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Turnout | 57.6% [1] | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Kelly: 30–40% 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Kobach: 30–40% 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: No vote: | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Kansas |
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The 2018 Kansas gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2018, to elect the next governor of Kansas. Incumbent Republican governor Sam Brownback was term-limited and could not seek a third consecutive term.
On July 26, 2017, Brownback was nominated by President Donald Trump to serve as United States Ambassador-at-Large for International Religious Freedom. He was confirmed by the United States Senate on January 24, 2018; [2] [3] he resigned the governorship on January 31 and was succeeded by Lieutenant Governor Jeff Colyer. [4] Colyer was eligible to seek a full term and announced his candidacy prior to becoming Governor of Kansas. In the August 7 primary, Colyer ran against CPA and incumbent Insurance Commissioner Ken Selzer, Topeka doctor and 2006 Republican Kansas gubernatorial nominee Jim Barnett, and Kansas Secretary of State Kris Kobach.
On August 7, 2018, Kobach defeated Colyer in the Republican gubernatorial primary by an initial margin of 191 votes, [5] a lead that increased to 361 votes by August 14, although discrepancies in some counties needed resolution and provisional and absentee ballots may not have been counted in some counties. [6] [7] [8] Colyer conceded the Republican nomination after the final votes were tallied, in which Kobach's margin grew slightly. [9] State Senator Laura Kelly easily won the Democratic nomination [10] and won the general election, assuming office on January 14, 2019. Businessman Greg Orman, who finished second as an independent in the 2014 U.S. Senate race against incumbent Republican Pat Roberts, ran for governor as an independent candidate. [11]
Given that Kansas is the only state which has no gubernatorial statutory qualifications whatsoever in its constitution, seven teenagers, including one who has never even been to the state of Kansas, ran for the office in this election cycle. [12] A debate took place on September 5 between the three candidates that consistently polled above 5%. [13] Polls in late August had Kelly and Kobach running close with Orman polling in the single digits. [14]
Kelly's win continued a streak of party turnover for governor of Kansas, as Kansas has not elected two consecutive governors of the same party since William Avery succeeded fellow Republican John Anderson Jr. following the 1964 election, and neither major party has held the governorship for longer than eight consecutive years since Republican John McCuish left office in 1957. [15]
Organizations
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Jim Barnett | Jeff Colyer | Wink Hartman | Kris Kobach | Ken Selzer | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Remington (R) [38] | August 3–5, 2018 | 2,769 | ± 2.0% | 14% | 34% | – | 32% | 9% | 3% [39] | 10% |
The Trafalgar Group (R) [40] | July 30 – August 2, 2018 | 1,546 | ± 2.4% | 11% | 36% | – | 43% | 5% | 4% [39] | – |
Remington (R) [41] | August 2, 2018 | 859 | ± 3.3% | 13% | 32% | – | 32% | 9% | 3% [39] | 11% |
JMC Analytics (R-Kobach) [42] | July 24–26, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 11% | 25% | – | 34% | 8% | 2% [43] | 20% |
Remington (R) [44] | May 14–15, 2018 | 1,441 | ± 2.6% | 9% | 29% | – | 27% | 5% | – | 30% |
JMC Analytics (R-Kobach) [45] | March 15–17, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 10% | 18% | – | 31% | 4% | – | 36% |
Remington (R) [46] | February 13–14, 2018 | 1,806 | ± 2.3% | 8% | 23% | 5% | 21% | 3% | 3% [47] | 37% |
Moore Information (R) [48] | February 11, 2018 | – | – | – | 20% | 6% | 26% | 11% | – | 38% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Kris Kobach | 128,838 | 40.62 | |
Republican | Jeff Colyer (incumbent) | 128,488 | 40.51 | |
Republican | Jim Barnett | 27,993 | 8.83 | |
Republican | Ken Selzer | 24,807 | 7.82 | |
Republican | Patrick Kucera | 3,212 | 1.01 | |
Republican | Tyler Ruzich | 2,276 | 0.72 | |
Republican | Joseph Tutera Jr. | 1,559 | 0.49 | |
Total votes | 317,173 | 100.0 |
Statewide and local politicians
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Arden Andersen | Jack Bergeson | Carl Brewer | Laura Kelly | Josh Svaty | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GBA Strategies (D-Kelly) [69] | June 5–7, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 3% | 2% | 22% | 35% | 12% | 25% |
– | – | 25% | 44% | 12% | 20% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Laura Kelly | Josh Svaty | Jim Ward | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Expedition Strategies (D-Ward) [70] | March 4–8, 2018 | – | ± 4.4% | 17% | 7% | 19% | 57% |
Moore Information (R) [48] | February 11, 2018 | – | – | 39% | – | 20% | 42% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Laura Kelly | 78,746 | 51.5 | |
Democratic | Carl Brewer | 30,693 | 20.1 | |
Democratic | Josh Svaty | 26,722 | 17.5 | |
Democratic | Arden Andersen | 12,845 | 8.4 | |
Democratic | Jack Bergeson | 3,850 | 2.5 | |
Total votes | 152,856 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [89] | Tossup | October 26, 2018 |
The Washington Post [90] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
FiveThirtyEight [91] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
Rothenberg Political Report [92] | Tossup | November 1, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [93] | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
RealClearPolitics [94] | Tossup | November 4, 2018 |
Daily Kos [95] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
Fox News [96] [a] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
Politico [97] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
Governing [98] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
Dates | Location | Kelly | Kobach | Orman | Link |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
September 6, 2018 | Overland Park, Kansas | Participant | Participant | Participant | Full debate - YouTube |
October 30, 2018 | Wichita, Kansas | Participant | Participant | Participant | Full debate - C-SPAN |
Federal politicians
Statewide and local politicians
Labor unions
Organizations
Newspapers and news websites
U.S. Executive Branch officials
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
Statewide and local politicians
Individuals
Organizations
Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Kris Kobach (R) | Laura Kelly (D) | Greg Orman (I) | Jeff Caldwell (L) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College [148] | October 26–28, 2018 | 976 | ± 3.3% | 44% | 43% | 8% | – | 1% | 4% |
Ipsos [149] | October 17–27, 2018 | 986 | ± 3.6% | 41% | 43% | 9% | – | 2% | 5% |
Public Policy Polling (D-Western States Strategies) [150] | October 19–20, 2018 | 698 | ± 3.7% | 41% | 41% | 10% | 2% | 0% [151] | 6% |
Remington (R) [152] | September 30 – October 1, 2018 | 1,680 | ± 2.4% | 41% | 42% | 10% | 2% | 1% [153] | 4% |
Emerson College [154] | September 26–28, 2018 | 938 | ± 3.5% | 37% | 36% | 9% | – | 3% | 15% |
Fort Hays State University [155] | August 22 – September 25, 2018 | 324 | – | 36% | 40% | 10% | – | 5% | – |
Civiqs (D-Crawford County Dems) [156] | September 21–24, 2018 | 1,178 | ± 3.4% | 39% | 41% | 9% | 5% | 0% [151] | 5% |
Public Policy Polling (D-Pottawatomie County Dems) [157] | September 12–13, 2018 | 618 | – | 39% | 38% | 9% | 1% | 2% [158] | 12% |
Public Policy Polling (D-KNEA PAC) [159] | August 24–26, 2018 | 877 | – | 39% | 38% | 9% | 1% | 2% [158] | 11% |
Remington (R) [160] | July 19–20, 2018 | 1,189 | ± 2.9% | 35% | 36% | 12% | – | – | 17% |
with Kris Kobach and Laura Kelly
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Kris Kobach (R) | Laura Kelly (D) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Triton Polling & Research (I-Grow Kansas Action Fund) [161] | October 2018 | 785 | ± 3.1% | 49% | 47% | – |
Public Policy Polling (D-Western States Strategies) [150] | October 17–21, 2018 | 698 | ± 3.7% | 44% | 48% | 8% |
Public Policy Polling [162] | September 12–13, 2018 | 618 | – | 47% | 46% | 8% |
Triton Polling & Research (I-Grow Kansas Action Fund) [163] | August 2018 | – | – | 46% | 46% | 8% |
with Kris Kobach and Greg Orman
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Kris Kobach (R) | Greg Orman (I) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Triton Polling & Research (I-Grow Kansas Action Fund) [161] | October 2018 | 785 | ± 3.1% | 43% | 49% | – |
Triton Polling & Research (I-Grow Kansas Action Fund) [163] | August 2018 | – | – | 40% | 53% | 8% |
with Jeff Colyer
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Jeff Colyer (R) | Laura Kelly (D) | Greg Orman (I) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Remington (R) [160] | July 19–20, 2018 | 1,189 | ± 2.9% | 38% | 28% | 10% | 24% |
with generic Republican, Democrat, and Independent
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Generic Republican | Generic Democrat | Generic Independent | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Remington (R) [160] | July 19–20, 2018 | 1,189 | ± 2.9% | 47% | 35% | 8% | 10% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Laura Kelly | 506,727 | 48.01% | +1.88% | |
Republican | Kris Kobach | 453,645 | 42.98% | −6.84% | |
Independent | Greg Orman | 68,590 | 6.50% | N/A | |
Libertarian | Jeff Caldwell | 20,020 | 1.90% | −2.15% | |
Independent | Rick Kloos | 6,584 | 0.62% | N/A | |
Total votes | 1,055,566 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
Democratic gain from Republican |
Kelly won two of four congressional districts, including one that was carried by a Republican in the concurrent congressional elections. [165]
District | Kelly | Kobach | Orman | Representative |
---|---|---|---|---|
1st | 37% | 51% | 9% | Roger Marshall |
2nd | 51% | 41% | 5% | Lynn Jenkins (115th Congress) |
Steve Watkins (116th Congress) | ||||
3rd | 56% | 37% | 5% | Kevin Yoder (115th Congress) |
Sharice Davids (116th Congress) | ||||
4th | 44.7% | 45.4% | 8% | Ron Estes |
Kris William Kobach is an American lawyer and politician who has served as the attorney general of Kansas since 2023. He previously served as the 31st secretary of state of Kansas from 2011 to 2019.
Susan Wagle is an American politician who served as a Republican member of the Kansas Senate, representing the 30th district from 2001 to 2021. She was elected Kansas Senate President in 2013 and was reelected in 2017. She is the first woman to hold this position.
Tracey Robert Mann is an American businessman and politician who has served as the U.S. representative from Kansas's 1st congressional district since 2021. The district, popularly known as "the Big First," includes parts of 63 counties in central and western Kansas and is the seventh-largest district in the nation that does not cover an entire state.
Derek Larkin Schmidt is an American lawyer and politician who served as the Kansas Attorney General from 2011 to 2023. A Republican, Schmidt was first elected to office serving in the Kansas Senate, where he represented the 15th district from 2001 to 2011, and served as Agriculture Committee chairman and Senate majority leader. Schmidt became the state attorney general in 2011, after he defeated incumbent Democrat Stephen Six.
Laura Jeanne Kelly is an American politician serving since 2019 as the 48th governor of Kansas. A member of the Democratic Party, she represented the 18th district in the Kansas Senate from 2005 to 2019. Kelly was elected governor in 2018, defeating Republican nominee Kris Kobach. She was reelected in 2022, narrowly defeating Republican nominee Derek Schmidt by a 2.21% margin.
Tim Owens is a former Republican member of the Kansas Senate, representing the 8th district from 2008 to 2012. He was a representative for the 19th district in the Kansas House of Representatives from 2002 until his election as senator. From 1981 to 2005, he served as a council member for the Overland Park City Council, 3rd District. An attorney, he is married with 2 children.
Jean Kurtis Schodorf is an American politician. She is known for being a three-term Republican Kansas state senator and was the Democratic Party nominee for Kansas Secretary of State in 2014. She was defeated on November 4, 2014 by incumbent Kris Kobach by a margin of 59%-41%.
Jeffrey William Colyer is an American surgeon and politician who served as the 47th governor of Kansas from January 31, 2018, to January 14, 2019. A member of the Republican Party, he was the 49th lieutenant governor of Kansas from 2011 to 2018. Colyer served in the Kansas House of Representatives from 2007 to 2009 and the Kansas Senate from 2009 to 2011. He assumed the governorship when Sam Brownback resigned to become United States Ambassador-at-Large for International Religious Freedom. Colyer ran for a full term as governor in 2018, but narrowly lost the Republican primary to Kansas secretary of state Kris Kobach, who in turn lost the general election to Democratic nominee Laura Kelly.
The 2014 United States Senate election in Kansas was held on November 4, 2014, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Kansas, concurrently with other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.
The 2014 Kansas gubernatorial election took place on November 4, 2014, to elect the governor of Kansas, concurrently with the election of Kansas' Class II U.S. Senate seat, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.
A general election was held in the U.S. state of Kansas on November 4, 2014. Primary elections were held on August 5.
Gregory John Orman is an American politician, businessman, and entrepreneur. He ran as an independent to represent Kansas in the United States Senate in the 2014 election, earning 42.5 percent of the vote and losing to incumbent U.S. Senator Pat Roberts.
The 2020 United States Senate election in Kansas was held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Kansas, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.
The 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Kansas were held on November 6, 2018, to elect the four U.S. representatives from the state of Kansas, one from each of the state's four congressional districts.
Lynn Wayne Rogers is an American politician and businessman who served as the 41st Kansas State Treasurer from 2021 to 2023. He previously served as the 51st lieutenant governor of Kansas from 2019 to 2021. A Democrat, he had previously served on the board of Wichita Public Schools from 2001 to 2017, and in the Kansas Senate representing the 25th district in west Wichita from 2017 to 2019.
Willis E. "Wink" Hartman is an American businessman and political candidate from the state of Kansas.
The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Kansas were held on November 3, 2020, to elect the four U.S. representatives from the state of Kansas, one from each of the state's four congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.
The 2022 Kansas gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Kansas, with primary elections taking place on August 2, 2022. Governor Laura Kelly ran for re-election to a second term, facing Republican State Attorney General Derek Schmidt in the general election. Kelly defeated Schmidt by a margin of roughly 2.2 percentage points.
A general election was held in the state of Kansas on November 6, 2018. Primary elections were held on August 7, 2018.
The 2022 Kansas Attorney General election took place on November 8, 2022, to elect the Attorney General of Kansas. Incumbent Republican Attorney General Derek Schmidt announced he would retire to run for governor. The Republican nominee was former Kansas Secretary of State Kris Kobach, and the Democratic nominee was former police officer, prosecutor, and state securities regulator, Chris Mann. Kobach narrowly won, taking 50.80% of the general election vote to Mann's 49.20%.
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: CS1 maint: multiple names: authors list (link) CS1 maint: numeric names: authors list (link)Our primary endorsements are Laura Kelly for the Democratic primary
...the National Rifle Association Political Victory Fund (NRA-PVF) today endorsed Kris Kobach for governor of Kansas.
Debates
Official campaign websites