2018 United States Senate election in Maine

Last updated

2018 United States Senate election in Maine
Flag of Maine.svg
  2012 November 6, 2018 2024  
Turnout59.96%
  Angus King, official portrait, 113th Congress (cropped).jpg Eric Brakey by Gage Skidmore.jpg Zak Ringelstein (cropped).jpg
Nominee Angus King Eric Brakey Zak Ringelstein
Party Independent Republican Democratic
Popular vote344,575223,50266,268
Percentage54.31%35.23%10.45%

2018 United States Senate election in Maine results map by county.svg
2018 Maine Senate Results By Congressional District.svg
2018 United States Senate election in Maine results map by municipality.svg
King:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Brakey:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Tie:     

U.S. senator before election

Angus King
Independent

Elected U.S. Senator

Angus King
Independent

The 2018 United States Senate election in Maine was held on November 6, 2018, alongside a gubernatorial election, U.S. House elections, and other state and local elections. Incumbent independent Senator Angus King won re-election to a second term, defeating Democratic nominee Zak Ringelstein and Republican nominee Eric Brakey. This was one of two independent-held Senate seats up for election in a state that Hillary Clinton won in the 2016 presidential election.

Contents

The primary election was held on June 12, 2018. [1]

The U.S. Senate elections were conducted with ranked-choice voting, as opposed to a simple plurality, after Maine voters passed a citizen referendum approving the change in 2016 [2] and a June 2018 referendum sustaining the change. [3] Ranked choice voting was used in the primary elections as well. [4] The first round of each election saw a majority and the instant runoff did not need to be carried out.

Background

A part of New England, Maine was once a bastion of the Republican Party, and was one of two states to vote against Franklin Roosevelt all four times he ran for president. Lyndon Johnson won the state in 1964, and Hubert Humphrey carried it in 1968 before the state reverted to form and reestablished a GOP voting streak that lasted until the 1990s. With the GOP progressively becoming more culturally conservative, the state began moving toward the Democrats, and Bill Clinton carried it in 1992. Clinton's win established a Democratic winning streak that lasted until Donald Trump won an electoral vote from the state's second congressional district in 2016 despite losing the rest of the state. [5]

The state has a tradition of electing various independent candidates to high office, such as Angus King, who served as governor of the state from 1995 to 2003. In 2012, King's decision to run for the Senate seat being vacated by Republican Olympia Snowe dramatized the battle for the Senate, as he left open whether he would caucus with the Republicans or the Democrats. [6] He eventually decided to caucus with the Democrats and has established a center-left voting record. [7]

Independents

King said his reelection plans would not be affected by treatment for prostate cancer, which he announced he had on June 22, 2015. [8]

Candidates

Declared

Republican primary

On January 12, 2015, Maine Governor Paul LePage made a statement on Howie Carr's radio program that he might run for U.S. Senate against King, citing King's switching his endorsement in the 2014 gubernatorial election from independent candidate Eliot Cutler to Democratic candidate Mike Michaud as a "horrible thing to do". [10] The next day, LePage said his comment was a joke, [9] though on an August 25, 2015 appearance on Carr's program, he said he was "very strongly" considering running, citing King's caucusing with Senate Democrats. [11] LePage also criticized King for his involvement in the Maine wind energy industry, saying King "ripped us off by $104 million during his eight years as governor – he ripped us off, royally, and I can’t wait until 2018 because I’m thinking that’s the guy I'm going after." A spokesman for King dismissed LePage's criticism. [12]

On May 10, 2016, LePage announced at a town hall meeting in Oakland that he would run against King unless he was hired by the Donald Trump administration. [13] On May 10, 2017, LePage decided not to run; his spokesman said he preferred to focus on being governor. [14] On July 20, 2017, LePage again said he "might" challenge King. [15] Trump personally encouraged LePage to run and offered his endorsement. [16] LePage did not file to run by the March 15, 2018 deadline. [17] [18]

Eric Brakey's campaign successfully contested 258 signatures to Max Linn's petitions to appear on the primary ballot, which meant that Linn had 10 fewer signatures than the 2,000 needed to be on the ballot. Maine Secretary of State Matthew Dunlap then declared Linn ineligible to be a candidate, although it was too late to remove Linn's name from the ballot. Voters were informed of Linn's status when they voted, and any votes cast for him were counted as blanks. [19] Nevertheless, Linn's campaign was active on Twitter and placed campaign signs along roads in Maine. Linn signs were also seen in New Hampshire, including in Dover. Dover city officials said they would remove the signs upon request if Linn's campaign did not remove them, because Linn is not a candidate in a New Hampshire election and because the signs were placed improperly. [20] Linn appealed the decision to disqualify him to U.S. District Court in Portland, but Judge Nancy Torresen rejected Linn's request for an injunction to bar Dunlap from informing voters he is ineligible. Linn subsequently announced he would run against U.S. Senator Susan Collins in the 2020 Republican primary election. [21]

Candidates

On the ballot

Declared ineligible

Declined

Endorsements

Eric Brakey

U.S. Senators

U.S. Governors

U.S. Representatives

State Officials

Individuals

Organizations

Results

Results by county
Map legend
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Brakey--70-80%
Brakey--60-70%
Brakey--50-60%
Blank ballots--50-60% 2018MEGovGOP.svg
Results by county
Map legend
  •   Brakey—70–80%
  •   Brakey—60–70%
  •   Brakey—50–60%
  •   Blank ballots—50–60%
Republican primary results [33]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Eric Brakey 59,853 58.92%
Republican Blank ballots41,73241.08%
Total votes101,585 100.00%

Democratic primary

The Democratic primary race initially included both teacher Zak Ringelstein and homebuilder Benjamin Pollard, but Pollard withdrew to run as an independent two days after Ringelstein announced a list of 16 endorsements from Democratic state legislators. [34] Ringelstein was the only major-party candidate for Senate to be a dues-paying member of the Democratic Socialists of America in 2018. [35]

Candidates

Declared

  • Zak Ringelstein, teacher and founder of UClass [36]

Withdrawn

  • Benjamin Pollard, homebuilder and primary and write-in candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2012 [37]

Declined

Endorsements

Zak Ringelstein

State Senators

State Representatives

Other politicians

Journalists, commentators, and editors

Organizations

Results

Results by county
Map legend
Ringelstein--70-80%
Ringelstein--60-70% 2018MEGovD.svg
Results by county
Map legend
  •   Ringelstein—70–80%
  •   Ringelstein—60–70%
Democratic primary results [50]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Zak Ringelstein 89,841 67.65%
Democratic Blank ballots42,95532.35%
Total votes132,795 100.00%

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Failed to make ballot

  • Chris Lyons, write-in candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2014 [51]

General election

Candidates

Endorsements

Angus King (I)

Statewide politicians

Local politicians

Other individuals

Organizations

Media

Eric Brakey (R)

U.S. Senators

U.S. Governors

U.S. Representatives

State Officials

Individuals

Organizations

Zak Ringelstein (D)

State Senators

State Representatives

Other politicians

Other individuals

Organizations

Media

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [76] Safe IOctober 26, 2018
Inside Elections [77] Safe INovember 1, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball [78] Safe INovember 5, 2018
Fox News [79] [a] Likely INovember 5, 2018
CNN [80] Solid INovember 5, 2018
RealClearPolitics [81] Safe INovember 5, 2018
Notes
  1. The Fox News Midterm Power Rankings uniquely does not contain a category for Safe/Solid races

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
RCV
round
Angus
King (I)
Eric
Brakey (R)
Zak
Ringelstein (D)
Undecided
Emerson College [82] October 27–29, 2018883± 3.5%Round 150%37%6%7%
Critical Insights (R-Brakey) [83] October 8–16, 2018600± 3.9%Round 141%27%7%23%
Pan Atlantic Research [84] October 1–7, 2018500± 4.4%Round 157%30%8%5%
Self-Made Insights (R-Brakey) [85] September 27–30, 2018750± 3.4%Round 147%36%8%
Suffolk University [86] August 2–6, 2018500± 4.4%Round 152%25%9%15%
Round 2 [87] 58%27%15%
Hypothetical polling

with Paul LePage

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Angus
King (I)
Paul
LePage (R)
OtherUndecided
Colby College/Boston Globe [88] September 4–10, 2016779± 3.6%59%37%4%
University of New Hampshire [89] June 15–21, 2016467± 4.5%63%29%3%5%

Results

United States Senate election in Maine, 2018 [90]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Independent Angus King (incumbent) 344,575 54.31% +1.42%
Republican Eric Brakey 223,50235.23%+4.48%
Democratic Zak Ringelstein66,26810.45%−2.81%
Write-in 640.01%N/A
Total votes634,409 100.00% N/A
Independent hold

By county

By county
County Angus King
Independent
Eric Brakey
Republican
Zak Ringelstein
Democratic
Write-inBlank votesMarginTotal votes
#%#%#%#%#%#%
Androscoggin 22,15048.0118,93141.034,3169.35120.037301.583,2196.9846,139
Aroostook 14,74252.4610,76738.311,8226.4830.017682.733,97514.1528,102
Cumberland 93,86059.8240,05325.5320,26212.9250.007681.7353,80734.29156,893
Franklin 7,54652.165,19435.901,3839.5550.043402.352,35216.2614,468
Hancock 15,46353.859,83734.262,96910.5480.034391.535,62619.5928,716
Kennebec 29,64051.9121,60837.844,8378.4730.011,0101.778,03214.0757,098
Knox 12,00957.396,27029.962,23410.6830.014091.965,73927.4320,925
Lincoln 10,76355.406,81435.071,5928.1900.002601.343,94920.3319,429
Oxford 12,95449.5010,51040.162,1418.1800.005642.162,4449.3426,169
Penobscot 31,29047.3427,69241.895,8568.8690.011,2561.903,5985.4566,103
Piscataquis 3,37944.263,57846.875347.0030.041401.83-199-2.617,634
Sagadahoc 11,47358.716,28432.161,5077.7100.002791.435,18926.5519,543
Somerset 9,63145.219,83146.151,4937.0160.033431.61-200-0.9421,304
Waldo 10,50352.307,26536.171,9769.8430.023371.683,23816.1320,084
Washington 6,31046.925,77042.901,0978.1640.032692.005404.0213,450
York 51,38752.6632,84933.6611,55111.8400.001,7981.8418,53819.0097,585
Overseas 1,47560.9024910.2869828.8200.0000.0077732.082,422
Totals344,57553.34223,50234.5966,26810.26640.0111,6551.80121,07318.75646,064

Counties that flipped from Independent to Republican

By congressional district

King won both congressional districts, both of which elected Democrats. [91]

DistrictKingBrakeyRingelsteinRepresentative
1st 57.73%30.39%11.88% Chellie Pingree
2nd 50.28%40.97%8.75% Jared Golden

See also

Related Research Articles

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Angus King</span> American politician and lawyer (born 1944)

Angus Stanley King Jr. is an American lawyer and politician serving as the junior United States senator from Maine since 2013. A political independent, he served as the 72nd governor of Maine from 1995 to 2003.

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