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Lara: 50–60% 60–70% Poizner: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% | ||||||||||||||||
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Elections in California |
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The 2018 California Insurance Commissioner election was held on November 6, 2018, to elect the Insurance Commissioner of California. Under California's nonpartisan blanket primary law, all candidates appear on the same ballot, regardless of party. In the primary, voters may vote for any candidate, regardless of their party affiliation. The top two finishers — regardless of party — advance to the general election in November, even if a candidate manages to receive a majority of the votes cast in the primary election.
Incumbent Democratic commissioner Dave Jones was term-limited and could not seek a third term.
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Ricardo Lara (D) | Asif Mahmood (D) | Steve Poizner (NPP) | Nathalie Hrizi (PFP) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing | May 4–5, 2018 | 525 | 18% | 7% | 26% | 6% | 43% |
Probolsky Research | April 16–18, 2018 | 900 | 14% | 6% | 21% | 6% | 53% |
Sexton Strategies and Research (D-Mahmood) | March 24–27, 2018 | 800 | 18% | 18% | 49% | – | 15% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
No party preference | Steve Poizner | 2,569,254 | 41.0% | |
Democratic | Ricardo Lara | 2,538,478 | 40.5% | |
Democratic | Asif Mahmood | 846,023 | 13.5% | |
Peace and Freedom | Nathalie Hrizi | 316,149 | 5.0% | |
Total votes | 6,269,904 | 100% |
Primary results by county. [34] Gray represents counties won by Poizner. Blue represents counties won by Lara.
County | Hrizi (PFP) | Lara (D) | Mahmood (D) | Poizner (NPP) | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | |
Alameda | 17,147 | 5.8% | 133,124 | 45.0% | 58,868 | 19.9% | 86,517 | 29.3% |
Alpine | 14 | 3.9% | 148 | 41.5% | 52 | 14.6% | 143 | 40.1% |
Amador | 612 | 5.3% | 2,580 | 22.3% | 1,403 | 12.1% | 6,961 | 60.2% |
Butte | 3,355 | 6.9% | 14,716 | 30.3% | 6,888 | 14.2% | 23,637 | 48.6% |
Calaveras | 763 | 5.5% | 3,100 | 22.3% | 1,665 | 12.0% | 8,373 | 60.2% |
Colusa | 177 | 5.8% | 797 | 26.0% | 341 | 11.1% | 1,751 | 57.1% |
Contra Costa | 11,081 | 5.2% | 77,385 | 36.2% | 32,203 | 15.1% | 92,885 | 43.5% |
Del Norte | 367 | 7.8% | 1,527 | 32.6% | 509 | 10.9% | 2,275 | 48.6% |
El Dorado | 2,385 | 4.8% | 12,415 | 24.9% | 6,077 | 12.2% | 28,890 | 58.1% |
Fresno | 6,786 | 5.7% | 41,331 | 35.0% | 13,866 | 11.7% | 56,205 | 47.6% |
Glenn | 300 | 6.9% | 891 | 20.5% | 411 | 9.5% | 2,741 | 63.1% |
Humboldt | 2,052 | 7.6% | 11,995 | 44.2% | 4,734 | 17.4% | 8,383 | 30.9% |
Imperial | 808 | 4.6% | 9,841 | 55.6% | 1,547 | 8.7% | 5,488 | 31.0% |
Inyo | 346 | 7.1% | 1,541 | 31.6% | 559 | 11.5% | 2,431 | 49.8% |
Kern | 5,398 | 5.1% | 30,758 | 28.8% | 8,401 | 7.9% | 62,207 | 58.3% |
Kings | 636 | 4.3% | 4,332 | 29.2% | 1,286 | 8.7% | 8,570 | 57.8% |
Lake | 758 | 6.2% | 3,749 | 30.4% | 2,148 | 17.4% | 5,658 | 46.0% |
Lassen | 497 | 9.4% | 1,186 | 22.5% | 415 | 7.9% | 3,164 | 60.1% |
Los Angeles | 61,597 | 4.7% | 697,795 | 53.6% | 167,348 | 12.8% | 375,658 | 28.8% |
Madera | 989 | 4.6% | 6,066 | 28.0% | 1,772 | 8.2% | 12,814 | 58.2% |
Marin | 2,919 | 4.0% | 31,388 | 42.6% | 12,091 | 16.4% | 27,200 | 37.0% |
Mariposa | 332 | 6.0% | 1,440 | 26.2% | 483 | 8.8% | 3,237 | 58.9% |
Mendocino | 1,460 | 7.8% | 7,776 | 41.5% | 3,992 | 21.3% | 5,488 | 29.3% |
Merced | 1,547 | 5.4% | 11,275 | 39.3% | 2,411 | 8.4% | 13,484 | 47.0% |
Modoc | 231 | 10.1% | 474 | 20.6% | 221 | 9.6 | 1,372 | 59.7% |
Mono | 165 | 5.6% | 1,109 | 38.0% | 372 | 12.7% | 1,276 | 43.7% |
Monterey | 2,479 | 4.5% | 30,645 | 50.9% | 5,535 | 9.2% | 21,511 | 35.8% |
Napa | 1,439 | 4.5% | 10,671 | 33.2% | 6,464 | 20.1% | 13,554 | 42.25% |
Nevada | 1,822 | 5.5% | 9,958 | 30.0% | 6,188 | 18.6% | 15,221 | 45.9% |
Orange | 23,160 | 4.2% | 188,970 | 34.1% | 61,759 | 11.1% | 280,356 | 50.6% |
Placer | 5,102 | 5.3% | 25,945 | 26.8% | 11,515 | 11.9% | 54,208 | 56.0% |
Plumas | 374 | 6.6% | 1,372 | 24.4% | 925 | 16.4% | 2,957 | 52.5% |
Riverside | 13,804 | 4.5% | 108,203 | 35.1% | 32,895 | 10.7% | 153,157 | 49.7% |
Sacramento | 12,183 | 4.4% | 101,947 | 36.5% | 43,282 | 15.5% | 121,841 | 43.6% |
San Benito | 635 | 5.7% | 4,647 | 42.0% | 1,131 | 10.2% | 4,654 | 42.1% |
San Bernardino | 12,723 | 5.0% | 90,705 | 35.7% | 26,223 | 10.3% | 124,324 | 49.0% |
San Diego | 23,397 | 3.9% | 236,429 | 39.2% | 77,311 | 12.8% | 266,318 | 44.1% |
San Francisco | 29,487 | 14.1% | 85,107 | 40.8% | 33,001 | 15.8% | 61,044 | 29.3% |
San Joaquin | 5,427 | 5.5% | 34,626 | 35.3% | 13,673 | 13.9% | 44,395 | 45.2% |
San Luis Obispo | 3,998 | 5.2% | 25,898 | 34.0% | 9,912 | 13.0% | 36,411 | 47.8% |
San Mateo | 6,436 | 4.2% | 63,588 | 42.0% | 25,588 | 16.9% | 55,930 | 36.9% |
Santa Barbara | 3,374 | 4.2% | 33,840 | 42.1% | 9,821 | 12.2% | 33,303 | 41.5% |
Santa Clara | 12,742 | 4.0% | 122,582 | 38.2% | 54,958 | 17.1% | 130,320 | 40.6% |
Santa Cruz | 3,373 | 5.2% | 31,192 | 48.3% | 10,239 | 15.9% | 19,728 | 30.6% |
Shasta | 2,626 | 6.3% | 8,153 | 19.7% | 3,593 | 8.7% | 27,077 | 65.3% |
Sierra | 108 | 8.9% | 311 | 25.6% | 167 | 13.8% | 627 | 51.7% |
Siskiyou | 705 | 6.9% | 2,802 | 27.6% | 1,121 | 11.0% | 5,523 | 54.4% |
Solano | 4,310 | 5.8% | 28,514 | 38.4% | 12,225 | 16.4% | 29,277 | 39.4% |
Sonoma | 5,550 | 4.7% | 52,719 | 45.0% | 22,399 | 19.1% | 36,463 | 31.1% |
Stanislaus | 3,755 | 4.7% | 26,116 | 32.8% | 10,487 | 13.2% | 39,346 | 49.4% |
Sutter | 1,187 | 6.4% | 4,277 | 23.2% | 2,694 | 14.6% | 10,258 | 55.7% |
Tehama | 1,024 | 8.0% | 2,645 | 20.7% | 1,087 | 8.5% | 8,042 | 62.8% |
Trinity | 382 | 11.1% | 1,031 | 30.0% | 490 | 14.2% | 1,536 | 44.7% |
Tulare | 2,568 | 5.1% | 16,495 | 32.4% | 3,615 | 7.1% | 28,167 | 55.4% |
Tuolumne | 811 | 5.8% | 3,464 | 24.8% | 1,865 | 13.3% | 7,843 | 56.1% |
Ventura | 5,875 | 4.0% | 57,286 | 38.7% | 16,715 | 11.3% | 68,059 | 46.0% |
Yolo | 1,777 | 4.3% | 17,219 | 41.5% | 7,799 | 18.8% | 14,688 | 35.4% |
Yuba | 786 | 7.3% | 2,382 | 22.2% | 1,283 | 12.0% | 6,274 | 58.5% |
Totals | 316,149 | 5.0% | 2,538,478 | 40.5% | 846,023 | 13.5% | 2,569,254 | 41.0% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Ricardo Lara (D) | Steve Poizner (NPP) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Thomas Partners Strategies | October 25–27, 2018 | 1,068 | ± 3.5% | 44% | 45% | 11% |
UC Berkeley | October 19–26, 2018 | 1,339 | ± 4.0% | 44% | 49% | 7% |
Thomas Partners Strategies | October 12–14, 2018 | 1,068 | ± 3.5% | 39% | 47% | 15% |
Thomas Partners Strategies | September 28–30, 2018 | 1,068 | ± 3.5% | 37% | 45% | 15% |
Thomas Partners Strategies | September 21–23, 2018 | 1,068 | ± 3.5% | 40% | 45% | 15% |
Thomas Partners Strategies | September 14–16, 2018 | 1,040 | ± 3.5% | 27% | 34% | 40% |
Thomas Partners Strategies | September 7–9, 2018 | 1,227 | ± 3.3% | 27% | 34% | 39% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Ricardo Lara | 6,186,039 | 52.87% | -4.65% | |
No party preference | Steve Poizner | 5,515,293 | 47.13% | N/A | |
Total votes | 11,701,332 | 100% | N/A | ||
Democratic hold |
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