2018 California Insurance Commissioner election

Last updated

2018 California Insurance Commissioner election
Flag of California.svg
  2014 November 6, 2018 2022  
  Senator Ricardo Lara 2016 (cropped).jpg Steve Poizner.jpg
Candidate Ricardo Lara Steve Poizner
Party Democratic No party preference
Popular vote6,186,0395,515,293
Percentage52.9%47.1%

2018 California Insurance Commissioner election results map by county.svg
Lara:     50–60%     60–70%
Poizner:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%

Commissioner before election

Dave Jones
Democratic

Elected Commissioner

Ricardo Lara
Democratic

The 2018 California Insurance Commissioner election was held on November 6, 2018, to elect the Insurance Commissioner of California. Under California's nonpartisan blanket primary law, all candidates appear on the same ballot, regardless of party. In the primary, voters may vote for any candidate, regardless of their party affiliation. The top two finishers — regardless of party — advance to the general election in November, even if a candidate manages to receive a majority of the votes cast in the primary election.

Contents

Incumbent Democratic commissioner Dave Jones was term-limited and could not seek a third term.

Primary election

Democratic Party

Declared

Declined

No party preference

Declared

Peace and Freedom Party

Declared

  • Nathalie Hrizi, teacher and 2014 candidate for Insurance Commissioner [7]

Endorsements

Ricardo Lara (D)

Federal-level officials

State-level Officials

Local-level officials

Organizations

Steve Poizner (NPP)

Newspapers

International-level officials

Federal-level officials

State-level officials

Local-level officials

Individuals

Organizations

Asif Mahmood (D)

Federal-level officials

State-level officials

Local-level officials

Individuals

Nathalie Hrizi (PFP)

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Ricardo
Lara (D)
Asif
Mahmood (D)
Steve
Poizner (NPP)
Nathalie
Hrizi (PFP)
Undecided
Gravis Marketing [34] May 4–5, 201852518%7%26%6%43%
Probolsky Research [35] April 16–18, 201890014%6%21%6%53%
Sexton Strategies and Research (D-Mahmood) [36] March 24–27, 201880018%18%49%15%

Results

Nonpartisan blanket primary results [37]
PartyCandidateVotes%
No party preference Steve Poizner 2,569,254 41.0%
Democratic Ricardo Lara 2,538,478 40.5%
Democratic Asif Mahmood846,02313.5%
Peace and Freedom Nathalie Hrizi316,1495.0%
Total votes6,269,904 100%

Results by county

Results by county:
.mw-parser-output .legend{page-break-inside:avoid;break-inside:avoid-column}.mw-parser-output .legend-color{display:inline-block;min-width:1.25em;height:1.25em;line-height:1.25;margin:1px 0;text-align:center;border:1px solid black;background-color:transparent;color:black}.mw-parser-output .legend-text{}
Poizner--60-70%
Poizner--50-60%
Poizner--40-50%
Poizner--30-40%
Lara--40-50%
Lara--50-60% CA Insurance Commissioner primary 2018.svg
Results by county:
  Poizner—60–70%
  Poizner—50–60%
  Poizner—40–50%
  Poizner—30–40%
  Lara—40–50%
  Lara—50–60%

Primary results by county. [37] Gray represents counties won by Poizner. Blue represents counties won by Lara.

CountyHrizi (PFP)Lara (D)Mahmood (D)Poizner (NPP)
Votes %Votes %Votes %Votes %
Alameda 17,1475.8%133,12445.0%58,86819.9%86,51729.3%
Alpine 143.9%14841.5%5214.6%14340.1%
Amador 6125.3%2,58022.3%1,40312.1%6,96160.2%
Butte 3,3556.9%14,71630.3%6,88814.2%23,63748.6%
Calaveras 7635.5%3,10022.3%1,66512.0%8,37360.2%
Colusa 1775.8%79726.0%34111.1%1,75157.1%
Contra Costa 11,0815.2%77,38536.2%32,20315.1%92,88543.5%
Del Norte 3677.8%1,52732.6%50910.9%2,27548.6%
El Dorado 2,3854.8%12,41524.9%6,07712.2%28,89058.1%
Fresno 6,7865.7%41,33135.0%13,86611.7%56,20547.6%
Glenn 3006.9%89120.5%4119.5%2,74163.1%
Humboldt 2,0527.6%11,99544.2%4,73417.4%8,38330.9%
Imperial 8084.6%9,84155.6%1,5478.7%5,48831.0%
Inyo 3467.1%1,54131.6%55911.5%2,43149.8%
Kern 5,3985.1%30,75828.8%8,4017.9%62,20758.3%
Kings 6364.3%4,33229.2%1,2868.7%8,57057.8%
Lake 7586.2%3,74930.4%2,14817.4%5,65846.0%
Lassen 4979.4%1,18622.5%4157.9%3,16460.1%
Los Angeles 61,5974.7%697,79553.6%167,34812.8%375,65828.8%
Madera 9894.6%6,06628.0%1,7728.2%12,81458.2%
Marin 2,9194.0%31,38842.6%12,09116.4%27,20037.0%
Mariposa 3326.0% 1,44026.2%4838.8%3,23758.9%
Mendocino 1,4607.8%7,77641.5%3,99221.3%5,48829.3%
Merced 1,5475.4%11,27539.3%2,4118.4%13,48447.0%
Modoc 23110.1%47420.6%2219.61,37259.7%
Mono 1655.6%1,10938.0%37212.7%1,27643.7%
Monterey 2,4794.5%30,64550.9%5,5359.2%21,51135.8%
Napa 1,4394.5%10,67133.2%6,46420.1%13,55442.25%
Nevada 1,8225.5%9,95830.0%6,18818.6%15,22145.9%
Orange 23,1604.2%188,97034.1%61,75911.1%280,35650.6%
Placer 5,1025.3%25,94526.8%11,51511.9%54,20856.0%
Plumas 3746.6%1,37224.4%92516.4%2,95752.5%
Riverside 13,8044.5%108,20335.1%32,89510.7%153,15749.7%
Sacramento 12,1834.4%101,94736.5%43,28215.5%121,84143.6%
San Benito 6355.7%4,64742.0%1,13110.2%4,65442.1%
San Bernardino 12,7235.0%90,70535.7%26,22310.3%124,32449.0%
San Diego 23,3973.9%236,42939.2%77,31112.8%266,31844.1%
San Francisco 29,48714.1%85,10740.8%33,00115.8%61,04429.3%
San Joaquin 5,4275.5%34,62635.3%13,67313.9% 44,39545.2%
San Luis Obispo 3,9985.2%25,89834.0%9,91213.0%36,41147.8%
San Mateo 6,4364.2%63,58842.0%25,58816.9%55,93036.9%
Santa Barbara 3,3744.2%33,84042.1%9,82112.2%33,30341.5%
Santa Clara 12,7424.0%122,58238.2%54,95817.1%130,32040.6%
Santa Cruz 3,3735.2%31,19248.3%10,23915.9%19,72830.6%
Shasta 2,6266.3%8,15319.7%3,5938.7%27,07765.3%
Sierra 1088.9%31125.6%16713.8%62751.7%
Siskiyou 7056.9%2,80227.6%1,12111.0%5,52354.4%
Solano 4,3105.8%28,51438.4%12,22516.4%29,27739.4%
Sonoma 5,5504.7%52,71945.0%22,39919.1%36,46331.1%
Stanislaus 3,7554.7%26,11632.8%10,48713.2%39,34649.4%
Sutter 1,1876.4%4,27723.2%2,69414.6%10,25855.7%
Tehama 1,0248.0%2,64520.7% 1,0878.5%8,04262.8%
Trinity 38211.1%1,03130.0%49014.2%1,53644.7%
Tulare 2,5685.1%16,49532.4%3,6157.1%28,16755.4%
Tuolumne 8115.8%3,46424.8%1,86513.3%7,84356.1%
Ventura 5,8754.0%57,28638.7%16,71511.3%68,05946.0%
Yolo 1,7774.3%17,21941.5%7,79918.8%14,68835.4%
Yuba 7867.3%2,38222.2%1,28312.0%6,27458.5%
Totals316,1495.0%2,538,47840.5%846,02313.5%2,569,25441.0%

General election

Endorsements

Ricardo Lara (D)

Federal-level officials

State-level Officials

Local-level officials

Organizations

Steve Poizner (NPP)

Newspapers

International-level officials

Federal-level officials

State-level officials

Local-level officials

Individuals

Organizations

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Ricardo
Lara (D)
Steve
Poizner (NPP)
Undecided
Thomas Partners Strategies [39] October 25–27, 20181,068± 3.5%44%45%11%
UC Berkeley [40] October 19–26, 20181,339± 4.0%44%49%7%
Thomas Partners Strategies [41] October 12–14, 20181,068± 3.5%39%47%15%
Thomas Partners Strategies [42] September 28–30, 20181,068± 3.5%37%45%15%
Thomas Partners Strategies [43] September 21–23, 20181,068± 3.5%40%45%15%
Thomas Partners Strategies [44] September 14–16, 20181,040± 3.5%27%34%40%
Thomas Partners Strategies [45] September 7–9, 20181,227± 3.3%27%34%39%

Results

California Insurance Commissioner election, 2018 [46]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Democratic Ricardo Lara 6,186,039 52.87% −4.65%
No party preference Steve Poizner5,515,29347.13%N/A
Total votes11,701,332 100% N/A
Democratic hold

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References

  1. McGreevy, Patrick (March 21, 2017). "California state Sen. Ricardo Lara announces he's running for state insurance commissioner in 2018". Los Angeles Times . Retrieved April 4, 2017.
  2. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 McGreevy, Patrick (March 22, 2017). "Former Assemblywoman Susan Bonilla won't run for state insurance commissioner". Los Angeles Times . Retrieved April 4, 2017.
  3. Martin, Thurman R. Jr. (January 18, 2017). "Mendoza to Senate Insurance & a Commissioner Run?". Workers' Comp Executive. Archived from the original on April 5, 2017. Retrieved April 4, 2017.
  4. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 "Whirlwind of New Endorsements Rush Towards Lara for Insurance Commissioner". Fresno County Democratic Party. March 29, 2017. Archived from the original on April 5, 2017. Retrieved April 4, 2017.
  5. "Top California Republican to run statewide as an independent". Politico .
  6. "Archived copy" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on March 29, 2018. Retrieved March 29, 2018.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
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  9. 1 2 Hernandez, Moises (April 11, 2018). "Governor Jerry Brown Endorses Ricardo Lara for Insurance Commissioner". Democratic Party of Fresno County. Archived from the original on April 14, 2018. Retrieved April 13, 2018.
  10. 1 2 3 4 5 6 "San Francisco Progressive Leaders Unite Behind Ricardo Lara". Fresno County Democratic Party. March 29, 2017. Retrieved April 4, 2017.[ permanent dead link ]
  11. 1 2 3 4 "Mayors of CA's 6th, 7th Largest Cities Endorse Ricardo Lara for Insurance Commissioner". Fresno County Democratic Party. March 23, 2017. Archived from the original on April 5, 2017. Retrieved April 4, 2017.
  12. 1 2 "Endorsement: Pragmatic and focused on consumers, Steve Poizner is the right choice for insurance commissioner". Los Angeles Times. October 3, 2018.
  13. 1 2 "Endorsement: Steve Poizner for California insurance commissioner". San Diego Union-Tribune. September 21, 2018.
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  15. 1 2 "Editorial: Chronicle recommends Poizner for Insurance Commissioner". San Francisco Chronicle. May 2, 2018.
  16. 1 2 Editorials. The Sacramento Bee (subscription required)
  17. 1 2 Editorials. The Modesto Bee (subscription required)
  18. 1 2 "Editorial: Marin IJ's recommendations for top state posts". May 24, 2018.
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  25. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 "California Secretary of State - CalAccess".
  26. @StevePoizner (October 25, 2018). "big thanks to @Schwarzenegger for his..." (Tweet) via Twitter.
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  29. 1 2 "Log In or Sign Up to View". www.facebook.com.
  30. 1 2 Tom Edmonds I endorse you ! Twitter
  31. 1 2 "Unite America — Country Over Party". www.uniteamerica.org.
  32. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 "Endorsements - Asif Mahmood for Insurance Commissioner". Archived from the original on April 21, 2018. Retrieved April 20, 2018.
  33. "Bay View Voters Guide: VOTE 100%! Make BVHP known for ballots, not bullets". May 31, 2018.
  34. Gravis Marketing
  35. Probolsky Research
  36. Sexton Strategies and Research (D-Mahmood)
  37. 1 2 Statement of Vote
  38. @BeastJohnCox (November 3, 2018). "People have asked my recommendations on a lot of races & ballot measures - two easy ones are @StevePoizner for IC a…" (Tweet) via Twitter.
  39. Thomas Partners Strategies
  40. UC Berkeley
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  42. Thomas Partners Strategies
  43. Thomas Partners Strategies
  44. Thomas Partners Strategies
  45. Thomas Partners Strategies
  46. "Insurance Commissioner - Statewide Results". California Secretary of State. Retrieved November 30, 2018.

Official campaign websites