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Wolf: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Wagner: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% 50% No data | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Pennsylvania |
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Government |
The 2018 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2018, to elect the Governor and Lieutenant Governor of Pennsylvania, concurrently with the election of Pennsylvania's Class I U.S. Senate seat, as well as elections to the United States House of Representatives and various local elections. Incumbent Governor Tom Wolf won re-election to a second term by a double-digit margin, defeating Republican challenger Scott Wagner and two third-party candidates from the Green Party, Paul Glover and Libertarian Party, Ken Krawchuk. [1] [2] The primary elections were held on May 15. [3] This was the only Democratic-held governorship up for election in a state that Donald Trump won in the 2016 presidential election.
Republicans flipped the counties of Lawrence, Greene, Fayette, Cambria, Clinton, Northumberland, Carbon, and Schuylkill. Meanwhile, this was the first time since Bob Casey Jr.'s landslide State Treasurer win in 2004 that Cumberland County voted for the Democrat in a statewide election.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Tom Wolf (incumbent) | 741,676 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 741,676 | 100.0 |
Incumbent Lieutenant Governor Mike Stack faced several controversies during his term, including mistreatment of state police officers assigned as his security detail. [4] As a result, he faced several challengers in the primary, including 2016 Senate candidate John Fetterman. Stack was ultimately defeated by Fetterman, placing fourth overall.
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Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Aryanna Berringer | Kathi Cozzone | Madeleine Dean | John Fetterman | Craig Lehman | Mike Stack | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Independence Communications & Campaigns, LLC [27] | February 2–4, 2018 | 467 | ± 4.53% | 2% | 10% | 4% | 20% | 1% | 8% | 55% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | John Fetterman | 288,229 | 38.0 | |
Democratic | Nina Ahmad | 182,309 | 23.8 | |
Democratic | Kathi Cozzone | 142,410 | 18.6 | |
Democratic | Mike Stack (incumbent) | 127,259 | 16.6 | |
Democratic | Ray Sosa | 27,427 | 3.6 | |
Total votes | 767,634 | 100.0 |
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Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Laura Ellsworth | Paul Mango | Scott Wagner | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Susquehanna Polling & Research [60] | May 4–8, 2018 | 545 | ± 4.2% | 18% | 23% | 37% | 1% | 22% |
ColdSpark Media (R-Ellsworth) [61] | May 2018 | – | – | 17% | 24% | 28% | – | 30% |
McLaughlin & Associates (R-Wagner) [62] | April 2–3, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 9% | 24% | 50% | – | 17% |
Revily (R-American Principles Project) [63] | March 13–15, 2018 | 800 | ± 3.4% | 4% | 18% | 20% | – | 57% |
McLaughlin & Associates (R-Wagner) [64] | September 18–20, 2017 | 400 | ± 4.9% | – | 16% | 45% | – | 39% |
5% | 13% | 45% | – | 37% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Scott Wagner | Paul Mango | Mike Turzai | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
McLaughlin & Associates (R-Wagner) [65] | April 9–10, 2017 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 38% | 8% | 10% | 45% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Scott Wagner | Paul Mango | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
McLaughlin & Associates (R-Wagner) [66] | September 18–20, 2017 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 45% | 16% | 39% |
McLaughlin & Associates (R-Wagner) [65] | April 9–10, 2017 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 42% | 13% | 46% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Scott Wagner | 324,013 | 44.3 | |
Republican | Paul Mango | 270,014 | 36.9 | |
Republican | Laura Ellsworth | 137,650 | 18.8 | |
Total votes | 731,677 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Jeff Bartos | 317,619 | 46.8 | |
Republican | Kathy Coder | 147,805 | 21.8 | |
Republican | Diana Irey Vaughan | 119,400 | 17.6 | |
Republican | Peg Luksik | 93,667 | 13.8 | |
Total votes | 678,491 | 100.0 |
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Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [107] | Likely D | October 26, 2018 |
The Washington Post [108] | Likely D | November 5, 2018 |
FiveThirtyEight [109] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
Rothenberg Political Report [110] | Likely D | November 1, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [111] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
RealClearPolitics [112] | Safe D | November 4, 2018 |
Daily Kos [113] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
Fox News [114] [a] | Likely D | November 5, 2018 |
Politico [115] | Likely D | November 5, 2018 |
Governing [116] | Likely D | November 5, 2018 |
Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Tom Wolf (D) | Scott Wagner (R) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Change Research [117] | November 2–4, 2018 | 1,833 | – | 53% | 42% | 3% [118] | – |
Research Co. [119] | November 1–3, 2018 | 450 | ± 4.6% | 54% | 39% | 1% | 6% |
Muhlenberg College [120] | October 28 – November 1, 2018 | 421 | ± 5.5% | 58% | 37% | – | – |
Franklin & Marshall College [121] | October 22–28, 2018 | 214 LV | ± 9.5% | 59% | 33% | – | 5% |
537 RV | ± 6.0% | 57% | 27% | 6% [122] | 10% | ||
Morning Consult [123] | October 1–2, 2018 | 1,188 | ± 3.0% | 48% | 36% | – | 16% |
Franklin & Marshall College [124] | September 17–23, 2018 | 204 LV | – | 52% | 30% | – | 17% |
545 RV | ± 6.1% | 52% | 28% | 2% [125] | 18% | ||
Ipsos [126] | September 12–20, 2018 | 1,080 | ± 3.0% | 55% | 38% | 2% | 6% |
Muhlenberg College [127] | September 13–19, 2018 | 404 | ± 5.5% | 55% | 36% | 6% [128] | 2% |
Rasmussen Reports [129] | September 12–13, 2018 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 52% | 40% | 3% | 5% |
Franklin & Marshall College [130] | August 20–26, 2018 | 222 LV | – | 52% | 35% | 1% | 12% |
511 RV | ± 6.1% | 51% | 32% | 5% [131] | 14% | ||
Marist College [132] | August 12–16, 2018 | 713 | ± 4.2% | 54% | 40% | <1% | 6% |
Commonwealth Leaders Fund (R) [133] | August 13–15, 2018 | 2,012 | ± 3.6% | 46% | 43% | 3% | 8% |
Suffolk University [134] | June 21–25, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 49% | 36% | 1% | 14% |
Franklin & Marshall College [135] | June 4–10, 2018 | 472 | ± 6.5% | 48% | 29% | 1% | 23% |
Muhlenberg College [136] | April 4–12, 2018 | 414 | ± 5.5% | 47% | 31% | 5% | 16% |
Franklin & Marshall College [137] | March 19–26, 2018 | 137 | ± 6.8% | 38% | 21% | 6% | 35% |
with Paul Mango
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Tom Wolf (D) | Paul Mango (R) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Muhlenberg College [136] | April 4–12, 2018 | 414 | ± 5.5% | 47% | 27% | 5% | 22% |
Franklin & Marshall College [137] | March 19–26, 2018 | 143 | ± 6.8% | 49% | 22% | 4% | 25% |
with Laura Ellsworth
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Tom Wolf (D) | Laura Ellsworth (R) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Muhlenberg College [136] | April 4–12, 2018 | 414 | ± 5.5% | 46% | 26% | 4% | 24% |
Franklin & Marshall College [137] | March 19–26, 2018 | 143 | ± 6.8% | 51% | 22% | 2% | 25% |
The election was not close, with Wolf defeating Wagner by about 17 percentage points. Wolf won by running up large margins in Allegheny County, including Pittsburgh, and Philadelphia County, including Philadelphia. Wolf's victory can also be attributed to his strong performance in Philadelphia suburbs.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Tom Wolf (incumbent) John Fetterman | 2,895,652 | 57.77% | +2.84% | |
Republican | Scott Wagner Jeff Bartos | 2,039,882 | 40.70% | −4.37% | |
Libertarian | Ken Krawchuk Kathleen Smith | 49,229 | 0.98% | N/A | |
Green | Paul Glover Jocolyn Bowser-Bostick | 27,792 | 0.55% | N/A | |
Total votes | 5,012,555 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
Democratic hold |
Wolf won 12 of 18 congressional districts, including 3 that elected Republicans. [139]
District | Wagner | Wolf | Representative |
---|---|---|---|
1st | 40% | 59% | Brian Fitzpatrick |
2nd | 20% | 79% | Brendan Boyle |
3rd | 5% | 93% | Dwight Evans |
4th | 32% | 66% | Madeleine Dean |
5th | 29% | 69% | Mary Gay Scanlon |
6th | 37% | 61% | Chrissy Houlahan |
7th | 39% | 59% | Susan Wild |
8th | 43% | 56% | Matt Cartwright |
9th | 54% | 44% | Dan Meuser |
10th | 44% | 54% | Scott Perry |
11th | 53% | 45% | Lloyd Smucker |
12th | 59% | 39% | Tom Marino |
13th | 63% | 35% | John Joyce |
14th | 51% | 48% | Guy Reschenthaler |
15th | 60% | 38% | Glenn Thompson |
16th | 48.8% | 49.5% | Mike Kelly |
17th | 39% | 59% | Conor Lamb |
18th | 26% | 72% | Mike Doyle |
John Karl Fetterman is an American politician serving as the junior United States senator from Pennsylvania since 2023. A member of the Democratic Party, he served as the mayor of Braddock, Pennsylvania, from 2006 to 2019 and as the 34th lieutenant governor of Pennsylvania from 2019 to 2023.
The Pennsylvania Democratic Party is the affiliate of the Democratic Party in the U.S. state of Pennsylvania. It is headquartered in Harrisburg and is the largest political party in the state. Its chair is Senator Sharif Street.
Jacob Doyle Corman III is an American politician who served as the president pro tempore of the Pennsylvania Senate from 2020 to 2022.
Kim Lee Ward is an American politician who currently serves as President pro tempore of the Pennsylvania Senate. She was first elected to the state senate in 2008, and represents the 39th Senatorial District which covers the central portions of Westmoreland County, Pennsylvania. Following the resignation of Lieutenant Governor John Fetterman, Ward became acting lieutenant governor of Pennsylvania on January 3, 2023, and served until January 17, 2023. She is the first female president pro tempore of the Pennsylvania Senate.
James R. Brewster is an American politician who has served as a member of the Pennsylvania Senate for the 45th District since 2010.
The 2014 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election was held on November 4, 2014, to elect the governor and lieutenant governor of Pennsylvania, concurrently with elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.
The 2016 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania took place on November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in numerous other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. The primaries were held on April 26. Incumbent Republican U.S. Senator Pat Toomey was reelected to a second term in a close race, defeating Democratic nominee Katie McGinty and Libertarian Party nominee Edward Clifford. With a margin of 1.43%, this election was the second-closest race of the 2016 Senate election cycle, behind only the election in New Hampshire.
Scott R. Wagner is an American businessman and politician from the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania. He represented the 28th district in the Pennsylvania State Senate. He was the Republican nominee for Governor of Pennsylvania in the 2018 election, losing by more than 800,000 votes to incumbent Democrat Tom Wolf.
The 2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Pennsylvania were held on November 8, 2016, to elect the 18 U.S. representatives from the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania, one from each of the state's 18 congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections. The primaries were held on April 26.
The 2018 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania took place on November 6, 2018, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Pennsylvania, concurrently with other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections. This was one of ten Democratic-held Senate seats up for election in a state that Donald Trump won in the 2016 presidential election. The primary elections were held on May 15. Incumbent Democratic Senator Bob Casey Jr. ran for re-election to a third term. Casey, who faced no primary opposition, defeated the Republican nominee, Lou Barletta, Green Party nominee Neal Gale, and Libertarian Party nominee Dale Kerns. Casey was the first senator to be elected to a third term from Pennsylvania since Arlen Specter in 1992, and the first Pennsylvania Democrat to be popularly elected to three terms in the Senate.
The 2022 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania. Democratic lieutenant governor John Fetterman won his first term in office, defeating Republican surgeon Mehmet Oz. Fetterman succeeded Republican incumbent senator Pat Toomey, who did not seek re-election after two terms. This was the only U.S. Senate seat to flip parties in 2022.
The 2022 United States Senate election in Wisconsin was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate from Wisconsin. The party primaries were held on August 9, 2022. Incumbent Republican Senator Ron Johnson won election to a third term, defeating Democratic Lieutenant Governor Mandela Barnes by 26,718 votes—a one-point margin of victory.
The 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Pennsylvania were held on November 6, 2018, to elect the 18 U.S. representatives from the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania, one from each of the state's 18 congressional districts.
A special election for Pennsylvania's 18th congressional district was held on March 13, 2018, following the resignation of Republican representative Tim Murphy. Murphy, who held the seat since January 3, 2003, declared his intent to resign on October 5, 2017, and vacated his seat on October 21 that year. Democrat Conor Lamb defeated Republican Rick Saccone 49.86% to 49.53%. Saccone conceded the race eight days after the election.
A special election was held on May 21, 2019, to fill the remainder of the term for Pennsylvania's 12th congressional district in the United States House of Representatives for the 116th United States Congress. Tom Marino, a Republican, resigned from office effective January 23.
The 2022 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election was held on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor and lieutenant governor of Pennsylvania. Democratic state attorney general Josh Shapiro defeated Republican state senator Doug Mastriano to win his first term in office. Shapiro succeeded Democratic incumbent Tom Wolf, who was term limited.
The 2018 Pennsylvania state elections took place on November 6, 2018. On that date, the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania held elections for the following offices: Governor and Lieutenant Governor, U.S. Senate, U.S. House of Representatives, Pennsylvania State Senate, Pennsylvania House of Representatives, and various others. Primary elections took place on May 15, 2018.
The Pennsylvania Auditor General election of 2020 took place on November 3, 2020. Primary elections were originally due to take place on April 28, 2020. However, following concerns regarding the coronavirus pandemic the primaries were delayed until June 2, 2020. Under the Pennsylvania Constitution incumbent Democratic Auditor General Eugene DePasquale was ineligible to seek a third consecutive term.
The 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Pennsylvania were held on November 8, 2022, to elect representatives for the seventeen seats in Pennsylvania.
Pennsylvania held statewide elections on November 7, 2017, to fill judicial positions on the Supreme Court, Superior Court, and the Commonwealth Court, to allow judicial retention votes, and to fill numerous county, local and municipal offices.
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