2010 Nevada gubernatorial election

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2010 Nevada gubernatorial election
Flag of Nevada.svg
  2006 November 2, 2010 2014  
  Brian Sandoval 2010 (cropped).jpg Rory Reid.jpg
Nominee Brian Sandoval Rory Reid
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote382,350298,170
Percentage53.36%41.61%

2010 Nevada gubernatorial election results map by county.svg
2010 Nevada gubernatorial election by congressional district.svg
Sandoval:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%
Reid:     50–60%

Governor before election

Jim Gibbons
Republican

Elected Governor

Brian Sandoval
Republican

The 2010 Nevada gubernatorial election was held on Tuesday, November 2, 2010, to elect the governor of Nevada, who would serve a four-year term to begin on January 3, 2011. Despite speculation that incumbent Republican governor Jim Gibbons would not run for a second term due to low approval ratings, he ran for re-election. [1] [2] [3] He struggled in the polls, and ultimately federal judge and former attorney general of Nevada Brian Sandoval secured the nomination. Sandoval defeated Democrat Rory Reid, son of then-current U.S. Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid, who won his fifth term in the Senate on the same ballot.

Contents

Republican primary

Candidates

A total of five Republican candidates filed with the Secretary of State of Nevada and qualified for the ballot. [4]

Declared

Withdrew

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Jim
Gibbons
Mike
Montandon
Brian
Sandoval
Undecided
Research 2000 [8] June 2, 201027%6%48%
Mason Dixon/LVJR [9] May 10–11, 201027%6%45%
Mason Dixon/LVJR [10] April 10, 201025%7%39%
Mason Dixon/LVJR [11] February 22–24, 201030%9%37%
Mason Dixon/LVJR [12] January 10, 201023%7%39%
Mason Dixon/LVJR [13] December 200918%6%39%
Mason Dixon/LVJR [14] October 8, 200920%4%41%
Mason Dixon/LVJR [15] August 21, 200917%3%33%

Results

Republican primary results by county:
Sandoval
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60-70%
50-60%
40-50%
Gibbons
<40% 2010 Nevada gubernatorial Republican primary election results map by county.svg
Republican primary results by county:
Sandoval
  •   60–70%
  •   50–60%
  •   40–50%
Gibbons
  •   <40%
Republican primary results [16]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Brian Sandoval 97,201 55.53%
Republican Jim Gibbons (incumbent)47,61627.20%
Republican Mike Montandon 22,00312.57%
None of These Candidates 4,4002.51%
Republican Tony Atwood2,4401.39%
Republican Stan Lusak1,3800.79%
Total votes175,040 100.00%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Two Democratic candidates filed with the Secretary of State of Nevada and qualified for the ballot. [4]

Declared

Declined

Polling

Hypothetical polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Barbara
Buckley
Oscar
Goodman
Rory
Reid
Undecided
Mason Dixon/LVJR [15] August 21, 200925%34%13%
43%22%

Results

Democratic primary results by county:
Reid
Reid--70-80%
Reid--60-70%
Reid--50-60%
Reid--40-50%
Reid--<40%
Conquest
Conquest--<40% 2010 Nevada gubernatorial Democratic primary election results map by county.svg
Democratic primary results by county:
Reid
  •   Reid—70–80%
  •   Reid—60–70%
  •   Reid—50–60%
  •   Reid—40–50%
  •   Reid—<40%
Conquest
  •   Conquest—<40%
Democratic primary results [16]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Rory Reid 80,162 70.08%
None of These Candidates 17,45415.26%
Democratic Frederick Conquest16,77514.66%
Total votes114,391 100.00%

Other candidates

Independents

Declared

  • Eugene "Gino" DiSimone [4]
  • Aaron Y. Honig [4]

Declined

Green

Independent American

Libertarian

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Cook Political Report [20] Likely ROctober 14, 2010
Rothenberg [21] Safe ROctober 28, 2010
RealClearPolitics [22] Likely RNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball [23] Likely ROctober 28, 2010
CQ Politics [24] TossupOctober 28, 2010

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Brian
Sandoval (R)
Rory
Reid (D)
OtherUndecided
Rasmussen Reports [25] October 5, 201059%41%
Rasmussen Reports [25] September 28, 201049%40%
Public Opinion Strategies [26] September 21–23, 201045%39%
Rasmussen Reports [25] September 21, 201049%35%
CNN/Time Magazine [27] September 10–14, 201058%31%
Reuters/Ipsos [28] September 10–12, 201060%31%
Mason-Dixon [29] September 9, 201052%36%
Rasmussen Reports [25] September 1, 2010750± 4%58%33%2%7%
Mason-Dixon [30] August 23–25, 201053%31%
Rasmussen Reports [31] August 16, 2010750± 4%52%36%3%8%
Mason-Dixon [32] August 11, 201052%36%
Rasmussen Reports [33] July 27, 2010750± 4%50%40%6%4%
Public Policy Polling [34] July 16–18, 201052%38%
Mason Dixon/LVJR [35] July 12–14, 201047%36%
Rasmussen Reports [36] July 12, 2010750± 4%57%36%3%4%
Rasmussen Reports [37] June 22, 2010500± 4.5%55%33%8%4%
Rasmussen Reports [38] June 9, 2010500± 4.5%54%31%3%13%
Research 2000 [8] June 2, 201051%41%
Rasmussen Reports [39] April 27, 2010500± 4.5%53%35%12%3%
Mason Dixon/LVJR [11] April 10, 201050%35%
Rasmussen Reports [33] March 31, 2010500± 4.5%55%34%6%4%
Rasmussen Reports [33] March 3, 2010500± 4.5%53%35%7%5%
Mason Dixon/LVJR [11] February 22–24, 201051%29%
Rasmussen Reports [40] February 3, 2010500± 4.5%45%33%11%12%
Mason Dixon/LVJR [41] January 10, 201053%31%
Mason Dixon/LVJR [13] December 4, 200949%35%
Mason Dixon/LVJR [14] October 8, 200950%33%
Hypothetical polling

With Gibbons

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Jim
Gibbons (R)
Rory
Reid (D)
OtherUndecided
Research 2000 [8] June 2, 201031%52%
Rasmussen Reports [39] April 27, 2010500± 4.5%37%47%12%3%
Mason Dixon/LVJR [11] April 10, 201040%42%
Rasmussen Reports [33] March 31, 2010500± 4.5%45%43%8%4%
Rasmussen Reports [33] March 3, 2010500± 4.5%36%44%15%4%
Mason Dixon/LVJR [11] February 22–24, 201038%42%
Rasmussen Reports [40] February 3, 2010500± 4.5%35%44%13%8%
Mason Dixon/LVJR [42] December 200934%48%
Mason Dixon/LVJR [14] October 8, 200937%49%
Mason Dixon/LVJR [43] August 21, 200935%47%

With Montandon

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Mike
Montandon (R)
Rory
Reid (D)
OtherUndecided
Research 2000 [8] June 2, 201040%43%
Rasmussen Reports [39] April 27, 2010500± 4.5%45%39%9%8%
Rasmussen Reports [39] March 31, 2010500± 4.5%45%38%9%8%
Rasmussen Reports [39] March 3, 2010500± 4.5%42%37%13%8%
Rasmussen Reports [40] February 3, 2010500± 4.5%36%40%14%10%

Results

Nevada gubernatorial election, 2010 [44]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican Brian Sandoval 382,350 53.36% +5.44%
Democratic Rory Reid 298,17141.61%−2.31%
None of These Candidates 12,2311.71%−1.85%
Independent Eugene DiSimone6,4030.89%+0.89%
Independent American Floyd Fitzgibbons5,0490.70%−2.73%
Libertarian Arthur Forest Lampitt, Jr.4,6720.65%+0.65%
Green David Scott Curtis4,4370.62%−0.54%
Independent Aaron Y. Honig3,2160.45%+0.45%
Majority84,17911.75%
Total votes716,529 100.00%
Republican hold Swing +7.74%

By county

CountyBrian Sandoval
Republican
Rory Reid
Democratic
None of
These Candidates
Eugene DiSimone
Independent
Floyd Fitzgibbons
Independent American
Arthur Forest Lampitt Jr.
Libertarian
David Scott Curtis
Green
Aaron Y. Honig
Independent
MarginTotal votes cast [44]
# %# %# %# %# %# %# %# %# %
Carson City 11,51259.06%6,67634.25%5112.62%2671.37%2081.07%1150.59%1320.68%710.36%4,83624.81%19,492
Churchill 6,58674.19%1,69719.12%1671.88%1171.32%1451.63%600.68%570.64%480.54%4,88955.07%8,877
Clark 224,75148.61%217,11346.96%7,0081.52%3,5980.78%2,3470.51%2,8370.61%2,5470.55%2,1710.47%7,6381.65%462,372
Douglas 15,00169.10%5,34524.62%3961.82%3281.51%2311.06%1390.64%1920.88%760.35%9,65644.48%21,708
Elko 9,48973.97%2,19417.10%3212.50%1591.24%3943.07%1020.80%990.77%710.55%7,29556.86%12,829
Esmeralda 28972.61%4812.06%205.03%61.51%112.76%123.02%71.76%51.26%24160.55%398
Eureka 59778.97%7610.05%314.10%91.19%202.65%121.59%101.32%10.13%52168.92%756
Humboldt 3,56471.61%99419.97%1202.41%841.69%1162.33%501.00%230.46%260.52%2,57051.64%4,977
Lander 1,44976.42%27714.61%613.22%281.48%331.74%160.84%201.05%120.63%1,17261.81%1,896
Lincoln 1,38170.93%38019.52%723.70%170.87%482.47%261.34%120.62%110.56%1,00151.41%1,947
Lyon 11,93768.46%4,33124.84%3401.95%2261.30%2661.53%1130.65%1390.80%850.49%7,60643.62%17,437
Mineral 1,13659.88%55629.31%894.69%361.90%432.27%100.53%180.95%90.47%58030.57%1,897
Nye 8,82961.49%4,22429.42%2892.01%2211.54%3492.43%2061.43%1441.00%970.68%4,60532.07%14,359
Pershing 1,14065.86%39622.88%854.91%321.85%422.43%100.58%110.64%150.87%74442.98%1,731
Storey 1,35563.70%61528.91%532.49%351.65%261.22%140.66%221.03%70.33%74034.79%2,127
Washoe 81,07357.72%52,73037.54%2,5551.82%1,1560.82%6850.49%8110.58%9700.69%4880.35%28,34320.18%140,468
White Pine 2,26169.40%51915.93%1133.47%842.58%852.61%1394.27%341.04%230.71%1,74253.47%3,258
Totals382,35053.36%298,17141.61%12,2311.71%6,4030.89%5,0490.70%4,6720.65%4,4370.62%3,2160.45%84,17911.75%716,529
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

See also

Notes

  1. Only top two candidates

References

  1. Gentry, Dana (June 4, 2008). "Consultants: No second term for Gibbons". Las Vegas Sun . Retrieved January 1, 2008.
  2. Vogel, Ed (June 13, 2008). "GOVERNING NEVADA: Disregard divorce, poll says". Las Vegas Review-Journal . Retrieved January 1, 2009.
  3. Schwartz, David McGrath (July 19, 2009). "With scant crew, Gibbons reelection campaign sets sail". Las Vegas Sun . Retrieved May 5, 2010.
  4. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 "2010 Filed Candidates". Secretary of State of Nevada . Retrieved May 6, 2010.
  5. McGrath Schwartz, David (September 21, 2008). "Rory Reid lays ground for run for governor". Las Vegas Sun . Retrieved January 1, 2009.
  6. "RUNNING FOR GOVERNOR: Montandon takes aim at Gibbons - News - ReviewJournal.com". Lvrj.com. July 1, 2009. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  7. Damon, Anjeanette (September 15, 2009). "Sandoval: I am running for governor". Reno Gazette-Journal. Archived from the original on February 1, 2013. Retrieved September 16, 2009.
  8. 1 2 3 4 Research 2000
  9. Mason Dixon/LVJR
  10. Mason Dixon/LVJR
  11. 1 2 3 4 5 Mason Dixon/LVJR
  12. Mason Dixon/LVJR
  13. 1 2 Mason Dixon/LVJR
  14. 1 2 3 Mason Dixon/LVJR
  15. 1 2 Mason Dixon/LVJR
  16. 1 2 "2010 Official Statewide Primary Election Results". Nevada Secretary of State. June 8, 2010. Retrieved July 11, 2024.
  17. "Harry Reid's son enters Nevada gubernatorial race". CNN. October 14, 2009. Archived from the original on October 17, 2009. Retrieved October 15, 2009.
  18. "Buckley passes on a run for Nevada governor - News - ReviewJournal.com". Lvrj.com. September 12, 2009. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  19. "Top of the Ticket". Los Angeles Times. January 25, 2010. Retrieved May 20, 2010.
  20. "2010 Governors Race Ratings". Cook Political Report. Archived from the original on October 28, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  21. "Governor Ratings". Rothenberg Political Report . Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  22. "2010 Governor Races". RealClearPolitics . Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  23. "THE CRYSTAL BALL'S FINAL CALLS". Sabato's Crystal Ball . Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  24. "Race Ratings Chart: Governor". CQ Politics. Archived from the original on October 5, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  25. 1 2 3 4 Rasmussen Reports
  26. Public Opinion Strategies
  27. CNN/Time Magazine
  28. Reuters/Ipsos
  29. Mason-Dixon
  30. Mason-Dixon
  31. Rasmussen Reports
  32. Mason-Dixon
  33. 1 2 3 4 5 Rasmussen Reports
  34. Public Policy Polling
  35. Mason Dixon/LVJR
  36. Rasmussen Reports
  37. Rasmussen Reports
  38. Rasmussen Reports
  39. 1 2 3 4 5 Rasmussen Reports
  40. 1 2 3 Rasmussen Reports
  41. Mason Dixon/LVJR
  42. Mason Dixon/LVJR
  43. Mason Dixon/LVJR
  44. 1 2 "2010 Official Statewide General Election Results". Nevada Secretary of State. November 2, 2010. Retrieved July 11, 2024.

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