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Greitens: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Koster: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% 50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Missouri |
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The 2016 Missouri gubernatorial election was held on November 8, 2016, to elect the governor of Missouri, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections.
The primaries were held on August 2. Incumbent Democratic governor Jay Nixon was term-limited and could not run for re-election to a third term in office. [1] State Attorney General Chris Koster and businessman, author and former U.S. Navy SEAL Eric Greitens won the Democratic and Republican primaries, respectively. [2] [3] On election day, November 8, 2016, the Associated Press declared Greitens the winner of the election, and Koster conceded shortly after. [4] This was the first gubernatorial election since 1968 that the winner was from a different party as the presidential candidate who won the popular vote in the concurrent election
[a] , and the first since 1940 that a Republican accomplished the feat.
Newspapers
Organizations
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Chris Koster | Eric Morrison | Leonard Steinman | Charles Wheeler | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
St. Louis Post-Dispatch/Mason-Dixon [17] | July 23–27, 2016 | 400 | ± 5.0% | 73% | 3% | 1% | 8% | — | 15% |
SurveyUSA [18] | July 20–24, 2016 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 57% | 7% | 3% | 7% | — | 26% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Chris Koster | 256,272 | 78.75% | |
Democratic | Eric Morrison | 31,474 | 9.67% | |
Democratic | Charles Wheeler | 25,756 | 7.92% | |
Democratic | Leonard Steinman | 11,911 | 3.66% | |
Total votes | 325,413 | 100.00% |
Indoviduals
Organizations
Individuals
Individuals
Newspapers
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | John Brunner | Eric Greitens | Catherine Hanaway | Peter Kinder | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
St. Louis Post-Dispatch/Mason-Dixon [17] | July 23–27, 2016 | 400 | ± 5.0% | 23% | 21% | 21% | 18% | 17% |
SurveyUSA [18] | July 20–24, 2016 | 773 | ± 3.6% | 21% | 25% | 18% | 18% | 18% |
OnMessage Inc. [57] | July 17–18, 2016 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 23% | 21% | 25% | 19% | 12% |
Public Policy Polling [58] | July 11–12, 2016 | 462 | ± 3.2% | 16% | 24% | 22% | 15% | 23% |
Remington Research Group (R)/Missouri Scout [59] | July 7–8, 2016 | 1,022 | ± 3.0% | 22% | 29% | 16% | 12% | 21% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | John Brunner | Catherine Hanaway | Peter Kinder | Tom Schweich | Dave Spence | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Remington Research Group [60] | February 2–3, 2015 | 747 | 3.6% | 10% | 13% | — | 16% | — | — | 62% |
— | 12% | 24% | 15% | — | — | 48% | ||||
— | 16% | — | 19% | — | 18% | 47% | ||||
Remington Research Group [61] | January 2015 | 1,355 | ? | — | 44% | — | 56% | — | — | — |
— | 39% | — | 37% | 25% | — | — |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Eric Greitens | 236,481 | 34.56% | |
Republican | John Brunner | 169,620 | 24.79% | |
Republican | Peter Kinder | 141,629 | 20.70% | |
Republican | Catherine Hanaway | 136,521 | 19.95% | |
Total votes | 684,251 | 100.00% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Libertarian | Cisse W. Spragins | 3,515 | 100.00% | |
Total votes | 3,515 | 100.00% |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [66] | Tossup | August 12, 2016 |
Daily Kos [67] | Tossup | November 8, 2016 |
Inside Elections [68] | Tossup | November 3, 2016 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [69] | Lean R (flip) | November 7, 2016 |
Real Clear Politics [70] | Tossup | November 1, 2016 |
Governing [71] | Tossup | November 4, 2016 |
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Chris Koster (D) | Eric Greitens (R) | Other/Undecided [b] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Real Clear Politics [72] | October 28 – November 1, 2016 | November 1, 2016 | 45.5% | 46.0% | 8.5% | Greitens +0.5% |
![]() | This graph was using the legacy Graph extension, which is no longer supported. It needs to be converted to the new Chart extension. |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Chris Koster (D) | Eric Greitens (R) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey [73] | November 1–7, 2016 | 1,368 | ± 4.6% | 48% | 47% | — | 5% |
SurveyMonkey [74] | October 31–Nov 6, 2016 | 1,119 | ± 4.6% | 49% | 46% | — | 5% |
SurveyMonkey [75] | October 28–Nov 3, 2016 | 879 | ± 4.6% | 49% | 47% | — | 4% |
Public Policy Polling [76] | November 1–2, 2016 | 871 | ± 3.4% | 47% | 44% | 4% | 6% |
SurveyMonkey [77] | October 27 – November 2, 2016 | 774 | ± 4.6% | 50% | 47% | — | 3% |
The Missouri Times/Remington Research Group (R) [78] | October 31 – November 1, 2016 | 1,722 | ± 2.4% | 45% | 46% | 4% | 4% |
DFM Research [79] | October 27 – November 1, 2016 | 508 | ± 4.4% | 45% | 39% | 10% | 6% |
SurveyMonkey [80] | October 26 – November 1, 2016 | 649 | ± 4.6% | 52% | 46% | — | 2% |
Monmouth University [81] | October 28–31, 2016 | 405 | ± 4.9% | 46% | 46% | 2% | 5% |
SurveyMonkey [82] | October 25–31, 2016 | 671 | ± 4.6% | 54% | 44% | — | 2% |
Missouri Scout/BK Strategies (R) [83] | October 27–28, 2016 | 1,698 | ± 2.4% | 46% | 45% | — | 9% |
St. Louis Post-Dispatch/Mason-Dixon [84] | October 24–26, 2016 | 625 | ± 4.0% | 46% | 45% | — | 9% |
The Missouri Times/Remington Research Group (R) [85] | October 23–25, 2016 | 2,559 | ± 1.9% | 47% | 45% | 4% | 4% |
The Missouri Times/Remington Research Group (R) [86] | October 9–11, 2016 | 2,171 | ± 2.1% | 48% | 42% | 5% | 5% |
Monmouth University [87] | October 9–11, 2016 | 406 | ± 4.9% | 46% | 43% | 2% | 8% |
The Missouri Times/Remington Research Group (R) [88] | October 4–5, 2016 | 1,588 | ± 2.6% | 44% | 41% | 5% | 10% |
The Missouri Times/Remington Research Group (R) [89] | September 26–27, 2016 | 1,279 | ± 3.0% | 51% | 35% | 5% [90] | 10% |
The Tarrance Group (R-Greitens) [91] | September 19–22, 2016 | 606 | ± 4.1% | 45% | 42% | — | 13% |
The Missouri Times/Remington Research Group (R) [92] | September 19–20, 2016 | 1,076 | ± 3.2% | 47% | 37% | 4% [93] | 13% |
The Missouri Times/Gravis Marketing [94] | September 11–13, 2016 | 604 | ± 4.0% | 49% | 41% | — | 8% |
The Missouri Times/Gravis Marketing [95] | September 4–6, 2016 | 589 | ± 4.0% | 47% | 41% | 3% [96] | 9% |
Missouri Scout/Remington Research Group (R) [97] | September 1–2, 2016 | 1,275 | ± 3.0% | 46% | 42% | — | 12% |
Monmouth University [98] | August 19–22, 2016 | 401 | ± 4.9% | 51% | 40% | 3% | 6% |
Remington Research Group (R) [99] | August 5–6, 2016 | 1,280 | ± 3.0% | 45% | 43% | — | 7% |
St. Louis Post-Dispatch/Mason-Dixon [100] | July 23–24, 2016 | 625 | ± 4.0% | 52% | 33% | — | 15% |
DFM Research [101] | March 17–24, 2016 | 674 | ± 3.8% | 41% | 24% | 3% | 31% |
Public Policy Polling [102] | September 22–23, 2015 | 731 | ± 3.6% | 37% | 44% | — | 20% |
Public Policy Polling [103] | August 7–9, 2015 | 859 | ± 3.3% | 40% | 34% | — | 26% |
with John Brunner
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Chris Koster (D) | John Brunner (R) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
St. Louis Post-Dispatch/Mason-Dixon [100] | July 23–24, 2016 | 625 | ± 4.0% | 46% | 40% | — | 14% |
DFM Research [101] | March 17–24, 2016 | 674 | ± 3.8% | 42% | 28% | 2% | 28% |
Public Policy Polling [103] | August 7–9, 2015 | 859 | ± 3.3% | 41% | 36% | — | 23% |
with Catherine Hanaway
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Chris Koster (D) | Catherine Hanaway (R) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
St. Louis Post-Dispatch/Mason-Dixon [100] | July 23–24, 2016 | 625 | ± 4.0% | 52% | 36% | — | 12% |
DFM Research [101] | March 17–24, 2016 | 674 | ± 3.8% | 43% | 31% | 3% | 23% |
Public Policy Polling [103] | August 7–9, 2015 | 859 | ± 3.3% | 40% | 36% | — | 23% |
Gravius Public Polling [104] | January 7–8, 2015 | ? | ± 6% | 29% | 23% | — | 48% |
Wilson Perkins Allen (R-Hanaway) [105] | January 15–19, 2014 | 700 | ± 3.7% | 33% | 35% | — | 32% |
with Peter Kinder
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Chris Koster (D) | Peter Kinder (R) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
St. Louis Post-Dispatch/Mason-Dixon [100] | July 23–24, 2016 | 625 | ± 4.0% | 47% | 46% | — | 7% |
DFM Research [101] | March 17–24, 2016 | 674 | ± 3.8% | 39% | 37% | 2% | 22% |
Public Policy Polling [103] | August 7–9, 2015 | 859 | ± 3.3% | 37% | 40% | — | 24% |
with Bob Dixon
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Chris Koster (D) | Bob Dixon (R) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling [103] | August 7–9, 2015 | 859 | ± 3.3% | 39% | 35% | — | 26% |
with Bart Korman
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Chris Koster (D) | Bart Korman (R) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling [103] | August 7–9, 2015 | 859 | ± 3.3% | 39% | 31% | — | 30% |
with Tom Schweich
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Chris Koster (D) | Tom Schweich (R) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravius Public Polling [104] | January 7–8, 2015 | ? | ± 6% | 30% | 26% | — | 44% |
with Randy Asbury
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Chris Koster (D) | Randy Asbury (R) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling [103] | August 7–9, 2015 | 859 | ± 3.3% | 40% | 35% | — | 25% |
with Claire McCaskill
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Claire McCaskill (D) | Catherine Hanaway (R) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravius Public Polling [104] | January 7–8, 2015 | ? | ± 6% | 19% | 30% | — | 51% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Claire McCaskill (D) | Tom Schweich (R) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravius Public Polling [104] | January 7–8, 2015 | ? | ± 6% | 20% | 34% | — | 46% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Eric Greitens | 1,433,397 | 51.14% | +8.61% | |
Democratic | Chris Koster | 1,277,360 | 45.57% | −9.20% | |
Libertarian | Cisse Spragins | 41,154 | 1.47% | −1.22% | |
Independent | Lester Benton Turilli, Jr. | 30,019 | 1.07% | N/A | |
Green | Don Fitz | 21,088 | 0.75% | N/A | |
Write-in | 28 | 0.00% | 0.00% | ||
Total votes | 2,803,046 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
Republican gain from Democratic |
Greitens won six of eight congressional districts. [107]
District | Koster | Greitens | Representative |
---|---|---|---|
1st | 78% | 19% | Lacy Clay |
2nd | 47% | 51% | Ann Wagner |
3rd | 40% | 57% | Blaine Luetkemeyer |
4th | 39% | 57% | Vicky Hartzler |
5th | 60% | 37% | Emanuel Cleaver |
6th | 40% | 57% | Sam Graves |
7th | 32% | 65% | Billy Long |
8th | 32% | 65% | Jason Smith |
On April 28, 2017, the Missouri Ethics Commission fined Greitens' campaign $1,000 for violating state campaign ethics rules regarding campaign disclosure. Greitens did not contest the fine. [108]
In 2018, Missouri attorney general Josh Hawley announced the opening of an investigation of Greitens' 2016 campaign financing. [109]
On June 1, 2018, Greitens resigned from office, leaving Mike Parson, his lieutenant governor, to succeed him.
Official campaign websites (archived)