1998 California gubernatorial election

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1998 California gubernatorial election
Flag of California.svg
  1994 November 3, 1998 2002  
Turnout41.43%
  Gray Davis, portrait.jpg Dan Lungren (3x4a).jpg
Nominee Gray Davis Dan Lungren
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote4,860,7023,218,030
Percentage57.97%38.38%

1998 California gubernatorial election results map by county.svg
1998 California gubernatorial election by Congressional District.svg
Davis:      40-50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
Lungren:      40–50%     50–60%

Governor before election

Pete Wilson
Republican

Elected Governor

Gray Davis
Democratic

The 1998 California gubernatorial election was an election that occurred on November 3, 1998, resulting in the election of Lieutenant Governor Gray Davis as the state's first Democratic governor in 16 years. Davis won the general election by an almost 20% margin over his closest opponent, Republican Attorney General Dan Lungren. Davis succeeded Pete Wilson who was term limited.

Contents

The 1998 California gubernatorial election featured the state's only gubernatorial blanket primary, a practice which was later struck down in United States Supreme Court in California Democratic Party v. Jones in 2000. The primary occurred on June 2, 1998. Davis defeated fellow Democrats Jane Harman and Al Checchi for the Democratic nomination. Davis received more votes than Dan Lungren who ran against less well-known opponents in the Republican primary. The primary set a record for spending in a California gubernatorial primary.

Primary election

The Democratic field for the race became open when the state's most well-known and popular politician, Senator Dianne Feinstein, decided in January 1998 not to run for governor despite a request from President Bill Clinton. She decided not to run in the race because of the difficulty of campaigning, the "deteriorated" nature of California statewide campaigns, and her desire to continue her work in the Senate. [1] Former White House Chief of Staff Leon Panetta also decided not to run. [2]

Al Checchi, a Democratic airline executive and political newcomer, was among the first to declare for the race. Gray Davis also declared around the same time. Congresswoman Jane Harman joined the contest in early April 1998. In early polling the three candidates were within 12 points of each other, with Davis in last. [3] Harman spent $14.4 million in her race for governor. [4] Checchi spent just under $39 million on his campaign. [4] The airline executive's campaign included numerous ads, one of which included school children trying to pronounce his name and another with his wife speaking Spanish. [2] Checchi did not identify himself as a Democrat in most of his early campaign ads. [5] Harman briefly overtook Checchi in state polls but declined after Checchi launched a series of negative campaign ads against her. [6] Many of Feinstein's top campaign advisers worked for Harman during the Gubernatorial primary. Harman's campaign ran a biographical ad of her at the 1960 Democratic National Convention. [2]

Davis ran on the campaign slogan "experience money can't buy", and he promised to make education his top priority, which matched voters' concerns in exit polls. All three major Democratic candidates made education one of their top priorities in the campaign. [6] Davis was third in polling until the final week of the campaign, and because he had trouble raising money during the early months of the campaign, he did not run campaign ads early in the race as did Harman and Checchi. [2] Davis spent 9 million in total campaign funds in the primary [4] and later criticized Checchi for giving money to Republicans Steve Forbes and Bob Dole in 1996. [2]

Lungren spent $7.7 million in the primary. [4] Davis finished first in the primary, followed by Lungren, Checchi, and Harman.

Candidates

Democrat

Republican

  • Dan Lungren, incumbent attorney general
  • Dennis Peron, businessman, veteran, and activist
  • James D. Crawford
  • Eduardo M. Rivera
  • Jeff Williams

Green

Libertarian

Peace and Freedom

American Independent

  • Nathan E. Johnson

Natural Law

Results

Open primary results [7]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Gray Davis 2,083,396 34.74%
Democratic Al Checchi 748,82812.49%
Democratic Jane Harman 741,25112.36%
Democratic Charles "Chuck" Pineda Jr.23,3670.39%
Democratic Pia Jensen12,4030.21%
Democratic Michael Palitz12,0500.20%
Republican Dan Lungren 2,023,618 33.75%
Republican Dennis Peron 72,6131.21%
Republican James D. Crawford28,8810.48%
Republican Eduardo M. Rivera22,2220.37%
Republican Jeff Williams [8] 19,7990.33%
Green Dan Hamburg 92,298 1.54%
Libertarian Steve W. Kubby 47,025 0.78%
Peace and Freedom Gloria Estela La Riva 21,505 0.36%
Peace and Freedom Marsha Feinland 15,5720.26%
American Independent Nathan E. Johnson 19,540 0.33%
Natural Law Harold H. Bloomfield 12,422 0.21%
Invalid or blank votes209,8283.38%
Total votes5,996,790 [lower-alpha 1] 100.00%

General election

Results

1998 California gubernatorial election [9]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Democratic Gray Davis 4,860,702 57.97% +17.35%
Republican Dan Lungren 3,218,03038.38%−16.80%
Green Dan Hamburg 104,1791.24%
Libertarian Steve Kubby 73,8450.88%−0.84%
Peace and Freedom Gloria Estela La Riva 59,2180.71%−0.22%
American Independent Nathan E. Johnson37,9640.45%−1.09%
Natural Law Harold H. Bloomfield31,2370.37%
Independent Gale Shangold (write-in)160.00%
Independent Phillip Ashamallah (write-in)30.00%
Independent Holden Charles Hollom (write-in)10.00%
Independent Lark D. Jursek (write-in)10.00%
Invalid or blank votes235,9252.73%
Majority1,642,67219.59%
Total votes8,385,196 [lower-alpha 1] 100.00%
Democratic gain from Republican Swing +34.15%

Results by county

CountyGray Davis
Democratic
Dan Lungren
Republican
Dan Hamburg
Green
Steve Kubby
Libertarian
Gloria
La Riva
PFP
Nathan E. Johnson
AIP
Harold H. Bloomfield
NLP
MarginTotal votes cast [9]
# %# %# %# %# %# %# %# %
Alameda 282,29773.47%86,74522.58%6,9191.80%3,0410.79%2,7270.71%1,1300.29%1,3780.36%195,55250.89%384,237
Alpine 28550.35%24743.64%142.47%30.53%81.41%30.53%61.06%386.71%566
Amador 6,61449.20%6,47848.19%860.64%1120.83%640.48%570.42%320.24%1361.01%13,443
Butte 30,18446.00%32,71749.86%1,1761.79%5450.83%3620.55%4000.61%2330.36%-2,533-3.86%65,617
Calaveras 7,35845.46%8,15050.35%1490.92%2981.84%710.44%1010.62%590.36%-792-4.89%16,186
Colusa 2,13643.60%2,62153.50%360.73%390.80%330.67%270.55%70.14%-485-9.90%4,899
Contra Costa 190,20062.82%103,68634.25%3,2391.07%2,2410.74%1,3990.46%9670.32%1,0200.34%86,51428.58%302,753 [lower-alpha 2]
Del Norte 3,82051.34%3,08741.49%2423.25%871.17%540.73%1031.38%470.63%7339.85%7,440
El Dorado 25,42943.84%30,53452.64%7271.25%5750.99%2600.45%2830.49%1920.33%-5,105-8.80%58,000
Fresno 82,29347.68%85,36949.46%9620.56%1,2570.73%1,4210.82%9180.53%3880.22%-3,076-1.78%172,608
Glenn 3,15041.74%4,14054.86%570.76%540.72%460.61%771.02%220.29%-990-13.12%7,546
Humboldt 23,88051.22%17,65837.88%3,9128.39%4891.05%2770.59%2040.44%1990.43%6,22213.35%46,619
Imperial 13,26256.15%8,59236.38%2020.86%1610.68%1,0334.37%2250.95%1440.61%4,67019.77%23,619
Inyo 3,08245.36%3,37749.70%1061.56%691.02%600.88%701.03%310.46%-295-4.34%6,795
Kern 59,13241.80%78,21355.29%8400.59%8720.62%8940.63%1,0400.74%4570.32%-19,081-13.49%141,448
Kings 11,37049.98%10,70447.06%1170.51%1160.51%2050.90%1840.81%510.22%6662.93%22,747
Lake 11,07458.83%6,73435.77%5092.70%2081.10%1010.54%1180.63%810.43%4,34023.05%18,825
Lassen 3,79245.85%4,06549.15%831.00%770.93%770.93%1301.57%460.56%-273-3.30%8,270
Los Angeles 1,297,89665.69%615,64231.16%18,7360.95%15,9780.81%14,2650.72%7,0040.35%6,1400.31%682,25434.53%1,975,672 [lower-alpha 3]
Madera 10,86941.10%14,86456.20%1500.57%1960.74%1330.50%1620.61%730.28%-3,995-15.11%26,447
Marin 70,10868.94%27,39226.94%2,1712.13%9380.92%4810.47%2590.25%3440.34%42,71642.00%101,693
Mariposa 3,00541.86%3,85553.70%881.23%1031.43%380.53%700.98%200.28%-850-11.84%7,179
Mendocino 16,45057.37%8,65930.20%2,5318.83%4561.59%2290.80%1930.67%1540.54%7,79127.17%28,672
Merced 21,20053.39%17,53544.16%2420.61%1870.47%2550.64%1940.49%950.24%3,6659.23%39,708
Modoc 1,42840.74%1,85652.95%451.28%411.17%391.11%712.03%250.71%-428-12.21%3,505
Mono 1,64147.35%1,64047.32%601.73%551.59%210.61%240.69%250.72%10.03%3,466
Monterey 54,46459.76%33,05336.27%1,1091.22%7.930.87%7150.78%5050.55%4970.55%21,41123.49%91,136
Napa 25,80959.86%15,19335.24%1,0212.37%4190.97%2630.61%2080.48%2010.47%10,61624.62%43,114
Nevada 17,52244.98%19,72050.62%8752.25%3991.02%1680.43%1460.37%1290.33%-2,198-5.64%38,959
Orange 318,19844.69%370,73652.07%6,6220.93%6,5120.91%4,2350.59%2,9500.41%2,8070.39%-52,538-7.38%712,060
Placer 38,73443.55%47,74553.68%7470.84%7100.80%3430.39%3700.42%2920.33%-9,011-10.13%88,941
Plumas 3,76443.99%4,47252.26%1081.26%951.11%410.48%490.57%280.33%-708-8.27%8,557
Riverside 173,56751.15%155,17545.73%2,4630.73%2,2750.67%2,7280.80%1,9360.57%1,2050.36%18,3925.42%339,349
Sacramento 206,87057.37%142,97039.65%3,3440.93%2,5250.70%2,2900.64%1,5440.43%1,0180.28%63,90017.72%360,561
San Benito 7,53157.42%4,96737.87%1270.97%1841.40%1411.08%830.63%830.63%2,56419.55%13,116
San Bernardino 174,62952.60%144,05643.39%2,9820.90%3,1770.96%3,2290.97%2,4410.74%1,5070.45%30,5739.21%332,021
San Diego 364,16949.45%340,83446.28%7,7421.05%8,4391.15%6,4510.88%4,3690.59%4,4200.60%23,3353.17%736,426 [lower-alpha 4]
San Francisco 192,49680.03%36,46415.16%5,9802.49%2,1430.89%2,1540.90%6660.28%6200.26%156,03264.87%240,527 [lower-alpha 5]
San Joaquin 64,37752.03%56,44745.62%7150.58%6530.53%7050.57%5230.42%3150.25%7,9306.41%123,735
San Luis Obispo 42,54349.04%40,36346.53%1,6191.87%8290.96%5390.62%5020.58%3470.40%2,1802.51%86,743 [lower-alpha 6]
San Mateo 142,14468.43%59,24928.52%2,3821.15%1,7800.86%9470.46%6040.29%6070.29%82,89539.91%207,713
Santa Barbara 65,93753.33%52,87342.76%1,8951.53%9550.77%8780.71%4950.40%6040.49%13,06410.57%123,637
Santa Clara 270,10564.28%133,01531.66%4,9921.19%5,3951.28%3,0830.73%1,7200.41%1,8650.44%137,09032.63%420,176 [lower-alpha 2]
Santa Cruz 56,07865.62%23,69927.73%3,0073.52%1,1791.38%6870.80%3550.42%4520.53%32,37937.89%85,457
Shasta 23,07643.28%28,13052.76%4790.90%5521.04%3510.66%5311.00%1960.37%-5,054-9.48%53,315
Sierra 73441.70%92452.50%291.65%452.56%110.63%120.68%50.28%-190-10.80%1,760
Siskiyou 7,49345.54%8,10049.23%2561.56%2301.40%1220.74%1741.06%790.48%-607-3.69%16,454
Solano 63,79162.81%34,28833.76%1,0030.99%9660.95%6580.65%4580.45%3950.39%29,50329.05%101,559
Sonoma 103,23564.29%46,61629.03%6,6314.13%1,6571.03%9440.59%7630.48%7280.45%56,61935.26%160,575 [lower-alpha 2]
Stanislaus 50,79350.69%47,09547.00%5490.55%5430.54%4570.46%5350.53%2380.24%3,6983.69%100,210
Sutter 9,29642.07%12,31355.73%1310.59%1390.63%730.33%1010.46%420.19%-3,017-13.65%22,095
Tehama 8,56146.02%9,34350.23%1520.82%1700.91%1410.76%1790.96%560.30%-782-4.20%18,602
Trinity 2,44749.01%2,16843.42%1322.64%901.80%571.14%681.36%310.62%2795.59%4,993
Tulare 32,18644.11%39,07253.54%3530.48%4930.68%3630.50%3730.51%1330.18%-6,886-9.44%72,973
Tuolumne 9,73148.38%9,77148.58%2011.00%1610.80%700.35%1170.58%610.30%-40-0.20%20,112
Ventura 110,22652.95%91,09343.73%2,0490.98%1,6160.78%1,4490.70%9110.44%8260.40%19,1339.19%208,170
Yolo 31,93963.06%16,78333.14%9581.89%4170.82%2640.52%1620.32%1250.25%15,15629.92%50,648
Yuba 6,30246.54%6,74349.79%1270.94%1060.78%1080.80%1000.74%560.41%-441-3.26%13,542
Total4,860,70257.97%3,218,03038.38%104,1791.24%73,8450.88%59,2180.71%37,9640.45%31,2370.37%1,642,67219.59%8,385,196

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Analysis

Gray Davis won the general election by almost 20% over Dan Lungren. Davis outspent Lungren 28.6 million to 23.8 million. [4] Davis tried to portray Lungren as too conservative. In one debate, Davis attacked Lungren for voting no on a Safe Drinking Water Bill in the 1980s while Lungren tried to cast himself as the political heir of former California Governor Ronald Reagan. The policy differences between Davis and Lungren were substantial. Davis was pro-abortion in a staunchly pro-abortion state, and Lungren was anti-abortion. Lungren favored giving children abstinence only education. Both candidates were Roman Catholic. Al Gore, Bill Clinton, Hillary Clinton, and Bob Kerrey made campaign stops in California on Davis's behalf. [10] [11]

Davis succeeded in casting Lungren as too far right for California. Even normally conservative San Diego County went for Davis, and – foreshadowing their Democratic trends in the 21st century — remote high mountain Mono County backed a Democratic Governor for the first time ever, and adjacent Alpine County for the first time since 1978. Upon his victory, Davis promised he would focus his attention on education and would convene a special session of the legislature. [12] The race determined who would control reapportionment of congressional districts after the 2000 census. [6]

Gray Davis won 30 of California's 58 counties; no Democrat would win a majority of the counties again until Gavin Newsom in 2018. [lower-alpha 7] Gray Davis carried Mono County by a single vote, becoming the first Democratic candidate to ever carry that county in a gubernatorial election. [lower-alpha 8] This is the most recent gubernatorial election in which a Democrat carried Amador County, Kings County, Riverside County, and Trinity County. San Bernardino County would not back a Democrat again until 2018.

Notes

  1. 1 2 Total votes cast for candidates; does not include blank votes. The percentages in the Statement of Vote are based on this total, while the percentage for blank votes is calculated using the combined total of valid votes and blank votes.
  2. 1 2 3 Includes 1 for Shangold
  3. Includes 9 for Shangold, 2 for Ashamallah
  4. Includes 1 for Shangold, 1 for Ashamallah
  5. Includes 3 for Shangold, 1 for Hollom
  6. Includes 1 for Jursek
  7. Jerry Brown won 29 counties, exactly half, in 2014
  8. John McConnell, the Southern Democratic nominee in 1861 did win Mono County; 1861 was the first election that Mono County participated in. Independent John Bidwell also won Mono County in 1875. Until 1998, these were the only two elections in which the Republican candidate failed to carry Mono County.

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