2012 United States presidential election in Nevada

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2012 United States presidential election in Nevada
Flag of Nevada.svg
  2008 November 6, 2012 2016  
  President Barack Obama, 2012 portrait crop.jpg Mitt Romney by Gage Skidmore 6 cropped.jpg
Nominee Barack Obama Mitt Romney
Party Democratic Republican
Home state Illinois Massachusetts
Running mate Joe Biden Paul Ryan
Electoral vote60
Popular vote531,373463,567
Percentage52.36%45.68%

Nevada Presidential Election Results 2012.svg
County Results

President before election

Barack Obama
Democratic

Elected President

Barack Obama
Democratic

The 2012 United States presidential election in Nevada took place on November 6, 2012, as part of the 2012 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. State voters chose six electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote pitting incumbent Democratic President Barack Obama and his running mate, Vice President Joe Biden, against Republican challenger and former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney and his running mate, Congressman Paul Ryan.

Contents

Nevada was won by President Barack Obama with 52.36% of the vote to Mitt Romney's 45.68%, a 6.68% margin of victory. [1] In 2008, Obama won the state by 12.50%. Nevada has voted for the winner in every presidential election from 1912 onwards, except in 1976 when it voted for Gerald Ford over Jimmy Carter and in 2016 when it voted for Hillary Clinton over Donald Trump. Carson City, which voted for Obama in 2008, flipped to supporting the Republican Party this election cycle. Despite only winning two counties (Clark and Washoe), these counties consist of over 87% of Nevada's population and are home to Las Vegas and Reno, the largest and third largest cities in the state, thus allowing Obama to win by a comfortable margin. [2]

Caucuses

Democratic caucuses

Incumbent president Barack Obama was not challenged for the Democratic candidacy, so no Democratic caucuses were held.

Republican caucuses

2012 Nevada Republican caucuses
Flag of Nevada.svg
  2008 February 4, 2012 (2012-02-04) 2016  
  Mitt Romney by Gage Skidmore 6 cropped.jpg Ron Paul by Gage Skidmore 3 crop.jpg
Candidate Mitt Romney Ron Paul
Home state Massachusetts Texas
Delegate count208
Popular vote16,4866,175
Percentage50.02%18.73%

  Newt Gingrich by Gage Skidmore 3 (cropped).jpg Rick Santorum by Gage Skidmore.jpg
Candidate Newt Gingrich Rick Santorum
Home state Georgia Pennsylvania
Delegate count00
Popular vote6,9563,277
Percentage21.10%9.94%

Nevada Republican Presidential Primary Election Results by County, 2012.svg
Nevada results by county
  Mitt Romney
  Newt Gingrich
  Ron Paul

The Republican caucuses were held on February 4, [3] and they are closed caucuses. [4] Mitt Romney was declared the winner. [5]

There are 400,310 registered Republicans voting for 28 delegates. [6] [7]

Date

The 2012 Nevada Republican caucuses were originally scheduled to begin on February 18, 2012, [8] much later than the date in 2008, which almost immediately followed the beginning of the year in January 2008. [9] On September 29, 2011, the entire schedule of caucuses and primaries was disrupted, however, when it was announced that the Republican Party of Florida had decided to move up its primary to January 31, in an attempt to bring attention to its own primary contest, and attract the presidential candidates to visit the state. [10] Because of the move, the Republican National Committee decided to strip Florida of half of its delegates. [11] Also as a result, the Nevada Republican Party, along with Iowa, New Hampshire and South Carolina, then sought to move their caucuses back into early January. [11] All but Nevada, who agreed to follow Florida, [12] confirmed their caucus and primary dates to take place throughout January, with Nevada deciding to hold their contest on February 4, 2012. [13]

The caucuses for 1,835 precincts in 125 sites were scheduled: voting from 9 AM - 1 PM, ballots handling 9-10 AM and to conclude by 3 PM at the latest on February 4, with results for almost all counties to be announced by the party at 5 PM.

Clark County

For Clark County, a special caucus was held at the Adelson Educational Campus at 7 PM, intended to accommodate those who observe Saturday Sabbath. [14] According to Philip Kantor, an Orthodox Jew, the goal of the after-work caucus was to prevent electoral fraud "It has everything to do with not being deprived of a vote, being disenfranchised". [15] This late caucus allowed a timely vote for Seventh-day Adventists, Orthodox Jews and other who don't vote until Sabbath is over. [16] Adelson campus caucus attendees were required to sign affidavits stating that they had not already cast their ballot in an earlier caucus, that day. [14] There was only one nationwide televised (by CNN) public vote-count.[ citation needed ] That Adelson caucus count provided the following Candidate vote results: Ron Paul 181, Mitt Romney 61, Newt Gingrich 57, and Rick Santorum 16 votes.[ citation needed ] The results of this special caucus were announced Feb 4 near 11 PM.[ citation needed ] Paul got second place in Clark County, but Gingrich was ahead of Paul by a larger margin in the rest of the state and therefore ended up beating Paul statewide for second place.[ citation needed ]

Polling

Results

Turnout was 8.23%. 1,800 of 1,800 precincts (100%) reporting. [17]
The voting-eligible population (400,310 registered Nevada Republicans). [6]
125 caucus sites.

Delegates were awarded to candidates who got 3.57% or more of the vote proportionally

Nevada Republican caucuses, February 4, 2012 [18]
CandidateVotesPercentageProjected delegate countActual Delegates
[19] [20]
AP
[21]
CNN
[22]
MSNBC
[23]
Mitt Romney 16,48650.02%14141420
Newt Gingrich 6,95621.10%6660
Ron Paul 6,17518.73%5558
Rick Santorum 3,2779.94%3330
No Vote 670.20%0000
Unprojected delegates:0000
Total:32,961100%28282828

This final result was announced by Twitter and the Nevada Republican Party on Monday February 6, at 01:01 am PST (local time). [24] The actual Republican National Convention delegates from Nevada are mostly Ron Paul supporters (22 of 28), which were elected by state convention on May 6. The Nevada Republican Party's rules state that most elected delegates to the RNC are still bound to vote for Romney (in the first round of voting), because of Romney's statewide caucuses winning.

Nevada State Convention Delegates May 6, 2012
CandidateSupporters for this candidate who are Delegates from NV to the RNC [25] [26] [27] [28] [29] [30]
Ron Paul 22
Mitt Romney 6
Totals:28

Controversy

Allegations of voter fraud have arisen due to a recount of Clark County ballots despite there being no official contest from any of the campaigns. One reason given by the GOP was that there were more ballots cast than people "signed in" at some precincts. [31]

General election

Candidate ballot access

Polling

Throughout the race, Barack Obama tied or won every single pre-election poll except one. The final poll showed Obama leading 51% to 47%, while the average of the last 3 polls showed Obama leading Romney 50% to 47%. [32]

Results

2012 United States presidential election in Nevada [33]
PartyCandidateRunning mateVotesPercentageElectoral votes
Democratic Barack Obama (incumbent) Joe Biden (incumbent)531,37352.36%6
Republican Mitt Romney Paul Ryan 463,56745.68%0
Libertarian Gary Johnson Jim Gray 10,9681.08%0
Other/None5,7700.57%0
Constitution Virgil Goode Jim Clymer3,2400.32%0
Total1,014,918100%

By county

CountyBarack Obama
Democratic
Mitt Romney
Republican
Various candidates
Other parties
MarginTotal votes cast
# %# %# %# %
Carson City 10,29144.13%12,39453.15%6342.72%-2,103-9.02%23,319
Churchill 2,96128.85%7,06168.79%2432.36%-4,100-39.94%10,265
Clark 389,93656.42%289,05341.82%12,2011.76%100,88314.60%691,190
Douglas 9,29735.65%16,27662.42%5021.93%-6,979-26.77%26,075
Elko 3,51121.96%12,01475.15%4612.89%-8,503-53.19%15,986
Esmeralda 9221.15%31772.87%265.98%-225-51.72%435
Eureka 10713.24%66382.05%384.71%-556-68.81%808
Humboldt 1,73730.24%3,81066.33%1973.43%-2,073-36.09%5,744
Lander 53424.67%1,58072.98%512.35%-1,046-48.31%2,165
Lincoln 40018.59%1,69178.58%612.83%-1,291-59.99%2,152
Lyon 7,38034.38%13,52062.99%5652.63%-6,140-28.61%21,465
Mineral 86342.41%1,08053.07%924.52%-217-10.66%2,035
Nye 6,32036.07%10,56660.30%6363.63%-4,246-24.23%17,522
Pershing 63233.55%1,16761.94%854.51%-535-28.39%1,884
Storey 92039.76%1,32157.09%733.15%-401-17.33%2,314
Washoe 95,40950.79%88,45347.09%3,9932.12%6,9563.70%187,855
White Pine 98326.54%2,60170.22%1203.24%-1,618-43.68%3,704
Totals531,37352.36%463,56745.68%19,9781.97%67,8066.68%1,014,918
County Flips:
Democratic
Hold
Republican
Hold
Gain from Democratic Nevada County Flips 2012.svg
County Flips:

Counties and independent cities that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Results by congressional districts

Obama won 3 of 4 congressional districts, including one that elected a Republican. [34]

DistrictObamaRomneyRepresentative
1st 65.64%32.4% Dina Titus
2nd 44.82%52.88% Mark Amodei
3rd 49.53%48.73% Joe Heck
4th 54.43%43.71% Steven Horsford

Analysis

Nevada has historically been a swing state. It has voted for the winner of every presidential election since 1912, except for 1976 and 2016. From 1992 to 2004, the margin of victory was always under five points. In 2008, however, the state swung over dramatically to support Obama, who carried it by 12.49%.

In 2012, Obama held onto Nevada, though by a narrower margin of 6.68%. This was due almost entirely to Obama carrying the state's two largest counties–Clark County, home to Las Vegas and Henderson, and Washoe County, home to Reno. These two counties account for 85% of Nevada's population. Romney dominated the state's rural counties, which have supported Republicans for decades. However, the only large jurisdiction he carried was the independent city of Carson City.

As in 2008, Obama owed his victory in part to the state's Hispanic voters breaking heavily for him. According to exit polls, Hispanics made up 19% of the electorate and voted for Obama by almost three-to-one. [35]

See also

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