Opinion polling for the 2020 Republican Party presidential primaries

Last updated

This is a list of nationwide and statewide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the Republican primaries for the 2020 United States presidential election. The persons named in the polls are declared candidates or have received media speculation about their possible candidacy. The polls included are among Republicans or Republicans and Republican-leaning independents. If multiple versions of polls are provided, the version among likely voters is prioritized, then registered voters, then adults.

Contents

Background

Mark Sanford 2020 presidential campaignJoe Walsh 2020 presidential campaignBill Weld 2020 presidential campaignRocky De La Fuente#2020 presidential campaignDonald Trump 2020 presidential campaignOpinion polling for the 2020 Republican Party presidential primaries
NomineeExploratory committeeWithdrawn candidate
Midterm elections Iowa caucuses Super Tuesday Republican convention

National polling

Polling Aggregation
Source of poll aggregationDate
updated
Dates
polled
Donald
Trump
Bill
Weld
Joe
Walsh
Other and
undecided [lower-alpha 1]
270 to Win [1] Feb 19, 2020,Feb 18 – 19, 202091.0%5.0%-
RealClearPolitics [2] Feb 11, 2020Dec 10, 2019 – Feb 11, 202089.3%4.0%3.5%
Average90.2%4.5%3.5%1.8%

From February 2020

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Rocky De
La Fuente
Donald
Trump
Bill
Weld
OtherUndecided
Emerson College [3] Mar 18–19423 (LV)94%6%
Mar 18Weld withdraws from the race
Mar 17 Florida and Illinois primaries; Trump becomes presumptive nominee
Mar 11 COVID-19 declared a pandemic by the World Health Organization; national emergency declared Mar 13
Mar 10 Idaho, Michigan, Mississippi, Missouri and Washington primaries
Mar 3 Super Tuesday
YouGov/Economist [4] Mar 1–3232 (LV)1%94%2%0% [lower-alpha 3] 2%
YouGov/Economist [5] Feb 23–25385 (LV)1%92%2%1% [lower-alpha 4] 3%
YouGov/Economist [6] Feb 17–18358 (LV)2%91%1%0% [lower-alpha 3] 5%
Emerson College [7] Feb 16–18482 (LV)91%9%
YouGov/Yahoo News [8] Feb 12–13610 (LV) [lower-alpha 5] 82%13% [lower-alpha 6] 4%
Feb 11 New Hampshire primary
YouGov/Economist [9] Feb 9–11349 (LV)2%90%5%1% [lower-alpha 4] 2%
Feb 7Walsh withdraws from the race
McLaughlin & Associates [10] Feb 7–11479 (LV)87%6%0% [lower-alpha 7] 7%
YouGov/Economist [11] Feb 2–4401 (LV)0%89%1%3% [lower-alpha 8] 7%
Feb 3 Iowa caucuses

From December 2019 to January 2020

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Rocky De
La Fuente
Donald
Trump
Joe
Walsh
Bill
Weld
OtherUndecided
YouGov/Economist [12] Jan 26–28384 (LV)1%89%3%2%1% [lower-alpha 4] 4%
Emerson College [13] Jan 21–23412 (LV)92%2%6%
YouGov/Economist [14] Jan 19–21459 (LV)1%89%2%2%2% [lower-alpha 9] 4%
YouGov/Economist [15] Jan 11–14362 (LV)1%88%1%1%1% [lower-alpha 4] 9%
YouGov/The Economist [16] Jan 5–7399 (LV)1%87%1%2%1% [lower-alpha 4] 7%
YouGov/The Economist [17] Dec 28–31359 (LV)1%89%1%2%1% [lower-alpha 4] 6%
YouGov/Economist [18] Dec 22–24415 (LV)1%91%2%1%0% [lower-alpha 3] 5%
McLaughlin & Associates [19] Dec 14–18399 (LV)83%2%3%0% [lower-alpha 10] 11%
Emerson College [20] Dec 15–17492 (LV)90%5%5%
YouGov/Economist [21] Dec 14–17354 (LV)1%88%2%2%0% [lower-alpha 3] 7%
Suffolk University [22] Dec 10–14329 (LV)88%2%2%0% [lower-alpha 11] 7%
YouGov/Economist [23] Dec 7–10422 (LV)88%2%2%1% [lower-alpha 4] 8%
YouGov/Economist [24] Dec 1–3417 (LV)89%2%3%6%

June 2019 to November 2019

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Mark
Sanford
Donald
Trump
Joe
Walsh
Bill
Weld
OtherUndecided
YouGov/Economist [25] Nov 24–26402 (LV)89%2%3%1% [lower-alpha 4] 6%
RealClear Opinion Research [26] Nov 15–21780 (LV)89%6%1%11%
Emerson College [27] Nov 17–20426 (LV)93%4%3%
YouGov/Economist [28] Nov 17–19383 (LV)90%2%1%7%
Nov 12Sanford withdraws from the race
YouGov/Economist [29] Nov 10–12352 (LV)3%89%1%1%1% [lower-alpha 4] 5%
YouGov/Economist [30] Nov 3–5402 (LV)1%87%1%3%1% [lower-alpha 4] 8%
YouGov/Economist [31] Oct 27–29464 (LV)3%83%2%2%1% [lower-alpha 4] 9%
Suffolk University/USA Today [32] Oct 23–26323 (LV)± 5.5%1%85%1%2%11%
YouGov/Economist [33] Oct 20–22404 (LV)3%87%1%1%1% [lower-alpha 4] 8%
McLaughlin and Associates [34] Oct 17–224111%76%1%2%9% [lower-alpha 12] 12%
Emerson College [35] Oct 18–21378± 4.9%3%91%2%5%
Ipsos [36] Oct 17–18507± 5.7%1%79%1%1%8% [lower-alpha 13] 11%
YouGov/Economist [37] Oct 10–133542%86%2%3%5%
YouGov/Economist [38] Oct 6–8473± 2.9%1%84%3%3%8%
YouGov/Economist [39] Sep 28 – Oct 1360± 2.6%3%86%2%2%7%
Quinnipiac University [40] Sep 19–23568± 4.9%2%80%2%2%1%12%
Emerson College [41] Sep 21–23363± 5.1%3%89%5%4%
Fox News [42] Sep 15–17341± 5.0%2%86%2%2%1%5%
YouGov/Economist [43] Sep 14–17416± 2.7%2%86%1%5%1%5%
Emerson College [44] Sep 13–16208± 3.3%6%86%4%4%
Public Religion Research Institute [45] Aug 22 – Sep 15957± 2.8%74%10%13%3% [lower-alpha 14]
HarrisX [46] Sep 9–121,1752%76%2%2%4%14%
Democracy Corps [47] Sep 7–113154%85%5%2%1%4%
YouGov/Economist [48] Sep 8–10393± 2.7%3%82%1%4%2%7%
McLaughlin & Associates [49] Sep 7–104163%76%1%3%17%
Sep 8Sanford announces his candidacy
Emerson College [50] Aug 24–26482± 2.5%84%16%
HarrisX [51] Aug 23–261,19476%5%3%6%10%
Aug 25Walsh announces his candidacy
Suffolk University [52] Aug 20–2528990%5%5%
McLaughlin & Associates [53] Jul 23–28415± 4.0%4%81%2%14%
Democracy Corps [54] Jul 18–28354± 4.0%4%89%4%3%
Emerson College [55] Jun 21–24407± 4.9%83%17%
McLaughlin & Associates [56] Jun 18–24417-79%7%13%
Suffolk University/USA Today [57] Jun 11–1532690%5%5%

November 2018 to May 2019

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Jeb
Bush
Bob
Corker
Ted
Cruz
Jamie
Dimon
Jeff
Flake
Nikki
Haley
Larry
Hogan
John
Kasich
Mike
Pence
Mitt
Romney
Paul
Ryan
Ben
Sasse
Donald
Trump
Bill
Weld
OtherUndecided
HarrisX [58] May 23–25785± 4.0%73%7%5%13%
Change Research [59] May 18–211,248± 2.8%2%94%4%
7%87%6%
3%94%3%
May 16De La Fuente announces his candidacy
Emerson College [60] May 10–13384± 5.0%86%14%
McLaughlin & Associates [61] May 7–113301%5%77%3%14%
Zogby Analytics [62] May 2–946381%4%10%6%
Quinnipiac University [63] Apr 26–29419± 5.6%3%84%3%1%8%
HarrisX [64] Apr 26–28641± 4.0%75%7%4%11%
Morning Consult [65] Apr 19–21641± 4.0%78%7%15%
Ipsos/Reuters [66] Apr 18–19344± 5.9%1%1%5%4%10%60%2%16%
Apr 15Weld announces his candidacy (exploratory committee on Feb 15, 2019)
Emerson College [67] Apr 11–14324± 5.4%85%15%
Ipsos/Reuters [68] Mar 25–26362± 5.9%1%0%3%5%8%63%4%16%
Morning Consult [69] Mar 22–24638± 4.0%9%73%18%
13%72%16%
74%8%18%
McLaughlin & Associates [70] Mar 20–244185%80%1%14%
Emerson College [71] Mar 17–1848390%10%
Ipsos/Reuters [72] Mar 5–11756± 4.1%1%0%0%3%3%9%0%69%2%13%
Monmouth University [73] Mar 1–4339± 5.3%6%75%16%
74%8%18%
Ipsos/Reuters [72] Feb 26 – Mar 41,086± 3.4%1%0%1%5%3%9%1%66%3%13%
Ipsos/Reuters [72] Feb 19–251,138± 3.3%0%1%1%4%4%8%1%65%3%14%
Ipsos/Reuters [72] Feb 12–181,040± 3.5%0%1%1%3%4%8%1%69%2%12%
Emerson College [74] Feb 14–16366± 5.1%85%15%
FOX News [75] Feb 10–12432 (A)±4.5%72%17%11%
McLaughlin & Associates [76] Feb 6–104136%10%72%11%
Monmouth University [77] Jan 25–27335± 5.4%21%66%9%
14%73%11%
Zogby Analytics [78] Jan 18–20307± 5.6%2%1%6%8%9%64%4%6%
HarrisX [79] Jan 4–532017%70%13%
2019
McLaughlin & Associates [80] Dec 10–143922%5%9%72%12%
Harvard-Harris [81] Nov 27–288193%5%2%2%6%6%5%1%44%2%16%
HarrisX [82] Nov 16–1732017%66%17%
9%70%21%
13%69%18%
14%67%19%
19%69%12%
20%65%15%
8%70%21%

Before November 2018

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Bob
Corker
Tom
Cotton
Ted
Cruz
Jeff
Flake
Nikki
Haley
John
Kasich
Mike
Pence
Mitt
Romney
Marco
Rubio
Ben
Sasse
Donald
Trump
OtherUndecided
Harvard-Harris [83] Jun 24–2543015%85%
GQR Research [84] Jan 6–113744%1%4%3%11%5%5%62%0%5%
2018
Public Policy Polling [85] Dec 11–1221%64%15%
16%74%10%
19%70%11%
22%62%15%
Public Policy Polling [86] Oct 27–2927%57%16%
14%70%16%
24%66%11%
28%53%19%
Public Policy Polling [87] Sep 22–2515%68%17%
18%68%13%
21%59%21%
Fabrizio Lee [88] Aug 20171,500± 2.5%1%13%10%1%54%20%
Public Policy Polling [89] Aug 18–2122%62%17%
21%68%11%
24%52%23%
Opinion Savvy [90] Aug 16–17220± 6.6%8%17%68%7%
221± 6.6%12%15%65%8%
Marist College [91] Aug 8–12361± 5.2%23%64%10%
33%56%8%

Against unnamed primary challenger

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
OtherUndecided
Rasmussen Reports [92] May 10–11, 2020< 1000 (LV) [lower-alpha 15] 70%23% [lower-alpha 16] 7%
Morning Consult/Politico [93] Feb 28 - Mar 1 2020718 (LV)91%7%2%
Morning Consult/Politico [94] Jan 4–5, 2020700 (RV)87%10%3%
ABC News/Washington Post [95] Oct 27–30388 (A)±6%67%30%3%
FOX News [75] Oct 27–30388 (A)±6%78%15%7%
FOX News [96] Oct 6–8367-376(LV)±6%77%17%6%
Morning Consult [97] Jun 29 – Jul 1483± 4.0%83%15%3%
Morning Consult [98] Jun 29 – Jul 1541± 4.0%83%15%2%
Morning Consult [99] Jun 21–24698± 4.0%87%12%1%
Morning Consult [100] Jun 20–23639± 4.0%87%10%3%
Morning Consult [101] Jun 14–16693± 4.0%86%13%2%
Morning Consult [102] Jun 7–9659± 4.0%84%13%3%
Morning Consult [103] May 31 – Jun 2672± 4.0%83%14%3%
Change Research [59] May 18–211,248± 2.8%95%4%
Morning Consult [104] May 10–12695± 4.0%84%15%3%
Morning Consult [105] May 3–6680± 4.0%85%13%2%
Morning Consult [106] Apr 28–29692± 4.0%84%13%2%
Morning Consult [107] Apr 19–21641± 4.0%79%18%4%
Morning Consult [108] Apr 12–1436783%15%2%
35882%15%3%
Morning Consult [109] Apr 1–711,986± 1.0%76%20%
Morning Consult [110] Mar 25–3111,549± 1.0%78%20%
Morning Consult [111] Mar 18–2412,090± 1.0%77%19%
Morning Consult [112] Mar 11–1711,542± 1.0%78%20%
Morning Consult [113] Mar 4–1013,682± 1.0%77%20%
Morning Consult [114] Feb 25 – Mar 311,154± 1.0%77%20%
Morning Consult [115] Feb 18–2413,782± 1.0%77%20%
Morning Consult [116] Feb 11–1713,974± 1.0%77%21%
Morning Consult [117] Feb 4–1010,685± 1.0%77%20%
2019
Public Religion Research Institute [118] Sep 17 – Oct 192766%33%1%
Saint Leo University [119] May 25–3163%24%13%
USC Dornsife/LAT [120] Dec 15 – Jan 151,530± 3.0%75%25%
Emerson College [121] Jan 8–1119868%18%14%
2018
Public Policy Polling [85] Dec 11–1270%24%6%
Public Religion Research Institute [122] Oct 18–3084659%34%7%
Public Policy Polling [86] Oct 27–2957%36%8%
Public Policy Polling [87] Sep 22–2561%27%12%
Public Policy Polling [89] Aug 18–2157%29%13%

Statewide polling

The statewide polls are ordered by the scheduled date of the state's primary or caucus. Polls with a sample size of <100 have their 'sample size' cells marked in red to indicate a lack of reliability.

Iowa caucus

The Iowa Republican caucus took place on Monday, February 3, 2020. [123]

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Michael
Bloomberg
John
Kasich
Donald
Trump
Joe
Walsh
Bill
Weld
OtherUndecided
Iowa caucuses (first alignment vote)Feb 3, 202097.1%1.1%1.3%0.5%
Emerson College [124] Oct 13–16, 201928693%2%4%1% [lower-alpha 17]
Aug 25Walsh announces his candidacy
Apr 15Weld announces his candidacy (exploratory committee on Feb 15, 2019)
Emerson College [125] Mar 21–24, 2019207± 6.9%8%93%
90%10%
Emerson College [126] Jan 30 – Feb 2, 201928010%90%

New Hampshire primary

The New Hampshire Republican primary took place on Tuesday, February 11, 2020. [123]

Polling Aggregation
Source of poll aggregationDate UpdatedDates polled Donald Trump Bill Weld Joe Walsh Undecided [lower-alpha 1]
270 to Win [127] Dec 11, 2019Nov 26 - Dec 11, 201979.0%11.0%3.5%6.5%

Since July 2019

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Rocky De
La Fuente
Donald
Trump
Joe
Walsh
Bill
Weld
OtherUndecided
New Hampshire primary (popular vote)Feb 11, 20200.1%84.4%0.5%9%5.9% [lower-alpha 18]
Emerson College [128] Feb 8–9, 2020500 (LV)±4.3%84%16%
University of New Hampshire/CNN [129] Feb 6–9, 2020212 (LV)±6.7%90%No voters7%1% [lower-alpha 19] 1%
RKM Research and Communications Inc./Boston Herald/FPU/NBC10 [130] Feb 5–8, 2020440 (LV)±4.7%3%71%6%8%3%11%
University of New Hampshire/CNN [131] Feb 5–8, 2020227 (LV)±6.5%91%No voters5%2% [lower-alpha 20] 2%
Feb 7, 2020Walsh withdraws from the race
University of New Hampshire/CNN [132] Feb 4–7, 2020203 (LV)±6.9%91%No voters5%2% [lower-alpha 20] 3%
Marist College/NBC News [133] Feb 4–6, 2020441 (LV)±5.8%88%1%7%1%2%
Feb 3, 2020 Iowa caucuses
RKM Research and Communications Inc./Boston Herald/FPU/NBC10 [134] Jan 29-Feb 1, 2020438 (LV)± 4.7%1%72%3%7%7%10%
RKM Research & Communications Inc./Boston Herald/FPU/NBC10 [135] Jan 23–26, 2020407 (LV)1%72%3%7%9%
Marist College/NBC News [136] Jan 20–23, 2020450 (LV)± 5.5%87%2%8%1%2%
University of New Hampshire/CNN [137] Jan 16–23, 2020394 (LV)± 4.9%90%1%4%2% [lower-alpha 21] 3%
RKM Research and Communications Inc./Boston Herald/FPU/NBC10 [138] Jan 8–12, 2020402 (LV)2%79%4%4%3%3%
MassINC Polling Group/WBUR [139] Dec 3–8, 2019365 (LV)± 5.1%74%4%9%9% [lower-alpha 22] 4% [lower-alpha 14]
Emerson College [140] Nov 22–26, 2019440 (LV)84%3%13%0%
University of New Hampshire/CNN [141] Oct 21–27, 2019461 (LV)± 4.6%86%1%5%4% [lower-alpha 23] 4%
RKM Research and Communications Inc./Boston Herald/FPU [142] Oct 9–13, 2019405± 4.9%71%5%14%3% [lower-alpha 24] 7%
RKM Research and Communications Inc./Franklin Pierce University/Boston Herald [143] Sep 4–10, 201941488%1%3%1%7%
Emerson College [144] Sep 6–9, 201937980%7%13%
Aug 25, 2019Walsh announces his candidacy
University of New Hampshire Survey Center/CNN [145] Jul 8–15, 2019289 (LV)± 5.8%86%7%2%5%
May 16, 2019De La Fuente announces his candidacy
Monmouth University [146] May 2–7, 2019427± 4.8%72%12%1%2%

Before May 2019

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Tom
Cotton
Ted
Cruz
Jeff
Flake
Larry
Hogan
John
Kasich
Mike
Pence
Mitt
Romney
Marco
Rubio
Donald
Trump
Joe
Walsh
Bill
Weld
OtherUndecided
Suffolk University [147] Apr 25–28, 2019394± 4.9%0%9%70%8%12%
72%17%10%
University of New Hampshire [148] Apr 10–18, 2019208± 6.8%1%10%76%5%8%
Apr 15Weld announces his candidacy (exploratory committee on Feb 15, 2019)
University of New Hampshire [149] Feb 18–26, 2019218± 6.6%17%68%3%12%
Emerson College [150] Feb 21–22, 2019328± 5.4%82%18%
Praecones Analytica [151] Jan 16–21, 201933024%70%6%
Suffolk University [152] Apr 26–30, 2018315± 5.5%15%72%13%
23%68%8%
28%63%9%
23%66%11%
University of New Hampshire [153] Apr 13–22, 2018202± 6.8%19%67%0%14%
American Research Group [154] Mar 21–27, 2018420± 5.0%4%34%51%11%
33%49%18%
42%48%9%
5%7%11%36%41%
American Research Group [154] Aug 4–6, 2017600± 4.0%52%40%8%
52%27%32%

Against unnamed primary challenger

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
OtherUndecided
University of New Hampshire [148] Apr 10–18, 2019208± 6.8%63%14%23%
University of New Hampshire [149] Feb 18–26, 2019218± 6.6%56%15%29%
University of New Hampshire [155] Aug 2–19, 2018199± 6.9%56%20%24%
University of New Hampshire [153] Apr 13–22, 2018202± 6.8%55%19%27%
University of New Hampshire [156] Jan 28 – Feb 10, 2018157± 7.8%60%18%23%
University of New Hampshire [157] Oct 3–15, 2017191± 7.1%47%23%30%

Nevada caucus

The Nevada caucus was cancelled by the Nevada Republican Party in a vote on September 7, 2019. [158]

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Mark
Sanford
Donald
Trump
Joe
Walsh
Bill
Weld
Undecided
Feb 7, 2020Walsh withdraws from the race
Nov 12, 2019Sanford withdraws from the race
Emerson College [159] Oct 31–Nov 3, 2019409 (LV)2%92%3%3%
Sep 8, 2019Sanford announces his candidacy
Sep 7, 2019The Nevada Republican Party votes to cancel their caucus.
Aug 25, 2019Walsh announces his candidacy
Apr 15, 2019Weld announces his candidacy (exploratory committee on Feb 15, 2019)
Emerson College [160] Mar 28–30, 2019263± 6.1%92%8%

South Carolina primary

The South Carolina primary was cancelled in a vote by the South Carolina Republican Party on September 7, 2019. [158]

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Bob
Corker
Jeff
Flake
Nikki
Haley
John
Kasich
Mark

Sanford

Donald
Trump
Bill
Weld
Undecided
Nov 12Sanford withdraws from the race
Sep 8Sanford announces his candidacy
Sep 7The South Carolina Republican Party votes to cancel their primary.
Change Research [161] Aug 9–12, 2019568 (LV)± 4.3%14%79%
2%95%
Apr 15Weld announces his candidacy (exploratory committee on Feb 15, 2019)
Emerson College [162] Feb 28 – Mar 2, 2019380± 5.1%90%10%
Change Research [163] Feb 15–18, 20197202%91%8%
2%93%5%
21%67%11%
3%91%6%
90%3%7%

Against unnamed primary challenger

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
OtherUndecided
Change Research [164] Jun 11–14, 20191,183± 2.9%95%5%

California primary

The California Republican primary took place on Tuesday, March 3, 2020. [123]

Since June 2019

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Mark

Sanford

Donald
Trump
Bill
Weld
Joe

Walsh

OtherUndecided
Feb 7, 2020Walsh withdraws from the race
CNN/SSRS [165] Dec 4–8, 2019298 (LV)± 6.7%85%3%3%2% [lower-alpha 25] 8%
Nov 12, 2019Sanford withdraws from the race
Emerson College [166] Sep 13–18, 2019208 (LV)6%86%4%4%-
Sep 8, 2019Sanford announces his candidacy
Aug 25, 2019Walsh announces his candidacy

April 2019 to May 2019

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Nikki
Haley
John
Kasich
Donald
Trump
Bill
Weld
Undecided
Change Research [167] May 25–28, 2019989± 3.1%5%86%8%
3%90%7%
91%3%6%
Apr 15, 2019Weld announces his candidacy (exploratory committee on Feb 15, 2019)
Change Research [168] Apr 6–9, 20198535%83%12%
4%83%14%

Against unnamed primary challenger

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
OtherUndecided
Change Research [167] May 25–28, 2019989± 3.1%94%7%
Change Research [168] Apr 6–9, 201985388%12%

Colorado primary

The Colorado Republican primary took place on Tuesday, March 3, 2020. [123]

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Bill
Weld
Undecided
Emerson College [169] Aug 16–19, 2019339± 5.3%86%14%
Apr 15Weld announces his candidacy (exploratory committee on Feb 15, 2019)

Against unnamed primary challenger

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
OtherUndecided
Magellan Strategies [170] Jan 30–31 and Feb 4, 2019622± 3.9%78%17%5%

Massachusetts primary

The Massachusetts Republican primary took place on Tuesday, March 3, 2020. [123]

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Charlie
Baker
Jeff
Flake
John
Kasich
Mike
Pence
Mitt
Romney
Paul
Ryan
Donald
Trump
Bill
Weld
OtherUndecided
MassINC Polling Group/WBUR [171] Feb 23 - 26, 2020374 (LV)± 5.1%83%14%2% [lower-alpha 26] 2% [lower-alpha 27]
Apr 15Weld announces his candidacy (exploratory committee on Feb 15, 2019)
Emerson College [172] Apr 4–7, 2019183± 7.2%82%18%
YouGov/UMass Amherst [173] Nov 7–14, 201822730%1%3%7%2%40%16%
22533%1%7%26%8%2%22%

North Carolina primary

The North Carolina Republican primary took place on Tuesday, March 3, 2020. [123]

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Joe
Walsh
Bill
Weld
OtherUndecided
High Point University [174] Feb 21 – 28, 2020246 (LV)91%4%3%2% [lower-alpha 28]
Marist College [175] Feb 23 – 27, 2020410 (LV)± 5.4%93%6%<1%1%
Meredith College [176] Feb 16 – 24, 2020353 (LV)85%3.1%2%0.9% [lower-alpha 29] 9.1% [lower-alpha 30]
SurveyUSA [177] Feb 13 – 16, 2020501 (LV)± 3%91%5%5%
Feb 7, 2020Walsh withdraws from the race
High Point University [178] Jan 31 – Feb 6, 2020198 (LV)91%4%1%4%
Aug 25, 2019Walsh announces his candidacy
Emerson College [179] May 31 – Jun 3, 201933688%12%

Texas primary

The Texas Republican primary took place on Tuesday, March 3, 2020. [123]

Polling Aggregation
Source of poll aggregationDate UpdatedDates polled Donald Trump Mark Sanford Joe Walsh Bill Weld Undecided [lower-alpha 1]
270 to Win [180] Nov 24, 2019Nov 18, 201978.0%4.0%1.0%1.0%13.0%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Mark
Sanford
Donald
Trump
Joe
Walsh
Bill
Weld
OtherUndecided
Marist College [181] Feb 21 - 27, 2020621 (LV)±5.1%94%4%<1%2%
University of Texas at Tyler/DMN [182] Feb 17 - 26, 2020567 (LV)± 4.12%86%6%8%
Feb 7, 2020Walsh withdraws from the race
University of Texas at St Tyler/Dallas News [183] Jan 21–30, 2020445 (LV)± 4.65%88%4%2%6%
CNN/SSRS [184] Dec 4–8, 2019537 (LV)± 5%86%4%3%2% [lower-alpha 25] 4%
University of Texas at Tyler [185] Nov 5–14, 2019597 (RV)-4%78%1%1%
Nov 12, 2019Sanford withdraws from the race
Sep 8, 2019Sanford announces his candidacy
Aug 25, 2019Walsh announces his candidacy
Emerson College [186] Aug 1–3, 201948290%10%
Emerson College [187] Apr 25–28, 2019344± 5.3%87%13%

Utah primary

The Utah Republican primary took place in Tuesday, March 3, 2020. [123]

Against unnamed primary challenger

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
OtherUndecided
Dan Jones & Associates/Salt Lake Chamber of Commerce [188] October 3–10, 2019600 (LV)± 4%75%22% [lower-alpha 31]
Dan Jones & Associates/Salt Lake Chamber of Commerce [189] June 11 – July 1, 2019801 (LV)70%28% [lower-alpha 31]

Vermont primary

The Vermont Republican primary took place on Tuesday, March 3, 2020. [123]

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Rocky De
La Fuente
Donald
Trump
Bill
Weld
OtherUndecided
Braun Research/VPR/VT PBS [190] Feb 4–10, 2020166 (LV)± 7.6%1%85%6%2% [lower-alpha 32] 7%

Wyoming caucuses

The last presidential cycle's Wyoming caucuses took place on March 1 in 2016 and would, if scheduled for Super Tuesday in 2020, take place on March 3, 2020. Instead, the Wyoming Republican state convention was scheduled for May 9, 2020. [123]

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Mark
Sanford
Donald
Trump
Joe
Walsh
Bill
Weld
Undecided
Feb 7, 2020Walsh withdraws from the race
Nov 12, 2019Sanford withdraws from the race
Montana State University Billings [191] Oct 7–16, 201967 (LV)No voters91%<1%<1%8%

Michigan primary

The Michigan Republican primary took place on Tuesday, March 10, 2020. [123]

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Mark
Sanford
Donald
Trump
Joe
Walsh
Bill
Weld
Undecided
YouGov/University of Wisconsin-Madison [192] Feb 11 – 20, 2020426 (LV)97%0%1%2%
Feb 7, 2020Walsh withdraws from the race
Nov 12, 2019Sanford withdraws from the race
Emerson College [193] Oct 31–Nov 3, 20192%92%3%3%-
Sep 8, 2019Sanford announces his candidacy
Aug 25, 2019Walsh announces his candidacy
Apr 15, 2019Weld announces his candidacy (exploratory committee on Feb 15, 2019)
Emerson College [194] Mar 7–10, 2019306± 5.6%-89%-11%

Illinois primary

The Illinois Republican primary took place on Tuesday, March 17, 2020. [123]

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Bill
Weld
OtherUndecided
Southern Illinois University/Paul
Simon Public Policy Institute
[195]
Feb 10 - 17, 2020232 (LV)± 6.4%89%4%2% [lower-alpha 33] 5% [lower-alpha 34]

Ohio primary

The Ohio Republican primary took place on Tuesday, March 10, 2020. [123]

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
John
Kasich
Mark

Sanford

Donald
Trump
Joe

Walsh

Bill

Weld

Undecided
Feb 7, 2020Walsh withdraws from the race
Nov 12, 2019Sanford withdraws from the race
Emerson College [196] Sep 29–Oct 2, 2019325 (LV)-2%87%5%5%-
Sep 8, 2019Sanford announces his candidacy
Aug 25, 2019Walsh announces his candidacy
Apr 15, 2019Weld announces his candidacy (exploratory committee on Feb 15, 2019)
Baldwin Wallace University [197] Feb 28 – Mar 9, 2018261± 6.0%27%-62%--

Florida primary

The Florida Republican primary took place on Tuesday, March 17, 2020. [123]

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Larry
Hogan
John
Kasich
Mark
Sanford
Donald
Trump
Marco
Rubio
Joe
Walsh
Bill
Weld
Undecided
FAU-BEPI [198] Mar 5 – 7, 2020409 (LV)± 4.8%92.6%3.8%3.5%
Feb 7, 2020Walsh withdraws from the race
Florida Atlantic University [199] Jan 9 – 12, 2020488 (LV)± 4.4%80%14%5%
Nov 12, 2019Sanford withdraws from the race
Florida Atlantic University [200] Sep 12–15, 2019355± 5.2%8%85%5%2%
Sep 8, 2019Sanford announces his candidacy
Aug 25, 2019Walsh announces his candidacy
Florida Atlantic University [201] May 16–19, 2019394± 4.9%0%2%85%5%1%7%
Apr 15, 2019Weld announces his candidacy (exploratory committee on Feb 15, 2019)

Against unnamed primary challenger

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
OtherUndecided
Saint Leo University [119] May 25–31, 201868%18%13%

Wisconsin primary

The Wisconsin Republican primary took place on Tuesday, April 7, 2020. [123]

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Bill
Weld
OtherUndecided
YouGov/University of Wisconsin-Madison [192] Feb 11 – 20, 2020348 (LV)93%0%0% [lower-alpha 35] 7%
Apr 15Weld announces his candidacy (exploratory committee on Feb 15, 2019)
Emerson College [202] Mar 15–17, 201929389%11%

Arizona primary

The Arizona 2016 Republican primary was held on March 22, 2016, but the 2020 primary was cancelled on September 9, 2019. [203]

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Mark
Sanford
Donald
Trump
Joe
Walsh
Bill
Weld
OtherUndecided
Feb 7, 2020Walsh withdraws from the race
Nov 12, 2019Sanford withdraws from the race
Emerson College [204] Oct 25–28, 2019367 (LV)5%88%3%4%
Sep 9, 2019The Arizona Republican Party votes to cancel their primary.

Delaware primary

The Delaware Republican primary took place on Tuesday, April 28, 2020. [123]

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
John
Kasich
Donald
Trump
Undecided
Gravis Marketing [205] Jul 24–29, 2018288± 5.8%9%67%25%

Maryland primary

The Maryland Republican primary took place on Tuesday, April 28, 2020. [123]

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Larry
Hogan
Donald
Trump
Undecided
Gonzales Research [206] Apr 29 – May 4, 2019203± 7.0%24%68%8%

Pennsylvania primary

The Pennsylvania Republican primary took place on Tuesday, April 28, 2020. [123]

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Joe
Walsh
Bill
Weld
Undecided
Mar 18, 2020Weld withdraws from the race
YouGov/University of Wisconsin-Madison [192] Feb 11 – 20, 2020462 (LV)87%2%2%8%
Feb 7, 2020Walsh withdraws from the race
Aug 25, 2019Walsh announces his candidacy
Apr 15Weld announces his candidacy (exploratory committee on Feb 15, 2019)
Emerson College [207] Mar 26–28, 2019311± 5.5%90%10%

Montana primary

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Mark
Sanford
Donald
Trump
Joe
Walsh
Bill
Weld
Undecided
Feb 7, 2020Walsh withdraws from the race
Nov 12, 2019Sanford withdraws from the race
Montana State University Billings [208] Oct 7–16, 201999 (LV)1%88%No votersNo voters11%

New Jersey primary

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Joe
Walsh
Bill
Weld
Undecided
Feb 7, 2020Walsh withdraws from the race
Emerson College [209] Jan 16–19, 2020197 (LV)± 6.9%93%4%4%

New Mexico primary

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Joe
Walsh
Bill
Weld
Undecided
Feb 7, 2020Walsh withdraws from the race
Emerson College [210] Jan 3–6, 2020322 (LV)87%8%5%

See also

Notes

  1. 1 2 3 Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined
  2. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. 1 2 3 4 Would not vote with 0%
  4. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Would not vote with 1%
  5. If Pence and Trump were the only candidates
  6. Pence with 13%
  7. Romney, Sanford and Walsh with 0%
  8. Would not vote with 1%; Walsh with 2%
  9. Would not vote with 2%
  10. No voters
  11. Refused with 0%
  12. Romney with 9%
  13. Kasich with 5%; can't/won't vote with 1%; other with 2%
  14. 1 2 Includes "refused"
  15. "Likely Republican" sample not yet released
  16. "Someone else" with 23%
  17. Sanford with 1%
  18. Buttigieg and Klobuchar with 0.7%; Maxwell with 0.6%; Bloomberg and Sanders with 0.5%; Romney with 0.4%; Merrill and Murphy with 0.3%; Matern with 0.2%; Ardini, Boddie, Comley, Kraft and Payne with 0.1%; Ely, Horn, Istvan and Locke with 0%; other write-in candidates with 1.1%
  19. "Would support another candidate" with 1%
  20. 1 2 "Would support another candidate" with 2%
  21. Listed as "Another candidate"
  22. Some other candidate with 4%; would not vote with 5%
  23. Sanford with 1%; other with 3%
  24. Sanford with 1%; other with 2%
  25. 1 2 Someone else with 1%; "no one" with 1%
  26. "Some other candidate" with 2%; would not vote with no voters
  27. Listed as "Don't know/refused"
  28. Listed as "no preference/cannot recall"
  29. "No answer/refused" with 0.9%
  30. "Don't know" with 6.5%; "no preference" with 2.6%
  31. 1 2 Listed as "Time to give someone new a chance to serve" (as opposed to "should be re-elected")
  32. Other with 2%; "refused" with no voters
  33. "Someone else" with 2%
  34. Listed as "other/don't know"
  35. Walsh with 0%

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