2012 United States Senate election in Nebraska

Last updated

2012 United States Senate election in Nebraska
Flag of Nebraska.svg
  2006 November 6, 2012 2018  
  Deb Fischer, official portrait, 113th Congress.jpg Senator Bob Kerrey.jpg
Nominee Deb Fischer Bob Kerrey
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote455,593332,979
Percentage57.77%42.23%

2012 United States Senate election in Nebraska results map by county.svg
2012 Nebraska Senate election by CD.svg
Fischer:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
Kerrey:     50–60%

U.S. senator before election

Ben Nelson
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

Deb Fischer
Republican

The 2012 United States Senate election in Nebraska took place on November 6, 2012, concurrently with the 2012 U.S. presidential election as well as other elections to the United States Senate and House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Contents

Incumbent Democratic senator Ben Nelson chose to retire instead of seeking a third term. [1] Democrat Bob Kerrey, who held this seat from 1989 to 2001, and Republican state senator Deb Fischer won their respective parties' primary elections on May 15, 2012.

Fischer won the general election with 57.8% of the vote. Her election marked the first time since 1970 that a Republican was elected to Nebraska's Class 1 Senate seat, as well as the first time that a woman was elected to a full Senate term in the state's history. This was the only Republican flip of the 2012 U.S. Senate elections. Fischer's inauguration marked the first time since the resignation of Roman Hruska in 1976 where Republicans held both Senate seats from Nebraska.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

  • Bob Kerrey, former U.S. Senator and former governor of Nebraska [2]
  • Steven Lustgarten, video production company owner [3]
  • Larry Marvin, landlord and perennial candidate [4]
  • Sherman Yates [4]

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

Bob Kerrey

U.S. Senators

Individuals

Results

Democratic primary results [13]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Bob Kerrey 66,586 81.0%
Democratic Chuck Hassebrook9,88612.0%
Democratic Steven Lustgarten2,1772.6%
Democratic Larry Marvin2,0762.5%
Democratic Sherman Yates1,5001.9%
Total votes82,225 100.0%

Republican primary

Candidates

Declined

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Jon
Bruning
Sharyn
Elander
Deb
Fischer
Pat
Flynn
Don
Stenberg
Spencer
Zimmerman
Undecided
Public Policy Polling [27] January 26–27, 2011519±4.3%47%6%7%19%20%
Public Policy Polling [28] September 30 – October 2, 2011400±4.9%37%14%6%16%27%
Public Policy Polling [29] March 22–25, 2012440±4.7%46%3%12%4%18%0%18%
We Ask America [30] May 6, 20121,173±2.9%42.2%3.4%25.9%4%22.5%2%
We Ask America [31] May 13, 20121,109±2.95%34%4%39%3%18%2%
Public Policy Polling [32] May 14, 2012272±5.9%33%1%37%2%17%1%7%

Endorsements

Jon Bruning
Deb Fischer
Don Stenberg

Results

Republican primary results [13]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Deb Fischer 79,941 41.0%
Republican Jon Bruning 70,06735.9%
Republican Don Stenberg 36,72718.8%
Republican Pat Flynn5,4132.8%
Republican Spencer Zimmerman1,6010.8%
Republican Sharyn Elander1,2940.7%
Total votes195,043 100.0%

General election

Candidates

Debates

The first debate took place at the Heartland Events Center during the Nebraska State Fair at 4 p.m. Saturday, August 25, 2012. Kerrey and Fischer participated.

The second debate took place on September 28, 2012, KETV-TV, Chamber of Commerce of Greater Omaha. Kerrey and Fischer participated.

The third debate took place on October 1, 2012, NET-TV. Kerrey and Fischer participated. Topics included agriculture policy, the economy, taxes and education. External links

Fundraising

Candidate (party)ReceiptsDisbursementsCash on handDebt
Bob Kerrey (D)$4,877,704$4,582,224$295,480$0
Deb Fischer (R)$4,536,837$3,472,721$1,458,122$65,000
Source: Federal Election Commission [49] [50] [51]

Top contributors

[52]

Bob KerreyContributionDeb FischerContribution
Rural Media Group $62,500 Elliott Management Corporation $29,413
MacAndrews & Forbes $51,000Hawkins Construction$20,000
Tenet Healthcare $25,650Kelly PAC$20,000
Nix, Patterson & Roach$25,000Tenaska Energy$17,500
Allen & Company $22,500 Werner Enterprises $15,250
Kirkland & Ellis $21,500T&L Irrigation$13,200
Level 3 Communications $17,000 Union Pacific $11,500
Genworth Financial $16,000 Pinnacle Financial Partners $10,500
Williams Kherkher$16,00021st Century Majority Fund$10,000
Bank of America $15,250AG Processing$10,000

Top industries

[53]

Bob KerreyContributionDeb FischerContribution
Lawyers/Law Firms $293,434 Leadership PACs $165,500
Retired$219,224Retired$124,546
Leadership PACs$203,500 Agribusiness $105,052
Financial Institutions $182,150 Commercial Banks $54,990
Entertainment Industry$119,000Financial Institutions$54,416
Lobbyists $104,400General Contractors$54,300
Real Estate $87,675Real Estate$38,000
Manufacturing & Distributing$61,700 Insurance $36,000
Education$53,000 Health Professionals $31,850
Insurance$51,500 Electric Utilities $29,900

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [54] Lean R (flip)November 1, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball [55] Likely R (flip)November 5, 2012
Rothenberg Political Report [56] Likely R (flip)November 2, 2012
Real Clear Politics [57] Lean R (flip)November 5, 2012

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Bob
Kerrey (D)
Deb
Fischer (R)
OtherUndecided
Rasmussen Reports [58] March 5, 2012500±4.5%34%46%10%10%
Public Policy Polling [29] March 22–25, 20121,028±3.1%38%48%14%
Rasmussen Reports [59] May 16, 2012500±4.5%38%56%2%3%
WeAskAmerica [60] August 14, 20121,273±2.8%34%55%11%
Omaha World-Herald [61] September 17–20, 2012800±3.5%42%52%6%
Pharos Research [62] October 19–21, 2012783±3.5%46%48%6%
Omaha World-Herald [63] October 23–25, 2012800±3.5%45%48%7%
We Ask America [64] November 1, 20121,178±3.0%41%54%5%
Hypothetical polling

With Kerrey

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Bob
Kerrey (D)
Jon
Bruning (R)
OtherUndecided
Magellan Strategies [65] January 10–11, 2012675±3.77%40%51%9%
Rasmussen Reports [58] March 5, 2012500±4.5%33%55%4%7%
Public Policy Polling [29] March 22–25, 20121,028±3.1%37%54%9%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Bob
Kerrey (D)
Don
Stenberg (R)
OtherUndecided
Magellan Strategies [65] January 10–11, 2012675±3.77%39%47%14%
Rasmussen Reports [58] March 5, 2012500±4.5%34%52%5%9%
Public Policy Polling [29] March 22–25, 20121,028±3.1%38%52%10%

With Lathrop

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Steve
Lathrop (D)
Jon
Bruning (R)
OtherUndecided
Magellan Strategies [65] January 10–11, 2012675±3.77%29%52%19%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Steve
Lathrop (D)
Don
Stenberg (R)
OtherUndecided
Magellan Strategies [65] January 10–11, 2012675±3.77%27%52%21%

With Nelson

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Ben
Nelson (D)
Jon
Bruning (R)
OtherUndecided
Magellan Strategies [66] December 15, 20101,789±2.3%38%52%––10%
Public Policy Polling [67] January 26–27, 2011977±3.1%39%50%––11%
Public Policy Polling [68] September 30 – October 2, 2011739±3.6%42%46%––12%
Magellan Strategies [69] November 20–21, 2011645±3.9%39%45%––16%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Ben
Nelson (D)
Deb
Fischer (R)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [67] January 26–27, 2011977±3.1%42%35%––22%
Public Policy Polling [68] September 30 – October 2, 2011739±3.6%41%39%––20%
Magellan Strategies [69] November 20–21, 2011645±3.9%41%35%––24%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Ben
Nelson (D)
Pat
Flynn (R)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [67] January 26–27, 2011977±3.1%42%33%––24%
Public Policy Polling [68] September 30 – October 2, 2011739±3.6%43%36%––21%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Ben
Nelson (D)
Dave
Heineman (R)
OtherUndecided
Magellan Strategies [69] November 20–21, 2011645±3.9%33%51%––16%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Ben
Nelson (D)
Don
Stenberg (R)
OtherUndecided
Magellan Strategies [66] December 15, 20101,789±2.3%40%46%––14%
Public Policy Polling [67] January 26–27, 2011977±3.1%41%45%––14%
Public Policy Polling [68] September 30 – October 2, 2011739±3.6%41%44%––15%
Magellan Strategies [69] November 20–21, 2011645±3.9%40%41%––19%

With Robak

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Kim
Robak (D)
Jon
Bruning (R)
OtherUndecided
Magellan Strategies [65] January 10–11, 2012675±3.77%34%51%15%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Kim
Robak (D)
Don
Stenberg (R)
OtherUndecided
Magellan Strategies [65] January 10–11, 2012675±3.77%32%50%18%

Results

United States Senate election in Nebraska, 2012 [70]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican Deb Fischer 455,593 57.77% +21.65%
Democratic Bob Kerrey 332,97942.23%−21.65%
Total votes788,572 100.00% N/A
Republican gain from Democratic

By county

From Secretary of State of Nebraska [70]

CountyDeb Fischer

Republican

Bob Kerrey

Democratic

Total
votes
 %# %#
Adams 64.65%8,17035.35%4,46812,638
Antelope 81.32%2,62518.68%6033,228
Arthur 86.74%22913.26%35264
Banner 84.91%34915.09%62411
Blaine 89.23%26510.77%32297
Boone 76.31%2,13923.69%6642,803
Box Butte 60.41%2,83839.59%1,8604,698
Boyd 80.36%85119.64%2081,059
Brown 86.80%1,34213.20%2041,546
Buffalo 70.01%13,49129.99%5,77919,270
Burt 59.55%1,97740.45%1,3433,320
Butler 68.86%2,64231.14%1,1953,837
Cass 59.25%7,15340.75%4,91912,072
Cedar 70.31%3,04129.69%1,2844,325
Chase 83.57%1,54616.43%3041,850
Cherry 77.91%2,32822.09%6602,988
Cheyenne 72.54%3,34427.46%1,2664,610
Clay 74.52%2,19425.48%7502,944
Colfax 65.23%1,99234.77%1,0623,054
Cuming 73.00%2,89327.00%1,0703,963
Custer 80.78%4,43919.22%1,0565,495
Dakota 45.63%2,77054.37%3,3006,070
Dawes 64.86%2,40535.14%1,3033,708
Dawson 69.54%5,42230.46%2,3757,797
Deuel 75.00%76225.00%2541,016
Dixon 60.22%1,61839.78%1,0692,687
Dodge 59.30%8,82340.70%6,05614,879
Douglas 48.25%106,95151.75%114,700221,651
Dundy 78.35%76721.65%212979
Fillmore 67.18%1,91832.82%9372,855
Franklin 72.59%1,10727.41%4181,525
Frontier 77.12%1,00822.88%2991,307
Furnas 77.43%1,72922.57%5042,233
Gage 53.74%5,17246.26%4,4529,624
Garden 75.76%81924.24%2621,081
Garfield 81.99%77418.01%170944
Gosper 75.31%73824.69%242980
Grant 83.52%29916.48%59358
Greeley 69.61%82730.39%3611,188
Hall 61.32%12,35038.68%7,79020,140
Hamilton 72.27%3,49827.73%1,3424,840
Harlan 75.64%132924.36%4281,757
Hayes 83.49%44516.51%88533
Hitchcock 74.98%1,11225.02%3711,483
Holt 79.17%3,89620.83%1,0254,921
Hooker 82.84%33317.16%69402
Howard 67.69%1,94032.31%9262,866
Jefferson 60.04%2,05239.96%1,3663,418
Johnson 55.76%1,14744.24%9102,057
Kearney 74.08%2,34325.92%8203,163
Keith 73.76%2,98826.24%1,0634,051
Keya Paha 84.62%40715.38%74481
Kimball 73.39%1,23326.61%4471,680
Knox 71.52%2,88028.48%1,1474,027
Lancaster 46.15%58,30653.85%68,046126,352
Lincoln 66.00%10,28534.00%5,29815,583
Logan 82.45%35717.55%76433
Loup 78.71%28121.29%76357
Madison 72.92%10,08927.08%3,74613,835
McPherson 86.35%25313.65%40293
Merrick 71.44%2,49128.56%9963,487
Morrill 76.24%1,67523.76%5222,197
Nance 66.42%1,06833.58%5401,608
Nemaha 59.09%1,90140.91%1,3163,217
Nuckolls 70.21%1,53229.79%6502,182
Otoe 58.58%4,06741.42%2,8766,943
Pawnee 64.11%86135.89%4821,343
Perkins 78.60%1,09121.40%2971,388
Phelps 77.00%3,36823.00%1,0064,374
Pierce 79.55%2,71620.45%6983,414
Platte 73.13%9,80126.87%3,60113,402
Polk 74.65%1,82025.35%6182,438
Red Willow 75.25%3,69224.75%1,2144,906
Richardson 62.08%2,31237.92%1,4123,724
Rock 86.90%68313.10%103786
Saline 48.30%2,38751.70%2,5554,942
Sarpy 57.56%40,68242.44%29,99670,678
Saunders 63.72%6,54736.28%3,72810,275
Scotts Bluff 64.96%9,29935.04%5,01714,316
Seward 63.18%4,76436.82%2,7767,540
Sheridan 80.24%1,98619.76%4892,475
Sherman 63.20%96036.80%5591,519
Sioux 82.76%60517.24%126731
Stanton 74.99%1,97925.01%6602,639
Thayer 65.79%1,74234.21%9062,648
Thomas 85.23%35214.77%61413
Thurston 40.38%90059.62%1,3292,229
Valley 72.91%1,59927.09%5942,193
Washington 65.52%6,66034.48%3,50510,165
Wayne 67.56%2,48432.44%1,1933,677
Webster 69.66%1,20330.34%5241,727
Wheeler 79.78%35920.22%91450
York 74.78%4,72625.22%1,5946,320

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

Fischer won all 3 congressional districts. [71]

DistrictFischerKerreyRepresentative
1st 55.01%44.99% Jeff Fortenberry
2nd 50.06%49.94% Lee Terry
3rd 68.48%31.52% Adrian Smith

See also

Related Research Articles

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Ben Nelson</span> American attorney & politician (born 1941)

Earl Benjamin Nelson is an American attorney, businessman, and politician who served as the 37th governor of Nebraska from 1991 to 1999 and as a United States Senator from Nebraska from 2001 to 2013. He is a member of the Democratic Party, and as of 2024, is the last Democrat to hold and/or win any statewide elected office in Nebraska.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Bob Kerrey</span> American politician and naval officer (born 1943)

Joseph Robert Kerrey is an American politician who served as the 35th governor of Nebraska from 1983 to 1987 and as a United States Senator from Nebraska from 1989 to 2001. Before entering politics, he served in the Vietnam War, as a United States Navy SEAL officer and was awarded the Medal of Honor for heroism in combat. During the action for which he was awarded the Medal of Honor, he was severely wounded, precluding further naval service.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Don Stenberg</span> American lawyer and politician

Don Stenberg is an American lawyer and politician who served as the 31st Attorney General of Nebraska from 1991 to 2003 and 43rd Treasurer of Nebraska from 2011 to 2019. A member of the Republican Party, he previously was legal counsel to Governor Charles Thone from 1979 to 1983.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Deb Fischer</span> American politician (born 1951)

Debra Lynelle Fischer is an American politician and former educator serving as the senior United States senator from Nebraska, a seat she has held since 2013. A member of the Republican Party, Fischer is the third woman to represent Nebraska in the U.S. Senate and the first to be reelected.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Jon Bruning</span> 31st Attorney General of Nebraska

Jon Cumberland Bruning is an American politician who served as the 32nd Attorney General of Nebraska from 2003 to 2015. A member of the Republican Party, he previously represented the 3rd district in the Nebraska Legislature from 1997 until 2003. He was a candidate in the 2012 United States Senate election in Nebraska, losing the Republican nomination to Deb Fischer and in the 2014 Nebraska gubernatorial election, also losing the nomination to Pete Ricketts.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2000 United States Senate election in Nebraska</span> United states senate election

The 2000 United States Senate election in Nebraska was held on November 7, 2000. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Bob Kerrey retired after two terms in office, and Democrat Ben Nelson, a former two-term governor, won the open seat. Ben Nelson won the election despite Republican nominee George Walker Bush winning the state in the concurrent presidential election. This is the last time that Nebraska voted for a Senate candidate and a presidential candidate of different political parties.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2012 United States House of Representatives elections in Nebraska</span>

The 2012 United States House of Representatives elections in Nebraska were held on Tuesday, November 6, 2012, and elected the three U.S. representatives from the state of Nebraska. The elections coincided with the elections of other federal and state offices, including a quadrennial presidential election and an election to the U.S. Senate. Primary elections were held on May 15, 2012.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2014 Nebraska gubernatorial election</span>

The 2014 Nebraska gubernatorial election took place on Tuesday, November 4, 2014, to elect the 40th Governor of Nebraska. Republican Candidate and former COO of TD Ameritrade Pete Ricketts defeated Democratic candidate and former Regent of the University of Nebraska Chuck Hassebrook, receiving 57.2% of the vote to Hassebrook's 39.2% This was the first open seat election, and the first time a Democrat won a county for governor since 1998.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2014 United States Senate election in Nebraska</span>

The 2014 United States Senate election in Nebraska took place on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Republican Senator Mike Johanns did not run for re-election to a second term. Republican nominee Ben Sasse defeated Democratic nominee David Domina to succeed him.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2014 United States House of Representatives elections in Nebraska</span>

The 2014 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Nebraska were held on Tuesday, November 4, 2014, to elect 3 members of the U.S. House of Representatives from the state of Nebraska, one from each of the state's three congressional districts. The elections coincided with the elections of other federal and state offices, including the governor of Nebraska and a United States senator. Primary elections to determine candidates in the general election were held on Tuesday, May 13, 2014. The members elected at this election will serve in the 114th Congress.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2014 Nebraska elections</span>

A general election was held in the U.S. state of Nebraska on November 4, 2014. All of Nebraska's executive officers were up for election as well as a United States Senate seat, and all of Nebraska's three seats in the United States House of Representatives. Primary elections were held on May 13, 2014, for offices that require them.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Nebraska</span>

The 2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Nebraska were held on November 8, 2016, to elect the three U.S. representatives from the state of Nebraska, one from each of the state's three congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections. The primaries were held on May 10.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2018 Nebraska gubernatorial election</span>

The 2018 Nebraska gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2018, to elect the governor of Nebraska, concurrently with the election of Nebraska's Class I U.S. Senate seat, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various Nebraska and local elections. Incumbent Republican governor Pete Ricketts won re-election to a second term.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2018 United States Senate election in Nebraska</span>

The 2018 United States Senate election in Nebraska took place on November 6, 2018, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Nebraska. Incumbent Republican Deb Fischer was re-elected to a second term against Lincoln city councilwoman Jane Raybould and Libertarian candidate Jim Schultz.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2018 Nebraska elections</span>

A general election was held in the U.S. state of Nebraska on November 6, 2018. All of Nebraska's executive officers were up for election as well as a United States Senate seat, and all of Nebraska's three seats in the United States House of Representatives.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Nebraska</span>

The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Nebraska was held on November 3, 2020, to elect the three U.S. representatives from the state of Nebraska, one from each of the state's three congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2022 Nebraska gubernatorial election</span>

The 2022 Nebraska gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2022, to elect the next governor of Nebraska. Incumbent Republican governor Pete Ricketts was term-limited and unable to seek a third term. In the general election, Republican Jim Pillen won the gubernatorial election by a 23-point margin.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 United States Senate election in Nebraska</span>

The 2024 United States Senate election in Nebraska will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Nebraska. Republican incumbent Deb Fischer is seeking a third term. She is being challenged by independent union leader Dan Osborn. This will be the first time since 1954 when both of Nebraska's U.S. Senate seats were concurrently up for election due to a special election for Nebraska's other Senate seat.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Nebraska</span>

The 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Nebraska were held on November 8, 2022, to elect the three U.S. representatives from the state of Nebraska, one from each of the state's three congressional districts. The elections coincided with the Nebraska gubernatorial election, as well as other elections to the U.S. House of Representatives, elections to the U.S. Senate, and various state and local elections.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2022 Nebraska's 1st congressional district special election</span>

The 2022 Nebraska's 1st congressional district special election, which was held on June 28, 2022, was triggered when Republican representative Jeff Fortenberry resigned on March 31, having been convicted of lying to the FBI about campaign contributions.

References

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