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| Elections in Alaska |
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The 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place on November 3, 2026, to elect the next governor and lieutenant governor of Alaska. A nonpartisan top-four primary election occurred on August 18, 2026, in which four candidates would advance to a ranked-choice general election. [1] Incumbent governor Mike Dunleavy is term-limited and ineligible to seek a third consecutive term.
Italics indicate a withdrawn or disqualified candidate
| Campaign finance reports as of February 1, 2026 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Click Bishop (R) | $283,606 | $163,347 | $130,259 |
| Dave Bronson (R) | $217,284 | $87,219 | $130,065 |
| Adam Crum (R) | $347,986 | $168,245 | $179,741 |
| Nancy Dahlstrom (R) | $17,810 | $12,930 | $4,880 |
| Edna DeVries (R) | $10,986 | $5,617 | $9,359 |
| Matt Heilala (R) | $1,364,237 | $354,757 | $1,009,480 |
| Shelley Hughes (R) | $306,510 | $147,798 | $158,712 |
| Henry Kroll (R) | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| James Parkin (R) | $1,799 | $1,668 | $131 |
| Treg Taylor (R) | $880,310 | $155,679 | $724,631 |
| Bruce Walden (R) | $2,192 | $0 | $2,192 |
| Bernadette Wilson (R) | $305,985 | $241,190 | $64,794 |
| Source: Alaska Public Offices Commission [24] | |||
| Campaign finance reports as of August 8, 2026 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Tom Begich (D) | $1,195,970 | $1,078,770 | $117,199 |
| Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins (D) | $2,170,998 | $1,861,062 | $309,935 |
| Source: Alaska Public Offices Commission [24] | |||
The primary featured a crowded field of 17 candidates. Candidates at times struggled to distinguish themselves, while Alaska's nonpartisan primary and ranked-choice voting system were credited with encouraging more positive campaigning. As a result, candidates often emphasized areas of agreement, particularly with members of their own party. [34]
Republican Bernadette Wilson called on Republican candidates to withdraw if they advanced to the general election but received fewer votes than another Republican, though she was the only candidate to pledge to do so herself. Democrats Tom Begich and Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins similarly discussed the possibility of one withdrawing after the primary to consolidate Democratic support behind the other. [35]
The race also saw heavy spending. Republicans Treg Taylor and Matt Heilala, the party's two highest-spending candidates, largely self-funded their campaigns. Heilala contributed $1.4 million to his campaign, while Taylor contributed $600,000. Taylor's contribution violated an Alaska campaign finance deadline, though he argued that the restriction was unconstitutional. [36]
Kreiss-Tomkins spent more than any other candidate and reported the largest number of individual Alaskan contributors, although most of his funding came from outside the state, including employees of Anthropic and others connected to the artificial intelligence industry. [36] [34] Begich raised approximately $1.2 million, more than half of which came from two wealthy Alaskan donors. [36]
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [b] | Margin of error | Tom Begich (D) | Click Bishop (R) | Dave Bronson (R) | Matt Claman (D) | Nancy Dahlstrom (R) | Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins (D) | Bill Walker (I) | Bernadette Wilson (R) | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Change Research (D) [48] [A] | July 17–19, 2026 | 604 (LV) | – | 17% | 4% | 6% | – | – | 15% | 7% | 14% | 10% [c] | 27% |
| Alaska Survey Research [49] | June 30 – July 1, 2026 | 1,528 (RV) | ± 2.7% | 20% | 9% | 11% | – | – | 12% | 9% | 15% | 24% [d] | |
| Claman withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
| Public Policy Polling (D) [50] [A] | June 24–25, 2026 | 529 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 16% | 10% | 13% | 3% | – | 13% | 8% | 12% | 25% | |
| Dahlstrom withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
| Walker enters the race | |||||||||||||
| Alaska Survey Research [51] | May 14–17, 2026 | 1,401 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 21% | 10% | 11% | 7% | 6% | 8% | – | 16% | 22% | |
| Dittman Research [52] [B] | April 27–30, 2026 | 451 (LV) | – | 21% | 6% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 5% | – | 6% | 13% [e] | 35% |
| Alaska Survey Research [53] | April 16–19, 2026 | 1,612 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 19% | 9% | 10% | – [f] | – [f] | – [f] | – | 14% | 48% [f] | |
| Alaska Survey Research [54] | March 19–22, 2026 | 1,061 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 19% | – [g] | 10% | 10% | – [g] | – [g] | – | 14% | 47% [g] | |
| Lake Research Partners (D) [55] [C] | February 5–11, 2026 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 22% | 6% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 9% | – | 14% | 8% [h] | 23% |
with Mary Peltola
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [b] | Margin of error | Tom Begich (D) | Click Bishop (R) | Adam Crum (R) | Nancy Dahlstrom (R) | Edna DeVries (R) | Mary Peltola (D) | Treg Taylor (R) | Bernadette Wilson (R) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Data for Progress (D) [56] | July 21–27, 2025 | 678 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 10% | 2% | 40% | 3% | 11% | 18% |
"Republican Primary Poll" [i]
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [b] | Margin of error | Nancy Dahlstrom (R) | Mary Peltola (D) | Bernadette Wilson (R) | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cygnal (R) [57] [D] | July 24–27, 2025 | 500 (LV) | – | 11% | 9% | 17% | 6% | 57% |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins Zac Johnson | 37,006 | 22.5 | |
| Democratic | Tom Begich (withdrew) Julia Hnilicka (withdrew) | 34,172 | 20.8 | |
| Republican | Bernadette Wilson Mike Shower | 16,468 | 10.0 | |
| Republican | Dave Bronson Josh Church | 13,364 | 8.1 | |
| Republican | Treg Taylor Candice English | 11,928 | 7.3 | |
| Republican | Click Bishop (withdrew) Greta Schuerch (withdrew) | 11,527 | 7.0 | |
| Republican | Adam Crum Robert Craig | 8,922 | 5.4 | |
| Republican | Shelley Hughes Blake Gettys | 8,776 | 5.4 | |
| Independent | Bill Walker Randy Hoffbeck | 7,341 | 4.5 | |
| Republican | Matt Heilala Jesse Sumner (withdrew) | 4,330 | 2.6 | |
| Independent | Meda DeWitt Christopher Steere | 4,184 | 2.5 | |
| Republican | Edna DeVries George Hightower | 2,167 | 1.3 | |
| Republican | Lesil McGuire Elizabeth Rexford | 2,098 | 1.3 | |
| Republican | Michael Loren Gilbert Timothy Hickel | 675 | 0.4 | |
| Republican | James W. "JP4" Parkin Ramadhani "Ram" Greer | 638 | 0.4 | |
| Independent | Destry J. Payne Sr. Cliff Silvers | 372 | 0.2 | |
| Republican | Henry R. "Hank" Kroll Tommy R. Nicholson III | 335 | 0.2 | |
| Total votes | 164,303 | 100.0 | ||
After initially finishing second in the primary, Begich withdrew and endorsed Kreiss-Tomkins, allowing fifth-place finisher Taylor to advance to the general election. [28] However, the Alaska Public Offices Commission recommended against certifying Taylor's candidacy after finding that his financial disclosure did not substantially comply with state law. [60] On August 31, Lieutenant Governor Nancy Dahlstrom declined to certify Taylor, temporarily elevating his running mate, Candice English, to the gubernatorial nomination; English subsequently selected Taylor's wife, Jodi Taylor, as her running mate. [61] On September 4, Dahlstrom reversed her decision and announced that Taylor would be certified after a preliminary review by the Alaska Department of Law raised questions about whether the financial disclosure requirements had been applied consistently. [62]
In the general election campaign, Taylor softened his messaging and attempted to appeal to independent and Democratic voters. Kreiss-Tomkins pledged that Democrats, Republicans, and independents would be equally represented in his cabinet and emphasized endorsements from moderate Republicans. In contrast, Wilson criticized bipartisanship and said that bipartisan coalitions in the Alaska legislature had been ineffective. [63]
Taylor and Bronson called upon Republican voters to rank all three Republicans in the race, while Wilson urged her supporters not to rank other candidates and renewed her calls for the other Republicans to drop out. [63] [64]
While the three Republican candidates generally agreed on most issues, including opposition to new taxation proposals from Kreiss-Tomkins, Wilson was alone in advocating for a return to paying out full Permanent Fund dividends according to the statutory formula. Incumbent governor Mike Dunleavy had made a similar promise during his 2018 campaign, but his efforts to implement the proposal had been unsuccessful. In fact, dividends reached a record low during Dunleavy's administration. The other candidates argued that following the statutory formula would be unaffordable for the foreseeable future. [64]
The candidates also diverged on the issue of data centers. Bronson and Taylor were generally supportive of data centers, portraying them as an economic opportunity provided they generated their own electricity and did not drive up energy costs. Despite receiving large campaign contributions from donors connected to the artificial intelligence industry, Kreiss-Tomkins advocated for a moratorium on data center construction until a regulatory framework could be developed. He also supported regulation of artificial intelligence more broadly. Wilson also opposed data centers, highlighting their environmental impact and arguing that Kreiss-Tomkins could not be trusted on the issue. [65]
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report [66] | Lean D (flip) | October 29, 2026 |
| Decision Desk HQ [67] | Lean D (flip) | November 1, 2026 |
| Fox News [68] | Tossup | November 1, 2026 |
| Inside Elections [69] | Tilt D (flip) | October 29, 2026 |
| NBC News [70] | Lean D (flip) | November 1, 2026 |
| RealClearPolitics [71] | Lean D (flip) | October 30, 2026 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball [72] | Likely D (flip) | November 2, 2026 |
| Silver Bulletin [73] | Likely D (flip) | November 2, 2026 |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [b] | Margin of error | RCV round | Bernadette Wilson (R) | Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins (D) | Dave Bronson (R) | Treg Taylor (R) | Undecided / Not Ranked |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaska Survey Research [96] | October 23–25, 2026 | 1,068 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 1 | 31% | 51% | 12% | 7% | — |
| 2 [j] | 34% | 51% | 15% | — | — | ||||
| 3 [j] | 47% | 53% | — | — | — | ||||
| Alaska Survey Research [97] | October 15–18, 2026 | 1,568 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 1 | 30% | 50% | 12% | 8% | — |
| 2 [j] | 33% | 51% | 16% | — | — | ||||
| 3 [j] | 45% | 55% | — | — | — | ||||
| Data for Progress (D) [98] | October 8–16, 2026 | 694 (LV) | ± 4.0% | BA | 28% | 46% | 12% | 9% | 5% U |
| 660 (LV) | 1 | 29% | 49% | 12% | 9% | 5% NR | |||
| 648 (LV) | 2 | 33% | 50% | 17% | — | 7% NR | |||
| 629 (LV) | 3 [j] | 47% | 53% | — | — | 9% NR | |||
| 660 (LV) | 3 [k] | 50% | 50% | — | — | 5% NR | |||
| Alaska Survey Research [99] | October 1–3, 2026 | 1,512 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 1 | 27% | 48% | 15% | 10% | — |
| 2 | 30% | 50% | 20% | — | — | ||||
| 3 [j] | 46% | 54% | — | — | — | ||||
| New York Times/Siena University [100] | September 24 – October 1, 2026 | 504 (LV) | ± 5.1% | BA | 20% | 40% | 15% | 11% | 13% U |
| 1 | 24% | 46% | 17% | 13% | — | ||||
| 2 | 31% | 48% | 22% | — | — | ||||
| 3 | 48% | 52% | — | — | — | ||||
| Fabrizio Ward (R)/ Impact Research (D) [101] [E] | September 8–11, 2026 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | BA | 20% | 40% | 14% | 7% | 18% U |
| 1 | 25% | 49% | 18% | 8% | 18% NR | ||||
| 2 | 28% | 50% | 21% | — | 19% NR | ||||
| 3 [j] | 45% | 55% | — | — | 25% NR |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [b] | Margin of error | Bernadette Wilson (R) | Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins (D) | Dave Bronson (R) | Treg Taylor (R) | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AtlasIntel [102] | October 28 – November 1, 2026 | 522 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 34% | 52% | 9% | 4% | 1% | — |
| New York Times/Siena University [103] | October 23–30, 2026 | 610 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 25% | 42% | 7% | 8% | — | 17% |
| Alaska Survey Research [97] [l] | October 15–18, 2026 | 1,568 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 30% | 50% | 12% | 8% | — | — |
| Data for Progress (D) [98] [l] | October 8–16, 2026 | 694 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 28% | 46% | 12% | 9% | — | 5% |
| Alaska Survey Research [99] [l] | October 1–3, 2026 | 1,512 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 27% | 48% | 15% | 10% | — | — |
| New York Times/Siena University [100] [l] | September 24 – October 1, 2026 | 504 (LV) | ± 5.1% | 20% | 40% | 14% | 7% | — | 18% |
| Cygnal (R) [104] | September 24–27, 2026 | 502 (LV) | ± 4.37% | 24% | 44% | 8% | 9% | — | 15% |
| co/efficient (R) [105] | September 14–17, 2026 | 799 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 20% | 43% | 17% | 6% | — | 14% |
| Fabrizio Ward (R)/ Impact Research (D) [101] [E] [l] | September 8–11, 2026 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 20% | 40% | 14% | 7% | — | 18% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [b] | Margin of error | RCV round | Tom Begich (D) | Click Bishop (R) | Adam Crum (R) | Nancy Dahlstrom (R) | Edna DeVries (R) | Mary Peltola (D) | Treg Taylor (R) | Bernadette Wilson (R) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Data for Progress (D) [56] | July 21–27, 2025 | 584 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 1 | 8% | 8% | 5% | 13% | 3% | 47% | 3% | 13% |
| 581 (LV) | 2 | 8% | 9% | 5% | 14% | Elim | 48% | 4% | 14% | |||
| 575 (LV) | 3 | 8% | 9% | 5% | 15% | 48% | Elim | 14% | ||||
| 567 (LV) | 4 | 9% | 10% | Elim | 17% | 49% | 15% | |||||
| 562 (LV) | 5 | Elim | 10% | 19% | 54% | 16% | ||||||
| 544 (LV) | 6 [j] | Elim | 23% | 58% | 19% | |||||||
| 491 (LV) | 7 [j] | 35% | 65% | Elim | ||||||||
| 498 (LV) | 7 [m] | 36% | 64% | |||||||||
| 539 (LV) | 7 [n] | 41% | 59% | |||||||||
| 539 (LV) | 7 [o] | 49% | 51% | |||||||||
| 562 (LV) | 7 [p] | 44% | 56% | Elim |
Nick Begich vs. Mary Peltola
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [b] | Margin of error | Nick Begich (R) | Mary Peltola (D) | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Data for Progress (D) [106] [107] | February 28 – March 7, 2025 | 1000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 46% | 5% [q] | 3% |
Nancy Dahlstrom vs. Mary Peltola
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [b] | Margin of error | Nancy Dahlstrom (R) | Mary Peltola (D) | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Data for Progress (D) [106] [107] | February 28 – March 7, 2025 | 1000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 34% | 44% | 14% [r] | 7% |
Tom Begich vs. Click Bishop vs. Dave Bronson vs. Bernadette Wilson
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [b] | Margin of error | Tom Begich (D) | Click Bishop (R) | Dave Bronson (R) | Bernadette Wilson (R) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaska Survey Research [53] | April 16–19, 2026 | 1,923 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 41% | 19% | 19% | 22% | — |
| 44% | 25% | — | 31% | — | ||||
| 54% | — | — | 46% | — | ||||
| Lake Research Partners (D) [55] [C] | February 5–11, 2026 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 38% | 8% | 13% | 16% | 25% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [b] | Margin of error | RCV round | Tom Begich (D) | Click Bishop (R) | Dave Bronson (R) | Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins (D) | Bill Walker (I) | Bernadette Wilson (R) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaska Survey Research [49] | June 30 – July 1, 2026 | 1,528 (LV) | ± 2.7% | 1 | 22% | 13% | 17% | 16% | 11% | 22% |
| 2 | 25% | 16% | 18% | 18% | Elim | 23% | ||||
| 3 | 29% | Elim | 22% | 21% | 28% | |||||
| 4 | 45% | 24% | Elim | 31% | ||||||
| 5 | 51% | Elim | 49% |
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Republican | Democratic | Republican | Republican |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | |||||||||
| Begich | Bronson | Kreiss-Tomkins | Taylor | Wilson | |||||
| 1 [108] | Aug. 26, 2026 | Alaska Oil and Gas Association | Kati Capozzi | Vimeo | P | P | P | N | P |
| 2 [109] | Aug. 28, 2026 | Alaska Municipal League | A | P | P | N | A | ||
| 3 [110] | Sep. 9, 2026 | Last Frontier Republican Club | Vimeo | W | P | P | P | A | |
| 4 [111] | Kodiak Chamber of Commerce KMXT (FM) | Gary Stevens | YouTube | W | P | P | P | P | |
| 5 [112] | Sep. 16, 2026 | Alaska Hospital and Healthcare Association | Jared Kosin | Otter.ai (part one) Otter.ai (part two) | W | P | P | P | P |
| 6 [64] | Sep. 17, 2026 | Chugach Electric Association | W | P | P | P | P | ||
| 7 [109] | Commonwealth North | Moira Smith | YouTube | W | P | P | P | A | |
| 8 [113] | Sep. 18, 2026 | Alaska Entrepreneurship Week | Pascual Reig | W | P | P | P [t] | P | |
| 9 [109] | Sep. 19, 2026 | Greater Wasilla Chamber of Commerce | Destiny O'Daniel | YouTube | W | P | P | P | P |
| 10 [109] | Sep. 21, 2026 | Resource Development Council [u] | Connor Hajdukovich | Vimeo | W | P | P | P | P |
| 11 [109] | Various | Lori Townsend | YouTube | W | P | P | P | P | |
| 12 [109] | Sep. 22, 2026 | Anchorage Rotary Club | Otter.ai | W | P | P | P | P | |
| 13 [109] | Sep. 23, 2026 | Confluence Summit | Heather Handyman | YouTube | W | P | P | A | A |
| 14 [114] | Sep. 29, 2026 | Southeast Conference | W | P | P | P | A | ||
| 15 [109] | Oct. 1, 2026 | Alaska Support Industry Alliance | W | P | P | P | P | ||
| 16 [109] | Oct. 2, 2026 | Alaska Power Association | Otter.ai | W | P | P | A | A | |
| 17 [115] | Oct. 7, 2026 | Juneau Chamber of Commerce | Recording | W | P | P | A | P | |
| 18 [116] | Oct. 8, 2026 | Alaska Public Media KTOO Alaska's News Source | Lori Townsend Eric Stone Wil Courtney | YouTube | W | P | P | P | P |
| 19 [117] | Oct. 15, 2026 | Alaska Landmine | Jeff Landfield | YouTube | W | P | A | P | A |
| 20 [118] | Oct. 23, 2026 | Alaska Federation of Natives | Antonia Gonzales | W | P | P | P | A | |
| Party | Candidate | First choice | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | Transfer | |||
| Republican | Dave Bronson Josh Church | ||||
| Republican | Treg Taylor Candice English | ||||
| Republican | Bernadette Wilson Mike Shower | ||||
| Democratic | Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins Zac Johnson | ||||
| Write-in | |||||
| Total votes | |||||
| Inactive ballots | |||||
Partisan clients
Primary elections are held on the third Tuesday in August of even numbered years.
{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: numeric names: authors list (link)Official campaign websites