2012 United States Senate election in California

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2012 United States Senate election in California
Flag of California.svg
←  2006 November 6, 2012 2018  →
Turnout55.2% (voting eligible) [1]
  Dianne Feinstein, official Senate photo 2 (cropped).jpg Elizabeth Emken (cropped).jpg
Nominee Dianne Feinstein Elizabeth Emken
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote7,864,6244,713,887
Percentage62.52%37.48%
2012 United States Senate election in California results map by county.svg
2012 California Senate election by CD.svg
Feinstein:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Emken:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%
U.S. senator before election

Dianne Feinstein
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

Dianne Feinstein
Democratic

The 2012 United States Senate election in California took place on November 6, 2012, concurrently with the 2012 U.S. presidential election as well as other elections to the United States Senate and House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Contents

The primary election on June 5 took place under California's new blanket primary law, where all candidates appear on the same ballot, regardless of party. In the primary, voters voted for any candidate listed, or write-in any other candidate. The top two finishers—regardless of party—advanced to the general election in November, even if a candidate managed to receive a majority of the votes cast in the June primary. In the primary, less than 15% of the total 2010 census population voted. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Dianne Feinstein announced her intention to run for a fourth full term in April 2011 [2] and finished first in the blanket primary with 49.5% of the vote. The second-place finisher was Republican candidate and autism activist Elizabeth Emken, who won 12.7% of the vote.

Feinstein ultimately defeated Emken in the general election on November 6, winning 62.5% of the vote to Emken's 37.5%. Feinstein's total of 7.86 million popular votes is the most ever received by a candidate for U.S. Senate in American history. [3] For a full decade, Emken was the only Republican candidate to have advanced to a general U.S. Senate election in California, as only Democratic candidates advanced to the general election in 2016 and 2018; however, this streak was broken in 2022.

Primary

Candidates

Democratic Party

  • Dianne Feinstein, incumbent U.S. senator [4]
  • Colleen Shea Fernald
  • David Levitt, computer scientist and engineer [5]
  • Nak Shah, environmental health consultant
  • Diane Stewart, businesswoman
  • Mike Strimling, attorney and former U.S. Peace Corps legal adviser

Republican Party

Libertarian

  • Gail Lightfoot, retired nurse

Peace and Freedom

American Independent

  • Don J. Grundmann, chiropractor

Despite Don J. Grundmann running, the American Independent Party gave their party endorsement to Republican Robert Lauten. [14]

Polling

Open Primary
Survey USA poll of 1,314 likely voters, March 29–April 2, 2012. MoE: ±2.8%
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Dianne Feinstein (incumbent) 51
Republican Dan Hughes2
Republican Elizabeth Emken2
Democratic Diane Stewart1
Republican John Boruff1
Republican Rick Williams1
Republican Al Ramirez1
Republican Robert Lauten1
Republican Orly Taitz 1
Libertarian Gail Lightfoot1
Democratic David Alex Levitt1
Republican Greg Conlon1
Republican Dennis Jackson1
Republican Donald Krampe1
American Independent Don J. Grundmann1
Republican Oscar Alejandro Braun0
Republican Dirk Allen Konopik0
Democratic Mike Strimling0
Democratic Nak Shah0
Democratic Colleen Shea Fernald0
Peace and Freedom Marsha Feinland0
Republican Rogelio T. Gloria0
Peace and Freedom Kabiruddin Karim Ali0
Republican Nachum Shifren 0
n/a Undecided30
Total votes
Survey USA poll of 1,232 likely voters, May 27–29, 2012. MoE: ±2.8%
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Dianne Feinstein (incumbent) 42
Republican Elizabeth Emken4
Republican Dan Hughes4
Republican Rick Williams3
Republican Al Ramirez3
Republican Donald Krampe2
Democratic Diane Stewart2
Democratic David Alex Levitt2
Libertarian Gail Lightfoot2
Republican Orly Taitz 1
Republican Greg Conlon1
Republican Robert Lauten1
Republican Nachum Shifren 1
Republican Dennis Jackson1
Republican John Boruff1
Republican Dirk Allen Konopik1
Democratic Colleen Shea Fernald1
Democratic Mike Strimling1
Peace and Freedom Marsha Feinland1
American Independent Don J. Grundmann1
Republican Oscar Alejandro Braun0
Peace and Freedom Kabiruddin Karim Ali0
Democratic Nak Shah0
Republican Rogelio T. Gloria0
n/a Undecided24
Total votes

Results

Primary results by county: .mw-parser-output .legend{page-break-inside:avoid;break-inside:avoid-column}.mw-parser-output .legend-color{display:inline-block;min-width:1.25em;height:1.25em;line-height:1.25;margin:1px 0;text-align:center;border:1px solid black;background-color:transparent;color:black}.mw-parser-output .legend-text{} Feinstein >= 20% Feinstein >= 30% Feinstein >= 40% Feinstein >= 50% Feinstein >= 60% Feinstein >= 70% California Senate Primary election results by county, 2012.svg
Primary results by county:
  Feinstein >= 20%
  Feinstein >= 30%
  Feinstein >= 40%
  Feinstein >= 50%
  Feinstein >= 60%
  Feinstein >= 70%
United States Senate primary election in California, 2012 [15]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Dianne Feinstein (incumbent) 2,392,822 49.3%
Republican Elizabeth Emken 613,613 12.6%
Republican Dan Hughes323,8406.7%
Republican Rick Williams157,9463.3%
Republican Orly Taitz 154,7813.2%
Republican Dennis Jackson137,1202.8%
Republican Greg Conlon135,4212.8%
Republican Al Ramirez109,3992.3%
Libertarian Gail Lightfoot101,6482.1%
Democratic Diane Stewart97,7822.0%
Democratic Mike Strimling97,0242.0%
Democratic David Levitt76,4821.6%
Republican Oscar Braun75,8421.6%
Republican Robert Lauten57,7201.2%
Peace and Freedom Marsha Feinland54,1291.2%
Democratic Colleen Shea Fernald51,6231.1%
Republican Donald Krampe39,0350.8%
American Independent Don J. Grundmann33,0370.7%
Republican Dirk Allen Konopik29,9970.6%
Republican John Boruff29,3570.6%
Democratic Nak Shah27,2030.6%
Republican Rogelio T. Gloria22,5290.5%
Republican Nachum Shifren21,7620.4%
Peace and Freedom Kabiruddin Karim Ali12,2690.3%
Republican Linda R. Price (write-in)250.0%
Total votes4,852,406 100.0%

Election contest

In July 2012, Taitz sued to block the certification of the primary election results, alleging "rampant election fraud", but her suit was denied. [16] [17]

General election

Fundraising

Candidate (party)ReceiptsDisbursementsCash on handDebt
Dianne Feinstein (D)$12,673,306$12,105,960$865,541$373,734
Elizabeth Emken (R)$1,114,350$1,110,209$4,140$4,479
Source: Federal Election Commission [18] [19]

Top contributors

Dianne FeinsteinContributionElizabeth EmkenContribution
Pacific Gas and Electric Company $120,700 Thomas H. Lee Partners $10,000
JStreetPAC $82,171DevicePharm, Inc.$7,500
General Atomics $56,750Troy Group$7,500
Edison International $54,250 Jelly Belly $5,500
General Dynamics $43,500Autism Advocate$5,000
BAE Systems $40,000Geier Group$5,000
Diamond Foods $31,599Generations Healthcare$5,000
Northrop Grumman $30,800Gingery Development$4,000
International Alliance of Theatrical Stage Employees $30,000MIR3, Inc.$3,000
Wells Fargo $27,250 Northrop Grumman $2,800
Source: OpenSecrets [20]

Top industries

Dianne FeinsteinContributionElizabeth EmkenContribution
Lawyers/Law Firms $565,129Retired$63,849
Retired$463,058Republican/Conservative$35,800
Agribusiness $367,132 Financial Institutions $26,100
Real Estate $334,321Real Estate$19,200
Lobbyists $324,196Business Services$16,000
Financial Institutions$321,744Misc Finance$12,750
Electric Utilities $313,450 Printing & Publishing $8,000
Entertainment Industry $300,321 Food & Beverage $6,000
Women's Issues $207,449 Petroleum Industry $6,000
High-Tech Industry $205,789Lawyers/Law Firms$5,458
Source: OpenSecrets [21]

Candidates

Debates

No debates were scheduled. Senator Feinstein decided to focus on her own campaign rather than debate her challenger. [23] [24]

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [25] Solid DNovember 1, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball [26] Safe DNovember 5, 2012
Rothenberg Political Report [27] Safe DNovember 2, 2012
Real Clear Politics [28] Safe DNovember 5, 2012

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Dianne
Feinstein (D)		Elizabeth
Emken (R)		OtherUndecided
SurveyUSA May 27–29, 20121,575±2.5%50%34%—15%
The Field Poll June 21 – July 2, 2012848±3.5%51%32%—17%
CBRT Pepperdine July 30 – August 1, 2012873±3.3%46%34%—21%
SurveyUSA September 9–11, 2012524±4.2%55%37%—9%
The Field Poll September 6–18, 2012902±3.4%57%31%—12%
SurveyUSA October 7–9, 2012539±4.3%54%35%—10%
Reason-Rupe October 11–15, 2012508±5.1%60%34%2%5%
LA Times/USC [ permanent dead link ]October 15–21, 20121,440±n/a55%38%1%6%
The Field Poll October 17–24, 2012815±3.6%56%32%—12%
The Field Poll October 25–30, 2012751±3.6%54%33%—13%

Results

United States Senate election in California, 2012 [29]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Democratic Dianne Feinstein (incumbent) 7,864,624 62.52% +3.09%
Republican Elizabeth Emken4,713,88737.48%+2.46%
Total votes12,578,511 100.00% N/A
Democratic hold

Results by county

Dianne Feinstein Elizabeth Emken
CountyVotes %Votes %
Alameda 468,45681.9%103,31318.1%
Alpine 40964.1%22935.9%
Amador 7,05140.8%10,23259.2%
Butte 43,68149.3%44,98150.7%
Calaveras 8,87841.6%12,47958.4%
Colusa 2,48243.3%3,25356.7%
Contra Costa 300,19470.1%128,31029.9%
Del Norte 4,06547.4%4,50252.6%
El Dorado 35,77641.3%50,82058.7%
Fresno 129,26751.1%123,49948.9%
Glenn 3,52039.0%5,51561.0%
Humboldt 36,16265.0%19,43735.0%
Imperial 25,34267.2%12,34632.8%
Inyo 3,33342.6%4,49457.4%
Kern 92,25242.3%125,90657.7%
Kings 13,30442.6%17,91657.4%
Lake 13,54359.0%9,42441.0%
Lassen 3,15029.9%7,39070.1%
Los Angeles 2,183,65471.5%868,92428.5%
Madera 15,99741.1%22,94258.9%
Marin 105,15380.1%26,10519.9%
Mariposa 3,55140.3%5,26859.7%
Mendocino 24,25470.3%10,22429.7%
Merced 32,95555.0%27,00045.0%
Modoc 1,18830.1%2,76169.9%
Mono 2,60052.0%2,40448.0%
Monterey 84,58569.6%36,93030.4%
Napa 37,12266.5%18,68233.5%
Nevada 25,49550.4%25,07849.6%
Orange 515,90247.5%570,57452.5%
Placer 68,59941.4%97,13958.6%
Plumas 4,16242.8%5,56057.2%
Riverside 327,69851.9%303,65148.1%
Sacramento 302,07860.7%195,41239.3%
San Benito 11,38961.1%7,25538.9%
San Bernardino 298,06754.0%253,43346.0%
San Diego 622,78154.4%521,88445.6%
San Francisco 305,12688.5%39,58911.5%
San Joaquin 113,70657.0%85,78743.0%
San Luis Obispo 62,21650.8%60,26249.2%
San Mateo 213,50377.2%62,97922.8%
Santa Barbara 93,92159.6%63,59940.4%
Santa Clara 454,64772.9%168,72227.1%
Santa Cruz 91,10978.2%25,46321.8%
Shasta 27,15536.5%47,18463.5%
Sierra 67738.6%1,07861.4%
Siskiyou 8,19642.0%11,33458.0%
Solano 98,25166.0%50,63434.0%
Sonoma 154,89273.7%55,25626.3%
Stanislaus 78,47051.8%73,06048.2%
Sutter 12,39541.2%17,71558.8%
Tehama 8,34937.0%14,24163.0%
Trinity 2,65847.5%2,94352.5%
Tulare 42,39542.9%56,49957.1%
Tuolumne 10,33642.8%13,82357.2%
Ventura 171,48354.4%143,60345.6%
Yolo 49,14867.7%23,46832.3%
Yuba 7,89641.0%11,37659.0%
Totals7,864,62462.52%4,713,88737.48%

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

Feinstein won 41 of the 53 congressional districts, including three held by Republicans. [30]

DistrictEmkenFeinsteinRepresentative
1st 57.54%42.46% Doug LaMalfa
2nd 26.57%73.43% Jared Huffman
3rd 43.53%56.47% John Garamendi
4th 58.51%41.49% Tom McClintock
5th 27.52%72.48% Mike Thompson
6th 28.74%71.26% Doris Matsui
7th 46.52%53.48% Ami Bera
8th 56.52%43.48% Paul Cook
9th 40.39%59.61% Jerry McNerney
10th 47.93%52.07% Jeff Denham
11th 28.5%71.5% George Miller
12th 11.19%88.81% Nancy Pelosi
13th 9.14%90.86% Barbara Lee
14th 20.65%79.35% Jackie Speier
15th 29.32%70.68% Eric Swalwell
16th 40.69%59.31% Jim Costa
17th 25.22%74.78% Mike Honda
18th 28.45%71.55% Anna Eshoo
19th 26.49%73.51% Zoe Lofgren
20th 26.87%73.13% Sam Farr
21st 44.36%55.64% David Valadao
22nd 56.76%43.24% Devin Nunes
23rd 61.99%38.01% Kevin McCarthy
24th 44.1%55.9% Lois Capps
25th 50.8%49.2% Buck McKeon
26th 43.8%56.2% Julia Brownley
27th 34.85%65.15% Judy Chu
28th 26.59%73.41% Adam Schiff
29th 22.21%77.79% Tony Cárdenas
30th 31.44%68.56% Brad Sherman
31st 41.33%58.67% Gary Miller
32nd 33.33%66.67% Grace Napolitano
33rd 35.5%64.5% Henry Waxman
34th 15.4%84.6% Xavier Becerra
35th 31.96%68.04% Gloria Negrete McLeod
36th 46.35%53.65% Raul Ruiz
37th 13.92%86.08% Karen Bass
38th 33.43%66.57% Linda Sánchez
39th 50.82%49.18% Ed Royce
40th 18.76%81.24% Lucille Roybal-Allard
41st 37.03%62.97% Mark Takano
42nd 56.82%43.18% Ken Calvert
43rd 21.7%78.3% Maxine Waters
44th 15.29%84.71% Janice Hahn
45th 55.57%44.43% John B. T. Campbell III
46th 36.98%63.02% Loretta Sánchez
47th 38.56%61.44% Alan Lowenthal
48th 55.06%44.94% Dana Rohrabacher
49th 53.31%46.69% Darrell Issa
50th 60.48%39.52% Duncan Hunter
51st 29.92%70.08% Juan Vargas
52nd 45.51%54.49% Scott Peters
53rd 36.67%63.33% Susan Davis

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References

  1. ↑ Dr. Michael McDonald (February 9, 2013). "2012 General Election Turnout Rates". George Mason University. Archived from the original on April 24, 2013. Retrieved April 3, 2013.
  2. ↑ Marinucci, Carla (April 30, 2011). "US Sen. Dianne Feinstein on nuclear energy and her 2012 re-election: "My plan is to run"". San Francisco Chronicle Politics Blog. Archived from the original on January 22, 2012.
  3. ↑ Mahtesian, Charles. "Feinstein's record: 7.3 million votes". POLITICO. Retrieved February 12, 2020.
  4. ↑ Reston, Maeve (October 25, 2010). "Feinstein hints she'll run again in 2012". Los Angeles Times . Archived from the original on January 13, 2011. Retrieved January 3, 2011.
  5. ↑ Milhalcik, Carrie. "Citizen candidate to challenge Dianne Feinstein in Senate race". Current TV. Archived from the original on March 20, 2012. Retrieved March 22, 2012.
  6. ↑ Walker, Mark (December 1, 2011). "REGION: Ramona man running against Feinstein in 2012". North County Times . Archived from the original on September 7, 2012. Retrieved February 12, 2012.
  7. ↑ Van Oot, Torey (November 28, 2011). "Republican Elizabeth Emken to run against Sen. Dianne Feinstein". The Sacramento Bee . Archived from the original on November 30, 2011. Retrieved November 28, 2011.
  8. 1 2 Richman, Josh (November 29, 2011). "Danville woman seeks GOP nod to take on Feinstein". Oakland Tribune . Contra Costa Times. Archived from the original on December 31, 2011. Retrieved February 12, 2012.
  9. ↑ Merl, Jean (February 6, 2012). "GOP businessman joins field challenging Sen. Dianne Feinstein". Los Angeles Times . Archived from the original on February 13, 2012. Retrieved February 12, 2012.
  10. ↑ Archibald, Ashley (January 28, 2012). "Santa Monican hopes to unseat Feinstein". Santa Monica Daily Press . Retrieved February 12, 2012.[ permanent dead link ]
  11. ↑ Surowski, Peter (May 18, 2011). "Rabbi Who Denounced Temecula Mosque Runs for Senate". Temecula Patch . Archived from the original on May 22, 2012. Retrieved February 12, 2012.
  12. ↑ "Orly Taitz Senate Campaign: 'Birther Queen' Running As GOP Candidate For U.S. Senate Seat In California". The Huffington Post . November 4, 2011. Archived from the original on November 7, 2011. Retrieved November 7, 2011.
  13. ↑ "Rick Williams for Senate". Archived from the original on March 9, 2012. Retrieved March 13, 2012.
  14. ↑ "Voter Information Guide" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on October 28, 2015. Retrieved December 30, 2022.
  15. ↑ "Statement of Vote (June 5, 2012, Presidential Primary Election)" (PDF). California Secretary of State. Archived (PDF) from the original on May 7, 2017. Retrieved December 1, 2017.
  16. ↑ Wisckol, Martin (July 12, 2012). "O.C. 'birther' sues to block primary election results". The Orange County Register . Archived from the original on July 17, 2012.
  17. ↑ Wisckol, Martin (July 13, 2012). "O.C. 'birther' suit to block election results denied". The Orange County Register . Archived from the original on July 17, 2012.
  18. ↑ Federal Election Commission. "2012 House and Senate Campaign Finance for California FEINSTEIN, DIANNE". fec.gov. Archived from the original on July 21, 2013.
  19. ↑ Federal Election Commission. "2012 House and Senate Campaign Finance for California EMKEN, ELIZABETH". fec.gov. Archived from the original on July 21, 2013.
  20. ↑ "Top Contributors 2012 Race: California Senate". OpenSecrets. Archived from the original on April 7, 2014.
  21. ↑ "Top Industries 2012 Race: California Senate". OpenSecrets. Archived from the original on April 7, 2014.
  22. ↑ "Elizabeth Emken". ElizabethEmken.com. Archived from the original on October 18, 2016. Retrieved November 2, 2016.
  23. ↑ PaoloPhotoFilms (September 8, 2012). ""Feinstein Walks Out On Reporter", California US Senate debate". Archived from the original on January 12, 2018 – via YouTube.
  24. ↑ "Sen. Feinstein explains decision not to debate". ocregister.com. November 1, 2012. Archived from the original on December 9, 2012.
  25. ↑ "2012 Senate Race Ratings for November 1, 2012". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
  26. ↑ "2012 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
  27. ↑ "2012 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
  28. ↑ "2012 Elections Map - Battle for the Senate 2012". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
  29. ↑ "Archived copy" (PDF). Archived (PDF) from the original on December 24, 2016. Retrieved January 15, 2018.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
  30. ↑ "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts". Daily Kos. Retrieved August 11, 2020.
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