Pre-2012 statewide opinion polling for the 2012 United States presidential election

Last updated

Statewide polls for the 2012 United States presidential election are as follows. The polls listed here, by state, are from 2009 to December 31, 2011, and provide early data on opinion polling between a possible Republican candidate against incumbent President Barack Obama.

Contents

Note that some states did not conduct polling before December 31, 2011.

Arizona

11 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 55%–44%
(Republican in 2008) 53%–45%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Public Policy Polling [1] November 17–20, 2011Barack Obama46% Herman Cain 42%4500 RV±4.4%
Barack Obama45%Newt Gingrich45%Tied
Barack Obama43%Ron Paul44%1
Barack Obama47% Rick Perry 40%7
Barack Obama42%Mitt Romney49%7
BRC/Rocky Mountain Poll [2] October 13–24, 2011Barack Obama45%Herman Cain38%7581 RV±4.1%
45%Mitt Romney40%5
44%Rick Perry38%6
Public Policy Polling [3] April 28 – May 1, 2011Barack Obama47%Newt Gingrich40%7623 RV±3.9%
46% Mike Huckabee 44%2
49% Sarah Palin 38%11
Barack Obama44%Mitt Romney48%4
Barack Obama48% Donald Trump 36%12
Public Policy Polling [4] January 28–30, 2011Barack Obama46%Newt Gingrich46%Tied599 RV±4.0%
Barack Obama44%Mike Huckabee48%4
Barack Obama49%Sarah Palin41%8
Barack Obama43%Mitt Romney49%6
Public Policy Polling [5] September 18–21, 2009Barack Obama47%Sarah Palin47%Tied617 RV±3.9%
Barack Obama45%Mike Huckabee49%4
43%Mitt Romney50%7

Arkansas

6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 54%–45%
(Republican in 2008) 59%–39%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Talk Business/Hendrix College [6] September 15, 2011Barack Obama33.5%Mitt Romney49.5%162,101 RV±2.1%

California

55 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 54%–45%
(Democratic in 2008) 61%–37%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Field Research Corporation (Field Poll) [7] November 15–27, 2011Barack Obama50%Mitt Romney40%101,000 RV±3.1%
55%Newt Gingrich35%20
Public Policy Polling [8] November 10–13, 2011Barack Obama60% Michele Bachmann 31%29500 RV±4.4%
61% Herman Cain 32%29
60%Newt Gingrich34%26
57%Ron Paul32%25
60% Rick Perry 31%29
57%Mitt Romney36%21
Survey USA [9]
November 10, 2011Barack Obama56%Newt Gingrich32%24800 A±3.5%
50%Mitt Romney39%11
Field Research Corporation (Field Poll) [10] September 1–12, 2011Barack Obama51%Mitt Romney38%131,001 RV±3.2%
54%Rick Perry35%19
L.A. Times/USC Dornsife/Greenberg Quinlan Rosner [11] August 17–28, 2011Barack Obama56%Rick Perry32%241,408 RV±4%
57%Michele Bachmann31%26
54%Mitt Romney35%19
Public Policy Polling [12] January 28–30, 2011Barack Obama58%Newt Gingrich34%24892 RV±3.3%
54% Mike Huckabee 39%15
62% Sarah Palin 31%31
56%Mitt Romney36%20

Colorado

9 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 52%–47%
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–45%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Public Policy Polling [13] December 1–4, 2011Barack Obama50%Newt Gingrich42%8793±3.5%
52% Herman Cain 36%16
48%Ron Paul39%9
52% Rick Perry 37%15
47%Mitt Romney45%2
Public Policy Polling [14] [ permanent dead link ]August 4–7, 2011Barack Obama51% Michele Bachmann 39%12510±4.3%
51%Herman Cain35%16
54% Sarah Palin 38%16
51%Rick Perry38%13
48%Mitt Romney41%7
Public Policy Polling [15] February 4–6, 2011Barack Obama53%Newt Gingrich39%14517±4.3%
51% Mike Huckabee 42%9
55%Sarah Palin36%19
47%Mitt Romney41%6

Connecticut

7 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 54%–44%
(Democratic in 2008) 61%–38%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Public Policy Polling [16] September 22–25, 2011Barack Obama55% Michele Bachmann 36%19592 RV±4.0%
54% Newt Gingrich 38%16
53% Rick Perry 41%12
47%Mitt Romney45%2
Quinnipiac University [17] September 8–13, 2011Barack Obama52%Rick Perry33%191,230 RV±2.8%
49%Mitt Romney36%13

Florida

29 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 52%–47%
(Democratic in 2008) 51%–48%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
NBC News/Marist College [18] December 4–7, 2011Barack Obama48%Mitt Romney41%72,119±2.1%
51%Newt Gingrich39%12
49%Ron Paul36%13
Quinnipiac University [19] November 28 – December 5, 2011Barack Obama42%Mitt Romney45%31,226±2.8%
Barack Obama46%Newt Gingrich44%2
Public Policy Polling [20] November 28 – December 1, 2011Barack Obama45%Mitt Romney44%1700±3.7%
50%Newt Gingrich44%6
51% Herman Cain 37%14
46% Rick Perry 40%6
50%Ron Paul38%12
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [21] November 17, 2011Barack Obama42%Mitt Romney46%4500 LV±4.5%
Barack Obama46%Herman Cain37%9
45%Newt Gingrich43%2
Quinnipiac University [22] October 31 – November 7, 2011Barack Obama45%Herman Cain41%41,185 RV±2.9%
45%Newt Gingrich42%3
46%Rick Perry40%6
Barack Obama42%Mitt Romney45%3
Suffolk University [23] October 26–30, 2011Barack Obama42%Herman Cain39%3800 RVNot reported
46%Rick Perry34%8
44%Ron Paul32%12
45%Newt Gingrich38%7
Barack Obama42%Mitt Romney42%Tied
NBC News/Marist College [24] October 10–12, 2011Barack Obama47%Herman Cain41%62,225±2.1%
47%Rick Perry39%8
45%Mitt Romney43%2
Public Policy Polling [25] September 22–25, 2011Barack Obama49% Michele Bachmann 44%5476±4.5%
50%Newt Gingrich42%8
45%Ron Paul44%1
50%Rick Perry43%7
46%Mitt Romney45%1
Quinnipiac University [26] September 14–19, 2011Barack Obama44%Rick Perry42%21,007±3.1%
Barack Obama40%Mitt Romney47%7
Quinnipiac University [27] August 1–2, 2011Barack Obama50%Michele Bachmann38%12743 RV±3.6%
53% Sarah Palin 34%19
44%Rick Perry39%5
Barack Obama44%Mitt Romney44%Tied
Quinnipiac University [27] July 27–31, 2011Barack Obama50%Michele Bachmann36%14674 RV±3.8%
54%Sarah Palin33%21
49%Rick Perry36%13
46%Mitt Romney41%5
Sunshine State News/Voter Survey Service [28] July 5–7, 2011Barack Obama42%Mitt Romney46%41,000 LV±3.10%
Public Policy Polling [29] June 16–19, 2011Barack Obama49%Michele Bachmann40%9848 RV±3.4%
48%Herman Cain37%11
52%Sarah Palin40%12
48% Tim Pawlenty 40%8
47%Mitt Romney43%4
Suffolk University/7 News [30] April 10–12, 2011Barack Obama42%Mitt Romney43%1600 RV±4.0%
Barack Obama44% Mike Huckabee 41%3
41%Tim Pawlenty28%13
45%Michele Bachmann30%15
47%Newt Gingrich36%11
52%Sarah Palin34%18
49% Donald Trump 34%15
47% Haley Barbour 26%17
48%Ron Paul30%18
Ron Sachs Communications/Mason-Dixon Polling & Research [31] April 4–7, 2011Barack Obama43%Mitt Romney48%5800 RV±3.5%
44%Mike Huckabee49%5
Barack Obama51%Sarah Palin39%12
48%Donald Trump40%8
Public Policy Polling [32] March 24–27, 2011Barack Obama50%Newt Gingrich42%8500 RV±4.4%
50%Mike Huckabee43%7
52%Sarah Palin39%13
46%Mitt Romney44%2
48% Jeb Bush 45%3
48% Rudy Giuliani 42%6
Public Policy Polling [33] December 17–20, 2010Barack Obama47%Newt Gingrich42%51,034 RV±3.0%
49%Mike Huckabee44%5
52%Sarah Palin38%14
46%Mitt Romney44%2
48% Marco Rubio 40%8

Georgia

16 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 58%–41%
(Republican in 2008) 52%–47%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Mason-Dixon Polling & Research [34] December 12–14, 2011Barack Obama41%Newt Gingrich50%9625±4.0%
38%Mitt Romney55%17
SurveyUSA [35] December 6–7, 2011Barack Obama42%Newt Gingrich48%61,176±2.9%
42%Mitt Romney49%7
Public Policy Polling [36] March 31 – April 3, 2011Barack Obama46%Newt Gingrich45%1790 RV±3.5%
Barack Obama45% Mike Huckabee 48%3
Barack Obama48% Sarah Palin 43%5
Barack Obama43%Mitt Romney46%3
Barack Obama44% Herman Cain 39%5

Hawaii

4 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 54%–45%
(Democratic in 2008) 72%–27%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Public Policy Polling [37] October 13–16, 2011 Barack Obama 64% Michele Bachmann 28%36568 RV±4.1%
63% Herman Cain 30%33
64% Newt Gingrich 27%37
63% Rick Perry 28%35
59% Mitt Romney 32%27

Illinois

20 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 55%–45%
(Democratic in 2008) 62%–37%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Paul Simon Public Policy Institute (Southern Illinois University) [38] October 11–16, 2011Barack Obama46.1%Mitt Romney38.5%7.61,000 RV±3%
49.3% Ron Paul 30.3%19

Iowa

6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 50%–49%
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
NBC News/Marist College [39] November 27–29, 2011Barack Obama48% Rick Perry 37%111,393±2.6%
46%Mitt Romney39%7
54% Michele Bachmann 31%23
47%Newt Gingrich37%10
50% Herman Cain 32%18
Barack Obama42%Ron Paul42%Tied
Public Policy Polling [40] October 7–10, 2011Barack Obama49%Michele Bachmann39%10749 RV±3.6%
47%Herman Cain41%6
50%Newt Gingrich39%11
47%Ron Paul40%7
49%Rick Perry39%10
46%Mitt Romney42%4
NBC News/Marist College [41] October 3–5, 2011Barack Obama46%Rick Perry37%92,836 RV±1.8%
43%Mitt Romney40%3
Public Policy Polling [42] August 19–21, 2011Barack Obama51%Michele Bachmann34%17798 RV±3.5%
51%Herman Cain33%18
54% Sarah Palin 33%21
51%Rick Perry38%13
49%Mitt Romney39%10
Every Child Matters Fund/Mason-Dixon Polling & Research [43] July 5–7, 2011Barack Obama47%Michele Bachmann46%1629 LV±3.9%
Barack Obama44%Mitt Romney47%3
Public Policy Polling [44] May 27–30, 2011Barack Obama50%Herman Cain32%181,387 RV±2.6%
54%Newt Gingrich33%21
55%Sarah Palin35%20
49% Tim Pawlenty 37%12
49%Mitt Romney40%9
Public Policy Polling [45] April 15–17, 2011Barack Obama50%Newt Gingrich39%111,109 RV±2.9%
Barack Obama45% Mike Huckabee 45%Tied
Barack Obama53%Sarah Palin36%17
45%Mitt Romney41%4
51% Donald Trump 35%16
Public Policy Polling [46] January 7–9, 2011Barack Obama51%Newt Gingrich38%131,077 RV±3.0%
47%Mike Huckabee43%4
53%Sarah Palin37%16
47%Mitt Romney41%6

Kansas

6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 62%–37%
(Republican in 2008) 57%–42%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
KWCH-TV Wichita/Survey USA [47] November 10, 2011 Barack Obama 35% Newt Gingrich 52%17800 RV±3.5%
Barack Obama31% Mitt Romney 56%25

Kentucky

8 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 60%–40%
(Republican in 2008) 57%–41%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Public Policy Polling [48] August 25–28, 2011 Barack Obama 43% Michele Bachmann 46%3600 RV±4.0%
Barack Obama47% Newt Gingrich 44%3
Barack Obama48% Sarah Palin 44%4
Barack Obama42% Rick Perry 49%7
Barack Obama40% Mitt Romney 48%8

Louisiana

8 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 57%–42%
(Republican in 2008) 59%–40%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Clarus Research Group [49] October 5–7, 2011 Barack Obama 37% Mitt Romney 53%16602 RV±4.0%
Barack Obama37% Rick Perry 52%15
Public Policy Polling [50] July 17–19, 2009Barack Obama42% Sarah Palin 49%7727 RV±3.6%
Barack Obama40% Bobby Jindal 54%14

Maine

4 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 53%–45%
(Democratic in 2008) 58%–40%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Public Policy Polling [51] October 28–31, 2011Barack Obama55% Michele Bachmann 35%20673 RV±3.8%
54% Herman Cain 37%17
55%Newt Gingrich35%20
55% Rick Perry 34%21
49%Mitt Romney38%11
Bangor Daily News/Critical Insights [52] October 18–23, 2011Barack Obama41%Mitt Romney40%1600 RV±4.0%
46%Rick Perry32%14
Public Policy Polling [53] March 3–6, 2011Barack Obama53%Newt Gingrich37%161,247 RV±2.8%
51% Mike Huckabee 39%12
57% Sarah Palin 35%22
49%Mitt Romney41%8

Massachusetts

11 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 62%–37%
(Democratic in 2008) 62%–36%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
University of Massachusetts Amherst/YouGov [54] November 9–22, 2011Barack Obama54% Rick Perry 23%31222 RVNot reported
Barack Obama51% Herman Cain 28%23228 RV
Barack Obama49%Mitt Romney34%15446 RV±4.6%
Public Policy Polling [55] September 16–18, 2011Barack Obama59% Michele Bachmann 28%31791 RV±3.5%
Barack Obama58%Newt Gingrich31%27
Barack Obama55%Ron Paul30%25
Barack Obama58%Rick Perry32%26
Barack Obama53%Mitt Romney40%13
Public Policy Polling [56] June 2–5, 2011Barack Obama60%Herman Cain27%33957 RV±3.2%
Barack Obama63%Newt Gingrich27%36
Barack Obama63% Sarah Palin 27%36
Barack Obama59% Tim Pawlenty 28%31
Barack Obama57%Mitt Romney37%20
Public Policy Polling [57] November 29 – December 1, 2010Barack Obama57%Newt Gingrich33%24500 RV±4.4%
Barack Obama57% Mike Huckabee 33%24
Barack Obama61%Sarah Palin32%29
Barack Obama52%Mitt Romney43%9

Michigan

16 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 51%–48%
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–41%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Detroit Free Press/EPIC-MRA [58] November 13–16, 2011Barack Obama41%Mitt Romney46%5600 LV±4%
Barack Obama45%Newt Gingrich40%5
Barack Obama50% Herman Cain 36%14
SurveyUSA [59] October 12–14, 2011Barack Obama56% Michele Bachmann 30%26500 LV±4.5%
Barack Obama53%Herman Cain32%21
Barack Obama54%Newt Gingrich31%23
Barack Obama53% Rick Perry 32%21
Barack Obama50%Mitt Romney39%11
Inside Michigan/Marketing Resource Group [60] Sept 14–19, 2011Barack Obama50%Rick Perry39%11600 LV±4%
Barack Obama44%Mitt Romney44%Tied
Public Policy Polling [61] July 21–24, 2011Barack Obama53%Michele Bachmann37%16593 RV±4.0%
Barack Obama50%Herman Cain33%17
Barack Obama54% Sarah Palin 36%18
Barack Obama50%Rick Perry35%15
Barack Obama47%Mitt Romney42%5
Barack Obama50% Thaddeus McCotter 31%19
EPIC-MRA [62] July 9–11, 2011Barack Obama42%Mitt Romney46%4600 LV±4.0%
Public Policy Polling [63] March 18–20, 2011Barack Obama53%Newt Gingrich37%16502 RV±4.4%
Barack Obama50% Mike Huckabee 41%9
Barack Obama55%Sarah Palin35%20
Barack Obama48%Mitt Romney41%7
Barack Obama52% Scott Walker 32%20
EPIC-MRA [64] February 12–17, 2011Barack Obama41%Mitt Romney46%5600 LV±4.0%
Public Policy Polling [65] December 3–6, 2010Barack Obama52%Newt Gingrich37%151,224 RV±2.8%
Barack Obama51%Mike Huckabee39%12
Barack Obama56%Sarah Palin35%21
Barack Obama47%Mitt Romney43%4
Barack Obama49% Rick Snyder 38%11

Minnesota

10 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 51%–48%
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
KSTP-TV Minneapolis/SurveyUSA [66] November 2–6, 2011Barack Obama57% Michele Bachmann 29%28543 RV±4.3%
Barack Obama48% Herman Cain 35%13
Barack Obama48% Rick Perry 35%13
Barack Obama45%Mitt Romney39%6
KSTP-TV Minneapolis/SurveyUSA [67] June 15–17, 2011Barack Obama53%Michele Bachmann39%14558 RV±4.2%
Barack Obama46% Tim Pawlenty 46%Tied
Public Policy Polling [68] May 27–30, 2011Barack Obama56%Michele Bachmann35%211,179 RV±2.9%
Barack Obama51%Herman Cain30%21
Barack Obama54%Newt Gingrich36%18
Barack Obama56% Sarah Palin 36%20
Barack Obama51%Tim Pawlenty43%8
Barack Obama51%Mitt Romney36%15
Public Policy Polling [69] December 4–5, 2010Barack Obama51%Newt Gingrich38%13949 RV±3.2%
Barack Obama50% Mike Huckabee 40%10
Barack Obama54%Sarah Palin36%18
Barack Obama47%Mitt Romney42%5
Barack Obama51%Tim Pawlenty43%8
St. Cloud State University [70] October 24 – November 4, 2009Barack Obama49%Tim Pawlenty40%9550±5.0%
Public Policy Polling [71] [ permanent dead link ]July 7–8, 2009Barack Obama56%Sarah Palin35%211,491±2.5%
Barack Obama51%Tim Pawlenty40%11

Mississippi

6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 59%–40%
(Republican in 2008) 56%–43%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Public Policy Polling [72] November 4–6, 2011 Barack Obama 40% Michele Bachmann 52%12796 RV±3.5%
37% Herman Cain 54%17
38% Newt Gingrich 54%16
37% Ron Paul 52%15
38% Rick Perry 55%17
36% Mitt Romney 54%18
Public Policy Polling [73] March 24–27, 2011Barack Obama42%Newt Gingrich48%6817 RV±3.4%
40% Mike Huckabee 54%14
44% Sarah Palin 48%4
40%Mitt Romney46%6
41% Haley Barbour 51%10

Missouri

10 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 53%–46%
(Republican in 2008) 49%–49%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [74] November 9, 2011Barack Obama47% Herman Cain 39%8500 LV±4.5%
Barack Obama47% Rick Perry 43%4
Barack Obama42%Mitt Romney45%3
Public Policy Polling [75] September 9–12, 2011Barack Obama47% Michele Bachmann 43%4632 RV±3.9%
Barack Obama47%Newt Gingrich45%2
Barack Obama45%Rick Perry47%2
Barack Obama43%Mitt Romney47%4
Public Policy Polling [76] April 28 – May 1, 2011Barack Obama46%Newt Gingrich44%2555 RV±3.9%
Barack Obama44% Mike Huckabee 49%5
Barack Obama48% Sarah Palin 43%5
Barack Obama43%Mitt Romney45%2
Barack Obama46% Donald Trump 41%5
Public Policy Polling [77] March 3–6, 2011Barack Obama44%Newt Gingrich44%Tied612 RV±4.0%
Barack Obama43%Mike Huckabee49%6
Barack Obama48%Sarah Palin43%5
Barack Obama43%Mitt Romney44%1
Public Policy Polling [78] November 29 – December 1, 2010Barack Obama44%Newt Gingrich45%1515 RV±4.3%
Barack Obama42%Mike Huckabee49%7
Barack Obama46%Sarah Palin43%3
Barack Obama41%Mitt Romney47%6

Montana

3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 59%–39%
(Republican in 2008) 49%–47%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Public Policy Polling [79] November 28–30, 2011Barack Obama43% Herman Cain 45%21,625 RV±2.4%
42%Newt Gingrich50%8
40%Ron Paul48%8
40%Mitt Romney50%10
43% Rick Perry 46%3
Public Policy Polling [80] June 16–19, 2011Barack Obama42% Michele Bachmann 48%6819 RV±3.4%
41%Herman Cain46%5
44% Sarah Palin 48%4
41% Tim Pawlenty 45%4
41%Mitt Romney49%8
Public Policy Polling [81] November 10–13, 2010Barack Obama44%Newt Gingrich46%21,176 RV±2.9%
41% Mike Huckabee 51%10
45%Sarah Palin47%2
39%Mitt Romney50%11

Nebraska

5 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 66%–33%
(Republican in 2008) 57%–42%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Public Policy Polling [82] September 30 – October 2, 2011Barack Obama41% Michele Bachmann 49%8739 RV±3.6%
Barack Obama41%Newt Gingrich48%7
Barack Obama41% Rick Perry 48%7
Barack Obama38%Mitt Romney51%13
Public Policy Polling [83] January 26–27, 2011Barack Obama40%Newt Gingrich48%8977 RV±3.1%
Barack Obama38% Mike Huckabee 51%13
Barack Obama44% Sarah Palin 45%1
Barack Obama37%Mitt Romney49%12

Nevada

6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 51%–48%
(Democratic in 2008) 55%–43%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Las Vegas Review-Journal /University of Nevada Las Vegas [84] December 12–20, 2011Barack Obama45.7%Mitt Romney39.8%5.9600 RV±4.0%
Barack Obama45.4%Ron Paul35.7%9.7
Barack Obama47.3%Newt Gingrich35.4%11.9
Barack Obama50.2% Michele Bachmann 27.1%23.1
Barack Obama48.8% Jon Huntsman 30.1%18.7
Barack Obama50.8% Rick Perry 31.1%19.7
Barack Obama49.3%Rick Santorum30.9%18.4
Public Policy Polling [85] October 20–23, 2011Barack Obama49%Michele Bachmann41%8500 RV±4.4%
Barack Obama49% Herman Cain 46%3
Barack Obama49%Newt Gingrich46%3
Barack Obama51%Rick Perry41%10
Barack Obama46%Mitt Romney46%Tied
Public Policy Polling [86] July 28–31, 2011Barack Obama50%Michele Bachmann40%10601 RV±4.0%
Barack Obama48%Herman Cain39%9
Barack Obama51% Sarah Palin 39%12
Barack Obama49%Rick Perry40%9
Barack Obama47%Mitt Romney46%1
Public Policy Polling [86] April 21–24, 2011Barack Obama46%Newt Gingrich42%4491 RV±4.4%
Barack Obama45% Mike Huckabee 43%2
Barack Obama50%Sarah Palin39%11
Barack Obama43%Mitt Romney46%3
Barack Obama47% Donald Trump 41%6
Public Policy Polling [87] January 3–5, 2011Barack Obama51%Newt Gingrich40%11932 RV±3.2%
Barack Obama51%Mike Huckabee41%10
Barack Obama52%Sarah Palin39%13
Barack Obama47%Mitt Romney46%1

New Hampshire

4 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 50%–49%
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–45%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
NBC News/Marist College [88] November 28–30, 2011Barack Obama51% Rick Perry 36%151,144 RV±2.9%
Barack Obama43%Mitt Romney46%3
Barack Obama53% Michele Bachmann 33%20
Barack Obama49%Newt Gingrich39%10
Barack Obama53% Herman Cain 30%23
Barack Obama44%Ron Paul42%2
WMUR/University of New Hampshire [89] November 15–20, 2011Barack Obama54%Rick Perry35%19606 LV±4%
Barack Obama52%Newt Gingrich40%12
Barack Obama44%Mitt Romney47%3
NBC News/Marist College [41] October 3–5, 2011Barack Obama46%Rick Perry40%62,218 RV±2.1%
Barack Obama40%Mitt Romney49%9
Public Policy Polling [90] June 30 – July 5, 2011Barack Obama49%Michele Bachmann42%7662 RV±3.8%
Barack Obama49%Herman Cain39%10
Barack Obama53% Sarah Palin 38%15
Barack Obama48% Tim Pawlenty 41%7
Barack Obama44%Mitt Romney46%2
WMUR/University of New Hampshire [91] June 21 – July 1, 2011Barack Obama43%Mitt Romney47%4773 A±3.5%
Barack Obama47%Tim Pawlenty38%11
Barack Obama47%Michele Bachmann41%6
Public Policy Polling [92] March 31 – April 3, 2011Barack Obama52%Newt Gingrich39%13769 RV±3.5%
Barack Obama52% Mike Huckabee 38%14
Barack Obama56%Sarah Palin34%22
Barack Obama47%Mitt Romney46%1
Barack Obama51% Donald Trump 37%14
Magellan Strategies [93] February 9–10, 2011Barack Obama48%Mitt Romney44%4789 LV±3.49%
Barack Obama57%Sarah Palin34%23
Barack Obama51%Mike Huckabee38%13
Barack Obama56%Newt Gingrich33%23

New Jersey

14 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 52%–46%
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–42%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Public Policy Polling [94] January 6–9, 2011Barack Obama55% Chris Christie 38%17520 RV±4.3%
Barack Obama54%Newt Gingrich37%17
Barack Obama53% Mike Huckabee 36%17
Barack Obama59% Sarah Palin 29%30
Barack Obama52%Mitt Romney37%15

New Mexico

5 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 50%–49%
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–42%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Public Policy Polling [95] December 10–12, 2011Barack Obama56% Newt Gingrich 39%17500 RV±4.4%
56% Michele Bachmann 36%20
51% Ron Paul 38%13
53%Mitt Romney38%15
56% Rick Perry 35%21
Public Policy Polling [96] June 23–26, 2011Barack Obama52%Michele Bachmann37%15732 RV±3.6%
52% Herman Cain 36%16
46% Gary Johnson 43%3
56% Sarah Palin 36%20
51% Tim Pawlenty 36%15
49%Mitt Romney42%7
Public Policy Polling [97] February 4–6, 2011Barack Obama56%Newt Gingrich35%21545 RV±4.2%
55% Mike Huckabee 36%19
51%Gary Johnson36%15
62%Sarah Palin33%29
53%Mitt Romney37%16

Three Way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican % Libertarian  %Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Public Policy Polling [95] December 10–12, 2011Barack Obama45% Newt Gingrich 28%Gary Johnson20%17500 RV±4.4%
44%Mitt Romney27%Gary Johnson23%17

New York

29 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 58%–40%
(Democratic in 2008) 63%–36%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Siena College [98] November 8–13, 2011Barack Obama63% Herman Cain 27%36803 RV±3.5%
Barack Obama63% Rick Perry 28%35
Barack Obama59%Mitt Romney34%25
Barack Obama64% Michele Bachmann 27%37
Barack Obama60%Ron Paul31%29
Marist College [99] October 25–27, 2011Barack Obama62%Herman Cain31%311,030 RV±3.0%
Barack Obama64%Rick Perry29%35
Barack Obama59%Mitt Romney35%24
Siena College [100] October 10–12, 2011Barack Obama58%Herman Cain32%26800 RV±3.5%
Barack Obama58%Rick Perry31%27
Barack Obama55%Mitt Romney37%18

North Carolina

15 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 56%–44%
(Democratic in 2008) 50%–49%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Public Policy Polling [101] December 1–4, 2011Barack Obama50% Herman Cain 37%13865 RV±3.3%
Barack Obama49%Newt Gingrich45%4
Barack Obama47%Ron Paul42%5
Barack Obama50%Rick Perry42%8
Barack Obama46%Mitt Romney46%Tied
Public Policy Polling [102] October 27–31, 2011Barack Obama50% Michele Bachmann 42%8615 RV±4.0%
Barack Obama47%Herman Cain44%3
Barack Obama50%Newt Gingrich43%7
Barack Obama48%Ron Paul40%8
Barack Obama50%Rick Perry42%8
Barack Obama45%Mitt Romney46%1
Public Policy Polling [103] September 30 – October 3, 2011Barack Obama49%Michele Bachmann42%7760 RV±3.6%
Barack Obama45% Chris Christie 46%1
Barack Obama49%Newt Gingrich42%7
Barack Obama46%Ron Paul43%3
Barack Obama48%Rick Perry44%4
Barack Obama46%Mitt Romney45%1
Public Policy Polling [104] September 1–4, 2011Barack Obama47%Michele Bachmann45%2520 RV±4.3%
Barack Obama48%Newt Gingrich43%5
Barack Obama49% Sarah Palin 42%7
Barack Obama46%Rick Perry46%Tied
Barack Obama45%Mitt Romney44%1
Public Policy Polling [105] [ permanent dead link ]August 4–7, 2011Barack Obama50%Michele Bachmann40%10780 RV±3.5%
Barack Obama50%Herman Cain37%13
Barack Obama52%Sarah Palin39%13
Barack Obama48%Rick Perry40%8
Barack Obama46%Mitt Romney43%3
Public Policy Polling [106] July 7–10, 2011Barack Obama46%Michele Bachmann43%3651 RV±3.8%
Barack Obama46%Herman Cain42%4
Barack Obama50%Sarah Palin42%8
Barack Obama46%Tim Pawlenty41%5
Barack Obama45%Mitt Romney45%Tied
Public Policy Polling [107] June 8–11, 2011Barack Obama48%Herman Cain37%11563 RV±4.1%
Barack Obama50%Newt Gingrich40%10
Barack Obama52%Sarah Palin38%14
Barack Obama47%Tim Pawlenty40%7
Barack Obama45%Mitt Romney44%1
Public Policy Polling [108] May 12–15, 2011Barack Obama50%Newt Gingrich42%8835 RV±3.4%
Barack Obama47% Mike Huckabee 46%1
Barack Obama52%Sarah Palin40%12
Barack Obama46%Mitt Romney43%3
Barack Obama52%Donald Trump35%17
Public Policy Polling [109] April 14–17, 2011Barack Obama49%Newt Gingrich45%4507 RV±4.4%
Barack Obama48%Mike Huckabee47%1
Barack Obama52%Sarah Palin40%12
Barack Obama47%Mitt Romney44%3
Barack Obama51%Donald Trump39%12
Public Policy Polling [110] March 17–20, 2011Barack Obama47%Newt Gingrich42%5584 RV±4.1%
Barack Obama45%Mike Huckabee45%Tied
Barack Obama51%Sarah Palin40%11
Barack Obama44%Mitt Romney42%2
Public Policy Polling [111] February 16–21, 2011Barack Obama48%Newt Gingrich44%4650 RV±3.8%
Barack Obama46%Mike Huckabee47%1
Barack Obama51%Sarah Palin41%10
Barack Obama47%Mitt Romney44%3
Public Policy Polling [112] January 20–23, 2011Barack Obama50%Newt Gingrich44%6575 RV±4.1%
Barack Obama49%Mike Huckabee45%4
Barack Obama50%Sarah Palin41%9
Barack Obama47%Mitt Romney44%3
Public Policy Polling [113] December 17–19, 2010Barack Obama48%Newt Gingrich42%6520 RV±4.3%
Barack Obama45%Mike Huckabee46%1
Barack Obama52%Sarah Palin38%14
Barack Obama46%Mitt Romney43%3
Public Policy Polling [114] November 19–21, 2010Barack Obama46%Newt Gingrich45%1517 RV±4.3%
Barack Obama44%Mike Huckabee48%4
Barack Obama48%Sarah Palin43%5
Barack Obama44%Mitt Romney44%Tied
Public Policy Polling [115] [ permanent dead link ]July 10–12, 2009Barack Obama49%Sarah Palin42%7767 RV±3.5%

Ohio

18 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 51%–49%
(Democratic in 2008) 52%–47%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Quinnipiac University [19] November 28 – December 5, 2011Barack Obama42%Mitt Romney43%11,437 RV±2.6%
Barack Obama42%Newt Gingrich43%1
Quinnipiac University [22] October 31 – November 7, 2011Barack Obama48% Herman Cain 38%101,312 RV±2.7%
Barack Obama49%Newt Gingrich37%12
Barack Obama48% Rick Perry 36%12
Barack Obama45%Mitt Romney42%3
Public Policy Polling [116] November 4–6, 2011Barack Obama51% Michele Bachmann 37%141,022 RV±3.1%
Barack Obama50%Herman Cain39%11
Barack Obama51%Newt Gingrich38%13
Barack Obama50%Ron Paul36%14
Barack Obama53%Rick Perry36%17
Barack Obama50%Mitt Romney41%9
Quinnipiac University [117] October 17–23, 2011Barack Obama47%Rick Perry36%111,668 RV±2.4%
Barack Obama45%Mitt Romney41%4
Barack Obama47%Herman Cain39%8
Public Policy Polling [118] October 13–16, 2011Barack Obama49% Michele Bachmann 40%9581 RV±4.1%
Barack Obama48%Herman Cain45%3
Barack Obama51%Newt Gingrich40%11
Barack Obama50%Rick Perry41%9
Barack Obama46%Mitt Romney46%Tied
Quinnipiac University [119] September 22–25, 2011Barack Obama44%Rick Perry41%31,301 RV±2.7%
Barack Obama44%Mitt Romney42%2
Public Policy Polling [120] August 11–14, 2011Barack Obama48%Michele Bachmann41%7792 RV±3.5%
Barack Obama47%Herman Cain39%8
Barack Obama51% Sarah Palin 38%13
Barack Obama45%Rick Perry41%4
Barack Obama45%Mitt Romney43%2
Quinnipiac University [121] July 12–18, 2011Barack Obama49%Michele Bachmann36%13563 RV±4.1%
Barack Obama51%Sarah Palin35%16
Barack Obama47%Rick Perry35%12
Barack Obama45%Mitt Romney41%4
Public Policy Polling [122] March 10–13, 2011Barack Obama50%Newt Gingrich38%12559 RV±4.1%
Barack Obama48% Mike Huckabee 41%7
Barack Obama52%Sarah Palin36%16
Barack Obama46%Mitt Romney40%6
Public Policy Polling [123] December 10–12, 2010Barack Obama47%Newt Gingrich41%6510 RV±4.3%
Barack Obama45%Mike Huckabee44%1
Barack Obama49%Sarah Palin42%7
Barack Obama44%Mitt Romney42%2

Oregon

7 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 51%–47%
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–40%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Daily Kos/Service Employees' International Union/Service Employees' International Union/Public Policy Polling (D) [124] December 13–14, 2011Barack Obama55%Newt Gingrich37%18979 RV±3.1%
53%Mitt Romney40%13
KATU-TV Portland/SurveyUSA [125] November 18–21, 2011Barack Obama51%Newt Gingrich37%14528 RV±4.4%
48%Mitt Romney40%8
Public Policy Polling [126] June 19–21, 2011Barack Obama53% Michele Bachmann 35%18701 RV±3.7%
53% Herman Cain 32%21
57% Sarah Palin 35%22
52% Tim Pawlenty 34%18
50%Mitt Romney38%12

Pennsylvania

20 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 51%–48%
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Morning Call/Muhlenberg College [127] November 28 – December 7, 2011Barack Obama45%Mitt Romney41%4422 RV±5%
52%Newt Gingrich35%17
48% Rick Perry 30%18
55% Herman Cain 28%27
Quinnipiac University [19] November 28 – December 5, 2011Barack Obama46%Mitt Romney43%31,453 RV±2.6%
48%Newt Gingrich40%8
Public Policy Polling [128] November 17–20, 2011Barack Obama53%Herman Cain35%18500 RV±4.4%
49%Newt Gingrich43%6
46%Ron Paul42%4
51%Rick Perry38%13
Barack Obama45%Mitt Romney45%Tied
Barack Obama47%Rick Santorum42%5
Survey USA [129] November 10, 2011Barack Obama47%Newt Gingrich40%7800 RV±3.5%
Barack Obama44%Mitt Romney44%Tied
Quinnipiac University [22] October 31 – November 7, 2011Barack Obama48%Herman Cain38%101,436 RV±2.6%
48%Newt Gingrich38%10
47%Rick Perry38%9
44%Mitt Romney43%1
Franklin & Marshall College [130] October 24–30, 2011Barack Obama38%Herman Cain24%14525 RV±4.3%
40%Rick Perry20%20
35%Mitt Romney26%9
38%Rick Santorum25%13
Quinnipiac University [131] September 21–26, 2011Barack Obama46%Rick Perry40%61,370 RV±2.7%
45%Mitt Romney43%2
45%Rick Santorum42%3
Franklin & Marshall College [132] August 22–29, 2011Barack Obama42% Michele Bachmann 23%19525 RV±4.3%
38%Rick Perry27%11
36%Mitt Romney30%6
Quinnipiac University [133] July 25–31, 2011Barack Obama47%Michele Bachmann39%81,358 RV±2.7%
45%Rick Perry39%6
Barack Obama42%Mitt Romney44%2
Barack Obama45%Rick Santorum43%2
Public Policy Polling [134] June 30 – July 5, 2011Barack Obama50%Michele Bachmann43%7545 RV±4.2%
49%Herman Cain37%12
53% Sarah Palin 39%14
47% Tim Pawlenty 39%8
Barack Obama44%Mitt Romney44%Tied
Barack Obama50%Rick Santorum40%10
Quinnipiac University [135] June 7–12, 2011Barack Obama47%Mitt Romney40%71,277 RV±2.7%
49%Rick Santorum38%11
Public Policy Polling [136] April 7–10, 2011Barack Obama47%Newt Gingrich39%8593 RV±4.0%
45% Mike Huckabee 44%1
50%Sarah Palin39%11
Barack Obama42%Mitt Romney43%1
Barack Obama45%Rick Santorum43%2
Public Policy Polling [137] January 3–5, 2011Barack Obama50%Newt Gingrich40%10547 RV±4.2%
47%Mike Huckabee44%3
51%Sarah Palin36%15
46%Mitt Romney42%4
48%Rick Santorum40%8

Rhode Island

4 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 59%–39%
(Democratic in 2008) 63%–35%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Public Policy Polling [138] February 16–22, 2011 Barack Obama 60% Newt Gingrich 27%33544 RV±4.2%
Barack Obama56% Mike Huckabee 31%25
Barack Obama65% Sarah Palin 24%41
Barack Obama54% Mitt Romney 37%17

South Carolina

9 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 58%–41%
(Republican in 2008) 54%–45%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
NBC News/Marist College [139] December 4–7, 2011Barack Obama45%Mitt Romney42%32,107 RV±2.1%
Barack Obama46% Newt Gingrich 42%4
Barack Obama47% Ron Paul 37%10
NBC News/Marist College [140] October 10–12, 2011Barack Obama42% Herman Cain 44%22,131 RV±2.1%
Barack Obama42% Rick Perry 43%1
Barack Obama40%Mitt Romney46%6
Public Policy Polling [141] August 25–28, 2011Barack Obama44% Michele Bachmann 44%Tied587 RV±4.0%
Barack Obama44%Newt Gingrich45%1
Barack Obama45% Sarah Palin 45%Tied
Barack Obama41%Rick Perry49%8
Barack Obama38%Mitt Romney53%15
Public Policy Polling [142] June 2–5, 2011Barack Obama43%Herman Cain40%3741 RV±3.6%
Barack Obama44% Jim DeMint 47%3
Barack Obama46%Newt Gingrich44%2
Barack Obama48%Sarah Palin43%5
Barack Obama42% Tim Pawlenty 42%Tied
Barack Obama41%Mitt Romney50%9
Public Policy Polling [143] January 28–30, 2011Barack Obama44%Newt Gingrich43%11,167 RV±2.9%
Barack Obama43% Mike Huckabee 49%6
Barack Obama47%Sarah Palin41%6
Barack Obama42%Mitt Romney49%7
Barack Obama45%Jim DeMint47%2

South Dakota

3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 60%–38%
(Republican in 2008) 53%–45%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Public Policy Polling [144] January 28–30, 2011 Barack Obama 44% Newt Gingrich 42%21,045 RV±3.0%
Barack Obama41% Mike Huckabee 47%6
Barack Obama48% Sarah Palin 40%8
Barack Obama40% Mitt Romney 46%6
Barack Obama37% John Thune 57%20

Tennessee

11 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 57%–43%
(Republican in 2008) 57%–42%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Vanderbilt University [145] October 28 – November 5, 2011Barack Obama39% Rick Perry 40%11,423 RV±2.6%
Barack Obama37% Herman Cain 41%4
Barack Obama38%Mitt Romney42%4
Middle Tennessee State University [146] October 3–14, 2011Barack Obama29%Mitt Romney44%14635 A±4%
Vanderbilt University [147] June 3–8, 2011Barack Obama38% Michele Bachmann 27%11700 RV±3.7%
Barack Obama38%Newt Gingrich26%12
Barack Obama43% Sarah Palin 29%14
Barack Obama37% Tim Pawlenty 28%9
Barack Obama37%Mitt Romney35%2
Public Policy Polling [148] February 9–13, 2011Barack Obama43%Newt Gingrich46%3500 RV±4.4%
Barack Obama41% Mike Huckabee 53%12
Barack Obama45%Sarah Palin45%Tied
Barack Obama41%Mitt Romney48%7
FRONTPAGE Vanderbilt University [149] January 14–16, 2011Barack Obama42%Sarah Palin37%5710 RV±3.3%

Three Way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican % Third party/independent  %Lead margin
Vanderbilt University [150]
October 28 – November 5, 2011 Barack Obama 34% Rick Perry 27%"a qualified Independent candidate"23%7
38% Herman Cain 30%"a qualified Independent candidate"18%8
36% Mitt Romney 25%"a qualified Independent candidate"23%11
33%Mitt Romney28% Michael Bloomberg 14%5
34%Mitt Romney28% Warren Buffett 18%6
38%Mitt Romney35% Alec Baldwin 8%3

Texas

38 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 61%–38%
(Republican in 2008) 55%–44%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
University of Texas/Texas Tribune/YouGov [151] October 19–26, 2011Barack Obama33%Ron Paul38%5800 A±3.46%
Barack Obama35% Herman Cain 40%5
Barack Obama34%Mitt Romney36%2
Barack Obama37%Rick Perry45%8
Public Policy Polling [152] June 25–27, 2011Barack Obama44% Michele Bachmann 47%3795 RV±3.5%
Barack Obama43%Herman Cain43%Tied
Barack Obama46% Sarah Palin 44%2
Barack Obama43%Tim Pawlenty44%1
Barack Obama42%Mitt Romney50%8
Barack Obama40%Ron Paul45%5
Barack Obama47%Rick Perry45%2
Public Policy Polling [153] January 14–16, 2011Barack Obama43%Newt Gingrich48%5892 RV±3.3%
Barack Obama39% Mike Huckabee 55%16
Barack Obama46%Sarah Palin47%1
Barack Obama42%Mitt Romney49%7
Barack Obama45%Rick Perry45%Tied
University of Texas at Austin [154] June 11–22, 2009Barack Obama34%Mitt Romney39%5924 A±3.22%

Utah

6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 72%–26%
(Republican in 2008) 62%–34%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Public Policy Polling [155] July 8–10, 2011 Barack Obama 35% Michele Bachmann 49%14732 RV±3.6%
36% Herman Cain 43%7
23% Jon Huntsman 63%40
41% Sarah Palin 43%2
34% Tim Pawlenty 45%11
31% Mitt Romney 63%32
Salt Lake Tribune /Mason-Dixon Polling & Research [156] April 26–28, 2010Barack Obama22%Mitt Romney73%51400 RV±5.0%
32%Sarah Palin53%22
31% Ron Paul 48%17
KSL-TV/Dan Jones & Associates [157] April 29, 2009Barack Obama27%Mitt Romney67%40254 A±6.2%
25%Jon Huntsman58%33

Vermont

3 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 59%–39%
(Democratic in 2008) 67%–30%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Public Policy Polling [158] [ permanent dead link ]July 28–31, 2011Barack Obama58% Michele Bachmann 30%281,233 RV±2.8%
58% Herman Cain 26%32
53% Mike Huckabee 36%17
62% Sarah Palin 28%34
57% Rick Perry 28%29
54%Mitt Romney34%20

Virginia

13 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 54%–46%
(Democratic in 2008) 53%–46%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Quinnipiac University [159] December 13–19, 2011Barack Obama46%Newt Gingrich41%51,135 RV±2.9%
Barack Obama42%Mitt Romney44%2
Public Policy Polling [160] December 11–13, 2011Barack Obama52% Michele Bachmann 39%13600 RV±4%
Barack Obama50%Newt Gingrich43%7
Barack Obama48%Ron Paul40%8
Barack Obama51% Rick Perry 41%10
Barack Obama48%Mitt Romney42%6
Quinnipiac University [161] October 3–9, 2011Barack Obama45% Herman Cain 43%21,459 RV±2.6%
Barack Obama47%Rick Perry42%5
Barack Obama44%Mitt Romney45%1
Richmond Times-Dispatch/Muhlenberg College/Christopher Newport University [162] October 3–8, 2011Barack Obama43%Rick Perry43%Tied1,027 RV±3.1%
Barack Obama42%Mitt Romney46%4
Roanoke College [163] September 6–17, 2011Barack Obama46%Michele Bachmann35%9601 A±4%
Barack Obama50% Sarah Palin 31%19
Barack Obama43%Ron Paul33%10
Barack Obama40%Rick Perry42%2
Barack Obama37%Mitt Romney45%8
Quinnipiac University [164] September 7–12, 2011Barack Obama48%Michele Bachmann37%111,368 RV±2.7%
Barack Obama50%Sarah Palin35%15
Barack Obama44%Rick Perry42%2
Barack Obama42%Mitt Romney44%2
Public Policy Polling [165] July 21–24, 2011Barack Obama49%Michele Bachmann40%9500 RV±4.4%
Barack Obama49%Herman Cain38%11
Barack Obama51%Sarah Palin37%14
Barack Obama48%Rick Perry39%9
Barack Obama47%Mitt Romney43%4
Public Policy Polling [166] May 5–8, 2011Barack Obama54%Newt Gingrich37%17547 RV±4.2%
Barack Obama52% Mike Huckabee 43%9
Barack Obama55%Sarah Palin40%15
Barack Obama51%Mitt Romney40%11
Barack Obama54% Donald Trump 32%22
Barack Obama51% Bob McDonnell 43%8
The Washington Post [167] [168] May 2–4, 2011Barack Obama51%Mitt Romney44%7503 RVNot reported
Barack Obama53%Mike Huckabee34%9
Barack Obama55% Tim Pawlenty 35%20
Barack Obama61%Donald Trump30%31
Barack Obama61%Sarah Palin30%31
The Washington Post [167] [168] April 28 – May 1, 2011Barack Obama48%Mitt Romney46%2677 RVNot reported
Barack Obama50%Mike Huckabee46%4
Barack Obama51%Tim Pawlenty38%13
Barack Obama54%Donald Trump35%19
Barack Obama55%Sarah Palin36%19
Public Policy Polling [169] February 24–27, 2011Barack Obama51%Newt Gingrich39%12524 RV±3.5%
Barack Obama51%Mike Huckabee43%8
Barack Obama54%Sarah Palin35%19
Barack Obama48%Mitt Romney42%6
Public Policy Polling [170] November 10–13, 2010Barack Obama48%Mitt Romney43%5551 RV±4.2%
Barack Obama51%Sarah Palin40%11
Barack Obama49%Mike Huckabee44%5
Barack Obama52%Newt Gingrich41%11

Washington

12 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 53%–46%
(Democratic in 2008) 58%–40%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
KING-TV Seattle/SurveyUSA [171] November 21–23, 2011Barack Obama56%Newt Gingrich37%19549 RV±4.3%
Barack Obama49%Mitt Romney41%8
University of Washington [172] October 10–30, 2011Barack Obama54% Rick Perry 41%13938 RV±3.2%
Barack Obama50%Mitt Romney41%9
Strategies 360 [173] September 11–14, 2011Barack Obama51%Rick Perry37%14400 LV±4.9%
Barack Obama49%Mitt Romney40%9
Public Policy Polling [174] May 12–15, 2011Barack Obama54%Newt Gingrich36%181098 RV±3.0%
Barack Obama53% Mike Huckabee 39%14
Barack Obama57% Sarah Palin 34%23
Barack Obama51%Mitt Romney40%11
Barack Obama58% Donald Trump 31%27

West Virginia

5 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 56%–43%
(Republican in 2008) 56%–43%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Public Policy Polling [175] September 30–
October 2, 2011		Barack Obama37% Michele Bachmann 52%15932 RV±3.2%
Barack Obama36% Newt Gingrich 51%15
Barack Obama34% Ron Paul 48%14
Barack Obama36% Rick Perry 52%16
Barack Obama33%Mitt Romney54%21
Public Policy Polling [176] September 1–4, 2011Barack Obama39%Michele Bachmann48%9708 RV±3.7%
Barack Obama40%Newt Gingrich45%5
Barack Obama42% Sarah Palin 45%3
Barack Obama38%Rick Perry49%11
Barack Obama37%Mitt Romney49%12
Public Policy Polling [177] January 20–23, 2011Barack Obama39%Newt Gingrich49%101105 RV±2.9%
Barack Obama36% Mike Huckabee 54%18
Barack Obama42%Sarah Palin46%4
Barack Obama37%Mitt Romney50%13

Wisconsin

10 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 50%–49%
(Democratic in 2008) 56%–42%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
WRPI [178] October 18–26, 2011Barack Obama50%Herman Cain31%19605 A±4%
Barack Obama48%Rick Perry30%18
Barack Obama46%Mitt Romney35%11
Public Policy Polling [179] October 20–23, 2011Barack Obama51% Michele Bachmann 40%111,170 RV±2.9%
Barack Obama49%Herman Cain42%7
Barack Obama52%Newt Gingrich38%14
Barack Obama50%Rick Perry39%11
Barack Obama46%Mitt Romney43%3
Public Policy Polling [42] August 12–14, 2011Barack Obama51%Michele Bachmann39%12830 RV±3.4%
Barack Obama50%Herman Cain36%14
Barack Obama52% Sarah Palin 40%12
Barack Obama50%Rick Perry40%10
Barack Obama47%Mitt Romney42%5
Public Policy Polling [180] May 19–22, 2011Barack Obama53%Newt Gingrich35%181,636 RV±2.4%
Barack Obama55%Sarah Palin36%19
Barack Obama51%Mitt Romney39%12
Barack Obama50% Paul Ryan 43%7
Public Policy Polling [181] February 24–27, 2011Barack Obama51%Newt Gingrich39%12768 RV±3.5%
Barack Obama48% Mike Huckabee 41%7
Barack Obama54%Sarah Palin35%19
Barack Obama48%Mitt Romney38%10
Barack Obama49%Paul Ryan40%9
Public Policy Polling [182] December 10–12, 2010Barack Obama50%Newt Gingrich41%9702 RV±3.7%
Barack Obama47%Mike Huckabee41%6
Barack Obama52%Sarah Palin38%14
Barack Obama46%Mitt Romney42%4
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [183] October 26, 2010Barack Obama47% Herman Cain 42%5500 LV±4.5%
Barack Obama42% Rick Perry 46%4
Barack Obama45%Mitt Romney41%4

See also

Notes

  1. ↑ Public Policy Polling
  2. ↑ BRC/Rocky Mountain Poll
  3. ↑ Public Policy Polling
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  19. 1 2 3 Quinnipiac University
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  22. 1 2 3 Quinnipiac University
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