Opinion polling: Obama vs Romney Sample size key:
LV – Likely Voters
Poll source key
(R) – Source polls normally for Republicans
11 electoral votes Republican in 2004 ) 55%–44% Republican in 2008 ) 53%–45%
Poll source Date administered Democrat %Republican %Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error Public Policy Polling November 2–3, 2012 Obama 46% Romney 53% 7 1080 LV ±3.0% YouGov October 31–November 3, 2012 Obama 44% Romney 52% 8 702 LV ±4.1% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 21, 2012 Obama 44% Romney 52% 8 500 LV ±4.5% YouGov October 4–11, 2012 Obama 43% Romney 52% 9 469 LV ±5.4% Behavior Research Center (Rocky Mountain Poll) October 4–10, 2012 Obama 44% Romney 42% 2 523 LV ±4.4% Public Policy Polling October 1–3, 2012 Obama 44% Romney 53% 9 595 LV ±4.0% Moore Information/HighGround (R) Archived 2012-10-03 at the Wayback Machine September 25–26, 2012 Obama 42% Romney 46% 4 500 LV ±4% Rasmussen Reports September 25, 2012 Obama 42% Romney 52% 10 500 LV ±4.5% Purple Strategies September 15–19, 2012 Obama 45% Romney 48% 3 600 LV ±4.0% YouGov September 7–14, 2012 Obama 41% Romney 51% 10 628 LV Not reported Public Policy Polling September 7–9, 2012 Obama 44% Romney 53% 9 993 ±3.1%
55 electoral votes Democratic in 2004 ) 54%–45% Democratic in 2008 ) 61%–37%
Poll source Date administered Democrat %Republican %Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error YouGov October 31 – November 3, 2012 Obama 55% Romney 40% 15 1,575 LV Not reported Field Research October 17–30, 2012 Obama 54% Romney 39% 15 1,566 LV ±2.6% CBRT/Pepperdine University/M4 Strategies October 21–28, 2012 Obama 55.9% Romney 33% 22.9 2,115 LV ±3% USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times/Greenberg Quinlan Rosner/American Viewpoint October 15–21, 2012 Obama 55% Romney 38% 17 1,400 LV Not reported Public Policy Institute of California October 14–21, 2012 Obama 53% Romney 41% 12 993 LV ±4.0% Reason-Rupe Public Opinion/Princeton Survey Research Associates International October 11–15, 2012 Obama 53% Romney 38% 15 508 LV ±5.1% YouGov October 4–11, 2012 Obama 58% Romney 39% 19 1169 LV ±3.5% CBRT/Pepperdine University/M4 Strategies October 7–10, 2012 Obama 54% Romney 32.9% 21.1 830 LV ±3.4% SurveyUSA October 7–9, 2012 Obama 53% Romney 39% 14 539 LV ±4.3% Field Research Corporation/UC Berkeley (Field Poll) September 5 – 17, 2012 Obama 58% Romney 34% 24 848 LV ±3.4% Public Policy Institute of California September 9 – 16, 2012 Obama 53% Romney 39% 14 995 LV ±4.4% YouGov September 7 – 14, 2012 Obama 56% Romney 39% 17 1,361 LV Not reported CBRT/Pepperdine University/M4 Strategies September 9–12, 2012 Obama 55.4% Romney 33.4% 22 802 LV ±3.5% SurveyUSA September 9–11, 2012 Obama 57% Romney 35% 22 524 LV ±4.3%
9 electoral votes Republican in 2004 ) 52%–47% Democratic in 2008 ) 54%–45%
Poll source Date administered Democrat %Republican %Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error Reuters/Ipsos November 3–5, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 47% 1 774 LV ±4% Public Policy Polling November 3–4, 2012 Obama 52% Romney 46% 6 1,096 LV ±3% Keating Research/OnSight Public Affairs November 2–4, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 46% 4 603 LV ±4% Reuters/Ipsos November 2–4, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 48% Tied 676 LV ±4.3% USAction/Lake Research Partners (D) October 31–November 4, 2012 Obama 45% Romney 44% 1 400 LV ±5% Reuters/Ipsos November 1–3, 2012 Obama 45% Romney 47% 2 973 LV ±3.6% YouGov October 31 – November 3, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 47% 1 752 LV ±4.1% Reuters/Ipsos October 31 – November 2, 2012 Obama 46% Romney 46% Tied 1,052 LV ±3.4% League of Conservation Voters/Public Policy Polling (D) October 31 – November 1, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 46% 4 825 LV Not reported Reuters/Ipsos October 30 – November 1, 2012 Obama 46% Romney 47% 1 694 LV ±4.2% Denver Post/SurveyUSA October 28–31, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 45% 2 695 LV ±3.8% CNN/Opinion Research Corporation October 26–31, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 48% 2 764 LV ±3.5% Reuters/Ipsos October 29–31, 2012 Obama 45% Romney 46% 1 744 LV ±4.1% We Ask America October 30, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 47% 3 1,246 LV ±2.9% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 29, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 50% 3 500 LV ±4.5% Project New America/Grove Insight (D) October 28–29, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 45% 3 500 LV ±4.4% American Research Group October 25–28, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 48% 1 600 LV ±4.0% Public Policy Polling October 23–25, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 47% 4 904 LV ±3.3% Purple Strategies Archived 2012-10-28 at the Wayback Machine October 23–25, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 46% 1 600 LV ±4.0% Keating Research/OnSight Public Affairs October 23–24, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 45% 3 502 LV ±4.4% NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College October 23–24, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 48% Tied 1,128 LV ±2.9% Project New America/Grove Insight (D) October 23–24, 2012 Obama 46% Romney 43% 3 500 LV ±4.4% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 21, 2012 Obama 46% Romney 50% 4 500 LV ±4.0% Public Policy Polling October 16–18, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 47% 3 1000 LV ±3.1% Project New America/Grove Insight (D) October 15–16, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 44% 3 500 LV ±4.4% We Ask America October 15, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 48% 1 1,206 LV ±2.9% Gravis Marketing October 5–11, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 46% 2 2,089 LV ±2.2% Denver Post/SurveyUSA October 9–10, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 48% 1 614 LV ±4.0% New York Times/CBS News/Quinnipiac University October 4–9, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 48% 1 1,254 LV ±3.0% American Research Group October 5–8, 2012 Obama 46% Romney 50% 4 600 LV ±4.0% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 7, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 48% 1 500 LV ±4.5% University Of Denver/Selzer & Co. October 4–5, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 43% 4 604 LV ±4.0% American Conservative Union/McLaughlin & Associates (R) Archived 2013-01-13 at the Wayback Machine September 30 – October 2, 2012 Obama 46% Romney 50% 4 300 LV ±5.7% We Ask America September 25 – 27, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 46% 3 1,273 LV ±2.8% Public Policy Polling September 20–23, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 45% 6 940 LV ±3.2% Purple Strategies Archived 2012-09-21 at the Wayback Machine September 15 – 19, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 45% 3 600 LV ±4.0% NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College September 16–18, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 45% 5 971 LV ±3.1% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research September 17, 2012 Obama 45% Romney 47% 2 500 LV ±4.5% New York Times/CBS News/Quinnipiac University Archived 2012-09-19 at the Wayback Machine September 11–17, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 47% 1 1,497 LV ±2.5% American Research Group September 10–12, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 47% 2 600 LV ±4.0% Project New America/Keating Research/OnSight Public Affairs (D) September 10–11, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 44% 5 503 LV ±4.4% Public Policy Polling August 31 – September 2, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 46% 3 1,001 LV ±3.1%
Three way race
7 electoral votes Democratic in 2004 ) 54%–44% Democratic in 2008 ) 61%–38%
Poll source Date administered Democrat %Republican %Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error YouGov October 31 – November 3, 2012 Obama 54% Romney 39% 15 895 LV ±3.6% Public Policy Polling November 1 – 2, 2012 Obama 55% Romney 42% 13 1,220 LV ±2.8% Quinnipiac University October 19–22, 2012 Obama 55% Romney 41% 14 1,412 LV ±2.6% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 21, 2012 Obama 52% Romney 45% 7 500 LV ±4.5% SurveyUSA October 19–21, 2012 Obama 53% Romney 40% 13 575 LV ±4.2% League of Conservation Voters/Public Policy Polling (D) October 15–16, 2012 Obama 53% Romney 44% 9 1,015 LV ±3.1% University of Connecticut/Hartford Courant October 11–16, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 37% 14 574 LV ±4.0% Siena College Research Institute October 4–14, 2012 Obama 53% Romney 38% 15 552 LV ±4.2% YouGov October 4–11, 2012 Obama 53% Romney 39% 14 434 LV ±5.5% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 7, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 45% 6 500 LV ±4.5% Quinnipiac University Archived 2012-10-04 at the Wayback Machine September 28 – October 2, 2012 Obama 54% Romney 42% 12 1,696 LV ±2.4% Public Policy Polling September 24 – 26, 2012 Obama 54% Romney 41% 13 801 LV ±3.5% University of Connecticut/Hartford Courant Archived 2012-10-24 at the Wayback Machine September 11 – 16, 2012 Obama 53% Romney 32% 21 508 LV ±4.4% YouGov September 7 – 14, 2012 Obama 53% Romney 40% 13 634 LV Not reported
29 electoral votes Republican in 2004 ) 52%–47% Democratic in 2008 ) 51%–48%
Poll source Date administered Democrat %Republican %Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error Gravis Marketing November 4–5, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 49% Tied 1,060 LV ±3.1% Reuters/Ipsos November 3–5, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 48% 1 769 LV ±4% Florida Times-Union/Insider Advantage November 4, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 52% 5 437 LV ±4.6% Public Policy Polling November 3–4, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 49% 1 955 LV ±3.2% Reuters/Ipsos November 2–4, 2012 Obama 46% Romney 46% Tied 743 LV ±4.1% Angus Reid Public Opinion November 1–3, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 49% Tied 525 LV ±4.3% Reuters/Ipsos November 1–3, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 47% Tied 946 LV ±3.6% YouGov October 31 – November 3, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 48% 1 1,621 LV ±3% Reuters/Ipsos October 31 – November 2, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 46% 2 985 LV ±3.6% Americans United for Change/Mellman Group (D) October 30 – November 2, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 45% 2 800 LV ±3.4% NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College October 30 – November 1, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 47% 2 1,545 LV ±2.5% Mason-Dixon Polling & Research October 30 – November 1, 2012 Obama 45% Romney 51% 6 800 LV ±3.5% We Ask America October 30, 2012 Obama 48.9% Romney 49.8% 0.9 1,146 LV ±3% Gravis Marketing Archived 2012-11-03 at the Wayback Machine October 30, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 50% 3 549 LV ±4.2% Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R) October 29, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 50% 2 1,000 LV ±3% USAction/Project New America/Grove Insight (D) October 28–29, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 47% 1 600 LV ±4% Public Policy Polling October 26–28, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 48% 1 687 LV ±3.7% CNN/Opinion Research Corporation October 25–28, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 50% 1 770 LV ±3.5% CBS News/New York Times/Quinnipiac University October 23–28, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 47% 1 1,073 LV ±3% WFLA-TV Tampa/SurveyUSA October 25–27, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 47% Tied 595 LV ±4.1% Americans United for Change/Mellman Group (D) October 24–27, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 47% 2 800 LV ±3.4% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 25, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 50% 2 750 LV ±4.0% Gravis Marketing October 24, 2012 Obama 48.8% Romney 49.7% 0.9 1,182 LV ±2.8% Project New America/Grove Insight (D) October 23–24, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 45% 2 600 LV ±4.0% Sunshine State News/Voter Survey Service October 22–24, 2012 Obama 46% Romney 51% 5 1,001 LV ±3.1% Americans United for Change/Mellman Group (D) October 18–21, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 47% Tied 800 LV ±3.4% Angus Reid Public Opinion October 18–20, 2012 Obama 46% Romney 51% 5 502 LV ±4.5% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 18, 2012 Obama 46% Romney 51% 5 750 LV ±4.0% Fox News/Anderson Robbins/Shaw & Company October 17–18, 2012 Obama 45% Romney 48% 3 1,130 LV ±3.0% WFLA-TV Tampa/SurveyUSA October 17–18, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 46% 1 600 LV ±4.1% WPTV News/Scripps Treasure Coast Newspapers/Public Policy Polling October 17–18, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 48% 1 800 LV ±4% Project New America/Grove Insight (D) October 17–18, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 45% 3 600 LV ±4.0% CNN/Opinion Research Corporation October 17–18, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 49% 1 681 LV ±4.0% Gravis Marketing October 13–14, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 49% 1 617 LV ±4.0% Public Policy Polling October 12–14, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 49% 1 791 LV ±3.4% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 11, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 51% 4 750 LV ±4.0% American Research Group October 8–11, 2012 Obama 46% Romney 49% 3 600 LV ±4.0% YouGov October 4–11, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 47% 1 1,244 LV ±4.0% Mason-Dixon Polling & Research Archived 2012-10-13 at the Wayback Machine October 8–10, 2012 Obama 44% Romney 51% 7 800 LV ±3.5% NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College October 7–9, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 47% 1 988 ±3.1% University of North Florida October 1–9, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 45% 4 653 LV Not reported We Ask America October 4, 2012 Obama 46% Romney 49% 3 1,200 LV ±3.0% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 4, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 49% 2 500 LV ±4.5% NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College September 30 – October 1, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 46% 1 1,191 LV ±3.3% Gravis Marketing September 29 – 30, 2012 Obama 49.03% Romney 48.42% 0.61 914 LV ±3.4% WSVN-TV Miami/Suffolk University September 27 – 30, 2012 Obama 46% Romney 43% 3 600 LV ±4.0% Southern Political Report/Florida Times-Union/InsiderAdvantage September 24, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 46% 3 540 LV ±4.0% CBS News/New York Times/Quinnipiac University September 18 – 24, 2012 Obama 53% Romney 44% 9 1,196 LV ±3.0% Washington Post September 19–23, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 47% 4 769 LV ±4.5% Public Policy Polling September 20–23, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 46% 4 861 LV ±3.3% American Research Group September 20–22, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 45% 5 600 LV ±4% Miami Herald/Mason-Dixon Polling & Research September 17–19, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 47% 1 800 LV ±3.5% Purple Strategies Archived 2012-09-21 at the Wayback Machine September 15 – 19, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 48% 1 600 LV ±4.0% Fox News/Anderson Robbins/Shaw & Company September 16–18, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 44% 5 829 LV ±3.0% Capitol Correspondent/Gravis Marketing September 15–16, 2012 Obama 47.1% Romney 47.7% 0.6 1,728 LV ±2.5% YouGov September 7–14, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 47% 2 1,415 LV Not reported Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research September 12, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 46% 2 500 LV ±4.5% Secure America Now/Caddell Associates/McLaughlin & Associates (R) September 8–12, 2012 Obama 44% Romney 48% 4 600 LV ±4.0% NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College September 9–11, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 44% 5 980 LV ±3.1% Consensus Communications/OnSight Inc. (R) September 8–11, 2012 Obama 42% Romney 42% Tied 606 LV ±4.0% Associated Industries of Florida/McLaughlin & Associates (R) September 9–10, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 50% 3 600 LV ±4.0% WFLA-TV Tampa/SurveyUSA September 7–9, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 44% 4 596 LV ±4.1% Capitol Correspondent/Gravis Marketing September 2, 2012 Obama 46.7% Romney 48% 1.3 1,288 LV ±2.7% Public Policy Polling August 31 – September 2, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 47% 1 1,548 LV ±2.5%
Three-way race
Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Lead Margin Sample Size Margin of error We Ask America September 18, 2012 Barack Obama 49.1% Mitt Romney 45.5% Gary Johnson 1.3% 3.6% 1,230 LV ±2.82%
20 electoral votes Democratic in 2004 ) 55%–45% Democratic in 2008 ) 62%–37%
Poll source Date administered Democrat %Republican %Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error YouGov October 31 – November 3, 2012 Obama 57% Romney 38% 19 1,126 LV ±3.3% We Ask America October 30, 2012 Obama 57% Romney 41% 16 1,198 LV ±2.95% YouGov October 4–11, 2012 Obama 58% Romney 38% 20 850 LV ±3.9% WGN-TV/Chicago Tribune October 4–8, 2012 Obama 55% Romney 36% 19 700 RV ±3.7% YouGov September 7–14, 2012 Obama 59% Romney 36% 23 1,086 LV Not reported We Ask America Archived 2012-12-01 at the Wayback Machine September 5, 2012 Obama 54% Romney 37% 17 1,382 LV ±2.8%
6 electoral votes Republican in 2004 ) 50%–49% Democratic in 2008 ) 54%–44%
Poll source Date administered Democrat %Republican %Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error Public Policy Polling November 3–4, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 48% 2 1,122 LV ±2.9% American Research Group November 2–4, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 49% 1 600 LV ±4% YouGov October 31 – November 3, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 47% 1 1,040 LV ±3.5% USAction/Project New America/Grove Insight (D) November 1–2, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 44% 3 500 LV ±4.4% Des Moines Register/Selzer & Co. October 30 – November 2, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 42% 5 800 LV ±3.5% Gravis Marketing November 1, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 45% 4 594 LV ±4.0% Americans United for Change/Mellman Group (D) October 30 – November 1, 2012 Obama 46% Romney 44% 2 600 LV ±4.0% We Ask America October 30, 2012 Obama 48.8% Romney 47.3% 1.5 1,174 LV ±3.0% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 30, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 49% 1 750 LV ±4% Public Policy Polling October 29–30, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 45% 5 676 LV ±3.8% NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College October 28–29, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 44% 6 1,142 LV ±3% University of Iowa October 18–27, 2012 Obama 44.4% Romney 45.2% 0.8 320 LV ±5.6% Gravis Marketing October 24, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 46% 4 517 LV ±4.3% Public Policy Polling October 23–24, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 47% 2 690 LV ±3.7% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 21, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 48% Tied 500 LV ±4.5% Health Care for America Now/Public Policy Polling (D) October 18–19, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 48% 1 660 LV ±3.8% Public Policy Polling October 17–19, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 49% 1 869 LV ±3.3% NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College October 15–17, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 43% 8 1,137 LV ±2.9% We Ask America October 15, 2012 Obama 48.7% Romney 45.9% 2.8 1,499 LV ±2.6% American Research Group October 11–14, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 48% Tied 600 LV ±4.0% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 7, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 47% 2 500 LV ±4.5% We Ask America September 25–27, 2012 Obama 47.5% Romney 43.7% 3.8 1,064 LV ±3.1% Public Policy Polling September 24–26, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 44% 7 754 LV ±3.6% American Research Group September 20 – 23, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 44% 7 600 LV ±4.0% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research September 19, 2012 Obama 44% Romney 47% 3 500 LV ±4.5% NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College September 16–18, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 42% 8 898 LV ±3.3%
11 electoral votes Democratic in 2004 ) 62%–37% Democratic in 2008 ) 62%–36%
Poll source Date administered Democrat %Republican %Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error The Boston Herald/University of Massachusetts Lowell October 31 – November 3, 2012 Obama 57% Romney 37% 20 800 LV ±4.1% YouGov October 31 – November 3, 2012 Obama 57% Romney 37% 20 811 LV ±3.6% Public Policy Polling November 1 – 2, 2012 Obama 57% Romney 42% 15 1,089 LV ±3% MassLive.com/Western New England University October 26 – November 1, 2012 Obama 58% Romney 40% 18 535 LV ±4% Suffolk University Archived 2012-11-03 at the Wayback Machine October 25 – 28, 2012 Obama 63% Romney 31% 32 600 LV ±4.0% Boston Globe/University of New Hampshire October 24 – 28, 2012 Obama 52% Romney 38% 14 583 LV ±4.1% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 25, 2012 Obama 59% Romney 40% 19 500 LV ±4.5% WBUR/MassINC Polling Group Archived 2012-10-29 at the Wayback Machine October 21 – 22, 2012 Obama 56% Romney 36% 20 516 LV ±4.4% Kimball Political Consulting [ permanent dead link ] October 18 – 21, 2012 Obama 55% Romney 39% 16 761 LV ±3.48% League of Conservation Voters/Public Policy Polling (D) October 15 – 16, 2012 Obama 57% Romney 39% 18 709 LV ±3.7% Public Policy Polling October 9 – 11, 2012 Obama 55% Romney 41% 14 1,051 LV ±3.0% YouGov October 4–11, 2012 Obama 55% Romney 36% 19 669 LV ±4.9% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 10, 2012 Obama 57% Romney 42% 15 500 LV ±4.5% University of Massachusetts Amherst/YouGov October 2 – 8, 2012 Obama 55% Romney 34% 21 437 LV ±5.4% WBUR/MassINC Polling Group Archived 2012-10-21 at the Wayback Machine October 5 – 7, 2012 Obama 52% Romney 36% 16 501 LV ±4.4% Western New England University September 28 – October 4, 2012 Obama 63% Romney 33% 30 516 RV ±4.3% WBUR/MassINC Polling Group Archived 2013-01-14 at the Wayback Machine September 26 – 28, 2012 Obama 60% Romney 32% 28 504 LV ±4.4% Mass Insight Global Partnerships/Opinion Dynamics Corporation September 25–30, 2012 Obama 60% Romney 34% 26 405 RV ±4.6% Boston Globe/University of New Hampshire Archived 2013-04-24 at the Wayback Machine September 21 – 27, 2012 Obama 57% Romney 30% 27 502 LV ±4.4% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research September 24, 2012 Obama 55% Romney 40% 15 500 LV ±4.5% The Boston Herald/University of Massachusetts Lowell September 13 – 17, 2012 Obama 60% Romney 36% 24 497 LV ±5.5% Public Policy Polling September 13 – 16, 2012 Obama 57% Romney 39% 18 876 LV ±3.3% Suffolk University Archived 2012-09-20 at the Wayback Machine September 13 – 16, 2012 Obama 64% Romney 31% 33 600 LV ±4.0% YouGov September 7–14, 2012 Obama 55% Romney 39% 16 825 LV Not reported MassLive.com/Western New England University September 6 – 13, 2012 Obama 60% Romney 38% 22 444 LV ±4.6% Kimball Political Consulting September 7 – 9, 2012 Obama 56% Romney 40% 16 756 LV ±3.5%
16 electoral votes Democratic in 2004 ) 51%–48% Democratic in 2008 ) 57%–41%
Poll source Date administered Democrat %Republican %Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error Mitchell Research & Communications November 4, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 46% 5 1,305 LV ±2.7% Angus Reid Public Opinion November 1 – 3, 2012 Obama 52% Romney 47% 5 502 LV ±4.4% Public Policy Polling November 1 – 3, 2012 Obama 52% Romney 46% 6 700 LV ±3.7% YouGov October 31 – November 3, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 44% 7 1,091 LV ±3.3% Fox 2 News Detroit/Foster McCollum White & Associates/Baydoun Consulting November 2, 2012 Obama 46.24% Romney 46.86% 0.62 1,913 LV ±2.24% Rasmussen Reports November 1, 2012 Obama 52% Romney 47% 5 750 LV ±4% USAction/Project New America/Grove Insight (D) October 31 – November 1, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 41% 7 500 LV ±4.4% League of Conservation Voters/Public Policy Polling (D) October 31 – November 1, 2012 Obama 52% Romney 46% 6 500 LV ±4.4% Health Care for America Now/Public Policy Polling (D) October 30–31, 2012 Obama 53% Romney 45% 8 500 LV ±4.4% Detroit News/Glengariff Group [ permanent dead link ] October 27–29, 2012 Obama 47.7% Romney 45% 2.7 600 LV ±4% EPIC-MRA October 26–29, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 42% 6 600 LV ±4% Fox 2 News Detroit/Foster McCollum White & Associates/Baydoun Consulting October 22–23, 2012 Obama 46.92% Romney 46.56% 0.36 1,122 LV ±2.9% Angus Reid Public Opinion October 18–20, 2012 Obama 52% Romney 43% 9 551 LV ±4.2% EPIC-MRA October 17, 2012 Obama 52% Romney 46% 6 800 LV ±3.5% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 11, 2012 Obama 52% Romney 45% 7 500 LV ±4.5% YouGov October 4–11, 2012 Obama 52% Romney 42% 10 895 LV ±3.9% Lambert, Edwards & Associates/Denno Research October 9–10, 2012 Obama 44.2% Romney 40.5% 3.7 600 LV ±4.0% Detroit News/Glengariff Group [ permanent dead link ] October 6 – 8, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 42% 7 600 LV ±4.0% Capitol CorrespondentGravis Marketing October 5 – 8, 2012 Obama 46% Romney 44% 2 1,122 LV ±3.2% EPIC-MRA October 4 – 6, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 45% 3 600 LV ±4.0% Fox 2 News Detroit/Foster McCollum White/Baydoun Consulting October 5, 2012 Obama 49.3% Romney 45.85% 3.45 1,122 LV ±2.93% We Ask America September 25 – 27, 2012 Obama 52% Romney 39.9% 12.1 1,064 LV ±3.1% Capitol Correspondent/Gravis Marketing September 21 – 22, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 46.2% 3.8 804 LV ±3.3% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research September 20, 2012 Obama 54% Romney 42% 12 500 LV ±4.5% National Resource Defense Council/Public Policy Polling (D) September 17–19, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 42% 9 1021 LV ±3.1% CNN/Opinion Research Corporation September 14–18, 2012 Obama 52% Romney 44% 8 754 LV ±3.5% Detroit News/Glengariff Group Archived 2012-10-08 at the Wayback Machine September 15–17, 2012 Obama 52% Romney 38% 14 600 LV ±4% Marketing Resource Group September 10–14, 2012 Obama 47.5% Romney 42.3% 5.2 600 LV ±4.0% YouGov September 7–14, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 42% 9 1114 LV Not reported Foster McCollum White/Baydoun & Associates September 12, 2012 Obama 45.49% Romney 43.65% 1.84 1,156 LV ±2.88% EPIC-MRA Archived 2012-09-17 at the Wayback Machine September 8–11, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 37% 10 600 LV ±4.0% Public Policy Polling August 31 – September 2, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 44% 7 815 LV ±3.4%
10 electoral votes Democratic in 2004 ) 51%–48% Democratic in 2008 ) 54%–44%
Poll source Date administered Democrat %Republican %Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error Public Policy Polling November 2–3, 2012 Obama 53% Romney 45% 8 1,164 LV ±2.9% KSTP-TV Minneapolis/SurveyUSA Archived 2012-11-08 at the Wayback Machine November 1–3, 2012 Obama 52% Romney 41% 11 556 LV ±4.2% YouGov October 31 – November 3, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 43% 7 790 LV ±3.8% League of Conservation Voters/Public Policy Polling (D) October 31 – November 1, 2012 Obama 53% Romney 44% 9 772 LV Not reported American Future Fund/NMB Research (R) October 29–31, 2012 Obama 45% Romney 46% 1 500 LV ±4.38% KSTP-TV Minneapolis/Survey USA Archived 2016-03-04 at the Wayback Machine October 26–28, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 43% 7 574 LV ±4.2% Star Tribune Minnesota/Mason-Dixon Polling & Research October 23–25, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 44% 3 800 LV ±3.5% St. Cloud State University October 15–21, 2012 Obama 53% Romney 45% 8 601 LV ±5% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 21, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 46% 5 500 LV ±4.5% KSTP-TV Minneapolis/SurveyUSA Archived 2012-10-21 at the Wayback Machine October 12 – 14, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 40% 10 550 LV ±4.3% YouGov October 4 – 11, 2012 Obama 52% Romney 44% 8 683 LV ±4.2% American Future Fund/NMB Research (R) October 7 – 8, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 43% 4 500 LV ±4.38% Public Policy Polling October 5–8, 2012 Obama 53% Romney 43% 10 937 LV ±3.2% Star Tribune Minnesota/Mason-Dixon Polling & Research September 10–11, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 44% 7 824 LV ±3.4% KSTP-TV Minneapolis/SurveyUSA Archived 2012-09-13 at the Wayback Machine September 6–9, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 40% 10 551 LV ±4.3%
10 electoral votes Republican in 2004 ) 53%–46% Republican in 2008 ) 49%–49%
Poll source Date administered Democrat %Republican %Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error Public Policy Polling November 2–3, 2012 Obama 45% Romney 53% 8 835 LV ±3.4% YouGov October 31 – November 3, 2012 Obama 42% Romney 53% 11 779 LV ±3.8% KSDK-TV St. Louis/KSHB-TV Kansas City/KSPR-TV Springfield/KYTV-TV Springfield/Survey USA October 28 – November 3, 2012 Obama 43% Romney 50% 7 589 LV ±4.1% We Ask America October 30, 2012 Obama 42.2% Romney 53.8% 11.6 1,217 LV ±2.9% Saint Louis Post-Dispatch/Mason-Dixon Polling & Research October 23 – 25, 2012 Obama 41% Romney 54% 13 624 LV ±4% Public Policy Polling October 19 – 21, 2012 Obama 46% Romney 52% 6 582 LV ±4.1% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 12 – 13, 2012 Obama 43% Romney 54% 11 500 LV ±4.5% Wenzel Strategies October 12 – 13, 2012 Obama 41.1% Romney 54.9% 13.8 1,000 LV ±3.07% Public Policy Polling October 1 – 3, 2012 Obama 45% Romney 51% 6 700 LV ±3.7% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 2, 2012 Obama 46% Romney 49% 3 500 LV ±4.5% We Ask America September 25 – 27, 2012 Obama 44.5% Romney 47.7% 3.2 1,145 LV ±2.9% Missouri Scout/Chilenski Strategies Archived 2013-05-23 at the Wayback Machine September 20, 2012 Obama 44% Romney 50% 6 817 LV ±3.4% YouGov September 7 – 14, 2012 Obama 43% Romney 50% 7 734 LV Not reported Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research September 11, 2012 Obama 45% Romney 48% 3 500 LV ±4.5%
3 electoral votes Republican in 2004 ) 59%–39% Republican in 2008 ) 49%–47%
Poll source Date administered Democrat %Republican %Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error Public Policy Polling November 2–3, 2012 Obama 45% Romney 52% 7 836 LV ±3.4% Billings Gazette/Mason-Dixon Polling & Research October 29–31, 2012 Obama 43% Romney 53% 10 625 LV ±4% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 29, 2012 Obama 43% Romney 53% 10 500 LV ±4.5% Public Policy Polling October 15 – 16, 2012 Obama 43% Romney 53% 10 806 LV ±3.5% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 14, 2012 Obama 45% Romney 53% 8 500 LV ±4.5% Public Policy Polling October 8 – 10, 2012 Obama 41% Romney 52% 11 737 LV ±3.6% Montana Jobs, Energy, and Technology/Mellman Group (D) September 23 – 26, 2012 Obama 44% Romney 48% 4 600 LV ±4% Public Policy Polling September 10–11, 2012 Obama 45% Romney 50% 5 656 LV ±3.8%
Three way race
6 electoral votes Republican in 2004 ) 51%–48% Democratic in 2008 ) 55%–43%
Poll source Date administered Democrat %Republican %Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error Public Policy Polling November 3–4, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 47% 4 750 LV ±3.6% YouGov October 31 – November 3, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 45% 4 732 LV ±4.1% Americans United for Change/Mellman Group (D) October 29–31, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 44% 6 600 LV ±4% Los Vegas Review Journal/SurveyUSA October 23–29, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 46% 4 1,212 LV ±2.9% USAction/Project New America/Grove Insight (D) October 27–28, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 43% 6 500 LV ±4.4% Gravis Marketing October 24, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 49% 1 955 LV ±3.2% NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College October 23–24, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 47% 3 1,042 LV ±3% Public Policy Polling October 22–24, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 47% 4 636 LV ±3.9% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 23, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 48% 2 500 LV ±4.5% American Research Group October 19 – 22, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 47% 2 600 LV ±4.0% Americans United for Change/Mellman Group (D) October 15–17, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 43% 8 600 LV ±4.0% Project New America/Grove Insight (D) October 15–16, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 43% 7 500 LV ±4.4% Los Vegas Review Journal/SurveyUSA October 11–15, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 45% 3 806 LV ±3.5% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 15, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 47% 3 500 LV ±4.5% YouGov October 4 – 11, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 45% 5 358 LV ±6.7% Public Policy Polling October 8–10, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 47% 4 594 LV ±4% KSNV-Nevada/Suffolk University Archived 2012-10-14 at the Wayback Machine October 6–9, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 45% 2 500 LV ±4.4% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 8, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 47% Tied 500 LV ±4.5% Las Vegas Review Journal/SurveyUSA October 3–8, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 46% 1 1,222 LV ±2.9% Gravis Marketing October 3, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 48% 1 1,006 LV ±3.1% NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College September 23 – 25, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 47% 2 984 LV ±3.1% American Research Group September 20 – 23, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 44% 7 600 LV ±4.0% Retail Association of Nevada/Public Opinion Strategies (R) September 19 – 20, 2012 Obama 46% Romney 46% Tied 500 LV ±4.4% League of Conservation Voters/Public Policy Polling (D) September 18 – 20, 2012 Obama 52% Romney 43% 9 501 LV ±4.4% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research September 18, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 45% 2 500 LV ±4.5% CNN/Opinion Research Corporation September 14–18, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 46% 3 741 LV ±3.5%
Three way race
4 electoral votes Democratic in 2004 ) 50%–49% Democratic in 2008 ) 54%–45%
Poll source Date administered Democrat %Republican %Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research November 4, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 48% 2 750 LV ±4% New England College November 3–4, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 46% 4 687 LV ±3.7% Public Policy Polling November 3–4, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 48% 2 1,550 LV ±2.5% American Research Group November 2–4, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 49% Tied 600 LV ±4% University of New Hampshire November 1–4, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 48% 3 789 LV ±3.5% YouGov October 31 – November 3, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 43% 4 690 LV ±4.1% WMUR/University of New Hampshire October 31 – November 2, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 48% Tied 502 LV ±4.4% Gravis Marketing November 1, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 49% 1 497 LV ±4.3% New England College October 29–31, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 44% 6 1,017 LV ±3.7% NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College October 28–29, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 47% 2 1,013 LV ±3.1% Public Policy Polling October 26 – 28, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 47% 2 874 LV ±3.3% USAction/Lake Research Partners (D) October 24 – 28, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 42% 5 400 LV ±5% USAction/Project New America/Grove Insight (D) October 24 – 25, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 44% 3 500 LV ±4.4% New England College October 23 – 25, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 46% 3 571 LV ±4.1% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 23, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 50% 2 500 LV ±4.5% American Research Group October 19 – 22, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 49% 2 600 LV ±4.0% USAction/Lake Research Partners (D) October 18 – 22, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 45% 3 400 LV ±4.9% WMUR/University of New Hampshire Archived 2012-11-12 at the Wayback Machine October 17 – 21, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 42% 9 773 LV ±3.5% Public Policy Polling October 17 – 19, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 49% 1 1,036 LV ±3.0% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 15, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 49% 1 500 LV ±4.5% 7 News/Suffolk University October 12 – 14, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 47% Tied 500 LV ±4.4% American Research Group October 9 – 11, 2012 Obama 46% Romney 50% 4 600 LV ±4.0% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 9, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 48% Tied 500 LV ±4.5% WMUR/University of New Hampshire September 30 – October 6, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 44% 6 559 LV ±4.1% WMUR/University of New Hampshire Archived 2012-10-08 at the Wayback Machine September 27 – 30, 2012 Obama 54% Romney 39% 15 600 LV ±4.0% American Research Group September 25 – 27, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 45% 5 600 LV ±4.0% Progressive Change Campaign Committee/Public Policy Polling (D) September 24–25, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 44% 7 862 LV ±3.3% NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College September 23 – 25, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 44% 7 1,012 ±3.1% New Hampshire Democratic Party/Greenberg Quinlan Rosner (D) Archived 2012-09-27 at the Wayback Machine September 15 – 19, 2012 Obama 52% Romney 45% 7 600 LV ±4.9% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research September 18, 2012 Obama 45% Romney 48% 3 500 LV ±4.5% American Research Group September 15–17, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 47% 1 463 LV Not reported YouGov September 7–14, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 42% 6 340 LV Not reported WMUR/University of New Hampshire September 4–10, 2012 Obama 45% Romney 40% 5 592 LV ±4.0%
14 electoral votes Democratic in 2004 ) 52%–46% Democratic in 2008 ) 57%–42%
Poll source Date administered Democrat %Republican %Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error YouGov October 31 – November 3, 2012 Obama 53% Romney 41% 12 987 LV ±3.4% Philadelphia Inquirer/Global Strategy Group/National Research October 23 – 25, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 41% 10 601 LV ±4.0% Quinnipiac University October 10 – 14, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 43% 8 1,319 LV ±2.7% Philadelphia Inquirer/Global Strategy Group/National Research October 4 – 8, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 40% 11 604 LV ±4.0% Rutgers University September 27 – 30, 2012 Obama 56% Romney 39% 17 645 LV ±3.8% Monmouth University September 19 – 23, 2012 Obama 52% Romney 37% 15 613 LV ±4.0% YouGov September 7 – 14, 2012 Obama 52% Romney 40% 12 1,040 LV Not reported Philadelphia Inquirer/Global Strategy Group/National Research September 9–12, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 37% 14 600 LV ±4.0% Quinnipiac University Archived 2012-09-07 at the Wayback Machine August 27 – September 2, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 44% 7 1,471 LV ±2.6%
5 electoral votes Republican in 2004 ) 50%–49% Democratic in 2008 ) 57%–42%
Poll source Date administered Democrat %Republican %Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error YouGov October 31 – November 3, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 43% 6 650 LV Not reported Public Opinion Strategies (R) October 30–31, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 41% 8 500 LV ±4.38% Albuquerque Journal/Research & Polling Inc. October 23–25, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 41% 9 662 LV ±3.8% Public Policy Polling October 23–24, 2012 Obama 53% Romney 44% 9 727 LV Not reported Public Opinion Strategies (R) [usurped] October 21–22, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 42% 5 500 LV ±4.38% Albuquerque Journal/Research & Polling Inc. October 9–10, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 39% 10 658 LV ±3.8% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 8, 2012 Obama 54% Romney 43% 11 500 LV ±4.5% League of Conservation Voters/Public Policy Polling (D) October 2–3, 2012 Obama 52% Romney 43% 9 778 LV Not reported Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research September 27, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 40% 11 500 LV ±4.5% Public Opinion Strategies (R) September 25–27, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 40% 7 500 LV ±4.38% NRDC Action Fund/Public Policy Polling (D) Archived 2012-10-08 at the Wayback Machine September 17 – 20, 2012 Obama 52% Romney 43% 9 3,111 LV ±1.8% YouGov September 7–14, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 43% 8 293 LV Not reported League of Conservation Voters/Public Policy Polling (D) September 7–9, 2012 Obama 53% Romney 42% 11 1,122 LV ±2.9% Albuquerque Journal/Research & Polling Inc. September 3–6, 2012 Obama 45% Romney 40% 5 667 LV ±3.8%
Three way race
15 electoral votes Republican in 2004 ) 56%–44% Democratic in 2008 ) 50%–49%
Poll source Date administered Democrat %Republican %Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error Gravis Marketing November 4, 2012 Obama 46% Romney 50% 4 1,130 LV ±2.9% Public Policy Polling November 3–4, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 49% Tied 926 LV ±3.2% YouGov October 31 – November 3, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 49% 2 1,500 LV ±2.8% Public Policy Polling October 29 – 31, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 49% Tied 730 LV ±3.6% High Point University October 22–30, 2012 Obama 45% Romney 46% 1 403 LV ±5% WRAL-TV Raleigh/SurveyUSA October 26–29, 2012 Obama 45% Romney 50% 5 682 LV ±3.8% Elon University Archived 2012-10-30 at the Wayback Machine October 21 – 26, 2012 Obama 45% Romney 45% Tied 1,238 LV ±2.79% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 25, 2012 Obama 46% Romney 52% 6 500 LV ±4.5% Public Policy Polling October 23 – 25, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 48% Tied 880 LV ±3.3% Gravis Marketing October 24, 2012 Obama 45% Romney 53% 8 1,723 LV ±2.4% Project New America/Grove Insight (D) October 23 – 24, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 44% 3 500 LV ±4.4% Civitas Institute/National Research (R) October 20–21, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 48% 1 600 LV ±4% Project New America/Grove Insight (D) October 17 – 18, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 44% 3 500 LV ±4.4% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 17, 2012 Obama 46% Romney 52% 6 500 LV ±4.5% Public Policy Polling October 12 – 14, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 49% 2 1,084 LV ±3.0% North Carolina Republican Party/Tel Opinion Research (R) October 12–13, 2012 Obama 45% Romney 49% 4 600 LV ±4.0% YouGov October 4–11, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 49% 1 810 LV ±3.9% University of North Carolina/High Point University September 29 – October 10, 2012 Obama 46% Romney 45% 1 605 RV ±4.0% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 9, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 51% 3 500 LV ±4.5% Gravis Marketing October 6–8, 2012 Obama 41.2% Romney 49.9% 8.7 1,325 LV ±2.9% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 2, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 51% 4 500 LV ±4.5% Survey USA September 29 – October 1, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 47% 2 573 LV ±4.2% American Research Group September 28 – 30, 2012 Obama 46% Romney 50% 4 600 LV ±4.0% Public Policy Polling September 27 – 30, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 48% Tied 981 LV ±3.1% NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College September 23–25, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 46% 2 1,035 LV ±3.0% Civitas Institute/National Research (R) September 18–19, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 45% 4 600 RV ±4% Purple Strategies Archived 2012-09-21 at the Wayback Machine September 15–19, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 46% 2 600 LV ±4% FOX 8/High Point University September 8–13, 15–18, 2012 Obama 46% Romney 43% 3 448 RV ±4.7% YouGov September 7–14, 2012 Obama 46% Romney 48% 2 1,060 LV Not reported Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research September 13, 2012 Obama 45% Romney 51% 6 500 LV ±4.5% Public Policy Polling September 7–9, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 48% 1 1,087 LV ±3.0% Civitas Institute/SurveyUSA September 4–6, 2012 Obama 43% Romney 53% 10 500 RV ±4.5% Public Policy Polling August 31 – Sept 2, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 48% Tied 1,012 LV ±3.1%
18 electoral votes Republican in 2004 ) 51%–49% Democratic in 2008 ) 52%–47%
Poll source Date administered Democrat %Republican %Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error Gravis Marketing November 4–5, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 48% 1 1,316 LV ±2.7% Reuters/Ipsos November 3–5, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 46% 4 680 LV ±4.3% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research November 4, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 49% Tied 750 LV ±4.0% Public Policy Polling November 3–4, 2012 Obama 52% Romney 47% 5 1,000 LV ±3.1% Angus Reid Public Opinion November 2–4, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 48% 3 572 LV ±4.1% Reuters/Ipsos November 2–4, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 44% 4 712 LV ±4.2% WCMH-TV Columbus/SurveyUSA November 1–4, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 44% 5 803 LV ±3.5% University of Cincinnati October 31 – November 4, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 49% 1 901 LV ±3.3% Reuters/Ipsos November 1–3, 2012 Obama 46% Romney 45% 1 1,031 LV ±3.5% YouGov October 31 – November 3, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 46% 3 1,620 LV ±3% Columbus Dispatch October 24 – November 3, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 48% 2 1,501 LV ±2.2% USAction/Project New America/Grove Insight (D) November 1–2, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 45% 4 500 LV ±4.4% Reuters/Ipsos October 31 – November 2, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 45% 2 1,012 LV ±3.5% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research November 1, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 49% Tied 750 LV ±4% NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College October 30 – November 1, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 45% 6 971 LV ±3.1% We Ask America October 30 – November 1, 2012 Obama 50.2% Romney 45.8% 4 1,649 LV ±2.6% CNN/Opinion Research Corporation October 30 – November 1, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 47% 3 796 LV ±3.5% Citizens United/Wenzel Strategies (R) October 30–31, 2012 Obama 46% Romney 49% 3 1,281 LV ±2.7% Health Care for America Now/Public Policy Polling (D) October 29 – 30, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 45% 5 600 LV ±4.0% University of Cincinnati October 25 – 30, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 46% 2 1,141 LV ±2.9% Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R) Archived 2014-08-24 at the Wayback Machine October 29, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 46% 2 1,000 LV ±3% USAction/Project New America/Grove Insight (D) October 28 – 29, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 45% 3 500 LV ±4.4% WCMH-TV Columbus/SurveyUSA October 26 – 29, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 45% 3 603 LV ±4.1% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 28, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 50% 2 750 LV ±4% Pharos Research October 26 – 28, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 46.3% 2.7 765 LV ±3.5% Public Policy Polling October 26 – 28, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 47% 4 718 LV ±3.7% CBS News/Quinnipiac University October 23 – 28, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 45% 5 1,100 LV ±3% Gravis Marketing Archived 2012-10-30 at the Wayback Machine October 27, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 49% 1 730 LV ±3.6% Americans United for Change/Mellman Group (D) October 23 – 25, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 44% 5 600 LV ±4% CNN/Opinion Research Corporation October 23 – 25, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 46% 4 741 RV ±3.5% Purple Strategies Archived 2012-10-28 at the Wayback Machine October 23 – 25, 2012 Obama 46% Romney 44% 2 600 LV ±4.0% American Research Group October 23 – 25, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 47% 2 600 LV ±4.0% TIME/Abt SRBI October 22 – 23, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 44% 5 783 LV ±3% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 23, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 48% Tied 750 LV ±4.0% USAction/Lake Research (D) Archived 2013-05-24 at the Wayback Machine October 20 – 23, 2012 Obama 46% Romney 44% 2 600 LV ±4.0% Ohio Newspaper Organization/University of Cincinnati October 18 – 23, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 49% Tied 1,015 LV ±3.1% WCMH-TV Columbus/SurveyUSA October 20 – 22, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 44% 3 609 LV ±4.1% Suffolk University October 18 – 21, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 47% Tied 600 LV ±4.0% CBS News/Quinnipiac University October 17–20, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 45% 5 1,548 LV ±3% Angus Reid Public Opinion October 18–20, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 48% Tied 550 LV ±4.2% Public Policy Polling October 18–20, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 48% 1 532 LV ±4.3% Gravis Marketing October 18 – 19, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 47% Tied 1,943 LV ±2.2% Fox News/Anderson Robbins/Shaw & Company October 17–18, 2012 Obama 46% Romney 43% 3 1,131 LV ±3% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 17, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 48% 1 750 LV ±4.0% Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R) October 15, 2012 Obama 46% Romney 47% 1 1,000 LV ±3.0% WCMH-TV Columbus/SurveyUSA October 12–15, 2012 Obama 45% Romney 42% 3 613 LV ±4.0% Public Policy Polling October 12–13, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 46% 5 880 LV ±3.3% YouGov October 4–11, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 46% 4 851 LV ±4.8% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 10, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 47% 1 750 LV ±4.0% Gravis Marketing October 6 – 10, 2012 Obama 45.1% Romney 45.9% 0.8 1,313 LV ±2.7% NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College October 7 – 9, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 45% 6 994 LV ±3.1% Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R) October 8, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 46% 1 1,000 LV ±3.0% WCMH-TV Columbus/SurveyUSA October 5 – 8, 2012 Obama 45% Romney 44% 1 808 LV ±3.5% CNN/Opinion Research Corporation October 5–8, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 47% 4 722 LV ±3.5% American Research Group October 5 – 8, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 48% 1 600 LV ±4.0% Citizens United/Wenzel Strategies (R) October 4–5, 2012 Obama 47.3% Romney 48% 0.7 1,072 LV ±2.96% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 4, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 49% 1 500 LV ±4.5% Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R) October 1, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 43% 7 1,000 LV ±3.0% NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College September 30 – October 1, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 43% 8 931 LV ±3.2% Public Policy Polling September 27 – 30, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 45% 4 897 LV ±3.3% Columbus Dispatch [ permanent dead link ] September 19 – 29, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 42% 9 1,662 LV ±2.2% CBS News/New York Times/Quinnipiac University September 18 – 24, 2012 Obama 53% Romney 43% 10 1,162 LV ±3.0% Washington Post September 19 – 23, 2012 Obama 52% Romney 44% 8 759 LV ±4.5% Capitol Correspondent/Gravis Marketing Archived 2016-03-06 at the Wayback Machine September 21 – 22, 2012 Obama 45.2% Romney 44.3% 0.9 594 LV ±4.3% Purple Strategies Archived 2012-09-21 at the Wayback Machine September 15 – 19, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 44% 4 600 LV ±4.0% Ohio Newspaper Organization/University of Cincinnati September 13 – 18, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 46% 5 861 LV ±3.3% Fox News/Anderson Robbins/Shaw & Company September 16–18, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 42% 7 1,009 LV ±3.0% National Resource Defense Council/Public Policy Polling (D) September 14–18, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 44% 6 2,890 LV Not reported Secure America Now/Caddell Associates/McLaughlin & Associates (R) September 13–15, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 44% 3 600 LV ±4.0% YouGov September 7–14, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 44% 3 1,036 LV Not reported Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research September 12, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 46% 1 500 LV ±4.5% American Research Group September 10–12, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 47% 1 600 LV ±4.0% NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College September 9–12, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 43% 7 979 LV ±3.1% Public Policy Polling September 7–9, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 45% 5 1,072 LV ±3.0% Capitol Correspondent/Gravis Marketing September 7–8, 2012 Obama 47.27% Romney 43.19% 4.08 1,548 LV ±2.7% Capitol Correspondent/Gravis Marketing September 2, 2012 Obama 43.7% Romney 46.8% 3.1 1,381 RV ±2.9%
Three way race
20 electoral votes Democratic in 2004 ) 51%–48% Democratic in 2008 ) 54%–44%
Poll source Date administered Democrat %Republican %Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error Gravis Marketing November 4, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 46% 3 1,060 LV ±3% Angus Reid Public Opinion November 2 – 4, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 47% 4 479 LV Not reported Public Policy Polling November 2 – 3, 2012 Obama 52% Romney 46% 6 790 LV ±3.5% Morning Call/Muhlenberg College November 1 – 3, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 46% 3 430 LV ±5% YouGov October 31 – November 3, 2012 Obama 52% Romney 44% 8 1,273 LV ±3.3% Pittsburgh Tribune-Review/Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. October 29–31, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 47% Tied 800 LV ±3.5% Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R) October 30, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 46% 3 1,000 LV ±3% Franklin & Marshall College October 23–28, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 45% 4 547 LV ±4.2% Philadelphia Inquirer/Global Strategy Group/National Research Inc. October 23–25, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 43% 6 600 LV ±4% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 24, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 46% 5 500 LV ±4.5% Gravis Marketing October 21, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 45% 3 887 LV ±3.3% Morning Call/Muhlenberg College October 17 – 21, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 45% 5 444 LV ±5.0% Angus Reid Public Opinion [ permanent dead link ] October 18 – 20, 2012 Obama 52% Romney 42% 10 559 LV ±4.2% Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R) October 15, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 44% 4 1,000 LV ±3% Quinnipiac University October 12 – 14, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 46% 4 1,519 LV ±2.5% Public Policy Polling October 12 – 14, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 44% 7 500 LV ±4.4% Morning Call/Muhlenberg College October 10 – 14, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 45% 4 438 LV ±5.0% YouGov October 4–11, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 44% 7 967 LV ±4.3% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 9, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 46% 5 500 LV ±4.5% Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R) October 8, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 45% 2 1,000 LV ±3% Philadelphia Inquirer/Global Strategy Group/National Research Inc. October 4–8, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 42% 2 600 LV ±4% Siena College October 1 – 5, 2012 Obama 43% Romney 40% 3 545 LV ±4.2% Morning Call/Muhlenberg College September 22–26, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 42% 7 427 LV ±5.0% CBS News/New York Times/Quinnipiac University September 18–24, 2012 Obama 54% Romney 42% 12 1,180 LV ±3.0% Franklin and Marshall College September 18–23, 2012 Obama 52% Romney 43% 9 392 LV ±4.9% Tribune-Review/Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. September 18–20, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 45% 2 800 LV ±3.46% Mercyhurst University September 12–20, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 40% 8 522 LV ±4.29% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research September 19, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 39% 12 500 LV ±4.5% We Ask America September 18, 2012 Obama 48.1% Romney 42.2% 5.9 1,214 LV ±2.8% National Research Defense Council/Public Policy Polling (D) September 17–18, 2012 Obama 52% Romney 40% 12 2,051 LV ±2.2% Republican State Committee of Pennsylvania/Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. (R) September 15–17, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 47% 1 800 LV ±3.46% Morning Call/Muhlenberg College September 10–16, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 41% 9 640 LV ±4.0% YouGov September 7–14, 2012 Obama 52% Romney 43% 9 1,139 LV Not reported Philadelphia Inquirer/Global Strategy Group/National Research Inc. September 9–12, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 39% 11 600 LV ±4%
Three-way race
Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Margin Sample size Margin of error Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. October 4 – 6, 2012 Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 45% Gary Johnson 3% 2 725 LV ±3.64%
Four-way race
13 electoral votes Republican in 2004 ) 54%–46% Democratic in 2008 ) 53%–46%
Poll source Date administered Democrat %Republican %Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error Reuters/Ipsos November 3–5, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 46% 2 828 LV ±3.9% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research November 4, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 50% 2 750 LV ±4% Public Policy Polling November 3–4, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 47% 4 975 LV ±3.1% Reuters/Ipsos November 2–4, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 46% 1 662 LV ±4.3% Reuters/Ipsos November 1–3, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 45% 3 947 LV ±3.6% YouGov October 31 – November 3, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 46% 2 1,497 LV ±2.7% NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College November 1–2, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 47% 1 1,165 LV ±2.9% Reuters/Ipsos October 31 – November 2, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 45% 3 1,065 LV ±3.4% Americans United for Change/Mellman Group (D) October 30 – November 2, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 45% 3 800 LV ±3.4% We Ask America October 30 – November 1, 2012 Obama 48.5% Romney 47.6% 0.9 1,069 LV ±3% Reuters/Ipsos October 30 – November 1, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 44% 5 792 LV ±4% Health Care for America Now/Public Policy Polling (D) October 30 – 31, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 46% 3 600 LV ±4.0% Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R) October 30, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 48% 1 1,000 LV ±3% CBS News/New York Times/Quinnipiac University October 23 – 28, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 47% 2 1,074 LV ±3% Priorities USA Action/Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group (D) October 25–27, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 46% 3 807 LV Not reported Gravis Marketing Archived 2012-10-30 at the Wayback Machine October 26, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 48% Tied 645 LV ±3.9% Roanoke College October 23–26, 2012 Obama 44% Romney 49% 5 638 LV ±4% The Washington Post October 22–26, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 47% 4 1,228 LV ±3.5% Purple Strategies Archived 2012-10-28 at the Wayback Machine October 23 – 25, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 47% Tied 600 LV ±4.0% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 24, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 50% 2 750 LV ±4.0% Fox News/Anderson Robbins/Shaw & Company October 23–24, 2012 Obama 45% Romney 47% 2 1126 LV ±3.0% Health Care for America Now/Public Policy Polling (D) October 23 – 24, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 46% 5 722 LV ±3.6% Americans United for Change/Mellman Group (D) October 18 – 21, 2012 Obama 46% Romney 45% 1 800 LV ±3.46% Health Care for America Now/Public Policy Polling (D) October 18 – 19, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 47% 2 500 LV ±4.4% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 18, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 50% 3 750 LV ±4.0% Virginian-Pilot/Old Dominion University Archived 2012-10-25 at the Wayback Machine September 19 – October 17, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 43% 7 465 LV ±3.4% League of Conservation Voters/Public Policy Polling (D) October 15 – 16, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 48% 1 733 LV ±3.6% Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R) October 15, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 46% 1 1,000 LV ±3.0% American Research Group October 12 – 14, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 48% 1 600 LV ±4.0% Kimball Political Consulting October 12 – 13, 2012 Obama 43% Romney 54% 11 696 LV ±3.7% YouGov October 4–11, 2012 Obama 46% Romney 45% 1 743 LV ±4.0% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 11, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 49% 2 750 LV ±4.0% McLaughlin & Associates (R) October 8–9, 2012 Obama 44% Romney 51% 7 600 LV ±4.0% NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College October 7–9, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 48% 1 981 LV ±3.1% CBS News/New York Times/Quinnipiac University October 4–9, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 46% 5 1,288 LV ±2.7% Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R) October 8, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 48% Tied 1,000 LV ±3.0% Public Policy Polling October 4–7, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 47% 3 725 LV ±3.7% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 4, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 49% 1 500 LV ±4.5% Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R) October 1, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 47% 1 1,000 LV ±3.0% NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College September 30 – October 1, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 46% 2 969 LV ±3.1% Roanoke College September 19 – 28, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 39% 8 589 LV ±4.0% American Research Group September 24 – 27, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 47% 2 600 LV ±4.0% National Research Defense Council/Public Policy Polling (D) September 17–19, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 43% 6 2,770 LV ±1.9% Purple Strategies Archived 2012-09-21 at the Wayback Machine September 15 – 19, 2012 Obama 46% Romney 43% 3 600 LV ±4.0% Fox News/Anderson Robbins/Shaw & Company September 16–18, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 43% 7 1,006 LV ±3.0% CBS News/New York Times/Quinnipiac University September 11–17, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 46% 4 1,474 LV ±3.0% Public Policy Polling September 13–16, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 46% 5 1,021 LV ±3.1% Washington Post September 12–16, 2012 Obama 52% Romney 44% 8 847 LV ±3.5% YouGov September 7–14, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 44% 4 753 LV Not reported Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research September 13, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 48% 1 500 LV ±4.5% NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College September 9–11, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 44% 5 996 LV ±3.1% Gravis Marketing September 8–9, 2012 Obama 44.04% Romney 49.39% 5.35 2,238 LV ±2.2%
Three-way race
Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Margin Sample size Margin of error Fox News/Anderson Robbins/Shaw & Company October 23–24, 2012 Barack Obama 44% Mitt Romney 46% Virgil Goode 1% 2 1,126 LV ±3% We Ask America October 4, 2012 Barack Obama 45% Mitt Romney 48% Gary Johnson 2% 3 1,200 LV ±3% We Ask America September 17, 2012 Barack Obama 48.5% Mitt Romney 45.7% Gary Johnson 1.1% 2.8 1,238 LV ±2.8%
Four-way race
Five-way race
Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Constitution % Green % Sample size Margin of error Citizens United/Wenzel Strategies (R) October 19–20, 2012 Barack Obama 47.1% Mitt Romney 49.2% Gary Johnson 0.4% Virgil Goode 0.3% Jill Stein 0.4% 1,000 LV ±3.07%
12 electoral votes Democratic in 2004 ) 53%–46% Democratic in 2008 ) 58%–40%
Poll source Date administered Democrat %Republican %Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error YouGov October 31 – November 3, 2012 Obama 54% Romney 40% 14 837 LV Not reported Public Policy Polling November 1 – 3, 2012 Obama 53% Romney 46% 7 932 LV ±3.2% KING-TV Seattle/SurveyUSA October 28 – 31, 2012 Obama 54% Romney 40% 14 555 LV ±4.2% KCTS9/University of Washington Archived 2012-11-04 at the Wayback Machine October 18 – 31, 2012 Obama 57.1% Romney 36.4% 20.7 632 LV ±3.9% Strategies 360 October 17 – 20, 2012 Obama 52% Romney 39% 13 500 LV ±4.4% Washington Conservation Voters/Public Policy Polling (D) October 15 – 16, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 45% 5 574 LV Not reported KCTS9/University of Washington October 1–16, 2012 Obama 51.9% Romney 42.9% 9 644 LV ±3.9% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 14, 2012 Obama 55% Romney 42% 13 500 LV ±4.5% KING-TV Seattle/SurveyUSA October 12 – 14, 2012 Obama 54% Romney 40% 14 543 LV ±4.3% YouGov October 4–11, 2012 Obama 56% Romney 39% 17 748 LV ±4.3% KING-TV Seattle/SurveyUSA September 28 – 30, 2012 Obama 56% Romney 36% 20 540 LV ±4.3% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research September 26, 2012 Obama 52% Romney 41% 11 500 LV ±4.5% Gravis Marketing September 21–22, 2012 Obama 56% Romney 39% 17 625 LV ±4.6% YouGov September 7–14, 2012 Obama 53% Romney 39% 14 880 LV Not reported Elway Research September 9–12, 2012 Obama 53% Romney 36% 17 405 RV ±5.0% Washington Conservation Voters/Public Policy Polling (D) September 7–9, 2012 Obama 53% Romney 42% 11 563 LV Not reported KING-TV Seattle/SurveyUSA September 7–9, 2012 Obama 54% Romney 38% 16 524 LV ±4.4%
10 electoral votes Democratic in 2004 ) 50%–49% Democratic in 2008 ) 56%–42%
Poll source Date administered Democrat %Republican %Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error Public Policy Polling November 2 – 3, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 48% 3 1,256 LV ±2.8% Angus Reid Public Opinion November 1–3, 2012 Obama 53% Romney 46% 7 482 LV ±4.5% YouGov October 31 – November 3, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 46% 4 1,225 LV ±3.1% USAction/Project New America/Grove Insight (D) November 1–2, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 42% 6 500 LV ±4.4% We Ask America October 30 – November 1, 2012 Obama 51.5% Romney 44.8% 6.7 1,210 LV ±3% Citizens United/Wenzel Strategies (R) October 30–31, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 47% 2 1,074 LV ±3% Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R) October 30, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 48% 1 1,000 LV ±3% Health Care for America Now/Public Policy Polling (D) October 29–30, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 46% 5 825 LV ±3.4% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 29, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 49% Tie 750 LV ±4% NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College October 28–29, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 46% 3 1,065 LV ±3% St. Norbert College October 25–29, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 42% 9 402 LV ±5% Marquette Law School October 25–28, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 43% 8 1,243 LV ±2.8% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 25, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 49% Tie 500 LV ±4.5% Project New America/Grove Insight (D) October 24–25, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 43% 5 500 LV ±4.4% Health Care for America Now/Public Policy Polling (D) October 23–24, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 45% 6 827 LV ±3.4% Angus Reid Public Opinion October 18–20, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 46% 5 469 LV Not reported Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 18, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 48% 2 500 LV ±4.5% Project New America/Grove Insight (D) October 17–18, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 44% 3 500 LV ±4.4% Mason-Dixon Polling & Research October 15 – 17, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 46% 2 625 LV ±4% NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College October 15 – 17, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 45% 6 1,013 LV ±3.1% Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R) October 15, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 47% 3 1,000 LV ±3% Marquette Law School October 11–14, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 48% 1 870 LV ±3.4% YouGov October 4 – 11, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 47% 4 638 LV ±4.9% CBS News/New York Times/Quinnipiac University October 4–9, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 47% 3 1,327 LV ±2.7% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 9, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 49% 2 500 LV ±4.5% Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R) October 8, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 46% 4 1,000 LV ±3.0% Public Policy Polling October 4 – 6, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 47% 2 979 LV ±3.1% Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R) October 1, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 44% 7 1,000 LV ±3.0% JZ Analytics September 29–30, 2012 Obama 48.9% Romney 38.8% 10.1 414 LV ±4.9% Marquette Law School September 27 – 30, 2012 Obama 53% Romney 42% 11 894 LV ±3.3% Public Policy Polling September 18 – 19, 2012 Obama 52% Romney 45% 7 842 LV ±3.4% NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College September 16 – 18, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 45% 5 968 LV ±3.2% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research September 17, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 46% 3 500 LV ±4.5% CBS News/New York Times/Quinnipiac University September 11–17, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 45% 6 1,485 LV ±3.0% Marquette Law School September 13–16, 2012 Obama 54% Romney 40% 14 601 LV ±4% YouGov September 7–14, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 47% 1 753 LV Not reported Democracy for America/Public Policy Polling (D) September 12–13, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 48% 1 959 LV ±3.16%
Three way race
Electoral-vote.com is a website created by computer scientist Andrew S. Tanenbaum. The site's primary content was originally poll analysis to project election outcomes. Since the 2016 elections, the site also has featured daily commentary on political news stories.
The 2008 Massachusetts Democratic presidential primary was held on Super Tuesday, February 5, 2008, and had a total of 93 delegates at stake. The winner in each of Massachusetts's 10 congressional districts was awarded all of that district's delegates, totaling 61. Another 32 delegates were awarded to the statewide winner, Hillary Clinton. The 93 delegates represented Massachusetts at the Democratic National Convention in Denver, Colorado. Twenty-six other unpledged delegates, known as superdelegates, also attended the convention and cast their votes as well. Hillary Clinton won despite Obama receiving endorsements from both senators, Ted Kennedy and John Kerry, and the Governor Deval Patrick.
The 2008 Maryland Democratic presidential primary took place on February 12, 2008. Nicknamed the "Potomac Primary" or the "Chesapeake Primary" because the District of Columbia and Virginia also held their primaries that day, a total of 70 delegates were up for grabs in Maryland. The winner in each of Maryland's eight congressional districts was awarded all of that district's delegates, totaling 46. Another 24 delegates were awarded to the statewide winner, Barack Obama. The 70 delegates represented Maryland at the Democratic National Convention in Denver, Colorado. Twenty-nine other unpledged delegates, known as superdelegates, also attended the convention and cast their votes as well.
The 2008 United States presidential election in Massachusetts took place, as in all 50 states and D.C., as part of the 2008 United States presidential election of November 4, 2008. Voters chose 12 representatives, or electors to the Electoral College, who, in turn, voted for the office of president and vice president.
Electoral history of Herbert Hoover , who served as the 31st president of the United States (1929–1933) and 3rd United States Secretary of Commerce (1921–1928).
Electoral history of Ralph Nader , an American attorney, author, lecturer, political activist, and candidate for President of the United States in four elections.
Electoral history of Strom Thurmond , 103rd Governor of South Carolina (1947–1951), United States Senator from South Carolina, 1948 States' Rights Democrats presidential nominee and President pro tempore of the United States Senate.
Electoral history of Ron Paul , Republican U.S. Representative from Texas, 1988 Libertarian Party Presidential nominee and candidate for the 2008 and 2012 Republican presidential nomination.
Electoral history of Eugene McCarthy , United States Senator (1959–1971) and Representative (1949–1959) from Minnesota. He was a member of the Minnesota Democratic-Farmer-Labor Party.
The 2012 United States presidential election in Virginia took place on November 6, 2012, as part of the presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Virginia voters chose 13 electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote pitting incumbent Democratic President Barack Obama and his running mate, Vice President Joe Biden, against Republican challenger and former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney and his running mate, Congressman Paul Ryan.
Statewide polls for the 2012 United States presidential election are as follows. The polls listed here, by state, are from January 1 to August 31, 2012, and provide early data on opinion polling between a possible Republican candidate against incumbent President Barack Obama.
Statewide polls for the 2012 United States presidential election are as follows. The polls listed here, by state, are from 2009 to December 31, 2011 and provide early data on opinion polling between a possible Republican candidate against incumbent President Barack Obama.
Statewide polls for the 2016 United States presidential election include the following. The polls listed here provide early data on opinion polling between the Democratic candidate, the Republican candidate, the Libertarian candidate, and the Green candidate. Prior to the parties' conventions, presumptive candidates were included in the polls. State polling is not conducted in all states for the election due to various factors. More polls usually are conducted in states that are considered swing states as more attention is given to the results. For determining a statistical tie, the margin of error provided by the polling source is applied to the result for each candidate.
The 1976 United States presidential election in New Jersey took place on November 2, 1976. All 50 states and the District of Columbia, were part of the 1976 United States presidential election. Voters chose 17 electors to the Electoral College, which selected the president and vice president.
Statewide polls for the 2016 United States presidential election are as follows. The polls listed here, by state, are from 2013 to December 31, 2015, and provide early data on opinion polling between a possible Republican candidate against a possible Democratic candidate.
The 2016 Illinois Democratic presidential primary took place on March 15 in the U.S. state of Illinois as one of the 2016 Democratic Party presidential primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election.
The 2016 Missouri Democratic presidential primary took place on March 15 in the U.S. state of Missouri as one of the Democratic Party's primaries ahead of the 2016 United States presidential election.
The 2016 Wisconsin Democratic presidential primary was held on April 5 in the U.S. state of Wisconsin as one of the Democratic Party's primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election. Vermont senator Bernie Sanders won the contest with 56.5%, distancing nationwide frontrunner Hillary Clinton by 13 percentage points.
The 2016 Pennsylvania Democratic presidential primary was held on April 26 in the U.S. state of Pennsylvania as one of the Democratic Party's primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election.
Statewide polls for the 2016 United States presidential election are as follows. The polls listed here, by state, are from January 1 to August 31, 2016 and provide early data on opinion polling between a possible Republican candidate against a possible Democratic candidate.
