Statewide polls for the 2012 United States presidential election are as follows. The polls listed here, by state, are from 2009 to December 31, 2011 and provide early data on opinion polling between a possible Republican candidate against incumbent President Barack Obama.
Note that some states did not conduct polling before December 31, 2011.
11 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 55%–44%
(Republican in 2008) 53%–45%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | November 17–20, 2011 | Barack Obama | 46% | Herman Cain | 42% | 4 | 500 RV | ±4.4% |
Barack Obama | 45% | Newt Gingrich | 45% | Tied | ||||
Barack Obama | 43% | Ron Paul | 44% | 1 | ||||
Barack Obama | 47% | Rick Perry | 40% | 7 | ||||
Barack Obama | 42% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 7 | ||||
BRC/Rocky Mountain Poll | October 13–24, 2011 | Barack Obama | 45% | Herman Cain | 38% | 7 | 581 RV | ±4.1% |
45% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 5 | |||||
44% | Rick Perry | 38% | 6 | |||||
Public Policy Polling | April 28 – May 1, 2011 | Barack Obama | 47% | Newt Gingrich | 40% | 7 | 623 RV | ±3.9% |
46% | Mike Huckabee | 44% | 2 | |||||
49% | Sarah Palin | 38% | 11 | |||||
Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 4 | ||||
Barack Obama | 48% | Donald Trump | 36% | 12 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | January 28–30, 2011 | Barack Obama | 46% | Newt Gingrich | 46% | Tied | 599 RV | ±4.0% |
Barack Obama | 44% | Mike Huckabee | 48% | 4 | ||||
Barack Obama | 49% | Sarah Palin | 41% | 8 | ||||
Barack Obama | 43% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 6 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | September 18–21, 2009 | Barack Obama | 47% | Sarah Palin | 47% | Tied | 617 RV | ±3.9% |
Barack Obama | 45% | Mike Huckabee | 49% | 4 | ||||
43% | Mitt Romney | 50% | 7 |
6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 54%–45%
(Republican in 2008) 59%–39%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Talk Business/Hendrix College | September 15, 2011 | Barack Obama | 33.5% | Mitt Romney | 49.5% | 16 | 2,101 RV | ±2.1% |
55 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 54%–45%
(Democratic in 2008) 61%–37%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Field Research Corporation (Field Poll) | November 15–27, 2011 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 10 | 1,000 RV | ±3.1% |
55% | Newt Gingrich | 35% | 20 | |||||
Public Policy Polling | November 10–13, 2011 | Barack Obama | 60% | Michele Bachmann | 31% | 29 | 500 RV | ±4.4% |
61% | Herman Cain | 32% | 29 | |||||
60% | Newt Gingrich | 34% | 26 | |||||
57% | Ron Paul | 32% | 25 | |||||
60% | Rick Perry | 31% | 29 | |||||
57% | Mitt Romney | 36% | 21 | |||||
Survey USA | November 10, 2011 | Barack Obama | 56% | Newt Gingrich | 32% | 24 | 800 A | ±3.5% |
50% | Mitt Romney | 39% | 11 | |||||
Field Research Corporation (Field Poll) | September 1–12, 2011 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 38% | 13 | 1,001 RV | ±3.2% |
54% | Rick Perry | 35% | 19 | |||||
L.A. Times/USC Dornsife/Greenberg Quinlan Rosner | August 17–28, 2011 | Barack Obama | 56% | Rick Perry | 32% | 24 | 1,408 RV | ±4% |
57% | Michele Bachmann | 31% | 26 | |||||
54% | Mitt Romney | 35% | 19 | |||||
Public Policy Polling | January 28–30, 2011 | Barack Obama | 58% | Newt Gingrich | 34% | 24 | 892 RV | ±3.3% |
54% | Mike Huckabee | 39% | 15 | |||||
62% | Sarah Palin | 31% | 31 | |||||
56% | Mitt Romney | 36% | 20 |
9 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 52%–47%
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–45%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | December 1–4, 2011 | Barack Obama | 50% | Newt Gingrich | 42% | 8 | 793 | ±3.5% |
52% | Herman Cain | 36% | 16 | |||||
48% | Ron Paul | 39% | 9 | |||||
52% | Rick Perry | 37% | 15 | |||||
47% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 2 | |||||
Public Policy Polling [ permanent dead link ] | August 4–7, 2011 | Barack Obama | 51% | Michele Bachmann | 39% | 12 | 510 | ±4.3% |
51% | Herman Cain | 35% | 16 | |||||
54% | Sarah Palin | 38% | 16 | |||||
51% | Rick Perry | 38% | 13 | |||||
48% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 7 | |||||
Public Policy Polling | February 4–6, 2011 | Barack Obama | 53% | Newt Gingrich | 39% | 14 | 517 | ±4.3% |
51% | Mike Huckabee | 42% | 9 | |||||
55% | Sarah Palin | 36% | 19 | |||||
47% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 6 |
7 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 54%–44%
(Democratic in 2008) 61%–38%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | September 22–25, 2011 | Barack Obama | 55% | Michele Bachmann | 36% | 19 | 592 RV | ±4.0% |
54% | Newt Gingrich | 38% | 16 | |||||
53% | Rick Perry | 41% | 12 | |||||
47% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 2 | |||||
Quinnipiac University | September 8–13, 2011 | Barack Obama | 52% | Rick Perry | 33% | 19 | 1,230 RV | ±2.8% |
49% | Mitt Romney | 36% | 13 |
29 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 52%–47%
(Democratic in 2008) 51%–48%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NBC News/Marist College | December 4–7, 2011 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 7 | 2,119 | ±2.1% |
51% | Newt Gingrich | 39% | 12 | |||||
49% | Ron Paul | 36% | 13 | |||||
Quinnipiac University | November 28 – December 5, 2011 | Barack Obama | 42% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 3 | 1,226 | ±2.8% |
Barack Obama | 46% | Newt Gingrich | 44% | 2 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | November 28 – December 1, 2011 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 1 | 700 | ±3.7% |
50% | Newt Gingrich | 44% | 6 | |||||
51% | Herman Cain | 37% | 14 | |||||
46% | Rick Perry | 40% | 6 | |||||
50% | Ron Paul | 38% | 12 | |||||
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | November 17, 2011 | Barack Obama | 42% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 4 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Barack Obama | 46% | Herman Cain | 37% | 9 | ||||
45% | Newt Gingrich | 43% | 2 | |||||
Quinnipiac University | October 31 – November 7, 2011 | Barack Obama | 45% | Herman Cain | 41% | 4 | 1,185 RV | ±2.9% |
45% | Newt Gingrich | 42% | 3 | |||||
46% | Rick Perry | 40% | 6 | |||||
Barack Obama | 42% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 3 | ||||
Suffolk University | October 26–30, 2011 | Barack Obama | 42% | Herman Cain | 39% | 3 | 800 RV | Not reported |
46% | Rick Perry | 34% | 8 | |||||
44% | Ron Paul | 32% | 12 | |||||
45% | Newt Gingrich | 38% | 7 | |||||
Barack Obama | 42% | Mitt Romney | 42% | Tied | ||||
NBC News/Marist College | October 10–12, 2011 | Barack Obama | 47% | Herman Cain | 41% | 6 | 2,225 | ±2.1% |
47% | Rick Perry | 39% | 8 | |||||
45% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 2 | |||||
Public Policy Polling | September 22–25, 2011 | Barack Obama | 49% | Michele Bachmann | 44% | 5 | 476 | ±4.5% |
50% | Newt Gingrich | 42% | 8 | |||||
45% | Ron Paul | 44% | 1 | |||||
50% | Rick Perry | 43% | 7 | |||||
46% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 1 | |||||
Quinnipiac University | September 14–19, 2011 | Barack Obama | 44% | Rick Perry | 42% | 2 | 1,007 | ±3.1% |
Barack Obama | 40% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 7 | ||||
Quinnipiac University | August 1–2, 2011 | Barack Obama | 50% | Michele Bachmann | 38% | 12 | 743 RV | ±3.6% |
53% | Sarah Palin | 34% | 19 | |||||
44% | Rick Perry | 39% | 5 | |||||
Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 44% | Tied | ||||
Quinnipiac University | July 27–31, 2011 | Barack Obama | 50% | Michele Bachmann | 36% | 14 | 674 RV | ±3.8% |
54% | Sarah Palin | 33% | 21 | |||||
49% | Rick Perry | 36% | 13 | |||||
46% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 5 | |||||
Sunshine State News/Voter Survey Service | July 5–7, 2011 | Barack Obama | 42% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 4 | 1,000 LV | ±3.10% |
Public Policy Polling | June 16–19, 2011 | Barack Obama | 49% | Michele Bachmann | 40% | 9 | 848 RV | ±3.4% |
48% | Herman Cain | 37% | 11 | |||||
52% | Sarah Palin | 40% | 12 | |||||
48% | Tim Pawlenty | 40% | 8 | |||||
47% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 4 | |||||
Suffolk University/7 News Archived 2011-11-28 at the Wayback Machine | April 10–12, 2011 | Barack Obama | 42% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 1 | 600 RV | ±4.0% |
Barack Obama | 44% | Mike Huckabee | 41% | 3 | ||||
41% | Tim Pawlenty | 28% | 13 | |||||
45% | Michele Bachmann | 30% | 15 | |||||
47% | Newt Gingrich | 36% | 11 | |||||
52% | Sarah Palin | 34% | 18 | |||||
49% | Donald Trump | 34% | 15 | |||||
47% | Haley Barbour | 26% | 17 | |||||
48% | Ron Paul | 30% | 18 | |||||
Ron Sachs Communications/Mason-Dixon Polling & Research | April 4–7, 2011 | Barack Obama | 43% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 5 | 800 RV | ±3.5% |
44% | Mike Huckabee | 49% | 5 | |||||
Barack Obama | 51% | Sarah Palin | 39% | 12 | ||||
48% | Donald Trump | 40% | 8 | |||||
Public Policy Polling | March 24–27, 2011 | Barack Obama | 50% | Newt Gingrich | 42% | 8 | 500 RV | ±4.4% |
50% | Mike Huckabee | 43% | 7 | |||||
52% | Sarah Palin | 39% | 13 | |||||
46% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 2 | |||||
48% | Jeb Bush | 45% | 3 | |||||
48% | Rudy Giuliani | 42% | 6 | |||||
Public Policy Polling | December 17–20, 2010 | Barack Obama | 47% | Newt Gingrich | 42% | 5 | 1,034 RV | ±3.0% |
49% | Mike Huckabee | 44% | 5 | |||||
52% | Sarah Palin | 38% | 14 | |||||
46% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 2 | |||||
48% | Marco Rubio | 40% | 8 |
16 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 58%–41%
(Republican in 2008) 52%–47%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mason-Dixon Polling & Research | December 12–14, 2011 | Barack Obama | 41% | Newt Gingrich | 50% | 9 | 625 | ±4.0% |
38% | Mitt Romney | 55% | 17 | |||||
SurveyUSA | December 6–7, 2011 | Barack Obama | 42% | Newt Gingrich | 48% | 6 | 1,176 | ±2.9% |
42% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 7 | |||||
Public Policy Polling | March 31 – April 3, 2011 | Barack Obama | 46% | Newt Gingrich | 45% | 1 | 790 RV | ±3.5% |
Barack Obama | 45% | Mike Huckabee | 48% | 3 | ||||
Barack Obama | 48% | Sarah Palin | 43% | 5 | ||||
Barack Obama | 43% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 3 | ||||
Barack Obama | 44% | Herman Cain | 39% | 5 |
4 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 54%–45%
(Democratic in 2008) 72%–27%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | October 13–16, 2011 | Barack Obama | 64% | Michele Bachmann | 28% | 36 | 568 RV | ±4.1% |
63% | Herman Cain | 30% | 33 | |||||
64% | Newt Gingrich | 27% | 37 | |||||
63% | Rick Perry | 28% | 35 | |||||
59% | Mitt Romney | 32% | 27 |
20 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 55%–45%
(Democratic in 2008) 62%–37%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Paul Simon Public Policy Institute (Southern Illinois University) | October 11–16, 2011 | Barack Obama | 46.1% | Mitt Romney | 38.5% | 7.6 | 1,000 RV | ±3% |
49.3% | Ron Paul | 30.3% | 19 |
6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 50%–49%
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NBC News/Marist College | November 27–29, 2011 | Barack Obama | 48% | Rick Perry | 37% | 11 | 1,393 | ±2.6% |
46% | Mitt Romney | 39% | 7 | |||||
54% | Michele Bachmann | 31% | 23 | |||||
47% | Newt Gingrich | 37% | 10 | |||||
50% | Herman Cain | 32% | 18 | |||||
Barack Obama | 42% | Ron Paul | 42% | Tied | ||||
Public Policy Polling | October 7–10, 2011 | Barack Obama | 49% | Michele Bachmann | 39% | 10 | 749 RV | ±3.6% |
47% | Herman Cain | 41% | 6 | |||||
50% | Newt Gingrich | 39% | 11 | |||||
47% | Ron Paul | 40% | 7 | |||||
49% | Rick Perry | 39% | 10 | |||||
46% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 4 | |||||
NBC News/Marist College | October 3–5, 2011 | Barack Obama | 46% | Rick Perry | 37% | 9 | 2,836 RV | ±1.8% |
43% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 3 | |||||
Public Policy Polling | August 19–21, 2011 | Barack Obama | 51% | Michele Bachmann | 34% | 17 | 798 RV | ±3.5% |
51% | Herman Cain | 33% | 18 | |||||
54% | Sarah Palin | 33% | 21 | |||||
51% | Rick Perry | 38% | 13 | |||||
49% | Mitt Romney | 39% | 10 | |||||
Every Child Matters Fund/Mason-Dixon Polling & Research | July 5–7, 2011 | Barack Obama | 47% | Michele Bachmann | 46% | 1 | 629 LV | ±3.9% |
Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 3 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | May 27–30, 2011 | Barack Obama | 50% | Herman Cain | 32% | 18 | 1,387 RV | ±2.6% |
54% | Newt Gingrich | 33% | 21 | |||||
55% | Sarah Palin | 35% | 20 | |||||
49% | Tim Pawlenty | 37% | 12 | |||||
49% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 9 | |||||
Public Policy Polling | April 15–17, 2011 | Barack Obama | 50% | Newt Gingrich | 39% | 11 | 1,109 RV | ±2.9% |
Barack Obama | 45% | Mike Huckabee | 45% | Tied | ||||
Barack Obama | 53% | Sarah Palin | 36% | 17 | ||||
45% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 4 | |||||
51% | Donald Trump | 35% | 16 | |||||
Public Policy Polling | January 7–9, 2011 | Barack Obama | 51% | Newt Gingrich | 38% | 13 | 1,077 RV | ±3.0% |
47% | Mike Huckabee | 43% | 4 | |||||
53% | Sarah Palin | 37% | 16 | |||||
47% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 6 |
6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 62%–37%
(Republican in 2008) 57%–42%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
KWCH-TV Wichita/Survey USA | November 10, 2011 | Barack Obama | 35% | Newt Gingrich | 52% | 17 | 800 RV | ±3.5% |
Barack Obama | 31% | Mitt Romney | 56% | 25 |
8 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 60%–40%
(Republican in 2008) 57%–41%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | August 25–28, 2011 | Barack Obama | 43% | Michele Bachmann | 46% | 3 | 600 RV | ±4.0% |
Barack Obama | 47% | Newt Gingrich | 44% | 3 | ||||
Barack Obama | 48% | Sarah Palin | 44% | 4 | ||||
Barack Obama | 42% | Rick Perry | 49% | 7 | ||||
Barack Obama | 40% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 8 |
8 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 57%–42%
(Republican in 2008) 59%–40%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Clarus Research Group | October 5–7, 2011 | Barack Obama | 37% | Mitt Romney | 53% | 16 | 602 RV | ±4.0% |
Barack Obama | 37% | Rick Perry | 52% | 15 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | July 17–19, 2009 | Barack Obama | 42% | Sarah Palin | 49% | 7 | 727 RV | ±3.6% |
Barack Obama | 40% | Bobby Jindal | 54% | 14 |
4 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 53%–45%
(Democratic in 2008) 58%–40%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | October 28–31, 2011 | Barack Obama | 55% | Michele Bachmann | 35% | 20 | 673 RV | ±3.8% |
54% | Herman Cain | 37% | 17 | |||||
55% | Newt Gingrich | 35% | 20 | |||||
55% | Rick Perry | 34% | 21 | |||||
49% | Mitt Romney | 38% | 11 | |||||
Bangor Daily News/Critical Insights | October 18–23, 2011 | Barack Obama | 41% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 1 | 600 RV | ±4.0% |
46% | Rick Perry | 32% | 14 | |||||
Public Policy Polling | March 3–6, 2011 | Barack Obama | 53% | Newt Gingrich | 37% | 16 | 1,247 RV | ±2.8% |
51% | Mike Huckabee | 39% | 12 | |||||
57% | Sarah Palin | 35% | 22 | |||||
49% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 8 |
11 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 62%–37%
(Democratic in 2008) 62%–36%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
University of Massachusetts Amherst/YouGov | November 9–22, 2011 | Barack Obama | 54% | Rick Perry | 23% | 31 | 222 RV | Not reported |
Barack Obama | 51% | Herman Cain | 28% | 23 | 228 RV | |||
Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 34% | 15 | 446 RV | ±4.6% | ||
Public Policy Polling | September 16–18, 2011 | Barack Obama | 59% | Michele Bachmann | 28% | 31 | 791 RV | ±3.5% |
Barack Obama | 58% | Newt Gingrich | 31% | 27 | ||||
Barack Obama | 55% | Ron Paul | 30% | 25 | ||||
Barack Obama | 58% | Rick Perry | 32% | 26 | ||||
Barack Obama | 53% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 13 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | June 2–5, 2011 | Barack Obama | 60% | Herman Cain | 27% | 33 | 957 RV | ±3.2% |
Barack Obama | 63% | Newt Gingrich | 27% | 36 | ||||
Barack Obama | 63% | Sarah Palin | 27% | 36 | ||||
Barack Obama | 59% | Tim Pawlenty | 28% | 31 | ||||
Barack Obama | 57% | Mitt Romney | 37% | 20 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | November 29 – December 1, 2010 | Barack Obama | 57% | Newt Gingrich | 33% | 24 | 500 RV | ±4.4% |
Barack Obama | 57% | Mike Huckabee | 33% | 24 | ||||
Barack Obama | 61% | Sarah Palin | 32% | 29 | ||||
Barack Obama | 52% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 9 |
16 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 51%–48%
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–41%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Detroit Free Press/EPIC-MRA | November 13–16, 2011 | Barack Obama | 41% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 5 | 600 LV | ±4% |
Barack Obama | 45% | Newt Gingrich | 40% | 5 | ||||
Barack Obama | 50% | Herman Cain | 36% | 14 | ||||
SurveyUSA | October 12–14, 2011 | Barack Obama | 56% | Michele Bachmann | 30% | 26 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Barack Obama | 53% | Herman Cain | 32% | 21 | ||||
Barack Obama | 54% | Newt Gingrich | 31% | 23 | ||||
Barack Obama | 53% | Rick Perry | 32% | 21 | ||||
Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 39% | 11 | ||||
Inside Michigan/Marketing Resource Group | Sept 14–19, 2011 | Barack Obama | 50% | Rick Perry | 39% | 11 | 600 LV | ±4% |
Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 44% | Tied | ||||
Public Policy Polling | July 21–24, 2011 | Barack Obama | 53% | Michele Bachmann | 37% | 16 | 593 RV | ±4.0% |
Barack Obama | 50% | Herman Cain | 33% | 17 | ||||
Barack Obama | 54% | Sarah Palin | 36% | 18 | ||||
Barack Obama | 50% | Rick Perry | 35% | 15 | ||||
Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 5 | ||||
Barack Obama | 50% | Thaddeus McCotter | 31% | 19 | ||||
EPIC-MRA | July 9–11, 2011 | Barack Obama | 42% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 4 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
Public Policy Polling | March 18–20, 2011 | Barack Obama | 53% | Newt Gingrich | 37% | 16 | 502 RV | ±4.4% |
Barack Obama | 50% | Mike Huckabee | 41% | 9 | ||||
Barack Obama | 55% | Sarah Palin | 35% | 20 | ||||
Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 7 | ||||
Barack Obama | 52% | Scott Walker | 32% | 20 | ||||
EPIC-MRA | February 12–17, 2011 | Barack Obama | 41% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 5 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
Public Policy Polling | December 3–6, 2010 | Barack Obama | 52% | Newt Gingrich | 37% | 15 | 1,224 RV | ±2.8% |
Barack Obama | 51% | Mike Huckabee | 39% | 12 | ||||
Barack Obama | 56% | Sarah Palin | 35% | 21 | ||||
Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 4 | ||||
Barack Obama | 49% | Rick Snyder | 38% | 11 |
10 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 51%–48%
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
KSTP-TV Minneapolis/SurveyUSA | November 2–6, 2011 | Barack Obama | 57% | Michele Bachmann | 29% | 28 | 543 RV | ±4.3% |
Barack Obama | 48% | Herman Cain | 35% | 13 | ||||
Barack Obama | 48% | Rick Perry | 35% | 13 | ||||
Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 39% | 6 | ||||
KSTP-TV Minneapolis/SurveyUSA | June 15–17, 2011 | Barack Obama | 53% | Michele Bachmann | 39% | 14 | 558 RV | ±4.2% |
Barack Obama | 46% | Tim Pawlenty | 46% | Tied | ||||
Public Policy Polling | May 27–30, 2011 | Barack Obama | 56% | Michele Bachmann | 35% | 21 | 1,179 RV | ±2.9% |
Barack Obama | 51% | Herman Cain | 30% | 21 | ||||
Barack Obama | 54% | Newt Gingrich | 36% | 18 | ||||
Barack Obama | 56% | Sarah Palin | 36% | 20 | ||||
Barack Obama | 51% | Tim Pawlenty | 43% | 8 | ||||
Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 36% | 15 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | December 4–5, 2010 | Barack Obama | 51% | Newt Gingrich | 38% | 13 | 949 RV | ±3.2% |
Barack Obama | 50% | Mike Huckabee | 40% | 10 | ||||
Barack Obama | 54% | Sarah Palin | 36% | 18 | ||||
Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 5 | ||||
Barack Obama | 51% | Tim Pawlenty | 43% | 8 | ||||
St. Cloud State University | October 24 – November 4, 2009 | Barack Obama | 49% | Tim Pawlenty | 40% | 9 | 550 | ±5.0% |
Public Policy Polling [ permanent dead link ] | July 7–8, 2009 | Barack Obama | 56% | Sarah Palin | 35% | 21 | 1,491 | ±2.5% |
Barack Obama | 51% | Tim Pawlenty | 40% | 11 |
6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 59%–40%
(Republican in 2008) 56%–43%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | November 4–6, 2011 | Barack Obama | 40% | Michele Bachmann | 52% | 12 | 796 RV | ±3.5% |
37% | Herman Cain | 54% | 17 | |||||
38% | Newt Gingrich | 54% | 16 | |||||
37% | Ron Paul | 52% | 15 | |||||
38% | Rick Perry | 55% | 17 | |||||
36% | Mitt Romney | 54% | 18 | |||||
Public Policy Polling | March 24–27, 2011 | Barack Obama | 42% | Newt Gingrich | 48% | 6 | 817 RV | ±3.4% |
40% | Mike Huckabee | 54% | 14 | |||||
44% | Sarah Palin | 48% | 4 | |||||
40% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 6 | |||||
41% | Haley Barbour | 51% | 10 |
10 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 53%–46%
(Republican in 2008) 49%–49%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | November 9, 2011 | Barack Obama | 47% | Herman Cain | 39% | 8 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Barack Obama | 47% | Rick Perry | 43% | 4 | ||||
Barack Obama | 42% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 3 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | September 9–12, 2011 | Barack Obama | 47% | Michele Bachmann | 43% | 4 | 632 RV | ±3.9% |
Barack Obama | 47% | Newt Gingrich | 45% | 2 | ||||
Barack Obama | 45% | Rick Perry | 47% | 2 | ||||
Barack Obama | 43% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 4 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | April 28 – May 1, 2011 | Barack Obama | 46% | Newt Gingrich | 44% | 2 | 555 RV | ±3.9% |
Barack Obama | 44% | Mike Huckabee | 49% | 5 | ||||
Barack Obama | 48% | Sarah Palin | 43% | 5 | ||||
Barack Obama | 43% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 2 | ||||
Barack Obama | 46% | Donald Trump | 41% | 5 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | March 3–6, 2011 | Barack Obama | 44% | Newt Gingrich | 44% | Tied | 612 RV | ±4.0% |
Barack Obama | 43% | Mike Huckabee | 49% | 6 | ||||
Barack Obama | 48% | Sarah Palin | 43% | 5 | ||||
Barack Obama | 43% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 1 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | November 29 – December 1, 2010 | Barack Obama | 44% | Newt Gingrich | 45% | 1 | 515 RV | ±4.3% |
Barack Obama | 42% | Mike Huckabee | 49% | 7 | ||||
Barack Obama | 46% | Sarah Palin | 43% | 3 | ||||
Barack Obama | 41% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 6 |
3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 59%–39%
(Republican in 2008) 49%–47%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | November 28–30, 2011 | Barack Obama | 43% | Herman Cain | 45% | 2 | 1,625 RV | ±2.4% |
42% | Newt Gingrich | 50% | 8 | |||||
40% | Ron Paul | 48% | 8 | |||||
40% | Mitt Romney | 50% | 10 | |||||
43% | Rick Perry | 46% | 3 | |||||
Public Policy Polling | June 16–19, 2011 | Barack Obama | 42% | Michele Bachmann | 48% | 6 | 819 RV | ±3.4% |
41% | Herman Cain | 46% | 5 | |||||
44% | Sarah Palin | 48% | 4 | |||||
41% | Tim Pawlenty | 45% | 4 | |||||
41% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 8 | |||||
Public Policy Polling | November 10–13, 2010 | Barack Obama | 44% | Newt Gingrich | 46% | 2 | 1,176 RV | ±2.9% |
41% | Mike Huckabee | 51% | 10 | |||||
45% | Sarah Palin | 47% | 2 | |||||
39% | Mitt Romney | 50% | 11 |
5 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 66%–33%
(Republican in 2008) 57%–42%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | September 30 – October 2, 2011 | Barack Obama | 41% | Michele Bachmann | 49% | 8 | 739 RV | ±3.6% |
Barack Obama | 41% | Newt Gingrich | 48% | 7 | ||||
Barack Obama | 41% | Rick Perry | 48% | 7 | ||||
Barack Obama | 38% | Mitt Romney | 51% | 13 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | January 26–27, 2011 | Barack Obama | 40% | Newt Gingrich | 48% | 8 | 977 RV | ±3.1% |
Barack Obama | 38% | Mike Huckabee | 51% | 13 | ||||
Barack Obama | 44% | Sarah Palin | 45% | 1 | ||||
Barack Obama | 37% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 12 |
6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 51%–48%
(Democratic in 2008) 55%–43%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Las Vegas Review Journal/University of Nevada Las Vegas | December 12–20, 2011 | Barack Obama | 45.7% | Mitt Romney | 39.8% | 5.9 | 600 RV | ±4.0% |
Barack Obama | 45.4% | Ron Paul | 35.7% | 9.7 | ||||
Barack Obama | 47.3% | Newt Gingrich | 35.4% | 11.9 | ||||
Barack Obama | 50.2% | Michele Bachmann | 27.1% | 23.1 | ||||
Barack Obama | 48.8% | Jon Huntsman | 30.1% | 18.7 | ||||
Barack Obama | 50.8% | Rick Perry | 31.1% | 19.7 | ||||
Barack Obama | 49.3% | Rick Santorum | 30.9% | 18.4 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | October 20–23, 2011 | Barack Obama | 49% | Michele Bachmann | 41% | 8 | 500 RV | ±4.4% |
Barack Obama | 49% | Herman Cain | 46% | 3 | ||||
Barack Obama | 49% | Newt Gingrich | 46% | 3 | ||||
Barack Obama | 51% | Rick Perry | 41% | 10 | ||||
Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 46% | Tied | ||||
Public Policy Polling | July 28–31, 2011 | Barack Obama | 50% | Michele Bachmann | 40% | 10 | 601 RV | ±4.0% |
Barack Obama | 48% | Herman Cain | 39% | 9 | ||||
Barack Obama | 51% | Sarah Palin | 39% | 12 | ||||
Barack Obama | 49% | Rick Perry | 40% | 9 | ||||
Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 1 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | April 21–24, 2011 | Barack Obama | 46% | Newt Gingrich | 42% | 4 | 491 RV | ±4.4% |
Barack Obama | 45% | Mike Huckabee | 43% | 2 | ||||
Barack Obama | 50% | Sarah Palin | 39% | 11 | ||||
Barack Obama | 43% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 3 | ||||
Barack Obama | 47% | Donald Trump | 41% | 6 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | January 3–5, 2011 | Barack Obama | 51% | Newt Gingrich | 40% | 11 | 932 RV | ±3.2% |
Barack Obama | 51% | Mike Huckabee | 41% | 10 | ||||
Barack Obama | 52% | Sarah Palin | 39% | 13 | ||||
Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 1 |
4 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 50%–49%
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–45%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NBC News/Marist College | November 28–30, 2011 | Barack Obama | 51% | Rick Perry | 36% | 15 | 1,144 RV | ±2.9% |
Barack Obama | 43% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 3 | ||||
Barack Obama | 53% | Michele Bachmann | 33% | 20 | ||||
Barack Obama | 49% | Newt Gingrich | 39% | 10 | ||||
Barack Obama | 53% | Herman Cain | 30% | 23 | ||||
Barack Obama | 44% | Ron Paul | 42% | 2 | ||||
WMUR/University of New Hampshire | November 15–20, 2011 | Barack Obama | 54% | Rick Perry | 35% | 19 | 606 LV | ±4% |
Barack Obama | 52% | Newt Gingrich | 40% | 12 | ||||
Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 3 | ||||
NBC News/Marist College | October 3–5, 2011 | Barack Obama | 46% | Rick Perry | 40% | 6 | 2,218 RV | ±2.1% |
Barack Obama | 40% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 9 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | June 30 – July 5, 2011 | Barack Obama | 49% | Michele Bachmann | 42% | 7 | 662 RV | ±3.8% |
Barack Obama | 49% | Herman Cain | 39% | 10 | ||||
Barack Obama | 53% | Sarah Palin | 38% | 15 | ||||
Barack Obama | 48% | Tim Pawlenty | 41% | 7 | ||||
Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 2 | ||||
WMUR/University of New Hampshire | June 21 – July 1, 2011 | Barack Obama | 43% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 4 | 773 A | ±3.5% |
Barack Obama | 47% | Tim Pawlenty | 38% | 11 | ||||
Barack Obama | 47% | Michele Bachmann | 41% | 6 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | March 31 – April 3, 2011 | Barack Obama | 52% | Newt Gingrich | 39% | 13 | 769 RV | ±3.5% |
Barack Obama | 52% | Mike Huckabee | 38% | 14 | ||||
Barack Obama | 56% | Sarah Palin | 34% | 22 | ||||
Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 1 | ||||
Barack Obama | 51% | Donald Trump | 37% | 14 | ||||
Magellan Strategies | February 9–10, 2011 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 4 | 789 LV | ±3.49% |
Barack Obama | 57% | Sarah Palin | 34% | 23 | ||||
Barack Obama | 51% | Mike Huckabee | 38% | 13 | ||||
Barack Obama | 56% | Newt Gingrich | 33% | 23 |
14 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 52%–46%
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–42%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | January 6–9, 2011 | Barack Obama | 55% | Chris Christie | 38% | 17 | 520 RV | ±4.3% |
Barack Obama | 54% | Newt Gingrich | 37% | 17 | ||||
Barack Obama | 53% | Mike Huckabee | 36% | 17 | ||||
Barack Obama | 59% | Sarah Palin | 29% | 30 | ||||
Barack Obama | 52% | Mitt Romney | 37% | 15 |
5 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 50%–49%
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–42%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | December 10–12, 2011 | Barack Obama | 56% | Newt Gingrich | 39% | 17 | 500 RV | ±4.4% |
56% | Michele Bachmann | 36% | 20 | |||||
51% | Ron Paul | 38% | 13 | |||||
53% | Mitt Romney | 38% | 15 | |||||
56% | Rick Perry | 35% | 21 | |||||
Public Policy Polling | June 23–26, 2011 | Barack Obama | 52% | Michele Bachmann | 37% | 15 | 732 RV | ±3.6% |
52% | Herman Cain | 36% | 16 | |||||
46% | Gary Johnson | 43% | 3 | |||||
56% | Sarah Palin | 36% | 20 | |||||
51% | Tim Pawlenty | 36% | 15 | |||||
49% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 7 | |||||
Public Policy Polling | February 4–6, 2011 | Barack Obama | 56% | Newt Gingrich | 35% | 21 | 545 RV | ±4.2% |
55% | Mike Huckabee | 36% | 19 | |||||
51% | Gary Johnson | 36% | 15 | |||||
62% | Sarah Palin | 33% | 29 | |||||
53% | Mitt Romney | 37% | 16 |
Three Way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | December 10–12, 2011 | Barack Obama | 45% | Newt Gingrich | 28% | Gary Johnson | 20% | 17 | 500 RV | ±4.4% |
44% | Mitt Romney | 27% | Gary Johnson | 23% | 17 |
29 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 58%–40%
(Democratic in 2008) 63%–36%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Siena College | November 8–13, 2011 | Barack Obama | 63% | Herman Cain | 27% | 36 | 803 RV | ±3.5% |
Barack Obama | 63% | Rick Perry | 28% | 35 | ||||
Barack Obama | 59% | Mitt Romney | 34% | 25 | ||||
Barack Obama | 64% | Michele Bachmann | 27% | 37 | ||||
Barack Obama | 60% | Ron Paul | 31% | 29 | ||||
Marist College | October 25–27, 2011 | Barack Obama | 62% | Herman Cain | 31% | 31 | 1,030 RV | ±3.0% |
Barack Obama | 64% | Rick Perry | 29% | 35 | ||||
Barack Obama | 59% | Mitt Romney | 35% | 24 | ||||
Siena College | October 10–12, 2011 | Barack Obama | 58% | Herman Cain | 32% | 26 | 800 RV | ±3.5% |
Barack Obama | 58% | Rick Perry | 31% | 27 | ||||
Barack Obama | 55% | Mitt Romney | 37% | 18 |
15 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 56%–44%
(Democratic in 2008) 50%–49%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | December 1–4, 2011 | Barack Obama | 50% | Herman Cain | 37% | 13 | 865 RV | ±3.3% |
Barack Obama | 49% | Newt Gingrich | 45% | 4 | ||||
Barack Obama | 47% | Ron Paul | 42% | 5 | ||||
Barack Obama | 50% | Rick Perry | 42% | 8 | ||||
Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 46% | Tied | ||||
Public Policy Polling | October 27–31, 2011 | Barack Obama | 50% | Michele Bachmann | 42% | 8 | 615 RV | ±4.0% |
Barack Obama | 47% | Herman Cain | 44% | 3 | ||||
Barack Obama | 50% | Newt Gingrich | 43% | 7 | ||||
Barack Obama | 48% | Ron Paul | 40% | 8 | ||||
Barack Obama | 50% | Rick Perry | 42% | 8 | ||||
Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 1 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | September 30 – October 3, 2011 | Barack Obama | 49% | Michele Bachmann | 42% | 7 | 760 RV | ±3.6% |
Barack Obama | 45% | Chris Christie | 46% | 1 | ||||
Barack Obama | 49% | Newt Gingrich | 42% | 7 | ||||
Barack Obama | 46% | Ron Paul | 43% | 3 | ||||
Barack Obama | 48% | Rick Perry | 44% | 4 | ||||
Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 1 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | September 1–4, 2011 | Barack Obama | 47% | Michele Bachmann | 45% | 2 | 520 RV | ±4.3% |
Barack Obama | 48% | Newt Gingrich | 43% | 5 | ||||
Barack Obama | 49% | Sarah Palin | 42% | 7 | ||||
Barack Obama | 46% | Rick Perry | 46% | Tied | ||||
Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 1 | ||||
Public Policy Polling [ permanent dead link ] | August 4–7, 2011 | Barack Obama | 50% | Michele Bachmann | 40% | 10 | 780 RV | ±3.5% |
Barack Obama | 50% | Herman Cain | 37% | 13 | ||||
Barack Obama | 52% | Sarah Palin | 39% | 13 | ||||
Barack Obama | 48% | Rick Perry | 40% | 8 | ||||
Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 3 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | July 7–10, 2011 | Barack Obama | 46% | Michele Bachmann | 43% | 3 | 651 RV | ±3.8% |
Barack Obama | 46% | Herman Cain | 42% | 4 | ||||
Barack Obama | 50% | Sarah Palin | 42% | 8 | ||||
Barack Obama | 46% | Tim Pawlenty | 41% | 5 | ||||
Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 45% | Tied | ||||
Public Policy Polling | June 8–11, 2011 | Barack Obama | 48% | Herman Cain | 37% | 11 | 563 RV | ±4.1% |
Barack Obama | 50% | Newt Gingrich | 40% | 10 | ||||
Barack Obama | 52% | Sarah Palin | 38% | 14 | ||||
Barack Obama | 47% | Tim Pawlenty | 40% | 7 | ||||
Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 1 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | May 12–15, 2011 | Barack Obama | 50% | Newt Gingrich | 42% | 8 | 835 RV | ±3.4% |
Barack Obama | 47% | Mike Huckabee | 46% | 1 | ||||
Barack Obama | 52% | Sarah Palin | 40% | 12 | ||||
Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 3 | ||||
Barack Obama | 52% | Donald Trump | 35% | 17 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | April 14–17, 2011 | Barack Obama | 49% | Newt Gingrich | 45% | 4 | 507 RV | ±4.4% |
Barack Obama | 48% | Mike Huckabee | 47% | 1 | ||||
Barack Obama | 52% | Sarah Palin | 40% | 12 | ||||
Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 3 | ||||
Barack Obama | 51% | Donald Trump | 39% | 12 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | March 17–20, 2011 | Barack Obama | 47% | Newt Gingrich | 42% | 5 | 584 RV | ±4.1% |
Barack Obama | 45% | Mike Huckabee | 45% | Tied | ||||
Barack Obama | 51% | Sarah Palin | 40% | 11 | ||||
Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 2 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | February 16–21, 2011 | Barack Obama | 48% | Newt Gingrich | 44% | 4 | 650 RV | ±3.8% |
Barack Obama | 46% | Mike Huckabee | 47% | 1 | ||||
Barack Obama | 51% | Sarah Palin | 41% | 10 | ||||
Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 3 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | January 20–23, 2011 | Barack Obama | 50% | Newt Gingrich | 44% | 6 | 575 RV | ±4.1% |
Barack Obama | 49% | Mike Huckabee | 45% | 4 | ||||
Barack Obama | 50% | Sarah Palin | 41% | 9 | ||||
Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 3 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | December 17–19, 2010 | Barack Obama | 48% | Newt Gingrich | 42% | 6 | 520 RV | ±4.3% |
Barack Obama | 45% | Mike Huckabee | 46% | 1 | ||||
Barack Obama | 52% | Sarah Palin | 38% | 14 | ||||
Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 3 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | November 19–21, 2010 | Barack Obama | 46% | Newt Gingrich | 45% | 1 | 517 RV | ±4.3% |
Barack Obama | 44% | Mike Huckabee | 48% | 4 | ||||
Barack Obama | 48% | Sarah Palin | 43% | 5 | ||||
Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 44% | Tied | ||||
Public Policy Polling [ permanent dead link ] | July 10–12, 2009 | Barack Obama | 49% | Sarah Palin | 42% | 7 | 767 RV | ±3.5% |
18 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 51%–49%
(Democratic in 2008) 52%–47%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Quinnipiac University | November 28 – December 5, 2011 | Barack Obama | 42% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 1 | 1,437 RV | ±2.6% |
Barack Obama | 42% | Newt Gingrich | 43% | 1 | ||||
Quinnipiac University | October 31 – November 7, 2011 | Barack Obama | 48% | Herman Cain | 38% | 10 | 1,312 RV | ±2.7% |
Barack Obama | 49% | Newt Gingrich | 37% | 12 | ||||
Barack Obama | 48% | Rick Perry | 36% | 12 | ||||
Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 3 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | November 4–6, 2011 | Barack Obama | 51% | Michele Bachmann | 37% | 14 | 1,022 RV | ±3.1% |
Barack Obama | 50% | Herman Cain | 39% | 11 | ||||
Barack Obama | 51% | Newt Gingrich | 38% | 13 | ||||
Barack Obama | 50% | Ron Paul | 36% | 14 | ||||
Barack Obama | 53% | Rick Perry | 36% | 17 | ||||
Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 9 | ||||
Quinnipiac University | October 17–23, 2011 | Barack Obama | 47% | Rick Perry | 36% | 11 | 1,668 RV | ±2.4% |
Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 4 | ||||
Barack Obama | 47% | Herman Cain | 39% | 8 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | October 13–16, 2011 | Barack Obama | 49% | Michele Bachmann | 40% | 9 | 581 RV | ±4.1% |
Barack Obama | 48% | Herman Cain | 45% | 3 | ||||
Barack Obama | 51% | Newt Gingrich | 40% | 11 | ||||
Barack Obama | 50% | Rick Perry | 41% | 9 | ||||
Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 46% | Tied | ||||
Quinnipiac University | September 22–25, 2011 | Barack Obama | 44% | Rick Perry | 41% | 3 | 1,301 RV | ±2.7% |
Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 2 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | August 11–14, 2011 | Barack Obama | 48% | Michele Bachmann | 41% | 7 | 792 RV | ±3.5% |
Barack Obama | 47% | Herman Cain | 39% | 8 | ||||
Barack Obama | 51% | Sarah Palin | 38% | 13 | ||||
Barack Obama | 45% | Rick Perry | 41% | 4 | ||||
Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 2 | ||||
Quinnipiac University | July 12–18, 2011 | Barack Obama | 49% | Michele Bachmann | 36% | 13 | 563 RV | ±4.1% |
Barack Obama | 51% | Sarah Palin | 35% | 16 | ||||
Barack Obama | 47% | Rick Perry | 35% | 12 | ||||
Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 4 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | March 10–13, 2011 | Barack Obama | 50% | Newt Gingrich | 38% | 12 | 559 RV | ±4.1% |
Barack Obama | 48% | Mike Huckabee | 41% | 7 | ||||
Barack Obama | 52% | Sarah Palin | 36% | 16 | ||||
Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 6 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | December 10–12, 2010 | Barack Obama | 47% | Newt Gingrich | 41% | 6 | 510 RV | ±4.3% |
Barack Obama | 45% | Mike Huckabee | 44% | 1 | ||||
Barack Obama | 49% | Sarah Palin | 42% | 7 | ||||
Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 2 |
7 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 51%–47%
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–40%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Daily Kos/Service Employees' International Union/Public Policy Polling (D) | December 13–14, 2011 | Barack Obama | 55% | Newt Gingrich | 37% | 18 | 979 RV | ±3.1% |
53% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 13 | |||||
KATU-TV Portland/SurveyUSA | November 18–21, 2011 | Barack Obama | 51% | Newt Gingrich | 37% | 14 | 528 RV | ±4.4% |
48% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 8 | |||||
Public Policy Polling | June 19–21, 2011 | Barack Obama | 53% | Michele Bachmann | 35% | 18 | 701 RV | ±3.7% |
53% | Herman Cain | 32% | 21 | |||||
57% | Sarah Palin | 35% | 22 | |||||
52% | Tim Pawlenty | 34% | 18 | |||||
50% | Mitt Romney | 38% | 12 |
20 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 51%–48%
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Morning Call/Muhlenberg College | November 28 – December 7, 2011 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 4 | 422 RV | ±5% |
52% | Newt Gingrich | 35% | 17 | |||||
48% | Rick Perry | 30% | 18 | |||||
55% | Herman Cain | 28% | 27 | |||||
Quinnipiac University | November 28 – December 5, 2011 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 3 | 1,453 RV | ±2.6% |
48% | Newt Gingrich | 40% | 8 | |||||
Public Policy Polling | November 17–20, 2011 | Barack Obama | 53% | Herman Cain | 35% | 18 | 500 RV | ±4.4% |
49% | Newt Gingrich | 43% | 6 | |||||
46% | Ron Paul | 42% | 4 | |||||
51% | Rick Perry | 38% | 13 | |||||
Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 45% | Tied | ||||
Barack Obama | 47% | Rick Santorum | 42% | 5 | ||||
Survey USA | November 10, 2011 | Barack Obama | 47% | Newt Gingrich | 40% | 7 | 800 RV | ±3.5% |
Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 44% | Tied | ||||
Quinnipiac University | October 31 – November 7, 2011 | Barack Obama | 48% | Herman Cain | 38% | 10 | 1,436 RV | ±2.6% |
48% | Newt Gingrich | 38% | 10 | |||||
47% | Rick Perry | 38% | 9 | |||||
44% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 1 | |||||
Franklin & Marshall College | October 24–30, 2011 | Barack Obama | 38% | Herman Cain | 24% | 14 | 525 RV | ±4.3% |
40% | Rick Perry | 20% | 20 | |||||
35% | Mitt Romney | 26% | 9 | |||||
38% | Rick Santorum | 25% | 13 | |||||
Quinnipiac University | September 21–26, 2011 | Barack Obama | 46% | Rick Perry | 40% | 6 | 1,370 RV | ±2.7% |
45% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 2 | |||||
45% | Rick Santorum | 42% | 3 | |||||
Franklin & Marshall College | August 22–29, 2011 | Barack Obama | 42% | Michele Bachmann | 23% | 19 | 525 RV | ±4.3% |
38% | Rick Perry | 27% | 11 | |||||
36% | Mitt Romney | 30% | 6 | |||||
Quinnipiac University | July 25–31, 2011 | Barack Obama | 47% | Michele Bachmann | 39% | 8 | 1,358 RV | ±2.7% |
45% | Rick Perry | 39% | 6 | |||||
Barack Obama | 42% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 2 | ||||
Barack Obama | 45% | Rick Santorum | 43% | 2 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | June 30 – July 5, 2011 | Barack Obama | 50% | Michele Bachmann | 43% | 7 | 545 RV | ±4.2% |
49% | Herman Cain | 37% | 12 | |||||
53% | Sarah Palin | 39% | 14 | |||||
47% | Tim Pawlenty | 39% | 8 | |||||
Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 44% | Tied | ||||
Barack Obama | 50% | Rick Santorum | 40% | 10 | ||||
Quinnipiac University | June 7–12, 2011 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 7 | 1,277 RV | ±2.7% |
49% | Rick Santorum | 38% | 11 | |||||
Public Policy Polling | April 7–10, 2011 | Barack Obama | 47% | Newt Gingrich | 39% | 8 | 593 RV | ±4.0% |
45% | Mike Huckabee | 44% | 1 | |||||
50% | Sarah Palin | 39% | 11 | |||||
Barack Obama | 42% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 1 | ||||
Barack Obama | 45% | Rick Santorum | 43% | 2 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | January 3–5, 2011 | Barack Obama | 50% | Newt Gingrich | 40% | 10 | 547 RV | ±4.2% |
47% | Mike Huckabee | 44% | 3 | |||||
51% | Sarah Palin | 36% | 15 | |||||
46% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 4 | |||||
48% | Rick Santorum | 40% | 8 |
4 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 59%–39%
(Democratic in 2008) 63%–35%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | February 16–22, 2011 | Barack Obama | 60% | Newt Gingrich | 27% | 33 | 544 RV | ±4.2% |
Barack Obama | 56% | Mike Huckabee | 31% | 25 | ||||
Barack Obama | 65% | Sarah Palin | 24% | 41 | ||||
Barack Obama | 54% | Mitt Romney | 37% | 17 |
9 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 58%–41%
(Republican in 2008) 54%–45%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NBC News/Marist College | December 4–7, 2011 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 3 | 2,107 RV | ±2.1% |
Barack Obama | 46% | Newt Gingrich | 42% | 4 | ||||
Barack Obama | 47% | Ron Paul | 37% | 10 | ||||
NBC News/Marist College | October 10–12, 2011 | Barack Obama | 42% | Herman Cain | 44% | 2 | 2,131 RV | ±2.1% |
Barack Obama | 42% | Rick Perry | 43% | 1 | ||||
Barack Obama | 40% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 6 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | August 25–28, 2011 | Barack Obama | 44% | Michele Bachmann | 44% | Tied | 587 RV | ±4.0% |
Barack Obama | 44% | Newt Gingrich | 45% | 1 | ||||
Barack Obama | 45% | Sarah Palin | 45% | Tied | ||||
Barack Obama | 41% | Rick Perry | 49% | 8 | ||||
Barack Obama | 38% | Mitt Romney | 53% | 15 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | June 2–5, 2011 | Barack Obama | 43% | Herman Cain | 40% | 3 | 741 RV | ±3.6% |
Barack Obama | 44% | Jim DeMint | 47% | 3 | ||||
Barack Obama | 46% | Newt Gingrich | 44% | 2 | ||||
Barack Obama | 48% | Sarah Palin | 43% | 5 | ||||
Barack Obama | 42% | Tim Pawlenty | 42% | Tied | ||||
Barack Obama | 41% | Mitt Romney | 50% | 9 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | January 28–30, 2011 | Barack Obama | 44% | Newt Gingrich | 43% | 1 | 1,167 RV | ±2.9% |
Barack Obama | 43% | Mike Huckabee | 49% | 6 | ||||
Barack Obama | 47% | Sarah Palin | 41% | 6 | ||||
Barack Obama | 42% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 7 | ||||
Barack Obama | 45% | Jim DeMint | 47% | 2 |
3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 60%–38%
(Republican in 2008) 53%–45%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | January 28–30, 2011 | Barack Obama | 44% | Newt Gingrich | 42% | 2 | 1,045 RV | ±3.0% |
Barack Obama | 41% | Mike Huckabee | 47% | 6 | ||||
Barack Obama | 48% | Sarah Palin | 40% | 8 | ||||
Barack Obama | 40% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 6 | ||||
Barack Obama | 37% | John Thune | 57% | 20 |
11 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 57%–43%
(Republican in 2008) 57%–42%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Vanderbilt University | October 28 – November 5, 2011 | Barack Obama | 39% | Rick Perry | 40% | 1 | 1,423 RV | ±2.6% |
Barack Obama | 37% | Herman Cain | 41% | 4 | ||||
Barack Obama | 38% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 4 | ||||
Middle Tennessee State University | October 3–14, 2011 | Barack Obama | 29% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 14 | 635 A | ±4% |
Vanderbilt University | June 3–8, 2011 | Barack Obama | 38% | Michele Bachmann | 27% | 11 | 700 RV | ±3.7% |
Barack Obama | 38% | Newt Gingrich | 26% | 12 | ||||
Barack Obama | 43% | Sarah Palin | 29% | 14 | ||||
Barack Obama | 37% | Tim Pawlenty | 28% | 9 | ||||
Barack Obama | 37% | Mitt Romney | 35% | 2 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | February 9–13, 2011 | Barack Obama | 43% | Newt Gingrich | 46% | 3 | 500 RV | ±4.4% |
Barack Obama | 41% | Mike Huckabee | 53% | 12 | ||||
Barack Obama | 45% | Sarah Palin | 45% | Tied | ||||
Barack Obama | 41% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 7 | ||||
FRONTPAGE Vanderbilt University | January 14–16, 2011 | Barack Obama | 42% | Sarah Palin | 37% | 5 | 710 RV | ±3.3% |
Three Way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Third party/independent | % | Lead margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Vanderbilt University | October 28 – November 5, 2011 | Barack Obama | 34% | Rick Perry | 27% | "a qualified Independent candidate" | 23% | 7 |
38% | Herman Cain | 30% | "a qualified Independent candidate" | 18% | 8 | |||
36% | Mitt Romney | 25% | "a qualified Independent candidate" | 23% | 11 | |||
33% | Mitt Romney | 28% | Michael Bloomberg | 14% | 5 | |||
34% | Mitt Romney | 28% | Warren Buffett | 18% | 6 | |||
38% | Mitt Romney | 35% | Alec Baldwin | 8% | 3 |
38 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 61%–38%
(Republican in 2008) 55%–44%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
University of Texas/Texas Tribune/YouGov | October 19–26, 2011 | Barack Obama | 33% | Ron Paul | 38% | 5 | 800 A | ±3.46% |
Barack Obama | 35% | Herman Cain | 40% | 5 | ||||
Barack Obama | 34% | Mitt Romney | 36% | 2 | ||||
Barack Obama | 37% | Rick Perry | 45% | 8 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | June 25–27, 2011 | Barack Obama | 44% | Michele Bachmann | 47% | 3 | 795 RV | ±3.5% |
Barack Obama | 43% | Herman Cain | 43% | Tied | ||||
Barack Obama | 46% | Sarah Palin | 44% | 2 | ||||
Barack Obama | 43% | Tim Pawlenty | 44% | 1 | ||||
Barack Obama | 42% | Mitt Romney | 50% | 8 | ||||
Barack Obama | 40% | Ron Paul | 45% | 5 | ||||
Barack Obama | 47% | Rick Perry | 45% | 2 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | January 14–16, 2011 | Barack Obama | 43% | Newt Gingrich | 48% | 5 | 892 RV | ±3.3% |
Barack Obama | 39% | Mike Huckabee | 55% | 16 | ||||
Barack Obama | 46% | Sarah Palin | 47% | 1 | ||||
Barack Obama | 42% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 7 | ||||
Barack Obama | 45% | Rick Perry | 45% | Tied | ||||
University of Texas at Austin | June 11–22, 2009 | Barack Obama | 34% | Mitt Romney | 39% | 5 | 924 A | ±3.22% |
6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 72%–26%
(Republican in 2008) 62%–34%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | July 8–10, 2011 | Barack Obama | 35% | Michele Bachmann | 49% | 14 | 732 RV | ±3.6% |
36% | Herman Cain | 43% | 7 | |||||
23% | Jon Huntsman | 63% | 40 | |||||
41% | Sarah Palin | 43% | 2 | |||||
34% | Tim Pawlenty | 45% | 11 | |||||
31% | Mitt Romney | 63% | 32 | |||||
Salt Lake Tribune/Mason-Dixon Polling & Research | April 26–28, 2010 | Barack Obama | 22% | Mitt Romney | 73% | 51 | 400 RV | ±5.0% |
32% | Sarah Palin | 53% | 22 | |||||
31% | Ron Paul | 48% | 17 | |||||
KSL-TV/Dan Jones & Associates | April 29, 2009 | Barack Obama | 27% | Mitt Romney | 67% | 40 | 254 A | ±6.2% |
25% | Jon Huntsman | 58% | 33 |
3 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 59%–39%
(Democratic in 2008) 67%–30%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling [ permanent dead link ] | July 28–31, 2011 | Barack Obama | 58% | Michele Bachmann | 30% | 28 | 1,233 RV | ±2.8% |
58% | Herman Cain | 26% | 32 | |||||
53% | Mike Huckabee | 36% | 17 | |||||
62% | Sarah Palin | 28% | 34 | |||||
57% | Rick Perry | 28% | 29 | |||||
54% | Mitt Romney | 34% | 20 |
13 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 54%–46%
(Democratic in 2008) 53%–46%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Quinnipiac University | December 13–19, 2011 | Barack Obama | 46% | Newt Gingrich | 41% | 5 | 1,135 RV | ±2.9% |
Barack Obama | 42% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 2 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | December 11–13, 2011 | Barack Obama | 52% | Michele Bachmann | 39% | 13 | 600 RV | ±4% |
Barack Obama | 50% | Newt Gingrich | 43% | 7 | ||||
Barack Obama | 48% | Ron Paul | 40% | 8 | ||||
Barack Obama | 51% | Rick Perry | 41% | 10 | ||||
Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 6 | ||||
Quinnipiac University | October 3–9, 2011 | Barack Obama | 45% | Herman Cain | 43% | 2 | 1,459 RV | ±2.6% |
Barack Obama | 47% | Rick Perry | 42% | 5 | ||||
Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 1 | ||||
Richmond Times-Dispatch/Muhlenberg College/Christopher Newport University | October 3–8, 2011 | Barack Obama | 43% | Rick Perry | 43% | Tied | 1,027 RV | ±3.1% |
Barack Obama | 42% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 4 | ||||
Roanoke College | September 6–17, 2011 | Barack Obama | 46% | Michele Bachmann | 35% | 9 | 601 A | ±4% |
Barack Obama | 50% | Sarah Palin | 31% | 19 | ||||
Barack Obama | 43% | Ron Paul | 33% | 10 | ||||
Barack Obama | 40% | Rick Perry | 42% | 2 | ||||
Barack Obama | 37% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 8 | ||||
Quinnipiac University | September 7–12, 2011 | Barack Obama | 48% | Michele Bachmann | 37% | 11 | 1,368 RV | ±2.7% |
Barack Obama | 50% | Sarah Palin | 35% | 15 | ||||
Barack Obama | 44% | Rick Perry | 42% | 2 | ||||
Barack Obama | 42% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 2 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | July 21–24, 2011 | Barack Obama | 49% | Michele Bachmann | 40% | 9 | 500 RV | ±4.4% |
Barack Obama | 49% | Herman Cain | 38% | 11 | ||||
Barack Obama | 51% | Sarah Palin | 37% | 14 | ||||
Barack Obama | 48% | Rick Perry | 39% | 9 | ||||
Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 4 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | May 5–8, 2011 | Barack Obama | 54% | Newt Gingrich | 37% | 17 | 547 RV | ±4.2% |
Barack Obama | 52% | Mike Huckabee | 43% | 9 | ||||
Barack Obama | 55% | Sarah Palin | 40% | 15 | ||||
Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 11 | ||||
Barack Obama | 54% | Donald Trump | 32% | 22 | ||||
Barack Obama | 51% | Bob McDonnell | 43% | 8 | ||||
The Washington Post [1] | May 2–4, 2011 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 7 | 503 RV | Not reported |
Barack Obama | 53% | Mike Huckabee | 34% | 9 | ||||
Barack Obama | 55% | Tim Pawlenty | 35% | 20 | ||||
Barack Obama | 61% | Donald Trump | 30% | 31 | ||||
Barack Obama | 61% | Sarah Palin | 30% | 31 | ||||
The Washington Post [1] | April 28 – May 1, 2011 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 2 | 677 RV | Not reported |
Barack Obama | 50% | Mike Huckabee | 46% | 4 | ||||
Barack Obama | 51% | Tim Pawlenty | 38% | 13 | ||||
Barack Obama | 54% | Donald Trump | 35% | 19 | ||||
Barack Obama | 55% | Sarah Palin | 36% | 19 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | February 24–27, 2011 | Barack Obama | 51% | Newt Gingrich | 39% | 12 | 524 RV | ±3.5% |
Barack Obama | 51% | Mike Huckabee | 43% | 8 | ||||
Barack Obama | 54% | Sarah Palin | 35% | 19 | ||||
Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 6 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | November 10–13, 2010 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 5 | 551 RV | ±4.2% |
Barack Obama | 51% | Sarah Palin | 40% | 11 | ||||
Barack Obama | 49% | Mike Huckabee | 44% | 5 | ||||
Barack Obama | 52% | Newt Gingrich | 41% | 11 |
12 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 53%–46%
(Democratic in 2008) 58%–40%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
KING-TV Seattle/SurveyUSA | November 21–23, 2011 | Barack Obama | 56% | Newt Gingrich | 37% | 19 | 549 RV | ±4.3% |
Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 8 | ||||
University of Washington | October 10–30, 2011 | Barack Obama | 54% | Rick Perry | 41% | 13 | 938 RV | ±3.2% |
Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 9 | ||||
Strategies 360 | September 11–14, 2011 | Barack Obama | 51% | Rick Perry | 37% | 14 | 400 LV | ±4.9% |
Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 9 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | May 12–15, 2011 | Barack Obama | 54% | Newt Gingrich | 36% | 18 | 1098 RV | ±3.0% |
Barack Obama | 53% | Mike Huckabee | 39% | 14 | ||||
Barack Obama | 57% | Sarah Palin | 34% | 23 | ||||
Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 11 | ||||
Barack Obama | 58% | Donald Trump | 31% | 27 |
5 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 56%–43%
(Republican in 2008) 56%–43%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | September 30– October 2, 2011 | Barack Obama | 37% | Michele Bachmann | 52% | 15 | 932 RV | ±3.2% |
Barack Obama | 36% | Newt Gingrich | 51% | 15 | ||||
Barack Obama | 34% | Ron Paul | 48% | 14 | ||||
Barack Obama | 36% | Rick Perry | 52% | 16 | ||||
Barack Obama | 33% | Mitt Romney | 54% | 21 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | September 1–4, 2011 | Barack Obama | 39% | Michele Bachmann | 48% | 9 | 708 RV | ±3.7% |
Barack Obama | 40% | Newt Gingrich | 45% | 5 | ||||
Barack Obama | 42% | Sarah Palin | 45% | 3 | ||||
Barack Obama | 38% | Rick Perry | 49% | 11 | ||||
Barack Obama | 37% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 12 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | January 20–23, 2011 | Barack Obama | 39% | Newt Gingrich | 49% | 10 | 1105 RV | ±2.9% |
Barack Obama | 36% | Mike Huckabee | 54% | 18 | ||||
Barack Obama | 42% | Sarah Palin | 46% | 4 | ||||
Barack Obama | 37% | Mitt Romney | 50% | 13 |
10 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 50%–49%
(Democratic in 2008) 56%–42%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
WRPI | October 18–26, 2011 | Barack Obama | 50% | Herman Cain | 31% | 19 | 605 A | ±4% |
Barack Obama | 48% | Rick Perry | 30% | 18 | ||||
Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 35% | 11 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | October 20–23, 2011 | Barack Obama | 51% | Michele Bachmann | 40% | 11 | 1,170 RV | ±2.9% |
Barack Obama | 49% | Herman Cain | 42% | 7 | ||||
Barack Obama | 52% | Newt Gingrich | 38% | 14 | ||||
Barack Obama | 50% | Rick Perry | 39% | 11 | ||||
Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 3 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | August 12–14, 2011 | Barack Obama | 51% | Michele Bachmann | 39% | 12 | 830 RV | ±3.4% |
Barack Obama | 50% | Herman Cain | 36% | 14 | ||||
Barack Obama | 52% | Sarah Palin | 40% | 12 | ||||
Barack Obama | 50% | Rick Perry | 40% | 10 | ||||
Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 5 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | May 19–22, 2011 | Barack Obama | 53% | Newt Gingrich | 35% | 18 | 1,636 RV | ±2.4% |
Barack Obama | 55% | Sarah Palin | 36% | 19 | ||||
Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 39% | 12 | ||||
Barack Obama | 50% | Paul Ryan | 43% | 7 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | February 24–27, 2011 | Barack Obama | 51% | Newt Gingrich | 39% | 12 | 768 RV | ±3.5% |
Barack Obama | 48% | Mike Huckabee | 41% | 7 | ||||
Barack Obama | 54% | Sarah Palin | 35% | 19 | ||||
Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 38% | 10 | ||||
Barack Obama | 49% | Paul Ryan | 40% | 9 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | December 10–12, 2010 | Barack Obama | 50% | Newt Gingrich | 41% | 9 | 702 RV | ±3.7% |
Barack Obama | 47% | Mike Huckabee | 41% | 6 | ||||
Barack Obama | 52% | Sarah Palin | 38% | 14 | ||||
Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 4 | ||||
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | October 26, 2010 | Barack Obama | 47% | Herman Cain | 42% | 5 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Barack Obama | 42% | Rick Perry | 46% | 4 | ||||
Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 4 |
Maryland gubernatorial elections have been held since statehood in 1867 to directly elect the governor of Maryland and the officers that work with the winner candidate.
The 2008 Massachusetts Democratic presidential primary was held on Super Tuesday, February 5, 2008, and had a total of 93 delegates at stake. The winner in each of Massachusetts's 10 congressional districts was awarded all of that district's delegates, totaling 61. Another 32 delegates were awarded to the statewide winner, Hillary Clinton. The 93 delegates represented Massachusetts at the Democratic National Convention in Denver, Colorado. Twenty-six other unpledged delegates, known as superdelegates, also attended the convention and cast their votes as well. Hillary Clinton won despite Obama receiving endorsements from both senators, Ted Kennedy and John Kerry, and the Governor Deval Patrick.
The 2008 Missouri Democratic presidential primary took place on Super Tuesday, February 5, 2008, with 72 delegates at stake. The winner in each of Missouri's nine congressional districts was awarded all of that district's delegates, which totaled 47. Another 25 delegates were awarded to the statewide winner, Barack Obama. The 72 delegates represented Missouri at the Democratic National Convention in Denver, Colorado. Sixteen other unpledged delegates, known as superdelegates, also attended the convention and cast their votes as well.
The 2008 Maryland Democratic presidential primary took place on February 12, 2008. Nicknamed the "Potomac Primary" or the "Chesapeake Primary" because the District of Columbia and Virginia also held their primaries that day, a total of 70 delegates were up for grabs in Maryland. The winner in each of Maryland's eight congressional districts was awarded all of that district's delegates, totaling 46. Another 24 delegates were awarded to the statewide winner, Barack Obama. The 70 delegates represented Maryland at the Democratic National Convention in Denver, Colorado. Twenty-nine other unpledged delegates, known as superdelegates, also attended the convention and cast their votes as well.
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The 2008 United States presidential election in Massachusetts took place, as in all 50 states and D.C., as part of the 2008 United States presidential election of November 4, 2008. Voters chose 12 representatives, or electors to the Electoral College, who, in turn, voted for the office of president and vice president.
Electoral history of Herbert Hoover, who served as the 31st president of the United States (1929–1933) and 3rd United States Secretary of Commerce (1921–1928).
Electoral history of Ralph Nader, an American attorney, author, lecturer, political activist, and candidate for President of the United States in four elections.
Electoral history of Strom Thurmond, 103rd Governor of South Carolina (1947–1951), United States Senator from South Carolina, 1948 States' Rights Democrats presidential nominee and President pro tempore of the United States Senate.
Electoral history of Ron Paul, Republican U.S. Representative from Texas, 1988 Libertarian Party Presidential nominee and candidate for the 2008 and 2012 Republican presidential nomination.
Statewide public opinion polls that were conducted relating to the 2012 United States presidential election, which was won by incumbent President Barack Obama, are as follows. The polls show the status between Republican nominee Mitt Romney and President Obama. Also included are three- and four-way race polls with the Republican and Democratic nominees against various third party candidates.
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Statewide polls for the 2012 United States presidential election are as follows. The polls listed here, by state, are from January 1 to August 31, 2012, and provide early data on opinion polling between a possible Republican candidate against incumbent President Barack Obama.
Statewide polls for the 2016 United States presidential election include the following. The polls listed here provide early data on opinion polling between the Democratic candidate, the Republican candidate, the Libertarian candidate, and the Green candidate. Prior to the parties' conventions, presumptive candidates were included in the polls. State polling is not conducted in all states for the election due to various factors. More polls usually are conducted in states that are considered swing states as more attention is given to the results. For determining a statistical tie, the margin of error provided by the polling source is applied to the result for each candidate.
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Statewide polls for the 2016 United States presidential election are as follows. The polls listed here, by state, are from 2013 to December 31, 2015, and provide early data on opinion polling between a possible Republican candidate against a possible Democratic candidate.
The 2016 Illinois Democratic presidential primary took place on March 15 in the U.S. state of Illinois as one of the 2016 Democratic Party presidential primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election.
The 2016 Pennsylvania Democratic presidential primary was held on April 26 in the U.S. state of Pennsylvania as one of the Democratic Party's primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election.
Statewide polls for the 2016 United States presidential election are as follows. The polls listed here, by state, are from January 1 to August 31, 2016 and provide early data on opinion polling between a possible Republican candidate against a possible Democratic candidate.