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Sisolak: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Laxalt: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Lord: >90% Tie: 40–50% 50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Nevada |
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Nevadaportal |
The 2018 Nevada gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2018, to elect the next governor of Nevada. Incumbent Republican governor Brian Sandoval was ineligible to run for re-election due to the absolute two-term limit established by the Nevada Constitution. Nevada is one of eight U.S. states (or nine U.S. states and territory) that prohibits its governors or any other state and territorial executive branch officials from serving more than two terms, even if they are nonconsecutive.
The candidate filing deadline was March 16, 2018 and the primary election was held on June 12, 2018. [1] The Republican nominee was Adam Laxalt and the Democratic nominee was Steve Sisolak. Sisolak won the election, becoming the first Democrat to be elected governor of Nevada since Bob Miller won his second full term in 1994, and the first non-incumbent Democrat to win since 1982. This was one of eight Republican-held governorships up for election in a state won by Hillary Clinton in the 2016 presidential election. As of 2024, this is the only time a Democrat was elected governor of Nevada in the 21st century.
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Adam Laxalt | Dan Schwartz | Jared Fisher | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Mellman Group | April 12–19, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 55% | 4% | 2% | 38% |
WPA Intelligence (R) | August 6–8, 2017 | 302 | ± 5.7% | 64% | 5% | – | 31% |
Doug Schoen (D) | July 7–20, 2017 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 34% | 30% | – | 35% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Adam Laxalt | 101,651 | 71.49% | |
Republican | Dan Schwartz | 12,919 | 9.09% | |
Republican | Jared Fisher | 6,696 | 4.71% | |
Republican | Stephanie Carlisle | 6,401 | 4.50% | |
None of These Candidates | 6,136 | 4.32% | ||
Republican | William Boyd | 6,028 | 4.24% | |
Republican | Stan Lusak | 1,011 | 0.71% | |
Republican | Frederick Conquest | 766 | 0.54% | |
Republican | Edward Dundas | 576 | 0.41% | |
Total votes | 142,184 | 100.00% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Chris Giunchigliani | Steve Sisolak | None of these | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benenson Strategy Group (D-Women Vote!) | May 21–23, 2018 | 608 | ± 4.0% | 35% | 38% | 11% | 2% | 13% |
The Mellman Group | April 12–19, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 16% | 44% | – | – | 40% |
Expedition Strategies (D-Giunchigliani) | March 17–19, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 31% | 27% | 18% | – | 23% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Steve Sisolak | 72,749 | 50.03% | |
Democratic | Chris Giunchigliani | 56,511 | 38.86% | |
None of These Candidates | 5,069 | 3.49% | ||
Democratic | John Bonaventura | 4,351 | 2.99% | |
Democratic | Henry Thorns | 2,761 | 1.90% | |
Democratic | David Jones | 2,511 | 1.73% | |
Democratic | Asheesh Dewan | 1,468 | 1.01% | |
Total votes | 145,420 | 100.00% |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [80] | Tossup | October 26, 2018 |
The Washington Post [81] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
FiveThirtyEight [82] | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
Rothenberg Political Report [83] | Tilt D (flip) | November 1, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [84] | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
RealClearPolitics [85] | Tossup | November 4, 2018 |
Daily Kos [86] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
Fox News [87] [a] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
Politico [88] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
Governing [89] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Adam Laxalt (R) | Steve Sisolak (D) | Jared Lord (L) | Ryan Bundy (I) | None of these | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HarrisX | November 3–5, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 44% | 45% | – | – | – | – | – |
HarrisX | November 2–4, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 45% | 44% | – | – | – | – | – |
Emerson College | November 1–4, 2018 | 1,197 | ± 3.0% | 47% | 48% | – | – | – | 4% | 2% |
HarrisX | November 1–3, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 45% | 44% | – | – | – | – | – |
HarrisX | October 31 – November 2, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 47% | 43% | – | – | – | – | – |
HarrisX | October 30 – November 1, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 46% | 43% | – | – | – | – | – |
The Trafalgar Group (R) | October 29 – November 1, 2018 | 2,587 | ± 1.9% | 47% | 45% | – | – | – | 4% | 4% |
HarrisX | October 29–31, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 45% | 45% | – | – | – | – | – |
HarrisX | October 24–30, 2018 | 1,400 | ± 2.6% | 43% | 45% | – | – | – | – | – |
CNN/SSRS | October 24–29, 2018 | 622 LV | ± 4.8% | 45% | 46% | 2% | – | 5% | 0% | 2% |
807 RV | ± 4.2% | 40% | 44% | 3% | – | 9% | 0% | 3% | ||
Gravis Marketing Archived November 5, 2018, at the Wayback Machine | October 24–26, 2018 | 773 | ± 3.5% | 44% | 46% | – | – | – | – | 10% |
Ipsos | October 12–19, 2018 | 1,137 | ± 3.0% | 46% | 41% | – | – | – | 4% | 9% |
Vox Populi Polling | October 13–15, 2018 | 614 | ± 3.7% | 48% | 52% | – | – | – | – | – |
Emerson College | October 10–12, 2018 | 625 | ± 4.2% | 46% | 41% | – | – | – | 3% | 11% |
NYT Upshot/Siena College | October 8–10, 2018 | 642 | ± 4.0% | 46% | 45% | – | – | – | – | 8% |
Marist College | September 30 – October 3, 2018 | 574 LV | ± 5.5% | 44% | 40% | 8% | – | 2% | <1% | 6% |
46% | 45% | – | – | 3% | <1% | 6% | ||||
780 RV | ± 4.5% | 41% | 40% | 8% | – | 2% | <1% | 8% | ||
44% | 45% | – | – | 4% | <1% | 7% | ||||
Kaiser Family Foundation/SSRS | September 19 – October 2, 2018 | 513 | ± 5.0% | 46% | 40% | – | – | – | 2% | 12% |
CNN/SSRS | September 25–29, 2018 | 693 LV | ± 4.6% | 41% | 45% | 5% | – | 7% | 0% | 1% |
851 RV | ± 4.1% | 38% | 41% | 5% | – | 12% | 1% | 2% | ||
Ipsos Archived September 20, 2018, at the Wayback Machine | September 7–17, 2018 | 1,039 | ± 4.0% | 43% | 40% | – | – | – | 5% | 12% |
Gravis Marketing | September 11–12, 2018 | 700 | ± 3.7% | 38% | 50% | – | – | – | – | 8% |
Suffolk University Archived December 18, 2018, at the Wayback Machine | September 5–10, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 35% | 37% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% [a] | 15% |
Suffolk University Archived July 31, 2018, at the Wayback Machine | July 24–29, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 42% | 41% | 2% | 1% | 4% | 2% [b] | 7% |
McLaughlin & Associates (R-Laxalt) | July 21–24, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 45% | 40% | 3% | – | – | 4% [c] | 8% |
Gravis Marketing | June 23–26, 2018 | 630 | ± 3.9% | 43% | 41% | – | – | – | – | 17% |
The Mellman Group | April 12–19, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 37% | 43% | – | – | – | – | 20% |
TargetSmart (D-Giunchigliani) | January 3–7, 2018 | 1,103 | ± 4.4% | 37% | 34% | – | – | – | – | 29% |
Remington (R-Laxalt) | May 23–24, 2017 | 1,021 | ± 3.1% | 46% | 37% | – | – | – | – | 17% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Adam Laxalt (R) | Chris Giunchigliani (D) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Mellman Group | April 12–19, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 40% | 38% | 22% |
TargetSmart (D-Giunchigliani) | January 3–7, 2018 | 1,103 | ± 4.4% | 39% | 34% | 27% |
While Sisolak only won two of the state's counties, those two counties account for more than 80% of the total state population. His overwhelming victory in Clark County, home of Las Vegas, and his narrow victory in Washoe County were enough to pull him over the finish line. Sisolak became the first Democrat to be elected Governor of Nevada since Bob Miller's successful re-election bid in 1994.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Steve Sisolak | 480,007 | 49.39% | +25.51% | |
Republican | Adam Laxalt | 440,320 | 45.31% | −25.27% | |
None of These Candidates | 18,865 | 1.94% | −0.94% | ||
Independent | Ryan Bundy | 13,891 | 1.43% | +1.43% | |
Independent American | Russell Best | 10,076 | 1.04% | −1.62% | |
Libertarian | Jared Lord | 8,640 | 0.89% | +0.89% | |
Majority | 39,687 | 4.08% | |||
Total votes | 971,799 | 100.00% | |||
Democratic gain from Republican | Swing | +50.78% |
While Laxalt won 15 of Nevada's county-level jurisdictions (14 counties and the independent city of Carson City), Sisolak carried the two largest, Clark (home to Las Vegas) and Washoe (home to Reno). Sisolak ultimately prevailed by winning his home county, Clark, by over 86,000 votes, double his statewide margin of 39,700 votes.
County | Steve Sisolak Democratic | Adam Laxalt Republican | None of These Candidates | Ryan Bundy Independent | Russell Best Independent American | Jared Lord Libertarian | Margin | Total votes cast [94] | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
# | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
Carson City | 9,249 | 40.78% | 12,080 | 53.26% | 469 | 2.07% | 367 | 1.62% | 324 | 1.43% | 1.92 | 0.85% | -2,831 | -12.48% | 22,681 |
Churchill | 1,869 | 19.45% | 7,033 | 73.21% | 194 | 2.02% | 278 | 2.89% | 129 | 1.34% | 104 | 1.08% | -5,164 | -53.75% | 9,607 |
Clark | 352,814 | 54.12% | 266,216 | 40.84% | 12,712 | 1.95% | 8,092 | 1.24% | 6,462 | 0.99% | 5,605 | 0.86% | 86,598 | 13.28% | 651,901 |
Douglas | 7,962 | 30.57% | 16,897 | 64.88% | 408 | 1.57% | 345 | 1.32% | 211 | 0.81% | 222 | 0.85% | -8,935 | -34.31% | 26,045 |
Elko | 2,604 | 17.17% | 11,444 | 75.44% | 213 | 1.40% | 610 | 4.02% | 140 | 0.92% | 159 | 1.05% | -8,840 | -58.27% | 15,170 |
Esmeralda | 51 | 13.75% | 273 | 73.58% | 8 | 2.16% | 29 | 7.82% | 7 | 1.89% | 3 | 0.81% | -222 | -59.84% | 371 |
Eureka | 61 | 8.06% | 609 | 80.45% | 20 | 2.64% | 47 | 6.21% | 16 | 2.11% | 4 | 0.53% | -548 | -72.39% | 757 |
Humboldt | 1,067 | 19.25% | 4,061 | 73.26% | 118 | 2.13% | 183 | 3.30% | 74 | 1.34% | 40 | 0.72% | -2,994 | -54.01% | 5,543 |
Lander | 316 | 15.11% | 1,571 | 75.13% | 57 | 2.73% | 100 | 4.78% | 26 | 1.24% | 21 | 1.00% | -1,255 | -60.02% | 2,091 |
Lincoln | 266 | 13.63% | 1,440 | 73.77% | 37 | 1.90% | 179 | 9.17% | 16 | 0.82% | 14 | 0.72% | -1,174 | -60.14% | 1,952 |
Lyon | 5,267 | 25.19% | 14,211 | 67.95% | 401 | 1.92% | 551 | 2.63% | 276 | 1.32% | 207 | 0.99% | -8,944 | -42.77% | 20,913 |
Mineral | 540 | 29.85% | 1,067 | 58.98% | 78 | 4.31% | 64 | 3.54% | 34 | 1.88% | 26 | 1.44% | -527 | -29.13% | 1,809 |
Nye | 4,607 | 26.33% | 11,103 | 63.47% | 329 | 1.88% | 991 | 5.66% | 299 | 1.71% | 165 | 0.94% | -6,496 | -37.13% | 17,494 |
Pershing | 360 | 20.41% | 1,255 | 71.15% | 38 | 2.15% | 80 | 4.54% | 19 | 1.08% | 12 | 0.68% | -895 | -50.74% | 1,764 |
Storey | 721 | 30.56% | 1,476 | 62.57% | 40 | 1.70% | 61 | 2.59% | 34 | 1.44% | 27 | 1.14% | -755 | -32.01% | 2,359 |
Washoe | 91,684 | 48.74% | 87,226 | 46.37% | 3,669 | 1.95% | 1,742 | 0.93% | 1,961 | 1.04% | 1,816 | 0.97% | 4,458 | 2.37% | 188,098 |
White Pine | 569 | 17.54% | 2,358 | 72.69% | 74 | 2.28% | 172 | 5.30% | 48 | 1.48% | 23 | 0.71% | -1,789 | -55.15% | 3,244 |
Totals | 480,007 | 49.39% | 440,320 | 45.31% | 18,865 | 1.94% | 13,891 | 1.43% | 10,076 | 1.04% | 8,640 | 0.89% | 39,687 | 4.08% | 971,799 |
Sisolak won 3 of 4 congressional districts. [95]
District | Sisolak | Laxalt | Representative |
---|---|---|---|
1st | 62.23% | 31.79% | Dina Titus |
2nd | 41.38% | 53.22% | Mark Amodei |
3rd | 49.85% | 45.8% | Susie Lee |
4th | 50.33% | 43.78% | Steven Horsford |
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Christina R. Giunchigliani, commonly known as Chris G., is an American politician of the Democratic Party who served as a Clark County Commissioner from 2007 until 2019. Giunchigliani has been active in Nevada politics since 1991, previously serving in the Nevada Assembly, 1991–2006.
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Stephen F. Sisolak is an American businessman and politician who served as the 30th governor of Nevada from 2019 to 2023. A member of the Democratic Party, he served on the Clark County Commission from 2009 to 2019 and on the Nevada Board of Regents from 1999 to 2008. Sisolak is the only Democrat in the 21st century to serve as or be elected Governor of Nevada.
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Laxalt has earned his "A+" rating from NRA-PVF. ... Nevada's law-abiding gun owners need to support Adam Laxalt for Governor to ensure the future of their firearm freedoms.