2018 United States Senate election in Nebraska

Last updated

2018 United States Senate election in Nebraska
Flag of Nebraska.svg
  2012 November 6, 2018 2024  
Turnout57.32%
  Deb Fischer, official portrait, 115th Congress (cropped).jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Deb Fischer Jane Raybould
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote403,151269,917
Percentage57.69%38.62%

2018 United States Senate election in Nebraska results map by county.svg
2018 United States Senate election in Nebraska results by congressional district.svg
NE Senate 2018.svg
Fischer:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Raybould:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Tie:     40–50%     No votes

U.S. senator before election

Deb Fischer
Republican

Elected U.S. Senator

Deb Fischer
Republican

The 2018 United States Senate election in Nebraska took place on November 6, 2018, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Nebraska. Incumbent Republican Deb Fischer was re-elected to a second term against Lincoln city councilwoman Jane Raybould and Libertarian candidate Jim Schultz.

Contents

The candidate filing deadline was March 1, 2018, and the primary election was held on May 15, 2018. [1]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominated

Eliminated in primary

Declined

Endorsements

Deb Fischer

Federal officials

Governors

U.S. Senators

U.S. Representatives

Statewide politicians

Mayors

Organizations

Results

Results by county:
Fischer
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80-90%
70-80%
60-70%
50-60% Nebraska U.S. Senate Republican primary, 2018.svg
Results by county:
Fischer
  •   80–90%
  •   70–80%
  •   60–70%
  •   50–60%
Republican primary results [22]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Deb Fischer (incumbent) 128,157 75.79%
Republican Todd F. Watson19,66111.63%
Republican Jack Heidel9,4135.57%
Republican Jeffrey Lynn Stein6,3803.77%
Republican Dennis Frank Macek5,4833.24%
Total votes169,094 100%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominated

Eliminated in primary

Endorsements

Jane Raybould

U.S. Senators

Local and statewide politicians

Labor unions

Organizations

Results

Results by county:
Raybould
80-90%
70-80%
60-70%
50-60%
40-50%
Svoboda
50-60%
40-50%
30-40% 2018 United States Senate Democratic primary election in Nebraska results map by county.svg
Results by county:
Raybould
  •   80–90%
  •   70–80%
  •   60–70%
  •   50–60%
  •   40–50%
Svoboda
  •   50–60%
  •   40-50%
  •   30-40%
Democratic primary results [22]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Jane Raybould 59,067 63.68%
Democratic Chris Janicek18,75220.22%
Democratic Frank B. Svoboda10,54811.37%
Democratic Larry Marvin4,3934.74%
Total votes92,760 100%

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Declared

  • Jim Schultz [7]

Results

Results by county:
Schultz
100%
No votes
No votes 2018 NE US Senate Libertarian primary.svg
Results by county:
Schultz
  •   100%
No votes
  •   No votes
Libertarian primary election [22]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Libertarian Jim Schultz 1,202 100.00%
Total votes1,202 100.00%

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [34] Safe ROctober 26, 2018
Inside Elections [35] Safe RNovember 1, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball [36] Safe RNovember 5, 2018
Fox News [37] Likely RJuly 9, 2018
CNN [38] Safe RJuly 12, 2018
RealClearPolitics [39] Safe RNovember 5, 2018

Debates

Host
network/sponsors
DateLink(s)Participants
Jane
Raybould (D)
Deb
Fischer (R)
KMTV-TV August 27, 2018 [40] InvitedInvited

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Deb
Fischer (R)
Jane
Raybould (D)
Undecided
DFM Research [41] October 23–27, 2018683± 3.8%54%39%7%
Grassroots Targeting (R) [42] Late June 20181,000± 3.1%63%28%
Meeting Street Research (R-Fischer) [43] January 24–28, 201850051%34%
Public Policy Polling (D-Raybould) [44] November 10–12, 20171,190± 2.8%42%31%27%
Hypothetical polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Generic
Republican
Generic
Democrat
Undecided
Meeting Street Research (R-Fischer) [43] January 24–28, 201850047%32%

Results

Swing by county

Legend
Democratic--+5-10%
Democratic--+<5%
Republican--+<5%
Republican--+5-10%
Republican--+10-15%
Republican--+15-20%
Republican--+20-25%
Republican--+25-30%
Republican--+>30% 2018 NE Senate swing by county margins.svg
Swing by county
Legend
  •   Democratic—+5-10%
  •   Democratic—+<5%
  •   Republican—+<5%
  •   Republican—+5-10%
  •   Republican—+10-15%
  •   Republican—+15-20%
  •   Republican—+20-25%
  •   Republican—+25-30%
  •   Republican—+>30%
United States Senate election in Nebraska, 2018 [45]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican Deb Fischer (incumbent) 403,151 57.69% −0.08%
Democratic Jane Raybould 269,91738.62%−3.61%
Libertarian Jim Schultz25,3493.63%N/A
Write-in 4660.07%N/A
Total votes698,883 100% N/A
Republican hold

By county

From Secretary of State of Nebraska [46]

CountyDeb Fischer
Republican
Jane Raybould
Democratic
Jim Schultz
Libertarian
Write-inTotal
votes
 %# %# %# %#
Adams 63.44%6,48732.61%3,3343.93%4020.02%210,225
Antelope 81.56%2,06115.67%3962.65%670.12%32,527
Arthur 87.07%20210.34%242.59%60.00%0232
Banner 83.76%26312.42%393.82%120.00%0314
Blaine 84.79%22312.93%342.28%60.00%0263
Boone 76.56%1,75719.91%4573.22%740.31%72,295
Box Butte 72.51%2,63223.00%8354.41%1600.08%33,630
Boyd 83.11%79713.35%1283.55%340.00%0959
Brown 83.25%1,15313.72%1903.03%420.00%01,385
Buffalo 66.86%10,93929.12%4,7653.97%6500.04%716,361
Burt 67.93%1,99528.46%8363.54%1040.07%22,937
Butler 71.00%2,47025.04%8713.94%1370.03%13,479
Cass 63.97%6,78731.98%3,3933.99%4230.06%610,609
Cedar 81.56%2,86615.28%5373.16%1110.00%03,514
Chase 85.73%1,34011.77%1842.43%380.06%11,563
Cherry 80.18%1,91313.16%3146.08%1450.59%142,386
Cheyenne 78.76%2,56617.77%5793.41%1110.06%23,258
Clay 73.87%1,97922.10%5924.03%1080.00%02,679
Colfax 69.27%1,73127.73%6933.00%750.00%02,499
Cuming 79.45%2,67217.96%6042.56%860.03%13,363
Custer 81.78%3,79714.80%6873.40%1580.02%14,643
Dakota 59.02%2,67737.28%1,6913.62%1640.09%44,536
Dawes 68.79%2,33426.94%9144.19%1420.09%33,393
Dawson 69.77%4,36326.50%1,6573.63%2270.10%66,253
Deuel 80.61%57815.20%1094.18%300.00%0717
Dixon 74.38%1,65521.93%4883.64%810.04%12,225
Dodge 64.90%7,82731.71%3,8243.36%4050.03%412,060
Douglas 46.30%94,77750.35%103,0703.29%6,7270.06%133204,707
Dundy 84.07%64912.82%992.98%230.13%1772
Fillmore 67.99%1,71827.31%6904.67%1180.04%12,527
Franklin 77.39%1,04418.90%2553.71%500.00%01,349
Frontier 79.90%83116.63%1733.46%360.00%01,040
Furnas 80.36%1,71915.61%3344.02%860.00%02,139
Gage 58.74%4,89636.28%3,0244.91%4090.07%68,335
Garden 81.52%81613.89%1394.40%440.20%21,001
Garfield 83.48%66714.14%1132.25%180.13%1799
Gosper 79.69%66717.56%1472.75%230.00%0837
Grant 93.69%2824.65%141.66%50.00%0301
Greeley 73.57%73223.92%2382.51%250.00%0995
Hall 62.45%10,48333.50%5,6243.96%6650.09%1516,787
Hamilton 74.88%3,07621.81%8963.24%1330.07%34,108
Harlan 77.11%1,14919.26%2873.49%520.13%21,490
Hayes 89.06%3508.14%322.54%100.25%1393
Hitchcock 82.48%89014.27%1543.24%350.00%01,079
Holt 77.75%3,22617.47%7254.60%1910.17%74,149
Hooker 82.96%25815.76%490.96%30.32%1311
Howard 70.20%1,69625.25%6104.51%1090.04%12,416
Jefferson 64.22%1,91331.02%9244.63%1380.13%42,979
Johnson 62.06%1,10132.75%5815.07%900.11%21,774
Kearney 74.22%1,95222.51%5923.23%850.04%12,630
Keith 79.19%2,54217.66%5673.12%1000.03%13,210
Keya Paha 87.05%33610.88%422.07%80.00%0386
Kimball 81.30%1,12214.64%2023.99%550.07%11,380
Knox 78.37%2,81218.65%6692.98%1070.00%03,588
Lancaster 42.22%49,44953.94%63,1753.77%4,4120.08%95117,131
Lincoln 71.99%8,99923.09%2,8864.85%6060.07%912,500
Logan 90.80%3066.82%232.37%80.00%0337
Loup 80.46%24716.61%512.93%90.00%0307
Madison 75.61%7,94921.27%2,2363.07%3230.05%510,513
McPherson 87.02%2288.40%224.58%120.00%0262
Merrick 76.21%2,56319.24%6474.52%1520.03%13,363
Morrill 80.33%1,69914.56%3085.06%1070.05%12,115
Nance 71.54%88525.46%3152.99%370.00%01,237
Nemaha 68.48%1,78827.84%7273.68%960.00%02,611
Nuckolls 75.40%1,32120.83%3653.77%660.00%01,752
Otoe 64.62%4,09831.17%1,9774.10%2600.11%76,342
Pawnee 67.13%77428.79%3324.08%470.00%01,153
Perkins 82.60%1,01114.71%1802.70%330.00%01,224
Phelps 79.50%3,06817.39%6713.01%1160.10%43,859
Pierce 84.59%2,33912.33%3413.04%840.04%12,765
Platte 75.85%8,37221.23%2,3432.87%3170.05%511,037
Polk 75.20%1,57421.40%4483.39%710.00%02,093
Red Willow 78.49%3,05117.91%6963.60%1400.00%03,887
Richardson 69.29%2,13727.82%8582.82%870.06%23,084
Rock 85.56%56911.88%792.56%170.00%0665
Saline 53.46%2,25541.06%1,7325.43%2290.05%24,218
Sarpy 58.08%39,30637.99%25,7063.86%2,6100.08%5167,673
Saunders 68.06%6,47927.99%2,6643.90%3710.05%59,519
Scotts Bluff 68.84%7,39826.87%2,8874.19%4500.10%1110,746
Seward 65.21%4,60730.77%2,1743.99%2820.03%27,065
Sheridan 81.98%1,67013.50%2754.47%910.05%12,037
Sherman 67.67%87328.68%3703.57%460.08%11,290
Sioux 83.24%44712.85%693.91%210.00%0537
Stanton 80.36%1,81716.05%3633.58%810.00%02,261
Thayer 71.89%1,60624.13%5393.98%890.00%02,234
Thomas 86.09%29110.65%363.25%110.00%0338
Thurston 53.03%97044.67%8172.13%390.16%31,829
Valley 77.20%1,38819.97%3592.78%500.06%11,798
Washington 70.28%6,46226.52%2,4383.17%2910.03%39,194
Wayne 74.21%2,38822.50%7243.26%1050.03%13,218
Webster 73.09%99723.31%3183.59%490.00%01,364
Wheeler 82.85%34314.49%602.66%110.00%0414
York 71.41%3,65925.00%1,2813.51%1800.08%45,124

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

Fischer won all 3 congressional districts. [47]

DistrictFischerRaybouldRepresentative
1st 55%42% Jeff Fortenberry
2nd 49%48% Don Bacon
3rd 72%24% Adrian Smith

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References

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