2012 United States presidential election in Oklahoma

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2012 United States presidential election in Oklahoma
Flag of Oklahoma.svg
  2008 November 6, 2012 2016  
  Mitt Romney by Gage Skidmore 6 cropped.jpg President Barack Obama, 2012 portrait crop.jpg
Nominee Mitt Romney Barack Obama
Party Republican Democratic
Home state Massachusetts Illinois
Running mate Paul Ryan Joe Biden
Electoral vote70
Popular vote891,325443,547
Percentage66.77%33.23%

Oklahoma Presidential Election Results 2012.svg
2012 United States presidential election in Oklahoma results map by precinct.svg

President before election

Barack Obama
Democratic

Elected President

Barack Obama
Democratic

The 2012 United States presidential election in Oklahoma took place on November 6, 2012, as part of the 2012 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Voters chose seven electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote pitting incumbent Democratic President Barack Obama and his running mate, Vice President Joe Biden, against Republican challenger and former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney and his running mate, Congressman Paul Ryan. For the third election in a row since 2004, no third parties were allowed on the ballot.

Contents

With an extremely socially conservative electorate, Oklahoma has in recent years become one of the most Republican states in the nation. For the third cycle in a row, the Republicans won over 65% of the vote and swept every single county in the state.

With 66.77% of the popular vote to Obama's mere 33.23%, Mitt Romney carried almost exactly two thirds of the vote in the state while Obama merely carried one third. His vote share also the remains the third-highest for any Republican presidential candidate in Oklahoma history; as well as the strongest ever for a candidate who was not nationally successful. Oklahoma was Romney's third strongest state in the 2012 election, after Utah and Wyoming. [1]

Primary elections

Democratic primary

President Obama faced four challengers in Oklahoma's Democratic primary. Challenger Randall Terry took 12 counties with candidate Jim Rogers winning in three counties. Candidates Bob Ely and Darcy Richardson also appeared on Oklahoma's ballot but failed to obtain a majority of votes in any county.

2012 Oklahoma Democratic presidential primary [2]
CandidateVotesPercentageProjected national delegates [2]
America Symbol.svg Barack Obama (incumbent)64,25957.07%35
Randall Terry 20,29418.02%7
Jim Rogers15,53513.80%3
Darcy Richardson7,1926.39%0
Bob Ely 5,3184.72%0
Totals112,598100.00%45

Republican primary

The Republican primary took place on Super Tuesday, March 6, 2012. [3] [4]

Oklahoma had 43 delegates to the 2012 Republican National Convention. Three superdelegates were unbound by the primary results. 15 delegates were allocated by congressional districts, with 3 delegates for each district. If a candidate got a majority of the vote in a district, he took all 3 delegates from that district; if no one got a majority, the delegates were split either 2-to-1 or 1-1-1 depending on how many candidates got at least 15% of the vote. Another 25 delegates were awarded to the candidate who won a majority in the state, or allocated proportionately among candidates winning at least 15% of the vote statewide if no one got a majority. [5]

Results

2012 Oklahoma Republican presidential primary [6]
CandidateVotesPercentageProjected national delegates [7]
America Symbol.svg Rick Santorum 96,84933.8%14
Mitt Romney 80,35628.0%13
Newt Gingrich 78,73027.5%13
Ron Paul 27,5969.6%0
Rick Perry 1,2910.45%0
Michele Bachmann 9510.33%0
Jon Huntsman 7500.26%0
Unprojected delegates3
Totals286,523100.0%43
Key:Withdrew
prior to contest

Republican Conventions for Oklahoma's Congressional Districts

Fifteen delegates to the 2012 Republican national convention were elected at congressional-district conventions March 31 to April 14, 2012 — three from each of Oklahoma's five congressional districts. [8] [9]

Oklahoma Republican Convention

The Oklahoma Republican State Convention was held May 11–12, 2012 in Norman. Irregularities were reported. [8] [10]

At least two Ron Paul supporters said they were physically attacked by Romney supporters. [11] [12]

Oklahoma's (Republican) Governor Mary Fallin tried to speak at the convention. After loud chants of "Ron Paul" from the floor, she stated (referring to Romney) "We have a presidential nominee", resulting in loud booing. [12]

Paul supporters said that the convention was stopped with unfinished business, without a two-thirds vote, and therefore against parliamentary procedure. [13] It was reported that, after the convention was said to be adjourned, a partition in the room was moved, isolating many attendees from the rest of the body. The lights were turned out momentarily. [10]

After the convention was stopped and the chairman left, many Paul supporters assembled outside and held a rump convention, chaired by Jake Peters, at which they elected a slate of Paul supporters as delegates to the national convention. [12] [14]

Four Paul supporters, including Jake Peters, made a formal complaint to the Oklahoma Republican Party, saying that Party rules were broken by failing to take a roll-call vote on the delegate slate and that the convention was adjourned without the required vote. The complaint asserted that state law is involved in the Republican Party's nominating process and cited case law to the effect that party process should be considered "an integral part of the State's election system". [13] [15] [16]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Huffington Post [17] Safe RNovember 6, 2012
CNN [18] Safe RNovember 6, 2012
New York Times [19] Safe RNovember 6, 2012
Washington Post [20] Safe RNovember 6, 2012
RealClearPolitics [21] Solid RNovember 6, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball [22] Solid RNovember 5, 2012
FiveThirtyEight [23] Solid RNovember 6, 2012

Results

2012 United States presidential election in Oklahoma [24]
PartyCandidateRunning mateVotesPercentageElectoral votes
Republican Mitt Romney Paul Ryan 891,32566.77%7
Democratic Barack Obama (incumbent) Joe Biden (incumbent)443,54733.23%0
Totals1,334,872100.00%7

By county

CountyMitt Romney
Republican
Barack Obama
Democratic
MarginTotal
#%#%#%
Adair 4,38167.32%2,12732.68%2,25434.64%6,508
Alfalfa 1,76184.54%32215.46%1,43969.08%2,083
Atoka 3,53874.00%1,24326.00%2,29548.00%4,781
Beaver 2,06289.42%24410.58%1,81878.84%2,306
Beckham 5,50879.54%1,41720.46%4,09159.08%6,925
Blaine 2,82474.00%99226.00%1,83248.00%3,816
Bryan 9,52072.12%3,68127.88%5,83944.24%13,201
Caddo 5,68764.25%3,16435.75%2,52328.50%8,851
Canadian 35,62577.17%10,53722.83%25,08854.34%46,162
Carter 12,21471.34%4,90828.66%7,30642.68%17,122
Cherokee 8,16257.05%6,14442.95%2,01814.10%14,306
Choctaw 3,57270.51%1,49429.49%2,07841.02%5,066
Cimarron 1,08290.39%1159.61%96780.78%1,197
Cleveland 59,11662.97%34,77137.03%24,34525.94%93,887
Coal 1,71072.49%64927.51%1,06144.98%2,359
Comanche 17,66458.52%12,52141.48%5,14317.04%30,185
Cotton 1,79673.22%65726.78%1,13946.44%2,453
Craig 3,55967.08%1,74732.92%1,81234.16%5,306
Creek 18,98672.70%7,12827.30%11,85845.40%26,114
Custer 7,44675.94%2,35924.06%5,08751.88%9,805
Delaware 10,08070.61%4,19629.39%5,88441.22%14,276
Dewey 1,79285.62%30114.38%1,49171.24%2,093
Ellis 1,57587.45%22612.55%1,34974.90%1,801
Garfield 15,17776.23%4,73323.77%10,44452.46%19,910
Garvin 6,92573.02%2,55926.98%4,36646.04%9,484
Grady 14,83375.61%4,78624.39%10,04751.22%19,619
Grant 1,67581.00%39319.00%1,28262.00%2,068
Greer 1,34473.36%48826.64%85646.72%1,832
Harmon 65971.40%26428.60%39542.80%923
Harper 1,26187.94%17312.06%1,08875.88%1,434
Haskell 3,06972.31%1,17527.69%1,89444.62%4,244
Hughes 2,83867.44%1,37032.56%1,46834.88%4,208
Jackson 5,96575.33%1,95424.67%4,01150.66%7,919
Jefferson 1,63472.98%60527.02%1,02945.96%2,239
Johnston 2,64969.97%1,13730.03%1,51239.94%3,786
Kay 11,49971.31%4,62728.69%6,87242.62%16,126
Kingfisher 4,87084.43%89815.57%3,97268.86%5,768
Kiowa 2,31667.68%1,10632.32%1,21035.36%3,422
Latimer 2,62869.19%1,17030.81%1,45838.38%3,798
LeFlore 11,17770.57%4,66229.43%6,51541.14%15,839
Lincoln 9,55374.48%3,27325.52%6,28048.96%12,826
Logan 12,31472.27%4,72427.73%7,59044.54%17,038
Love 2,43670.20%1,03429.80%1,40240.40%3,470
Major 2,70085.82%44614.18%2,25471.64%3,146
Marshall 3,74472.84%1,39627.16%2,34845.68%5,140
Mayes 9,63766.65%4,82333.35%4,81433.30%14,460
McClain 11,11277.67%3,19422.33%7,91855.34%14,306
McCurtain 7,63575.78%2,44024.22%5,19551.56%10,075
McIntosh 4,50961.87%2,77938.13%1,73023.74%7,288
Murray 3,60670.07%1,54029.93%2,06640.14%5,146
Muskogee 13,40457.39%9,95242.61%3,45214.78%23,356
Noble 3,48875.32%1,14324.68%2,34550.64%4,631
Nowata 2,83269.48%1,24430.52%1,58838.96%4,076
Okfuskee 2,33565.02%1,25634.98%1,07930.04%3,591
Oklahoma 149,72858.33%106,98241.67%42,74616.66%256,710
Okmulgee 7,73158.73%5,43241.27%2,29917.46%13,163
Osage 11,24262.64%6,70437.36%4,53825.28%17,946
Ottawa 6,46664.82%3,50935.18%2,95729.64%9,975
Pawnee 4,23270.01%1,81329.99%2,41940.02%6,045
Payne 16,48164.18%9,19835.82%7,28328.36%25,679
Pittsburg 10,84169.17%4,83130.83%6,01038.34%15,672
Pontotoc 8,94569.38%3,94730.62%4,99838.76%12,892
Pottawatomie 16,25069.33%7,18830.67%9,06238.66%23,438
Pushmataha 3,08774.75%1,04325.25%2,04449.50%4,130
Roger Mills 1,40283.75%27216.25%1,13067.50%1,674
Rogers 27,55375.07%9,14824.93%18,40550.14%36,701
Seminole 4,85665.13%2,60034.87%2,25630.26%7,456
Sequoyah 9,57869.55%4,19330.45%5,38539.10%13,771
Stephens 12,90876.62%3,93923.38%8,96953.24%16,847
Texas 4,93085.12%86214.88%4,06870.24%5,792
Tillman 1,81566.70%90633.30%90933.40%2,721
Tulsa 145,06263.68%82,74436.32%62,31827.36%227,806
Wagoner 20,90072.85%7,79127.15%13,10945.70%28,691
Washington 15,66873.91%5,53226.09%10,13647.82%21,200
Washita 3,49480.95%82219.05%2,67261.90%4,316
Woods 2,72780.25%67119.75%2,05660.50%3,398
Woodward 5,94583.99%1,13316.01%4,81267.98%7,078
Totals891,32566.77%443,54733.23%447,77833.54%1,334,872

By congressional district

Romney won all 5 congressional districts. [25]

DistrictRomneyObamaRepresentative
1st 65.8%34.2% Jim Bridenstine
2nd 67.8%32.2% Markwayne Mullin
3rd 73.9%26.1% Frank Lucas
4th 67.1%32.9% Tom Cole
5th 59.22%40.8% James Lankford

Analysis

As expected, Mitt Romney swept every county in the state, carrying 66.77% of the vote to Obama's measly 33.23%. Romney capitalized on his strength amongst white and conservative voters – Oklahoma's population is 65.6% white [26] (a demographic Romney won nationwide by 59% to Obama's 39%) [27] and the state has a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+20, tied for the second most Republican in the nation along with Utah. [28] His strongest performance was in the Oklahoma Panhandle, one of the most staunchly conservative regions in the country, where he garnered 80% to 90% of the vote in many of these counties. Romney also performed well in the Little Dixie region and on the state's border with Texas. Despite many counties having a plurality of registered Democratic voters exceeding the number of registered Republicans (such as Comanche and Okmulgee), [29] Obama failed to carry any counties. However, Obama was still able to garner margins of around 45% to Romney's 55% in some counties, such as Cherokee County (Obama's best performance), which is 36.4% Native American and home to the capital of the Cherokee Nation, Tahlequah, [30] [31] and Muskogee County, which is located in the Creek Nation. [32] He also had a formidable, but still lackluster, performance in Oklahoma County, home to the state's capital and largest city, Oklahoma City, which is quite conservative despite being the state's most urban region.

See also

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