67%266,1971.93%10,5472.01%11,015
Stanislaus 46.93%67,53949.70%71,5271.61%2,3241.75%2,517
San Luis Obispo 46.49%58,21248.48%60,7082.12%2,6592.91%3,646
Trinity 46.24%2,96047.93%3,0682.17%1393.66%234
Del Norte 46.03%4,26448.72%4,5132.29%2122.97%275
Nevada 45.79%24,36749.46%26,3211.90%1,0132.85%1,518
Fresno 45.36%109,84951.59%124,9371.61%3,9051.44%3,495
Butte 44.96%42,51249.12%46,4462.52%2,3853.39%3,204
Tuolumne 44.38%11,53852.39%13,6201.23%3192.00%519
Orange 43.73%458,60450.86%533,4061.94%20,3943.47%36,374
Kings 42.71%13,48554.07%17,0751.71%5391.51%478
Amador 42.16%7,44554.15%9,5621.53%2712.15%380
Calaveras 42.17%9,33953.58%11,8651.51%3342.75%608
Inyo 40.68%3,47454.37%4,6432.08%1782.86%244
Mariposa 40.38%3,43755.82%4,7511.69%1442.10%179
Siskiyou 39.92%8,21554.95%11,3081.94%3993.18%655
Placer 39.70%59,55456.78%85,1631.46%2,1972.06%3,086
Plumas 39.59%4,34754.82%6,0192.21%2433.38%371
El Dorado 39.58%33,71556.09%47,7752.05%1,7432.29%1,950
Madera 39.15%15,05857.84%22,2491.67%6411.35%519
Yuba 38.94%6,92655.80%9,9252.21%3933.05%542
Kern 38.13%79,76956.82%118,8822.17%4,5432.88%6,026
Tulare 37.11%36,18159.55%58,0661.84%1,7981.50%1,464
Colusa 36.61%2,22860.10%3,6571.23%752.05%125
Sutter 36.61%10,86460.06%17,8241.47%4361.86%553
Tehama 36.18%8,28558.89%13,4881.76%4033.17%726
Shasta 35.21%26,79560.00%45,6671.86%1,4122.94%2,235
Sierra 34.89%67958.74%1,1431.90%374.47%87
Glenn 33.87%3,14761.77%5,7391.86%1732.50%232
Lassen 32.36%3,65562.43%7,0511.97%2233.24%366
Modoc 28.48%1,25366.27%2,9161.52%673.73%164

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

See also

Notes

  1. ↑ Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear

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References

  1. ↑ "GOP race in state draws little cash, attention : 4 candidates seek chance to replace Boxer in Senate". 2011-06-29. Archived from the original on 2011-06-29.
  2. 1 2 3 "NewsLibrary Search Results". nl.newsbank.com. Archived from the original on 2011-06-09. Retrieved 2010-07-02.
  3. ↑ "John J. Miller on U.S. Senate & Election 2004 on National Review Online". Archived from the original on 2012-03-09. Retrieved 2010-09-04.
  4. ↑ "USATODAY.com - Schwarzenegger to endorse Jones for Senate". Usatoday.com.
  5. ↑ "CAMPAIGN 2004 / Jones, Boxer mix it up in only live debate / Challenger plays up Schwarzenegger ties, senator counters". Sfgate.com. 11 August 2004. Archived from the original on 2010-09-05.
  6. ↑ [ dead link ]
  7. ↑ "Los Angeles Times: Archives - CALIFORNIA ELECTIONS; Jones Pulls Out Cash He Lent to Campaign". Archived from the original on 2012-11-03. Retrieved 2018-05-13.
  8. ↑ "The Final Predictions". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Archived from the original on May 2, 2021. Retrieved May 2, 2021.
  9. ↑ [ permanent dead link ]
  10. ↑ "Archived copy" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on 2008-07-31. Retrieved 2008-07-31.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
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