Statewide opinion polling for the 2012 United States presidential election

Last updated

2012 United States presidential election polling
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  2008 November 6, 2012 (2012-11-06) 2016  

Leading Presidential 2012 candidate by electoral vote count. States in gray have no polling data. Polls from lightly shaded states are older than August 1, 2012 (and no more recent polls are available).

Leading presidential candidate 2012 by state Obama Romney.svg
218
183
  Difference within the margin of error
130

Incumbent before election

Barack Obama
Democratic

President-elect

Barack Obama
Democratic

Statewide public opinion polls that were conducted relating to the 2012 United States presidential election, which was won by incumbent President Barack Obama, are as follows. The polls show the status between Republican nominee Mitt Romney and President Obama. Also included are three- and four-way race polls with the Republican and Democratic nominees against various third party candidates.

Opinion polling: Obama vs Romney

Sample size key:

LV – Likely Voters
RV – Registered Voters.

Poll source key

(R) – Source polls normally for Republicans
(D) – Source polls normally for Democrats

Alabama

9 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 62%–38%
(Republican in 2008) 60%–38%

Alaska

3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 61%–35%
(Republican in 2008) 59%–37%

No polls conducted

Arizona

11 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 55%–44%
(Republican in 2008) 53%–45%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Public Policy Polling [1] November 2–3, 2012Obama46%Romney53%71080 LV±3.0%
YouGov [2] October 31–November 3, 2012Obama44%Romney52%8702 LV±4.1%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [3] October 21, 2012Obama44%Romney52%8500 LV±4.5%
YouGov [4] October 4–11, 2012Obama43% Romney52%9469 LV±5.4%
Behavior Research Center (Rocky Mountain Poll) [5] October 4–10, 2012Obama44%Romney42%2523 LV±4.4%
Public Policy Polling [6] October 1–3, 2012Obama44%Romney53%9595 LV±4.0%
Moore Information/HighGround (R) [7] September 25–26, 2012Obama42%Romney46%4500 LV±4%
Rasmussen Reports [8] September 25, 2012Obama42%Romney52%10500 LV±4.5%
Purple Strategies [9] September 15–19, 2012Obama45%Romney48%3600 LV±4.0%
YouGov [10] September 7–14, 2012Obama41%Romney51%10628 LVNot reported
Public Policy Polling [11] September 7–9, 2012Obama44%Romney53%9993±3.1%

Arkansas

6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 54%–45%
(Republican in 2008) 59%–39%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
The Arkansas Poll [12] October 9–14, 2012Obama31%Romney58%27642 LV±4%
Talk Business/Hendrix College [13] September 17, 2012Obama34.5%Romney55.5%212228 LV±2%

California

55 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 54%–45%
(Democratic in 2008) 61%–37%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
YouGov [14] October 31 – November 3, 2012Obama55%Romney40%151,575 LVNot reported
Field Research [15] October 17–30, 2012Obama54%Romney39%151,566 LV±2.6%
CBRT/Pepperdine University/M4 Strategies [16] October 21–28, 2012Obama55.9%Romney33%22.92,115 LV±3%
USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times/Greenberg Quinlan Rosner/American Viewpoint [17] October 15–21, 2012 Obama55%Romney38%171,400 LVNot reported
Public Policy Institute of California [18] October 14–21, 2012Obama53%Romney41%12993 LV±4.0%
Reason-Rupe Public Opinion/Princeton Survey Research Associates International [19] October 11–15, 2012Obama53%Romney38%15508 LV±5.1%
YouGov [20] October 4–11, 2012Obama58%Romney39%191169 LV±3.5%
CBRT/Pepperdine University/M4 Strategies [21] October 7–10, 2012Obama54%Romney32.9%21.1830 LV±3.4%
SurveyUSA [22] October 7–9, 2012Obama53%Romney39%14539 LV±4.3%
Field Research Corporation/UC Berkeley (Field Poll) [23] September 5 – 17, 2012Obama58%Romney34%24848 LV±3.4%
Public Policy Institute of California [24] September 9 – 16, 2012Obama53%Romney39%14995 LV±4.4%
YouGov [25] September 7 – 14, 2012Obama56%Romney39%171,361 LVNot reported
CBRT/Pepperdine University/M4 Strategies [26] September 9–12, 2012Obama55.4%Romney33.4%22802 LV±3.5%
SurveyUSA [27] September 9–11, 2012Obama57%Romney35%22524 LV±4.3%

Colorado

9 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 52%–47%
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–45%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Reuters/Ipsos [28] November 3–5, 2012Obama48%Romney47%1774 LV±4%
Public Policy Polling [29] November 3–4, 2012Obama52%Romney46%61,096 LV±3%
Keating Research/OnSight Public Affairs [30] November 2–4, 2012Obama50%Romney46%4603 LV±4%
Reuters/Ipsos [31] November 2–4, 2012Obama48%Romney48%Tied676 LV±4.3%
USAction/Lake Research Partners (D) [32] October 31–November 4, 2012Obama45%Romney44%1400 LV±5%
Reuters/Ipsos [33] November 1–3, 2012Obama45%Romney47%2973 LV±3.6%
YouGov [34] October 31 – November 3, 2012Obama48%Romney47%1752 LV±4.1%
Reuters/Ipsos [35] October 31 – November 2, 2012Obama46%Romney46%Tied1,052 LV±3.4%
League of Conservation Voters/Public Policy Polling (D) [36] October 31 – November 1, 2012Obama50%Romney46%4825 LVNot reported
Reuters/Ipsos [37] October 30 – November 1, 2012Obama46%Romney47%1694 LV±4.2%
Denver Post/SurveyUSA [38] October 28–31, 2012Obama47%Romney45%2695 LV±3.8%
CNN/Opinion Research Corporation [39] October 26–31, 2012Obama50%Romney48%2764 LV±3.5%
Reuters/Ipsos [40] October 29–31, 2012Obama45%Romney46%1744 LV±4.1%
We Ask America [41] October 30, 2012Obama50%Romney47%31,246 LV±2.9%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [42] October 29, 2012Obama47%Romney50%3500 LV±4.5%
Project New America/Grove Insight (D) [43] October 28–29, 2012Obama48%Romney45%3500 LV±4.4%
American Research Group [44] October 25–28, 2012Obama47% Romney48%1600 LV±4.0%
Public Policy Polling [45] October 23–25, 2012Obama51%Romney47%4904 LV±3.3%
Purple Strategies [46] October 23–25, 2012Obama47%Romney46%1600 LV±4.0%
Keating Research/OnSight Public Affairs [47] October 23–24, 2012Obama48%Romney45%3502 LV±4.4%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College [48] October 23–24, 2012Obama48%Romney48%Tied1,128 LV±2.9%
Project New America/Grove Insight (D) [49] October 23–24, 2012Obama46%Romney43%3500 LV±4.4%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [50] October 21, 2012Obama46%Romney50%4500 LV±4.0%
Public Policy Polling [51] October 16–18, 2012 Obama50%Romney47%31000 LV±3.1%
Project New America/Grove Insight (D) [52] October 15–16, 2012Obama47%Romney44%3500 LV±4.4%
We Ask America [53] October 15, 2012Obama47%Romney48%11,206 LV±2.9%
Gravis Marketing [54] October 5–11, 2012Obama48%Romney46%22,089 LV±2.2%
Denver Post/SurveyUSA [55] October 9–10, 2012Obama47%Romney48%1614 LV±4.0%
New York Times/CBS News/Quinnipiac University [56] October 4–9, 2012Obama47%Romney48%11,254 LV±3.0%
American Research Group [57] October 5–8, 2012Obama46%Romney50%4600 LV±4.0%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [58] October 7, 2012Obama49%Romney48%1500 LV±4.5%
University Of Denver/Selzer & Co. [59] October 4–5, 2012Obama47%Romney43%4604 LV±4.0%
American Conservative Union/McLaughlin & Associates (R) [60] September 30 – October 2, 2012Obama46%Romney50%4300 LV±5.7%
We Ask America [61] September 25 – 27, 2012Obama49%Romney46%31,273 LV±2.8%
Public Policy Polling [62] September 20–23, 2012Obama51%Romney45%6940 LV±3.2%
Purple Strategies [63] September 15 – 19, 2012Obama48%Romney45%3600 LV±4.0%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College [64] September 16–18, 2012Obama50%Romney45%5971 LV±3.1%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [65] September 17, 2012Obama45%Romney47%2500 LV±4.5%
New York Times/CBS News/Quinnipiac University [66] September 11–17, 2012Obama48%Romney47%11,497 LV±2.5%
American Research Group [67] September 10–12, 2012Obama49%Romney47%2600 LV±4.0%
Project New America/Keating Research/Keating Research/OnSight Public Affairs (D) [68] September 10–11, 2012Obama49%Romney44%5503 LV±4.4%
Public Policy Polling [69] August 31 – September 2, 2012Obama49%Romney46%31,001 LV±3.1%

Three way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican % Libertarian  %Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Public Policy Polling [70] September 20–23, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 43% Gary Johnson 4%6740±3.2%

Connecticut

7 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 54%–44%
(Democratic in 2008) 61%–38%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
YouGov [71] October 31 – November 3, 2012Obama54%Romney39%15895 LV±3.6%
Public Policy Polling [72] November 1 – 2, 2012Obama55%Romney42%131,220 LV±2.8%
Quinnipiac University [73] October 19–22, 2012Obama55%Romney41%141,412 LV±2.6%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [74] October 21, 2012Obama52%Romney45%7500 LV±4.5%
SurveyUSA [75] October 19–21, 2012Obama53%Romney40%13575 LV±4.2%
League of Conservation Voters/Public Policy Polling (D) [76] October 15–16, 2012Obama53%Romney44%91,015 LV±3.1%
University of Connecticut/Hartford Courant [77] October 11–16, 2012Obama51%Romney37%14574 LV±4.0%
Siena College Research Institute [78] October 4–14, 2012Obama53%Romney38%15552 LV±4.2%
YouGov [79] October 4–11, 2012Obama53%Romney39%14434 LV±5.5%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [80] October 7, 2012Obama51%Romney45%6500 LV±4.5%
Quinnipiac University [81] September 28 – October 2, 2012Obama54%Romney42%121,696 LV±2.4%
Public Policy Polling [82] September 24 – 26, 2012Obama54%Romney41%13801 LV±3.5%
University of Connecticut/Hartford Courant [83] September 11 – 16, 2012 Obama53%Romney32%21508 LV±4.4%
YouGov [84] September 7 – 14, 2012Obama53%Romney40%13634 LVNot reported

Delaware

3 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 53%–46%
(Democratic in 2008) 62%–37%

No polls conducted

District of Columbia

3 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 89%–9%
(Democratic in 2008) 92%–7%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Public Policy Polling [85] October 12–14, 2012Obama88%Romney8%801,222 LV±2.8%

Florida

29 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 52%–47%
(Democratic in 2008) 51%–48%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Gravis Marketing [86] November 4–5, 2012Obama49%Romney49%Tied1,060 LV±3.1%
Reuters/Ipsos [87] November 3–5, 2012Obama47%Romney48%1769 LV±4%
Florida Times-Union/Insider Advantage [88] November 4, 2012Obama47%Romney52%5437 LV±4.6%
Public Policy Polling [89] November 3–4, 2012Obama50%Romney49%1955 LV±3.2%
Reuters/Ipsos [90] November 2–4, 2012Obama46%Romney46%Tied743 LV±4.1%
Angus Reid Public Opinion [91] November 1–3, 2012Obama49%Romney49%Tied525 LV±4.3%
Reuters/Ipsos [92] November 1–3, 2012Obama47%Romney47%Tied946 LV±3.6%
YouGov [93] October 31 – November 3, 2012Obama47%Romney48%11,621 LV±3%
Reuters/Ipsos [94] October 31 – November 2, 2012Obama48%Romney46%2985 LV±3.6%
Americans United for Change/Mellman Group (D) [95] October 30 – November 2, 2012Obama47%Romney45%2800 LV±3.4%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College [96] October 30 – November 1, 2012Obama49%Romney47%21,545 LV±2.5%
Mason-Dixon Polling & Research [97] October 30 – November 1, 2012Obama45%Romney51%6800 LV±3.5%
We Ask America [98] October 30, 2012Obama48.9%Romney49.8%0.91,146 LV±3%
Gravis Marketing [99] October 30, 2012Obama47%Romney50%3549 LV±4.2%
Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R) [100] October 29, 2012Obama48%Romney50%21,000 LV±3%
USAction/Project New America/Project New America/Grove Insight (D) [101] October 28–29, 2012Obama48%Romney47%1600 LV±4%
Public Policy Polling [102] October 26–28, 2012Obama49%Romney48%1687 LV±3.7%
CNN/Opinion Research Corporation [103] October 25–28, 2012Obama49%Romney50%1770 LV±3.5%
CBS News/New York Times/Quinnipiac University [104] October 23–28, 2012Obama48%Romney47%11,073 LV±3%
WFLA-TV Tampa/SurveyUSA [105] October 25–27, 2012Obama47%Romney47%Tied595 LV±4.1%
Americans United for Change/Mellman Group (D) [106] October 24–27, 2012Obama49%Romney47%2800 LV±3.4%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [107] October 25, 2012Obama48%Romney50%2750 LV±4.0%
Gravis Marketing [108] October 24, 2012Obama48.8%Romney49.7%0.91,182 LV±2.8%
Project New America/Grove Insight (D) [109] October 23–24, 2012Obama47%Romney45%2600 LV±4.0%
Sunshine State News/Voter Survey Service [110] October 22–24, 2012Obama46%Romney51%51,001 LV±3.1%
Americans United for Change/Mellman Group (D) October 18–21, 2012Obama47%Romney47%Tied800 LV±3.4%
Angus Reid Public Opinion [111] October 18–20, 2012Obama46% Romney51%5502 LV±4.5%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [112] October 18, 2012Obama46%Romney51%5750 LV±4.0%
Fox News/Anderson Robbins/Shaw & Company [113] October 17–18, 2012Obama45%Romney48%31,130 LV±3.0%
WFLA-TV Tampa/SurveyUSA [114] October 17–18, 2012Obama47%Romney46%1600 LV±4.1%
WPTV News/Scripps Treasure Coast Newspapers/Public Policy Polling [115] October 17–18, 2012Obama47%Romney48%1800 LV±4%
Project New America/Grove Insight (D) [116] October 17–18, 2012Obama48%Romney45%3600 LV±4.0%
CNN/Opinion Research Corporation [117] October 17–18, 2012Obama48%Romney49%1681 LV±4.0%
Gravis Marketing [118] October 13–14, 2012Obama48%Romney49%1617 LV±4.0%
Public Policy Polling [119] October 12–14, 2012Obama48%Romney49%1791 LV±3.4%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [120] October 11, 2012Obama47%Romney51%4750 LV±4.0%
American Research Group [121] October 8–11, 2012Obama46%Romney49%3600 LV±4.0%
YouGov [122] October 4–11, 2012Obama48%Romney47%11,244 LV±4.0%
Mason-Dixon Polling & Research [123] October 8–10, 2012Obama44%Romney51%7800 LV±3.5%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College [124] October 7–9, 2012Obama48%Romney47%1988±3.1%
University of North Florida [125] October 1–9, 2012Obama49%Romney45%4653 LVNot reported
We Ask America [126] October 4, 2012Obama46%Romney49%31,200 LV±3.0%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [127] October 4, 2012Obama47%Romney49%2500 LV±4.5%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College [128] September 30 – October 1, 2012Obama47%Romney46%11,191 LV±3.3%
Gravis Marketing [129] September 29 – 30, 2012Obama49.03%Romney48.42%0.61914 LV±3.4%
WSVN-TV Miami/Suffolk University [130] September 27 – 30, 2012Obama46%Romney43%3600 LV±4.0%
Southern Political Report/Florida Times-Union/InsiderAdvantage [131] September 24, 2012Obama49%Romney46%3540 LV±4.0%
CBS News/New York Times/Quinnipiac University [132] September 18 – 24, 2012Obama53%Romney44%91,196 LV±3.0%
Washington Post [133] September 19–23, 2012Obama51%Romney47%4769 LV±4.5%
Public Policy Polling [134] September 20–23, 2012Obama50%Romney46%4861 LV±3.3%
American Research Group [135] September 20–22, 2012Obama50%Romney45%5600 LV±4%
Miami Herald/Mason-Dixon Polling & Research [136] September 17–19, 2012Obama48%Romney47%1800 LV±3.5%
Purple Strategies [137] September 15 – 19, 2012Obama47%Romney48%1600 LV±4.0%
Fox News/Anderson Robbins/Shaw & Company [138] September 16–18, 2012Obama49%Romney44%5829 LV±3.0%
Capitol Correspondent/Gravis Marketing [139] September 15–16, 2012Obama47.1%Romney47.7%0.61,728 LV±2.5%
YouGov [140] September 7–14, 2012Obama49%Romney47%21,415 LVNot reported
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [141] September 12, 2012Obama48%Romney46%2500 LV±4.5%
Secure America Now/Caddell Associates/Caddell Associates/McLaughlin & Associates (R) [142] September 8–12, 2012Obama44%Romney48%4600 LV±4.0%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College [143] September 9–11, 2012Obama49%Romney44%5980 LV±3.1%
Consensus Communications/OnSight Inc. (R) [144] September 8–11, 2012 Obama42%Romney42%Tied606 LV±4.0%
Associated Industries of Florida/McLaughlin & Associates (R) [145] September 9–10, 2012Obama47%Romney50%3600 LV±4.0%
WFLA-TV Tampa/SurveyUSA [146] September 7–9, 2012Obama48%Romney44%4596 LV±4.1%
Capitol Correspondent/Gravis Marketing [147] September 2, 2012Obama46.7%Romney48%1.31,288 LV±2.7%
Public Policy Polling [148] August 31 – September 2, 2012Obama48%Romney47%11,548 LV±2.5%

Three-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Libertarian%Lead MarginSample SizeMargin of error
We Ask America [149] September 18, 2012Barack Obama49.1%Mitt Romney45.5%Gary Johnson1.3%3.6%1,230 LV±2.82%

Georgia

16 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 58%–41%
(Republican in 2008) 52%–47%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
YouGov [150] October 31 – November 3, 2012Obama44%Romney52%81,070 LV±3.5%
20/20 Insight [151] October 29–31, 2012Obama46%Romney52%61,316 LV±2.7%
WXIA-TV Atlanta/SurveyUSA [152] October 25–28, 2012Obama44%Romney52%8574 LV±4.2%
Atlanta Journal-Constitution/Abt SRBI [153] October 8–11, 2012Obama43%Romney51%8706 LV±5.0%
Fox 5 Atlanta/Insider Advantage [154] September 18, 2012Obama35%Romney56%21483 LV±4.5%
YouGov [155] September 7 – 14, 2012Obama44%Romney51%71,020 LVNot reported

Hawaii

4 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 54%–45%
(Democratic in 2008) 72%–27%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Honolulu Civil Beat/Merriman River Group [156] October 24–26, 2012Obama61%Romney34%271,218 LV±2.8%
Honolulu Civil Beat/Merriman River Group [157] September 26–28, 2012Obama62%Romney30%321,648 LV±2.4%

Idaho

4 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 68%–30%
(Republican in 2008) 61%–36%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Mason-Dixon Polling & Research [158] October 8–10, 2012Obama27%Romney63%36625 LV±4%

Illinois

20 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 55%–45%
(Democratic in 2008) 62%–37%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
YouGov [159] October 31 – November 3, 2012Obama57%Romney38%191,126 LV±3.3%
We Ask America [160] October 30, 2012Obama57%Romney41%161,198 LV±2.95%
YouGov [161] October 4–11, 2012Obama58%Romney38%20850 LV±3.9%
WGN-TV/Chicago Tribune [162] October 4–8, 2012Obama55%Romney36%19700 RV±3.7%
YouGov [163] September 7–14, 2012Obama59%Romney36%231,086 LVNot reported
We Ask America [164] September 5, 2012Obama54%Romney37%171,382 LV±2.8%

Indiana

11 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 60%–39%
(Democratic in 2008) 50%–49%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
YouGov [165] October 31 – November 3, 2012Obama44%Romney51%7768 LV±4.1%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [166] November 1, 2012Obama43%Romney52%9600 LV±4.0%
Howey Politics/DePauw University/Bellwether Research/Bellwether
Research/Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group
[167]
October 28–30, 2012Obama41%Romney51%10800 LV±3.5%
Pharos Research Group [168] October 26–28, 2012Obama42%Romney55%13753 LV±3.5%
McLaughlin & Associates (R) [169] October 24–25, 2012Obama41%Romney55%14600 LV±4.0%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [170] October 10–11, 2012Obama41%Romney54%13600 LV±4.0%
Howey Politics/DePauw University/Bellwether Research/Bellwether
Research/Garin-Hart-Yang-Research Group
[171]
September 19–23, 2012Obama40%Romney52%12800 LV±3.5%
YouGov [172] September 7–14, 2012Obama45%Romney50%5628 LV±4.0%

Iowa

6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 50%–49%
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Public Policy Polling [173] November 3–4, 2012Obama50%Romney48%21,122 LV±2.9%
American Research Group [174] November 2–4, 2012Obama48%Romney49%1600 LV±4%
YouGov [175] October 31 – November 3, 2012Obama48%Romney47%11,040 LV±3.5%
USAction/Project New America/Project New America/Grove Insight (D) [176] November 1–2, 2012Obama47%Romney44%3500 LV±4.4%
Des Moines Register/Selzer & Co. [177] October 30 – November 2, 2012Obama47%Romney42%5800 LV±3.5%
Gravis Marketing [178] November 1, 2012Obama49%Romney45%4594 LV±4.0%
Americans United for Change/Mellman Group (D) October 30 – November 1, 2012Obama46%Romney44%2600 LV±4.0%
We Ask America [179] October 30, 2012Obama48.8%Romney47.3%1.51,174 LV±3.0%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [180] October 30, 2012Obama48%Romney49%1750 LV±4%
Public Policy Polling [181] October 29–30, 2012Obama50%Romney45%5676 LV±3.8%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College [182] October 28–29, 2012Obama50%Romney44%61,142 LV±3%
University of Iowa [183] October 18–27, 2012Obama44.4%Romney45.2%0.8320 LV±5.6%
Gravis Marketing [184] October 24, 2012Obama50%Romney46%4517 LV±4.3%
Public Policy Polling [185] October 23–24, 2012Obama49%Romney47%2690 LV±3.7%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [186] October 21, 2012Obama48%Romney48%Tied500 LV±4.5%
Health Care for America Now/Public Policy Polling (D) [187] October 18–19, 2012Obama49%Romney48%1660 LV±3.8%
Public Policy Polling [188] October 17–19, 2012Obama48%Romney49%1869 LV±3.3%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College [189] October 15–17, 2012Obama51%Romney43%81,137 LV±2.9%
We Ask America [190] October 15, 2012Obama48.7%Romney45.9%2.81,499 LV±2.6%
American Research Group [191] October 11–14, 2012Obama48%Romney48%Tied600 LV±4.0%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [192] October 7, 2012Obama49%Romney47%2500 LV±4.5%
We Ask America [193] September 25–27, 2012Obama47.5%Romney43.7%3.81,064 LV±3.1%
Public Policy Polling [194] September 24–26, 2012Obama51%Romney44%7754 LV±3.6%
American Research Group [195] September 20 – 23, 2012Obama51%Romney44%7600 LV±4.0%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [196] September 19, 2012Obama44%Romney47%3500 LV±4.5%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College [197] September 16–18, 2012Obama50%Romney42%8898 LV±3.3%

Kansas

6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 62%–37%
(Republican in 2008) 57%–42%

Kentucky

8 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 60%–40%
(Republican in 2008) 57%–41%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Survey USA [198] September 11–13, 2012Obama39%Romney53%14606 LV±4.1%

Louisiana

8 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 57%–42%
(Republican in 2008) 59%–40%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Magellan Strategies [199] October 2 – 4, 2012Obama36.2%Romney58.8%22.62,682 LV±1.9%
Clarus Research Group [200] September 5 – 7, 2012Obama37%Romney53%16602 LV±4.0%

Maine

4 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 53%–45%
(Democratic in 2008) 58%–40%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Maine People's Resource Center [201] November 1–3, 2012Obama53.3%Romney42.2%11.1905 LV±3.26%
Public Policy Polling [202] November 1–2, 2012Obama55%Romney42%131,633 LV±2.4%
Critical Insights [203] October 30–31, 2012Obama49%Romney42%7613 LV±4%
Pan Atlantic SMS Group [204] September 24–28, 2012Obama50.8%Romney36.8%14400 LV±4.9%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [205] September 25, 2012Obama52%Romney40%12500 LV±4.5%
Public Policy Polling [206] September 17–18, 2012Obama55%Romney39%16804 LV±3.5%

Maryland

10 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 56%–43%
(Democratic in 2008) 61%–38%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
YouGov [207] October 31 – November 3, 2012 Obama59%Romney37%22705 LV±4.1%
OpinionWorks [208] October 20 – 23, 2012Obama55%Romney36%19801 LV±3.5%
Washington Post [209] October 11 – 15, 2012Obama60%Romney36%24843 LV±4.0%
YouGov [210] October 4 – 11, 2012 Obama58%Romney37%21498 LV±5.2%
Gonzales Research & Marketing Strategies [211] September 17–23, 2012Obama55%Romney36%19813 RV±3.5%

Massachusetts

11 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 62%–37%
(Democratic in 2008) 62%–36%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
The Boston Herald/University of Massachusetts Lowell [212] October 31 – November 3, 2012Obama57%Romney37%20800 LV±4.1%
YouGov [213] October 31 – November 3, 2012Obama57%Romney37%20811 LV±3.6%
Public Policy Polling [214] November 1 – 2, 2012Obama57%Romney42%151,089 LV±3%
MassLive.com/Western New England University [215] October 26 – November 1, 2012Obama58%Romney40%18535 LV±4%
Suffolk University [216] October 25 – 28, 2012Obama63%Romney31%32600 LV±4.0%
Boston Globe/University of New Hampshire [217] October 24 – 28, 2012Obama52%Romney38%14583 LV±4.1%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [218] October 25, 2012Obama59%Romney40%19500 LV±4.5%
WBUR/MassINC Polling Group [219] October 21 – 22, 2012Obama56%Romney36%20516 LV±4.4%
Kimball Political Consulting [220] [ permanent dead link ]October 18 – 21, 2012Obama55%Romney39%16761 LV±3.48%
League of Conservation Voters/Public Policy Polling (D) [221] October 15 – 16, 2012Obama57%Romney39%18709 LV±3.7%
Public Policy Polling [222] October 9 – 11, 2012Obama55%Romney41%141,051 LV±3.0%
YouGov [223] October 4–11, 2012Obama55%Romney36%19669 LV±4.9%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [224] October 10, 2012Obama57%Romney42%15500 LV±4.5%
University of Massachusetts Amherst/YouGov [225] October 2 – 8, 2012Obama55%Romney34%21437 LV±5.4%
WBUR/MassINC Polling Group [226] October 5 – 7, 2012Obama52%Romney36%16501 LV±4.4%
Western New England University [227] September 28 – October 4, 2012Obama63%Romney33%30516 RV±4.3%
WBUR/MassINC Polling Group [228] September 26 – 28, 2012Obama60%Romney32%28504 LV±4.4%
Mass Insight Global Partnerships/Opinion Dynamics Corporation [229] September 25–30, 2012Obama60%Romney34%26405 RV±4.6%
Boston Globe/University of New Hampshire [230] September 21 – 27, 2012Obama57%Romney30%27502 LV±4.4%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [231] September 24, 2012Obama55%Romney40%15500 LV±4.5%
The Boston Herald/University of Massachusetts Lowell [232] September 13 – 17, 2012Obama60%Romney36%24497 LV±5.5%
Public Policy Polling [233] September 13 – 16, 2012Obama57%Romney39%18876 LV±3.3%
Suffolk University [234] September 13 – 16, 2012Obama64%Romney31%33600 LV±4.0%
YouGov [235] September 7–14, 2012Obama55%Romney39%16825 LVNot reported
MassLive.com/Western New England University [236] September 6 – 13, 2012Obama60%Romney38%22444 LV±4.6%
Kimball Political Consulting [237] September 7 – 9, 2012Obama56%Romney40%16756 LV±3.5%

Michigan

16 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 51%–48%
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–41%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Mitchell Research & Communications [238] November 4, 2012Obama51%Romney46%51,305 LV±2.7%
Angus Reid Public Opinion [239] November 1 – 3, 2012Obama52%Romney47%5502 LV±4.4%
Public Policy Polling [240] November 1 – 3, 2012Obama52%Romney46%6700 LV±3.7%
YouGov [241] October 31 – November 3, 2012Obama51%Romney44%71,091 LV±3.3%
Fox 2 News Detroit/Foster McCollum White & Associates/Baydoun Consulting [242] November 2, 2012Obama46.24%Romney46.86%0.621,913 LV±2.24%
Rasmussen Reports [243] November 1, 2012Obama52%Romney47%5750 LV±4%
USAction/Project New America/Project New America/Grove Insight (D) [244] October 31 – November 1, 2012Obama48%Romney41%7500 LV±4.4%
League of Conservation Voters/Public Policy Polling (D) [245] October 31 – November 1, 2012Obama52%Romney46%6500 LV±4.4%
Health Care for America Now/Public Policy Polling (D) [246] October 30–31, 2012Obama53%Romney45%8500 LV±4.4%
Detroit News/Glengariff Group [247] [ permanent dead link ]October 27–29, 2012Obama47.7%Romney45%2.7600 LV±4%
EPIC-MRA [248] October 26–29, 2012Obama48%Romney42%6600 LV±4%
Fox 2 News Detroit/Foster McCollum White & Associates/Baydoun Consulting [249] October 22–23, 2012Obama46.92%Romney46.56%0.361,122 LV±2.9%
Angus Reid Public Opinion [250] October 18–20, 2012Obama52%Romney43%9551 LV±4.2%
EPIC-MRA [251] October 17, 2012Obama52%Romney46%6800 LV±3.5%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [252] October 11, 2012Obama52%Romney45%7500 LV±4.5%
YouGov [253] October 4–11, 2012Obama52%Romney42%10895 LV±3.9%
Lambert, Edwards & Associates/Denno Research [254] October 9–10, 2012Obama44.2%Romney40.5%3.7600 LV±4.0%
Detroit News/Glengariff Group [255] [ permanent dead link ]October 6 – 8, 2012Obama49%Romney42%7600 LV±4.0%
Capitol CorrespondentGravis Marketing [256] October 5 – 8, 2012Obama46%Romney44%21,122 LV±3.2%
EPIC-MRA [257] October 4 – 6, 2012Obama48%Romney45%3600 LV±4.0%
Fox 2 News Detroit/Foster McCollum White/Baydoun Consulting [258] October 5, 2012Obama49.3%Romney45.85%3.451,122 LV±2.93%
We Ask America [259] September 25 – 27, 2012Obama52%Romney39.9%12.11,064 LV±3.1%
Capitol Correspondent/Gravis Marketing [260] September 21 – 22, 2012Obama50%Romney46.2%3.8804 LV±3.3%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [261] September 20, 2012Obama54%Romney42%12500 LV±4.5%
National Resource Defense Council/Public Policy Polling (D) [262] September 17–19, 2012Obama51%Romney42%91021 LV±3.1%
CNN/Opinion Research Corporation [263] September 14–18, 2012Obama52%Romney44%8754 LV±3.5%
Detroit News/Glengariff Group [264] September 15–17, 2012Obama52%Romney38%14600 LV±4%
Marketing Resource Group [265] September 10–14, 2012Obama47.5%Romney42.3%5.2600 LV±4.0%
YouGovSeptember 7–14, 2012Obama51%Romney42%91114 LVNot reported
Foster McCollum White/Baydoun & Associates [266] September 12, 2012Obama45.49%Romney43.65%1.841,156 LV±2.88%
EPIC-MRA [267] September 8–11, 2012Obama47%Romney37%10600 LV±4.0%
Public Policy Polling [268] August 31 – September 2, 2012Obama51%Romney44%7815 LV±3.4%

Minnesota

10 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 51%–48%
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Public Policy Polling [269] November 2–3, 2012Obama53%Romney45%81,164 LV±2.9%
KSTP-TV Minneapolis/SurveyUSA [270] November 1–3, 2012Obama52%Romney41%11556 LV±4.2%
YouGov [271] October 31 – November 3, 2012Obama50%Romney43%7790 LV±3.8%
League of Conservation Voters/Public Policy Polling (D) [272] October 31 – November 1, 2012Obama53%Romney44%9772 LVNot reported
American Future Fund/NMB Research (R) [273] October 29–31, 2012Obama45%Romney46%1500 LV±4.38%
KSTP-TV Minneapolis/Survey USA [274] October 26–28, 2012Obama50%Romney43%7574 LV±4.2%
Star Tribune Minnesota/Mason-Dixon Polling & Research [275] October 23–25, 2012Obama47%Romney44%3800 LV±3.5%
St. Cloud State University [276] October 15–21, 2012Obama53%Romney45%8601 LV±5%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [277] October 21, 2012Obama51%Romney46%5500 LV±4.5%
KSTP-TV Minneapolis/SurveyUSA [278] October 12 – 14, 2012Obama50%Romney40%10550 LV±4.3%
YouGov [279] October 4 – 11, 2012Obama52%Romney44%8683 LV±4.2%
American Future Fund/NMB Research (R) [280] October 7 – 8, 2012Obama47%Romney43%4500 LV±4.38%
Public Policy Polling [281] October 5–8, 2012Obama53%Romney43%10937 LV±3.2%
Star Tribune Minnesota/Mason-Dixon Polling & Research [282] September 10–11, 2012Obama51%Romney44%7824 LV±3.4%
KSTP-TV Minneapolis/SurveyUSA [283] September 6–9, 2012Obama50%Romney40%10551 LV±4.3%

Mississippi

6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 59%–40%
(Republican in 2008) 56%–43%

Missouri

10 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 53%–46%
(Republican in 2008) 49%–49%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Public Policy Polling [284] November 2–3, 2012Obama45%Romney53%8835 LV±3.4%
YouGov [285] October 31 – November 3, 2012Obama42%Romney53%11779 LV±3.8%
KSDK-TV St. Louis/KSHB-TV Kansas City/KSPR-TV Springfield/KYTV-TV Springfield/Survey USA [286] October 28 – November 3, 2012Obama43%Romney50%7589 LV±4.1%
We Ask America [287] October 30, 2012Obama42.2%Romney53.8%11.61,217 LV±2.9%
Saint Louis Post-Dispatch/Mason-Dixon Polling & Research [288] October 23 – 25, 2012Obama41%Romney54%13624 LV±4%
Public Policy Polling [289] October 19 – 21, 2012Obama46%Romney52%6582 LV±4.1%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [290] October 12 – 13, 2012Obama43%Romney54%11500 LV±4.5%
Wenzel Strategies [291] October 12 – 13, 2012Obama41.1%Romney54.9%13.81,000 LV±3.07%
Public Policy Polling [292] October 1 – 3, 2012Obama45%Romney51%6700 LV±3.7%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [293] October 2, 2012Obama46%Romney49%3500 LV±4.5%
We Ask America [294] September 25 – 27, 2012Obama44.5%Romney47.7%3.21,145 LV±2.9%
Missouri Scout/Chilenski Strategies [295] September 20, 2012Obama44%Romney50%6817 LV±3.4%
YouGov [296] September 7 – 14, 2012Obama43%Romney50%7734 LVNot reported
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [297] September 11, 2012Obama45%Romney48%3500 LV±4.5%

Montana

3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 59%–39%
(Republican in 2008) 49%–47%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Public Policy Polling [298] November 2–3, 2012Obama45%Romney52%7836 LV±3.4%
Billings Gazette/Mason-Dixon Polling & Research [299] October 29–31, 2012Obama43%Romney53%10625 LV±4%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [300] October 29, 2012Obama43%Romney53%10500 LV±4.5%
Public Policy Polling [301] October 15 – 16, 2012Obama43%Romney53%10806 LV±3.5%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [302] October 14, 2012Obama45%Romney53%8500 LV±4.5%
Public Policy Polling [303] October 8 – 10, 2012Obama41%Romney52%11737 LV±3.6%
Montana Jobs, Energy, and Technology/Mellman Group (D) [304] September 23 – 26, 2012Obama44%Romney48%4600 LV±4%
Public Policy Polling [305] September 10–11, 2012Obama45%Romney50%5656 LV±3.8%

Three way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican % Libertarian  %Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Lee Newspapers/Mason-Dixon Research & Polling [306] September 19, 2012 Barack Obama 42% Mitt Romney 51% Gary Johnson 2%9625 RV±4%

Nebraska

5 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 66%–33%
(Republican in 2008) 57%–42%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
We Ask America [307] November 1, 2012Obama41%Romney54%131,178 LV±2.95%
Wiese Research Associates [308] October 23 – 25, 2012Obama38%Romney52%14800 LV±3.5%
Wiese Research Associates [309] September 17 – 20, 2012Obama40%Romney51%11800 LV±3.5%

2nd Congressional District

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Wiese Research Associates [310] October 23 – 25, 2012Obama44%Romney49%5679 LV±3.8%
Wiese Research Associates [311] September 17 – 20, 2012Obama44%Romney44%TiedNot reportedNot reported

Nevada

6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 51%–48%
(Democratic in 2008) 55%–43%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Public Policy Polling [312] November 3–4, 2012Obama51%Romney47%4750 LV±3.6%
YouGov [313] October 31 – November 3, 2012Obama49%Romney45%4732 LV±4.1%
Americans United for Change/Mellman Group (D) [314] October 29–31, 2012Obama50%Romney44%6600 LV±4%
Los Vegas Review Journal/SurveyUSA [315] October 23–29, 2012Obama50%Romney46%41,212 LV±2.9%
USAction/Project New America/Project New America/Grove Insight (D) [316] October 27–28, 2012Obama49%Romney43%6500 LV±4.4%
Gravis Marketing [317] October 24, 2012Obama50%Romney49%1955 LV±3.2%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College [318] October 23–24, 2012Obama50%Romney47%31,042 LV±3%
Public Policy Polling [319] October 22–24, 2012Obama51%Romney47%4636 LV±3.9%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [320] October 23, 2012Obama50%Romney48%2500 LV±4.5%
American Research Group [321] October 19 – 22, 2012Obama49%Romney47%2600 LV±4.0%
Americans United for Change/Mellman Group (D) [322] October 15–17, 2012Obama51%Romney43%8600 LV±4.0%
Project New America/Grove Insight (D) [323] October 15–16, 2012Obama50%Romney43%7500 LV±4.4%
Los Vegas Review Journal/SurveyUSA [324] October 11–15, 2012Obama48%Romney45%3806 LV±3.5%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [325] October 15, 2012Obama50%Romney47%3500 LV±4.5%
YouGov [326] October 4 – 11, 2012Obama50%Romney45%5358 LV±6.7%
Public Policy Polling [327] October 8–10, 2012Obama51%Romney47%4594 LV±4%
KSNV-Nevada/Suffolk University [328] October 6–9, 2012Obama47%Romney45%2500 LV±4.4%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [329] October 8, 2012Obama47%Romney47%Tied500 LV±4.5%
Las Vegas Review Journal/SurveyUSA [330] October 3–8, 2012Obama47%Romney46%11,222 LV±2.9%
Gravis Marketing [331] October 3, 2012Obama49%Romney48%11,006 LV±3.1%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College [332] September 23 – 25, 2012Obama49%Romney47%2984 LV±3.1%
American Research Group [333] September 20 – 23, 2012Obama51%Romney44%7600 LV±4.0%
Retail Association of Nevada/Public Opinion Strategies (R) [334] September 19 – 20, 2012Obama46%Romney46%Tied500 LV±4.4%
League of Conservation Voters/Public Policy Polling (D) [335] September 18 – 20, 2012Obama52%Romney43%9501 LV±4.4%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [336] September 18, 2012Obama47%Romney45%2500 LV±4.5%
CNN/Opinion Research Corporation [337] September 14–18, 2012Obama49%Romney46%3741 LV±3.5%

Three way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican % Libertarian  %Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
WeAskAmerica [338] September 25–27, 2012 Barack Obama 52.5% Mitt Romney 42% Gary Johnson 2.3%10.51,152 LV±3.1%

New Hampshire

4 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 50%–49%
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–45%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [339] November 4, 2012Obama50%Romney48%2750 LV±4%
New England College [340] November 3–4, 2012Obama50%Romney46%4687 LV±3.7%
Public Policy Polling [341] November 3–4, 2012Obama50%Romney48%21,550 LV±2.5%
American Research Group [342] November 2–4, 2012Obama49%Romney49%Tied600 LV±4%
University of New Hampshire [343] November 1–4, 2012Obama51%Romney48%3789 LV±3.5%
YouGov [344] October 31 – November 3, 2012Obama47%Romney43%4690 LV±4.1%
WMUR/University of New Hampshire [345] October 31 – November 2, 2012Obama48%Romney48%Tied502 LV±4.4%
Gravis Marketing [346] November 1, 2012Obama50%Romney49%1497 LV±4.3%
New England College [347] October 29–31, 2012Obama50%Romney44%61,017 LV±3.7%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College [348] October 28–29, 2012Obama49%Romney47%21,013 LV±3.1%
Public Policy Polling [349] October 26 – 28, 2012Obama49%Romney47%2874 LV±3.3%
USAction/Lake Research Partners (D) [350] October 24 – 28, 2012Obama47%Romney42%5400 LV±5%
USAction/Project New America/Project New America/Grove Insight (D) [351] October 24 – 25, 2012Obama47%Romney44%3500 LV±4.4%
New England College [352] October 23 – 25, 2012Obama49%Romney46%3571 LV±4.1%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [353] October 23, 2012Obama48%Romney50%2500 LV±4.5%
American Research Group [354] October 19 – 22, 2012Obama47%Romney49%2600 LV±4.0%
USAction/Lake Research Partners (D) [355] October 18 – 22, 2012Obama48%Romney45%3400 LV±4.9%
WMUR/University of New Hampshire [356] October 17 – 21, 2012Obama51%Romney42%9773 LV±3.5%
Public Policy Polling [357] October 17 – 19, 2012Obama48%Romney49%11,036 LV±3.0%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [358] October 15, 2012Obama50%Romney49%1500 LV±4.5%
7 News/Suffolk University [359] October 12 – 14, 2012Obama47%Romney47%Tied500 LV±4.4%
American Research Group [360] October 9 – 11, 2012Obama46%Romney50%4600 LV±4.0%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [361] October 9, 2012Obama48%Romney48%Tied500 LV±4.5%
WMUR/University of New Hampshire [362] September 30 – October 6, 2012Obama50%Romney44%6559 LV±4.1%
WMUR/University of New Hampshire [363] September 27 – 30, 2012Obama54%Romney39%15600 LV±4.0%
American Research Group [364] September 25 – 27, 2012Obama50%Romney45%5600 LV±4.0%
Progressive Change Campaign Committee/Public Policy Polling (D) [365] September 24–25, 2012Obama51%Romney44%7862 LV±3.3%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College [366] September 23 – 25, 2012Obama51%Romney44%71,012±3.1%
New Hampshire Democratic Party/Greenberg Quinlan Rosner (D) [367] September 15 – 19, 2012Obama52%Romney45%7600 LV±4.9%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [368] September 18, 2012Obama45%Romney48%3500 LV±4.5%
American Research Group [369] September 15–17, 2012Obama48%Romney47%1463 LVNot reported
YouGov [370] September 7–14, 2012Obama48%Romney42%6340 LVNot reported
WMUR/University of New Hampshire [371] September 4–10, 2012Obama45%Romney40%5592 LV±4.0%

New Jersey

14 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 52%–46%
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–42%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
YouGov [372] October 31 – November 3, 2012Obama53%Romney41%12987 LV±3.4%
Philadelphia Inquirer/Global Strategy Group/National Research [373] October 23 – 25, 2012Obama51%Romney41%10601 LV±4.0%
Quinnipiac University [374] October 10 – 14, 2012Obama51%Romney43%81,319 LV±2.7%
Philadelphia Inquirer/Global Strategy Group/National Research [375] October 4 – 8, 2012Obama51%Romney40%11604 LV±4.0%
Rutgers University [376] September 27 – 30, 2012Obama56%Romney39%17645 LV±3.8%
Monmouth University [377] September 19 – 23, 2012Obama52%Romney37%15613 LV±4.0%
YouGov [378] September 7 – 14, 2012Obama52%Romney40%121,040 LVNot reported
Philadelphia Inquirer/Global Strategy Group/National Research [379] September 9–12, 2012Obama51%Romney37%14600 LV±4.0%
Quinnipiac University [380] August 27 – September 2, 2012Obama51%Romney44%71,471 LV±2.6%

New Mexico

5 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 50%–49%
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–42%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
YouGov [381] October 31 – November 3, 2012Obama49%Romney43%6650 LVNot reported
Public Opinion Strategies (R) [382] October 30–31, 2012Obama49%Romney41%8500 LV±4.38%
Albuquerque Journal/Research & Polling Inc. [383] October 23–25, 2012Obama50%Romney41%9662 LV±3.8%
Public Policy Polling [384] October 23–24, 2012Obama53%Romney44%9727 LVNot reported
Public Opinion Strategies (R) [usurped] October 21–22, 2012Obama47%Romney42%5500 LV±4.38%
Albuquerque Journal/Research & Polling Inc. [385] October 9–10, 2012Obama49%Romney39%10658 LV±3.8%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [386] October 8, 2012Obama54%Romney43%11500 LV±4.5%
League of Conservation Voters/Public Policy Polling (D) [387] October 2–3, 2012Obama52%Romney43%9778 LVNot reported
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [388] September 27, 2012Obama51%Romney40%11500 LV±4.5%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) [389] September 25–27, 2012Obama47%Romney40%7500 LV±4.38%
NRDC Action Fund/Public Policy Polling (D) [390] September 17 – 20, 2012Obama52%Romney43%93,111 LV±1.8%
YouGov [391] September 7–14, 2012Obama51%Romney43%8293 LVNot reported
League of Conservation Voters/Public Policy Polling (D) [392] September 7–9, 2012Obama53%Romney42%111,122 LV±2.9%
Albuquerque Journal/Research & Polling Inc. [393] September 3–6, 2012Obama45%Romney40%5667 LV±3.8%

Three way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican % Libertarian  %Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Public Opinion Strategies (R) [394] October 30–31, 2012Barack Obama49%Mitt Romney41%Gary Johnson6%8500 LV±4.38%
Albuquerque Journal/Research & Polling Inc. [395] October 23–25, 2012Barack Obama50%Mitt Romney41%Gary Johnson5%9662 LV±3.8%
Albuquerque Journal/Research & Polling Inc. [396] October 9–11, 2012Barack Obama49%Mitt Romney39%Gary Johnson6%10658 LV±3.8%
We Ask America [397] September 25–27, 2012Barack Obama50.9%Mitt Romney40.6%Gary Johnson3.9%10.31,258 LV±2.58%
Albuquerque Journal/Research & Polling Inc. [398] September 3–6, 2012Barack Obama45%Mitt Romney40%Gary Johnson7%5667 LV±3.8%

New York

29 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 58%–40%
(Democratic in 2008) 63%–36%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
YouGov [399] October 31 – November 3, 2012Obama59%Romney36%231,430 LV±2.8%
WABC-TV New York/SurveyUSA [400] October 23 – 25, 2012Obama62%Romney33%29554 LV±4.1%
Siena College [401] October 22 – 24, 2012Obama59%Romney35%24750 LV±3.6%
Marist College [402] October 18 – 21, 2012Obama61%Romney35%26565 LV±4.1%
YouGov [403] October 4 – 11, 2012Obama59%Romney35%241,142 LV±3.2%
Quinnipiac University [404] September 4–9, 2012Obama62%Romney34%281,486 LV±2.5%

North Carolina

15 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 56%–44%
(Democratic in 2008) 50%–49%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Gravis Marketing [405] November 4, 2012Obama46%Romney50%41,130 LV±2.9%
Public Policy Polling [406] November 3–4, 2012Obama49%Romney49%Tied926 LV±3.2%
YouGov [407] October 31 – November 3, 2012Obama47%Romney49%21,500 LV±2.8%
Public Policy Polling [408] October 29 – 31, 2012Obama49%Romney49%Tied730 LV±3.6%
High Point University [409] October 22–30, 2012Obama45%Romney46%1403 LV±5%
WRAL-TV Raleigh/SurveyUSA [410] October 26–29, 2012Obama45%Romney50%5682 LV±3.8%
Elon University [411] October 21 – 26, 2012Obama45%Romney45%Tied1,238 LV±2.79%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [412] October 25, 2012Obama46%Romney52%6500 LV±4.5%
Public Policy Polling [413] October 23 – 25, 2012Obama48%Romney48%Tied880 LV±3.3%
Gravis Marketing [414] October 24, 2012Obama45%Romney53%81,723 LV±2.4%
Project New America/Grove Insight (D) [415] October 23 – 24, 2012Obama47%Romney44%3500 LV±4.4%
Civitas Institute/National Research (R) [416] October 20–21, 2012Obama47%Romney48%1600 LV±4%
Project New America/Grove Insight (D) [417] October 17 – 18, 2012Obama47%Romney44%3500 LV±4.4%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [418] October 17, 2012Obama46%Romney52%6500 LV±4.5%
Public Policy Polling [419] October 12 – 14, 2012Obama47%Romney49%21,084 LV±3.0%
North Carolina Republican Party/Tel Opinion Research (R) [420] October 12–13, 2012Obama45%Romney49%4600 LV±4.0%
YouGov [421] October 4–11, 2012Obama48%Romney49%1810 LV±3.9%
University of North Carolina/High Point University [422] September 29 – October 10, 2012Obama46%Romney45%1605 RV±4.0%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [423] October 9, 2012Obama48%Romney51%3500 LV±4.5%
Gravis Marketing [424] October 6–8, 2012Obama41.2%Romney49.9%8.71,325 LV±2.9%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [425] October 2, 2012Obama47%Romney51%4500 LV±4.5%
Survey USA [426] September 29 – October 1, 2012Obama49%Romney47%2573 LV±4.2%
American Research Group [427] September 28 – 30, 2012Obama46%Romney50%4600 LV±4.0%
Public Policy Polling [428] September 27 – 30, 2012Obama48%Romney48%Tied981 LV±3.1%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College [429] September 23–25, 2012Obama48%Romney46%21,035 LV±3.0%
Civitas Institute/National Research (R) [430] September 18–19, 2012Obama49%Romney45%4600 RV±4%
Purple Strategies [431] September 15–19, 2012Obama48%Romney46%2600 LV±4%
FOX 8/High Point University [432] September 8–13, 15–18, 2012Obama46%Romney43%3448 RV±4.7%
YouGov [433] September 7–14, 2012Obama46%Romney48%21,060 LVNot reported
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [434] September 13, 2012Obama45%Romney51%6500 LV±4.5%
Public Policy Polling [435] September 7–9, 2012Obama49%Romney48%11,087 LV±3.0%
Civitas Institute/SurveyUSA [436] September 4–6, 2012Obama43%Romney53%10500 RV±4.5%
Public Policy Polling [437] August 31 – Sept 2, 2012Obama48%Romney48%Tied1,012 LV±3.1%

North Dakota

3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 63%–36%
(Republican in 2008) 53%–45%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Mason-Dixon Polling & Research [438] October 26 – 28, 2012Obama40%Romney54%14625 LV±4%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [439] October 17 – 18, 2012Obama40%Romney54%14600 LV±4.0%
Forum Communications/Essman Research [440] October 12 – 15, 2012Obama32%Romney57%25500 LV±4.4%
Mason-Dixon Polling & Research [441] October 3 – 5, 2012Obama40%Romney54%14625 LV±4.0%
North Dakota Democratic-NPL State Party/DFM Research (D) [442] September 24 – 27, 2012Obama39%Romney51%12600 LV±4.0%

Ohio

18 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 51%–49%
(Democratic in 2008) 52%–47%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Gravis Marketing [443] November 4–5, 2012Obama49%Romney48%11,316 LV±2.7%
Reuters/Ipsos [444] November 3–5, 2012Obama50%Romney46%4680 LV±4.3%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [445] November 4, 2012Obama49%Romney49%Tied750 LV±4.0%
Public Policy Polling [446] November 3–4, 2012Obama52%Romney47%51,000 LV±3.1%
Angus Reid Public Opinion [447] November 2–4, 2012Obama51%Romney48%3572 LV±4.1%
Reuters/Ipsos [448] November 2–4, 2012Obama48%Romney44%4712 LV±4.2%
WCMH-TV Columbus/SurveyUSA [449] November 1–4, 2012Obama49%Romney44%5803 LV±3.5%
University of Cincinnati [450] October 31 – November 4, 2012Obama50%Romney49%1901 LV±3.3%
Reuters/Ipsos [451] November 1–3, 2012Obama46%Romney45%11,031 LV±3.5%
YouGov [452] October 31 – November 3, 2012Obama49%Romney46%31,620 LV±3%
Columbus Dispatch [453] October 24 – November 3, 2012Obama50%Romney48%21,501 LV±2.2%
USAction/Project New America/Project New America/Grove Insight (D) [454] November 1–2, 2012Obama49%Romney45%4500 LV±4.4%
Reuters/Ipsos [455] October 31 – November 2, 2012Obama47%Romney45%21,012 LV±3.5%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [456] November 1, 2012Obama49%Romney49%Tied750 LV±4%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College [457] October 30 – November 1, 2012Obama51%Romney45%6971 LV±3.1%
We Ask America [458] October 30 – November 1, 2012Obama50.2%Romney45.8%41,649 LV±2.6%
CNN/Opinion Research Corporation [459] October 30 – November 1, 2012Obama50%Romney47%3796 LV±3.5%
Citizens United/Wenzel Strategies (R) [460] October 30–31, 2012Obama46%Romney49%31,281 LV±2.7%
Health Care for America Now/Public Policy Polling (D) [461] October 29 – 30, 2012Obama50%Romney45%5600 LV±4.0%
University of Cincinnati [462] October 25 – 30, 2012Obama48%Romney46%21,141 LV±2.9%
Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R) [463] October 29, 2012Obama48%Romney46%21,000 LV±3%
USAction/Project New America/Project New America/Grove Insight (D) [464] October 28 – 29, 2012Obama48%Romney45%3500 LV±4.4%
WCMH-TV Columbus/SurveyUSA [465] October 26 – 29, 2012Obama48%Romney45%3603 LV±4.1%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [466] October 28, 2012Obama48%Romney50%2750 LV±4%
Pharos Research [467] October 26 – 28, 2012Obama49%Romney46.3%2.7765 LV±3.5%
Public Policy Polling [468] October 26 – 28, 2012Obama51%Romney47%4718 LV±3.7%
CBS News/Quinnipiac University [469] October 23 – 28, 2012Obama50%Romney45%51,100 LV±3%
Gravis Marketing [470] October 27, 2012Obama50%Romney49%1730 LV±3.6%
Americans United for Change/Mellman Group (D) [471] October 23 – 25, 2012Obama49%Romney44%5600 LV±4%
CNN/Opinion Research Corporation [472] October 23 – 25, 2012Obama50%Romney46%4741 RV±3.5%
Purple Strategies [473] October 23 – 25, 2012Obama46%Romney44%2600 LV±4.0%
American Research Group [474] October 23 – 25, 2012Obama49%Romney47%2600 LV±4.0%
TIME/Abt SRBI [475] October 22 – 23, 2012Obama49%Romney44%5783 LV±3%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [476] October 23, 2012Obama48%Romney48%Tied750 LV±4.0%
USAction/Lake Research (D) [477] October 20 – 23, 2012Obama46%Romney44%2600 LV±4.0%
Ohio Newspaper Organization/University of Cincinnati [478] October 18 – 23, 2012Obama49%Romney49%Tied1,015 LV±3.1%
WCMH-TV Columbus/SurveyUSA [479] October 20 – 22, 2012Obama47%Romney44%3609 LV±4.1%
Suffolk University [480] October 18 – 21, 2012Obama47%Romney47%Tied600 LV±4.0%
CBS News/Quinnipiac University [481] October 17–20, 2012Obama50%Romney45%51,548 LV±3%
Angus Reid Public Opinion [482] October 18–20, 2012Obama48%Romney48%Tied550 LV±4.2%
Public Policy Polling [483] October 18–20, 2012Obama49%Romney48%1532 LV±4.3%
Gravis Marketing [484] October 18 – 19, 2012Obama47%Romney47%Tied1,943 LV±2.2%
Fox News/Anderson Robbins/Shaw & Company [485] October 17–18, 2012Obama46%Romney43%31,131 LV±3%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [486] October 17, 2012Obama49%Romney48%1750 LV±4.0%
Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R) [487] October 15, 2012Obama46%Romney47%11,000 LV±3.0%
WCMH-TV Columbus/SurveyUSA [488] October 12–15, 2012Obama45%Romney42%3613 LV±4.0%
Public Policy Polling [489] October 12–13, 2012Obama51%Romney46%5880 LV±3.3%
YouGov [490] October 4–11, 2012Obama50%Romney46%4851 LV±4.8%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [491] October 10, 2012Obama48%Romney47%1750 LV±4.0%
Gravis Marketing [492] October 6 – 10, 2012Obama45.1%Romney45.9%0.81,313 LV±2.7%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College [493] October 7 – 9, 2012Obama51%Romney45%6994 LV±3.1%
Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R) [494] October 8, 2012Obama47%Romney46%11,000 LV±3.0%
WCMH-TV Columbus/SurveyUSA [495] October 5 – 8, 2012Obama45%Romney44%1808 LV±3.5%
CNN/Opinion Research Corporation [496] October 5–8, 2012Obama51%Romney47%4722 LV±3.5%
American Research Group [497] October 5 – 8, 2012Obama47%Romney48%1600 LV±4.0%
Citizens United/Wenzel Strategies (R) [498] October 4–5, 2012Obama47.3%Romney48%0.71,072 LV±2.96%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [499] October 4, 2012Obama50%Romney49%1500 LV±4.5%
Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R) [500] October 1, 2012Obama50%Romney43%71,000 LV±3.0%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College [501] September 30 – October 1, 2012Obama51%Romney43%8931 LV±3.2%
Public Policy Polling [502] September 27 – 30, 2012Obama49%Romney45%4897 LV±3.3%
Columbus Dispatch [503] [ permanent dead link ]September 19 – 29, 2012Obama51%Romney42%91,662 LV±2.2%
CBS News/New York Times/Quinnipiac University [504] September 18 – 24, 2012Obama53%Romney43%101,162 LV±3.0%
Washington Post [505] September 19 – 23, 2012Obama52%Romney44%8759 LV±4.5%
Capitol Correspondent/Gravis Marketing [506] September 21 – 22, 2012Obama45.2%Romney44.3%0.9594 LV±4.3%
Purple Strategies [507] September 15 – 19, 2012Obama48%Romney44%4600 LV±4.0%
Ohio Newspaper Organization/University of Cincinnati [508] September 13 – 18, 2012Obama51%Romney46%5861 LV±3.3%
Fox News/Anderson Robbins/Shaw & Company [509] September 16–18, 2012Obama49%Romney42%71,009 LV±3.0%
National Resource Defense Council/Public Policy Polling (D) [510] September 14–18, 2012Obama50%Romney44%62,890 LVNot reported
Secure America Now/Caddell Associates/Caddell Associates/McLaughlin & Associates (R) [511] September 13–15, 2012Obama47%Romney44%3600 LV±4.0%
YouGov [512] September 7–14, 2012Obama47%Romney44%31,036 LVNot reported
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [513] September 12, 2012Obama47%Romney46%1500 LV±4.5%
American Research Group [514] September 10–12, 2012Obama48%Romney47%1600 LV±4.0%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College [515] September 9–12, 2012Obama50%Romney43%7979 LV±3.1%
Public Policy Polling [516] September 7–9, 2012Obama50%Romney45%51,072 LV±3.0%
Capitol Correspondent/Gravis Marketing [517] September 7–8, 2012Obama47.27%Romney43.19%4.081,548 LV±2.7%
Capitol Correspondent/Gravis Marketing [518] September 2, 2012Obama43.7%Romney46.8%3.11,381 RV±2.9%

Three way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican % Libertarian  %Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
We Ask America [519] October 4, 2012Barack Obama46%Mitt Romney47%Gary Johnson1%11,200 LV±3%
Gravis Marketing [520] September 21–22, 2012 Barack Obama 45% Mitt Romney 38% Gary Johnson 11%7594 LV±4.3%
Gravis Marketing [521] September 7–8, 2012Barack Obama45%Mitt Romney43%Gary Johnson5%21,548 LV±2.7%

Oklahoma

7 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 66%–34%
(Republican in 2008) 67%–34%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
SoonerPoll [522] October 18 – 24, 2012Obama33%Romney59%26305 LV±5.6%

Oregon

7 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 51%–47%
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–40%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Public Policy Polling [523] October 31 – November 1, 2012Obama52%Romney46%6921 LV±3.2%
Elway Research [524] October 25 – 28, 2012Obama47%Romney41%6405 LV±5%
Hoffman Research [525] October 24 – 25, 2012Obama47%Romney42%5615 LV±3.9%
Survey USA [526] October 16 – 18, 2012Obama49%Romney42%7579 LV±4.2%
Survey USA [527] September 10–13, 2012Obama50%Romney41%9552 LV±4.3%

Pennsylvania

20 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 51%–48%
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Gravis Marketing [528] November 4, 2012Obama49%Romney46%31,060 LV±3%
Angus Reid Public Opinion [529] November 2 – 4, 2012Obama51%Romney47%4479 LVNot reported
Public Policy Polling [530] November 2 – 3, 2012Obama52%Romney46%6790 LV±3.5%
Morning Call/Muhlenberg College [531] November 1 – 3, 2012Obama49%Romney46%3430 LV±5%
YouGov [532] October 31 – November 3, 2012Obama52%Romney44%81,273 LV±3.3%
Pittsburgh Tribune-Review/Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. [533] October 29–31, 2012Obama47%Romney47%Tied800 LV±3.5%
Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R) [534] October 30, 2012Obama49%Romney46%31,000 LV±3%
Franklin & Marshall College [535] October 23–28, 2012Obama49%Romney45%4547 LV±4.2%
Philadelphia Inquirer/Global Strategy Group/National Research Inc. [536] October 23–25, 2012Obama49%Romney43%6600 LV±4%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [537] October 24, 2012Obama51%Romney46%5500 LV±4.5%
Gravis Marketing [538] October 21, 2012Obama48%Romney45%3887 LV±3.3%
Morning Call/Muhlenberg College [539] October 17 – 21, 2012Obama50%Romney45%5444 LV±5.0%
Angus Reid Public Opinion [540] [ permanent dead link ]October 18 – 20, 2012Obama52%Romney42%10559 LV±4.2%
Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R) [541] October 15, 2012Obama48%Romney44%41,000 LV±3%
Quinnipiac University [542] October 12 – 14, 2012Obama50%Romney46%41,519 LV±2.5%
Public Policy Polling [543] October 12 – 14, 2012Obama51%Romney44%7500 LV±4.4%
Morning Call/Muhlenberg College [544] October 10 – 14, 2012Obama49%Romney45%4438 LV±5.0%
YouGov [545] October 4–11, 2012Obama51%Romney44%7967 LV±4.3%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [546] October 9, 2012Obama51%Romney46%5500 LV±4.5%
Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R) [547] October 8, 2012Obama47%Romney45%21,000 LV±3%
Philadelphia Inquirer/Global Strategy Group/National Research Inc. [548] October 4–8, 2012Obama50%Romney42%2600 LV±4%
Siena College [549] October 1 – 5, 2012 Obama43%Romney40%3545 LV±4.2%
Morning Call/Muhlenberg College [550] September 22–26, 2012Obama49%Romney42%7427 LV±5.0%
CBS News/New York Times/Quinnipiac University [551] September 18–24, 2012Obama54%Romney42%121,180 LV±3.0%
Franklin and Marshall College [552] September 18–23, 2012Obama52%Romney43%9392 LV±4.9%
Tribune-Review/Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. [553] September 18–20, 2012Obama47%Romney45%2800 LV±3.46%
Mercyhurst University [554] September 12–20, 2012Obama48%Romney40%8522 LV±4.29%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [555] September 19, 2012Obama51%Romney39%12500 LV±4.5%
We Ask America [556] September 18, 2012Obama48.1%Romney42.2%5.91,214 LV±2.8%
National Research Defense Council/Public Policy Polling (D) [557] September 17–18, 2012Obama52%Romney40%122,051 LV±2.2%
Republican State Committee of Pennsylvania/Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. (R) [558] September 15–17, 2012Obama48%Romney47%1800 LV±3.46%
Morning Call/Muhlenberg College [559] September 10–16, 2012Obama50%Romney41%9640 LV±4.0%
YouGov [560] September 7–14, 2012Obama52%Romney43%91,139 LVNot reported
Philadelphia Inquirer/Global Strategy Group/National Research Inc. [561] September 9–12, 2012Obama50%Romney39%11600 LV±4%

Three-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Libertarian%MarginSample sizeMargin of error
Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. [562] October 4 – 6, 2012Barack Obama47%Mitt Romney45%Gary Johnson3%2725 LV±3.64%

Four-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Libertarian%Green%MarginSample sizeMargin of error
Republican State Committee of Pennsylvania/Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. (R) [563] October 11–13, 2012Barack Obama45%Mitt Romney49%Gary Johnson2%Jill Stein1%41,376 LV±2.64%

Rhode Island

4 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 59%–39%
(Democratic in 2008) 63%–35%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
WPRI 12/Fleming & Associates [564] October 24–27, 2012Obama54%Romney33%21601 LV±4%
Brown University [565] September 26 – October 5, 2012Obama58.2%Romney32.3%25.9471 LV±4.4%
WPRI 12/Fleming & Associates [566] September 26–29, 2012Obama57.3%Romney33.1%24.2501 LV±4.38%

South Carolina

9 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 58%–41%
(Republican in 2008) 54%–45%

South Dakota

3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 60%–38%
(Republican in 2008) 53%–45%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Nielson Brothers Polling [567] October 31 – November 4, 2012Obama41%Romney53%12633 LV±3.90%
Nielson Brothers Polling [568] October 28–31, 2012Obama42%Romney50%8671 LV±3.78%
Nielson Brothers Polling [569] August 29 – September 6, 2012Obama39%Romney54%15509 LV±4.34%
Nielson Brothers Polling [570] July 19–23, 2012Obama43%Romney49%6541 LV±4.21%

Tennessee

11 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 57%–43%
(Republican in 2008) 57%–42%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
YouGov [571] October 31 – November 3, 2012Obama42%Romney53%11697 LV±4%
Middle Tennessee State University [572] October 16 – 21, 2012Obama34%Romney59%25609 LV±4%
YouGov [573] October 4 – 11, 2012Obama43%Romney52%9484 LV±5%
YouGov [574] September 7 – 14, 2012Obama42%Romney50%8694 LVNot reported

Texas

38 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 61%–38%
(Republican in 2008) 55%–44%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
YouGov [575] October 31 – November 3, 2012Obama38%Romney57%191,563 LV±3.2%
University of Texas at Austin/Texas Tribune/YouGov [576] October 15 – 21, 2012Obama39%Romney55%16540 LV±4.22%
YouGov [577] October 4 – 11, 2012Obama41%Romney55%14958 LV±4.5%
Texas Lyceum [578] September 10 – 26, 2012Obama39%Romney58%19443 LV±4.66%
Wilson Perkins Allen Opinion Research [579] September 9–11, 2012Obama40%Romney55%151,000 LV±3.1%

Utah

6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 72%–26%
(Republican in 2008) 62%–34%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
KSL-TV/Deseret News/Dan Jones & Associates [580] October 26 – November 1, 2012Obama26%Romney69%43870 LV±3.4%
Brigham Young University/Key Research [581] October 9–13, 2012Obama20%Romney71%51500 LV±4.4%
InsiderAdvantage [582] October 8–13, 2012Obama21%Romney74%53Not reported±7.6%

Vermont

3 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 59%–39%
(Democratic in 2008) 67%–30%

Virginia

13 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 54%–46%
(Democratic in 2008) 53%–46%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Reuters/Ipsos [583] November 3–5, 2012Obama48%Romney46%2828 LV±3.9%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [584] November 4, 2012Obama48%Romney50%2750 LV±4%
Public Policy Polling [585] November 3–4, 2012Obama51%Romney47%4975 LV±3.1%
Reuters/Ipsos [586] November 2–4, 2012Obama47%Romney46%1662 LV±4.3%
Reuters/Ipsos [587] November 1–3, 2012Obama48%Romney45%3947 LV±3.6%
YouGov [588] October 31 – November 3, 2012Obama48%Romney46%21,497 LV±2.7%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College [589] November 1–2, 2012Obama48%Romney47%11,165 LV±2.9%
Reuters/Ipsos [590] October 31 – November 2, 2012Obama48%Romney45%31,065 LV±3.4%
Americans United for Change/Mellman Group (D) [591] October 30 – November 2, 2012Obama48%Romney45%3800 LV±3.4%
We Ask America [592] October 30 – November 1, 2012Obama48.5%Romney47.6%0.91,069 LV±3%
Reuters/Ipsos [593] October 30 – November 1, 2012Obama49%Romney44%5792 LV±4%
Health Care for America Now/Public Policy Polling (D) [594] October 30 – 31, 2012Obama49%Romney46%3600 LV±4.0%
Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R) [595] October 30, 2012Obama49%Romney48%11,000 LV±3%
CBS News/New York Times/Quinnipiac University [596] October 23 – 28, 2012Obama49%Romney47%21,074 LV±3%
Priorities USA Action/Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group (D) [597] October 25–27, 2012Obama49%Romney46%3807 LVNot reported
Gravis Marketing [598] October 26, 2012Obama48%Romney48%Tied645 LV±3.9%
Roanoke College [599] October 23–26, 2012Obama44%Romney49%5638 LV±4%
The Washington Post [600] October 22–26, 2012Obama51%Romney47%41,228 LV±3.5%
Purple Strategies [601] October 23 – 25, 2012Obama47%Romney47%Tied600 LV±4.0%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [602] October 24, 2012Obama48%Romney50%2750 LV±4.0%
Fox News/Anderson Robbins/Shaw & Company [603] October 23–24, 2012Obama45%Romney47%21126 LV±3.0%
Health Care for America Now/Public Policy Polling (D) [604] October 23 – 24, 2012Obama51%Romney46%5722 LV±3.6%
Americans United for Change/Mellman Group (D) [605] October 18 – 21, 2012Obama46%Romney45%1800 LV±3.46%
Health Care for America Now/Public Policy Polling (D) [606] October 18 – 19, 2012Obama49%Romney47%2500 LV±4.4%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [607] October 18, 2012Obama47%Romney50%3750 LV±4.0%
Virginian-Pilot/Old Dominion University [608] September 19 – October 17, 2012Obama50%Romney43%7465 LV±3.4%
League of Conservation Voters/Public Policy Polling (D) [609] October 15 – 16, 2012Obama49%Romney48%1733 LV±3.6%
Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R) [610] October 15, 2012Obama47%Romney46%11,000 LV±3.0%
American Research Group [611] October 12 – 14, 2012Obama47%Romney48%1600 LV±4.0%
Kimball Political Consulting [612] October 12 – 13, 2012Obama43%Romney54%11696 LV±3.7%
YouGov [613] October 4–11, 2012Obama46%Romney45%1743 LV±4.0%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [614] October 11, 2012Obama47%Romney49%2750 LV±4.0%
McLaughlin & Associates (R) [615] October 8–9, 2012Obama44%Romney51%7600 LV±4.0%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College [616] October 7–9, 2012Obama47%Romney48%1981 LV±3.1%
CBS News/New York Times/Quinnipiac University [617] October 4–9, 2012Obama51%Romney46%51,288 LV±2.7%
Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R) [618] October 8, 2012Obama48%Romney48%Tied1,000 LV±3.0%
Public Policy Polling [619] October 4–7, 2012Obama50%Romney47%3725 LV±3.7%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [620] October 4, 2012Obama48%Romney49%1500 LV±4.5%
Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R) [621] October 1, 2012Obama48%Romney47%11,000 LV±3.0%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College [622] September 30 – October 1, 2012Obama48%Romney46%2969 LV±3.1%
Roanoke College [623] September 19 – 28, 2012Obama47%Romney39%8589 LV±4.0%
American Research Group [624] September 24 – 27, 2012Obama49%Romney47%2600 LV±4.0%
National Research Defense Council/Public Policy Polling (D) [625] September 17–19, 2012Obama49%Romney43%62,770 LV±1.9%
Purple Strategies [626] September 15 – 19, 2012Obama46%Romney43%3600 LV±4.0%
Fox News/Anderson Robbins/Shaw & Company [627] September 16–18, 2012Obama50%Romney43%71,006 LV±3.0%
CBS News/New York Times/Quinnipiac University [628] September 11–17, 2012Obama50%Romney46%41,474 LV±3.0%
Public Policy Polling [629] September 13–16, 2012Obama51%Romney46%51,021 LV±3.1%
Washington Post [630] September 12–16, 2012Obama52%Romney44%8847 LV±3.5%
YouGov [631] September 7–14, 2012Obama48%Romney44%4753 LVNot reported
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [632] September 13, 2012Obama49%Romney48%1500 LV±4.5%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College [633] September 9–11, 2012Obama49%Romney44%5996 LV±3.1%
Gravis Marketing [634] September 8–9, 2012Obama44.04%Romney49.39%5.352,238 LV±2.2%

Three-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Libertarian%MarginSample sizeMargin of error
Fox News/Anderson Robbins/Shaw & CompanyOctober 23–24, 2012Barack Obama44%Mitt Romney46%Virgil Goode1%21,126 LV±3%
We Ask America [635] October 4, 2012Barack Obama45%Mitt Romney48%Gary Johnson2%31,200 LV±3%
We Ask America [636] September 17, 2012Barack Obama48.5%Mitt Romney45.7%Gary Johnson1.1%2.81,238 LV±2.8%

Four-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Libertarian %Constitution %Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
NBC 12 (WWBT-Richmond)/Suffolk University [637] September 24 – 26, 2012 Barack Obama 46% Mitt Romney 44% Gary Johnson 1% Virgil Goode 1%2600 LV±4%

Five-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Libertarian%Constitution%Green%Sample sizeMargin of error
Citizens United/Wenzel Strategies (R) [638] October 19–20, 2012Barack Obama47.1%Mitt Romney49.2%Gary Johnson0.4%Virgil Goode0.3%Jill Stein0.4%1,000 LV±3.07%

Washington

12 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 53%–46%
(Democratic in 2008) 58%–40%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
YouGov [639] October 31 – November 3, 2012Obama54%Romney40%14837 LVNot reported
Public Policy Polling [640] November 1 – 3, 2012Obama53%Romney46%7932 LV±3.2%
KING-TV Seattle/SurveyUSA [641] October 28 – 31, 2012Obama54%Romney40%14555 LV±4.2%
KCTS9/University of Washington [642] October 18 – 31, 2012Obama57.1%Romney36.4%20.7632 LV±3.9%
Strategies 360 [643] October 17 – 20, 2012Obama52%Romney39%13500 LV±4.4%
Washington Conservation Voters/Public Policy Polling (D) [644] October 15 – 16, 2012Obama50%Romney45%5574 LVNot reported
KCTS9/University of Washington [645] October 1–16, 2012Obama51.9%Romney42.9%9644 LV±3.9%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [646] October 14, 2012Obama55%Romney42%13500 LV±4.5%
KING-TV Seattle/SurveyUSA [647] October 12 – 14, 2012Obama54%Romney40%14543 LV±4.3%
YouGov [648] October 4–11, 2012Obama56%Romney39%17748 LV±4.3%
KING-TV Seattle/SurveyUSA [649] September 28 – 30, 2012Obama56%Romney36%20540 LV±4.3%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [650] September 26, 2012Obama52%Romney41%11500 LV±4.5%
Gravis Marketing [651] September 21–22, 2012Obama56%Romney39%17625 LV±4.6%
YouGov [652] September 7–14, 2012Obama53%Romney39%14880 LVNot reported
Elway Research [653] September 9–12, 2012Obama53%Romney36%17405 RV±5.0%
Washington Conservation Voters/Public Policy Polling (D) [654] September 7–9, 2012Obama53%Romney42%11563 LVNot reported
KING-TV Seattle/SurveyUSA [655] September 7–9, 2012Obama54%Romney38%16524 LV±4.4%

West Virginia

5 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 56%–43%
(Republican in 2008) 56%–43%

Wisconsin

10 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 50%–49%
(Democratic in 2008) 56%–42%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Public Policy Polling [656] November 2 – 3, 2012Obama51%Romney48%31,256 LV±2.8%
Angus Reid Public Opinion [657] November 1–3, 2012Obama53%Romney46%7482 LV±4.5%
YouGov [658] October 31 – November 3, 2012 Obama50%Romney46%41,225 LV±3.1%
USAction/Project New America/Project New America/Grove Insight (D) [659] November 1–2, 2012Obama48%Romney42%6500 LV±4.4%
We Ask America [660] October 30 – November 1, 2012Obama51.5%Romney44.8%6.71,210 LV±3%
Citizens United/Wenzel Strategies (R) [661] October 30–31, 2012Obama49%Romney47%21,074 LV±3%
Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R) [662] October 30, 2012Obama49%Romney48%11,000 LV±3%
Health Care for America Now/Public Policy Polling (D) [663] October 29–30, 2012Obama51%Romney46%5825 LV±3.4%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [664] October 29, 2012Obama49%Romney49%Tie750 LV±4%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College [665] October 28–29, 2012Obama49%Romney46%31,065 LV±3%
St. Norbert College [666] October 25–29, 2012Obama51%Romney42%9402 LV±5%
Marquette Law School [667] October 25–28, 2012Obama51%Romney43%81,243 LV±2.8%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [668] October 25, 2012Obama49%Romney49%Tie500 LV±4.5%
Project New America/Grove Insight (D) [669] October 24–25, 2012Obama48%Romney43%5500 LV±4.4%
Health Care for America Now/Public Policy Polling (D) [670] October 23–24, 2012Obama51%Romney45%6827 LV±3.4%
Angus Reid Public Opinion [671] October 18–20, 2012Obama51%Romney46%5469 LVNot reported
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [672] October 18, 2012Obama50%Romney48%2500 LV±4.5%
Project New America/Grove Insight (D) [673] October 17–18, 2012Obama47%Romney44%3500 LV±4.4%
Mason-Dixon Polling & Research [674] October 15 – 17, 2012Obama48%Romney46%2625 LV±4%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College [675] October 15 – 17, 2012Obama51%Romney45%61,013 LV±3.1%
Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R) [676] October 15, 2012Obama50%Romney47%31,000 LV±3%
Marquette Law School [677] October 11–14, 2012Obama49%Romney48%1870 LV±3.4%
YouGov [678] October 4 – 11, 2012Obama51%Romney47%4638 LV±4.9%
CBS News/New York Times/Quinnipiac University [679] October 4–9, 2012Obama50%Romney47%31,327 LV±2.7%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [680] October 9, 2012Obama51%Romney49%2500 LV±4.5%
Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R) [681] October 8, 2012Obama50%Romney46%41,000 LV±3.0%
Public Policy Polling [682] October 4 – 6, 2012Obama49%Romney47%2979 LV±3.1%
Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R) [683] October 1, 2012Obama51%Romney44%71,000 LV±3.0%
JZ Analytics [684] September 29–30, 2012Obama48.9%Romney38.8%10.1414 LV±4.9%
Marquette Law School [685] September 27 – 30, 2012Obama53%Romney42%11894 LV±3.3%
Public Policy Polling [686] September 18 – 19, 2012Obama52%Romney45%7842 LV±3.4%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College [687] September 16 – 18, 2012Obama50%Romney45%5968 LV±3.2%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [688] September 17, 2012Obama49%Romney46%3500 LV±4.5%
CBS News/New York Times/Quinnipiac University [689] September 11–17, 2012Obama51%Romney45%61,485 LV±3.0%
Marquette Law School [690] September 13–16, 2012Obama54%Romney40%14601 LV±4%
YouGov [691] September 7–14, 2012 Obama48%Romney47%1753 LVNot reported
Democracy for America/Public Policy Polling (D) [692] September 12–13, 2012Obama49%Romney48%1959 LV±3.16%

Three way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican % Libertarian  %Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
We Ask America [693] September 20 – 23, 2012 Barack Obama 52.5% Mitt Romney 41.0% Gary Johnson 1.2%121,238 LV±2.8%

Wyoming

3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 69%–29%
(Republican in 2008) 65%–33%

No polls conducted

See also

Related Research Articles

Scientific, nationwide public opinion polls conducted relating to the 2008 United States presidential election include:

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Statewide opinion polling for the 2008 United States presidential election</span>

Statewide public opinion polls that were conducted relating to the 2008 United States presidential election are as follows.

Nationwide public opinion polls that were conducted relating to the 2012 United States presidential election are as follows. The election was between Democratic Incumbent President Barack Obama, Republican Mitt Romney, as well as other third-party and independent challengers.

This article provides a collection of statewide public opinion polls that were conducted relating to the 2004 United States presidential election. All candidates involved in polling are John Kerry, against incumbent President George W. Bush, with third-party candidates Ralph Nader (Independent), Michael Badnarik (Libertarian), David Cobb (Green), and Michael Peroutka (Constitution). Additional third-party candidates were on the Minnesota presidential ballot.

Nationwide public opinion polls conducted with respect to the Republican primaries for the 2012 United States presidential election are as follows. The people named in the polls were either declared candidates, former candidates or received media speculation about their possible candidacy.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Early/Mid 2012 statewide opinion polling for the 2012 United States presidential election</span>

Statewide polls for the 2012 United States presidential election are as follows. The polls listed here, by state, are from January 1 to August 31, 2012, and provide early data on opinion polling between a possible Republican candidate against incumbent President Barack Obama.

Statewide polls for the 2012 United States presidential election are as follows. The polls listed here, by state, are from 2009 to December 31, 2011, and provide early data on opinion polling between a possible Republican candidate against incumbent President Barack Obama.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Statewide opinion polling for the 2016 Republican Party presidential primaries</span>

This article contains opinion polling by U.S. state for the 2016 Republican Party presidential primaries. The shading for each poll indicates the candidate(s) which are within one margin of error of the poll's leader.

This page lists nationwide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the 2016 United States presidential election. The two major party candidates were chosen at the Democratic National Convention and Republican National Convention in July 2016.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Statewide opinion polling for the January 2012 Republican Party presidential primaries</span>

This article contains opinion polling by U.S. state for the 2012 Republican Party presidential primaries.

Statewide polls for the 2016 United States presidential election are as follows. The polls listed here, by state, are from 2013 to December 31, 2015, and provide early data on opinion polling between a possible Republican candidate against a possible Democratic candidate.

Statewide polls for the 2016 United States presidential election are as follows. The polls listed here, by state, are from January 1 to August 31, 2016, and provide early data on opinion polling between a possible Republican candidate against a possible Democratic candidate.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2020 United States presidential election in Florida</span>

The 2020 United States presidential election in Florida was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election, in which all 50 states and the District of Columbia participated. Florida voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent president Donald Trump, and his running mate, Vice President Mike Pence, against Democratic Party nominee, former vice president Joe Biden, and his running mate, United States senator Kamala Harris, of California. Florida had 29 electoral votes in the Electoral College.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2020 United States presidential election in Ohio</span>

The 2020 United States presidential election in Ohio was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Ohio voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee—incumbent President Donald Trump and his running mate, Vice President Mike Pence—against the Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden and his running mate, California Senator Kamala Harris. Ohio had 18 electoral votes in the Electoral College.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2020 United States presidential election in North Carolina</span>

The 2020 United States presidential election in North Carolina was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. North Carolina voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state was narrowly won by the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump of Florida, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence of Indiana, against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden of Delaware, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. North Carolina had 15 electoral votes in the Electoral College.

This is a list of nationwide and statewide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the Republican primaries for the 2020 United States presidential election. The persons named in the polls are declared candidates or have received media speculation about their possible candidacy. The polls included are among Republicans or Republicans and Republican-leaning independents. If multiple versions of polls are provided, the version among likely voters is prioritized, then registered voters, then adults.

This is a list of nationwide public opinion polls that were conducted relating to the general election for the 2020 United States presidential election. If multiple versions of polls are provided, the version among likely voters (LV) is prioritized, then registered voters (RV), then adults (A). Polling in the 2020 election was considerably less accurate than in the 2016 election, and possibly more inaccurate than in any election since 1996.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Statewide opinion polling for the 2020 United States presidential election</span>

This is a list of statewide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the 2020 United States presidential election. The persons named in the polls were declared candidates or received media speculation about their possible candidacy.

This is a list of nationwide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the general election for the 2020 United States presidential election. The persons named in the polls were declared candidates or received media speculation about their possible candidacy. If multiple versions of polls are provided, the version among likely voters (LV) is prioritized, then registered voters (RV), then adults (A).

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  305. "Public Policy Polling". Archived from the original on 2013-05-01. Retrieved 2012-09-13.
  306. Lee Newspapers/Mason-Dixon Research & Polling
  307. We Ask America
  308. Wiese Research Associates Archived 2012-10-31 at the Wayback Machine
  309. Wiese Research Associates Archived 2012-09-25 at the Wayback Machine
  310. Wiese Research Associates Archived 2012-10-31 at the Wayback Machine
  311. Wiese Research Associates Archived 2012-09-25 at the Wayback Machine
  312. Public Policy Polling
  313. YouGov
  314. Americans United for Change/Mellman Group (D)
  315. Los Vegas Review Journal/SurveyUSA
  316. "USAction/Project New America/Grove Insight (D)". Archived from the original on 2013-01-16. Retrieved 2012-10-30.
  317. "Gravis Marketing". Archived from the original on 2012-10-28. Retrieved 2012-10-26.
  318. NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College
  319. Public Policy Polling
  320. Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research
  321. American Research Group
  322. Americans United for Change/Mellman Group (D)
  323. Project New America/Grove Insight (D)
  324. Los Vegas Review Journal/SurveyUSA
  325. Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research
  326. YouGov
  327. Public Policy Polling
  328. KSNV-Nevada/Suffolk University Archived 2012-10-14 at the Wayback Machine
  329. Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research
  330. Las Vegas Review Journal/SurveyUSA
  331. Gravis Marketing
  332. NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College
  333. American Research Group
  334. Retail Association of Nevada/Public Opinion Strategies (R)
  335. League of Conservation Voters/Public Policy Polling (D)
  336. Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research
  337. CNN/Opinion Research Corporation
  338. WeAskAmerica
  339. Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research
  340. New England College
  341. Public Policy Polling
  342. American Research Group
  343. University of New Hampshire
  344. YouGov
  345. WMUR/University of New Hampshire
  346. "Gravis Marketing". Archived from the original on 2012-11-05. Retrieved 2012-11-02.
  347. New England College
  348. NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College
  349. Public Policy Polling
  350. USAction/Lake Research Partners (D)
  351. USAction/Project New America/Grove Insight (D)
  352. New England College
  353. Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research
  354. American Research Group
  355. USAction/Lake Research Partners (D)
  356. WMUR/University of New Hampshire Archived 2012-11-12 at the Wayback Machine
  357. Public Policy Polling
  358. Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research
  359. 7 News/Suffolk University
  360. American Research Group
  361. Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research
  362. WMUR/University of New Hampshire
  363. WMUR/University of New Hampshire Archived 2012-10-08 at the Wayback Machine
  364. American Research Group
  365. Progressive Change Campaign Committee/Public Policy Polling (D)
  366. NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College
  367. New Hampshire Democratic Party/Greenberg Quinlan Rosner (D) Archived 2012-09-27 at the Wayback Machine
  368. Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research
  369. American Research Group
  370. YouGov
  371. WMUR/University of New Hampshire
  372. YouGov
  373. Philadelphia Inquirer/Global Strategy Group/National Research
  374. Quinnipiac University
  375. Philadelphia Inquirer/Global Strategy Group/National Research
  376. Rutgers University
  377. Monmouth University [ permanent dead link ]
  378. YouGov
  379. Philadelphia Inquirer/Global Strategy Group/National Research
  380. Quinnipiac University Archived 2012-09-07 at the Wayback Machine
  381. YouGov
  382. Public Opinion Strategies (R)
  383. Albuquerque Journal/Research & Polling Inc.
  384. Public Policy Polling
  385. Albuquerque Journal/Research & Polling Inc.
  386. Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research
  387. League of Conservation Voters/Public Policy Polling (D)
  388. Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research
  389. Public Opinion Strategies (R)
  390. NRDC Action Fund/Public Policy Polling (D) Archived 2012-10-08 at the Wayback Machine
  391. YouGov
  392. League of Conservation Voters/Public Policy Polling (D)
  393. Albuquerque Journal/Research & Polling Inc.
  394. Public Opinion Strategies (R)
  395. Albuquerque Journal/Research & Polling Inc.
  396. Albuquerque Journal/Research & Polling Inc.
  397. We Ask America
  398. Albuquerque Journal/Research & Polling Inc.
  399. YouGov
  400. WABC-TV New York/SurveyUSA
  401. Siena College
  402. Marist College
  403. YouGov
  404. Quinnipiac University Archived 2012-09-14 at the Wayback Machine
  405. "Gravis Marketing". Archived from the original on 2012-11-08. Retrieved 2012-11-05.
  406. Public Policy Polling
  407. YouGov
  408. Public Policy Polling
  409. "High Point University" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on 2012-11-02. Retrieved 2012-11-01.
  410. WRAL-TV Raleigh/SurveyUSA
  411. Elon University Archived 2012-10-30 at the Wayback Machine
  412. Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research
  413. Public Policy Polling
  414. "Gravis Marketing". Archived from the original on 2012-10-29. Retrieved 2012-10-26.
  415. Project New America/Grove Insight (D)
  416. Civitas Institute/National Research (R)
  417. Project New America/Grove Insight (D)
  418. Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research
  419. Public Policy Polling
  420. North Carolina Republican Party/Tel Opinion Research (R)
  421. YouGov
  422. University of North Carolina/High Point University
  423. Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research
  424. Gravis Marketing
  425. Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research
  426. Survey USA
  427. American Research Group
  428. Public Policy Polling
  429. NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College
  430. Civitas Institute/National Research (R)
  431. Purple Strategies Archived 2012-09-21 at the Wayback Machine
  432. "FOX 8/High Point University" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on 2012-10-08. Retrieved 2012-09-21.
  433. YouGov
  434. Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research
  435. Public Policy Polling
  436. Civitas Institute/SurveyUSA
  437. Public Policy Polling
  438. Mason-Dixon Polling & Research
  439. Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research
  440. Forum Communications/Essman Research
  441. Mason-Dixon Polling & Research
  442. North Dakota Democratic-NPL State Party/DFM Research (D)
  443. "Gravis Marketing". Archived from the original on 2012-11-08. Retrieved 2012-11-06.
  444. Reuters/Ipsos
  445. Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research
  446. Public Policy Polling
  447. Angus Reid Public Opinion
  448. Reuters/Ipsos
  449. WCMH-TV Columbus/SurveyUSA
  450. University of Cincinnati
  451. Reuters/Ipsos
  452. YouGov
  453. Columbus Dispatch
  454. USAction/Project New America/Grove Insight (D)
  455. Reuters/Ipsos
  456. Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research
  457. NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College
  458. We Ask America
  459. "CNN/Opinion Research Corporation". Archived from the original on 2016-03-15. Retrieved 2012-11-02.
  460. Citizens United/Wenzel Strategies (R)
  461. Health Care for America Now/Public Policy Polling (D)
  462. University of Cincinnati
  463. Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R) Archived 2014-08-24 at the Wayback Machine
  464. USAction/Project New America/Grove Insight (D)
  465. WCMH-TV Columbus/SurveyUSA
  466. Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research
  467. Pharos Research
  468. Public Policy Polling
  469. CBS News/Quinnipiac University
  470. Gravis Marketing Archived 2012-10-30 at the Wayback Machine
  471. "Americans United for Change/Mellman Group (D)". Archived from the original on 2012-11-03. Retrieved 2012-10-30.
  472. CNN/Opinion Research Corporation
  473. Purple Strategies Archived 2012-10-28 at the Wayback Machine
  474. American Research Group
  475. "TIME/Abt SRBI" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on 2013-01-20. Retrieved 2012-10-24.
  476. Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research
  477. USAction/Lake Research (D) Archived 2013-05-24 at the Wayback Machine
  478. Ohio Newspaper Organization/University of Cincinnati
  479. WCMH-TV Columbus/SurveyUSA
  480. Suffolk University
  481. CBS News/Quinnipiac University
  482. Angus Reid Public Opinion
  483. Public Policy Polling
  484. "Gravis Marketing". Archived from the original on 2012-10-22. Retrieved 2012-10-20.
  485. Fox News/Anderson Robbins/Shaw & Company
  486. Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research
  487. Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R)
  488. WCMH-TV Columbus/SurveyUSA
  489. Public Policy Polling
  490. YouGov
  491. Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research
  492. Gravis Marketing
  493. NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College
  494. Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R)
  495. WCMH-TV Columbus/SurveyUSA
  496. CNN/Opinion Research Corporation
  497. American Research Group
  498. Citizens United/Wenzel Strategies (R)
  499. Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research
  500. Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R)
  501. NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College
  502. Public Policy Polling
  503. Columbus Dispatch
  504. CBS News/New York Times/Quinnipiac University
  505. Washington Post
  506. Capitol Correspondent/Gravis Marketing Archived 2016-03-06 at the Wayback Machine
  507. Purple Strategies Archived 2012-09-21 at the Wayback Machine
  508. Ohio Newspaper Organization/University of Cincinnati
  509. Fox News/Anderson Robbins/Shaw & Company
  510. National Resource Defense Council/Public Policy Polling (D)
  511. "Secure America Now/Caddell Associates/McLaughlin & Associates (R)". Archived from the original on 2016-03-21. Retrieved 2020-12-28.
  512. YouGov
  513. "Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research". Archived from the original on 2016-03-21. Retrieved 2020-12-28.
  514. American Research Group
  515. NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College
  516. Public Policy Polling
  517. Capitol Correspondent/Gravis Marketing
  518. Capitol Correspondent/Gravis Marketing
  519. We Ask America
  520. Gravis Marketing Archived 2016-03-06 at the Wayback Machine
  521. Gravis Marketing Archived 2016-03-06 at the Wayback Machine
  522. SoonerPoll
  523. Public Policy Polling
  524. Elway Research
  525. Hoffman Research
  526. Survey USA
  527. Survey USA
  528. "Gravis Marketing". Archived from the original on 2012-11-09. Retrieved 2012-11-06.
  529. Angus Reid Public Opinion
  530. Public Policy Polling
  531. Morning Call/Muhlenberg College
  532. YouGov
  533. Pittsburgh Tribune-Review/Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc.
  534. Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R)
  535. Franklin & Marshall College
  536. Philadelphia Inquirer/Global Strategy Group/National Research Inc.
  537. Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research
  538. "Gravis Marketing". Archived from the original on 2012-10-25. Retrieved 2012-10-22.
  539. Morning Call/Muhlenberg College
  540. Angus Reid Public Opinion
  541. Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R)
  542. Quinnipiac University
  543. Public Policy Polling
  544. Morning Call/Muhlenberg College
  545. "YouGov". Archived from the original on 2021-06-21. Retrieved 2020-12-28.
  546. Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research
  547. Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R)
  548. Philadelphia Inquirer/Global Strategy Group/National Research Inc.
  549. Siena College
  550. Morning Call/Muhlenberg College
  551. CBS News/New York Times/Quinnipiac University
  552. Franklin and Marshall College
  553. Tribune-Review/Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc.
  554. Mercyhurst University
  555. Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research
  556. We Ask America
  557. National Research Defense Council/Public Policy Polling (D)
  558. Republican State Committee of Pennsylvania/Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. (R)
  559. Morning Call/Muhlenberg College
  560. YouGov
  561. Philadelphia Inquirer/Global Strategy Group/National Research Inc.
  562. Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc.
  563. Republican State Committee of Pennsylvania/Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. (R)
  564. WPRI 12/Fleming & Associates
  565. Brown University
  566. WPRI 12/Fleming & Associates
  567. Nielson Brothers Polling
  568. Nielson Brothers Polling
  569. Nielson Brothers Polling
  570. Nielson Brothers Polling
  571. YouGov
  572. Middle Tennessee State University
  573. YouGov
  574. YouGov
  575. YouGov
  576. University of Texas at Austin/Texas Tribune/YouGov
  577. YouGov
  578. Texas Lyceum
  579. Wilson Perkins Allen Opinion Research
  580. KSL-TV/Deseret News/Dan Jones & Associates
  581. Brigham Young University/Key Research
  582. InsiderAdvantage
  583. Reuters/Ipsos
  584. Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research
  585. Public Policy Polling
  586. Reuters/Ipsos
  587. Reuters/Ipsos
  588. YouGov
  589. NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College
  590. Reuters/Ipsos
  591. Americans United for Change/Mellman Group (D)
  592. We Ask America
  593. Reuters/Ipsos
  594. Health Care for America Now/Public Policy Polling (D)
  595. Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R)
  596. CBS News/New York Times/Quinnipiac University
  597. Priorities USA Action/Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group (D)
  598. Gravis Marketing Archived 2012-10-30 at the Wayback Machine
  599. Roanoke College
  600. The Washington Post
  601. Purple Strategies Archived 2012-10-28 at the Wayback Machine
  602. Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research
  603. Fox News/Anderson Robbins/Shaw & Company
  604. Health Care for America Now/Public Policy Polling (D)
  605. Americans United for Change/Mellman Group (D)
  606. Health Care for America Now/Public Policy Polling (D)
  607. Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research
  608. Virginian-Pilot/Old Dominion University Archived 2012-10-25 at the Wayback Machine
  609. League of Conservation Voters/Public Policy Polling (D)
  610. Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R)
  611. American Research Group
  612. Kimball Political Consulting
  613. YouGov
  614. Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research
  615. McLaughlin & Associates (R)
  616. NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College
  617. CBS News/New York Times/Quinnipiac University
  618. Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R)
  619. Public Policy Polling
  620. Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research
  621. Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R)
  622. NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College
  623. Roanoke College
  624. American Research Group
  625. National Research Defense Council/Public Policy Polling (D)
  626. Purple Strategies Archived 2012-09-21 at the Wayback Machine
  627. Fox News/Anderson Robbins/Shaw & Company
  628. CBS News/New York Times/Quinnipiac University
  629. Public Policy Polling
  630. Washington Post
  631. YouGov
  632. Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research
  633. NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College
  634. Gravis Marketing
  635. We Ask America
  636. We Ask America
  637. NBC 12 (WWBT-Richmond)/Suffolk University Archived 2012-10-01 at the Wayback Machine
  638. Citizens United/Wenzel Strategies (R)
  639. YouGov
  640. Public Policy Polling
  641. KING-TV Seattle/SurveyUSA
  642. KCTS9/University of Washington Archived 2012-11-04 at the Wayback Machine
  643. Strategies 360
  644. Washington Conservation Voters/Public Policy Polling (D)
  645. KCTS9/University of Washington
  646. Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research
  647. KING-TV Seattle/SurveyUSA
  648. YouGov
  649. KING-TV Seattle/SurveyUSA
  650. Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research
  651. Gravis Marketing
  652. YouGov
  653. Elway Research
  654. Washington Conservation Voters/Public Policy Polling (D)
  655. KING-TV Seattle/SurveyUSA
  656. Public Policy Polling
  657. Angus Reid Public Opinion
  658. YouGov
  659. USAction/Project New America/Grove Insight (D)
  660. We Ask America
  661. Citizens United/Wenzel Strategies (R)
  662. Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R)
  663. Health Care for America Now/Public Policy Polling (D)
  664. Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research
  665. NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College
  666. St. Norbert College
  667. Marquette Law School
  668. Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research
  669. Project New America/Grove Insight (D)
  670. Health Care for America Now/Public Policy Polling (D)
  671. Angus Reid Public Opinion
  672. Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research
  673. Project New America/Grove Insight (D)
  674. Mason-Dixon Polling & Research
  675. NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College
  676. Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R)
  677. Marquette Law School
  678. YouGov
  679. CBS News/New York Times/Quinnipiac University
  680. Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research
  681. Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R)
  682. Public Policy Polling
  683. Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R)
  684. JZ Analytics
  685. Marquette Law School
  686. Public Policy Polling
  687. NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College
  688. Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research
  689. CBS News/New York Times/Quinnipiac University
  690. Marquette Law School
  691. YouGov
  692. Democracy for America/Public Policy Polling (D)
  693. We Ask America