2010 Nevada gubernatorial election

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2010 Nevada gubernatorial election
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  Brian Sandoval 2010 (cropped).jpg Rory Reid.jpg
Nominee Brian Sandoval Rory Reid
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote382,350298,170
Percentage53.4%41.6%
2010 Nevada gubernatorial election results map by county.svg
County results
Sandoval:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%
Governor before election

Jim Gibbons
Republican

Elected Governor

Brian Sandoval
Republican

The 2010 Nevada gubernatorial election was held on Tuesday, November 2, 2010, to elect the Governor of Nevada, who would serve a four-year term to begin on January 3, 2011. Sandoval defeated the Democratic nominee Rory Reid, son of then-current U.S. Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid, who won his fifth term in the Senate on the same ballot.

Contents

Despite speculation that incumbent Republican Governor Jim Gibbons would not run for a second term due to low approval ratings, he ran for re-election. [1] [2] [3] He struggled in the polls, and ultimately federal judge and former Attorney General of Nevada Brian Sandoval secured the nomination.

Republican primary

Candidates

A total of five Republican candidates filed with the Secretary of State of Nevada and qualified for the ballot. [4]

Declared

Withdrew

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Jim
Gibbons		Mike
Montandon		Brian
Sandoval		Undecided
Research 2000 June 2, 2010——27%6%48%—
Mason Dixon/LVJR May 10–11, 2010——27%6%45%—
Mason Dixon/LVJR April 10, 2010——25%7%39%—
Mason Dixon/LVJR February 22–24, 2010——30%9%37%—
Mason Dixon/LVJR January 10, 2010——23%7%39%—
Mason Dixon/LVJR December 2009——18%6%39%—
Mason Dixon/LVJR October 8, 2009——20%4%41%—
Mason Dixon/LVJR August 21, 2009——17%3%33%—

Results

Republican primary results by county: Sandoval .mw-parser-output .legend{page-break-inside:avoid;break-inside:avoid-column}.mw-parser-output .legend-color{display:inline-block;min-width:1.25em;height:1.25em;line-height:1.25;margin:1px 0;text-align:center;border:1px solid black;background-color:transparent;color:black}.mw-parser-output .legend-text{} 60-70% 50-60% 40-50% Gibbons <40% 2010 Nevada gubernatorial Republican primary election results map by county.svg
Republican primary results by county:
Sandoval
  •   60–70%
  •   50–60%
  •   40–50%
Gibbons
  •   <40%
Republican primary results [8]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Brian Sandoval 97,201 55.5
Republican Jim Gibbons (incumbent)47,61627.2
Republican Mike Montandon 22,00212.6
Republican None of These Candidates 4,4002.5
Republican Tony Atwood2,4401.4
Republican Stan Lusak1,3800.8
Total votes175,039 100

Democratic primary

Candidates

Two Democratic candidates filed with the Secretary of State of Nevada and qualified for the ballot. [4]

Declared

Declined

Polling

Hypothetical polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Barbara
Buckley		Oscar
Goodman		Rory
Reid		Undecided
Mason Dixon/LVJR August 21, 2009——25%34%13%—
——43%—22%—

Results

Democratic primary results by county: Reid Reid--70-80% Reid--60-70% Reid--50-60% Reid--40-50% Reid--<40% Conquest Conquest--<40% 2010 Nevada gubernatorial Democratic primary election results map by county.svg
Democratic primary results by county:
Reid
  •   Reid—70–80%
  •   Reid—60–70%
  •   Reid—50–60%
  •   Reid—40–50%
  •   Reid—<40%
Conquest
  •   Conquest—<40%
Democratic primary results [8]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Rory Reid 80,162 70.1
Democratic None of These Candidates 17,45515.3
Democratic Frederick Conquest16,77514.7
Total votes114,392 100

Other candidates

Independents

Declared

  • Eugene "Gino" DiSimone [4]
  • Aaron Y. Honig [4]

Declined

Green

Independent American

Libertarian

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Cook Political Report [12] Likely ROctober 14, 2010
Rothenberg [13] Safe ROctober 28, 2010
RealClearPolitics [14] Likely RNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball [15] Likely ROctober 28, 2010
CQ Politics [16] TossupOctober 28, 2010

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Brian
Sandoval (R)		Rory
Reid (D)		OtherUndecided
Rasmussen Reports October 5, 2010——59%41%——
Rasmussen Reports September 28, 2010——49%40%——
Public Opinion Strategies September 21–23, 2010——45%39%——
Rasmussen Reports September 21, 2010——49%35%——
CNN/Time Magazine September 10–14, 2010——58%31%——
Reuters/Ipsos September 10–12, 2010——60%31%——
Mason-Dixon September 9, 2010——52%36%——
Rasmussen Reports September 1, 2010750± 4%58%33%2%7%
Mason-Dixon August 23–25, 2010——53%31%——
Rasmussen Reports August 16, 2010750± 4%52%36%3%8%
Mason-Dixon August 11, 2010——52%36%——
Rasmussen Reports July 27, 2010750± 4%50%40%6%4%
Public Policy Polling July 16–18, 2010——52%38%——
Mason Dixon/LVJR July 12–14, 2010——47%36%——
Rasmussen Reports July 12, 2010750± 4%57%36%3%4%
Rasmussen Reports June 22, 2010500± 4.5%55%33%8%4%
Rasmussen Reports June 9, 2010500± 4.5%54%31%3%13%
Research 2000 June 2, 2010——51%41%——
Rasmussen Reports April 27, 2010500± 4.5%53%35%12%3%
Mason Dixon/LVJR April 10, 2010——50%35%——
Rasmussen Reports March 31, 2010500± 4.5%55%34%6%4%
Rasmussen Reports March 3, 2010500± 4.5%53%35%7%5%
Mason Dixon/LVJR February 22–24, 2010——51%29%——
Rasmussen Reports February 3, 2010500± 4.5%45%33%11%12%
Mason Dixon/LVJR January 10, 2010——53%31%——
Mason Dixon/LVJR December 4, 2009——49%35%——
Mason Dixon/LVJR October 8, 2009——50%33%——
Hypothetical polling
With Gibbons
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Jim
Gibbons (R)		Rory
Reid (D)		OtherUndecided
Research 2000 June 2, 2010——31%52%——
Rasmussen Reports April 27, 2010500± 4.5%37%47%12%3%
Mason Dixon/LVJR April 10, 2010——40%42%——
Rasmussen Reports March 31, 2010500± 4.5%45%43%8%4%
Rasmussen Reports March 3, 2010500± 4.5%36%44%15%4%
Mason Dixon/LVJR February 22–24, 2010——38%42%——
Rasmussen Reports February 3, 2010500± 4.5%35%44%13%8%
Mason Dixon/LVJR December 2009——34%48%——
Mason Dixon/LVJR October 8, 2009——37%49%——
Mason Dixon/LVJR August 21, 2009——35%47%——
With Montandon
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Mike
Montandon (R)		Rory
Reid (D)		OtherUndecided
Research 2000 June 2, 2010——40%43%——
Rasmussen Reports April 27, 2010500± 4.5%45%39%9%8%
Rasmussen Reports March 31, 2010500± 4.5%45%38%9%8%
Rasmussen Reports March 3, 2010500± 4.5%42%37%13%8%
Rasmussen Reports February 3, 2010500± 4.5%36%40%14%10%

Results

Nevada gubernatorial election, 2010 [17]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican Brian Sandoval 382,350 53.36% +5.44%
Democratic Rory Reid 298,17141.61%-2.31%
N/A None of These Candidates 12,2311.71%-1.85%
Independent Eugene DiSimone6,4030.89%N/A
Independent American Floyd Fitzgibbons5,0490.70%-2.73%
Libertarian Arthur Forest Lampitt, Jr.4,6720.65%N/A
Green David Scott Curtis4,4370.62%-0.54%
Independent Aaron Y. Honig3,2160.45%N/A
Total votes716,529 100.0%
Republican hold

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

See also

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References

  1. ↑ Gentry, Dana (June 4, 2008). "Consultants: No second term for Gibbons". Las Vegas Sun . Retrieved January 1, 2008.
  2. ↑ Vogel, Ed (June 13, 2008). "GOVERNING NEVADA: Disregard divorce, poll says". Las Vegas Review-Journal . Retrieved January 1, 2009.
  3. ↑ Schwartz, David McGrath (July 19, 2009). "With scant crew, Gibbons reelection campaign sets sail". Las Vegas Sun . Retrieved May 5, 2010.
  4. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 "2010 Filed Candidates". Secretary of State of Nevada . Retrieved May 6, 2010.
  5. ↑ McGrath Schwartz, David (September 21, 2008). "Rory Reid lays ground for run for governor". Las Vegas Sun . Retrieved January 1, 2009.
  6. ↑ "RUNNING FOR GOVERNOR: Montandon takes aim at Gibbons - News - ReviewJournal.com". Lvrj.com. July 1, 2009. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  7. ↑ Damon, Anjeanette (September 15, 2009). "Sandoval: I am running for governor". Reno Gazette-Journal. Archived from the original on February 1, 2013. Retrieved September 16, 2009.
  8. 1 2 "Nevada Governor Primary Results". Politico. June 8, 2010. Archived from the original on January 6, 2012. Retrieved June 8, 2010.
  9. ↑ "Harry Reid's son enters Nevada gubernatorial race". CNN. October 14, 2009. Retrieved October 15, 2009.
  10. ↑ "Buckley passes on a run for Nevada governor - News - ReviewJournal.com". Lvrj.com. September 12, 2009. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  11. ↑ "Top of the Ticket". Los Angeles Times. January 25, 2010. Retrieved May 20, 2010.
  12. ↑ "2010 Governors Race Ratings". Cook Political Report. Archived from the original on October 28, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  13. ↑ "Governor Ratings". Rothenberg Political Report . Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  14. ↑ "2010 Governor Races". RealClearPolitics . Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  15. ↑ "THE CRYSTAL BALL'S FINAL CALLS". Sabato's Crystal Ball . Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  16. ↑ "Race Ratings Chart: Governor". CQ Politics. Archived from the original on October 5, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  17. ↑ "2010 Unofficial Statewide General Election Coverage and Reports". Nvsos.gov. November 2, 2010. Retrieved April 2, 2013.
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