2020 U.S. presidential election | |
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Attempts to overturn | |
Democratic Party | |
Republican Party | |
Third parties | |
Related races | |
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This is a list of nationwide public opinion polls that were conducted relating to the general election for the 2020 United States presidential election. If multiple versions of polls are provided, the version among likely voters (LV) is prioritized, then registered voters (RV), then adults (A). Polling in the 2020 election was considerably less accurate than in the 2016 election, and possibly more inaccurate than in any election since 1996. [1]
The following graph depicts the standing of each candidate in the poll aggregators from September 2019 to November 2020. Former Vice President Joe Biden, the Democratic nominee, had an average polling lead of 7.9 percentage points over incumbent President Donald Trump, the Republican nominee. Biden would win the national popular vote by 4.4 percentage points.
Active candidates |
Joe Biden (Democratic) |
Donald Trump (Republican) |
Others/Undecided |
Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden | Donald Trump | Other/Undecided [lower-alpha 1] | Margin |
270 to Win [2] | Oct 28 – Nov 2, 2020 | Nov 2, 2020 | 51.1% | 43.1% | 5.8% | Biden +8.0 |
RealClear Politics [3] | Oct 25 – Nov 2, 2020 | 51.2% | 44.0% | 4.8% | Biden +7.2 | |
FiveThirtyEight [4] | until Nov 2, 2020 | 51.8% | 43.4% | Biden +8.4 | ||
Average | 51.4% | 43.5% | 5.1% | Biden +7.9 | ||
2020 results | 51.3% | 46.8% | 1.9% | Biden +4.5 |
Calculated averages are not comparable to those for the Biden vs. Trump polls. As polling with third parties has been very limited, the polls included in the average are often different.
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Jo Jorgensen vs. Howie Hawkins | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden | Donald Trump | Jo Jorgensen | Howie Hawkins | Other/ Undecided [lower-alpha 1] | Margin |
270 to Win [5] | Oct 23 – Nov 2, 2020 | Nov 2, 2020 | 50.6% | 43.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 4.0% | Biden +7.4 |
RealClear Politics [6] | Oct 15 – Nov 2, 2020 | Nov 2, 2020 | 50.6% | 43.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 3.6% | Biden +7.4 |
2020 results | 51.3% | 46.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.6% | Biden +4.5 |
Poll source | Date | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Green | Other | Abstention | Undecided | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ipsos/Reuters [7] | Oct 31 – Nov 2 | 914 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 45% | 52% | – | – | 3% [lower-alpha 3] | – | – | 7% |
YouGov/Economist [8] | Oct 31 – Nov 2 | 1,363 (LV) | – | 43% | 53% | – | – | 2% | 0% | 2% | 10% |
Research Co. [9] | Oct 31 – Nov 2 | 1,025 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 50% | 1% | 1% | 1% | – | 5% | 8% |
IBD/TIPP [10] | Oct 29 – Nov 2 | 1,212 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 46% [lower-alpha 4] [lower-alpha 5] | 50% | 2% | 1% | 1% | – | – | 4% |
46% [lower-alpha 6] | 51% | – | – | – | – | – | 5% | ||||
USC Dornsife [11] | Oct 20 – Nov 2 | 5,423 (LV) | – | 42% [lower-alpha 4] | 54% | – [lower-alpha 7] | – [lower-alpha 7] | – [lower-alpha 7] | – [lower-alpha 7] | – | 12% |
43% [lower-alpha 8] | 54% | – | – | – [lower-alpha 7] | – | – | 11% | ||||
Swayable [12] | Nov 1 | 5,174 (LV) | ± 1.7% | 46% | 52% | 2% | 0% | – | – | – | 6% |
John Zogby Strategies/EMI Research [13] | Nov 1 | 1,008 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 43% [lower-alpha 4] | 48% | 4% | 2% | 2% | – | 2% | 5% |
45% [lower-alpha 6] | 52% | – | – | – | – | 3% | 7% | ||||
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [14] | Oct 30 – Nov 1 | 8,765 (LV) | – | 41% | 53% | 1% | 1% | – | – | – | 12% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [15] | Oct 30 – Nov 1 | 24,930 (LV) | ± 1% | 47% [lower-alpha 9] | 52% | – | – | – | – | – | 5% |
YouGov/Yahoo News [16] | Oct 30 – Nov 1 | 1,360 (LV) | – | 43% | 53% | – | – | 2% | 0% | 2% | 10% |
Change Research/CNBC [17] | Oct 29 – Nov 1 | 1,880 (LV) | ± 2.26% | 42% | 52% | 2% | 1% | 2% [lower-alpha 10] | – | 1% | 10% |
Qriously/Brandwatch [18] | Oct 29 – Nov 1 | 3,505 (LV) | – | 41% | 52% | 2% | 1% | – | – | – | 11% |
Léger [19] | Oct 29 – Nov 1 | 827 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 42% | 50% | 2% | 1% | 1% [lower-alpha 11] | 0% | 4% | 8% |
Quinnipiac University [20] | Oct 28 – Nov 1 | 1,516 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 39% | 50% | – | – | 2% [lower-alpha 12] | – | 9% | 11% |
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports [21] | Oct 28 – Nov 1 | 1,500 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 47% [lower-alpha 13] | 48% | – | – | 3% [lower-alpha 3] | – | 2% | 1% |
AYTM/Aspiration [22] | Oct 30–31 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 39% | 48% | – | – | – | – | – | 9% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [23] | Oct 29–31 | 34,255 (LV) | – | 46% | 52% | – | – | – | – | – | 6% |
Morning Consult [24] | Oct 29–31 | 14,663 (LV) | ± 1% | 44% [lower-alpha 14] | 52% | – | – | 2% [lower-alpha 12] | – | 3% | 8% |
Swayable [25] | Oct 29–31 | 3,115 (LV) | ± 2.4% | 46% | 52% | 2% | 0% | – | – | – | 6% |
RMG Research/Just the News [26] | Oct 29–31 | 1,200 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 44% [lower-alpha 4] | 51% | 1% | 1% | 2% [lower-alpha 15] | – | 1% | 7% |
42% [lower-alpha 16] | 53% | 1% | 1% | 2% [lower-alpha 15] | – | 1% | 11% | ||||
45% [lower-alpha 17] | 50% | 1% | 1% | 2% [lower-alpha 15] | – | 1% | 5% | ||||
SurveyUSA/Cheddar [27] | Oct 29–31 | 1,265 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 44% | 52% | – | – | 3% [lower-alpha 3] | – | 2% | 8% |
NBC/WSJ [28] | Oct 29–31 | 833 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 42% | 52% | - | - | 3% [lower-alpha 18] | – | 3% | 10% |
IBD/TIPP [29] | Oct 27–31 | 1,072 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 45% [lower-alpha 4] | 49% | 3% | 1% | 0% | – | 0% | 4% |
45% [lower-alpha 6] | 50% | – | – | – | – | – | 5% | ||||
Data for Progress [30] | Oct 28–29 | 1,403 (LV) | ± 2.6% | 44% | 54% | 1% | 1% | – | – | – | 10% |
Gravis Marketing [31] | Oct 27–29 | 1,281 (LV) | ± 2.7% | 44% | 50% | – | – | – | – | 6% | 6% |
Morning Consult [32] | Oct 27–29 | 12,000 (LV) | ± 1% | 43% | 52% | – | – | 2% [lower-alpha 12] | – | 3% | 9% |
Fox News [33] | Oct 27–29 | 1,246 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 44% | 52% | – | – | 2% | 0% [lower-alpha 19] | 2% | 8% |
Opinium/The Guardian [34] | Oct 26–29 | 1,451 (LV) | – | 41% | 55% | – | – | 2% | – | 2% | 14% |
Swayable [35] | Oct 27–28 | 2,386 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 46% | 53% | 1% | 1% | – | – | – | 7% |
Harvard-Harris [36] | Oct 27–28 | 2,093 (RV) | – | 46% | 54% | – | – | – | – | – | 8% |
AtlasIntel [37] | Oct 26–28 | 1,726 (LV) | ± 2% | 46% | 51% | – | – | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% |
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports [38] | Oct 26–28 | 1,500 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 47% | 48% | – | – | 3% [lower-alpha 3] | – | 2% | 1% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [39] | Oct 26–28 | 15,688 (LV) | – | 47% | 51% | – | – | – | – | – | 4% |
JL Partners/The Independent [40] | Oct 26–28 | 844 (LV) | – | 41% | 55% | – | – | – | – | – | 14% |
HarrisX/The Hill [41] | Oct 25–28 | 2,359 (LV) | ± 2% | 45% [lower-alpha 4] | 49% | – | – | 3% | 3% | 3% | 4% |
47% [lower-alpha 6] | 53% | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | ||||
Angus Reid Global [42] | Oct 23–28 | 2,231 (LV) | ± 2.1% | 45% | 53% | – | – | 2% [lower-alpha 20] | – | – | 8% |
SurveyMonkey/Long Island University [43] | Oct 26–27 | 1,573 (A) | ± 3.5% | 36% | 47% | – | – | 5% | – | 9% | 11% |
YouGov/Economist [44] | Oct 25–27 | 1,365 (LV) | – | 43% | 54% | – | – | 2% | 0% | 2% | 11% |
Global Marketing Research/FPU/Boston Herald [45] Archived 2020-11-27 at the Wayback Machine | Oct 23–27 | 1,006 (LV) | ± 3% | 39% | 53% | – | – | 6% [lower-alpha 21] | – | 4% | 14% |
Ipsos/Reuters [46] | Oct 23–27 | 825 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 42% | 52% | – | – | 5% [lower-alpha 22] | 0% | 2% | 10% |
Suffolk University/USA Today [47] | Oct 23–27 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 43% [lower-alpha 4] | 50% | 1% | 1% | 2% [lower-alpha 23] | 0% [lower-alpha 24] | 4% | 7% |
44% [lower-alpha 6] | 52% | – | – | 2% [lower-alpha 10] | – | 2% | 8% | ||||
YouGov/University of Massachusetts Amherst [48] [ permanent dead link ] | Oct 20–27 | 1,500 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 44% | 53% | – | – | 3% | 0% [lower-alpha 25] | 1% | 9% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [49] | Oct 25–26 | 4,790 (LV) | – | 41% | 51% | 1% | 1% | 1% [lower-alpha 26] | – | 5% | 10% |
Emerson College [50] | Oct 25–26 | 1,121 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 47% [lower-alpha 27] | 51% | – | – | 2% [lower-alpha 12] | – | – | 4% |
Morning Consult [51] | Oct 24–26 | 12,000 (LV) | ± 1% | 43% | 52% | – | – | 2% [lower-alpha 12] | – | 3% | 9% |
Swayable [52] | Oct 23–26 | 11,714 (RV) | ± 1.2% | 46% | 51% | 2% | 1% | – | – | – | 5% |
Winston Group (R) [53] | Oct 23–26 | 1,000 (RV) | – | 43% | 48% | – | – | – | – | 9% | 5% |
CNN/SSRS [54] | Oct 23–26 | 886 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 42% | 54% | – | – | 1% | 1% | 2% | 12% |
Qriously/Brandwatch [55] | Oct 22–26 | 2,234 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 39% [lower-alpha 27] | 49% | 3% | 1% | – | 4% | 4% | 10% |
IBD/TIPP [56] | Oct 22–26 | 970 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 46% [lower-alpha 4] | 51% | 1% | 1% | 0% | – | 0% | 5% |
46% [lower-alpha 6] | 50% | – | – | – | – | – | 4% | ||||
YouGov/Hofstra University [57] | Oct 19–26 | 2,000 (LV) | ± 2% | 43% | 54% | – | – | 4% [lower-alpha 28] | – | – | 11% |
YouGov/GW Politics [58] | Oct 16–26 | 2,500 (LV) | ± 2% | 41% | 52% | – | – | 2% [lower-alpha 20] | 1% [lower-alpha 29] | 4% | 11% |
Cometrends/University of Dallas [59] | Oct 13–26 | 2,500 (A) | ± 2% | 44% | 56% | – | – | – | – | – | 12% |
Lucid/Tufts University [60] | Oct 25 | 837 (LV) | – | 45% | 52% | – | – | – | – | – | 7% |
Léger [61] | Oct 23–25 | 834 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 41% | 49% | 4% | 1% | 1% [lower-alpha 11] | – | 5% | 8% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [62] | Oct 23–25 | 19,543 (LV) | – | 46% | 52% | – | – | – | – | – | 6% |
YouGov/Yahoo News [63] | Oct 23–25 | 1,350 (LV) | – | 42% | 54% | – | – | 2% | 0% | 2% | 12% |
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports [64] | Oct 21–22, Oct 25 | 1,500 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 48% | 47% | – | – | 3% [lower-alpha 3] | – | 2% | 1% |
Change Research/Crooked Media [65] | Oct 23–24 | 1,125 (LV) | ± 3% | 43% | 51% | 1% | 1% | 1% [lower-alpha 30] | 0% [lower-alpha 31] | 2% | 9% |
RMG Research/Just the News [66] | Oct 23–24 | 1,842 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 44% [lower-alpha 4] | 51% | 1% | 0% | 1% | – | 2% | 7% |
43% [lower-alpha 16] | 53% | 1% | 0% | 1% | – | 2% | 10% | ||||
46% [lower-alpha 17] | 50% | 1% | 0% | 1% | – | 2% | 4% | ||||
CNBC/Hart Research/Public Opinion Strategies [67] | Oct 21–24 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 40% | 51% | – | – | – | – | – | 11% |
Morning Consult [68] | Oct 21–23 | 12,000 (LV) | ± 1% | 43% | 52% | – | – | 2% [lower-alpha 12] | – | 3% | 9% |
Spry Strategies [69] | Oct 20–23 | 3,500 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 48% | 46% | – | – | 2% | – | 4% | 2% |
Spry Strategies/Women's Liberation Front [70] | Oct 20–23 | 3,500 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 46% | 48% | – | – | 2% | – | 4% | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [71] | Oct 20–22 | 34,788 (LV) | – | 46% | 52% | – | – | – | – | – | 6% |
Ipsos/Reuters [72] | Oct 20–22 | 935 (LV) | – | 43% | 51% | – | – | 4% | – | 2% | 8% |
IBD/TIPP [73] | Oct 17–21 | 965 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 45% [lower-alpha 4] | 50% | 3% | 1% | 0% | – | 1% | 5% |
46% [lower-alpha 6] | 50% | – | – | – | – | – | 4% | ||||
Rethink Priorities [74] | Oct 20 | 4,933 (LV) | ± 2% | 42% | 51% | – | – | 4% [lower-alpha 32] | – | 4% | 9% |
Data for Progress [75] | Oct 20 | 811 (LV) | – | 44% | 54% | – | – | 2% [lower-alpha 33] | – | – | 10% |
YouGov/Economist [76] | Oct 18–20 | 1,344 (LV) | – | 43% | 52% | – | – | 2% | 0% | 4% | 9% |
Morning Consult [77] | Oct 18–20 | 15,821 (LV) | ± 1% | 43% | 52% | – | – | 2% [lower-alpha 12] | – | 3% | 9% |
Echelon Insights [78] | Oct 16–20 | 1,006 (LV) | – | 44% [lower-alpha 4] | 50% | 1% | 1% | 0% [lower-alpha 34] | – | 3% | 6% |
44% [lower-alpha 6] | 51% | – | – | – | – | 5% | 7% | ||||
Ipsos/Reuters [79] | Oct 16–20 | 949 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 42% | 51% | – | – | 4% [lower-alpha 35] | – | 3% | 9% |
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports [80] | Oct 14–15, Oct 18–20 | 2,500 (LV) | ± 2% | 46% | 49% | – | – | 2% [lower-alpha 15] | – | 2% | 3% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [81] | Oct 17–19 | 18,255 (LV) | – | 46% | 52% | – | – | – | – | – | 6% |
SurveyUSA/Cheddar [82] | Oct 16–19 | 1,136 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 43% | 53% | – | – | 2% [lower-alpha 15] | – | 3% | 10% |
Quinnipiac University [83] | Oct 16–19 | 1,426 (LV) | ± 2.6% | 41% | 51% | – | – | 2% [lower-alpha 12] | – | 4% | 10% |
GSG/GBAO [84] | Oct 15–19 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 43% | 53% | – | – | – | 1% | 3% | 10% |
Qriously/Brandwatch [85] | Oct 15–19 | 2,731 (LV) | ± 2.6% | 40% [lower-alpha 27] | 51% | 1% | 0% | – | 3% | 5% | 11% |
GBAO/Omidyar Network [86] | Oct 15–19 | 1,150 (RV) | – | 40% | 53% | – | – | 3% [lower-alpha 36] | 1% | 4% | 13% |
USC Dornsife [87] | Oct 6–19 | 5,488 (LV) | – | 41% [lower-alpha 4] | 54% | – [lower-alpha 7] | – [lower-alpha 7] | – [lower-alpha 7] | – [lower-alpha 7] | – | 13% |
42% [lower-alpha 8] | 54% | – | – | – [lower-alpha 7] | – | – | 12% | ||||
Change Research/CNBC [88] | Oct 17–18 | 2,711 (LV) | ± 1.9% | 42% | 52% | – | – | – | – | – | 10% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [89] | Oct 17–18 | 2,915 (LV) | – | 40% | 51% | 1% | 1% | 1% [lower-alpha 26] | – | 6% | 11% |
Research Co. [90] | Oct 16–18 | 1,035 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 50% | 1% | 1% | 7% [lower-alpha 37] | – | – | 8% |
Léger [91] | Oct 16–18 | 821 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 41% | 50% | 2% | 2% | 1% [lower-alpha 11] | 0% | 5% | 9% |
YouGov/Yahoo News [92] | Oct 16–18 | 1,583 (LV) | ± 4% | 40% | 51% | – | – | 3% | 0% | 5% | 11% |
Siena College/NYT Upshot [93] | Oct 15–18 | 987 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 41% | 50% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 6% [lower-alpha 38] | 9% |
Morning Consult [94] | Oct 15–17 | 12,000 (LV) | ± 1% | 43% | 52% | – | – | 2% [lower-alpha 12] | – | 3% | 9% |
RMG Research/Just the News [95] | Oct 15–17 | 1,265 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 43% | 51% | 2% | 1% | 1% [lower-alpha 39] | – | 2% | 8% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [96] | Oct 14–16 | 38,710 (LV) | – | 45% | 53% | – | – | – | – | – | 8% |
IBD/TIPP [97] | Oct 12–16 | 1,009 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 43% [lower-alpha 4] | 50% | 2% | 1% | 1% | – | 1% | 7% |
43% [lower-alpha 6] | 50% | – | – | – | – | – | 7% | ||||
HarrisX/The Hill [98] | Oct 13–15 | 1,897 (RV) | ± 2.25% | 42% | 46% | – | – | 3% | 3% | 6% | 4% |
Ipsos/Reuters [99] | Oct 13–15 | 920 (LV) | – | 41% | 51% | – | – | 4% | 0% | 4% | 10% |
Morning Consult [100] | Oct 12–14 | 15,499 (LV) | ± 1% | 43% | 52% | – | – | 2% [lower-alpha 12] | – | 4% | 9% |
JL Partners/The Independent [101] | Oct 13 | 844 (LV) | – | 42% | 52% | – | – | – | – | – | 10% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [102] | Oct 11–13 | 10,395 (LV) | – | 46% | 52% | – | – | – | – | – | 6% |
YouGov/Economist [103] | Oct 11–13 | 1,333 (LV) | – | 42% | 52% | – | – | 1% | 0% | 4% | 10% |
HarrisX/The Hill [104] | Oct 10–13 | 2,855 (RV) | ± 1.83% | 40% | 47% | – | – | 3% | 3% | 7% | 7% |
Ipsos/Reuters [105] | Oct 9–13 | 882 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 41% | 51% | – | – | 4% | – | 4% | 10% |
Marist College/NPR/PBS [106] | Oct 8–13 | 896 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 43% | 54% | – | – | 1% | – | 2% | 11% |
Whitman Insight Strategies [107] | Oct 8–13 | 1,103 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 42% | 54% | – | – | 1% [lower-alpha 40] | – | 3% | 12% |
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports [108] | Oct 7–8, Oct 11–13 | 2,500 (LV) | ± 2% | 45% | 50% | – | – | 2% [lower-alpha 15] | – | 3% | 5% |
Public Religion Research Institute [109] | Oct 9–12 | 752 (LV) [lower-alpha 41] | – | 38% | 56% | – | – | – | – | – | 18% |
591 (LV) [lower-alpha 42] | – | 40% | 54% | – | – | – | – | – | 14% | ||
NBC/WSJ [110] | Oct 9–12 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 42% | 53% | – | – | 3% [lower-alpha 18] | – | 2% | 11% |
AP-NORC [111] | Oct 8–12 | 1,121 (A) | ± 4% | 36% | 51% | – | – | 7% [lower-alpha 43] | 6% | 0% | 15% |
GSG/GBAO [112] | Oct 8–12 | 1,003 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 43% | 53% | – | – | – | 1% | 3% | 10% |
Qriously/Brandwatch [113] | Oct 8–12 | 2,053 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 38% [lower-alpha 27] | 52% | 1% | 1% | – | 3% | 6% | 14% |
Opinium/The Guardian [114] | Oct 8–12 | 1,398 (LV) | – | 40% | 57% | – | – | 1% | – | 2% | 17% |
Kaiser Family Foundation [115] | Oct 7–12 | 1,015 (LV) | ± 3% | 38% | 49% | – | – | 5% [lower-alpha 44] | – | 8% | 11% |
Public First [116] | Oct 6–12 | 2,004 (A) | – | 34% | 47% | – | – | 3% [lower-alpha 45] | 8% | 8% | 13% |
YouGov/UMass Lowell [117] | Oct 5–12 | 819 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 43% | 53% | 1% | 1% | 0% [lower-alpha 46] | – | 3% | 10% |
Morning Consult [118] | Oct 9–11 | 16,056 (LV) | ± 1% | 43% | 51% | – | – | 2% [lower-alpha 12] | – | 4% | 8% |
YouGov/Yahoo News [119] | Oct 9–11 | 1,366 (LV) [lower-alpha 7] | – | 43% | 51% | – | – | 2% | 0% | 4% | 8% |
Léger [120] | Oct 9–11 | 841 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 39% | 50% | 3% | 1% | 1% [lower-alpha 11] | 1% | 6% | 11% |
IBD/TIPP [121] | Oct 7–11 | 851 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 43% [lower-alpha 4] | 52% | 2% | 1% | 0% | – | 0% | 9% |
42% [lower-alpha 6] | 53% | – | – | – | – | – | 11% | ||||
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [122] | Oct 10 | 1,679 (LV) | – | 41% | 49% | 1% | 1% | 1% [lower-alpha 26] | – | 7% | 8% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [123] | Oct 8–10 | 25,748 (LV) | – | 46% | 52% | – | – | – | – | – | 6% |
RMG Research/Just the News [124] | Oct 8–10 | 1,240 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 43% [lower-alpha 4] | 51% | 2% | 1% | 0% | – | 2% | 8% |
41% [lower-alpha 16] | 53% | 2% | 1% | 0% | – | 2% | 12% | ||||
45% [lower-alpha 17] | 50% | 2% | 1% | 0% | – | 2% | 5% | ||||
Morning Consult [125] | Oct 7–9 | 12,000 (LV) | ± 1% | 43% | 51% | – | – | 2% [lower-alpha 12] | – | 4% | 8% |
YouGov/CCES [126] | Sep 29 – Oct 7 | 50,908 (LV) | – | 43% | 51% | – | – | – | – | – | 8% |
ABC/Washington Post [127] | Oct 6–9 | 752 (LV) | ± 4% | 42% [lower-alpha 4] | 54% | 2% | 1% | 0% [lower-alpha 47] | 0% [lower-alpha 19] | 2% | 12% |
43% [lower-alpha 6] | 55% | – | – | 0% [lower-alpha 48] | 1% | 1% | 12% | ||||
Ipsos/Reuters [128] | Oct 6–8 | 882 (LV) | – | 41% | 53% | – | – | 2% [lower-alpha 15] | 0% | 3% | 12% |
Public Opinion Strategies/Conservative Energy Network [129] [upper-alpha 1] | Oct 5–8 | 1,000 (LV) | – | 41% | 55% | – | – | – | – | 4% | 14% |
Edison Research [130] | Sep 25 – Oct 8 | 1,378 (RV) [lower-alpha 49] | – | 35% | 48% | – | – | – | – | – | 13% |
Ipsos/Reuters [131] | Sep 22 – Oct 8 | 2,004 (A) | ± 3.5% | 39% | 46% | – | – | 5% [lower-alpha 22] | 5% | 5% | 7% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [132] | Oct 5–7 | 30,687 (LV) | – | 45% | 53% | – | – | – | – | – | 8% |
Data For Progress [133] | Oct 6 | 863 (LV) | – | 41% | 56% | – | – | 3% [lower-alpha 50] | – | – | 15% |
Morning Consult [134] | Oct 4–6 | 12,000 (LV) | ± 1% | 43% | 51% | – | – | 2% [lower-alpha 12] | – | 4% | 8% |
YouGov/Economist [135] | Oct 4–6 | 1,364 (LV) | – | 42% | 51% | – | – | 2% | 0% | 5% | 9% |
HarrisX/The Hill [136] | Oct 3–6 | 2,841 (RV) | ± 1.84% | 40% | 45% | – | – | 3% | 4% | 7% | 5% |
Fox News [137] | Oct 3–6 | 1,012 (LV) | ± 3% | 43% | 53% | – | – | 1% | – | 3% | 10% |
Ipsos/Reuters [138] | Oct 2–6 | 882 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 40% [lower-alpha 4] | 52% | 1% | 1% | 3% [lower-alpha 51] | – | 3% | 12% |
40% [lower-alpha 52] | 52% | – | – | 4% [lower-alpha 35] | – | 4% | 12% | ||||
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports [139] | Sep 30 – Oct 1, Oct 4–6 | 2,500 (LV) | ± 2% | 40% | 52% | – | – | 4% [lower-alpha 35] | – | 4% | 12% |
Innovative Research Group [140] | Sep 29 – Oct 6 | 2,435 (RV) | – | 42% | 47% | – | – | 1% | 2% | 9% | 5% |
GSG/GBAO [141] | Oct 2–5 | 1,011 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 44% | 52% | – | – | – | 1% | 4% | 8% |
Pew Research [142] | Sep 30 – Oct 5 | 11,929 (RV) | ± 1.5% | 42% | 52% | 4% | 1% | 1% [lower-alpha 53] | – | 0% | 10% |
USC Dornsife [143] | Sep 22 – Oct 5 | 4,914 (LV) | – | 42% [lower-alpha 4] | 54% | – [lower-alpha 7] | – [lower-alpha 7] | – [lower-alpha 7] | – [lower-alpha 7] | – | 12% |
42% [lower-alpha 8] | 53% | – | – | – [lower-alpha 7] | – | – | 11% | ||||
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [144] | Oct 3–4 | 2,127 (LV) | – | 42% | 50% | 1% | 1% | 1% [lower-alpha 26] | – | 6% | 8% |
Léger [145] | Oct 2–4 | 843 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 40% | 49% | 2% | 1% | 1% [lower-alpha 11] | 1% | 6% | 9% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [146] | Oct 2–4 | 12,510 (LV) | – | 46% | 52% | – | – | – | – | – | 6% |
Change Research/CNBC [147] | Oct 2–4 | 2,167 (LV) | ± 2.11% | 42% | 52% | 3% | 1% | – | 1% | 2% | 10% |
Qriously/Brandwatch [148] | Oct 1–4 | 2,048 (LV) | ± 2.7% | 38% [lower-alpha 27] | 51% | 1% | 0% | – | 3% | 6% | 13% |
SurveyUSA [149] | Oct 1–4 | 1,114 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 43% | 53% | – | – | 2% [lower-alpha 15] | – | 3% | 10% |
CNN/SSRS [150] | Oct 1–4 | 1,001 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 41% | 57% | – | – | 1% | 0% | 1% | 16% |
Global Marketing Research/FPU/Boston Herald [151] | Sep 30 – Oct 4 | 1,003 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 37% | 51% | – | – | 3% [lower-alpha 54] | – | 8% | 14% |
NBC/WSJ [152] | Oct 2–3 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.46% | 39% | 53% | – | – | 2% [lower-alpha 55] | – | 6% | 14% |
Ipsos/Reuters [153] | Oct 2–3 | 596 (LV) | ± 5% | 41% | 51% | – | – | 4% [lower-alpha 56] | – | 4% | 10% |
YouGov/Yahoo News [154] | Oct 2–3 | 1,088 (LV) | – | 43% | 51% | – | – | 2% | 0% | 5% | 8% |
RMG Research/Just the News [155] | Oct 1–3 | 763 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 43% [lower-alpha 4] | 51% | 1% | 1% | 1% | – | 3% | 8% |
41% [lower-alpha 16] | 53% | 1% | 1% | 1% | – | 3% | 12% | ||||
45% [lower-alpha 17] | 49% | 1% | 1% | 1% | – | 3% | 4% | ||||
Morning Consult [156] | Oct 1–3 | 12,000 (LV) | ± 1% | 43% | 52% | – | – | 2% [lower-alpha 12] | – | 4% | 9% |
Zogby Strategies/EMI Research [157] | Oct 2 | 1,002 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 45% [lower-alpha 4] | 47% | 2% | 2% | – | – | 4% | 2% |
47% [lower-alpha 6] | 49% | – | – | – | – | 4% | 2% | ||||
YouGov/Yahoo News [158] | Oct 1–2 | 1,345 (LV) | – | 40% | 48% | – | – | 3% | 0% | 8% | 8% |
St. Leo University [159] | Sep 27 – Oct 2 | 947 (LV) | ± 3% | 38% | 52% | – | – | – | – | 6% | 14% |
HarrisX/The Hill [160] | Sep 30 – Oct 1 | 928 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 40% | 47% | – | – | 3% | 3% | 7% | 7% |
Data for Progress [161] | Sep 30 – Oct 1 | 1,146 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 41% | 51% | – | – | – | – | 8% | 10% |
IBD/TIPP [162] | Sep 30 – Oct 1 | 1,021 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 46% | 49% | – | – | 1.5% [lower-alpha 57] | – | 4% | 3% |
SurveyMonkey/Long Island University [163] | Sep 30 – Oct 1 | 1,502 (A) | ± 3.5% | 31% | 48% | – | – | 7% [lower-alpha 58] | 5% | 9% | 17% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [164] | Sep 29 – Oct 1 | 24,022 (LV) | – | 46% | 52% | – | – | – | – | – | 6% |
Ipsos/Reuters [165] | Sep 29 – Oct 1 | 882 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 41% | 50% | – | – | 4% [lower-alpha 28] | – | 5% | 9% |
Poll source | Date | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Green | Other | Abstention | Undecided | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Change Research/CNBC [166] | Sep 29–30 [lower-alpha 49] | 925 (LV) | ± 3.22% | 41% | 54% | – | – | – | – | – | 13% |
YouGov/Economist [167] | Sep 27–30 | 1,350 (LV) | – | 42% | 50% | – | – | 2% | 0% | 6% | 8% |
Morning Consult [168] | Sep 27–30 | 12,000 (LV) | ± 1% | 43% | 51% | – | – | 2% [lower-alpha 12] | – | 4% | 8% |
Winston Group (R) [169] | Sep 26–30 | 1,000 (RV) | – | 43% | 47% | – | – | – | – | 10% | 4% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [170] | Sep 1–30 | 152,640 (LV) | – | 46% | 52% | – | – | – | – | 2% | 6% |
Ipsos/Reuters [171] | Sep 25–29 | 864 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 42% | 51% | – | – | 3% [lower-alpha 3] | – | 4% | 9% |
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports [172] | Sep 23–29 | 3,000 (LV) | ± 2% | 43% | 51% | – | – | 3% [lower-alpha 3] | – | 3% | 8% |
Global Strategy Group/GBAO [173] | Sep 26–28 | 1,002 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 43% | 53% | – | – | – | 1% | 4% | 10% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [174] | Sep 26–27 | 2,445 (LV) | – | 40% | 50% | 2% | 1% | 1% [lower-alpha 26] | No voters | 7% | 10% |
Zogby Analytics [175] | Sep 25–27 | 833 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 43% | 46% | 5% | 2% | – | – | 5% | 3% |
Léger [176] | Sep 25–27 | 854 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 40% | 47% | 2% | 2% | 1% [lower-alpha 11] | 1% | 8% | 7% |
Morning Consult [177] | Sep 25–27 | 12,965 (LV) | ± 1% | 44% | 51% | – | – | 2% [lower-alpha 12] | – | 4% | 7% |
Qriously/Brandwatch [178] | Sep 24–27 | 2,273 (LV) | ± 2.6% | 40% [lower-alpha 27] | 50% | 1% | 1% | – | 2% | 6% | 10% |
Monmouth University [179] | Sep 24–27 | 809 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 45% | 50% | 1% | 1% | – | – | – | 5% |
PureSpectrum/COVID-19 Consortium [180] | Aug 7 – Sep 27 | 26,838 (LV) | – | 40% | 50% | – | – | – | – | – | 10% |
RMG Research/Just the News [181] | Sep 24–26 | 752 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 45% [lower-alpha 4] | 51% | 0% | 1% | 0% | – | 3% | 6% |
44% [lower-alpha 16] | 52% | 0% | 1% | 0% | – | 3% | 8% | ||||
47% [lower-alpha 17] | 49% | 0% | 1% | 0% | – | 3% | 2% | ||||
SurveyMonkey/Long Island University [182] | Sep 24–26 | 1,508 (A) | ± 3.5% | 30% | 48% | – | – | 5% [lower-alpha 59] | 6% | 10% | 18% |
HarrisX/The Hill [183] | Sep 22–25 | 2,768 (RV) | ± 1.86% | 40% | 45% | – | – | 4% | 4% | 7% | 5% |
Echelon Insights [184] | Sep 19–25 | 1,018 (LV) | – | 41% [lower-alpha 4] | 50% | 2% | 1% | 1% [lower-alpha 11] | – | 6% | 9% |
43% [lower-alpha 6] | 51% | – | – | – | – | 6% | 8% | ||||
Harvard-Harris [185] | Sep 22–24 | – (LV) [lower-alpha 7] | – | 45% | 47% | – | – | – | – | – | 2% |
Siena College/NYT Upshot [186] | Sep 22–24 | 950 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 41% | 49% | 2% | 1% | 0% [lower-alpha 60] | 0% | 7% [lower-alpha 38] | 8% |
Morning Consult [187] | Sep 22–24 | 12,000 (LV) | ± 1% | 44% | 51% | – | – | 2% [lower-alpha 12] | – | 4% | 7% |
Ipsos/Reuters [188] | Sep 22–24 | 934 (LV) | – | 41% | 50% | – | – | 4% | – | 4% | 9% |
ABC News/Washington Post [189] | Sep 21–24 | 739 (LV) | ± 4% | 43% [lower-alpha 4] | 49% | 4% | 3% | 0% [lower-alpha 61] | 1% | 1% | 6% |
44% [lower-alpha 6] | 54% | – | – | 0% [lower-alpha 61] | 0% | 1% | 10% | ||||
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [190] | Sep 22–23 | 2,500 (LV) | ± 2.19% | 41% | 50% | 2% | 1% | 1% [lower-alpha 26] | – | 7% | 9% |
Emerson College [191] | Sep 22–23 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3% | 47% [lower-alpha 27] | 50% | – | – | 4% [lower-alpha 28] | – | – | 3% |
YouGov/Yahoo News [192] | Sep 21–23 | 1,125 (LV) | – | 44% | 49% | – | – | 1% | 0% | 6% | 5% |
JL Partners [193] | Sep 14–23 | 4,053 (LV) | – | 41% | 51% | – | – | 2% [lower-alpha 20] | – | 6% | 10% |
Data For Progress [194] | Sep 22 | 740 (RV) | – | 42% | 55% | – | – | 3% [lower-alpha 50] | – | – | 13% |
YouGov/Economist [195] | Sep 20–22 | 1,124 (LV) | – | 42% | 49% | – | – | 2% | 0% | 6% | 7% |
Ipsos/Reuters [196] | Sep 18–22 | 889 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 42% | 50% | – | – | 4% [lower-alpha 35] | – | 5% | 8% |
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports [197] | Sep 16–17, Sep 20–22 | 3,000 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 47% | 48% | – | – | 3% [lower-alpha 3] | – | 2% | 1% |
YouGov/Hofstra University [198] | Sep 14–22 | 2,000 (LV) | ± 2.92% | 42% | 53% | – | – | 5% [lower-alpha 44] | – | – | 11% |
Public Religion Research Institute [199] | Sep 9–22 | 1,736 (LV) [lower-alpha 62] | ± 3.2% | 42% [lower-alpha 49] | 57% | – | – | – | – | – | 15% |
1,387 (LV) [lower-alpha 42] | ± 3.6% | 44% | 55% | – | – | 0% [lower-alpha 63] | – | 0% | 11% | ||
HarrisX/The Hill [200] | Sep 19–21 | 2,803 (RV) | ± 1.9% | 40% | 45% | – | – | 4% | 4% | 7% | 5% |
Morning Consult [201] | Sep 19–21 | 12,000 (LV) | ± 1% | 43% | 51% | – | – | 2% [lower-alpha 12] | – | 4% | 8% |
Global Strategy Group/GBAO [202] | Sep 17–21 | 1,230 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 42% | 53% | – | – | – | 2% | 3% | 11% |
Quinnipiac University [203] | Sep 17–21 | 1,302 (LV) | ± 2.7% | 42% | 52% | – | – | 1% [lower-alpha 40] | – | 4% | 10% |
Ipsos/Survey Center on American Life [204] | Sep 11–21 | 2,006 (A) | ± 2.4% | 37% | 47% | – | – | 6% [lower-alpha 64] | 11% | – | 10% |
USC Dornsife [205] | Sep 8–21 | 5,482 (LV) | – | 42% [lower-alpha 4] | 52% | – [lower-alpha 7] | – [lower-alpha 7] | – [lower-alpha 7] | – [lower-alpha 7] | – | 10% |
42% [lower-alpha 8] | 51% | – | – | – [lower-alpha 7] | – | – | 9% | ||||
Change Research/CNBC [206] | Sep 18–20 | 1,430 (LV) | ± 2.59% | 42% | 51% | 4% | 1% | – | 0% | 3% | 9% |
Léger [207] | Sep 18–20 | 830 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 41% | 48% | – | – | 5% | 1% | 5% | 7% |
Morning Consult [208] | Sep 18–20 | 1,988 (RV) | ± 2% | 41% | 48% | – | – | 3% [lower-alpha 65] | – | 7% | 7% |
Qriously/Brandwatch [209] | Sep 17–20 | 2,134 (LV) | ± 3% | 39% | 46% | 2% | 0% | – | 2% | 12% | 7% |
RMG Research/Just the News [210] | Sep 17–19 | 773 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 44% [lower-alpha 4] | 50% | 2% | 1% | 1% [lower-alpha 39] | – | 3% | 6% |
42% [lower-alpha 16] | 52% | 2% | 1% | 1% [lower-alpha 39] | – | 3% | 10% | ||||
46% [lower-alpha 17] | 49% | 2% | 1% | 1% [lower-alpha 39] | – | 3% | 3% | ||||
IBD/TIPP [211] | Sep 16–19 | 962 (LV) | – | 44% | 50% | – | – | 2% [lower-alpha 20] | – | 5% | 6% |
Morning Consult [212] | Sep 16–18 | 12,000 (LV) | ± 1% | 44% | 51% | – | – | 2% [lower-alpha 12] | – | 4% | 7% |
YouGov/Yahoo News [213] | Sep 15–17 | 1,223 (RV) | – | 41% | 47% | – | – | 2% | 1% | 9% | 6% |
Ipsos/Reuters [214] | Sep 15–17 | 834 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 42% | 51% | – | – | 3% [lower-alpha 3] | – | 4% | 9% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [215] | Sep 15–16 | 1,070 (LV) | ± 1.97% | 41% | 49% | 2% | 1% | 1% [lower-alpha 26] | – | 7% | 8% |
NBC/WSJ [216] | Sep 13–16 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 43% | 51% | – | – | 3% [lower-alpha 18] | – | 3% | 8% |
GBAO/Omidyar Network [217] | Sep 12–16 | 1,150 (RV) | – | 39% | 51% | – | – | 3% [lower-alpha 65] | 1% | 6% | 12% |
Marist/NPR/PBS Newshour [218] | Sep 11–16 | 723 (LV) | 42% [lower-alpha 4] | 49% | 5% | 2% | 0% | – | 2% | 7% | |
43% [lower-alpha 6] | 52% | – | – | 3% | – | 2% | 9% | ||||
Data for Progress [219] | Sep 15 | 809 (RV) | – | 42% | 53% | – | – | 5% [lower-alpha 66] | – | – | 11% |
YouGov/Economist [220] | Sep 13–15 | 1,061 (LV) | – | 42% | 51% | – | – | 1% | 0% | 5% | 9% |
Morning Consult [221] | Sep 13–15 | 12,000 (LV) | ± 1% | 43% | 51% | – | – | 2% [lower-alpha 12] | – | 4% | 8% |
Ipsos/Reuters [222] | Sep 11–15 | 859 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 41% | 50% | – | – | 3% [lower-alpha 3] | – | 6% | 9% |
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports [223] | Sep 9–10, Sep 13–15 | 2,500 (LV) | ± 2% | 47% | 46% | – | – | 3% [lower-alpha 3] | – | 4% | 1% |
Marquette Law School [224] | Sep 8–15 | 1,357 (LV) | – | 40% | 50% | 3% | 2% | 3% [lower-alpha 67] | 2% | – | 10% |
AP-NORC [225] | Sep 11–14 | 1,108 (A) | ± 4% | 40% | 44% | – | – | 7% [lower-alpha 68] | 7% | 0% | 4% |
Morning Consult [226] | Sep 10–14 | 1,144 (LV) | – | 44% | 56% | – | – | – | – | – | 12% |
Morning Consult [227] | Sep 10–14 | 1,277 (LV) | – | 45% | 55% | – | – | – | – | – | 10% |
Global Strategy Group/GBAO [228] | Sep 10–14 | 1,007 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 42% | 53% | – | – | – | 1% | 4% | 11% |
HarrisX/The Hill [229] | Sep 10–14 | 3,758 (RV) | ± 1.6% | 39% | 45% | – | – | 4% | 4% | 8% | 6% |
Léger [230] | Sep 11–13 | 833 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 41% | 47% | 2% | 0% | 1% [lower-alpha 11] | 1% | 7% | 6% |
Qriously/Brandwatch [231] | Sep 10–13 | 2,065 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 42% | 46% | 1% | 0% | – | 1% | 9% | 4% |
Morning Consult [232] | Sep 10–12 | 12,000 (LV) | ± 1% | 43% | 51% | – | – | 2% [lower-alpha 12] | – | 4% | 8% |
RMG Research/Just the News [233] | Sep 10–12 | 941 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 43% | 48% | 2% | 1% | 1% [lower-alpha 39] | – | 6% | 5% |
YouGov/Yahoo News [234] | Sep 9–11 | 1,216 (RV) | – | 39% | 49% | – | – | 1% | 2% | 9% | 10% |
Pollfish/Socioanalítica Research [235] | Sep 8–10 | – (RV) [lower-alpha 69] | – | 45% | 53% | – | – | - | - | – | 8% |
Fox News [236] | Sep 7–10 | 1,191 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 46% | 51% | – | – | 1% | – | 2% | 5% |
Opinium [237] | Sep 4–10 | 1,234 (LV) | – | 42% | 51% | – | – | 2% [lower-alpha 15] | – | 5% | 9% |
Climate Nexus [238] | Sep 8–9 | 1,244 (LV) | – | 41% | 52% | – | – | 3% [lower-alpha 70] | – | 4% | 11% |
Morning Consult [239] | Sep 7–9 | 12,000 (LV) | ± 1% | 44% | 51% | – | – | 2% [lower-alpha 12] | – | 4% | 7% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [240] | Sep 7–8 | 1,852 (LV) | ± 2.19% | 40% | 49% | 1% | 1% | 1% [lower-alpha 26] | – | 7% | 9% |
YouGov/Economist [241] | Sep 6–8 | 1,057 (LV) | – | 43% | 52% | – | – | 2% | 0% | 3% | 9% |
HarrisX/The Hill [242] | Sep 5–8 | 2,831 (RV) | ± 1.84% | 39% | 47% | – | – | 5% | 4% | 7% | 8% |
Monmouth University [243] | Sep 3–8 | 758 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 44% | 51% | 1% | 1% | – | – | 2% | 7% |
Ipsos/Reuters [244] | Sep 3–8 | 823 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 40% | 52% | – | – | 3% [lower-alpha 45] | – | 5% | 12% |
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports [245] | Sep 2–3, Sep 6–8 | 2,500 (LV) | ± 2% | 46% | 48% | – | – | 4% [lower-alpha 35] | – | 3% | 2% |
Hart Research Associates/Protect Our Care [246] [upper-alpha 2] | Sep 3–7 | 1,202 (LV) | – | 43% | 51% | – | – | 6% [lower-alpha 71] | – | – | 8% |
Qriously/Brandwatch [247] | Sep 3–7 | 2,013 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 41% | 47% | 1% | 0% | – | 1% | 9% | 6% |
USC Dornsife [248] | Aug 25 – Sep 7 | 5,144 (LV) | – | 42% [lower-alpha 4] | 51% | – [lower-alpha 7] | – [lower-alpha 7] | – [lower-alpha 7] | – [lower-alpha 7] | – | 9% |
42% [lower-alpha 8] | 52% | – | – | – [lower-alpha 7] | – | – | 10% | ||||
Research Co. [249] | Sep 4–6 | 1,114 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 41% | 49% | 1% | 1% | 1% [lower-alpha 39] | – | 7% | 8% |
Léger [250] | Sep 4–6 | 861 (LV) | ± 3.19% | 41% | 47% | 2% | 1% | 1% [lower-alpha 11] | 0% | 7% | 6% |
Morning Consult [251] | Sep 4–6 | 12,965 (LV) | ± 1% | 43% | 50% | – | – | 2% [lower-alpha 12] | – | 4% | 7% |
Change Research/CNBC [252] | Sep 4–6 | 1,902 (LV) | ± 2.25% | 43% | 49% | 3% | 2% | – | 1% | 2% | 6% |
Targoz Market Research/PollSmart Market Research [253] | Sep 2–6 | 1,039 (LV) | ± 2.98% | 46% | 48% | – | – | 6% | – | – | 2% |
Politico/Harvard/SSRS [254] | Aug 25 – Sep 6 | 1,459 (LV) | ± 3% | 42% | 52% | – | – | 1% | 2% | 3% [lower-alpha 38] | 10% |
YouGov/CBS [255] | Sep 2–4 | 2,433 (LV) | ± 2.4% | 42% | 52% | – | – | 3% [lower-alpha 72] | – | 3% | 10% |
Morning Consult [256] | Sep 1–3 | 12,000 (LV) | ± 1% | 43% | 51% | – | – | 2% [lower-alpha 12] | – | 4% | 8% |
Kaiser Family Foundation [257] | Aug 28 – Sep 3 | 989 (RV) | ± 4% | 43% | 48% | – | – | – | – | 6% | 5% |
Ipsos/Reuters [258] | Sep 1–2 | 1,113 (A) | ± 3.3% | 38% [lower-alpha 4] | 42% | – | – | 7% [lower-alpha 73] | 6% | 7% | 4% |
45% [lower-alpha 74] | 51% | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | ||||
Harvard-Harris [259] | Aug 31 – Sep 2 | 1,493 (LV) [lower-alpha 75] | – | 47% [lower-alpha 27] | 53% | – | – | – | – | – | 6% |
Data for Progress [260] | Sep 1 | 695 (RV) | – | 43% | 53% | – | – | 4% [lower-alpha 76] | – | – | 10% |
Ipsos/Reuters [261] | Aug 31 – Sep 1 | 1,089 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 40% | 47% | – | – | 5% [lower-alpha 22] | 2% | 5% | 7% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [262] | Aug 31 – Sep 1 | 1,835 (LV) | – | 41% | 49% | 2% | 1% | 1% [lower-alpha 26] | – | 7% | 8% |
YouGov/Economist [263] | Aug 30 – Sep 1 | 1,207 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 40% | 51% | – | – | 2% | 2% | 4% | 11% |
IBD/TIPP [264] | Aug 29 – Sep 1 | 1,033 (RV) | – | 41% | 49% | – | – | – | – | – | 8% |
CNN/SSRS [265] | Aug 28 – Sep 1 | 997 (RV) | ± 4% | 43% | 51% | – | – | 1% | 2% | 3% | 8% |
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports [266] | Aug 26–27, Aug 30 – Sep 1 | 2,500 (LV) | ± 2% | 45% | 49% | – | – | 3% [lower-alpha 3] | – | 3% | 4% |
Poll source | Date | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Green | Other | Abstention | Undecided | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College [267] | Aug 30–31 | 1,567 (LV) | ± 2.4% | 49% [lower-alpha 27] | 51% | – | – | – | – | – | 2% |
Morning Consult [268] | Aug 29–31 | 12,000 (LV) | ± 1% | 43% | 51% | – | – | 2% [lower-alpha 12] | – | 4% | 8% |
HarrisX/The Hill [269] | Aug 29–31 | 2,834 (RV) | ± 1.84% | 40% | 46% | – | – | 4% | 4% | 7% | 6% |
Quinnipiac University [270] | Aug 28–31 | 1,081 (LV) | ± 3% | 42% | 52% | – | – | 2% [lower-alpha 12] | – | 3% | 10% |
Suffolk University/USA Today [271] | Aug 28–31 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 42% [lower-alpha 4] | 47% | 1% | 0% | 3% [lower-alpha 77] | 7% | 1% | 5% |
43% [lower-alpha 6] | 50% | – | – | 3% [lower-alpha 78] | – | 4% | 7% | ||||
Global Strategy Group/GBAO [272] | Aug 27–31 | 1,309 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 43% | 52% | – | – | – | 1% | 4% | 9% |
Qriously/Brandwatch [273] | Aug 27–31 | 1,998 (LV) | ± 2.7% | 41% | 46% | 2% | 1% | – | 1% | 10% | 5% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [274] | Aug 1–31 | 131,263 (LV) | – | 46% | 52% | – | – | – | – | 2% | 6% |
Léger [275] | Aug 28–30 | 861 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 42% | 49% | 1% | 0% | 1% [lower-alpha 11] | 1% | 6% | 7% |
Selzer & Co./Grinnell College [276] | Aug 26–30 | 827 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 41% | 49% | – | – | 3% [lower-alpha 65] | 1% | 5% | 8% |
Atlas Intel [277] | Aug 24–30 | 4,210 (LV) | ± 2% | 46% | 49% | – | – | 2% | 1% | 1% | 3% |
John Zogby Strategies/EMI Research [278] | Aug 29 | 1,007 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 42% [lower-alpha 4] | 45% | 3% | 2% | – | – | – | 3% |
42% [lower-alpha 6] | 48% | – | – | – | – | 10% | 6% | ||||
Morning Consult [279] | Aug 29 | 4,035 (LV) | ± 2% | 44% | 50% | – | – | 7% [lower-alpha 79] | – | – | 6% |
RMG Research/Just the News [280] | Aug 27–29 | 915 (LV) [lower-alpha 80] | ± 3.2% | 44% | 48% | 2% | 1% | 1% | – | 4% | 4% |
– [lower-alpha 81] | – | 42% | 50% | – | – | – | – | – | 8% | ||
YouGov/Yahoo News [281] | Aug 27–28 | 807 (RV) | – | 41% | 47% | – | – | 3% | 1% | 8% | 6% |
Morning Consult [282] | Aug 26–28 | 12,000 (LV) | ± 1% | 43% | 50% | – | – | 2% [lower-alpha 12] | – | 4% | 7% |
HarrisX/The Hill [283] | Aug 25–28 | 2,862 (RV) | ± 1.83% | 38% | 47% | – | – | 4% | 4% | 8% | 9% |
Survey Sampling International/University of Maryland [284] | Aug 24–28 | 1,724 (A) | ± 2.36% | 37% | 50% | - | - | 5% [lower-alpha 82] | 3% | 7% | 13% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [285] | Aug 25–26 | 1,834 (LV) | – | 39% | 49% | 2% | 1% | 1% [lower-alpha 26] | – | 9% | 10% |
Opinium/The Guardian [286] | Aug 21–26 | 1,257 (LV) | – | 39% | 54% | – | – | 2% | – | 5% | 15% |
YouGov/Economist [287] | Aug 23–25 | 1,254 (RV) | – | 41% | 50% | – | – | 1% | 3% | 4% | 9% |
Morning Consult [288] | Aug 23–25 | 12,000 (LV) | ± 1% | 43% | 51% | – | – | 2% [lower-alpha 12] | – | 4% | 8% |
HarrisX/The Hill [289] | Aug 22–25 | 2,861(RV) | ± 1.84% | 38% | 47% | – | – | 4% | 3% | 8% | 9% |
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports [290] | Aug 19–20, Aug 23–25 | 2,500 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 45% | 46% | – | – | 6% [lower-alpha 83] | – | 4% | 1% |
Ipsos/Reuters [291] | Aug 19–25 | 3,829 (RV) | ± 1.8% | 40% | 47% | – | – | 5% [lower-alpha 22] | 2% | 6% | 7% |
Global Strategy Group/GBAO [292] | Aug 21–24 | 1,319 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 41% | 54% | – | – | – | 1% | 5% | 13% |
USC Dornsife [293] | Aug 11–24 | 4,317 (LV) | – | 39% [lower-alpha 4] | 54% | – [lower-alpha 7] | – [lower-alpha 7] | – [lower-alpha 7] | – [lower-alpha 7] | – | 15% |
4,325 (LV) | 40% [lower-alpha 8] | 53% | – | – | – [lower-alpha 7] | – | – | 13% | |||
Morning Consult [294] | Aug 23 | 4,810 (LV) | ± 1% | 42% | 52% | – | – | 6% [lower-alpha 84] | – | – | 10% |
Change Research/CNBC [295] | Aug 21–23 | 2,362 (LV) | ± 2.02% | 43% | 51% | 2% | 2% | – | 0% | 2% | 8% |
Léger [296] | Aug 21–23 | 894 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 40% | 49% | 2% | 1% | 1% [lower-alpha 11] | 1% | 6% | 9% |
YouGov/Yahoo News [297] | Aug 20–23 | 906 (RV) | – | 39% | 50% | – | – | 3% | 2% | 7% | 11% |
Survey Sampling International/University of Maryland [298] | Aug 18–23 | 2,208 (A) | ± 2.09% | 39% | 48% | - | - | 5% [lower-alpha 82] | 3% | 6% | 9% |
Morning Consult [299] | Aug 20–22 | 12,000 (LV) | ± 1% | 43% | 52% | – | – | 2% [lower-alpha 12] | – | 4% | 9% |
YouGov/CBS [300] | Aug 20–22 | 934 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 42% | 52% | – | – | 4% [lower-alpha 85] | – | 3% | 10% |
Morning Consult [301] | Aug 21 | 4,377 (LV) | ± 1% | 43% | 52% | – | – | 6% [lower-alpha 84] | – | – | 9% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [302] | Aug 19–20 | 1,860 (LV) | – | 39% | 49% | 1% | 1% | 1% [lower-alpha 26] | – | 9% | 10% |
Zogby Analytics [303] | Aug 17–19 | 901 (LV) | – | 43% | 46% | 5% | 2% | – | – | 5% | 3% |
Morning Consult [304] | Aug 17–19 | 12,000 (LV) | ± 1% | 43% | 51% | – | – | 2% [lower-alpha 12] | – | 4% | 8% |
YouGov/Economist [305] | Aug 16–18 | 1,246 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 40% | 50% | – | – | 4% | 1% | 4% | 10% |
HarrisX/The Hill [306] | Aug 15–18 | 2,840 (RV) | ± 1.84% | 38% | 46% | – | – | 4% | 3% | 8% | 8% |
Ipsos/Reuters [307] | Aug 14–18 | 1,179 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 40% | 48% | – | – | 5% [lower-alpha 22] | 1% | 5% | 8% |
Echelon Insights [308] | Aug 14–18 | 1,004 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 38% [lower-alpha 4] | 51% | 2% | 1% | 1% [lower-alpha 86] | – | 8% | 13% |
39% [lower-alpha 6] | 53% | – | – | – | – | 8% | 14% | ||||
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports [309] | Aug 12–18 | 2,500 (LV) | ± 2% | 44% | 48% | – | – | 4% [lower-alpha 35] | – | 4% | 4% |
Morning Consult [310] | Aug 17 | 4,141 (LV) | ± 2% | 43% | 51% | – | – | 7% [lower-alpha 79] | – | – | 8% |
Léger [311] | Aug 14–16 | 1,001 (A) | ± 3.1% | 35% | 51% | – | – | 3% [lower-alpha 87] | – | 10% | 16% |
Morning Consult [312] | Aug 14–16 | 11,809 (LV) | ± 1% | 43% | 51% | – | – | 2% [lower-alpha 12] | – | 4% | 8% |
EKOS Research Associates [313] | Aug 7–16 | 710 (A) | ± 3.7% | 42% | 43% | – | – | 12% [lower-alpha 88] | 1% [lower-alpha 89] | 3% | 1% |
YouGov/Yahoo News [314] | Aug 14–15 | 1,027 (LV) | – | 41% | 50% | – | – | – | – | – | 9% |
ABC News/Washington Post [315] | Aug 12–15 | 707 (LV) | – | 44% | 54% | – | – | – | – | – | 10% |
CNN/SSRS [316] | Aug 12–15 | 987 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 46% | 50% | – | – | 1% [lower-alpha 90] | 2% [lower-alpha 91] | 2% | 4% |
Data For Progress [317] | Aug 13–14 | 1,143 (LV) | ± 2.7% | 41% | 50% | – | – | – | – | 9% | 9% |
YouGov/CBS [318] | Aug 12–14 | 2,152 (LV) | ± 2.4% | 42% | 52% | – | – | 4% [lower-alpha 85] | – | 2% | 10% |
Harris X/The Hill [319] | Aug 11–14 | 2,823 (RV) | ± 1.84% | 39% | 45% | – | – | 4% | 4% | 7% | 6% |
Morning Consult [320] | Aug 11–13 | 12,000 (LV) | ± 1% | 42% | 51% | – | – | 2% [lower-alpha 12] | – | 5% | 9% |
Redfield and Wilton Strategies [321] | Aug 12 | 1,867 (LV) | – | 41% | 48% | 2% | 1% | 1% [lower-alpha 26] | – | 7% | 7% |
NBC/Wall Street Journal [322] | Aug 9–12 | 900 (RV) | ± 3.27% | 41% | 50% | – | – | 5% [lower-alpha 92] | – | 4% | 9% |
Fox News [323] | Aug 9–12 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3% | 42% | 49% | – | – | 3% | 1% | 5% | 7% |
Data for Progress [324] | Aug 11 | 782 (RV) | – | 40% | 53% | – | – | 8% [lower-alpha 93] | – | – | 13% |
Ipsos/Reuters [325] | Aug 10–11 | 1,034 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 42% [lower-alpha 94] | 58% | – | – | – | – | – | 16% |
38% [lower-alpha 4] | 49% | 2% | 1% | 5% [lower-alpha 95] | 2% | 6% | 11% | ||||
YouGov/Economist [326] | Aug 9–11 | 1,201 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 39% | 49% | – | – | 5% | 1% | 5% | 10% |
HarrisX/The Hill [327] | Aug 8–11 | 2,828 (RV) | ± 1.84% | 40% | 44% | – | – | 4% [lower-alpha 28] | 4% | 9% | 4% |
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports [328] | Aug 5–11 | 2,500 (LV) | ± 2% | 43% | 49% | – | – | 4% [lower-alpha 35] | – | 4% | 6% |
Marist/NPR/PBS News Hours [329] | Aug 3–11 | 1,120 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 42% | 53% | – | – | 2% | – | 4% | 11% |
NORC/AEI [330] | Jul 31 – Aug 11, 2020 | 4,067 (A) | ± 2% | 37% | 48% | – | – | 6% [lower-alpha 96] | 10% | – | 11% |
Morning Consult/Politico [331] | Aug 9–10 | 1,983 (RV) | ± 2% | 40% | 49% | – | – | 2% [lower-alpha 97] | – | 9% | 9% |
Morning Consult [332] | Aug 8–10 | 12,000 (LV) | ± 1% | 43% | 51% | – | – | 2% [lower-alpha 12] | – | 4% | 8% |
Global Strategy Group/GBAO [333] | Aug 6–10 | 1,419 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 43% | 52% | – | – | – | 1% | 5% | 9% |
Monmouth [334] | Aug 6–10 | 785 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 41% | 51% | 2% | 1% | 1% [lower-alpha 98] | 1% | 4% | 10% |
Morning Consult/Murmuration [335] | Aug 4–10 | 2,200 (A) [lower-alpha 49] | ± 2% | 41% [lower-alpha 27] | 54% | – | – | 5% [lower-alpha 44] | – | – | 13% |
Change Research/CNBC [336] | Aug 7–9 | 2,143 (LV) | ± 2.12% | 44% | 50% | 3% | 1% | – | 0% | 2% | 6% |
RMG Research [337] | Aug 6–8 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 37% | 45% | 1% | 1% | 3% [lower-alpha 3] | – | 14% | 8% |
Morning Consult [338] | Aug 5–7 | 12,000 (LV) | ± 1% | 42% | 51% | – | – | 2% [lower-alpha 12] | – | 5% | 9% |
Léger [339] | Aug 4–7 | 1,007 (LV) | – | 39% | 47% | 3% | 1% | 3% [lower-alpha 99] | 2% | 6% | 8% |
Georgetown University/Battleground [340] | Aug 1–6 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 40% | 53% | – | – | – | – | 7% | 13% |
HarrisX/The Hill [341] | Aug 2–5 | 2,850 (RV) | ± 1.84% | 40% | 43% | – | – | 5% | 3% | 9% | 3% |
Research Co. [342] | Aug 3–4 | 1,018 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 38% | 48% | 2% | 1% | 1% [lower-alpha 98] | – | 7% | 10% |
Ipsos/Reuters [343] | Aug 3–4 | 964 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 38% | 48% | – | – | 6% [lower-alpha 83] | 2% | 6% | 10% |
YouGov/Economist [344] | Aug 2–4 | 1,225 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 40% | 49% | – | – | 3% | 2% | 6% | 9% |
Morning Consult [345] | Aug 2–4 | 12,000 (LV) | ± 1% | 42% | 51% | – | – | 3% [lower-alpha 65] | – | 5% | 9% |
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports [346] | Jul 29–30, Aug 2–4 | 2,500 (LV) | ± 2% | 45% | 48% | – | – | 3% [lower-alpha 3] | – | 3% | 3% |
Pew Research [347] | Jul 27 – Aug 2 | 9,114 (RV) | ± 1.5% | 45% | 53% | – | – | 2% [lower-alpha 55] | – | 0% | 8% |
Morning Consult [348] | Jul 30 – Aug 1 | 12,000 (LV) | ± 1% | 43% | 50% | – | – | 2% [lower-alpha 12] | – | 4% | 7% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [349] | Jul 1–31 | 145,585 (LV) | – | 47% | 51% | – | – | – | – | 2% | 4% |
Emerson College [350] | Jul 29–30 | 964 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 47% [lower-alpha 27] | 53% | – | – | – | – | – | 6% |
YouGov/Yahoo News [351] | Jul 28–30 | 1,088 (RV) | – | 40% | 49% | – | – | 2% | 1% | 8% | 9% |
Morning Consult [352] | Jul 27–29 | 12,000 (LV) | ± 1% | 43% | 50% | – | – | 3% [lower-alpha 65] | – | 4% | 7% |
Data For Progress [353] | Jul 28 | 794 (RV) | – | 42% [lower-alpha 49] | 52% | – | – | 8% [lower-alpha 93] | – | – | 10% |
Ipsos/Reuters [354] | Jul 27–28 | 947 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 38% | 47% | – | – | 7% [lower-alpha 73] | 2% | 6% | 9% |
YouGov/Economist [355] | Jul 26–28 | 1,260 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 40% | 49% | – | – | 4% | 1% | 6% | 9% |
IBD/TIPP [356] | Jul 25–28 | 1,160 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 41% | 48% | – | – | – | – | – | 7% |
Optimus [357] | Jul 24–28 | 914 (LV) | – | 40% | 48% | – | – | 3% [lower-alpha 100] | 1% | 8% | 8% |
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports [358] | Jul 22–23, Jul 26–28 | 2,500 (LV) | ± 2% | 42% | 48% | – | – | 5% [lower-alpha 22] | – | 4% | 6% |
NORC/HKS Carr Center [359] | Jul 6–28 | 1,863 (RV) | – | 34% | 48% | – | – | 0% [lower-alpha 101] | – | 18% | 14% |
Beacon Research/The Dream Corps [360] | Jul 23–27 | 1,504 (RV) | – | 41% | 48% | – | – | 4% | 2% | 5% [lower-alpha 38] | 7% |
YouGov Blue/Data For Progress [361] | Jul 21–27 | 1,059 (LV) | – | 45% | 51% | – | – | – | – | – | 6% |
Change Research/CNBC [362] | Jul 24–26 | 1,039 (LV) | ± 3.04% | 42% | 51% | 2% | 1% | – | 1% | 3% | 9% |
Morning Consult [363] | Jul 24–26 | 12,235 (LV) | ± 1% | 43% | 51% | – | – | 2% [lower-alpha 12] | – | 5% | 8% |
RMG Research [364] | Jul 23–25 | 1,200 (RV) | – | 37% | 45% | 2% | 1% | 3% | – | 12% | 8% |
YouGov/CBS News [365] | Jul 21–24 | 1,401 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 41% | 51% | – | – | 4% | – | 4% | 10% |
Zogby Analytics [366] | Jul 21–23 | 1,516 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 40% | 44% | 5% | 2% | – | – | 9% | 4% |
Harvard-Harris [367] | Jul 21–23 | 1,786 (LV) | – | 45% | 55% | – | – | – | – | – | 10% |
Morning Consult [368] | Jul 21–23 | 12,000 (LV) | ± 1% | 42% | 51% | – | – | 3% [lower-alpha 65] | – | 5% | 9% |
Echelon Insights [369] | Jul 17–22 | 1,000 (LV) | – | 37% [lower-alpha 4] | 50% | 3% | 1% | – | – | 9% | 13% |
38% [lower-alpha 6] | 53% | – | – | – | – | 9% | 15% | ||||
Data for Progress [370] | Jul 21 | 652 (RV) | – | 44% | 50% | – | – | 6% | – | – | 6% |
YouGov/Economist [371] | Jul 19–21 | 1,222 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 41% | 48% | – | – | 5% | 2% | 4% | 7% |
Ipsos/Reuters [372] | Jul 15–21 | 3,744 (RV) | ± 1.8% | 38% | 46% | – | – | 8% | 2% | 6% | 8% |
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports [373] | Jul 15–21 | 2,500 (LV) | ± 2% | 45% | 47% | – | – | 5% | – | 4% | 2% |
Morning Consult [374] | Jul 18–20 | 12,000 (LV) | ± 1% | 42% | 50% | – | – | 3% [lower-alpha 65] | – | 5% | 8% |
HarrisX/The Hill [375] | Jul 17–20 | 2,829 (RV) | ± 1.84% | 38% | 45% | – | – | 5% | 4% | 9% | 7% |
AP-NORC [376] | Jul 16–20 | 1,057 (A) | ± 4.3% | 34% | 46% | – | – | 11% [lower-alpha 102] | 8% | 0% | 12% |
Morning Consult/Politico [377] | Jul 17–19 | 1,991 (RV) | ± 2% | 40% | 47% | – | – | – | – | – | 7% |
GQR Research [378] | Jul 15–19 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 44% | 55% | – | – | 1% | – | 0% | 11% |
Kaiser Family Foundation [379] | Jul 14–19 | 1,117 (RV) | ± 4% | 38% | 47% | – | – | 3% [lower-alpha 77] | 2% | 10% | 9% |
Morning Consult [380] | Jul 13–19 | 31,310 (RV) | ± 1% | 40% | 47% | – | – | – | – | – | 7% |
Benenson Strategy Group/GS Strategy Group [381] | Jul 15–18 | 1,301 (LV) | – | 39% | 50% | – | – | 4% [lower-alpha 28] | 1% | 7% | 11% |
Morning Consult [382] | Jul 15–17 | 12,000 (LV) | ± 1% | 42% | 50% | – | – | 3% [lower-alpha 65] | – | 5% | 8% |
ABC News/Washington Post [383] | Jul 12–15 | 673 (LV) | – | 44% | 54% | – | – | – | – | – | 10% |
Fox News [384] | Jul 12–15 | 1,104 (RV) | ± 3% | 41% | 49% | – | – | 4% | 1% | 5% | 8% |
Ipsos/Reuters [385] | Jul 13–14 | 961 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 37% | 47% | – | – | 7% | 2% | 7% | 10% |
YouGov/Economist [386] | Jul 12–14 | 1,252 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 40% | 49% | – | – | 4% | 2% | 4% | 9% |
Morning Consult [387] | Jul 12–14 | 12,000 (LV) | ± 1% | 42% | 50% | – | – | 3% [lower-alpha 65] | – | 5% | 8% |
YouGov/Yahoo News [388] | Jul 11–14 | 1,081 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 39% | 47% | – | – | 3% | 1% | 10% | 8% |
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports [389] | Jul 8–14 | 1,500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 44% | 47% | – | – | 5% | – | 4% | 3% |
Quinnipiac University [390] | Jul 9–13 | 1,273 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 37% | 52% | – | – | 3% | 2% | 6% | 15% |
Morning Consult [391] | Jul 6–13 | 32,514 (RV) | ±2.0% | 39% | 47% | – | – | – | – | – | 8% |
Change Research/CNBC [392] | Jul 10–12 | 1,258 (LV) | ± 2.76% | 41% | 51% | 3% | 2% | 0% | 2% | 2% | 10% |
NBC/WSJ [393] | Jul 9–12 | 900 (RV) | ± 3.27% | 40% | 51% | – | – | – | 7% | 2% | 11% |
RMG Research/Scott Rasmussen/Just the News [394] | Jul 9–11 | 1,200 (RV) | ±5.0% | 39% | 46% | – | – | 6% | – | 8% | 7% |
Morning Consult [395] | Jul 9–11 | 12,000 (LV) | ± 1% | 42% | 50% | – | – | 3% [lower-alpha 65] | – | 5% | 8% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [396] | Jul 9 | 1,853 (LV) | 2.5% | 40% [lower-alpha 4] | 48% | 1% | 1% | 1% | – | 9% | 8% |
39% [lower-alpha 103] | 48% | 2% | 1% | 2% [lower-alpha 104] | – | 8% | 9% | ||||
SurveyMonkey/Study Finds [397] | Released Jul 8 | 469 (A) | 9.5% | 37% [lower-alpha 103] | 55% | – | – | 8% [lower-alpha 104] | – | – | 18% |
39% [lower-alpha 105] | 61% | – | – | – | – | – | 21% | ||||
Zogby Analytics/EMI Research [398] | Jul 8 | 1,000 (LV) | 5.6% | 42% | 49% | – | – | – | – | 9% | 7% |
Morning Consult [399] | Jul 6–8 | 12,000 (LV) | ± 1% | 42% | 51% | – | – | 3% [lower-alpha 65] | – | 4% | 9% |
Democracy Fund & UCLA Nationscape [400] | Jul 2–8 | 4,983 (RV) [lower-alpha 49] | 1.5% | 41% | 49% | – | – | – | – | – | 8% |
Data for Progress [401] | Jul 7 | 673 (RV) | 5.8 | 42% | 52% | – | – | 6% | – | – | 10% |
Ipsos/Reuters [402] | Jul 6–7 | 952 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 37% [lower-alpha 49] | 43% | – | – | 10% | 3% | 7% | 6% |
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports [403] | Jul 5–7 | 1,500 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 40% | 50% | – | – | – | – | 6% | 10% |
YouGov/Economist [404] | Jul 5–7 | 1,165 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 40% | 49% | – | – | 4% | 2% | 4% | 9% |
Morning Consult [405] | Jul 3–5 | 12,000 (LV) | ± 1% | 42% | 50% | – | – | 3% [lower-alpha 65] | – | 5% | 8% |
Morning Consult [406] | Jun 29 – Jul 5 | 33,549 (RV) | ± 2% | 39% | 48% | – | – | – | – | – | 9% |
HarrisX/The Hill [407] | Jul 3–4 | 933 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 39% | 43% | – | – | 5% | 5% | 8% | 4% |
Research Co. [408] | Jul 1–2 [lower-alpha 49] | 1,049 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 40% | 49% | 1% | – | 2% | 4% | 4% | 9% |
Morning Consult [409] | Jun 30 – Jul 2 | 12,000 (LV) | ± 1% | 42% | 51% | – | – | 3% [lower-alpha 65] | – | 4% | 9% |
YouGov/Yahoo News [410] | Jun 29 – Jul 1 | 1,187 (RV) | 4.4% | 40% | 45% | – | – | 4% | 3% | 9% | 5% |
Global Strategy Group/Data For Progress [411] | Jun 23 – Jul 1 | 3,249 (RV) | – | 39% | 50% | – | 2% | 2% [lower-alpha 106] | – | 4% | 11% |
Poll source | Date | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Green | Other | Undecided | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ipsos/Reuters [412] | Jun 29–30 | 943 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 38% | 46% | - | - | 10% [lower-alpha 107] | 6% | 8% |
YouGov/Economist [413] | Jun 28–30 | 1,198 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 40% | 49% | - | - | 6% [lower-alpha 108] | 4% | 9% |
IBD/TIPP [414] | Jun 27–30 | 1,005 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 40% | 48% | - | - | – | – | 8% |
Monmouth [415] | Jun 26–30 | 359 (RV) | – | 39% | 52% | 4% [lower-alpha 109] | <1% [lower-alpha 110] | ≈2-3% [lower-alpha 111] | 3% | 13% |
733 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 41% [lower-alpha 112] | 53% | - | - | 4% [lower-alpha 113] | 2% | 12% | ||
SurveyMonkey/Axios [416] | Jun 8–30 | 65,085 (LV) | – | 46% | 51% | - | - | – | 2% | 5% |
Morning Consult [417] | Jun 27–29 | 12,000 (LV) | ± 1% | 43% | 50% | - | - | 3% [lower-alpha 65] | 4% | 7% |
Suffolk University/USA Today [418] | Jun 25–29 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 41% [lower-alpha 6] | 53% | - | - | – | – | 12% |
37% [lower-alpha 114] | 46% | - | - | 11% [lower-alpha 115] | 6% | 9% | ||||
Change Research/CNBC [419] | Jun 26–28 | 1,663 (LV) | ± 2.4% | 41% | 49% | 5% | 2% | 1% [lower-alpha 116] | 3% | 8% |
Hart Research Associates/Protect Our Care [420] [upper-alpha 3] | Jun 22–28 | 1,000 (LV) | – | 41% | 55% | - | - | 1% [lower-alpha 117] | 3% | 14% |
Morning Consult [421] | Jun 22–28 | 28,722 (RV) | ± 1% | 40% | 47% | - | - | – | – | 7% |
PureSpectrum/COVID-19 Consortium [422] | Jun 12–28 | 22,501 (LV) | – | 39% | 47% | - | - | – | – | 8% |
RMG Research/Scott Rasmussen [423] | Jun 25–27 | 1,200 (RV) | – | 39% | 47% | - | - | 6% [lower-alpha 83] | 7% | 8% |
Optimus/Firehouse [424] | Jun 23–27 | 903 (LV) | – | 40.6% | 44.8% | - | - | 6.1% [lower-alpha 118] | 8.5% | 4.2% |
PPP/Giffords [425] [upper-alpha 4] | Jun 25–26 | 996 (RV) | – | 42% | 53% | - | - | – | 5% | 11% |
Morning Consult [426] | Jun 24–26 | 12,000 (LV) | ± 1% | 42% | 50% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 12] | 5% | 8% |
YouGov/Yahoo News [427] | Jun 24–25 | 1,244 (RV) | – | 39% | 47% | - | - | 5% [lower-alpha 119] | 9% | 8% |
Marist College [428] | Jun 22–24 | 1,515 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 44% | 52% | - | - | 3% | 2% | 8% |
Opinium/The Guardian [429] | Jun 19–24 | 1,215 (LV) | – | 40% | 52% | - | - | 3% [lower-alpha 3] | 4% | 12% |
Data for Progress [430] | Jun 23 | 721 (RV) | – | 44% | 50% | - | - | 5% [lower-alpha 66] | – | 6% |
HarrisX/The Hill [431] | Jun 22–23 | 951 (RV) | ± 3.18% | 39% | 43% | - | - | 9% [lower-alpha 120] | 9% | 4% |
Ipsos/Reuters [432] | Jun 22–23 | 934 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 37% | 47% | - | - | 10% [lower-alpha 107] | 6% | 10% |
Morning Consult [433] | Jun 21–23 | 12,000 (LV) | ± 1% | 42% | 50% | - | - | 3% [lower-alpha 65] | 5% | 8% |
YouGov/Economist [434] | Jun 21–23 | 1,230 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 41% | 49% | - | - | 6% [lower-alpha 108] | 5% | 8% |
CNBC/Hart Research/Public Opinion Strategies [435] | Jun 19–22 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 38% | 47% | - | - | – | – | 9% |
NYT Upshot/Siena College [436] | Jun 17–22 | 1,337 (RV) | ± 3% | 36% | 50% | - | - | 5% [lower-alpha 121] | 9% | 14% |
Pew Research Center [437] | Jun 16–22 | 3,577 (RV) | ± 2% | 44% | 54% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 122] | – | 10% |
Morning Consult [438] | Jun 15–21 | 30,942 (RV) | ± 1% | 39% | 47% | - | - | – | – | 8% |
Morning Consult [439] | Jun 18–20 | 12,000 (LV) | ± 1% | 42% | 50% | - | - | 3% [lower-alpha 65] | 5% | 8% |
PPP/Protect Our Care [440] [upper-alpha 3] | Jun 19–20 | 1,013 (V) | ± 3.1% | 43% | 52% | - | - | – | 6% | 9% |
Harvard-Harris [441] | Jun 17–18 | ≈1,735 (LV) [lower-alpha 123] | – | 44% | 56% | - | - | – | – | 12% |
Morning Consult [442] | Jun 15–17 | 12,000 (LV) | ± 1% | 42% | 51% | - | - | 3% [lower-alpha 65] | 4% | 9% |
YouGov/Economist [443] | Jun 14–16 | 1,160 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 41% | 50% | - | - | 5% [lower-alpha 124] | 4% | 9% |
Fox News [444] | Jun 13–16 | 1,343 (RV) | ± 2.5% | 38% | 50% | - | - | 7% [lower-alpha 125] | 5% | 12% |
Axios/SurveyMonkey [445] | Jun 12–16 | 5,666 (A) | – | 42% | 53% | - | - | 4% [lower-alpha 126] | – | 11% |
Echelon Insights [446] | Jun 12–16 | 1,000 (LV) | – | 42% | 50% | - | - | – | 8% | 8% |
Ipsos/Reuters [447] | Jun 10–16 | 3,768 (RV) [lower-alpha 49] | ± 1.8% | 35% | 48% | - | - | 10% [lower-alpha 107] | 7% | 13% |
Optimus/Firehouse [448] | Jun 9–16 | 686 (LV) | – | 43.9% | 50% | - | - | 6.1% [lower-alpha 127] | – | 6% |
Quinnipiac [449] | Jun 11–15 | 1,332 (RV) | ± 2.7% | 41% | 49% | - | - | 4% [lower-alpha 128] | 5% | 8% |
Morning Consult [450] | Jun 12–14 | 12,000 (LV) | ± 1% | 42% | 50% | - | - | 3% [lower-alpha 65] | 5% | 8% |
Change Research/CNBC [451] | Jun 12–14 | 1,250 (LV) | ± 2.77% | 41% | 51% | 3% | 2% | 0% [lower-alpha 129] | 3% | 10% |
Kaiser Family Foundation [452] | Jun 8–14 | 1,094 (RV) | ± 4% | 38% | 51% | - | - | 5% [lower-alpha 130] | 7% | 13% |
Morning Consult [453] | Jun 8–14 | 32,138 (RV) | ± 1% | 39% | 48% | - | - | – | – | 9% |
RMG Research/Scott Rasmussen/Just the News [454] | Jun 11–13 | 1,200 (RV) | – | 36% | 48% | - | - | 6% | 9% | 12% |
Abacus Data [455] | Jun 11–13 | 1,004 (LV) [lower-alpha 49] | – | 41% | 51% | - | - | – | – | 10% |
Firehouse/Optimus [456] | Jun 6–13 | 742 (LV) | – | 42.9% | 51.6% | - | - | 5.5% [lower-alpha 131] | – | 8.7% |
Morning Consult [457] | Jun 9–11 | 12,000 (LV) | ± 1% | 42% | 50% | - | - | 3% [lower-alpha 65] | 5% | 8% |
Climate Nexus [458] | Jun 6–11 | 9,087 (RV) | ± 1% | 41% | 48% | - | - | – | 11% | 7% |
YouGov/Yahoo News [459] | Jun 9–10 | 1,288 (RV) | – | 40% | 49% | - | - | 5% [lower-alpha 132] | 6% | 9% |
Democracy Fund & UCLA Nationscape/SurveyUSA [460] | May 28 – Jun 10 | 10,601 (RV) | ± 1.5% | 39% | 50% | - | - | – | – | 11% |
YouGov/Econnomist [461] | Jun 7–9 | 1,241 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 41% | 49% | - | - | 5% [lower-alpha 124] | 5% | 8% |
Ipsos/Reuters [462] | Jun 8–9 | 931 (RV) | – | 38% | 46% | - | - | 7% | 9% [lower-alpha 133] | 8% |
Firehouse/Optimus [463] | Jun 2–9 | 762 (LV) | – | 42.2% | 53% | - | - | 4.8% [lower-alpha 134] | – | 11% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [464] | Jun 2–9 | 1,500 (LV) | – | 37% | 50% | 1% | 0% | 1% [lower-alpha 26] | 10% | 13% |
Morning Consult [465] | Jun 6–8 | 12,000 (LV) | ± 1% | 42% | 51% | - | - | 3% [lower-alpha 65] | 4% | 9% |
MSR Group [466] | Jun 7 | 855 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 38.9% | 46.3% | - | - | 7.3% [lower-alpha 135] | 7.5% | 7.3% |
Morning Consult [467] | Jun 1–7 | 32,380 (RV) | ± 1% | 39% | 47% | - | - | – | – | 8% |
Firehouse/Optimus [468] | Jun 4–6 | 787 (LV) | – | 41.9% | 53.1% | - | - | 5% [lower-alpha 136] | – | 11.2% |
Scott Rasmussen/RMG Research [469] | Jun 4–6 | 1,200 (RV) | – | 37% | 47% | - | - | 9% [lower-alpha 137] | 7% | 10% |
Garin-Hart-Yang/Senate Majority PAC/Priorities USA [470] [upper-alpha 5] | Jun 3–6 | 1,223 (LV) | – | 41% | 53% | - | - | – | – | 12% |
Morning Consult [471] | Jun 3–5 | 12,000 (LV) | ± 1% | 43% | 49% | - | - | 3% [lower-alpha 65] | 5% | 6% |
CNN/SSRS [472] | Jun 2–5 | 1,125 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 41% | 55% | - | - | 3% [lower-alpha 138] | 2% | 14% |
NORC/AEI [473] | May 21 – Jun 5 | 3,504 (A) | ± 2.3% | 32% | 40% | - | - | 19% [lower-alpha 139] | 9% | 8% |
Whitman Insight Strategies [474] | Jun 2–4 | 500 (RV) | – | 43% | 53% | - | - | 1% | 2% | 10% |
HarrisX/The Hill [475] | Jun 1–4 | 2,827 (RV) | ± 1.8% | 37% | 47% | - | - | 8% [lower-alpha 140] | 8% | 10% |
Marist College [476] | Jun 2–3 | 958 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 50% | - | - | 2% | 5% | 7% |
Emerson College [477] | Jun 2–3 | 1,431 (RV) | ± 2.5% | 47% [lower-alpha 27] | 53% | - | - | – | – | 6% |
Civiqs/Daily Kos [478] | Jun 1–3 | 1,327 (A) | ± 2.8% | 44% | 47% | - | - | 7% [lower-alpha 141] | 3% | 3% |
IBD/TIPP [479] | May 31 – Jun 3 | 964 (RV) | – | 42% | 45% | - | - | – | – | 13% |
Data for Progress [480] | Jun 2 [lower-alpha 49] | 688 (RV) | – | 40.2% | 53.58% | - | - | 6.22% [lower-alpha 142] | – | 13.4% |
Zogby Analytics [481] | Jun 1–2 | 1,007 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 46% | 46% | - | - | – | 8% | Tie |
Ipsos/Reuters [482] | Jun 1–2 | 964 (RV) | – | 37% | 47% | - | - | – | – | 10% |
Research Co. [483] | Jun 1–2 | 1,000 (A) | ± 3.1% | 41% | 46% | 2% | – | 1% | 10% [lower-alpha 133] | 5% |
YouGov/Economist [484] | May 31 – Jun 2 | 1,244 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 40% | 47% | - | - | 8% [lower-alpha 143] | 5% | 7% |
Morning Consult [485] | May 31 – Jun 2 | 12,000 (LV) | ± 1% | 43% | 49% | - | - | 3% [lower-alpha 65] | 5% | 6% |
NBC/WSJ [486] | May 28 – Jun 2 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 42% | 49% | - | - | 5% [lower-alpha 92] | 4% | 7% |
Firehouse/Optimus [487] | May 26 – Jun 2 | 795 (LV) | – | 44.4% | 50.9% | - | - | 4.7% [lower-alpha 144] | – | 6.5% |
Morning Consult [488] | May 31 – Jun 1 | 1,624 (RV) | ± 2% | 39% | 51% | - | - | – | 10% | 12% |
YouGov/CBS News [489] | May 29 – Jun 1 | 1,486 (LV) | – | 43% | 47% | - | - | 4% [lower-alpha 145] | 5% | 4% |
Monmouth [490] | May 28 – Jun 1 | 742 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 41% | 52% | - | - | 6% [lower-alpha 146] | 1% | 11% |
Change Research/CNBC [491] | May 29–31 | 1,457 (LV) | ± 2.567% | 41% | 48% | 3% | 3% | 1% [lower-alpha 129] | 4% | 7% |
Morning Consult [492] | May 25–31 | 31,983 (RV) [lower-alpha 49] | ± 1% | 41% | 46% | - | - | – | – | 5% |
PureSpectrum/COVID-19 Consortium [493] | May 16–31 | 18,132 (LV) | – | 37% | 46% | - | - | – | – | 9% |
Morning Consult [494] | May 28–30 | 12,000 (LV) | ± 1% | 44% | 49% | - | - | 3% [lower-alpha 65] | 5% | 5% |
YouGov/Yahoo News [495] | May 29–30 | 861 (RV) | – | 40% | 48% | - | - | 6% [lower-alpha 147] | 5% | 8% |
RMG Research/Scott Rasmussen/Just the News [496] | May 28–30 | 1,200 (RV) | – | 39% | 46% | - | - | 7% [lower-alpha 73] | 8% | 7% |
Firehouse/Optimus [497] | May 21–30 | 789 (LV) | – | 45.4% | 49.7% | - | - | 4.9% [lower-alpha 148] | – | 4.3% |
ABC News/Washington Post [498] | May 25–28 | 835 (RV) | ± 4% | 43% | 53% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 149] | 1% | 10% |
Morning Consult [499] | May 25–27 | 12,000 (LV) | ± 1% | 44% | 48% | - | - | 3% [lower-alpha 65] | 5% | 4% |
TargetSmart [500] | May 21–27 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 40% | 43% | - | - | 9% [lower-alpha 150] | 8% | 3% |
Ipsos/Reuters [501] | May 20–27 | 3,732 (RV) | ± 1.8% | 39% | 45% | - | - | 8% [lower-alpha 151] | 7% | 6% |
Data for Progress [502] | May 26 [lower-alpha 49] | 686 (RV) | – | 49.81% | - | - | 4.52% [lower-alpha 152] | – | 3.14% | |
Zogby/EMI/Washington Examiner [503] | May 26 [lower-alpha 49] | 1,001 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 40% | 53% | - | - | – | – | 13% |
YouGov/Economist [504] | May 23–26 | 1,153 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 42% | 45% | - | - | 8% [lower-alpha 143] | 6% | 3% |
Firehouse/Optimus [505] | May 19–26 | 793 (LV) | – | 44.1% | 51.8% | - | - | 4.1% [lower-alpha 153] | – | 7.7% |
Morning Consult [506] | May 22–24 | 12,000 (LV) | ± 1% | 44% | 48% | - | - | 3% [lower-alpha 65] | 5% | 4% |
Morning Consult [507] | May 18–24 | 30,317 (RV) | ± 1% | 41% | 46% | - | - | – | – | 5% |
Firehouse/Optimus [508] | May 16–23 | 766 (LV) | – | 42.7% | 53.9% | - | - | 3.4% [lower-alpha 154] | – | 11.2% |
YouGov/Yahoo News [509] | May 20–21 | 1,218 (RV) | – | 42% | 46% | - | - | 6% [lower-alpha 155] | 6% | 4% |
Morning Consult [510] | May 19–21 | 12,000 (LV) | ± 1% | 44% | 49% | - | - | 3% [lower-alpha 65] | 5% | 5% |
Echelon Insights [511] | May 18–20 | 1,000 (LV) | – | 42% | 51% | - | - | – | 7% | 9% |
Fox News [512] | May 17–20 | 1,207 (RV) | ± 2.5% | 40% | 48% | - | - | 6% [lower-alpha 108] | 5% | 8% |
Data for Progress/Harvard [513] | May 19 | 810 (RV) | – | 42% | 51% | - | - | – | – | 9% |
Ipsos/Reuters [514] | May 18–19 | 957 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 38% | 47% | - | - | 7% [lower-alpha 156] | 7% | 9% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research [515] | May 18–19 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3% | 43% | 48% | - | - | – | 8% | 5% |
YouGov/Economist [516] | May 17–19 | 1,235 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 42% | 47% | - | - | 6% [lower-alpha 108] | 5% | 5% |
Firehouse/Optimus [517] | May 12–19 | 774 (LV) | – | 41.5% | 51.5% | - | - | 7% [lower-alpha 157] | – | 10.0% |
Morning Consult [518] | May 16–18 | 12,000 (LV) | ± 1% | 44% | 49% | - | - | 3% [lower-alpha 65] | 5% | 5% |
Quinnipiac [519] | May 14–18 | 1,323 (RV) | ± 2.7% | 39% | 50% | - | - | 4% [lower-alpha 158] | 7% | 11% |
Kaiser Family Foundation [520] | May 13–18 | 970 (RV) | ± 4% | 41% | 43% | - | - | 5% [lower-alpha 159] | 12% | 2% |
Change Research/CNBC [521] | May 15–17 | 1,424 (LV) | ± 2.6% | 45% | 48% | 3% | 3% | 0% [lower-alpha 129] | 2% | 3% |
Morning Consult [522] | May 11–17 | 28,159 (RV) | ± 1% | 41% | 46% | - | - | – | – | 5% |
Scott Rasmussen/RMG Research/Just the News [523] | May 14–16 | 1,200 (RV) | – | 39% | 43% | - | - | 8% [lower-alpha 160] | 9% | 4% |
Firehouse/Optimus [524] | May 9–16 | 780 (LV) | – | 41.4% | 51.6% | - | - | 7% [lower-alpha 157] | – | 10.2% |
Morning Consult [525] | May 13–15 | 12,000 (LV) | ± 1% | 43% | 49% | - | - | 3% [lower-alpha 65] | 5% | 6% |
PureSpectrum/COVID-19 Consortium [526] | May 2–15 | 20,333 (LV) | – | 39% | 43% | - | - | – | – | 4% |
HarrisX/The Hill [527] | May 13–14 | 950 (RV) | ± 3.18% | 41% | 42% | - | - | 9% [lower-alpha 120] | 9% | 1% |
Harvard-Harris [528] | May 13–14 | 1,708 (LV) | – | 47% | 53% | - | - | – | – | 6% |
Data for Progress/Harvard [529] | May 12 | 684 (RV) | – | 41% | 48% | - | - | – | – | 7% |
Ipsos/Reuters [530] | May 11–12 | 973 (RV) | – | 38% | 46% | - | - | – | – | 8% |
YouGov/Economist [531] | May 10–12 | 1,175 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 43% | 47% | - | - | 6% [lower-alpha 108] | 5% | 4% |
Morning Consult [532] | May 10–12 | 12,000 (LV) | ± 1% | 45% | 48% | - | - | 3% [lower-alpha 65] | 5% | 3% |
Firehouse/Optimus [533] | May 5–12 | 728 (LV) | – | 43.3% | 52% | - | - | 4.7% [lower-alpha 144] | – | 9% |
CNN/SSRS [534] | May 7–10 | 1,001 (RV) | ± 4% | 46% | 51% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 161] | 1% [lower-alpha 38] | 5% |
Morning Consult [535] | May 4–10 | 27,754 (RV) | ± 1% | 42% | 45% | - | - | – | 13% | 3% |
Redfield and Wilton Strategies [536] | May 8–9 | 1,384 (LV) | – | 40% [lower-alpha 4] | 47% | - | - | 4% [lower-alpha 162] | 9% | 7% |
1,408 (LV) | – | 39% [lower-alpha 163] | 48% | - | - | 4% [lower-alpha 162] | 9% | 9% | ||
Morning Consult [537] | May 7–9 | 12,000 (LV) | ± 1% | 44% | 48% | - | - | 3% [lower-alpha 65] | 4% | 4% |
Scott Rasmussen/RMG Research [538] | May 7–9 | 1,200 (RV) | – | 38% | 44% | - | - | 7% [lower-alpha 73] | 10% | 6% |
Firehouse/Optimus [539] | May 2–9 | 726 (LV) | – | 44.5% | 50% | - | - | 5.5% [lower-alpha 131] | – | 5% |
HarrisX/The Hill [540] | May 6 | 957 (RV) | ± 3.17% | 41% | 41% | - | - | 9% [lower-alpha 120] | 9% | Tie |
Morning Consult [541] | May 4–6 | 12,000 (LV) | ± 1% | 44% | 49% | - | - | 3% [lower-alpha 65] | 4% | 5% |
Data for Progress/Harvard [542] | May 5 | 795 (RV) | – | 44% | 50% | - | - | – | – | 6% |
YouGov/Yahoo News [543] | May 4–5 | 1,224 (RV) | – | 42% | 45% | - | - | 7% [lower-alpha 164] | 6% | 3% |
Ipsos/Reuters [544] | May 4–5 | 1,015 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 41% | 43% | - | - | 9% [lower-alpha 165] | 6% | 2% |
YouGov/Economist [545] | May 3–5 | 1,206 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 42% | 46% | - | - | 7% [lower-alpha 166] | 5% | 4% |
Civiqs/Daily Kos [546] | May 2–5 | 1,546 (A) | ± 2.5% | 44% | 47% | - | - | 7% [lower-alpha 141] | 2% | 3% |
Firehouse/Optimus [547] | Apr 28 – May 5 | 758 (LV) | – | 45% | 51% | - | - | 4% [lower-alpha 167] | – | 6% |
Monmouth University [548] | Apr 30 – May 4 | 739 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 41% [lower-alpha 4] | 50% | - | - | 4% [lower-alpha 168] | 5% | 9% |
40% [lower-alpha 169] | 47% | - | - | 7% [lower-alpha 170] | 6% | 7% | ||||
Morning Consult [549] | May 2–3 | 1,991 (RV) | ± 2% | 41% | 45% | - | - | 3% [lower-alpha 171] | 11% | 4% |
Change Research/CNBC [550] | May 1–3 | 1,489 (LV) | ± 2.54% | 44% | 47% | - | - | 7% [lower-alpha 172] | 2% | 3% |
Morning Consult [551] | Apr 27 – May 3 | 31,117 (RV) [lower-alpha 49] | – | 42% | 46% | - | - | – | – | 4% |
Poll source | Date | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other | Undecided | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Scott Rasmussen/RMG Research [552] | Apr 30 – May 2, 2020 | 1,200 (RV) | – | 39% | 46% | 7% [lower-alpha 73] | 8% | 7% |
Firehouse/Optimus [553] | Apr 25 – May 2, 2020 | 765 (LV) | – | 45.3% | 49.5% | 5.2% [lower-alpha 173] | – | 4.2% |
YouGov/CBS News [554] | Apr 28 – May 1, 2020 | 1,671 (LV) | – | 43% | 49% | 4% [lower-alpha 145] | 4% | 6% |
PureSpectrum/COVID-19 Consortium [555] | Apr 16–30, 2020 | 19,505 (LV) | – | 40% | 44% | – | – | 4% |
Ipsos/Reuters [556] | Apr 27–29, 2020 | 1,876 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 39% | 45% | 9% [lower-alpha 174] | 7% | 6% |
IBD/TIPP [557] | Apr 26–29, 2020 | 948 (RV) | – | 43% | 43% | – | – | Tie |
Data for Progress/Harvard [558] | Apr 28, 2020 | 895 (RV) | – | 43% | 52% | – | – | 9% |
YouGov/Economist [559] | Apr 26–28, 2020 | 1,222 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 41% | 47% | 6% [lower-alpha 108] | 6% | 6% |
Emerson College [560] | Apr 26–28, 2020 | 1,200 (RV) | – | 46% [lower-alpha 27] | 54% | – | – | 7.4% |
Firehouse/Optimus [561] | Apr 21–28, 2020 | 766 (LV) | – | 45.3% | 49.2% | 5.5% [lower-alpha 131] | – | 3.9% |
Morning Consult [562] | Apr 20–26, 2020 | 30,560 (RV) | ± 1% | 42% | 46% | – | – | 4% |
Scott Rasmussen/RMG Research [563] | Apr 23–25, 2020 | 1,200 (RV) | – | 38% | 46% | 6% [lower-alpha 83] | 9% | 6% |
Suffolk University/USA Today [564] | Apr 21–25, 2020 | 1,000 (RV) | – | 38% | 44% | 10% [lower-alpha 175] | 9% | 6% |
Firehouse/Optimus [565] | Apr 18–25, 2020 | 784 (LV) | – | 44% | 52% | 4% [lower-alpha 167] | – | 8% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [566] | Apr 23, 2020 | 1,362 (LV) | – | 40% | 49% | 2% [lower-alpha 176] | 9% | 9% |
Data for Progress/Harvard [567] | Apr 21, 2020 | 860 (RV) | – | 44% | 49% | – | – | 5% |
YouGov/Economist [568] | Apr 19–21, 2020 | 1,142 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 42% | 48% | 5% [lower-alpha 124] | 5% | 6% |
Echelon Insights [569] | Apr 18–21, 2020 | 1,000 (LV) | – | 43% | 52% | – | 5% | 9% |
Ipsos/Reuters [570] | Apr 15–21, 2020 | 3,806 (RV) | ± 1.8% | 39% | 47% | 8% [lower-alpha 151] | 7% | 8% |
Firehouse/Optimus [571] | Apr 14–21, 2020 | 829 (LV) | – | 44.3% | 52.7% | – | 3% | 8.4% |
HarrisX/The Hill [572] | Apr 19–20, 2020 | 958 (RV) | ± 3.17% | 40% | 42% | 9% [lower-alpha 120] | 9% | 2% |
Fordham University [573] | Apr 16–20, 2020 | 862 (RV) | ± 4.33% | 42% | 56% | – | 3% | 14% |
Climate Nexus [574] | April 19, 2020 | 1,917 (RV) | ± 2.3% | 40% | 49% | – | 10% | 9% |
Morning Consult [575] | Apr 13–19, 2020 | 31,482 (RV) [lower-alpha 49] | ± 1% | 42% | 47% | – | – | 5% |
Change Research/CNBC [576] | Apr 17–18, 2020 | 1,178 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 44% | 48% | 6% [lower-alpha 177] | 1% | 4% |
Scott Rasmussen/RMG Research/Just the News Daily Poll [577] | Apr 16–18, 2020 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 40% | 49% | 5% [lower-alpha 22] | 6% | 9% |
Firehouse/Optimus [578] | Apr 11–18, 2020 | 745 (LV) | – | 44.3% | 52.2% | 3.5% [lower-alpha 178] | – | 7.9% |
Harvard-Harris [579] | Apr 14–16, 2020 | 2,190 (LV) | – | 47% | 53% | – | – | 6% |
Morning Consult [580] | Apr 14–16, 2020 | 1,992 (RV) | ± 2.0% | 42% | 46% | 12% [lower-alpha 179] | – | 4% |
43% | 47% | 10% [lower-alpha 180] | - | 4% | ||||
NBC News/Wall Street Journal [581] | Apr 13–15, 2020 | 900 (RV) | ± 3.27% | 42% | 49% | 5% | 4% | 7% |
Change Research [582] | Apr 13–15, 2020 | 1,349 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 40% [lower-alpha 181] | 51% | 7% [lower-alpha 172] | 2% | 11% |
Democracy Fund & UCLA Nationscape [583] | Apr 9–15, 2020 | 5,036 (RV) [lower-alpha 49] | – | 43% | 48% | – | – | 5% |
Data for Progress/Harvard [584] | Apr 14, 2020 | 802 (RV) | – | 45% | 49% | – | – | 4% |
Ipsos/Reuters [585] | Apr 13–14, 2020 | 937 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 40% | 45% | – | – | 5% |
YouGov/Economist [586] | Apr 12–14, 2020 | 1,160 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 43% | 48% | 5% [lower-alpha 124] | 4% | 5% |
Civiqs [587] | Apr 11–14, 2020 | 1,600 (A) | ± 2.6% | 44% | 48% | 6% | 2% | 4% |
Firehouse/Optimus [588] | Apr 7–14, 2020 | 732 (LV) | – | 42.1% | 53.9% | 4% [lower-alpha 167] | – | 11.8% |
Pew Research Center [589] | Apr 8–12, 2020 | 4,208 (RV) | ± 2.2% | 45% | 47% | 8% | – | 2% |
Morning Consult [590] | Apr 6–12, 2020 | 25,372 (RV) [lower-alpha 49] | ± 1% | 42% | 45% | – | – | 3% |
Global Strategy Group/314 Action Fund [591] [upper-alpha 6] | Apr 6–10, 2020 | 1,002 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 45% | 49% | – | 6% | 4% |
Firehouse/Optimus [592] | Apr 4–10, 2020 | 814 (LV) [lower-alpha 49] | – | 43.3% | 52.8% | 4% [lower-alpha 167] | – | 9.5% |
YouGov/Yahoo News [593] | Apr 6–7, 2020 | 1,139 (RV) | – | 40% | 49% | 6% [lower-alpha 155] | 5% | 9% |
Ipsos/Reuters [594] | Apr 6–7, 2020 | 959 (RV) | – | 37% | 43% | – | – | 6% |
YouGov/Economist [595] | Apr 5–7, 2020 | 1,144 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 42% | 48% | 6% [lower-alpha 108] | 4% | 6% |
Fox News [596] | Apr 4–7, 2020 | 1,107 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 42% | 7% | 6% | Tie |
Climate Nexus [597] | Apr 3–7, 2020 | 3,168 (RV) | – | 41% | 47% | – | – | 6% |
Monmouth University [598] | Apr 3–7, 2020 | 743 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 44% | 48% | 6% [lower-alpha 182] | 3% | 4% |
CNN/SSRS [599] | Apr 3–6, 2020 | 875 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 42% | 53% | 2% [lower-alpha 183] | 3% | 11% |
Hart Research/Public Opinion Strategies/CNBC [600] | Apr 3–6, 2020 | 604 (RV) | – | 39% | 44% | 4% [lower-alpha 184] | 13% [lower-alpha 185] | 5% |
Quinnipiac University [601] | Apr 2–6, 2020 | 2,077 (RV) | ± 2.2% | 41% | 49% | 5% [lower-alpha 186] | 5% | 8% |
Hart Research Associates/Protect Our Care [602] [upper-alpha 7] | Apr 3–5, 2020 | 1,015 (RV) | – | 43% | 51% | 2% [lower-alpha 187] | 4% | 8% |
Morning Consult [603] | Mar 30 – Apr 5, 2020 | 30,985 (RV) | ± 1% | 42% | 46% | – | 12% | 4% |
Firehouse/Optimus [604] | Mar 28 – Apr 4, 2020 | 937 (LV) [lower-alpha 49] | – | 43.8% | 50.2% | 6% [lower-alpha 188] | – | 6.4% |
Research Co. [605] | Apr 3, 2020 | 1,000 (A) | ± 3.1% | 44% | 50% | 6% | – | 6% |
Change Research [606] | Apr 2–3, 2020 | 1,200 (LV) | – | 45% | 43% | 9% [lower-alpha 189] | 2% | 2% |
IBD/TIPP [607] | Mar 29 – Apr 1, 2020 | 980 (RV) | – | 41% | 47% | 6% [lower-alpha 190] | 7% | 6% |
Ipsos/Reuters [608] | Mar 30–31, 2020 | 930 (RV) | – | 40% | 46% | – | – | 6% |
YouGov/Economist [609] | Mar 29–31, 2020 | 1,194 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 42% | 46% | 7% [lower-alpha 166] | 6% | 4% |
Selzer & Co./Grinnell College [610] | Mar 27–30, 2020 | 777 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 43% | 47% | 8% | 1% | 4% |
Morning Consult [611] | Mar 23–29, 2020 | 34,645 (RV) | ± 1% | 42% | 46% | – | 12% | 4% |
YouGov [612] | Mar 26–28, 2020 | 1,193 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 42% | 46% | 4% | 6% | 4% |
Change Research [613] | Mar 26–28, 2020 | 1,845 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 42% | 47% | – | 11% | 5% |
Scott Rasmussen/RMG [614] | Mar 26–28, 2020 | 1,000 (RV) | – | 40% | 45% | – | – | 5% |
Firehouse/Optimus [615] | Mar 21–28, 2020 | 1,032 (LV) [lower-alpha 49] | – | 42.8% | 51.1% | 6.1% [lower-alpha 127] | – | 8.3% |
YouGov/Yahoo News [616] | Mar 25–26, 2020 | 1,579 (A) | ± 3.1% | 40% | 46% | 5% [lower-alpha 191] | 8% | 6% |
Zogby Analytics [617] | Mar 24–26, 2020 | 889 (LV) [lower-alpha 49] | – | 45% | 46% | – | 9% | 1% |
Harvard-Harris [618] | Mar 24–26, 2020 | 2,410 (RV) | – | 45% | 55% | – | – | 10% |
ABC News/Washington Post [619] | Mar 22–25, 2020 | 845 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 47% | 49% | 2% | 1% | 2% |
YouGov/Economist [620] | Mar 22–24, 2020 | 1,167 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 42% | 46% | 6% [lower-alpha 108] | 6% | 4% |
Fox News [621] | Mar 21–24, 2020 | 1,011 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 40% | 49% | 5% | 4% | 9% |
Echelon Insights [622] | Mar 20–24, 2020 | 1,000 (LV) | – | 41% | 51% | – | 8% | 10% |
Ipsos/Reuters [623] | Mar 18–24, 2020 | 3,763 (RV) | – | 39% | 46% | – | – | 7% |
Lord Ashcroft Polls [624] | Mar 10–24, 2020 | 10,357 (A) | – | 36% | 48% | 9% [lower-alpha 192] | 7% | 12% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [625] | Mar 23, 2020 | 1,500 (LV) | ± 2.57% | 40% [lower-alpha 193] | 48% | 4% [lower-alpha 194] | 8% | 8% |
Monmouth University [626] | Mar 18–22, 2020 | 754 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 45% | 48% | 3% | 4% | 3% |
Morning Consult [627] | Mar 16–22, 2020 | 36,272 (RV) | ± 1% | 42% | 47% | – | 12% | 5% |
Emerson College [628] | Mar 18–19, 2020 | 1,100 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 47% [lower-alpha 27] | 53% | – | – | 6% |
YouGov/Economist [629] | Mar 15–17, 2020 | 1,129 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 41% | 48% | 6% [lower-alpha 108] | 5% | 7% |
Ipsos/Reuters [630] | Mar 13–16, 2020 | 955 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 37% | 46% | 11% [lower-alpha 195] | 6% [lower-alpha 196] | 9% |
Hart Research & Associates/Protect Our Care [631] [upper-alpha 8] | Mar 13–15, 2020 | 1,015 (RV) | – | 43% | 51% | 2% | 4% | 8% |
Morning Consult [632] | Mar 11–15, 2020 | 9,979 (RV) | ± 1% | 42% | 48% | – | 11% | 6% |
NBC News/Wall Street Journal [633] | Mar 11–13, 2020 | 900 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 43% | 52% | 3% | 2% | 9% |
YouGov/Hofstra University [634] | Mar 5–12, 2020 | 1,500 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 49% | 51% | – | – | 2% |
YouGov [635] | Mar 10–11, 2020 | 1,240 (RV) | – | 41% | 45% | 7% [lower-alpha 197] | 6% | 4% |
Civiqs [636] | Mar 8–11, 2020 | 1,441 (RV) | ± 2.7% | 46% | 48% | – | 6% | 2% |
GS Strategy Group/Patients for Affordable Drugs Now [637] | Mar 7–11, 2020 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 42% | 48% | – | 10% | 6% |
YouGov [638] | Mar 8–10, 2020 | 1,191 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 43% | 47% | 5% [lower-alpha 198] | 5% | 4% |
Ipsos/Reuters [639] | Mar 6–9, 2020 | 956 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 42% | 44% | 10% [lower-alpha 199] | 5% [lower-alpha 196] | 2% |
Quinnipiac University [640] | Mar 5–8, 2020 | 1,261 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 41% | 52% | 3% [lower-alpha 200] | 5% | 11% |
Rasmussen Reports [641] | Mar 5–8, 2020 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3% | 42% | 48% | – | 9% | 6% |
Morning Consult [642] | Mar 5–8, 2020 | 6,112 (RV) | ± 1% | 42% | 46% | – | 12% | 4% |
CNN/SSRS [643] | Mar 4–7, 2020 | 1,084 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 43% | 53% | 1% [lower-alpha 201] | 2% | 10% |
IBD/TIPP [644] | Feb 20–29, 2020 | 839 (RV) | – | 46% | 49% | 2% [lower-alpha 202] | 2% | 3% |
Harvard-Harris [645] | Feb 26–28, 2020 | 651 (RV) | – | 45% | 55% | – | – | 10% |
YouGov/Yahoo News [646] | Feb 26–27, 2020 | 1,662 (RV) | – | 41% | 50% | 6% [lower-alpha 147] | 3% | 9% |
Morning Consult [647] | Feb 23–27, 2020 | 6,117 (RV) | ± 1% | 42% | 46% | – | 12% | 4% |
Fox News [648] | Feb 23–26, 2020 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 41% | 49% | 6% [lower-alpha 203] | 4% | 8% |
Ipsos/Reuters [649] | Feb 19–25, 2020 | 3,809 (RV) | ± 1.8% | 40% [lower-alpha 49] | 47% | – [lower-alpha 7] | – [lower-alpha 7] | 7% |
YouGov/CBS News [650] | Feb 20–22, 2020 | 10,000 (RV) | ± 1.2% | 45% | 47% | 5% [lower-alpha 204] | 4% | 2% |
Saint Leo University [651] | Feb 17–22, 2020 | 1,000 (A) | ± 3% | 39.4% | 46.8% | – | 13.8% | 7.4% |
Emerson College [652] | Feb 16–18, 2020 | 1,250 (RV) | ± 2.7% | 52% [lower-alpha 27] | 48% | – | – | 4% |
ABC News/Washington Post [653] | Feb 14–17, 2020 | 913 (RV) | ± 4% | 45% | 52% | 3% [lower-alpha 205] | 1% | 7% |
NBC News/Wall Street Journal [654] | Feb 14–17, 2020 | 900 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 44% | 52% | – | – | 8% |
Ipsos/Reuters [655] | Feb 14–17, 2020 | 947 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 40% | 42% | 12% [lower-alpha 206] | 6% [lower-alpha 196] | 2% |
SurveyUSA [656] | Feb 13–17, 2020 | 2,768 (RV) | ± 1.9% | 45% | 48% | – | 7% | 3% |
Morning Consult [657] | Feb 12–17, 2020 | 7,313 (RV) | ± 1% | 42% | 46% | – | 12% | 4% |
NPR/PBS News/Marist College [658] | Feb 13–16, 2020 | 1,164 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 44% | 50% | 1% | 5% | 6% |
Zogby Analytics [659] | Feb 13–14, 2020 | 1,340 (LV) [lower-alpha 49] | – | 46% | 46% | – | 8% | Tie |
Ipsos/Reuters [660] | Feb 7–10, 2020 | 952 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 42% | 44% | 11% [lower-alpha 207] | 4% [lower-alpha 38] | 2% |
Quinnipiac University [661] | Feb 5–9, 2020 | 1,519 (RV) | ± 2.5% | 43% | 50% | 5% [lower-alpha 208] | 2% | 7% |
Morning Consult [662] | Feb 4–9, 2020 | 36,180 (RV) | ± 1% | 42% | 45% | – | 13% | 3% |
Zogby Analytics [663] | Jan 31 – Feb 2, 2020 | 908 (LV) [lower-alpha 49] | – | 46% | 46% | – | 8% | Tie |
Atlas Intel [664] | Jan 30 – Feb 2, 2020 | 1,600 (RV) | ± 2% | 45.4% | 45.8% | – | 8.8% | 0.4% |
Morning Consult [665] | Jan 27 – Feb 2, 2020 | 7,178 (RV) | ± 1% | 42% | 46% | – | 12% | 4% |
IBD/TIPP [666] [lower-alpha 209] | Jan 23–30, 2020 | 856 (RV) | – | 48% | 49% | 2% [lower-alpha 202] | 2% | 1% |
NBC News/Wall Street Journal [667] | Jan 26–29, 2020 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 44% | 50% | 4% [lower-alpha 184] | 2% | 6% |
USC Dornlife/LA Times [668] | Jan 15–28, 2020 | 4,869 (RV) | ± 2% | 40% | 49% | 6% [lower-alpha 210] | 5% | 9% |
Morning Consult [669] | Jan 20–26, 2020 | 8,399 (RV) | ± 1% | 41% | 47% | – | 13% | 6% |
Emerson College [670] | Jan 21–23, 2020 | 1,128 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 50% | 50% | – | – | Tie |
ABC News/Washington Post [671] | Jan 20–23, 2020 | 880 (RV) | ± 4% | 46% | 50% | 3% [lower-alpha 205] | 1% | 4% |
Echelon Insights [672] | Jan 20–23, 2020 | 1,000 (LV) | – | 40% | 49% | – | 10% | 9% |
Fox News [673] | Jan 19–22, 2020 | 1,005 (RV) | ± 3% | 41% | 50% | 8% [lower-alpha 211] | 2% | 9% |
CNN/SSRS [674] | Jan 16–19, 2020 | 1,051 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 44% | 53% | 1% [lower-alpha 201] | 1% | 9% |
Morning Consult [675] | Jan 15–19, 2020 | 5,944 (RV) | ± 1% | 41% | 46% | – | 13% | 5% |
Zogby Analytics [676] | Jan 15–16, 2020 | 882 (LV) | – | 46% | 46% | – | 8% | Tie |
SurveyUSA [677] | Jan 14–16, 2020 | 4,069 (RV) | ± 1.7% | 43% | 50% | – | 7% | 7% |
Morning Consult [678] | Jan 6–12, 2020 | 8,299 (RV) | ± 1% | 41% | 46% | – | 13% | 5% |
IBD/TIPP [679] | Jan 3–11, 2020 | 901 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 46% | 48% | 3% [lower-alpha 212] | 2% | 2% |
Morning Consult [680] | Dec 30, 2019 – Jan 5, 2020 | 8,436 (RV) | ± 1% | 40% | 46% | – | 14% | 6% |
Poll source | Date | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other | Undecided | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Meeting Street Insights [681] | Dec 28–30, 2019 | 1,000 (RV) | – | 38% | 49% | – | – | 11% |
Ipsos/Reuters [682] | Dec 18–19, 2019 | 1,117 (A) | ± 3.3% | 35% | 39% | 17% [lower-alpha 213] | 9% | 4% |
Ipsos/Reuters [683] | Dec 18–19, 2019 | 1,108 (A) | ± 3.4% | 36% | 37% | 20% [lower-alpha 214] | 8% | 1% |
Emerson College [684] | Dec 15–17, 2019 | 1,222 (RV) | ± 2.7% | 48% | 52% | – | – | 4% |
CNN/SSRS [685] | Dec 12–15, 2019 | 1,005 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 44% | 49% | 1% | 3% | 5% |
IBD/TIPP [686] | Dec 6–14, 2019 | 905 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 45% | 50% | 3% [lower-alpha 212] | 2% | 5% |
Fox News [687] | Dec 8–11, 2019 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 41% | 48% | 2% | 4% | 7% |
Quinnipiac [688] | Dec 4–9, 2019 | 1,553 (RV) | ± 2.5% | 42% | 51% | 4% [lower-alpha 158] | 3% | 9% |
Zogby Analytics [689] | Dec 5–8, 2019 | 865 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 46% | 45% | – | – | 1% |
SurveyUSA [690] | Nov 20–21, 2019 | 3,850 (RV) | ± 1.7% | 39% | 52% | – | 9% | 13% |
RealClear Opinion Research [691] | Nov 15–21, 2019 | 2,055 (RV) | ± 2.38% | 39% | 51% | – | 10% | 12% |
Emerson College [692] | Nov 17–20, 2019 | 1,092 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 51% | 49% | – | – | 2% |
Morning Consult [693] | Nov 8, 2019 | 1,300 (RV) | ± 3% | 40% | 44% | – | 16% | 4% |
YouGov/Hofstra University [694] | Oct 25–31, 2019 | 1,500 (LV) | ± 3% | 48.5% | 51.5% | – | – | 3.0% |
ABC/Washington Post [695] | Oct 27–30, 2019 | 876 (RV) | ± 4% | 39% | 56% | 4% [lower-alpha 215] | 0% | 17% |
FOX News [696] | Oct 27–30, 2019 | 1,040 (RV) | ± 3% | 39% | 51% | 7% [lower-alpha 125] | 4% | 12% |
IBD/TIPP [697] | Oct 27–30, 2019 | 903 (A) | ± 3.3% | 41% | 51% | – | – | 10% |
NBC News/Wall Street Journal [698] | Oct 27–30, 2019 | 720 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 41% | 50% | 6% [lower-alpha 216] | 3% | 9% |
Morning Consult/Politico [699] | Oct 25–28, 2019 | 1,997 (RV) | ± 2% | 36% | 41% | – | 23% | 5% |
Emerson College [700] | Oct 18–21, 2019 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 51% | – | – | 2% |
CNN/SSRS [701] | Oct 17–20, 2019 | 892 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 53% | 2% [lower-alpha 122] | 1% [lower-alpha 217] | 10% |
Ipsos/Reuters [702] | Oct 17–18, 2019 | 945 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 38% | 47% | 9% [lower-alpha 218] | 6% [lower-alpha 38] | 9% |
SurveyUSA [703] | Oct 15–16, 2019 | 3,080 (RV) | ± 2.1% | 41% | 52% | – | 7% | 11% |
Lord Ashcroft Polls [704] | Oct 1–15, 2019 | 15,051 (A) | – | 41% | 59% | – | – | 18% |
Fox News [705] | Oct 6–8, 2019 | 1,003 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 40% | 50% | 5% | 2% | 10% |
Quinnipiac University [706] | Oct 4–7, 2019 | 1,483 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 40% | 51% | 2% | 4% | 11% |
Zogby Analytics [707] | Oct 1–3, 2019 | 887 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 47% | 45% | – | 8% | 2% |
IBD/TIPP [708] | Sep 26 – Oct 3, 2019 | 863 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 44% | 51% | 1% | 3% | 7% |
HarrisX [709] | Oct 1–2, 2019 | 1,000 (RV) | – | 35% | 44% | 11% [lower-alpha 219] | 10% | 9% |
Ipsos/Reuters [710] | Sep 26–30, 2019 | 1,917 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 36% | 43% | 11% | 8% | 7% |
Rasmussen Reports [711] | Sep 23–24, 2019 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 43% | – | – | 4% |
Ipsos/Reuters [712] | Sep 23–24, 2019 | 876 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 36% | 42% | 12% | 8% | 6% |
Emerson College [713] | Sep 21–23, 2019 | 1,019 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 50% | – | – | 1% |
Zogby Analytics [714] | Sep 16–17, 2019 | 1,004 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 44% | 49% | – | 8% | 5% |
Fox News [715] | Sep 15–17, 2019 | 1,008 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 38% | 52% | 5% | 2% | 14% |
SurveyUSA [716] | Sep 13–16, 2019 | 4,520 (RV) | ± 1.6% | 41% | 49% | – | 10% | 8% |
Marquette University Law School [717] | Sep 3–13, 2019 | 1,244 (A) | – | 35% [lower-alpha 220] | 45% [lower-alpha 221] | 20% [lower-alpha 222] | – [lower-alpha 223] | 10% |
ABC News/Washington Post [718] | Sep 2–5, 2019 | 877 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 40% | 55% | – | 1% | 15% |
IBD/TIPP [719] | Aug 22–30, 2019 | 848 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 42% | 54% | 1% | 3% | 12% |
Emerson College [720] | Aug 24–26, 2019 | 1,458 (RV) | ± 2.5% | 46% | 54% | – | – | 8% |
Quinnipiac University [721] | Aug 21–26, 2019 | 1,422 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 38% | 54% | 1% | 4% | 16% |
Morning Consult [722] | Aug 16–18, 2019 | 1,998 (RV) | ± 2.0% | 35% | 42% | – | 23% | 7% |
Fox News [723] | Aug 11–13, 2019 | 1,013 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 38% | 50% | 5% | 4% | 12% |
SurveyUSA [724] | Aug 1–5, 2019 | 5,459 (RV) | ± 1.6% | 42% | 50% | – | 9% | 8% |
IBD/TIPP [725] | Jul 25 – Aug 1, 2019 | 856 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 41% | 54% | 1% | 3% | 14% |
Emerson College [726] | Jul 27–29, 2019 | 1,233 (RV) | ± 2.7% | 49% | 51% | – | – | 2% |
HarrisX [727] | Jul 25–26, 2019 | 1,000 (RV) | – | 39% | 42% | 11% [lower-alpha 224] | 8% | 3% |
Fox News [728] | Jul 21–23, 2019 | 1,004 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 39% | 49% | 5% | 5% | 10% |
NBC News/Wall Street Journal [729] | Jul 7–9, 2019 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 42% | 51% | 4% | 3% | 9% |
Emerson College [730] | Jul 6–8, 2019 | 1,100 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 47% | 53% | – | – | 6% |
Rasmussen Reports [731] | Jun 23 – Jul 2, 2019 | 4,500 (LV) | ± 1.5% | 44% | 48% | – | 7% | 4% |
ABC News/Washington Post [732] | Jun 28 – Jul 1, 2019 | 875 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 53% | – | 1% | 10% |
Emerson College [733] | Jun 21–24, 2019 | 1,096 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 45% | 55% | – | – | 10% |
HarrisX [734] | Jun 22–23, 2019 | 1,001 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 40% | 41% | 11% [lower-alpha 225] | 8% | 1% |
Fox News [735] | Jun 9–12, 2019 | 1,001 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 39% | 49% | 5% | 5% | 10% |
Ipsos/Daily Beast [736] | Jun 10–11, 2019 | 1,005 (A) | ± 2.5% | 35% | 46% | – | 9% | 11% |
Quinnipiac University [737] | Jun 6–10, 2019 | 1,214 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 40% | 53% | 1% | 4% | 13% |
Morning Consult [738] | Jun 7–9, 2019 | 1,991 (RV) | ± 2.0% | 33% | 44% | – | 24% | 11% |
Ipsos/Reuters [739] | May 29 – Jun 5, 2019 | 3,851 (RV) | ± 1.8% | 36% | 50% | 7% | 5% | 14% |
HarrisX [740] | May 25–26, 2019 | 1,001 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 36% | 43% | 5% | 11% | 7% |
Change Research [741] | May 18–21, 2019 | 2,904 (LV) | ± 1.8% | 46% | 47% | 7% | – | 1% |
Civiqs/Daily Kos [742] | May 12–14, 2019 | 1,650 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 44% | 48% | – | 8% | 4% |
Fox News [743] | May 11–14, 2019 | 1,008 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 38% | 49% | 5% | 5% | 11% |
Emerson College [744] | May 10–13, 2019 | 1,006 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 54% | – | – | 8% |
Zogby Analytics [745] | May 2–9, 2019 | 903 (LV) | – | 39% | 49% | – | 12% | 10% |
HarrisX [746] | Apr 28–29, 2019 | 1,002 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 36% | 43% | 8% | 8% | 7% |
CNN/SSRS [747] | Apr 25–28, 2019 | 470 (RV) | ± 5.5% | 45% | 51% | <1% | 2% | 6% |
HarrisX [748] | Apr 25–26, 2019 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 37% | 43% | 5% | 15% | 6% |
Morning Consult [749] | Apr 19–21, 2019 | 1,992 (RV) | ± 2.0% | 34% | 42% | – | 19% | 8% |
Emerson College [750] | Apr 11–14, 2019 | 914 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 47% | 53% | – | – | 6% |
Civiqs/Daily Kos [751] | Apr 6–9, 2019 | 1,584 (RV) | ± 2.7% | 45% | 45% | – | 10% | Tie |
HarrisX [752] | Mar 31 – Apr 1, 2019 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 36% | 45% | 8% | 8% | 9% |
Public Policy Polling [753] | Mar 27–28, 2019 | 846 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 40% | 53% | – | 7% | 13% |
Rasmussen Reports [754] | Mar 17–28, 2019 | 5,000 (LV) | ± 1.5% | 44% | 49% | – | 7% | 5% |
Fox News [755] | Mar 17–20, 2019 | 1,002 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 40% | 47% | 4% | 5% | 7% |
Emerson College [756] | Mar 17–18, 2019 | 1,153 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 45% | 55% | – | – | 10% |
HarrisX [757] | Mar 17–18, 2019 | 1,001 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 33% | 44% | 8% | 10% | 11% |
Civiqs/Daily Kos [758] | Mar 9–12, 2019 | 1,622 (A) | ± 2.6% | 43% | 48% | – | 9% | 5% |
Change Research [759] | Mar 8–10, 2019 | 4,049 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 46% | 51% | – | – | 5% |
D-CYFOR [760] | Feb 22–23, 2019 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 40% | 51% | – | 9% | 11% |
Emerson College [761] | Feb 14–16, 2019 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 55% | – | – | 10% |
Change Research [762] | Jan 31 – Feb 1, 2019 | 1,338 (LV) | ± 2.7% | 45% | 52% | – | – | 7% |
Øptimus [763] | Jan 30 – Feb 1, 2019 | 1,084 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 50% | – | 7% | 7% |
Public Policy Polling [764] | Jan 19–21, 2019 | 760 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 41% | 53% | – | 6% | 12% |
HarrisX [765] | Dec 16–17, 2018 | 1,001 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 36% | 42% | – | 22% | 6% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [766] | Oct 24–29, 2018 | 3,064 (RV) | – | 44% | 53% | – | 3% | 9% |
Morning Consult/Politico [767] | Aug 16–18, 2018 | 1,974 (RV) | ± 2.0% | 31% | 43% | – | 26% | 12% |
Morning Consult/Politico [768] | Jul 26–30, 2018 | 1,993 (RV) | ± 2.0% | 37% | 44% | – | 19% | 7% |
Public Policy Polling [769] | Jun 8–10, 2018 | 679 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 39% | 53% | – | 8% | 14% |
Zogby Analytics [770] | May 10–12, 2018 | 881 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 38% | 48% | – | 14% | 10% |
Public Policy Polling [771] | Mar 23–25, 2018 | 846 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 39% | 56% | – | 6% | 17% |
Public Policy Polling [772] | Feb 9–11, 2018 | 687 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 42% | 51% | – | 7% | 9% |
CNN/SSRS [773] | Jan 14–18, 2018 | 913 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 40% | 57% | 1% | 1% | 17% |
Zogby Analytics [774] | Jan 12–15, 2018 | 847 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 38% | 53% | – | 9% | 15% |
Public Policy Polling [775] | Dec 11–12, 2017 | 862 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 40% | 54% | – | 6% | 14% |
Morning Consult/Politico [776] | Nov 9–11, 2017 | 1,993 (RV) | ± 2.0% | 35% | 46% | – | 20% | 11% |
Public Policy Polling [777] | Oct 27–29, 2017 | 572 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 38% | 56% | – | 6% | 16% |
Zogby Analytics [778] | Oct 19–25, 2017 | 1,514 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 41% | 50% | – | 9% | 9% |
Emerson College [779] | Oct 12–14, 2017 | 820 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 42% | 51% | – | 7% | 9% |
Public Policy Polling [780] | Sep 22–25, 2017 | 865 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 40% | 53% | – | 6% | 13% |
Public Policy Polling [781] | Aug 18–21, 2017 | 887 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 39% | 51% | – | 11% | 12% |
Public Policy Polling [782] | Jul 14–17, 2017 | 836 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 39% | 54% | – | 7% | 15% |
Public Policy Polling [783] | Jun 9–11, 2017 | 811 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 41% | 54% | – | 5% | 14% |
Public Policy Polling [784] | May 12–14, 2017 | 692 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 40% | 54% | – | 6% | 14% |
Public Policy Polling [785] | Apr 17–18, 2017 | 648 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 40% | 54% | – | 6% | 14% |
Public Policy Polling [786] | Mar 27–28, 2017 | 677 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 40% | 54% | – | 6% | 14% |
Partisan clients
Scientific, nationwide public opinion polls conducted relating to the 2008 United States presidential election include:
Nationwide public opinion polls that were conducted relating to the 2012 United States presidential election are as follows. The election was between Democratic Incumbent President Barack Obama, Republican Mitt Romney, as well as other third-party and independent challengers.
Statewide public opinion polls that were conducted relating to the 2012 United States presidential election, which was won by incumbent President Barack Obama, are as follows. The polls show the status between Republican nominee Mitt Romney and President Obama. Also included are three- and four-way race polls with the Republican and Democratic nominees against various third party candidates.
Nationwide public opinion polls conducted with respect to the Republican primaries for the 2012 United States presidential election are as follows. The people named in the polls were either declared candidates, former candidates or received media speculation about their possible candidacy.
This is a list of nationwide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the Democratic primaries for the 2016 United States presidential election. The persons named in the polls are declared candidates, are former candidates, or have received media speculation about their possible candidacy.
This page lists nationwide public opinion polls that were conducted relating to the 2016 United States presidential election. The two major party candidates were chosen at the Democratic National Convention and Republican National Convention in July 2016.
This is a list of nationwide public opinion polls that were conducted relating to the Democratic primaries for the 2020 United States presidential election. The persons named in the polls were declared candidates or had received media speculation about their possible candidacy.
The 2020 United States presidential election in Florida was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election, in which all 50 states and the District of Columbia participated. Florida voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent president Donald Trump, and his running mate, Vice President Mike Pence, against Democratic Party nominee, former vice president Joe Biden, and his running mate, United States senator Kamala Harris, of California. Florida had 29 electoral votes in the Electoral College.
The 2020 United States presidential election in Pennsylvania was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Pennsylvania voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, President Donald Trump, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. Pennsylvania had 20 electoral votes in the Electoral College.
The 2020 United States presidential election in Wisconsin was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Wisconsin voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. Wisconsin has 10 electoral votes in the Electoral College.
The 2020 United States presidential election in Michigan was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Michigan voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump of Florida, and his running mate, Vice President Mike Pence of Indiana against the Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden of Delaware, and his running mate, Senator Kamala Harris of California. Michigan had 16 electoral votes in the Electoral College.
The 2020 United States presidential election in North Carolina was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. North Carolina voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state was narrowly won by the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump of Florida, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence of Indiana, against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden of Delaware, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. North Carolina had 15 electoral votes in the Electoral College.
This is a list of nationwide and statewide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the Republican primaries for the 2020 United States presidential election. The persons named in the polls are declared candidates or have received media speculation about their possible candidacy. The polls included are among Republicans or Republicans and Republican-leaning independents. If multiple versions of polls are provided, the version among likely voters is prioritized, then registered voters, then adults.
This is a list of statewide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the Democratic primaries for the 2020 United States presidential election. The persons named in the polls are declared candidates or have received media speculation about their possible candidacy.
This is a list of statewide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the 2020 United States presidential election. The persons named in the polls were declared candidates or received media speculation about their possible candidacy.
This is a list of nationwide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the Republican primaries for the 2024 United States presidential election. The persons named in the polls are declared candidates or have received media speculation about their possible candidacy. The polls included are among Republicans or Republicans and Republican-leaning independents. If multiple versions of polls are provided, the version among likely voters is prioritized, then registered voters, then adults.
This is a list of nationwide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the Democratic primaries for the 2024 United States presidential election. The persons named in the polls are declared candidates or have received media speculation about their possible candidacy. The polls included are among Democrats or Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents. If multiple versions of polls are provided, the version among likely voters is prioritized, then registered voters, then adults.
This is a list of nationwide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the general election for the 2020 United States presidential election. The persons named in the polls were declared candidates or received media speculation about their possible candidacy. If multiple versions of polls are provided, the version among likely voters (LV) is prioritized, then registered voters (RV), then adults (A).
This is a list of nationwide public opinion polls that were conducted relating to the general election for the 2024 United States presidential election. The people named in the polls are declared candidates or have received media speculation about their possible candidacy.