2018 United States House of Representatives election ratings

Last updated August 09, 2024

The 2018 United States House of Representatives elections were held on November 6, 2018, with early voting taking place in some states in the weeks preceding that date. Voters chose representatives from all 435 congressional districts across each of the 50 U.S. states. Non-voting delegates from the District of Columbia and four of the five inhabited U.S. territories ^{[lower-alpha 1]} were also elected. These midterm elections took place nearly halfway through the first term of Republican President Donald Trump. The winners will serve in the 116th United States Congress, with seats apportioned among the states based on the 2010 United States census. On Election Day, Republicans had held a House majority since January 2011 as a result of the 2010 elections.

In the 2018 midterm elections, the Democrats won control of the House and had a net gain of more than 40 seats from their total after the 2016 elections (including one seat gained previously with Conor Lamb's March 2018 special election victory). This was their largest gain of seats since the 1974 elections, when they picked up 49 seats.

Election ratings

Latest published ratings for competitive seats

Several sites and individuals publish ratings of competitive seats. The seats listed below were considered competitive (not "safe" or "solid") by at least one of the rating groups. These ratings are based upon factors such as the strength of the incumbent (if the incumbent is running for re-election), the strength of the candidates, and the partisan history of the district (the Cook Partisan Voting Index is one example of this metric). Each rating describes the likelihood of a given outcome in the election.

Most election ratings use:

Tossup: no advantage
Tilt (sometimes used): very slight advantage
Lean: significant, but not overwhelming advantage
Likely: strong, but not certain advantage
Safe or Solid: outcome is nearly certain

The following are the latest published ratings for competitive seats.

District	CPVI ^[1]^[2]	Incumbent	Previous result^[3]	Cook November 5, 2018^[4]	IE November 5, 2018^[5]	Sabato November 5, 2018^[6]	RCP November 5, 2018^[7]	Daily Kos November 5, 2018^[8]	538 November 6, 2018^{[lower-alpha 2]}^[9]	Winner^[10]
Alaska at-large	R+9	Don Young (R)	50.3% R	Lean R	Likely R	Lean R	Tossup	Lean R	Lean R	Don Young (R)
Arizona 1	R+2	Tom O'Halleran (D)	50.7% D	Lean D	Lean D	Likely D	Tossup	Likely D	Likely D	Tom O'Halleran (D)
Arizona 2	R+1	Martha McSally (R) (retiring)^{[lower-alpha 3]}	57.0% R	Lean D (flip)	Lean D (flip)	Likely D (flip)	Lean D (flip)	Likely D (flip)	Safe D (flip)	Ann Kirkpatrick (D)
Arizona 6	R+9	David Schweikert (R)	62.1% R	Likely R	Safe R	Likely R	Likely R	Safe R	Likely R	David Schweikert (R)
Arizona 8	R+13	Debbie Lesko (R)	52.4% R	Likely R	Likely R	Likely R	Likely R	Safe R	Likely R	Debbie Lesko (R)
Arizona 9	D+4	Kyrsten Sinema (D) (retiring)^{[lower-alpha 3]}	60.9% D	Safe D	Safe D	Safe D	Likely D	Safe D	Safe D	Greg Stanton (D)
Arkansas 2	R+7	French Hill (R)	58.4% R	Likely R	Likely R	Lean R	Likely R	Likely R	Likely R	French Hill (R)
California 1	R+11	Doug LaMalfa (R)	59.1% R	Likely R	Safe R	Safe R	Safe R	Safe R	Likely R	Doug LaMalfa (R)
California 4	R+10	Tom McClintock (R)	62.7% R	Likely R	Likely R	Likely R	Likely R	Likely R	Likely R	Tom McClintock (R)
California 7	D+3	Ami Bera (D)	51.2% D	Likely D	Safe D	Likely D	Lean D	Safe D	Safe D	Ami Bera (D)
California 10	EVEN	Jeff Denham (R)	51.7% R	Tossup	Tossup	Lean D (flip)	Tossup	Tossup	Likely D (flip)	Josh Harder (D)
California 16	D+9	Jim Costa (D)	58.0% D	Likely D	Safe D	Likely D	Safe D	Safe D	Safe D	Jim Costa (D)
California 21	D+5	David Valadao (R)	56.7% R	Likely R	Likely R	Lean R	Likely R	Likely R	Likely R	TJ Cox (D)
California 22	R+8	Devin Nunes (R)	67.6% R	Likely R	Safe R	Likely R	Likely R	Likely R	Safe R	Devin Nunes (R)
California 24	D+7	Salud Carbajal (D)	53.4% D	Safe D	Safe D	Likely D	Likely D	Safe D	Safe D	Salud Carbajal (D)
California 25	EVEN	Steve Knight (R)	53.1% R	Tossup	Tossup	Lean R	Tossup	Tossup	Lean D (flip)	Katie Hill (D)
California 39	EVEN	Ed Royce (R) (retiring)	57.2% R	Tossup	Tossup	Lean R	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup	Gil Cisneros (D)
California 45	R+3	Mimi Walters (R)	58.6% R	Tossup	Tossup	Lean D (flip)	Tossup	Tossup	Lean D (flip)	Katie Porter (D)
California 48	R+4	Dana Rohrabacher (R)	58.3% R	Tossup	Tilt D (flip)	Lean D (flip)	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup	Harley Rouda (D)
California 49	R+1	Darrell Issa (R) (retiring)	50.3% R	Likely D (flip)	Lean D (flip)	Likely D (flip)	Lean D (flip)	Likely D (flip)	Safe D (flip)	Mike Levin (D)
California 50	R+11	Duncan D. Hunter (R)	63.5% R	Lean R	Lean R	Lean R	Lean R	Lean R	Likely R	Duncan D. Hunter (R)
Colorado 3	R+6	Scott Tipton (R)	54.6% R	Likely R	Safe R	Lean R	Likely R	Likely R	Likely R	Scott Tipton (R)
Colorado 6	D+2	Mike Coffman (R)	50.9% R	Lean D (flip)	Tilt D (flip)	Lean D (flip)	Lean D (flip)	Lean D (flip)	Likely D (flip)	Jason Crow (D)
Florida 6	R+7	(Vacant)^{[lower-alpha 4]}	58.6% R	Lean R	Lean R	Lean R	Likely R	Lean R	Lean R	Michael Waltz (R)
Florida 7	EVEN	Stephanie Murphy (D)	51.5% D	Likely D	Likely D	Likely D	Lean D	Likely D	Likely D	Stephanie Murphy (D)
Florida 13	D+2	Charlie Crist (D)	51.9% D	Safe D	Safe D	Safe D	Likely D	Safe D	Safe D	Charlie Crist (D)
Florida 15	R+6	Dennis A. Ross (R) (retiring)	57.5% R	Tossup	Tilt R	Lean R	Tossup	Lean R	Tossup	Ross Spano (R)
Florida 16	R+7	Vern Buchanan (R)	59.8% R	Lean R	Likely R	Likely R	Lean R	Likely R	Likely R	Vern Buchanan (R)
Florida 18	R+5	Brian Mast (R)	53.6% R	Lean R	Likely R	Lean R	Lean R	Lean R	Likely R	Brian Mast (R)
Florida 25	R+4	Mario Díaz-Balart (R)	62.4% R	Lean R	Safe R	Likely R	Likely R	Likely R	Lean R	Mario Díaz-Balart (R)
Florida 26	D+6	Carlos Curbelo (R)	53.0% R	Tossup	Tossup	Lean R	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup	Debbie Mucarsel-Powell (D)
Florida 27	D+5	Ileana Ros-Lehtinen (R) (retiring)	54.9% R	Lean D (flip)	Lean D (flip)	Lean D (flip)	Tossup	Lean D (flip)	Likely D (flip)	Donna Shalala (D)
Georgia 6	R+8	Karen Handel (R)	51.8% R	Tossup	Lean R	Lean R	Tossup	Lean R	Tossup	Lucy McBath (D)
Georgia 7	R+9	Rob Woodall (R)	60.4% R	Lean R	Lean R	Lean R	Lean R	Lean R	Likely R	Rob Woodall (R)
Illinois 6	R+2	Peter Roskam (R)	59.2% R	Lean D (flip)	Tilt D (flip)	Lean D (flip)	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup	Sean Casten (D)
Illinois 12	R+5	Mike Bost (R)	54.3% R	Lean R	Tilt R	Lean R	Lean R	Lean R	Lean R	Mike Bost (R)
Illinois 13	R+3	Rodney Davis (R)	59.7% R	Lean R	Lean R	Lean R	Lean R	Lean R	Lean R	Rodney Davis (R)
Illinois 14	R+5	Randy Hultgren (R)	59.3% R	Tossup	Tossup	Lean D (flip)	Tossup	Tossup	Lean D (flip)	Lauren Underwood (D)
Indiana 2	R+11	Jackie Walorski (R)	59.3% R	Likely R	Likely R	Likely R	Likely R	Likely R	Safe R	Jackie Walorski (R)
Indiana 9	R+13	Trey Hollingsworth (R)	54.1% R	Safe R	Safe R	Likely R	Safe R	Likely R	Likely R	Trey Hollingsworth (R)
Iowa 1	D+1	Rod Blum (R)	53.7% R	Lean D (flip)	Lean D (flip)	Lean D (flip)	Lean D (flip)	Lean D (flip)	Safe D (flip)	Abby Finkenauer (D)
Iowa 2	D+1	Dave Loebsack (D)	53.7% D	Safe D	Safe D	Safe D	Likely D	Safe D	Safe D	Dave Loebsack (D)
Iowa 3	R+1	David Young (R)	53.5% R	Tossup	Tossup	Lean D (flip)	Tossup	Tossup	Lean D (flip)	Cindy Axne (D)
Iowa 4	R+11	Steve King (R)	61.2% R	Lean R	Likely R	Lean R	Lean R	Likely R	Likely R	Steve King (R)
Kansas 2	R+10	Lynn Jenkins (R) (retiring)	60.9% R	Tossup	Tossup	Lean D (flip)	Tossup	Tossup	Lean D (flip)	Steve Watkins (R)
Kansas 3	R+4	Kevin Yoder (R)	51.3% R	Lean D (flip)	Lean D (flip)	Lean D (flip)	Lean D (flip)	Lean D (flip)	Likely D (flip)	Sharice Davids (D)
Kentucky 6	R+9	Andy Barr (R)	61.1% R	Tossup	Tossup	Lean R	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup	Andy Barr (R)
Maine 2	R+2	Bruce Poliquin (R)	54.8% R	Tossup	Tossup	Lean D (flip)	Tossup	Tossup	Lean D (flip)	Jared Golden (D)
Michigan 1	R+9	Jack Bergman (R)	54.9% R	Likely R	Safe R	Likely R	Safe R	Likely R	Likely R	Jack Bergman (R)
Michigan 2	R+9	Bill Huizenga (R)	62.6% R	Safe R	Safe R	Likely R	Safe R	Safe R	Likely R	Bill Huizenga (R)
Michigan 3	R+6	Justin Amash (R)	59.5% R	Likely R	Safe R	Likely R	Safe R	Safe R	Safe R	Justin Amash (R)
Michigan 6	R+6	Fred Upton (R)	58.7% R	Lean R	Likely R	Lean R	Lean R	Lean R	Likely R	Fred Upton (R
Michigan 7	R+7	Tim Walberg (R)	55.1% R	Likely R	Likely R	Likely R	Lean R	Likely R	Tossup	Tim Walberg (R)
Michigan 8	R+4	Mike Bishop (R)	56.0% R	Tossup	Tilt D (flip)	Lean D (flip)	Tossup	Tossup	Lean D (flip)	Elissa Slotkin (D)
Michigan 11	R+4	Dave Trott (R) (retiring)	52.9% R	Lean D (flip)	Tilt D (flip)	Lean D (flip)	Tossup	Lean D (flip)	Likely D (flip)	Haley Stevens (D)
Minnesota 1	R+5	Tim Walz (D) (retiring)	50.3% D	Tossup	Tossup	Lean D	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup	Jim Hagedorn (R)
Minnesota 2	R+2	Jason Lewis (R)	47.0% R	Lean D (flip)	Tilt D (flip)	Lean D (flip)	Lean D (flip)	Tossup	Likely D (flip)	Angie Craig (D)
Minnesota 3	D+1	Erik Paulsen (R)	56.7% R	Lean D (flip)	Tilt D (flip)	Lean D (flip)	Lean D (flip)	Tossup	Likely D (flip)	Dean Phillips (D)
Minnesota 7	R+12	Collin Peterson (D)	52.5% D	Likely D	Safe D	Likely D	Tossup	Likely D	Likely D	Collin Peterson (D)
Minnesota 8	R+4	Rick Nolan (D) (retiring)	50.2% D	Lean R (flip)	Lean R (flip)	Lean R (flip)	Lean R (flip)	Lean R (flip)	Likely R (flip)	Pete Stauber (R)
Missouri 2	R+8	Ann Wagner (R)	58.5% R	Lean R	Safe R	Likely R	Likely R	Likely R	Likely R	Ann Wagner (R)
Montana at-large	R+11	Greg Gianforte (R)	49.9% R	Lean R	Likely R	Lean R	Tossup	Lean R	Likely R	Greg Gianforte (R)
Nebraska 2	R+4	Don Bacon (R)	48.9% R	Lean R	Lean R	Lean R	Lean R	Likely R	Tossup	Don Bacon (R)
Nevada 3	R+2	Jacky Rosen (D) (retiring)	47.2% D	Lean D	Tilt D	Lean D	Tossup	Lean D	Likely D	Susie Lee (D)
Nevada 4	D+3	Ruben Kihuen (D) (retiring)	48.5% D	Lean D	Lean D	Likely D	Tossup	Lean D	Likely D	Steven Horsford (D)
New Hampshire 1	R+2	Carol Shea-Porter (D) (retiring)	44.3% D	Likely D	Lean D	Likely D	Tossup	Lean D	Likely D	Chris Pappas (D)
New Hampshire 2	D+2	Ann McLane Kuster (D)	49.8% D	Safe D	Safe D	Safe D	Likely D	Safe D	Safe D	Ann McLane Kuster (D)
New Jersey 2	R+1	Frank LoBiondo (R) (retiring)	59.2% R	Likely D (flip)	Likely D (flip)	Safe D (flip)	Likely D (flip)	Safe D (flip)	Safe D (flip)	Jeff Van Drew (D)
New Jersey 3	R+2	Tom MacArthur (R)	59.3% R	Tossup	Tilt D (flip)	Lean D (flip)	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup	Andy Kim (D)
New Jersey 4	R+8	Chris Smith (R)	63.7% R	Safe R	Safe R	Safe R	Safe R	Safe R	Likely R	Chris Smith (R)
New Jersey 5	R+3	Josh Gottheimer (D)	51.1% D	Likely D	Safe D	Likely D	Likely D	Likely D	Safe D	Josh Gottheimer (D)
New Jersey 7	R+3	Leonard Lance (R)	54.1% R	Tossup	Tossup	Lean D (flip)	Lean D (flip)	Tossup	Likely D (flip)	Tom Malinowski (D)
New Jersey 11	R+3	Rodney Frelinghuysen (R) (retiring)	58.0% R	Lean D (flip)	Lean D (flip)	Lean D (flip)	Lean D (flip)	Lean D (flip)	Likely D (flip)	Mikie Sherrill (D)
New Mexico 1	D+7	Michelle Lujan Grisham (D) (retiring)	65.1% D	Safe D	Safe D	Safe D	Likely D	Safe D	Safe D	Deb Haaland (D)
New Mexico 2	R+6	Steve Pearce (R) (retiring)	62.7% R	Tossup	Tossup	Lean D (flip)	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup	Xochitl Torres Small (D)
New York 1	R+5	Lee Zeldin (R)	58.2% R	Likely R	Safe R	Lean R	Lean R	Likely R	Likely R	Lee Zeldin (R)
New York 2	R+3	Peter King (R)	57.2% R	Likely R	Safe R	Likely R	Likely R	Safe R	Lean R	Peter King (R)
New York 3	D+1	Thomas Suozzi (D)	52.4% D	Safe D	Safe D	Safe D	Likely D	Safe D	Safe D	Thomas Suozzi (D)
New York 11	R+3	Dan Donovan (R)	61.5% R	Lean R	Lean R	Lean R	Lean R	Lean R	Likely R	Max Rose (D)
New York 18	R+1	Sean Patrick Maloney (D)	55.6% D	Safe D	Safe D	Likely D	Likely D	Safe D	Safe D	Sean Patrick Maloney (D)
New York 19	R+2	John Faso (R)	54.0% R	Tossup	Tilt D (flip)	Lean D (flip)	Tossup	Tossup	Lean D (flip)	Antonio Delgado (D)
New York 21	R+4	Elise Stefanik (R)	61.6% R	Likely R	Safe R	Likely R	Safe R	Likely R	Likely R	Elise Stefanik (R)
New York 22	R+6	Claudia Tenney (R)	46.5% R	Tossup	Tilt D (flip)	Lean D (flip)	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup	Anthony Brindisi (D)
New York 23	R+6	Tom Reed (R)	57.6% R	Likely R	Safe R	Likely R	Safe R	Likely R	Likely R	Tom Reed (R)
New York 24	D+3	John Katko (R)	60.5% R	Lean R	Lean R	Lean R	Likely R	Lean R	Likely R	John Katko (R)
New York 27	R+11	Chris Collins (R)	67.2% R	Lean R	Lean R	Lean R	Lean R	Lean R	Likely R	Chris Collins (R)
North Carolina 2	R+7	George Holding (R)	56.7% R	Lean R	Lean R	Lean R	Lean R	Lean R	Likely R	George Holding (R)
North Carolina 6	R+9	Mark Walker (R)	59.2% R	Safe R	Safe R	Safe R	Safe R	Safe R	Likely R	Mark Walker (R)
North Carolina 7	R+9	David Rouzer (R)	60.9% R	Safe R	Safe R	Safe R	Safe R	Safe R	Likely R	David Rouzer (R)
North Carolina 8	R+8	Richard Hudson (R)	58.8% R	Likely R	Safe R	Likely R	Likely R	Safe R	Likely R	Richard Hudson (R)
North Carolina 9	R+8	Robert Pittenger (R) (lost renomination)	58.2% R	Tossup	Tossup	Lean D (flip)	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup	Election voided.
North Carolina 13	R+6	Ted Budd (R)	56.1% R	Tossup	Tilt R	Lean R	Lean R	Lean R	Lean R	Ted Budd (R)
Ohio 1	R+5	Steve Chabot (R)	59.2% R	Lean R	Tilt R	Lean R	Lean R	Lean R	Likely R	Steve Chabot (R)
Ohio 7	R+12	Bob Gibbs (R)	64.0% R	Safe R	Safe R	Likely R	Safe R	Likely R	Safe R	Bob Gibbs (R)
Ohio 10	R+4	Mike Turner (R)	64.1% R	Likely R	Safe R	Likely R	Likely R	Likely R	Likely R	Mike Turner (R)
Ohio 12	R+7	Troy Balderson (R)	50.1% R	Tossup	Tossup	Lean R	Lean R	Lean R	Lean R	Troy Balderson (R)
Ohio 14	R+5	David Joyce (R)	62.6% R	Likely R	Likely R	Lean R	Likely R	Likely R	Likely R	David Joyce (R)
Ohio 15	R+7	Steve Stivers (R)	66.2% R	Safe R	Safe R	Likely R	Safe R	Safe R	Safe R	Steve Stivers (R)
Ohio 16	R+8	Jim Renacci (R) (retiring)^{[lower-alpha 3]}	65.3% R	Safe R	Safe R	Safe R	Safe R	Safe R	Likely R	Anthony Gonzalez (R)
Oklahoma 5	R+10	Steve Russell (R)	57.1% R	Likely R	Safe R	Likely R	Likely R	Likely R	Likely R	Kendra Horn (D)
Oregon 5	EVEN	Kurt Schrader (D)	53.6% D	Safe D	Safe D	Safe D	Lean D	Safe D	Likely D	Kurt Schrader (D)
Pennsylvania 1	R+1	Brian Fitzpatrick (R)	–	Tossup	Tossup	Lean R	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup	Brian Fitzpatrick (R)
Pennsylvania 5	D+13	(Vacant)^{[lower-alpha 5]}	–	Likely D (flip)	Likely D (flip)	Safe D (flip)	Likely D (flip)	Safe D (flip)	Safe D (flip)	Mary Gay Scanlon (D)
Pennsylvania 6	D+2	Ryan Costello (R) (retiring)	–	Likely D (flip)	Likely D (flip)	Safe D (flip)	Likely D (flip)	Safe D (flip)	Safe D (flip)	Chrissy Houlahan (D)
Pennsylvania 7	D+1	(Vacant)^{[lower-alpha 6]}	–	Lean D (flip)	Lean D (flip)	Lean D (flip)	Lean D (flip)	Lean D (flip)	Safe D (flip)	Susan Wild (D)
Pennsylvania 8	R+1	Matt Cartwright (D)	–	Likely D	Lean D	Likely D	Likely D	Likely D	Safe D	Matt Cartwright (D)
Pennsylvania 10	R+6	Scott Perry (R)	–	Tossup	Lean R	Lean R	Tossup	Lean R	Lean R	Scott Perry (R)
Pennsylvania 11	R+14	Lloyd Smucker (R)	–	Safe R	Safe R	Safe R	Safe R	Safe R	Likely R	Lloyd Smucker (R)
Pennsylvania 14	R+14	Conor Lamb (D) (running in 17th district)	–	Likely R (flip)	Likely R (flip)	Safe R (flip)	Likely R (flip)	Safe R (flip)	Safe R (flip)	Guy Reschenthaler (R)
Pennsylvania 16	R+8	Mike Kelly (R)	–	Lean R	Likely R	Lean R	Tossup	Lean R	Likely R	Mike Kelly (R)
Pennsylvania 17	R+3	Keith Rothfus (R)	–	Likely D (flip)	Lean D (flip)	Likely D (flip)	Likely D (flip)	Likely D (flip)	Safe D (flip)	Conor Lamb (D)
South Carolina 1	R+10	Mark Sanford (R) (lost renomination)	58.6% R	Lean R	Likely R	Lean R	Lean R	Lean R	Likely R	Joe Cunningham (D)
Texas 2	R+11	Ted Poe (R) (retiring)	60.6% R	Likely R	Safe R	Likely R	Safe R	Likely R	Likely R	Dan Crenshaw (R)
Texas 6	R+9	Joe Barton (R) (retiring)	58.3% R	Likely R	Safe R	Likely R	Safe R	Safe R	Likely R	Ron Wright (R)
Texas 7	R+7	John Culberson (R)	56.2% R	Tossup	Tilt R	Lean R	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup	Lizzie Fletcher (D)
Texas 10	R+9	Michael McCaul (R)	57.3% R	Likely R	Safe R	Safe R	Safe R	Safe R	Likely R	Michael McCaul (R)
Texas 21	R+10	Lamar Smith (R) (retiring)	57.0% R	Likely R	Likely R	Likely R	Likely R	Likely R	Likely R	Chip Roy (R)
Texas 22	R+10	Pete Olson (R)	59.5% R	Lean R	Safe R	Likely R	Likely R	Safe R	Likely R	Pete Olson (R)
Texas 23	R+1	Will Hurd (R)	48.3% R	Lean R	Lean R	Lean R	Lean R	Lean R	Likely R	Will Hurd (R)
Texas 24	R+9	Kenny Marchant (R)	56.2% R	Likely R	Safe R	Safe R	Safe R	Safe R	Safe R	Kenny Marchant (R)
Texas 25	R+11	Roger Williams (R)	58.3% R	Safe R	Safe R	Safe R	Safe R	Safe R	Likely R	Roger Williams (R)
Texas 31	R+10	John Carter (R)	58.4% R	Likely R	Likely R	Likely R	Safe R	Likely R	Likely R	John Carter (R)
Texas 32	R+5	Pete Sessions (R)	71.1% R	Tossup	Tossup	Lean D (flip)	Tossup	Tossup	Lean R	Colin Allred (D)
Utah 4	R+13	Mia Love (R)	53.8% R	Tossup	Tossup	Lean D (flip)	Tossup	Tossup	Lean D (flip)	Ben McAdams (D)
Virginia 2	R+3	Scott Taylor (R)	61.3% R	Tossup	Tilt R	Lean D (flip)	Lean R	Tossup	Lean R	Elaine Luria (D)
Virginia 5	R+6	Tom Garrett (R) (retiring)	58.2% R	Lean R	Likely R	Lean R	Tossup	Lean R	Tossup	Denver Riggleman (R)
Virginia 7	R+6	Dave Brat (R)	57.5% R	Tossup	Tossup	Lean D (flip)	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup	Abigail Spanberger (D)
Virginia 10	D+1	Barbara Comstock (R)	52.7% R	Lean D (flip)	Tilt D (flip)	Lean D (flip)	Lean D (flip)	Lean D (flip)	Likely D (flip)	Jennifer Wexton (D)
Washington 3	R+4	Jaime Herrera Beutler (R)	61.8% R	Lean R	Likely R	Lean R	Lean R	Lean R	Lean R	Jaime Herrera Beutler (R)
Washington 5	R+8	Cathy McMorris Rodgers (R)	59.6% R	Lean R	Likely R	Lean R	Lean R	Lean R	Likely R	Cathy McMorris Rodgers (R)
Washington 8	EVEN	Dave Reichert (R) (retiring)	60.2% R	Lean D (flip)	Tossup	Lean D (flip)	Tossup	Tossup	Lean D (flip)	Kim Schrier (D)
West Virginia 2	R+17	Alex Mooney (R)	58.2% R	Likely R	Safe R	Safe R	Safe R	Safe R	Likely R	Alex Mooney (R)
West Virginia 3	R+23	(Vacant)^{[lower-alpha 7]}	67.9% R	Lean R	Lean R	Lean R	Lean R	Lean R	Likely R	Carol Miller (R)
Wisconsin 1	R+5	Paul Ryan (R) (retiring)	65.0% R	Lean R	Lean R	Lean R	Lean R	Lean R	Likely R	Bryan Steil (R)
Wisconsin 3	EVEN	Ron Kind (D)	98.9% D	Safe D	Safe D	Safe D	Likely D	Safe D	Safe D	Ron Kind (D)
Wisconsin 6	R+8	Glenn Grothman (R)	57.2% R	Likely R	Safe R	Likely R	Safe R	Likely R	Safe R	Glenn Grothman (R)
Overall				D - 210 R - 194 30 tossups	D - 214 R - 202 19 tossups	D - 228 R - 207 0 tossups	D - 203 R - 194 38 tossups	D - 206 R - 199 30 tossups	D - 220 R - 197 18 tossups	D - 235 R - 199 1 voided

Generic ballot polls

The following is a list of generic party ballot polls conducted in advance of the 2018 House of Representatives elections.

Polling aggregates

Source of poll aggregation	Date updated	Dates polled	Democratic	Republican	Lead
FiveThirtyEight ^[11]	Nov 6, 2018	Until Nov 5, 2018	50.7%	42.0%	+8.7%
RealClearPolitics ^[12]	Nov 6, 2018	Oct 13, 2018 - Nov 3, 2018	49.7%	42.4%	+7.3%
Average			50.2%	42.2%	+8.0%

Notes

↑ Not including the Resident Commissioner of Puerto Rico, who serves a four-year term.
↑ Reflects the "Classic" version of the forecast model.
1 2 3 Retired to run for senate
↑ Ron DeSantis resigned in September 2018, seat remained vacant until the start of the next Congress
↑ Pat Meehan (R) resigned in April, Mary Gay Scanlon (D) won a simultaneous special election to fill the remainder of Meehan's term.
↑ Charlie Dent (R) resigned in May, Susan Wild (D) won a simultaneous special election to fill the remainder of Dent's term.
↑ Evan Jenkins resigned in September 2018, seat remained vacant until the start of the next Congress

Related Research Articles

The 2008 United States House of Representatives election in Alaska was held on November 4, 2008, to determine who will represent the state of Alaska in the United States House of Representatives. Alaska has one seat in the House, apportioned according to the 2000 United States census. Representatives are elected for two-year terms; whoever was elected would serve in the 111th Congress from January 4, 2009, until January 3, 2011. The election coincided with the nationwide presidential election. The primary election was held August 26, 2008.

The 2008 congressional elections in Arizona were held on November 4, 2008, to determine who would represent the state of Arizona in the United States House of Representatives, coinciding with the presidential election. Representatives are elected for two-year terms; those elected would serve in the 111th Congress from January 4, 2009, until January 3, 2011.

The 2008 congressional elections in Idaho were held on November 4, 2008 to determine who would represent the state of Idaho in the United States House of Representatives, coinciding with the presidential and senatorial elections. Representatives are elected for two-year terms; those elected were to serve in the 111th Congress from January 3, 2009 until January 3, 2011.

The 2008 congressional elections in New Mexico were held on November 4, 2008 to determine New Mexico's representation in the United States House of Representatives. The party primary elections were held June 3, 2008. Martin Heinrich, Harry Teague, and Ben Ray Luján, all Democrats, were elected to represent New Mexico in the House. Representatives are elected for two-year terms; the winners of the election currently serve in the 111th Congress, which began on January 4, 2009 and is scheduled to end on January 3, 2011. The election coincided with the 2008 U.S. presidential election and senatorial elections.

The 2018 United States Senate elections were held on November 6, 2018. Among the 100 seats, the 33 of Class 1 were contested in regular elections while 2 others were contested in special elections due to Senate vacancies in Minnesota and Mississippi. The regular election winners were elected to 6-year terms running from January 3, 2019, to January 3, 2025. Senate Democrats had 26 seats up for election, while Senate Republicans had 9 seats up for election.

The 2018 United States House of Representatives elections were held on November 6, 2018, as part of the 2018 midterm elections during President Donald Trump's term, with early voting taking place in some states in the weeks preceding that date. Voters chose representatives from all 435 congressional districts across each of the 50 U.S. states to serve in the 116th United States Congress. Non-voting delegates from the District of Columbia and four of the five inhabited U.S. territories were also elected. On Election Day, Republicans had held a House majority since January 2011.

The 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Oklahoma were held on November 6, 2018, to elect the five U.S. representatives from the state of Oklahoma, one from each of the state's five congressional districts. The elections coincided with other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections. Primary elections were held on June 26 and runoff elections were held two months later on August 28. The state's U.S. House delegation Republican majority changed from 5–0 to 4–1. As of 2023 this is the only time since 2010 that Democrats won any house race in Oklahoma.

The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Rhode Island was held on November 3, 2020 to elect the two U.S. representatives from the state of Rhode Island, one from each of the state's 2 congressional districts. The elections will coincide with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.

The 2020 United States House of Representatives election in Delaware was held on November 3, 2020, to elect the U.S. representative from Delaware's at-large congressional district. The election coincided with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections. The Democratic and Republican primaries was held on September 15, 2020.

The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Arkansas were held on November 3, 2020, to elect the four U.S. representatives from the state of Arkansas, one from each of the state's four congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections.

The 2020 United States House of Representatives election in North Dakota was held on November 3, 2020, to elect the U.S. representative from North Dakota's at-large congressional district. The election coincided with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.

The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections were held November 3, 2020, to elect representatives from all 435 congressional districts across each of the 50 U.S. states. The six non-voting delegates from the District of Columbia and the inhabited U.S. territories were also elected. Numerous federal, state, and local elections, including the 2020 presidential election and the 2020 Senate elections, were also held on this date.

The 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Mississippi were held on November 8, 2022, to elect the four U.S. representatives from the state of Mississippi, one from each of the state's four congressional districts. The elections coincided with other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.

The 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in New Mexico were held on November 8, 2022, to elect the three U.S. representatives from the state of New Mexico, one from each of the state's three congressional districts. The elections coincided with the New Mexico gubernatorial election and various state and local elections. The Democratic party gained the 2nd Congressional seat, gaining unitary control of New Mexico's Congressional delegation for the first time since 2018 and improving the advantage in the House delegation for New Mexico from 2–1 in favor of Democrats to 3–0.

The 2022 United States House of Representatives election in Delaware was held on November 8, 2022, to elect the U.S. representative from Delaware's at-large congressional district. The election coincided with other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections. The incumbent Democrat Lisa Blunt Rochester won re-election to a fourth term.

The 2016 United States House of Representatives elections were held November 8, 2016, to elect representatives from all 435 congressional districts across each of the 50 U.S. states. The six non-voting delegates from the District of Columbia and the inhabited U.S. territories were also elected. Numerous federal, state, and local elections, including the 2016 presidential election and the 2016 Senate elections, were also held on this date.

The 2014 United States House of Representatives elections were held on November 4, 2014, with early voting taking place in some states in the weeks preceding that date. Voters chose representatives from all 435 congressional districts across each of the 50 U.S. states. Non-voting delegates from the District of Columbia and four of the five inhabited U.S. territories were also elected. These midterm elections took place nearly halfway through the second term of Democratic President Barack Obama. The winners served in the 114th United States Congress, with seats apportioned among the states based on the 2010 United States census. On Election Day, Republicans had held a House majority since January 2011 as a result of the 2010 elections.

The 2012 United States House of Representatives elections were held November 6, 2012, to elect representatives from all 435 congressional districts across each of the 50 U.S. states. The six non-voting delegates from the District of Columbia and the inhabited U.S. territories will also be elected. Numerous federal, state, and local elections, including the 2012 presidential election and the 2012 Senate elections, were also held on this date.

The 2010 United States House of Representatives elections were held on November 2, 2010, with early voting taking place in some states in the weeks preceding that date. Voters chose representatives from all 435 congressional districts across each of the 50 U.S. states. Non-voting delegates from the District of Columbia and four of the five inhabited U.S. territories were also elected. These midterm elections took place nearly halfway through the first term of Democratic President Barack Obama. The winners served in the 112th United States Congress, with seats apportioned among the states based on the 2000 United States census. On Election Day, Democrats had held a House majority since January 2007 as a result of the 2006 elections.

The 2022 United States House of Representatives elections were held November 8, 2022, to elect representatives from all 435 congressional districts across each of the 50 U.S. states. Five of the six non-voting delegates from the District of Columbia and the inhabited U.S. territories were also elected. Numerous federal, state, and local elections, including the 2022 U.S. Senate elections, were also held on this date.

References

↑ Wasserman, David; Flinn, Ally (April 11, 2018). "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index". Cook Political Report. Retrieved April 11, 2018.
↑ Wasserman, David (April 11, 2018). "New Pennsylvania Map Is a Major Boost for Democrats". Cook Political Report. Retrieved April 11, 2018.
↑ "2016 House Election Results". Politico. December 13, 2016. Retrieved February 14, 2017.
↑ "2018 House Race Ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved October 30, 2018.
↑ "2018 House Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved November 5, 2018.
↑ "2018 House". Sabato's Crystal Ball . Retrieved November 5, 2018.
↑ "Battle for the House 2018". RCP. Retrieved November 5, 2018.
↑ "Daily Kos Elections 2018 race ratings". Daily Kos . Retrieved November 5, 2018.^{[ permanent dead link ]}
↑ Silver, Nate (August 16, 2018). "2018 House Forecast". FiveThirtyEight . Retrieved November 6, 2018.
↑ "House Election Results: Democrats Take Control". The New York Times. November 7, 2018. Retrieved November 7, 2018.
↑ FiveThirtyEight
↑ RealClearPolitics

This page is based on this Wikipedia article
Text is available under the CC BY-SA 4.0 license; additional terms may apply.
Images, videos and audio are available under their respective licenses.

[1] Not including the Resident Commissioner of Puerto Rico, who serves a four-year term.

[10] Reflects the "Classic" version of the forecast model.

[Senate-13] 1 2 3 Retired to run for senate

[DeSantis-14] Ron DeSantis resigned in September 2018, seat remained vacant until the start of the next Congress

[Meehan-15] Pat Meehan (R) resigned in April, Mary Gay Scanlon (D) won a simultaneous special election to fill the remainder of Meehan's term.

[Dent-16] Charlie Dent (R) resigned in May, Susan Wild (D) won a simultaneous special election to fill the remainder of Dent's term.

[Jenkins-17] Evan Jenkins resigned in September 2018, seat remained vacant until the start of the next Congress

[cpvi-2] Wasserman, David; Flinn, Ally (April 11, 2018). "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index". Cook Political Report. Retrieved April 11, 2018.

[papvi-3] Wasserman, David (April 11, 2018). "New Pennsylvania Map Is a Major Boost for Democrats". Cook Political Report. Retrieved April 11, 2018.

[2016results-4] "2016 House Election Results". Politico. December 13, 2016. Retrieved February 14, 2017.

[CPRratings1-5] "2018 House Race Ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved October 30, 2018.

[6] "2018 House Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved November 5, 2018.

[7] "2018 House". Sabato's Crystal Ball . Retrieved November 5, 2018.

[8] "Battle for the House 2018". RCP. Retrieved November 5, 2018.

[9] "Daily Kos Elections 2018 race ratings". Daily Kos . Retrieved November 5, 2018.^{[ permanent dead link ]}

[11] Silver, Nate (August 16, 2018). "2018 House Forecast". FiveThirtyEight . Retrieved November 6, 2018.

[12] "House Election Results: Democrats Take Control". The New York Times. November 7, 2018. Retrieved November 7, 2018.

[18] FiveThirtyEight

[19] RealClearPolitics

[lower-alpha 1]

[1]

[2]

[3]

[4]

[5]

[6]

[7]

[8]

[lower-alpha 2]

[9]

[10]

[lower-alpha 3]

[lower-alpha 4]

[lower-alpha 5]

[lower-alpha 6]

[lower-alpha 7]

[11]

[12]

v t e (2017 ←) 2018 United States elections (→ 2019)
U.S. Senate	Arizona California Connecticut Delaware Florida Hawaii Indiana Maine Maryland Massachusetts Michigan Minnesota Minnesota (special) Mississippi Mississippi (special) Missouri Montana Nebraska Nevada New Jersey New Mexico New York North Dakota Ohio Pennsylvania Rhode Island Tennessee Texas Utah Vermont Virginia Washington West Virginia Wisconsin Wyoming
U.S. House (election ratings)	Alabama Alaska American Samoa Arizona 8th sp Arkansas California 10th 21st 39th Colorado Connecticut Delaware District of Columbia Florida Georgia Guam Hawaii Idaho Illinois Indiana Iowa Kansas Kentucky Louisiana Maine Maryland Massachusetts Michigan 13th sp Minnesota Mississippi Missouri Montana Nebraska Nevada New Hampshire New Jersey New Mexico New York 14th 25th sp North Carolina 9th North Dakota Northern Mariana Islands Ohio 12th sp Oklahoma Oregon Pennsylvania 7th and 15th sp 18th sp Rhode Island South Carolina South Dakota Tennessee Texas 27th sp Utah Vermont Virginia 10th U.S. Virgin Islands Washington West Virginia Wisconsin Wyoming
Governors	Alabama Alaska Arizona Arkansas California Lt. Gov Colorado Connecticut Florida Georgia Lt. Gov Guam Hawaii Idaho Illinois Iowa Kansas Maine Maryland Massachusetts Michigan Minnesota Nebraska Nevada New Hampshire New Mexico New York Northern Mariana Islands Ohio Oklahoma Oregon Pennsylvania Rhode Island South Carolina South Dakota Tennessee Texas U.S. Virgin Islands Vermont Wisconsin Wyoming
Attorneys general	Alabama Arizona Arkansas California Colorado Connecticut Delaware District of Columbia Florida Georgia Guam Idaho Illinois Iowa Kansas Maryland Massachusetts Michigan Minnesota Nevada New Mexico New York North Dakota Ohio Oklahoma Rhode Island South Carolina South Dakota Texas Vermont Wisconsin
State legislatures	Alabama House Senate Alaska House Senate Arizona House Senate California Assembly Senate Colorado House Senate Connecticut House Senate Delaware House Senate Florida House Senate Georgia House Senate Hawaii House Senate Illinois House Senate Indiana Senate Iowa House Senate Kentucky House Senate Maine House Senate Maryland House Senate Massachusetts Senate Michigan House Senate Minnesota House Montana House Senate Nebraska Nevada Senate New Hampshire House Senate New Mexico House New York Assembly Senate North Carolina House Senate Ohio House Senate Oregon Pennsylvania House Senate South Carolina House Texas House Senate Utah House Senate Vermont House Senate Washington House Senate West Virginia Senate Wisconsin Assembly Senate Wyoming House Senate
Mayors	Alexandria, VA Anaheim, CA Anchorage, AK Auburn, AL Austin, TX Burlington, VT Chula Vista, CA Fairfax, VA Fort Lauderdale, FL Franklin, VA Irvine, CA Laredo, TX Lexington, KY Little Rock, AR Long Beach, CA Louisville, KY Lubbock, TX Nashville, TN (special) Newark, NJ Newport News, VA Oakland, CA Oklahoma City, OK Phoenix, AZ (special) Providence, RI Radford, VA Reno, NV San Bernardino, CA San Francisco, CA (special) San Jose, CA Santa Ana, CA Tallahassee, FL Virginia Beach, VA (special) Washington, DC
Local	Anchorage, AK Cook County, IL Cuyahoga County, OH Executive Council El Paso, TX El Paso County, CO Los Angeles County, CA Orange County, CA San Diego, CA San Francisco, CA
State-wide	Alabama Alaska American Samoa Arizona Arkansas California Colorado Connecticut Delaware Florida Georgia Guam Hawaii Idaho Illinois Indiana Iowa Kansas Kentucky Louisiana Maine Maryland Massachusetts Michigan Minnesota Mississippi Missouri Montana Nebraska Nevada New Hampshire New Jersey New Mexico New York North Carolina North Dakota Northern Mariana Islands Ohio Oklahoma Oregon Pennsylvania Rhode Island South Carolina South Dakota Tennessee Texas U.S. Virgin Islands Utah Vermont Virginia Washington West Virginia Wisconsin Wyoming
Related	Russian interference in the 2018 United States elections