2026 United States House of Representatives elections in California

Last updated

2026 United States House of Representatives elections in California
Flag of California.svg
  2024 November 3, 20262028 

All 52 California seats to the United States House of Representatives
 
Party Democratic Republican
Last election439
Map of California's congressional districts passed under California Proposition 50 (effective 2027-2031 starting with the 2026 elections) California Congressional Districts, 120th Congress (upon Approval of Prop 50 (2025)) (new version).svg
Map of California's congressional districts passed under California Proposition 50 (effective 2027–2031 starting with the 2026 elections)

The 2026 United States House of Representatives elections in California will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the 52 U.S. representatives from the State of California, one from each of the state's congressional districts. The elections will coincide with other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections. The passage of 2025 California Proposition 50 significantly altered many districts. The primary elections will take place on June 2, 2026. [1]

Contents

District 1

The incumbent is Republican Doug LaMalfa, who was re-elected with 65.3% of the vote in 2024. [2]

Candidates

Declared

Filed paperwork

  • Erica Rhoden (Independent) [8]
  • Casey Stewart (Democratic) [9]

Publicly expressed interest

  • Kevin Kiley (Republican), incumbent U.S. representative from the 3rd district [10]

Endorsements

Audrey Denney (D)
Organizations

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Doug LaMalfa (R)$365,648$207,767$842,323
James Salegui (D)$8,694$3,517$5,177
Source: Federal Election Commission [14]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Inside Elections [15] Solid D (flip)November 6, 2025
The Cook Political Report [16] Solid D (flip)November 5, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball [17] Likely D (flip)November 5, 2025
Race to the WH [18] Likely D (flip)September 26, 2025

District 2

The incumbent is Democrat Jared Huffman, who was re-elected with 71.9% of the vote in 2024. [2]

Candidates

Declared

Filed paperwork

  • Kevin Eisele (Democratic), healthcare worker [20]
  • Jared Huffman (Democratic), incumbent U.S. representative [21]
  • Cody Poludniak (Independent), product manager [22]
  • Kyle Wilson (Independent), attorney [23]

Endorsements

Jared Huffman (D) (not declared)

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Jared Huffman (D)$445,188$406,719$1,023,111
Kyle Wilson (I)$1,878$1,871$7
Source: Federal Election Commission [26]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [16] Solid DNovember 5, 2025
Inside Elections [27] Solid DMarch 7, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball [17] Safe DJuly 15, 2025
Race to the WH [18] Safe DSeptember 26, 2025

District 3

The incumbent is Republican Kevin Kiley, who was re-elected with 55.5% of the vote in 2024. [2]

Candidates

Declared

  • Ami Bera (Democratic), incumbent U.S. representative from the 6th district [28]
  • Heidi Hall (Democratic), Nevada County supervisor (2017–present) and runner-up for the 1st district in 2014 [29]
  • Tyler Vanderberg (Democratic), USMC veteran [30]

Formed exploratory committee

  • Doug Huhn (Democratic), marketing consultant [31]

Publicly expressed interest

Potential

  • Kermit Jones (Democratic), U.S. Navy veteran and runner-up for this district in 2022 [32]

Withdrawn

Declined

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Heidi Hall (D)$316,621$181,180$137,897
Kevin Kiley (R)$1,787,144$316,712$1,851,410
Tyler Vandenberg (D)$14,582$5,949$8,633
Source: Federal Election Commission [37]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Inside Elections [15] Solid D (flip)November 6, 2025
The Cook Political Report [16] Solid D (flip)November 5, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball [17] Likely D (flip)November 5, 2025
Race to the WH [18] Likely D (flip)September 26, 2025

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [a]
Margin
of error
Kevin
Kiley (R)
Heidi
Hall (D)
Undecided
Tulchin Research (D) [38] [A] July 8–10, 2025400 (LV)± 4.9%47%45%8%

District 4

The incumbent is Democrat Mike Thompson, who was re-elected with 66.5% of the vote in 2024. [2]

Candidates

Declared

  • Eric Jones (Democratic), venture capitalist [39]
  • Mike Thompson (Democratic), incumbent U.S. representative [40]
  • John Tyler (Independent), school teacher [41]

Filed paperwork

Publicly expressed interest

  • Kevin Kiley (Republican), incumbent U.S. representative from the 3rd district [10]

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Sharon Brown (R)$7,000$1,530$5,470
Mandy Ghusar (R)$2,780$2,780$4,22o
Eric Jones (D)$1,545,635$221,702$1,323,933
Laurie John MacKenzie (R)$7,000$2,780$4,220
Mike Thompson (D)$1,300,339$987,485$1,522,343
John Tyler (I)$1,325$1,307$17
Source: Federal Election Commission [46]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [16] Solid DNovember 5, 2025
Inside Elections [27] Solid DMarch 7, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball [17] Safe DJuly 15, 2025
Race to the WH [18] Safe DSeptember 26, 2025

District 5

The incumbent is Republican Tom McClintock, who was re-elected with 61.8% of the vote in 2024. [2]

Candidates

Declared

  • Michael Barkley (Democratic), attorney, perennial candidate, and runner-up for this district in 2022 and 2024 [47]
  • Michael Masuda (Democratic), engineer [48]

Filed paperwork

  • Tom McClintock (Republican), incumbent U.S. representative [49]
  • Angelina Sigala (Democratic) [50]
  • Jason Patrick Weland (Republican) [51]

Publicly expressed interest

  • Kevin Kiley (Republican), incumbent U.S. representative from the 3rd district [10]

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Michael Barkley (D)$465$18$5,186
Michael Masuda (D)$47,898$34,934$12,964
Tom McClintock (R)$407,032$393,106$162,131
Source: Federal Election Commission [52]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [16] Solid RNovember 5, 2025
Inside Elections [27] Solid RMarch 7, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball [17] Safe RJuly 15, 2025
Race to the WH [18] Safe RSeptember 26, 2025

District 6

The incumbent is Democrat Ami Bera, who was re-elected with 57.6% of the vote in 2024. [2]

Candidates

Declared

Filed paperwork

  • Craig DeLuz (Republican), communications consultant and candidate for this district in 2024 [57]
  • Ray Riehle (Republican), businessman [58]
  • Kindra Pring (Democratic), behavioral management clinical supervisor [59]

Publicly expressed interest

  • Kevin Kiley (Republican), incumbent U.S. representative from the 3rd district [10]

Potential

Declined

  • Ami Bera (Democratic), incumbent U.S. representative (running in the 3rd district} [28]

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Christopher Bennett (D)$60,673$25,744$34,930
Ami Bera (D)$436,144$371,264$1,938,252
Christine Bish (R)$13,038$12,371$717
Craig DeLuz (R)$0$15$32
Ray Riehle (R)$42,706$37,331$5,915
Source: Federal Election Commission [60]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Inside Elections [27] Likely DNovember 6, 2025
The Cook Political Report [16] Solid DNovember 5, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball [17] Safe DJuly 15, 2025
Race to the WH [18] Safe DSeptember 26, 2025

District 7

The incumbent is Democrat Doris Matsui, who was re-elected with 66.8% of the vote in 2024. [2]

Candidates

Declared

  • Doris Matsui (Democratic), incumbent U.S. representative [61]
  • Robert Morin (Democratic) [55]
  • Mai Vang (Democratic), Sacramento city councilor (2020–present) [62]

Filed paperwork

  • Heath Fulkerson (Republican) [63]
  • Kathryn Ming (Republican), software engineer [64]
  • Enayat Nazhat (Democratic) [65]

Publicly expressed interest

  • Kevin Kiley (Republican), incumbent U.S. representative from the 3rd district [10]

Potential

  • Sergio Robles (Democratic), vice mayor of Elk Grove (2025–present) [66]

Withdrawn

  • Erica Lee (Democratic), former state worker (endorsed Vang) [67]

Declined

  • Bobbie Singh-Allen, mayor of Elk Grove (2020–present) (endorsed Matsui) [66]

Endorsements

Doris Matsui (D)

Local officials

Organizations

Mai Vang (D)

Local officials

Organizations

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Doris Matsui (D)$518,317$207,825$617,161
Robert Morin (D)$21,927$794$21,133
Mai Vang (D)$109,220$14,314$94,906
Source: Federal Election Commission [71]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [16] Solid DNovember 5, 2025
Inside Elections [27] Solid DMarch 7, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball [17] Safe DJuly 15, 2025
Race to the WH [18] Safe DSeptember 26, 2025

District 8

The incumbent is Democrat John Garamendi, who was re-elected with 74.0% of the vote in 2024. [2]

Candidates

Declared

  • Nicolas Carjuzaa (Democratic) [55]
  • John Garamendi (Democratic), incumbent U.S. representative [61]
  • Aaron B. Rowden (Democratic), policy analyst [55]

Filed paperwork

  • Hari Lamba (Democratic), businessman and engineer [72]
  • Rudy Recile (Republican), businessman and runner-up for this district in 2022 and 2024 [73]

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Nicolas Carjuzaa (D)$1,580$52$1,528
John Garamendi (D)$218,125$272,048$1,210,795
Hari Lamba (D)$3,925$2,752$1,173
Rudy Recile (R)$2,798$2,048$1,788
Aaron Rowden (D)$6,605$2,136$4,469
Source: Federal Election Commission [74]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [16] Solid DNovember 5, 2025
Inside Elections [27] Solid DMarch 7, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball [17] Safe DJuly 15, 2025
Race to the WH [18] Safe DSeptember 26, 2025

District 9

The incumbent is Democrat Josh Harder, who was re-elected with 51.8% of the vote in 2024. [2]

Candidates

Declared

Filed paperwork

Withdawn

Endorsements

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Josh Harder (D)$2,251,700$518,978$3,421,554
John McBride (R)$3,393$2,804$619
Jim Shoemaker (R)$21,181$18,791$2,390
Source: Federal Election Commission [81]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Inside Elections [15] Solid DNovember 6, 2025
The Cook Political Report [16] Solid DNovember 5, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball [17] Likely DNovember 5, 2025
Race to the WH [18] Likely DSeptember 26, 2025

District 10

The incumbent is Democrat Mark DeSaulnier, who was re-elected with 66.5% of the vote in 2024. [2]

Candidates

Declared

Filed paperwork

  • Joshua Hamilton (Democratic) [83]
  • Mitchell Maisler (Democratic) [84]
  • Calvin Nguyen (Democratic) [85]
  • Katherine Piccinni (Republican), property manager and runner-up for this district in 2022 and write-in candidate in 2024 [86]

Declined

Endorsements

Mark DeSaulnier (D)

State legislators

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Mark DeSaulnier (D)$298,309$237,407$689,889
Katherine Piccinni (R)$5,972$4,102$3,952
Source: Federal Election Commission [89]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [16] Solid DNovember 5, 2025
Inside Elections [27] Solid DMarch 7, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball [17] Safe DJuly 15, 2025
Race to the WH [18] Safe DSeptember 26, 2025

District 11

The incumbent is Democrat Nancy Pelosi, who was re-elected with 81.0% of the vote in 2024. She will not seek re-election. [2]

Candidates

Declared

Filed paperwork

  • Cole Bettles (Democratic), singer [92]
  • David Ganezer (Republican), newspaper publisher [93]
  • Darren Helton (Democratic) [94]
  • Gavin Solomon (Republican), businessman from New York [95]
  • Jingchao Xiong (Democratic), marketing salesman and independent candidate for SD-11 in 2024 [96]

Publicly expressed interest

Potential

Declined

Endorsements

Scott Wiener (D)
Statewide officials
Labor unions

Fundraising

Italics indicate withdrawn candidate

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Saikat Chakrabarti (D)$949,097$853,713$95,384
David Genezer (R)$7$0.28$7
Darren Helton (D)$5,247$5,247$0
Nancy Pelosi (D)$2,132,914$2,705,109$1,505,872
Source: Federal Election Commission [105]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [16] Solid DNovember 5, 2025
Inside Elections [27] Solid DMarch 7, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball [17] Safe DJuly 15, 2025
Race to the WH [18] Safe DSeptember 26, 2025

Polling

Hypothetical polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [a]
Margin
of error
Saikat
Chakrabarti (D)
David
Ganezer (R)
Nancy
Pelosi (D)
Undecided
Beacon Research [106] [B] September 12–20, 2025600 (RV)± 3.9%29%11%46%14%
34%47%19%

District 12

The incumbent is Democrat Lateefah Simon, who was elected with 65.4% of the vote in 2024. [2]

Candidates

Filed paperwork

Endorsements

Lateefah Simon (D) (not declared)

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Lateefah Simon (D)$729,595$447,396$567,854
Source: Federal Election Commission [110]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [16] Solid DNovember 5, 2025
Inside Elections [27] Solid DMarch 7, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball [17] Safe DJuly 15, 2025
Race to the WH [18] Safe DSeptember 26, 2025

District 13

The incumbent is Democrat Adam Gray, who flipped the district and was elected with 50.03% of the vote in 2024. [2]

Candidates

Declared

Filed paperwork

  • Alberto Escobedo (Independent) [112]
  • Adam Gray (Democratic), incumbent U.S. representative [113]
  • Vin Kruttiventi (Republican), runner-up for the 14th district in 2024 [114]
  • Angelina Sigala (Democratic) [115]

Declined

Endorsements

Kevin Lincoln (R)

U.S. representatives

Javier Lopez (R)

U.S. representatives

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Adam Gray (D)$1,730,600$$915,025$1,007,532
Vin Kruttiventi (R)$486,973$328,252$164,520
Kevin Lincoln (R)$278,809$97,210$205,723
Javier Lopez (R)$142,117$122,297$19,820
Source: Federal Election Commission [119]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Inside Elections [27] Tilt DNovember 6, 2025
The Cook Political Report [16] TossupNovember 5, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball [17] Lean DNovember 5, 2025
Race to the WH [18] Lean DSeptember 26, 2025

District 14

The incumbent is Democrat Eric Swalwell, who was re-elected with 67.8% of the vote in 2024. [2]

Candidates

Filed paperwork

  • Abrar Qadir (Democratic), attorney [120]

Potential

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Eric Swalwell (D)$1,469,960$1,249,658$520,304
Source: Federal Election Commission [121]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [16] Solid DNovember 5, 2025
Inside Elections [27] Solid DMarch 7, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball [17] Safe DJuly 15, 2025
Race to the WH [18] Safe DSeptember 26, 2025

District 15

The incumbent is Democrat Kevin Mullin, who was re-elected with 73.1% of the vote in 2024. [2]

Candidates

Filed paperwork

  • Anna Kramer (Republican) [122]
  • Mantosh Kumar (Democratic) [123]
  • Kevin Mullin (Democratic), incumbent U.S. representative [124]
  • Brian Tetrud (Democratic), investment executive [125]

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Anna Kramer (R)$5,350$7,038$0
Kevin Mullin (D)$439,532$291,139$200,164
Source: Federal Election Commission [126]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [16] Solid DNovember 5, 2025
Inside Elections [27] Solid DMarch 7, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball [17] Safe DJuly 15, 2025
Race to the WH [18] Safe DSeptember 26, 2025

District 16

The incumbent is Democrat Sam Liccardo, who was elected with 58.2% of the vote in 2024. [2]

Candidates

Filed paperwork

  • Peter Dixon (Democratic) [127]

Potential

Endorsements

Sam Liccardo (D) (not declared)

Organizations

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Peter Dixon (D)$0$1,038$0
Sam Liccardo (D)$2,661,091$870,886$1,880,597
Source: Federal Election Commission [128]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [16] Solid DNovember 5, 2025
Inside Elections [27] Solid DMarch 7, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball [17] Safe DJuly 15, 2025
Race to the WH [18] Safe DSeptember 26, 2025

District 17

The incumbent is Democrat Ro Khanna, who was re-elected with 67.7% of the vote in 2024. [2]

Candidates

Filed paperwork

  • Nicholas J. Finan (Democratic), mail clerk [129]
  • Ha T Phan (Republican) [130]
  • Ritesh Tandon (Democratic), businessman [131]

Formed exploratory committee

  • Jason Park (Democratic), campaign strategist [132]

Potential

  • Ro Khanna (Democratic), incumbent U.S. representative

Endorsements

Ro Khanna (D)

Organizations

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Ro Khanna (D)$7,891,153$3,871,403$14,728,842
Ritesh Tandon (D)$100$0$100
Source: Federal Election Commission [134]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [16] Solid DNovember 5, 2025
Inside Elections [27] Solid DMarch 7, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball [17] Safe DJuly 15, 2025
Race to the WH [18] Safe DSeptember 26, 2025

District 18

The incumbent is Democrat Zoe Lofgren, who was re-elected with 64.6% of the vote in 2024. [2]

Candidates

Declared

  • Uloma Ekpete (Democratic), physician [135]
  • Zakaria Kortam (Republican), AI engineer [136] (also filed as an Independent) [137]
  • Zoe Lofgren (Democratic), incumbent U.S. representative [61]

Potential

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Zoe Lofgren (D)$979,271$469,053$749,970
Source: Federal Election Commission [139]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [16] Solid DNovember 5, 2025
Inside Elections [27] Solid DMarch 7, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball [17] Safe DJuly 15, 2025
Race to the WH [18] Safe DSeptember 26, 2025

District 19

The incumbent is Democrat Jimmy Panetta, who was re-elected with 69.3% of the vote in 2024. [2]

Candidates

Declared

  • Peter Verbica (Republican), financial planner [140]

Filed paperwork

  • Uloma Ekpete (Democratic), physician [141]
  • Hannah James (Democratic) [142]

Potential

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Jimmy Panetta (D)$1,323,329$575,038$4,462,929
Peter Verbica (R)$36,715$18,772$17,943
Source: Federal Election Commission [143]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [16] Solid DNovember 5, 2025
Inside Elections [27] Solid DMarch 7, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball [17] Safe DJuly 15, 2025
Race to the WH [18] Safe DSeptember 26, 2025

District 20

The incumbent is Republican Vince Fong, who was re-elected with 65.1% of the vote in 2024. [2]

Candidates

Filed paperwork

  • Vince Fong (Republican), incumbent U.S. representative [144]
  • Patrick Robb (Democratic) [145]
  • Kristina Roper (Democratic), archaeologist [146]
  • Sandra Van Scotter (Democratic), disability community advocate [147]

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Vince Fong (R)$963,578$668,695$334,114
Source: Federal Election Commission [148]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [16] Solid RNovember 5, 2025
Inside Elections [27] Solid RMarch 7, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball [17] Safe RJuly 15, 2025
Race to the WH [18] Safe RSeptember 26, 2025

District 21

The incumbent is Democrat Jim Costa, who was re-elected with 52.6% of the vote in 2024. [2]

Candidates

Declared

  • Jim Costa (Democratic), incumbent U.S. representative [149]
  • Lorenzo Rios (Republican), CEO of the Clovis Veterans Memorial District [149]

Filed paperwork

  • Lourin Hubbard (Democratic), labor organizer [150]

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Jim Costa (D)$582,131$245,108$545,905
Lorenzo Rios (R)$158,749$10,359$148,389
Source: Federal Election Commission [151]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [16] Likely DNovember 5, 2025
Inside Elections [27] Lean DMarch 7, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball [17] Likely DNovember 5, 2025
Race to the WH [18] Likely DSeptember 26, 2025

District 22

The incumbent is Republican David Valadao, who was re-elected with 53.4% of the vote in 2024. [2]

Candidates

Declared

Filed paperwork

Endorsements

Jasmeet Bains (D)

U.S. representatives

State legislators

Labor unions

Organizations
Randy Villegas (D)
U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

Party officials

Organizations

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Jasmeet Bains (D)$350,151$112,879$237,271
Eric Garcia (D)$88$0$88
Rudy Salas (D)$8,332$48,330$166,445
David Valadao (R)$2,444,607$691,887$1,798,256
Randy Villegas (D)$502,088$212,658$289,430
Source: Federal Election Commission [168]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Inside Elections [27] Tilt RNovember 6, 2025
The Cook Political Report [16] TossupNovember 5, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball [17] TossupNovember 5, 2025
Race to the WH [18] TossupSeptember 26, 2025

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [a]
Margin
of error
David
Valadao (R)
Jasmeet
Bains (D)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D) [169] [C] August 6–8, 2025547 (V)± 4.2%42%42%17%
Hypothetical polling

David Valadao vs. generic Democrat

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
David
Valadao (R)
Generic
Democrat
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D) [169] [C] August 6–8, 2025547 (V)± 4.2%37%43%16%

District 23

The incumbent is Republican Jay Obernolte, who was re-elected with 60.1% of the vote in 2024. [2]

Candidates

Declared

  • Paul Chakalian (Democratic), small business owner [170]
  • Tessa Lynn Hodge (Democratic), clinical social worker [171]
  • Karen Leigh Matthews (Independent), doctor [172]

Filed paperwork

Potential

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Paul Chakalian (D)$46,325.49$38,889.90$7,435.59
Alexis Claiborne (D)$3,367$519$4,819
Tessa Hodge (D)$20,454$18,821$1,634
Jay Obernolte (R)$634,518$313,920$1,318,438
Source: Federal Election Commission [176]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [16] Solid RNovember 5, 2025
Inside Elections [27] Solid RMarch 7, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball [17] Safe RJuly 15, 2025
Race to the WH [18] Safe RSeptember 26, 2025

District 24

The incumbent is Democrat Salud Carbajal, who was re-elected with 62.7% of the vote in 2024. [2]

Candidates

Declared

Filed paperwork

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Salud Carbajal (D)$1,002,877$440,179$3,206,567
Robert Smith (R)$52,743$30,042$22,702
Source: Federal Election Commission [179]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [16] Solid DNovember 5, 2025
Inside Elections [27] Solid DMarch 7, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball [17] Safe DJuly 15, 2025
Race to the WH [18] Safe DSeptember 26, 2025

District 25

The incumbent is Democrat Raul Ruiz, who was re-elected with 56.3% of the vote in 2024. [2]

Candidates

Declared

  • Joe Males (Republican), Hemet city councilor [180]

Filed paperwork

  • Ron Huffman (Republican), retired electrical worker [181]
  • John Kesselmark (Republican) [182]
  • Eli Owens (Independent) [183]
  • Raul Ruiz (Democratic), incumbent U.S. representative [184]
  • Ceci Truman (Republican), candidate for this district in 2022 and 2024 [185]

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Joe Males (R)$580,325$490,848$89,477
Raul Ruiz (D)$1,133,806$545,952$2,290,593
Ceci Truman (R)$138,534.53$130,872.66$10,269.76
Source: Federal Election Commission [186]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [16] Likely DMarch 13, 2025
Inside Elections [27] Likely DMarch 7, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball [17] Likely DJuly 15, 2025
Race to the WH [18] Likely DSeptember 26, 2025

District 26

The incumbent is Democrat Julia Brownley, who was re-elected with 56.1% of the vote in 2024. [2]

Candidates

Filed paperwork

  • Julia Brownley (Democratic), incumbent U.S. representative [187]
  • Sam Gallucci (Republican), pastor [188]
  • Michael Koslow (Republican), healthcare investigator and runner-up for this district in 2024 [189]
  • William Scott (Republican) [190]
  • Jonathan Wagoner (Republican), business owner [191]

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Julia Brownley (D)$475,083$279,136$1,138,305
Samuel Gallucci (R)$173,293$103,770$69,523
Michael Koslow (R)$28,544$35,713$4,142
Source: Federal Election Commission [192]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [16] Solid DNovember 5, 2025
Inside Elections [27] Solid DMarch 7, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball [17] Safe DJuly 15, 2025
Race to the WH [18] Safe DSeptember 26, 2025

District 27

The incumbent is Democrat George Whitesides, who flipped the district and was elected with 51.3% of the vote in 2024. [2]

Candidates

Declared

Filed paperwork

Endorsements

Jason Gibbs (R)

U.S. representatives

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Jason Gibbs (R)$208,270$23,553$184,718
David Neidhart (R)$518$268$250
George Whitesides (D)$2,452,561$711,472$2,067,823
Source: Federal Election Commission [198]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Inside Elections [15] Solid DNovember 6, 2025
The Cook Political Report [16] Solid DNovember 5, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball [17] Likely DNovember 5, 2025
Race to the WH [18] Safe DSeptember 26, 2025

District 28

The incumbent is Democrat Judy Chu, who was re-elected with 64.9% of the vote in 2024. [2]

Candidates

Filed paperwork

  • April Verlato (Republican), former Arcadia city councilmember (2016–2024) [199]
  • Robert Gonzalez (Democratic), retail worker [200]

Potential

  • Judy Chu (Democratic), incumbent U.S. representative

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Judy Chu (D)$510,564$438,946$3,673,624
April Verlato (R)$50$7,445$443
Source: Federal Election Commission [201]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [16] Solid DNovember 5, 2025
Inside Elections [27] Solid DMarch 7, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball [17] Safe DJuly 15, 2025
Race to the WH [18] Safe DSeptember 26, 2025

District 29

The incumbent is Democrat Luz Rivas, who was elected with 69.8% of the vote in 2024. [2]

Candidates

Filed paperwork

  • Margarita Carranza (Republican), retired office manager [202]
  • Luz Rivas (Democratic), incumbent U.S. representative [203]
  • Steven Sparrow (Republican) [204]

Endorsements

Luz Rivas (D) (not declared)

Organizations

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Margarita Carranza (R)$0$0$235
Luz Rivas (D)$309,389$222,711$350,941
Source: Federal Election Commission [205]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [16] Solid DNovember 5, 2025
Inside Elections [27] Solid DMarch 7, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball [17] Safe DJuly 15, 2025
Race to the WH [18] Safe DSeptember 26, 2025

District 30

The incumbent is Democrat Laura Friedman, who was elected with 68.4% of the vote in 2024. [2]

Candidates

Filed paperwork

  • Dennis F. Feitosa (Republican), retired college professor [206]
  • Laura Friedman (Democratic), incumbent U.S. representative [207]
  • Pini Herman (Democratic), businessman [208]

Declined

Endorsements

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Laura Friedman (D)$425,755$346,381$376,122
Nick Melvoin (D)$2,377$23,231$191,812
Source: Federal Election Commission [210]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [16] Solid DNovember 5, 2025
Inside Elections [27] Solid DMarch 7, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball [17] Safe DJuly 15, 2025
Race to the WH [18] Safe DSeptember 26, 2025

District 31

The incumbent is Democrat Gil Cisneros, who was elected with 59.7% of the vote in 2024. [2]

Candidates

Filed paperwork

Endorsements

Gil Cisneros (D) (not declared)

Organizations

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Gil Cisneros (D)$260,584$205,372$95,288
Source: Federal Election Commission [214]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [16] Solid DNovember 5, 2025
Inside Elections [27] Solid DMarch 7, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball [17] Safe DJuly 15, 2025
Race to the WH [18] Safe DSeptember 26, 2025

District 32

The incumbent is Democrat Brad Sherman, who was re-elected with 66.2% of the vote in 2024. [2]

Candidates

Declared

Filed paperwork

  • Dory Benami (Democratic), businessman [220]
  • David Brown (Democratic) [221]
  • Orissa Ishii (Democratic) [222]
  • Wyatt Karem (Democratic), actor [223]
  • Erskine Levi (Republican) [224]
  • Mia Phillips (Democratic) [225]
  • Larry Thompson (Republican), attorney [226]

Withdrawn

  • Jake Rakov (Democratic), communications consultant and former deputy communications director for incumbent Brad Sherman [227]

Endorsements

Brad Sherman (D)

Statewide officials

U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Chris Ahuja (D)$30,296$10,771$22,196
Dory Benami (D)$3,654$137$3,517
Jake Levine (D)$694,183$142,431$551,752
Brad Sherman (D)$800,317$389,818$4,332,443
Larry Thompson (R)$5,603$5,264$340
Source: Federal Election Commission [229]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [16] Solid DNovember 5, 2025
Inside Elections [27] Solid DMarch 7, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball [17] Safe DJuly 15, 2025
Race to the WH [18] Safe DSeptember 26, 2025

District 33

The incumbent is Democrat Pete Aguilar, who was re-elected with 58.8% of the vote in 2024. [2]

Candidates

Filed paperwork

Endorsements

Pete Aguilar (D) (not declared)

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Pete Aguilar (D)$2,519,735$1,918,710$3,250,096
Source: Federal Election Commission [231]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [16] Solid DNovember 5, 2025
Inside Elections [27] Solid DMarch 7, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball [17] Safe DJuly 15, 2025
Race to the WH [18] Safe DSeptember 26, 2025

District 34

The incumbent is Democrat Jimmy Gomez, who was re-elected with 55.6% of the vote in 2024. [2]

Candidates

Declared

Filed paperwork

  • Arthur Dixon (Democratic), community organizer [236]
  • David Ferrell (Democratic), paralegal [237]

Declined

  • David Kim, former MacArthur Park neighborhood council board member (2020–2023) and runner-up for this seat in 2020, 2022, and 2024 (endorsed Gonzales-Torres) [233]

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Loren Colin (I)$5,139$751$4,388
Jimmy Gomez (D)$610,162$145,798$553,122
Angela Gonzales-Torres (D)$76,335$9,37166,964
Rob Lucero (D)$73,611$48,510$25,100
Source: Federal Election Commission [238]

Endorsements

Angela Gonzales-Torres (D)

Local officials

Individuals

Organizations

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [16] Solid DNovember 5, 2025
Inside Elections [27] Solid DMarch 7, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball [17] Safe DJuly 15, 2025
Race to the WH [18] Safe DSeptember 26, 2025

District 35

The incumbent is Democrat Norma Torres, who was re-elected with 58.4% of the vote in 2024. [2]

Candidates

Filed paperwork

  • Mike Cargile (Republican), independent filmmaker and runner-up for this district in 2020, 2022, and 2024 [239]
  • Michael Horvath (Republican) [240]
  • Norma Torres (Democratic), incumbent U.S. representative [241]

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Mike Cargile (R)$2,965$1,206$2,230
Norma Torres (D)$394,798$160,367$537,746
Source: Federal Election Commission [242]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [16] Solid DNovember 5, 2025
Inside Elections [27] Solid DMarch 7, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball [17] Safe DJuly 15, 2025
Race to the WH [18] Safe DSeptember 26, 2025

District 36

The incumbent is Democrat Ted Lieu, who was re-elected with 68.7% of the vote in 2024. [2]

Candidates

Filed paperwork

  • Leah Tommim (Republican), businesswoman [243]

Potential

  • Ted Lieu (Democratic), incumbent U.S. representative

Endorsements

Ted Lieu (D) (not declared)

Organizations

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Ted Lieu (D)$828,810$532,972$970,845
Leah Tommim (R)$17,948$18,527$39
Source: Federal Election Commission [244]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [16] Solid DNovember 5, 2025
Inside Elections [27] Solid DMarch 7, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball [17] Safe DJuly 15, 2025
Race to the WH [18] Safe DSeptember 26, 2025

District 37

The incumbent is Democrat Sydney Kamlager-Dove, who was re-elected with 78.3% of the vote in 2024. [2]

Candidates

Declared

  • Todd Lombardo (Democratic), small business owner [55]

Filed paperwork

Endorsements

Sydney Kamlager-Dove (D) (not declared)

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Sydney Kamlager-Dove (D)$367,916$282,170$147,744
Todd Lombardo (D)$51,809$16,436$35,373
Source: Federal Election Commission [247]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [16] Solid DNovember 5, 2025
Inside Elections [27] Solid DMarch 7, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball [17] Safe DJuly 15, 2025
Race to the WH [18] Safe DSeptember 26, 2025

District 38

The incumbent is Democrat Linda Sánchez, who was re-elected with 59.8% of the vote in 2024. [2]

Candidates

Declared

Declined

  • Linda Sánchez (Democratic), incumbent U.S. representative (running in the 41st district, endorsed Sánchez) [250] [157]

Endorsements

Monica Sánchez (D)
U.S. representatives
Hilda Solis (D)
U.S. representatives
Local officials

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
TJ Adams-Falconer (D)$13,555$3,944$10,424
Linda Sánchez (D)$632,734$425,578$632,943
Hilda Solis (D)$171,150$1,735$169,415
Source: Federal Election Commission [251]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [16] Solid DNovember 5, 2025
Inside Elections [27] Solid DMarch 7, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball [17] Safe DJuly 15, 2025
Race to the WH [18] Safe DSeptember 26, 2025

District 39

The incumbent is Democrat Mark Takano, who was re-elected with 56.7% of the vote in 2024. [2]

Candidates

Filed paperwork

Formed exploratory committee

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Mark Takano (D)$402,512$485,231$485,231
Source: Federal Election Commission [254]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [16] Solid DNovember 5, 2025
Inside Elections [27] Solid DMarch 7, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball [17] Safe DJuly 15, 2025
Race to the WH [18] Safe DSeptember 26, 2025

District 40

The incumbent is Republican Young Kim, who was re-elected with 55.3% of the vote in 2024. [2]

Candidates

Declared

  • Ken Calvert (Republican), incumbent U.S. representative from the 41st district [255] (previously ran in the 41st district) [256]
  • Joe Kerr (Democratic), retired Orange County fire captain and runner-up for this district in 2024 [257]
  • Young Kim (Republican), incumbent U.S. representative [258]
  • Nina Linh (Democratic), nonprofit executive [259]
  • Perry Meade (Democratic), labor organizer [260]
  • Lisa Ramirez (Democratic), attorney [261]
  • Paula Swift (Democratic), consultant [262]
  • Esther Kim Varet (Democratic), art dealer [263]

Filed paperwork

  • Christian Ahmed (Independent), equipment technician [264]
  • Maricar Payad (American Independent Party), businesswoman [265]

Potential

Withdrawn

Declined

Endorsements

Joe Kerr (D)

U.S. representatives

State legislators

Labor unions

Esther Kim Varet (D)
Young Kim (R)

Organizations

Perry Maede (D)

State legislators

Local officials

Individuals

Organizations

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Ken Calvert (R)$3,340,998$658,003$2,945,131
Christian Ahmed (I)$30$0$130
Christina Gagnier (D)$600,571$336,292$264,279
Joe Kerr (D)$159,619$148,877$10,742
Young Kim (R)$4,813,185$1,789,630$4,759,053
Nina Linh (D)$216,807$78,626$138,181
Perry Meade (D)$274,897$97,225$177,673
Lisa Ramirez (D)$156,677$49,673$107,004
Paula Swift (D)$11,901$7,242$4,659
Esther Kim Varet (D)$2,145,850$913,998$1,231,852
Source: Federal Election Commission [276]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Inside Elections [15] Solid RNovember 6, 2025
The Cook Political Report [16] Solid RNovember 5, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball [17] Safe RNovember 5, 2025
Race to the WH [18] Likely RSeptember 26, 2025

District 41

The incumbent is Republican Ken Calvert, who was re-elected with 51.7% of the vote in 2024. [2]

Candidates

Declared

  • Dave Karson (Democratic), investment banker [256]
  • Shaaf Patel (Republican), former small business owner [c] [277]
  • Ferguson Porter (Democratic), comic book store owner [256]
  • Linda Sánchez (Democratic), incumbent U.S. representative from the 38th district [278]
  • Tiffanie Tate, radio show host and retired OB-GYN [277]
  • Cody Wiebelhaus (Republican), healthcare executive [256]

Filed paperwork

  • Simon Mark Alvarez (Democratic), "luciferian" and frequent candidate [279]
  • Claude Keissieh (Democratic), electrical engineer [280]
  • Tim Myers (Democratic) [281]
  • Eric Peterson (Democratic) [282]

Withdrawn

Endorsements

Katherine Aleman (D) (withdrawn)

U.S. senators

State legislators

Local officials

Linda Sánchez (D)

U.S. representatives

Organizations

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Kathleen Aleman (D)$180,522$126,427$54,095
Jason Byors (D)$5,695$4,773$922
Abel Chavez (D)$136,959$107,824$29,135
Anuj Dixit (D)$302,116$28,516$273,600
Ferguson Porter (D)$63,492$40,955$22,538
Tiffanie Tate (D)$55,893$12,845$43,048
Source: Federal Election Commission [289]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Inside Elections [15] Solid D (flip)November 6, 2025
The Cook Political Report [16] Solid D (flip)November 5, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball [17] Safe D (flip)November 5, 2025
Race to the WH [18] Safe D (flip)September 26, 2025

District 42

The incumbent is Democrat Robert Garcia, who was re-elected with 68.1% of the vote in 2024. [2]

Candidates

Filed paperwork

Potential

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Robert Garcia (D)$931,769$514,065$830,132
Source: Federal Election Commission [292]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [16] Solid DNovember 5, 2025
Inside Elections [27] Solid DMarch 7, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball [17] Safe DJuly 15, 2025
Race to the WH [18] Safe DSeptember 26, 2025

District 43

The incumbent is Democrat Maxine Waters, who was re-elected with 75.1% of the vote in 2024. [2]

Candidates

Declared

Filed paperwork

  • Eden Cristo (Democratic), student [293]
  • Craig Geiger (Republican) [294]
  • Anish Jain (Republican), business manager [295]
  • Christopher Truman (Democratic) [296]

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Maxine Waters (D)$351,290$279,827$187,920
Source: Federal Election Commission [297]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [16] Solid DNovember 5, 2025
Inside Elections [27] Solid DMarch 7, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball [17] Safe DJuly 15, 2025
Race to the WH [18] Safe DSeptember 26, 2025

District 44

The incumbent is Democrat Nanette Barragán, who was re-elected with 71.4% of the vote in 2024. [2]

Candidates

Potential

Endorsements

Nanette Barragán (D) (not declared)

Organizations

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Nanette Barragán (D)$350,697$524,707$1,307,545
Source: Federal Election Commission [298]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [16] Solid DNovember 5, 2025
Inside Elections [27] Solid DMarch 7, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball [17] Safe DJuly 15, 2025
Race to the WH [18] Safe DSeptember 26, 2025

District 45

The incumbent is Democrat Derek Tran, who flipped the district and was elected with 50.1% of the vote in 2024. [2]

Candidates

Declared

Filed paperwork

  • Brian Forde (Democratic) [299]
  • Charlie Nguyen (Republican), mayor of Westminster [300]
  • Mark Leonard (Republican), analyst [301]
  • Gavin Solomon (Republican), businessman from New York [302]
  • Amy West (Republican), businesswoman [303]

Formed exploratory committee

  • Tom Vo (Republican) [304]

Potential

  • Derek Tran (Democratic), incumbent U.S. representative

Declined

Endorsements

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Brian Forde (D)$0$0$220,762
Derek Tran (D)$2,362,463$732,452$1,957,334
Amy West (R)$11,052$209$10,843
Source: Federal Election Commission [306]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Inside Elections [27] Tilt DNovember 6, 2025
The Cook Political Report [16] Lean DNovember 5, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball [17] Lean DNovember 5, 2025
Race to the WH [18] Likely DSeptember 26, 2025

District 46

The incumbent is Democrat Lou Correa, who was re-elected with 63.4% of the vote in 2024. [2]

Candidates

Declared

  • Christian Mendez (Democratic) [55]

Filed paperwork

  • David Pan (Republican), college professor [307]
  • Christian Mendez (Democratic) [308]

Potential

  • Lou Correa (Democratic), incumbent U.S. representative

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Lou Correa (D)$699,533$263,170$2,303,726
David Pan (R)$31,483$17,247$17,116
Source: Federal Election Commission [309]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [16] Solid DNovember 5, 2025
Inside Elections [27] Solid DMarch 7, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball [17] Safe DJuly 15, 2025
Race to the WH [18] Safe DSeptember 26, 2025

District 47

The incumbent is Democrat Dave Min, who was elected with 51.4% of the vote in 2024. [2]

Candidates

Declared

  • Dave Min (Democratic), incumbent U.S. representative [310]
  • Hunter Garcia Miranda (Democratic), attorney [310]

Filed paperwork

  • Brian Burley (Republican), IT consultant [311]
  • Julia Hashemieh (Republican), CEO [312]
  • Ryan Lam (Republican), attorney [313]
  • Michael Maxsenti (Republican), communications consultant [314]
  • Gavin Solomon (Republican), businessman from New York [315]
  • Eric J. Troutman (Independent), attorney [316]

Endorsements

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Brian Burley (R)$14,230$10,836$9,170
Michael Maxsenti (R)$72,181$49,411$21,936
Dave Min (D)$2,102,804$591,522$1,684,348
Hunter Miranda (D)$12,925$1,878$11,047
Source: Federal Election Commission [317]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Inside Elections [27] Likely DNovember 6, 2025
The Cook Political Report [16] Likely DNovember 5, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball [17] Likely DNovember 5, 2025
Race to the WH [18] Likely DSeptember 26, 2025

District 48

The incumbent is Republican Darrell Issa, who was re-elected with 59.3% of the vote in 2024. [2]

Candidates

Declared

Filed paperwork

  • Mike Bucy (American Independent Party), delivery driver [325]
  • Nick Davis (Democratic) [326]
  • Anuj Dixit (Democratic), lawyer (currently running in the 41st district) [327] [328]

Withdrawn

Declined

  • Lisa Middleton, former mayor of Palm Springs (2021–2022) from the 5th district (2017–2024) (endorsed Riker regardless if he would run in the 41st or 48th district) [331]
  • Will Rollins (Democratic), counterterrorism attorney and runner-up for the 41st district in 2022 and 2024 [332]

Endorsements

Anuj Dixit (D)

U.S. representatives

Organizations

Ammar Campa-Najjar (D)

U.S. representatives

Brandon Riker (D)

U.S. representatives

Local officials

Marni von Wilpert (D)

U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

State senators

State assemblymembers

Municipal officials

Organizations

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Ammar Campa-Najjar (D)$465,186$56,703$408,544
Anuj Dixit (D)$430,237$146,574$283,663
Darrell Issa (R)$1,170,998$327,031$2,488,583
Curtis Morrison (D)$17,118$14,454$2,664
Brandon Riker (D)$1,299,270$242,881$1,056,388
Whitney Shanahan (D)$2,930$2,897$229
Marini von Wilpert (D)$226,854$7,967$218,887
Source: Federal Election Commission [338]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Inside Elections [27] TossupNovember 6, 2025
The Cook Political Report [16] TossupNovember 5, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball [17] TossupNovember 5, 2025
Race to the WH [18] Tilt D (flip)September 26, 2025

Polling

Darrell Issa vs. Ammar Campa-Najjar
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [a]
Margin
of error
Darrell
Issa (R)
Ammar
Campa-Najjar (D)
Undecided
Blueprint Polling (D) [339] [D] October 25–26, 2025517 (LV)± 4.3%40%43%17%

District 49

The incumbent is Democrat Mike Levin, who was re-elected with 52.2% of the vote in 2024. [2]

Candidates

Declared

Filed paperwork

  • Julian Arellano (Independent), salesman [341]
  • Star Parker (Republican), columnist [342]
  • Eli Stern (Republican), retired executive [343]

Potential

  • Mike Levin (Democratic), incumbent U.S. representative

Endorsements

Mike Levin (D) (not declared)

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Julian Arellano (I)$3,012$2,246$42
Jim Desmond (R)$1,127,295$200,108$927,187
Mike Levin (D)$1,886,557$943,432$1,212,862
Star Parker (R)$146,146$26,312$119,834
Source: Federal Election Commission [344]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Inside Elections [15] Solid DNovember 6, 2025
The Cook Political Report [16] Solid DNovember 5, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball [17] Likely DJuly 15, 2025
Race to the WH [18] Safe DSeptember 26, 2025

District 50

The incumbent is Democrat Scott Peters, who was re-elected with 64.3% of the vote in 2024. [2]

Candidates

Filed paperwork

  • Timothy Balish (Democratic), physician [345]
  • Aishwarya Mitra (Democratic), chemical engineer [346]
  • Noel Perez (Democratic) [347]

Potential

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Timothy Balish (D)$992$1,026$467
Scott Peters (D)$729,057$547,407$2,332,171
Source: Federal Election Commission [348]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [16] Solid DNovember 5, 2025
Inside Elections [27] Solid DMarch 7, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball [17] Safe DJuly 15, 2025
Race to the WH [18] Safe DSeptember 26, 2025

District 51

The incumbent is Democrat Sara Jacobs, who was re-elected with 60.7% of the vote in 2024. [2]

Candidates

Filed paperwork

  • Mike Bucy (Republican), delivery driver [349]
  • Sara Jacobs (Democratic), incumbent U.S. representative [350]
  • John-Samuel Williams (American Independent Party), ESL teacher [351]

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Sara Jacobs (D)$598,636$518,088$157,920
Source: Federal Election Commission [352]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [16] Solid DNovember 5, 2025
Inside Elections [27] Solid DMarch 7, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball [17] Safe DJuly 15, 2025
Race to the WH [18] Safe DSeptember 26, 2025

District 52

The incumbent is Democrat Juan Vargas, who was re-elected with 66.3% of the vote in 2024. [2]

Candidates

Filed paperwork

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Juan Vargas (D)$303,974$176,510$218,304
Source: Federal Election Commission [354]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [16] Solid DNovember 5, 2025
Inside Elections [27] Solid DMarch 7, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball [17] Safe DJuly 15, 2025
Race to the WH [18] Safe DSeptember 26, 2025

Notes

  1. 1 2 3 4 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. This district was numbered as the 39th district prior to the 2020 redistricting cycle.
  3. The Desert Sun states that the status of his campaign was unclear as of July 2025.
  4. This district was numbered as the 50th district prior to the 2020 redistricting cycle.
  5. Morrison would be moved to California's 49th congressional district in the event that Prop 50 redistricting should pass. He would stay in the race regardless, and would vote for Mike Levin in his hypothetical district. [321] Congressional candidates are not required to live in the district they intend to represent even after they get sworn in, as long as they are a resident of the state they would represent. [322]

Partisan and media clients

  1. Poll sponsored by Hall's campaign
  2. Poll sponsored by Chakrabarti's campaign
  3. 1 2 Poll commissioned by ASPIRE PAC & the SEIU
  4. This poll was sponsored by Campa-Najjar's campaign

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