2010 United States Senate election in Missouri

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2010 United States Senate election in Missouri
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  Rep Roy Blunt (cropped).jpg SOS Robin Carnahan (cropped).jpg
Nominee Roy Blunt Robin Carnahan
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote1,054,160789,736
Percentage54.23%40.63%
2010 United States Senate election in Missouri results map by county.svg
County results

Blunt:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%

Contents

Carnahan:     50–60%     70–80%
U.S. senator before election

Kit Bond
Republican

Elected U.S. Senator

Roy Blunt
Republican

The 2010 United States Senate election in Missouri took place on November 2, 2010, alongside 36 other elections to the United States Senate in other states, as well as elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Primary elections were held on August 3, 2010. Incumbent Republican U.S. Senator Kit Bond decided to retire instead of seeking a fifth term. Republican nominee Roy Blunt won the open seat. [1]

Republican primary

Candidates

Polling

Poll sourceDates administeredRoy BluntChuck PurgasonUndecided
Public Policy Polling [2] November 13–15, 200953%16%31%
Public Policy Polling [3] March 27–28, 201048%18%34%

Results

Republican primary results [4]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Roy Blunt 411,040 70.9%
Republican Chuck Purgason75,66313.1%
Republican Kristi Nichols40,7447.0%
Republican Deborah Solomon15,0992.6%
Republican Hector Maldonado8,7311.5%
Republican Davis Conway8,5251.5%
Republican R.L. Praprotnik8,0471.4%
Republican Tony Laszacs6,3091.1%
Republican Mike Vontz5,1900.9%
Total votes579,348 100.00%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Results

Democratic primary results [4]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Robin Carnahan 266,349 83.9%
Democratic Richard Charles Tolbert33,73110.6%
Democratic Francis Vangeli17,5115.5%
Total votes317,591 100.00%

Other primaries

Constitution

Candidates

Declared
  • Jerry Beck
  • Joe Martellaro
  • Mike Simmons
Constitution Party primary results [4]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Constitution Jerry Beck 819 43.5%
Constitution Mike Simmons55429.4%
Constitution Joe Martello51127.1%
Total votes1,884 100.00%

Libertarian

Candidates

Declared
  • Jonathan Dine
  • Cisse Spragins
Libertarian primary results [4]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Libertarian Jonathan Dine 2,069 58.6%
Libertarian Cisse Spragins1,46041.4%
Total votes3,529 100.00%

General election

Candidates

Campaign

Carnahan and national Democrats heavily criticized Blunt for his support of bailouts, calling him "Bailout Blunt." [5] Blunt criticized her for supporting President Obama's stimulus package, the cap-and-trade energy bill, and the Affordable Care Act. [6]

Carnahan was endorsed by the Kansas City Star , [7] St. Louis Post-Dispatch , [8] and St. Louis American . [9]

Blunt was endorsed by the Quincy Herald-Whig [10] and St. Joseph News-Press . [11]

Debates

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Cook Political Report [15] Lean ROctober 26, 2010
Rothenberg [16] Lean ROctober 22, 2010
RealClearPolitics [17] Likely ROctober 26, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball [18] Likely ROctober 21, 2010
CQ Politics [19] Lean ROctober 26, 2010

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Roy Blunt (R)Robin Carnahan (D)OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [20] January 10–11, 2009867± 3.3%44%45%––11%
Wilson Strategies (R) [21] March 7–9, 2009600± 4.0%44%47%––9%
Democracy Corps (D) [22] April 28–30, 2009800± 3.5%44%53%––3%
Momentum Analysis (D) [23] September 19, 2009802± 3.5%45%48%––7%
Rasmussen Reports [24] September 21, 2009500± 4.5%46%46%2%5%
Public Policy Polling [25] November 13–15, 2009763± 3.6%42%43%––15%
Rasmussen Reports [26] December 15, 2009500± 4.5%44%46%4%6%
YouGovPolimetrix [27] January 6–11, 2010500––39%43%––19%
Rasmussen Reports [28] January 19, 2010500± 4.5%49%43%3%5%
Rasmussen Reports [29] February 10, 2010500± 4.5%49%42%3%6%
Rasmussen Reports [30] March 9, 2010500± 4.5%47%41%4%8%
Public Policy Polling [31] March 27–28, 2010495± 4.4%45%41%––13%
Rasmussen Reports [32] April 6, 2010500± 4.5%48%42%3%7%
Rasmussen Reports [33] May 3, 2010500± 4.5%50%42%4%4%
Rasmussen Reports [34] June 2, 2010500± 4.5%45%44%4%6%
Rasmussen Reports [35] June 28, 2010500± 4.5%48%43%3%6%
Rasmussen Reports [36] July 13, 2010750± 4.0%47%45%2%6%
Mason Dixon [37] July 19–21, 2010625± 4.0%48%42%––10%
Rasmussen Reports [38] July 27, 2010750± 4.0%49%43%4%4%
Rasmussen Reports [38] August 10, 2010750± 4.0%50%43%3%4%
Public Policy Polling [39] August 14–15, 2010––± 3.73%45%38%8%9%
Rasmussen Reports [40] August 23, 2010750± 4.0%51%40%5%4%
Rasmussen Reports [41] September 7, 2010750± 4.0%53%43%2%2%
Rasmussen Reports [42] September 21, 2010750± 4.0%52%44%2%3%
Fox News/Pulse Opinion Research [43] October 2, 20101,000± 3.0%50%42%5%3%
CNN/Time/Opinion Research [44] October 1–5, 20101,398± 2.5%53%40%4%––
Rasmussen Reports [38] October 5, 2010750± 4.0%51%43%3%2%
Fox News/Pulse Opinion Research [43] October 16, 20101,000± 3.0%49%43%5%3%
Public Policy Polling [45] October 17–18, 2010646± 3.9%46%41%6%7%
Rasmussen Reports [38] October 19, 2010750± 4.0%52%43%4%3%
Mason-Dixon [46] October 18–20, 2010625± 4.0%49%40%3%8%
KSN3/Missouri State University [47] October 20–27, 2010821± 3.8%54%41%3%2%

Fundraising

Candidate (party)ReceiptsDisbursementsCash on handDebt
Roy Blunt (R)$8,203,670$4,537,049$4,003,030$0
Robin Carnahan (D)$7,297,929$3,658,278$3,639,651$0
Source: Federal Election Commission [48]

Results

United States Senate election in Missouri, 2010 [49]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican Roy Blunt 1,054,160 54.23% −1.86%
Democratic Robin Carnahan 789,73640.63%−2.17%
Libertarian Jonathan Dine58,6633.02%+2.29%
Constitution Jerry Beck41,3092.12%+1.73%
Write-in 310.00%N/A
Total votes1,943,899 100.0%
Republican hold

See also

References

  1. ↑ Missouri election results 2010: Robin Carnahan defeated by Roy Blunt, Washington Post, 2 November 2010
  2. ↑ Public Policy Polling
  3. ↑ Public Policy Polling
  4. 1 2 3 4 "Missouri Senate Primary results". Missouri SOS. August 3, 2010. Archived from the original on October 2, 2012. Retrieved August 3, 2010.
  5. ↑ Congressman 'Bailout' Blunt Tries to Redefine His Role in the $700 Billion Bailout | Fired Up! Missouri [ usurped ]
  6. ↑ Blunt's 2nd ad attacks Carnahan on Obama event
  7. ↑ Recommendations for Missouri’s top races, editorial board, Kansas City Star, October 24, 2010
  8. ↑ Carnahan for Senate: Part of the solution, not the problem, editorial board, St. Louis Post-Dispatch, October 22, 2010
  9. ↑ American endorses Robin Carnahan and Barbara Fraser [ permanent dead link ], editorial board, St. Louis American, October 21, 2010
  10. ↑ Roy Blunt for Senate Archived October 23, 2010, at the Wayback Machine
  11. ↑ Roy Blunt for Senate Archived October 23, 2010, at the Wayback Machine
  12. ↑ [ dead link ]
  13. ↑ Senate candidate heavyweights debate at lake - Camdenton, MO - Serving Missouri's Lake of the Ozarks region including Osage Beach, Camdenton, Lake Ozark, Eldon and Sunrise Bea... Archived July 13, 2011, at the Wayback Machine
  14. ↑ Blunt and Carnahan Fire Up Supporters – KTVI Archived November 7, 2010, at the Wayback Machine
  15. ↑ "Senate". Cook Political Report . Retrieved October 26, 2010.
  16. ↑ "Senate Ratings". Rothenberg Political Report . Retrieved October 26, 2010.
  17. ↑ "Battle for the Senate". RealClearPolitics . Retrieved October 26, 2010.
  18. ↑ "2010 Senate Ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Archived from the original on October 28, 2010. Retrieved October 26, 2010.
  19. ↑ "Race Ratings Chart: Senate". CQ Politics. Archived from the original on October 28, 2010. Retrieved October 26, 2010.
  20. ↑ Public Policy Polling
  21. ↑ Wilson Strategies (R)
  22. ↑ Democracy Corps (D)
  23. ↑ Momentum Analysis (D)
  24. ↑ Rasmussen Reports
  25. ↑ Public Policy Polling
  26. ↑ Rasmussen Reports
  27. ↑ YouGovPolimetrix
  28. ↑ Rasmussen Reports
  29. ↑ Rasmussen Reports
  30. ↑ Rasmussen Reports
  31. ↑ Public Policy Polling
  32. ↑ Rasmussen Reports
  33. ↑ Rasmussen Reports
  34. ↑ Rasmussen Reports
  35. ↑ Rasmussen Reports
  36. ↑ Rasmussen Reports
  37. ↑ Mason Dixon
  38. 1 2 3 4 Rasmussen Reports
  39. ↑ Public Policy Polling
  40. ↑ Rasmussen Reports
  41. ↑ Rasmussen Reports
  42. ↑ Rasmussen Reports
  43. 1 2 Fox News/Pulse Opinion Research
  44. ↑ CNN/Time/Opinion Research
  45. ↑ Public Policy Polling
  46. ↑ Mason-Dixon
  47. ↑ KSN3/Missouri State University
  48. ↑ "2010 House and Senate Campaign Finance for Missouri". fec.gov. Retrieved August 19, 2010.[ permanent dead link ]
  49. ↑ "Official Election Returns 2010" (PDF). Missouri Secretary of State.

Official campaign websites

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