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All 8 Minnesota seats to the United States House of Representatives | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Elections in Minnesota |
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The 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Minnesota were held on November 6, 2018, to elect the eight U.S. representatives from the state of Minnesota, one from each of the state's eight congressional districts. The elections coincided with an open gubernatorial election, a U.S. Senate election, a special U.S. Senate election, State House elections, and other elections. Primaries were held on August 14.
In the 2018 elections, Democrats gained the 2nd and 3rd districts from Republican incumbents, and the Republicans gained the 1st and 8th districts from Democrats running for higher office, leaving party representation in Minnesota's House delegation unchanged at five members from the DFL and three members from the GOP.
| Party | Candidates | Votes [1] | Seats | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No. | % | No. | +/– | % | |||
| Democratic-Farmer-Labor | 8 | 1,420,769 | 55.13 | 5 | 62.50 | ||
| Republican | 8 | 1,125,533 | 43.68 | 3 | 37.50 | ||
| Legal Marijuana Now | 1 | 13,777 | 0.53 | 0 | 0.0 | ||
| Independence | 1 | 12,741 | 0.49 | 0 | 0.0 | ||
| Write-in | 8 | 4,177 | 0.16 | 0 | 0.0 | ||
| Total | 26 | 2,576,996 | 100.0 | 8 | 100.0 | ||
Results of the 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Minnesota by district: [2]
| District | Democratic | Republican | Others | Total | Result | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||
| District 1 | 144,885 | 49.67% | 146,200 | 50.13% | 576 | 0.20% | 291,661 | 100.0% | Republican gain |
| District 2 | 177,958 | 52.65% | 159,344 | 47.15% | 666 | 0.20% | 337,968 | 100.0% | Democratic gain |
| District 3 | 202,404 | 55.61% | 160,839 | 44.19% | 706 | 0.20% | 363,949 | 100.0% | Democratic gain |
| District 4 | 216,865 | 65.99% | 97,747 | 29.75% | 14,002 | 4.26% | 328,614 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
| District 5 | 267,703 | 77.97% | 74,440 | 21.68% | 1,215 | 0.35% | 343,358 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
| District 6 | 122,332 | 38.75% | 192,931 | 61.11% | 463 | 0.15% | 315,726 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
| District 7 | 146,672 | 52.10% | 134,668 | 47.84% | 169 | 0.06% | 281,509 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
| District 8 | 141,950 | 45.18% | 159,364 | 50.72% | 12,897 | 4.10% | 314,211 | 100.0% | Republican gain |
| Total | 1,420,769 | 55.13% | 1,125,533 | 43.68% | 30,694 | 1.19% | 2,576,996 | 100.0% | |
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Hagedorn: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Feehan: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% >90% Tie: 40–50% 50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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Minnesota's 1st Congressional District extends across southern Minnesota, from the border with South Dakota to the border with Wisconsin and the state's entire border with Iowa.
Incumbent Democrat Tim Walz, who had represented the district since 2007, did not run for re-election, instead opting to run for governor. He was re-elected with 50% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+5.
U.S. Representatives
State legislators
Organizations
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic (DFL) | Dan Feehan | 39,167 | 83.1 | |
| Democratic (DFL) | Colin Minehart | 7,971 | 16.9 | |
| Total votes | 47,138 | 100.0 | ||
Minnesota's 1st congressional district was listed as one of the NRCC's initial targets in 2018. [19]
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Jim Hagedorn | Carla Nelson | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harper Polling (R–Hagedorn) [32] | February 19–20, 2018 | 412 (LV) | ±4.8% | 54% | 21% | 25% |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Jim Hagedorn | 25,418 | 60.1 | |
| Republican | Carla Nelson | 13,589 | 32.2 | |
| Republican | Steve Williams | 2,145 | 5.1 | |
| Republican | Andrew Candler | 1,106 | 2.6 | |
| Total votes | 42,258 | 100.0 | ||
U.S. Representatives
State legislators
Organizations
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Republican |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | ||||||
| Dan Feehan | Jim Hagedorn | |||||
| 1 | Oct. 12, 2018 | Minnesota Public Radio | Mike Mulcahy | [40] | P | P |
| 2 | Oct. 17, 2018 | Greater Mankato Growth South Central College The Free Press | Patrick Baker Steve Jameson | [41] | P | P |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Dan Feehan (DFL) | Jim Hagedorn (R) | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyUSA [42] | October 16–20, 2018 | 586 (LV) | ±4.4% | 47% | 45% | – | 8% |
| Harper Polling (R-Hagedorn) [43] | August 23–26, 2018 | 400 (LV) | ±4.9% | 33% | 47% | 6% | 14% |
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report [44] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections [45] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball [46] | Lean D | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP [47] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos [48] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
| 538 [49] | Tossup | November 7, 2018 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Jim Hagedorn | 146,199 | 50.1 | |
| Democratic (DFL) | Dan Feehan | 144,884 | 49.7 | |
| Write-in | 575 | 0.2 | ||
| Majority | 1,315 | 0.5 | ||
| Total votes | 291,658 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican gain from Democratic (DFL) | ||||
| Candidate (party) | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Feehan (DFL) | $4,121,229 | $4,117,708 | $3,521 |
| Jim Hagedorn (R) | $1,584,923 | $1,584,057 | $1,092 |
| Candidate (party) | Supported | Opposed |
|---|---|---|
| Dan Feehan (DFL) | $2,716,864 | $6,911,780 |
| Jim Hagedorn (R) | $288,762 | $4,101,940 |
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Precinct results Craig: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Lewis: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Tie: 40–50% | |||||||||||||||||
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Incumbent Republican Jason Lewis, who had represented the district since 2017, ran for re-election. He was elected with 47% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+2.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Jason Lewis (R) | Angie Craig (DFL) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Global Strategy Group (D) [76] | October 9–14, 2018 | 400 | ±4.9% | 43% | 52% | 15% |
| NYT Upshot/Siena College [77] | September 29 – October 2, 2018 | 487 (LV) | ±5.0% | 39% | 51% | 9% |
| WPA Intelligence (R-Lewis) [78] | September 29 – October 1, 2018 | 412 (LV) | ±4.9% | 46% | 43% | 9% |
| SurveyUSA [79] | September 17–23, 2018 | 569 (LV) | ±4.5% | 45% | 48% | 7% |
| Public Policy Polling (D) [80] | September 17–18, 2018 | 531 (V) | – | 45% | 48% | 7% |
| WPA Intelligence (R-Lewis) [81] | August 18–21, 2018 | 400 (LV) | ±4.9% | 46% | 45% | 9% |
| Public Policy Polling (D) [82] | October 4–7, 2017 | 732 (V) | ±3.6% | 43% | 42% | 15% |
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | ||||||
| Jason Lewis | Angie Craig | |||||
| 1 | Oct. 19, 2018 | Twin Cities Public Television | Eric Eskola Cathy Wurzer | [83] | P | P |
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report [44] | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections [45] | Tilt D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball [46] | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP [47] | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos [48] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
| 538 [49] | Likely D (flip) | November 7, 2018 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic (DFL) | Angie Craig | 177,954 | 52.7 | |
| Republican | Jason Lewis (incumbent) | 159,343 | 47.1 | |
| Write-in | 668 | 0.2 | ||
| Majority | 18,611 | 5.5 | ||
| Total votes | 337,965 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic (DFL) gain from Republican | ||||
| Candidate (party) | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Lewis (R) | $2,916,211 | $2,918,685 | $7,363 |
| Angie Craig (DFL) | $5,312,788 | $5,237,900 | $87,391 |
| Candidate (party) | Supported | Opposed |
|---|---|---|
| Jason Lewis (R) | $142,761 | $4,515,629 |
| Angie Craig (DFL) | $1,052,637 | $3,029,749 |
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Precinct results Phillips: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Paulsen: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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Incumbent Republican Erik Paulsen, who had represented the district since 2009, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 57% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+1.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Erik Paulsen (incumbent) | 39,080 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 39,080 | 100.0 | ||
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic (DFL) | Dean Phillips | 56,697 | 81.6 | |
| Democratic (DFL) | Cole Young | 12,784 | 18.4 | |
| Total votes | 69,481 | 100.0 | ||
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | ||||||
| Erik Paulsen | Dean Phillips | |||||
| 1 | Oct. 5, 2018 | KNOW-FM | Mike Mulcahy | [87] | P | P |
| 2 | Oct. 19, 2018 | Twin Cities Public Television | Eric Eskola Cathy Wurzer | [88] | P | P |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Erik Paulsen (R) | Dean Phillips (DFL) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyUSA [89] | September 24–29, 2018 | 607 (LV) | ±4.3% | 44% | 49% | 8% |
| Public Policy Polling (D) [90] | September 17–18, 2018 | 538 (V) | – | 39% | 52% | 9% |
| NYT Upshot/Siena College [91] | September 7–9, 2018 | 500 (LV) | ±4.6% | 42% | 51% | 7% |
| Public Policy Polling (D) [92] | February 12–13, 2018 | 664 (V) | ±3.8% | 43% | 46% | 11% |
| Public Policy Polling (D) [93] | November 9–10, 2017 | 542 (V) | ±4.2% | 42% | 46% | 12% |
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report [44] | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections [45] | Tilt D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball [46] | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP [47] | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos [48] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
| 538 [49] | Likely D (flip) | November 7, 2018 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic (DFL) | Dean Phillips | 202,402 | 55.6 | |
| Republican | Erik Paulsen (incumbent) | 160,839 | 44.2 | |
| Write-in | 707 | 0.2 | ||
| Majority | 41,563 | 11.4 | ||
| Total votes | 363,948 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic (DFL) gain from Republican | ||||
| Candidate (party) | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Paulsen (R) | $5,778,480 | $5,862,137 | $283,313 |
| Dean Phillips (DFL) | $6,265,241 | $6,223,759 | $41,482 |
| Candidate (party) | Supported | Opposed |
|---|---|---|
| Erik Paulsen (R) | $803,622 | $4,562,336 |
| Dean Phillips (DFL) | $1,339,786 | $3,091,511 |
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Precinct results McCollum: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Ryan: 40–50% 50–60% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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Incumbent Democrat Betty McCollum, who had represented the district since 2001, ran for re-election. She was re-elected with 58% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+14.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic (DFL) | Betty McCollum (incumbent) | 86,843 | 91.0 | |
| Democratic (DFL) | Muad Hassan | 5,398 | 5.7 | |
| Democratic (DFL) | Reid Rossell | 3,156 | 3.3 | |
| Total votes | 95,397 | 100.0 | ||
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Greg Ryan | 23,021 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 23,021 | 100.0 | ||
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report [44] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections [45] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball [46] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP [47] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos [48] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| 538 [49] | Safe D | November 7, 2018 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic (DFL) | Betty McCollum (incumbent) | 216,866 | 66.0 | |
| Republican | Greg Ryan | 97,746 | 29.7 | |
| Legal Marijuana Now | Susan Sindt | 13,777 | 4.2 | |
| Write-in | 226 | 0.1 | ||
| Majority | 119,120 | 36.2 | ||
| Total votes | 328,615 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic (DFL) hold | ||||
| Candidate (party) | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betty McCollum (DFL) | $931,351 | $949,724 | $106,299 | |
| Greg Ryan (R) | $23,621 | $20,911 | $5,706 | |
| Susan Sindt (LM) | Unreported | |||
| Candidate (party) | Supported | Opposed |
|---|---|---|
| Betty McCollum (DFL) | $9,518 | $8,225 |
| Greg Ryan (R) | $5,000 | $0 |
| Susan Sindt (LM) | $0 | $0 |
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Precinct results Omar: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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Incumbent Democrat Keith Ellison, who had represented the district since 2007, decided to not run for re-election, instead seeking the Democratic nomination for the open Attorney General race. He was re-elected with 69% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+26.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic (DFL) | Ilhan Omar | 65,238 | 48.2 | |
| Democratic (DFL) | Margaret Anderson Kelliher | 41,156 | 30.4 | |
| Democratic (DFL) | Patricia Torres Ray | 17,629 | 13.0 | |
| Democratic (DFL) | Jamal Abdulahi | 4,984 | 3.7 | |
| Democratic (DFL) | Bobby Joe Champion | 3,831 | 2.8 | |
| Democratic (DFL) | Frank Drake | 2,480 | 1.8 | |
| Total votes | 135,318 | 100.0 | ||
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Jennifer Zielinski | 8,680 | 56.5 | |
| Republican | Christopher Chamberlin | 4,999 | 32.5 | |
| Republican | Bob Carney | 1,688 | 11.0 | |
| Total votes | 15,367 | 100.0 | ||
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report [44] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections [45] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball [46] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP [47] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos [48] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| 538 [49] | Safe D | November 7, 2018 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic (DFL) | Ilhan Omar | 267,703 | 78.0 | |
| Republican | Jennifer Zielinski | 74,440 | 21.7 | |
| Write-in | 1,215 | 0.4 | ||
| Majority | 193,263 | 56.3 | ||
| Total votes | 343,358 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic (DFL) hold | ||||
| Candidate (party) | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ilhan Omar (DFL) | $1,073,813 | $1,018,983 | $54,829 |
| Jennifer Zielinski (R) | $23,355 | $22,755 | $600 |
| Candidate (party) | Supported | Opposed |
|---|---|---|
| Ilhan Omar (DFL) | $31,648 | $8,225 |
| Jennifer Zielinski (R) | $8,999 | $0 |
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Precinct results Emmer: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Todd: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Tie: 40–50% 50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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Incumbent Republican Tom Emmer, who had represented the district since 2015, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 66% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+12 despite narrowly voting for incumbent Democratic senator Amy Klobuchar on the same ballot.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Tom Emmer (incumbent) | 34,251 | 76.6 | |
| Republican | A.J. Kern | 7,897 | 17.7 | |
| Republican | Patrick Munro | 2,575 | 5.8 | |
| Total votes | 44,723 | 100.0 | ||
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic (DFL) | Ian Todd | 33,853 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 33,853 | 100.0 | ||
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report [44] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections [45] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball [46] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP [47] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos [48] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| 538 [49] | Safe R | November 7, 2018 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Tom Emmer (incumbent) | 192,936 | 61.1 | |
| Democratic (DFL) | Ian Todd | 122,330 | 38.7 | |
| Write-in | 463 | 0.1 | ||
| Majority | 70,606 | 22.4 | ||
| Total votes | 315,729 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
| Candidate (party) | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Emmer (R) | $2,203,827 | $2,159,206 | $182,186 |
| Ian Todd (DFL) | $83,119 | $81,577 | $1,542 |
| Candidate (party) | Supported | Opposed |
|---|---|---|
| Tom Emmer (R) | $29,592 | $861 |
| Ian Todd (DFL) | $921 | $2,500 |
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County results Peterson: 50–60% 60–70% Hughes: 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
Precinct results Peterson: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Hughes: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% 50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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Incumbent Democrat Collin Peterson, who had represented the district since 1991, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 52% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+12.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic (DFL) | Collin Peterson (incumbent) | 39,961 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 39,961 | 100.0 | ||
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Dave Hughes | 30,786 | 72.6 | |
| Republican | Matt Prosch | 11,618 | 27.4 | |
| Total votes | 42,404 | 100.0 | ||
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Republican |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | ||||||
| Collin Peterson | Dave Hughes | |||||
| 1 | Oct. 19, 2018 | Prairie Public Television | Matt Olien | [123] | P | P |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Collin Peterson (DFL) | Dave Hughes (R) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALG Research (D-Peterson) [124] | September 5–10, 2018 | 500 (LV) | ±4.4% | 53% | 35% | – |
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report [44] | Likely D | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections [45] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball [46] | Likely D | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP [47] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos [48] | Likely D | November 5, 2018 |
| 538 [49] | Likely D | November 7, 2018 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic (DFL) | Collin Peterson (incumbent) | 146,672 | 52.1 | |
| Republican | Dave Hughes | 134,668 | 47.8 | |
| Write-in | 169 | 0.1 | ||
| Majority | 12,004 | 4.3 | ||
| Total votes | 281,509 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic (DFL) hold | ||||
| Candidate (party) | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
|---|---|---|---|
| Collin Peterson (DFL) | $1,425,449 | $1,494,741 | $500,376 |
| Dave Hughes (R) | $232,724 | $229,418 | $3,578 |
| Candidate (party) | Supported | Opposed |
|---|---|---|
| Collin Peterson (DFL) | $2,649 | $14,644 |
| Dave Hughes (R) | $43,000 | $0 |
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Precinct results Stauber: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Radinovich: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% 50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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Incumbent Democrat Rick Nolan, who had represented the district since 2013 and previously represented Minnesota's 6th district from 1975 to 1981, decided to run for Lieutenant Governor of Minnesota instead of running for re-election. He was re-elected with 50% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+4. [125]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic (DFL) | Joe Radinovich | 30,391 | 44.2 | |
| Democratic (DFL) | Michelle Lee | 18,940 | 27.5 | |
| Democratic (DFL) | Jason Metsa | 9,009 | 13.1 | |
| Democratic (DFL) | Kirsten Kennedy | 8,064 | 11.7 | |
| Democratic (DFL) | Soren Sorensen | 2,396 | 3.5 | |
| Total votes | 68,800 | 100.0 | ||
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Pete Stauber | 44,814 | 89.9 | |
| Republican | Harry Welty | 5,021 | 10.1 | |
| Total votes | 49,835 | 100.0 | ||
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Republican |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | ||||||
| Joe Radinovich | Pete Stauber | |||||
| 1 | Oct. 26, 2018 | Minnesota Public Radio | Mike Mulcahy | [155] | P | P |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Joe Radinovich (DFL) | Pete Stauber (R) | Ray Sandman (I) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYT Upshot/Siena College [156] | October 11–14, 2018 | 507 (LV) | ±4.6% | 34% | 49% | 4% | 13% |
| Victoria Research (D-Radinovich) [157] | September 27–30, 2018 | 400 (LV) | ±4.9% | 45% | 44% | – | 11% |
| NYT Upshot/Siena College [158] | September 6–9, 2018 | 504 (LV) | ±4.6% | 44% | 43% | – | 13% |
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report [44] | Lean R (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections [45] | Lean R (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball [46] | Lean R (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP [47] | Lean R (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos [48] | Lean R (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
| 538 [49] | Likely R (flip) | November 7, 2018 |
Stauber defeated Radinovich in the general election. [159]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Pete Stauber | 159,364 | 50.7 | |
| Democratic (DFL) | Joe Radinovich | 141,948 | 45.2 | |
| Independence | Ray "Skip" Sandman | 12,741 | 4.1 | |
| Write-in | 156 | 0.0 | ||
| Majority | 17,416 | 5.5 | ||
| Total votes | 314,209 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican gain from Democratic (DFL) | ||||
| Candidate (party) | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Radinovich (DFL) | $2,403,251 | $2,361,547 | $41,704 |
| Pete Stauber (R) | $1,749,583 | $1,731,247 | $18,336 |
| Ray Sandman (I) | $20,291 | $21,694 | $0 |
| Candidate (party) | Supported | Opposed |
|---|---|---|
| Joe Radinovich (DFL) | $1,286,456 | $7,164,822 |
| Pete Stauber (R) | $409,520 | $920,137 |
| Ray Sandman (I) | $0 | $0 |
The Iron Range Building and Construction Trades join our labor brothers and sisters at United Steelworkers (USW), United Food and Commercial Workers (UFCW) Local 1189, and International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers (IBEW) Local 294, in supporting a candidate who supports union organizing, members, and their families.
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