2018 United States House of Representatives election in Montana

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2018 United States House of Representatives election in Montana
Flag of Montana.svg
  2017 (special) November 6, 2018 (2018-11-06) 2020  
  Greg Gianforte 115th congress (cropped 2).jpg Kathleen williamssd mt (cropped).png
Nominee Greg Gianforte Kathleen Williams
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote256,661233,284
Percentage50.9%46.3%

Montana's at-large congressional district election, 2018 results by county.svg
County results
Gianforte:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
Williams:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%

U.S. Representative before election

Greg Gianforte
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Greg Gianforte
Republican

The 2018 United States House of Representatives election in Montana was held on November 6, 2018, to elect the U.S. representative from Montana's at-large congressional district. The election coincided with other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections.

Contents

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Primary results

2018 Republican Party primary results by county:
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Gianforte--100%
Gianforte-->90% 2018 MT-AL Republican primary.svg
2018 Republican Party primary results by county:
  Gianforte—100%
  Gianforte—>90%
Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Greg Gianforte (incumbent) 135,225 100
Total votes135,225 100

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

  • John Heenan, attorney [2]
  • Grant Kier, former executive director of the Five Valleys Land Trust [3]
  • Jared Pettinato, attorney [4]
  • Kathleen Williams, former state representative [5]

Withdrew

Primary results

Democratic Party primary results by county:
Williams--50-60%
Williams--40-50%
Williams--<40%
Heenan--<40%
Heenan--40-50%
Heenan--50-60%
Kier--<40%
Kier--40-50% 2018 MT-AL Democratic primary.svg
Democratic Party primary results by county:
  Williams—50–60%
  Williams—40–50%
  Williams—<40%
  Heenan—<40%
  Heenan—40–50%
  Heenan—50–60%
  Kier—<40%
  Kier—40–50%
Democratic primary results [8]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Kathleen Williams 37,158 33.5
Democratic John Heenan35,16331.7
Democratic Grant Kier26,83524.2
Democratic Lynda Moss (withdrawn)5,5925.0
Democratic John Meyer3,6953.3
Democratic Jared Pettinato2,4402.2
Total votes110,883 100

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Declared

  • Elinor Swanson, attorney [9]

General election

Debates

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [10] Lean RNovember 5, 2018
Inside Elections/Rothenberg Political Report [11] Likely RNovember 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball [12] Lean RNovember 5, 2018

Endorsements

Greg Gianforte (R)

Federal politicians

Organizations

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Greg
Gianforte (R)
Kathleen
Williams (D)
Elinor
Swanson (L)
OtherUndecided
Change Research (D) [31] November 2–4, 201887952%44%2%
Gravis Marketing [32] October 24–26, 2018782± 3.5%48%48%3%
University of Montana [33] October 10–18, 2018533± 4.3%45%46%2%7%
Montana State University Billings [34] October 8–13, 2018471± 4.5%44%41%3%12%
Montana State University Bozeman [35] September 15 – October 6, 20182,079± 2.2%48%40%2%1%9%
Gravis Marketing [36] September 19–22, 2018710± 3.7%51%42%8%
AARP/Benenson Strategy Group (D) [37] September 6–16, 2018950± 3.1%46%45%1%7%
University of Montana [38] August 13–31, 2018466± 4.5%38%51%3%8%
Gravis Marketing [39] June 11–13, 2018469± 4.5%43%49%8%

Results

Gianforte defeated Kathleen Williams on November 6, 2018. [40]

Montana's at-large congressional district, 2018 [41]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican Greg Gianforte (incumbent) 256,661 50.88% +0.93%
Democratic Kathleen Williams 233,28446.25%+1.88%
Libertarian Elinor Swanson14,4762.87%−2.81%
Total votes504,421 100.00% N/A
Republican hold

See also

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References

  1. Michels, Holly K. (June 5, 2017). "Greg Gianforte files for re-election, extension for court appearance expected". Missoulian . Retrieved June 7, 2017.
  2. Michels, Holly K. (August 7, 2017). "Democratic Billings lawyer, business owner says he's running for Greg Gianforte's seat". Independent Record . Retrieved August 7, 2017.
  3. Michels, Holly K. (September 12, 2017). "Democrat jumps into primary for U.S. House race". Independent Record . Retrieved September 13, 2017.
  4. Drake, Phil (October 30, 2017). "Pettinato enters race for lone congressional seat". Great Falls Tribune . Retrieved October 30, 2017.
  5. Michels, Holly K. (October 26, 2017). "Former Bozeman legislator joins Democratic primary for Montana's U.S. House seat". Independent Record . Retrieved October 26, 2017.
  6. "Moss Drops Out of Race for Montana's US House Seat - Flathead Beacon". Flathead Beacon. April 19, 2018. Retrieved April 20, 2018.
  7. Gazette, Billings. "Billings Democrat drops out of Montana House race, but will still be on the ballot". missoulian.com. Retrieved April 20, 2018.
  8. Almukhtar, Sarah; Bloch, Matthew; Lee, Jasmine C. (June 5, 2018). "Montana Primary Election Results". The New York Times.
  9. Ambarlan, Jonathon (February 27, 2018). "Billings lawyer enters Montana U.S. House race as Libertarian candidate". KTVH . Archived from the original on July 7, 2018. Retrieved July 6, 2018.
  10. "2018 House Race ratings". The Cook Political Report. July 10, 2018.
  11. "House Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved December 26, 2017.
  12. "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2018 House". www.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved December 26, 2017.
  13. Christian, Peter (August 30, 2018). "MONTANA GUN GROUP GRADES AND ENDORSES POLITICAL CANDIDATES". NewsTalkKGVO.com. Archived from the original on August 30, 2018.
  14. Drake, Phil (September 12, 2018). "NRA endorses Gianforte and Rosendale, targets Tester". Great Falls Tribune . Archived from the original on September 22, 2018. GOP Rep. Greg Gianforte said Wednesday he also was endorsed by the NRA Political Victory Fund.
  15. Michels, Holly (July 13, 2018). "Tester, Williams head to Great Falls to rally Montana Democrats for fall elections". Helena Independent Record.
  16. "Gazette Opinion: Restore Civility, Elect Williams to U.S. House". Billings Gazette. October 16, 2018.
  17. "Williams the moderate Montana needs". The Bozeman Daily Chronicle. October 12, 2018.
  18. "Williams is by far the better candidate for US House". Missoulian. October 21, 2018.
  19. Swanke, Gerald (August 6, 2018). "AFGE | AFGE Endorses Montana's Kathleen Williams for Congress". www.afge.org. American Federation of Government Employees.
  20. Harris, Tammy. "2018 Endorsements | Montana AFL-CIO". Montana AFL-CIO.
  21. Perry, Joe (July 12, 2018). "Montana Sportsmen Alliance PAC: Montana Sportsmen Alliance Endorses Kathleen Williams". montanasportsmenalliance.blogspot.com/. Montana Sportsmen Alliance.
  22. "@williamsformt will stand up for firefighters and we stand behind her". www.facebook.com. Montana State Council of Professional Fire Fighters. July 18, 2018.
  23. Stephanie Schriock (June 28, 2018). "Emily's List Endorses Kathleen Williams for Montana's At-Large Congressional District". Emily's List.
  24. Muller, Tiffany (August 13, 2018). "Four Reform Candidates Earn End Citizens United Endorsement - End Citizens United". End Citizens United.
  25. Giffords, Gabrielle (July 25, 2018). "Giffords Endorses Kathleen Williams for Congress in Montana - Giffords". Giffords.
  26. Sittenfeld, Tiernan; Potts, Rick (September 14, 2018). "LCV Action Fund Endorses Kathleen Williams for Congress - League of Conservation Voters". League of Conservation Voters.
  27. Tyler, Dave (June 20, 2018). "Montana Conservation Voters Endorses Kathleen Williams for U.S. House of Representatives". mtvoters.org.
  28. Richtman, Max (August 1, 2018). "Letter of Endorsement for Kathleen Williams - NCPSSM". www.ncpssm.org. NCPSSM-PAC.
  29. "Federal Endorsements by the NOW PAC | National Organization for Women Political Action Committees". nowpac.org. National Organization for Women PAC. August 23, 2017. Archived from the original on April 26, 2019. Retrieved August 19, 2018.
  30. "List of Endorsements: 2018 Election". www.plannedparenthoodaction.org. Planned Parenthood Action Fund. Archived from the original on November 10, 2018. Retrieved September 16, 2018.
  31. Change Research (D)
  32. Gravis Marketing
  33. University of Montana
  34. Montana State University Billings
  35. Montana State University Bozeman
  36. Gravis Marketing
  37. AARP/Benenson Strategy Group (D)
  38. University of Montana
  39. Gravis Marketing
  40. "House Races Midterms 2018 America's Election HQ". FOX News]. November 6, 2018. Retrieved November 11, 2018.
  41. Johnson, Cheryl L. (February 28, 2019). "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 6, 2018". Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives . Retrieved April 27, 2019.

Official campaign websites