2000 United States presidential election in Missouri

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2000 United States presidential election in Missouri
Flag of Missouri.svg
  1996 November 7, 2000 2004  
  Official Portrait- President George Walker Bush, 43rd President of the United States, Republican - DPLA - 7482eac0e113bf03014d1686a3733f97.jpeg Al Gore, Vice President of the United States, official portrait 1994.jpg
Nominee George W. Bush Al Gore
Party Republican Democratic
Home state Texas Tennessee
Running mate Dick Cheney Joe Lieberman
Electoral vote110
Popular vote1,189,9241,111,138
Percentage50.42%47.08%

Missouri Presidential Election Results 2000.svg
2000 United States presidential election in Missouri by congressional district.svg

President before election

Bill Clinton
Democratic

Elected President

George W. Bush
Republican

The 2000 United States presidential election in Missouri took place on November 7, 2000, as part of the 2000 United States presidential election. Voters chose eleven electors to the Electoral College, who voted for president and vice president.

Contents

Prior to the election, Missouri was widely considered to be a critical swing state. [1] Governor of Texas George W. Bush ultimately won the state by a margin of just over 3% against his Democratic opponent, Vice President Al Gore. The 2000 election was seen as a turning point for Missouri's bellwether status; the state was notable for voting for the overall winner of the presidency throughout most of the 20th Century. Missouri ultimately proved decisive as Gore would have won the presidency with 278 Electoral votes had he won Missouri, regardless of the outcome in Florida.

Although Bush did win the presidency, thus keeping the state's bellwether streak active, this was the first election since Missouri voted for Adlai Stevenson in 1956 where the state failed to back the national popular vote winner, and only the second time since 1900. This was also the first time in history that a Democrat won the popular vote without carrying Missouri. Missouri would ultimately lose its bellwether status in 2008 by narrowly voting for John McCain, and has been safely Republican in presidential elections since 2012.

As of the 2024 presidential election, this is the last time that Saline County, New Madrid County, Pemiscot County, Mississippi County, Ray County, and Clay County (which Gore won by only one vote) have voted for the Democratic presidential candidate. Bush became the first Republican to win the White House without carrying St. Louis County since Rutherford B. Hayes in 1876. This is also the last time that St. Louis county has voted to the right of any of the state's rural counties.

Missouri was one of nine states won by Bush that had supported Bill Clinton in both 1992 and 1996.

Primaries

Results

Presidential Candidate Running Mate PartyElectoral Vote (EV)Popular Vote (PV)
George W. Bush of Texas Richard Cheney of Wyoming Republican 11 [2] 1,189,92450.42%
Al Gore of Tennessee Joseph Lieberman of Connecticut Democratic 01,111,13847.08%
Ralph Nader Winona LaDuke Green Party 038,5151.63%
Patrick Buchanan Ezola Foster Reform Party 09,8180.42%
Harry Browne Art Olivier Libertarian Party 07,4360.32%
Others--03,0610.13%
Totals112,359,892100%

By county

CountyGeorge W. Bush
Republican
Al Gore
Democratic
Various candidates
Other parties
MarginTotal
#%#%#%#%
Adair 6,05057.34%4,10138.86%4013.80%1,94918.48%10,552
Andrew 4,25758.52%2,79538.42%2223.05%1,46220.10%7,274
Atchison 1,79862.63%1,01335.28%602.09%78527.35%2,871
Audrain 5,25652.64%4,55145.58%1781.78%7057.06%9,985
Barry 7,88563.75%4,13533.43%3482.81%3,75030.32%12,368
Barton 3,83671.49%1,42426.54%1061.98%2,41244.95%5,366
Bates 4,24554.48%3,38643.45%1612.07%85911.03%7,792
Benton 4,21855.99%3,15041.81%1662.20%1,06814.18%7,534
Bollinger 3,48765.87%1,69231.96%1152.17%1,79533.91%5,294
Boone 28,42647.69%28,81148.33%2,3723.98%-385-0.64%59,609
Buchanan 16,42347.26%17,08549.16%1,2433.58%-662-1.90%34,751
Butler 9,11163.28%4,99634.70%2902.01%4,11528.58%14,397
Caldwell 2,22057.66%1,48838.65%1423.69%73219.01%3,850
Callaway 8,23853.81%6,70843.82%3622.36%1,5309.99%15,308
Camden 10,35860.58%6,32336.98%4182.44%4,03523.60%17,099
Cape Girardeau 19,83266.42%9,33431.26%6932.32%10,49835.16%29,859
Carroll 2,88062.87%1,62035.36%811.77%1,26027.51%4,581
Carter 1,73061.61%99735.51%812.88%73326.10%2,808
Cass 20,11356.07%14,92141.60%8352.33%5,19214.47%35,869
Cedar 3,53062.33%1,97934.95%1542.72%1,55127.38%5,663
Chariton 2,30055.37%1,79243.14%621.49%50812.23%4,154
Christian 14,82463.82%7,89633.99%5082.19%6,92829.83%23,228
Clark 1,89949.95%1,81247.66%912.39%872.29%3,802
Clay 39,08348.75%39,08448.75%2,0062.50%-1-0.00%80,173
Clinton 4,32350.67%3,99446.82%2142.51%3293.85%8,531
Cole 20,16761.53%12,05636.78%5521.68%8,11124.75%32,775
Cooper 4,07259.97%2,56737.81%1512.22%1,50522.16%6,790
Crawford 4,75457.26%3,35040.35%1982.38%1,40416.91%8,302
Dade 2,46865.78%1,19331.80%912.43%1,27533.98%3,752
Dallas 3,72359.86%2,31137.16%1852.97%1,41222.70%6,219
Daviess 2,01157.56%1,36739.12%1163.32%64418.44%3,494
DeKalb 2,36358.36%1,56238.58%1243.06%80119.78%4,049
Dent 3,99666.73%1,83930.71%1532.56%2,15736.02%5,988
Douglas 3,59968.15%1,54629.27%1362.58%2,05338.88%5,281
Dunklin 5,42651.55%4,94747.00%1521.44%4794.55%10,525
Franklin 21,86355.78%16,17241.26%1,1592.96%5,69114.52%39,194
Gasconade 4,19063.21%2,25734.05%1822.75%1,93329.16%6,629
Gentry 1,77157.04%1,27140.93%632.03%50016.11%3,105
Greene 59,17857.50%41,09139.92%2,6572.58%18,08717.58%102,926
Grundy 2,97663.21%1,56333.20%1693.59%1,41330.01%4,708
Harrison 2,55263.94%1,32833.27%1112.78%1,22430.67%3,991
Henry 5,12052.36%4,45945.60%1992.04%6616.76%9,778
Hickory 2,17251.25%1,96146.27%1052.48%2114.98%4,238
Holt 1,73865.29%87132.72%531.99%86732.57%2,662
Howard 2,41453.50%1,94443.09%1543.41%47010.41%4,512
Howell 9,01864.07%4,64132.97%4162.96%4,37731.10%14,075
Iron 2,23750.68%2,04446.31%1333.01%1934.37%4,414
Jackson 104,41838.38%160,41958.96%7,2252.66%-56,001-20.58%272,062
Jasper 24,89966.43%11,73731.31%8452.25%13,16235.12%37,481
Jefferson 36,76647.62%38,61650.02%1,8222.36%-1,850-2.40%77,204
Johnson 9,33955.63%6,92641.26%5223.11%2,41314.37%16,787
Knox 1,22659.66%78738.30%422.04%43921.36%2,055
Laclede 8,55665.58%4,18332.06%3072.35%4,37333.52%13,046
Lafayette 7,84954.06%6,34343.68%3282.26%1,50610.38%14,520
Lawrence 8,30564.36%4,23532.82%3632.81%4,07031.54%12,903
Lewis 2,38853.26%2,02345.12%731.63%3658.14%4,484
Lincoln 8,54953.72%6,96143.74%4032.53%1,5889.98%15,913
Linn 3,24654.01%2,64644.03%1181.96%6009.98%6,010
Livingston 3,70959.10%2,42538.64%1422.26%1,28420.46%6,276
Macon 4,23258.98%2,81739.26%1261.76%1,41519.72%7,175
Madison 2,46056.25%1,82841.80%851.94%63214.45%4,373
Maries 2,21657.50%1,55440.32%842.18%66217.18%3,854
Marion 6,55055.93%4,99342.63%1691.44%1,55713.30%11,712
McDonald 4,46068.31%1,86628.58%2033.11%2,59439.73%6,529
Mercer 1,25067.86%55530.13%372.01%69537.73%1,842
Miller 5,94563.54%3,21734.38%1942.07%2,72829.16%9,356
Mississippi 2,39545.93%2,75652.85%641.23%-361-6.92%5,215
Moniteau 3,76462.06%2,17635.88%1252.06%1,58826.18%6,065
Monroe 2,17553.13%1,86045.43%591.44%3157.70%4,094
Montgomery 3,10658.57%2,09239.45%1051.98%1,01419.12%5,303
Morgan 4,46056.59%3,23541.05%1862.36%1,22515.54%7,881
New Madrid 3,41647.01%3,73851.45%1121.54%-322-4.44%7,266
Newton 14,23267.25%6,44730.46%4832.28%7,78536.79%21,162
Nodaway 5,16157.03%3,55339.26%3353.70%1,60817.77%9,049
Oregon 2,52159.56%1,56837.04%1443.40%95322.52%4,233
Osage 4,15467.24%1,93831.37%861.39%2,21635.87%6,178
Ozark 2,66362.05%1,43233.36%1974.59%1,23128.69%4,292
Pemiscot 2,75045.38%3,24553.55%651.07%-495-8.17%6,060
Perry 4,66767.61%2,08530.20%1512.19%2,58237.41%6,903
Pettis 9,53360.51%5,85537.16%3672.33%3,67823.35%15,755
Phelps 9,44458.49%6,26238.78%4402.73%3,18219.71%16,146
Pike 3,64849.63%3,55748.39%1461.99%911.24%7,351
Platte 17,78552.23%15,32545.00%9442.77%2,4607.23%34,054
Polk 6,43062.46%3,60635.03%2582.51%2,82427.43%10,294
Pulaski 6,53162.02%3,80036.08%2001.90%2,73125.94%10,531
Putnam 1,59368.25%70830.33%331.41%88537.92%2,334
Ralls 2,44653.85%2,03344.76%631.39%4139.09%4,542
Randolph 4,84452.73%4,11644.81%2262.46%7287.92%9,186
Ray 4,51746.34%4,97050.99%2602.67%-453-4.65%9,747
Reynolds 1,76256.28%1,29841.46%712.27%46414.82%3,131
Ripley 3,12161.62%1,82035.93%1242.45%1,30125.69%5,065
Saline 4,57248.87%4,58549.01%1982.12%-13-0.14%9,355
Schuyler 1,15957.78%80840.28%391.94%35117.50%2,006
Scotland 1,33561.27%79036.26%542.48%54525.01%2,179
Scott 8,99957.30%6,45241.09%2531.61%2,54716.21%15,704
Shannon 2,24559.38%1,43037.82%1062.80%81521.56%3,781
Shelby 1,93659.44%1,26238.75%591.81%67420.69%3,257
St. Charles 72,11456.04%53,80641.81%2,7662.15%18,30814.23%128,686
St. Clair 2,73157.63%1,86639.38%1423.00%86518.25%4,739
St. Francois 9,32749.50%9,07548.17%4392.33%2521.33%18,841
St. Louis 224,68946.15%250,63151.48%11,5642.38%-25,942-5.33%486,884
St. Louis City 24,79919.88%96,55777.40%3,3962.72%-71,758-57.52%124,752
Ste. Genevieve 3,50547.94%3,60049.24%2062.82%-95-1.30%7,311
Stoddard 7,72762.04%4,47635.94%2512.02%3,25126.10%12,454
Stone 7,79364.13%4,05533.37%3032.49%3,73830.76%12,151
Sullivan 1,87761.26%1,12736.78%601.96%75024.48%3,064
Taney 9,64763.84%5,09233.70%3732.47%4,55530.14%15,112
Texas 6,13661.78%3,48635.10%3103.12%2,65026.68%9,932
Vernon 4,98559.29%3,15637.54%2673.18%1,82921.75%8,408
Warren 5,97955.67%4,52442.12%2372.21%1,45513.55%10,740
Washington 4,02048.64%4,04748.97%1982.40%-27-0.33%8,265
Wayne 3,34657.22%2,38740.82%1151.97%95916.40%5,848
Webster 7,35061.87%4,17435.13%3563.00%3,17626.74%11,880
Worth 65156.22%46940.50%383.28%18215.72%1,158
Wright 5,39168.75%2,25028.70%2002.55%3,14140.05%7,841
Totals1,189,92450.42%1,111,13847.08%58,8302.49%78,7863.34%2,359,892

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

Bush won six of nine congressional districts, including one that elected a Democrat. [3]

DistrictGoreBushRepresentative
1st 78%20% Bill Clay
William Lacy Clay, Jr.
2nd 43%55% Jim Talent
Todd Akin
3rd 51%46% Dick Gephardt
4th 39%58% Ike Skelton
5th 61%36% Karen McCarthy
6th 44%53% Pat Danner
Sam Graves
7th 35%62% Roy Blunt
8th 39%59% Jo Ann Emerson
9th 43%54% Kenny Hulshof

Analysis

Beginning with the 2000 election, the status of the Missouri bellwether came into question. Between 1904 and 2004, Missouri was carried by the victor of each presidential election, with the exception of 1956. Though Bush won the presidency in the 2000 election through the Electoral College, he lost the national popular vote. The 2000 election was unique because this was the first time in over a century where the popular vote winner lost the general election. (In 1888, Missouri voted for Grover Cleveland, the incumbent Democrat, who lost to Republican candidate Benjamin Harrison). Thus, controversy exists as to whether or not Missouri accurately predicted the victor in this election. In the subsequent election, Missouri voted for George W. Bush, who this time won both the popular vote and the Electoral College.

In any case, Missouri has voted reliably Republican since this election. The state very narrowly voted for John McCain in 2008 and for Mitt Romney by a wider margin in 2012; both men were ultimately defeated by Barack Obama in the nationwide election. The controversy is further complicated by the 2016 presidential election, where Missouri voted for Donald Trump by a landslide, while Hillary Clinton won the popular vote by nearly three million votes, but like in 2000, Trump won the Electoral College and became 45th President of the United States. Like 2000, political scientists have differing opinions on whether or not Missouri accurately predicted the victor.

Electors

Technically the voters of Missouri cast their ballots for electors: representatives to the Electoral College. Missouri is allocated 11 electors because it has 9 congressional districts and 2 senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of 11 electors, who pledge to vote for their candidate and his or her running mate. Whoever wins the majority of votes in the state is awarded all 11 electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for president and vice president. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them. An elector who votes for someone other than his or her candidate is known as a faithless elector.

The electors of each state and the District of Columbia met on December 18, 2000 [4] to cast their votes for president and vice president. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols.

The following were the members of the Electoral College from the state. All were pledged to and voted for George W. Bush and Dick Cheney: [5]

  1. David Barklage
  2. Bruce Bredeman
  3. Marc Ellinger
  4. Gordon Elliott
  5. John Hancock
  6. Stan Horacek
  7. Homer Johnson
  8. John Judd
  9. Michael Kort
  10. Dennis Owens
  11. Al Rotskoff

See also

References

  1. "Midwest's unlikely bellwether: Missouri: Independent-minded Rolla, Mo., offers a snapshot of why key heartland states may tilt Bush's way.(USA)(Election 2000 - Swing States - Third In A Series) - The Christian Science Monitor | HighBeam Research". October 25, 2012. Archived from the original on October 25, 2012.
  2. "2000 Presidential General Election Results - Missouri".
  3. "Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections - County Data".
  4. "2000 Post-Election Timeline of Events".
  5. "President Elect - 2000". Archived from the original on February 12, 2012. Retrieved October 31, 2009.