2012 United States presidential election in Alaska

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2012 United States presidential election in Alaska
Flag of Alaska.svg
  2008 November 6, 2012 2016  
  Mitt Romney by Gage Skidmore 6 cropped.jpg President Barack Obama, 2012 portrait crop.jpg
Nominee Mitt Romney Barack Obama
Party Republican Democratic
Home state Massachusetts Illinois
Running mate Paul Ryan Joe Biden
Electoral vote30
Popular vote164,676122,640
Percentage54.80%40.81%

Alaska Presidential Election Results 2012.svg
2012 United States presidential election in Alaska results map by borough and census area (concurrent).svg
2012 United States presidential election in Alaska by state house district.svg

President before election

Barack Obama
Democratic

Elected President

Barack Obama
Democratic

The 2012 United States presidential election in Alaska took place on November 6, 2012, as part of the 2012 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Alaska voters chose three electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote pitting incumbent Democratic President Barack Obama and his running mate, Vice President Joe Biden, against Republican challenger and former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney and his running mate, Congressman Paul Ryan.

Contents

Prior to the election, all leading news organizations considered this a state Romney would win, making Alaska a safe red state. Romney won the state of Alaska with 54.80% of the vote, while Obama received 40.81%. [1] This was the first time since 1968 that a Democrat received more than 40% of the vote in Alaska. No Democrat has won Alaska since it was won by Lyndon B. Johnson in 1964.

Although Romney easily won its three electoral votes, it was one of six states [a] to swing toward Obama relative to 2008, when Alaska was won with a 21.5% margin of victory by Republican nominee John McCain running with the incumbent governor of Alaska, Sarah Palin, as his vice-presidential candidate. Obama closed his margin of defeat by 7.55% compared to his 2008 loss, thereby making it the state with the strongest Democratic gain in 2012.

Obama also flipped seven boroughs and census areas that he had lost in 2008. [2] As of the 2024 election, this is the last election in which Haines Borough voted for the Republican candidate.

Caucuses

Democratic caucuses

The Alaska Democratic caucuses were held from April 10 to 14, 2012, with the state party convention being held from May 11 to 13. [3] Precincts within House Districts combined to hold caucuses to pledge delegates to the State Convention. Obama ran mostly unopposed (with the exception of Randall Terry, who was on the ballot but received no votes) and consequently received all of the 500 popular votes and 24 delegates.

2012 Alaska Democratic presidential caucuses
Flag of Alaska.svg
  2008 April 14, 2012 2016  

24 Democratic National Convention delegates (19 pledged, 5 unpledged)
The number of pledged delegates won is determined by the popular vote
  President Barack Obama, 2012 portrait crop.jpg NOTA Option Logo 3x4.svg
Candidate Barack Obama Uncommitted
Home state Illinois N/A
Delegate count190
Popular vote5000
Percentage100.00%0.00%

Republican caucuses

2012 United States presidential caucuses in Alaska (Republican Party)
Flag of Alaska.svg
  2008 March 6, 2012 2016  
  Mitt Romney by Gage Skidmore 6 cropped.jpg Rick Santorum by Gage Skidmore.jpg
Candidate Mitt Romney Rick Santorum
Home state Massachusetts Pennsylvania
Delegate count87
Popular vote4,2853,860
Percentage 32.42%29.20%

  Ron Paul by Gage Skidmore 3 (crop 2).jpg Newt Gingrich by Gage Skidmore 3 (cropped).jpg
Candidate Ron Paul Newt Gingrich
Home state Texas Georgia
Delegate count63
Popular vote3,1751,865
Percentage24.02%14.11%

The Alaska Republican caucuses were held Super Tuesday, March 6, 2012. [4] [5] [6] The presidential preference poll portion of the caucuses was scheduled between 4 pm and 8 pm local time (which is 8 pm to midnight EST) at locations across the state and one caucus in Washington, D.C. [7]

Similar to the 2012 Nevada caucuses, the results of the presidential preference poll will be used to directly and proportionately apportion 24 national convention delegates among the candidates. [8] Another 3 super delegates are unbound and not determined by the caucus results. [9]

2012 Alaska Republican presidential caucuses [10]
CandidateVotesPercentageEstimated national delegates
Mitt Romney 4,28532.42%8
Rick Santorum 3,86029.20%7
Ron Paul 3,17524.02%6
Newt Gingrich 1,86514.11%3
Uncommitted340.26%
Unprojected delegates:3
Totals13,219100.00%27

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Huffington Post [11] Safe RNovember 6, 2012
CNN [12] Safe RNovember 6, 2012
The New York Times [13] Safe RNovember 6, 2012
The Washington Post [14] Safe RNovember 6, 2012
RealClearPolitics [15] Solid RNovember 6, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball [16] Solid RNovember 5, 2012
FiveThirtyEight [17] Solid RNovember 6, 2012

Candidate ballot access

Write-in candidate access

Results

2012 United States presidential election in Alaska [18]
PartyCandidateRunning mateVotesPercentageElectoral votes
Republican Mitt Romney Paul Ryan 164,67654.80%3
Democratic Barack Obama (incumbent) Joe Biden (incumbent)122,64040.81%0
Libertarian Gary Johnson Jim Gray 7,3922.46%0
Green Jill Stein Cheri Honkala 2,9170.97%0
Write-insWrite-ins2,8700.96%0
Totals300,495100.00%3

Boroughs and census areas that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

Due to the state's low population, only one congressional district is allocated. This district, an at-large district because it covers the entire state, is thus equivalent to the statewide election results.

DistrictRomneyObamaRepresentative
At-large 54.80%40.81% Don Young

See also

Notes

References

  1. State of Alaska 2012 General Election Official Results
  2. "Alaska Presidential Results by County, 1960-2016|Maps". thecinyc. Archived from the original on January 25, 2021. Retrieved September 1, 2020.
  3. "Alaska Democratic Delegation 2012". www.thegreenpapers.com. Retrieved September 1, 2020.
  4. "Alaska Republican Events". Archived from the original on March 20, 2012. Retrieved March 6, 2012.
  5. "Primary and Caucus Printable Calendar". CNN . Retrieved January 11, 2012.
  6. "Presidential Primary Dates" (PDF). Federal Election Commission . Retrieved January 23, 2012.
  7. "2012 Convention Process". ARP. Archived from the original on February 17, 2012. Retrieved February 26, 2012.
  8. "2012 Convention Process". ARP. Archived from the original on February 17, 2012. Retrieved February 26, 2012.
  9. Nate Silver (March 4, 2012). "Romney Could Win Majority of Super Tuesday Delegates". FiveThirtyEight . Retrieved March 5, 2012.
  10. New York Times, Retrieved March 23, 2012.
  11. "Huffington Post Election Dashboard". HuffPost . Archived from the original on August 13, 2013.
  12. "America's Choice 2012 Election Center: CNN Electoral Map". CNN . Archived from the original on January 19, 2013.
  13. "Election 2012 - The Electoral Map: Building a Path to Victory". The New York Times . Archived from the original on July 8, 2012.
  14. "2012 Presidential Election Results" . The Washington Post. Archived from the original on July 26, 2012.
  15. "RealClearPolitics - 2012 Election Maps - Battle for White House". Archived from the original on June 8, 2011.
  16. "PROJECTION: OBAMA WILL LIKELY WIN SECOND TERM".
  17. "Nate Silver's political calculations predict 2012 election outcome".
  18. "2012 Presidential General Election Results - Alaska". Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections.