2026 Alaska gubernatorial election

Last updated

2026 Alaska gubernatorial election
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Party Republican Democratic
Incumbent Governor

Mike Dunleavy
Republican



The 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place on November 3, 2026, to elect the next governor and lieutenant governor of Alaska. The primary election will occur on August 18, 2026 as a nonpartisan blanket primary, in which the four highest-placing candidates will advance to a ranked-choice general election. [1] Incumbent Governor Mike Dunleavy is term-limited and ineligible to seek a third consecutive term.

Contents

Candidates

Republican Party

Declared

Publicly expressed interest

Democratic Party

Declared

Potential

Primary election

Endorsements

Bernadette Wilson (R)
U.S. representatives
Statewide officials

Polling

Hypothetical polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [a] 		Margin
of error		Tom
Begich (D)		Click
Bishop (R)		Adam
Crum (R)		Nancy
Dahlstrom (R)		Edna
DeVries (R)		Mary
Peltola (D)		Treg
Taylor (R)		Bernadette
Wilson (R)		Undecided
Data for Progress (D) [19] July 21–27, 2025678 (LV)± 4.0%6%6%4%10%2%40%3%11%18%

"Republican Primary Poll" [b]

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [a] 		Margin
of error		Nancy
Dahlstrom (R)		Mary
Peltola (D)		Bernadette
Wilson (R)		OtherUndecided
Cygnal (R) [20] [A] July 24–27, 2025500 (LV)–11%9%17%6%57%

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [21] Solid RSeptember 11, 2025
Inside Elections [22] Solid RAugust 28, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball [23] Likely RSeptember 4, 2025
Race to the WH [24] TossupSeptember 11, 2025

Polling

Hypothetical polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		RCV
round		Tom
Begich (D)		Click
Bishop (R)		Adam
Crum (R)		Nancy
Dahlstrom (R)		Edna
DeVries (R)		Mary
Peltola (D)		Treg
Taylor (R)		Bernadette
Wilson (R)
Data for Progress (D) [19] July 21–27, 2025584 (LV)± 4.0%18%8%5%13%3%47%3%13%
581 (LV)28%9%5%14%Elim48%4%14%
575 (LV)38%9%5%15%48%Elim14%
567 (LV)49%10%Elim17%49%15%
562 (LV)5Elim10%19%54%16%
544 (LV)6 [c] Elim23%58%19%
491 (LV)7 [c] 35%65%Elim
498 (LV)7 [d] 36%64%
539 (LV)7 [e] 41%59%
539 (LV)7 [f] 49%51%
562 (LV)7 [g] 44%56%Elim

Nick Begich vs. Mary Peltola

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Nick
Begich (R)		Mary
Peltola (D)		OtherUndecided
Data for Progress (D) [25] [26] February 28 – March 7, 20251000 (LV)± 3.0%46%46%5% [h] 3%

Nancy Dahlstrom vs. Mary Peltola

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Nancy
Dahlstrom (R)		Mary
Peltola (D)		OtherUndecided
Data for Progress (D) [25] [26] February 28 – March 7, 20251000 (LV)± 3.0%34%44%14% [i] 7%

See also

Notes

  1. 1 2 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ↑ Survey asked only Republican voters. In Alaska, all candidates run on the same ballot in a "blanket primary."
  3. 1 2 Hypothetical continuation of elimination/distribution even though a candidate already exceeded 50%
  4. ↑ Hypothetical scenario where voters whose fourth ranking is Click Bishop or Bernadette Wilson and whose vote is exhausted when those candidates are eliminated are instead distributed to Nancy Dahlstrom
  5. ↑ Hypothetical scenario above while also distributing the vote of all Republican respondents whose vote was exhausted after eliminating 'Not sure' to Nancy Dahlstrom
  6. ↑ Hypothetical scenario above while also distributing all votes exhausted when a Republican candidate is eliminated to Nancy Dahlstrom
  7. ↑ Hypothetical scenario above while also eliminating Mary Peltola in the first round
  8. ↑ "I would rank neither" with 5%
  9. ↑ "I would rank neither" with 14%

Partisan clients

  1. ↑ Poll sponsored by the Building Alaska PAC

References

  1. ↑ "Primary Election Information". Alaska Division of Elections. Retrieved December 15, 2024. Primary elections are held on the third Tuesday in August of even numbered years.
  2. 1 2 3 Brooks, James (May 14, 2025). "Third Republican candidate, Bernadette Wilson, enters Alaska governor's race". Alaska Beacon . Retrieved May 14, 2025.
  3. ↑ Barnwell, Jack (October 2, 2025). "Dave Bronson, former Anchorage mayor, enters governor's race". Fairbanks Daily News-Miner . Retrieved October 2, 2025.
  4. ↑ Samuels, Iris (August 12, 2025). "Former Alaska revenue commissioner is the 8th Republican to enter governor's race". Anchorage Daily News . Retrieved August 13, 2025.
  5. ↑ Maguire, Sean (June 12, 2025). "Mat-Su mayor files to run as a Republican for Alaska governor". Anchorage Daily News . Retrieved June 12, 2025.
  6. ↑ Stone, Eric (July 16, 2025). "Anchorage podiatrist joins all-Republican field in 2026 Alaska governor's race". Alaska Public Media . Retrieved July 16, 2025.
  7. ↑ Stone, Eric (July 25, 2025). "Palmer state Sen. Shelley Hughes announces campaign for governor". Alaska Public Media . Retrieved July 26, 2025.
  8. ↑ Courtney, Wil (November 14, 2025). "Palmer senator to leave office Friday to focus on gubernatorial campaign". alaskasnewssource.com. Retrieved December 5, 2025.
  9. ↑ "Candidates - Division of Elections". Division of Elections - State of Alaska. December 7, 2021. Archived from the original on October 2, 2025. Retrieved December 5, 2025.
  10. ↑ Larson, Clarise (July 16, 2025). "Angoon resident and former teacher launches bid for Alaska governor". KTOO . Archived from the original on July 16, 2025. Retrieved August 4, 2025.
  11. ↑ Pike, Josiah (September 17, 2025). "Former Attorney General Treg Taylor announces gubernatorial campaign". Alaska's News Source . Retrieved September 17, 2025.
  12. ↑ Samuels, Iris (September 10, 2025). "Bernadette Wilson chooses Wasilla senator as running mate in Alaska governor's race". Anchorage Daily News . Retrieved September 11, 2025.
  13. ↑ Samuels, Iris (August 4, 2025). "Murkowski declines to rule out a run for Alaska governor". Anchorage Daily News . Retrieved August 5, 2025.
  14. ↑ Courtney, Wil (August 18, 2025). "Tom Begich enters governor's race, first Democrat to join crowded field". Alaska's News Source . Retrieved August 18, 2025.
  15. ↑ Rosen, Yereth (November 10, 2025). "Anchorage state senator enters crowded Alaska gubernatorial field". Alaska Beacon. Retrieved November 10, 2025.
  16. ↑ Journal, Nathaniel Herz, Northern (July 15, 2025). "Dems are 'salivating' over a Peltola bid for Senate, but Alaska governor race could be 'wide open'". Alaska Beacon . Retrieved July 16, 2025.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: multiple names: authors list (link)
  17. ↑ Downing, Suzanne (June 8, 2025). "Video: Congressman Byron Donalds endorses Bernadette Wilson for governor of Alaska at rally". Must Read Alaska. Retrieved June 15, 2025.
  18. ↑ Downing, Suzanne (July 8, 2025). "Former Lt. Gov. Craig Campbell joins Bernadette Wilson campaign, calls her the leader Alaska needs". Must Read Alaska. Retrieved September 18, 2025.
  19. 1 2 "Mary Peltola Would Be Front-Runner for Alaska Governor". Data for Progress . August 8, 2023. Retrieved August 8, 2025.
  20. ↑ Davidson, Joel (August 20, 2025). "Alaska's GOP candidates struggle with name recognition". Alaska Watchman. Retrieved August 22, 2025.
  21. ↑ "2026 CPR Governor Race ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 23, 2025.
  22. ↑ "Gubernatorial Ratings". Inside Elections . Retrieved February 7, 2025.
  23. ↑ "2026 Governor". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved May 1, 2025.
  24. ↑ "Governor Forecast - 2026-2026". Race to the WH. Retrieved June 30, 2025.
  25. 1 2 Katz-Brown, Jason (March 13, 2025). "Oil Taxes, Rural Subsistence, Public School Funding: These Are a Few of Alaska Voters' Favorite Things". Data For Progress. Retrieved March 13, 2025.
  26. 1 2 "Data for Progress March 2025 Crosstabs" (PDF). Data for Progress. March 13, 2025. Retrieved May 6, 2025.

Official campaign websites

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