2016 United States Senate election in Hawaii

Last updated

2016 United States Senate election in Hawaii
Flag of Hawaii.svg
  2014
(special)
November 8, 2016 2022  
  Brian Schatz, official portrait, 113th Congress (cropped).jpg John Carroll.jpg
Nominee Brian Schatz John Carroll
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote306,60492,653
Percentage73.61%22.24%

2016 United States Senate election in Hawaii results map by county.svg
County results
Schatz:     70–80%     >90%

U.S. senator before election

Brian Schatz
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

Brian Schatz
Democratic

The 2016 United States Senate election in Hawaii was held November 8, 2016, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election as well as other elections to the United States Senate and House of Representatives and various state and local elections. The primaries were held August 13. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Brian Schatz won reelection to his first full term in office, defeating Republican former state legislator John Carroll.

Contents

Background

In 2011, Daniel Inouye announced that he planned to run for a record tenth term in 2016, when he would have been 92 years old. [1] [2] He also said, "I have told my staff and I have told my family that when the time comes, when you question my sanity or question my ability to do things physically or mentally, I don't want you to hesitate, do everything to get me out of here, because I want to make certain the people of Hawaii get the best representation possible." [3]

Inouye died on December 17, 2012. [4] Hawaii Governor Neil Abercrombie appointed Lieutenant Governor Brian Schatz, a Democrat, to succeed Inouye. Schatz won a 2014 special election to serve the remainder of Inouye's term. [5]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Former

Results

Democratic primary results [10] [11] [12]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Brian Schatz (incumbent) 162,891 86.17%
Democratic Makani Christensen11,8986.29%
Democratic Miles Shiratori8,6204.56%
Democratic Arturo Reyes3,8192.02%
Democratic Tutz Honeychurch1,8150.96%
Total votes189,043 100.00%

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

  • Charles Collins, candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2012 and for Governor of Hawaii in 2014 [13]

Declined

Results

Results by county:
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Carroll--70-80%
Carroll--60-70% Hawaii Senate Republican primary, 2016.svg
Results by county:
  Carroll—70–80%
  Carroll—60–70%
Republican primary results [10] [11] [12]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican John Carroll 26,747 74.58%
Republican John P. Roco3,95611.03%
Republican Karla Gottschalk3,0458.49%
Republican Eddie Pirkowski2,1145.89%
Total votes35,862 100.00%

Other primaries

Libertarian

Candidates

Declared
  • Michael Kokoski, nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2014 [6]

Results

Libertarian primary results [10] [11] [12]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Libertarian Michael Kokoski 909 100.00%
Total votes909 100.00%

Constitution

Candidates

Declared
  • Joy Allison, independent candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2014 [6]

Results

Constitution primary results [10] [11] [12]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Constitution Joy Allison 217 100.00%
Total votes217 100.00%

American Shopping

Candidates

Declared
  • John Giuffre [6]

Results

American Shopping primary results [10] [11] [12]
PartyCandidateVotes%
American ShoppingJohn Giuffre111100.00%
Total votes111 100.00%

General election

Schatz defeated Carroll on election day, winning his second election to the U.S. Senate and his first full term after being appointed to the seat in 2012 following the death of Daniel Inouye. This was his largest margin of victory, as he won over 4% more of the electorate in this election.

Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSpentCash on Hand
Brian Schatz (D) [14] $3,316,074$1,195,572$3,074,380
John Carroll (R)

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [15] Safe DNovember 2, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball [16] Safe DNovember 7, 2016
Rothenberg Political Report [17] Safe DNovember 3, 2016
Daily Kos [18] Safe DNovember 8, 2016
Real Clear Politics [19] Safe DNovember 7, 2016

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Brian
Schatz (D)
John
Carroll (R)
Undecided
SurveyMonkey [20] November 1–7, 2016426± 4.6%70%26%4%
SurveyMonkey [21] October 31–November 6, 2016426± 4.6%67%29%4%
SurveyMonkey [22] October 28–November 3, 2016435± 4.6%68%26%6%
SurveyMonkey [23] October 27–November 2, 2016424± 4.6%70%26%4%
SurveyMonkey [24] October 26–November 1, 2016428± 4.6%70%26%4%
SurveyMonkey [25] October 25–31, 2016467± 4.6%69%27%4%

Results

United States Senate election in Hawaii, 2016 [26]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Democratic Brian Schatz (incumbent) 306,604 73.61% +3.83%
Republican John Carroll 92,65322.24%−5.46%
Constitution Joy Allison9,1032.19%N/A
Libertarian Michael Kokowski6,8091.63%−0.89%
American ShoppingJohn Giuffre1,3930.33%N/A
Total votes416,562 100.00% N/A
Democratic hold

By congressional district

Schatz won both congressional districts. [27]

DistrictSchatzCarrollRepresentative
1st 74%22% Colleen Hanabusa
2nd 73%22% Tulsi Gabbard

Related Research Articles

<span class="mw-page-title-main">United States congressional delegations from Hawaii</span>

Since Hawaii became a state in 1959, it has sent congressional delegations to the United States Senate and United States House of Representatives. Each state elects two senators to serve for six years. Members of the House of Representatives are elected to two-year terms, one from each of Hawaii's congressional districts. Before becoming a state, the Territory of Hawaii elected a non-voting delegate at-large to Congress from 1900 to 1958.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Daniel Inouye</span> American politician (1924–2012)

Daniel Ken Inouye was an American attorney, soldier, and politician who served as a United States senator from Hawaii from 1963 until his death in 2012. A Medal of Honor recipient, Inouye began his political career in territorial government. In 1959 he was elected as the first U.S. Representative for the State of Hawaii. A member of the Democratic Party, he also served as the president pro tempore of the United States Senate from 2010 until his death. Inouye was the highest-ranking Asian-American politician in U.S. history until Kamala Harris was elected as vice president in 2020. Inouye also chaired various Senate committees, including those on Intelligence, Indian Affairs, Commerce, and Appropriations.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Mike Gabbard</span> American politician (born 1948)

Gerald Michael Gabbard is an American politician, serving as the Hawaii State Senator for District 21 from the Democratic party, since 2006. Gabbard rose to prominence for efforts to prevent same-sex marriage in Hawai'i by passing a 1998 amendment to the Constitution of Hawaii to give the state legislature "the power to reserve marriage to opposite-sex couples" under the 1996 Defense of Marriage Act (DOMA). Gabbard, who was born in American Samoa, is the first person of Samoan descent to serve in the Hawaii Senate.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Campbell Cavasso</span> American politician

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<span class="mw-page-title-main">2006 United States Senate election in Hawaii</span>

The 2006 United States Senate election in Hawaii was held November 7, 2006. Incumbent Democrat Daniel Akaka won re-election to his third full term.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Brian Schatz</span> American educator and politician (born 1972)

Brian Emanuel Schatz is an American educator and politician serving as the senior United States senator from Hawaii, a seat he has held since 2012. A member of the Democratic Party, Schatz served in the Hawaii House of Representatives from 1998 to 2006, representing the 25th legislative district; as the chairman of the Democratic Party of Hawaii from 2008 to 2010; and as the 12th lieutenant governor of Hawaii from 2010 to 2012.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Colleen Hanabusa</span> American politician (born 1951)

Colleen Wakako Hanabusa is an American lawyer and politician who served as the U.S. representative for Hawaii's 1st congressional district from 2011 to 2015 and again from 2016 to 2019. A member of the Democratic Party, she ran for her party's nomination for governor of Hawaii in 2018, challenging and losing to incumbent and fellow Democrat David Ige.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2010 United States Senate election in Hawaii</span>

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<span class="mw-page-title-main">Tulsi Gabbard</span> American politician and Army reserve officer (born 1981)

Tulsi Gabbard is an American politician and military officer serving as a Lieutenant colonel in the U.S. Army Reserve since 2021, having previously served in Hawaii Army National Guard from 2003 to 2020. In November 2024, President-elect Trump selected Gabbard for the position of Director of national intelligence in his second term, starting January 2025. A former Congresswoman, Gabbard served as U.S. Representative for Hawaii's 2nd congressional district from 2013 to 2021. She was the first Samoan-American member of Congress. She was a candidate in the 2020 Democratic presidential primaries. She left the Democratic Party in 2022 to become an independent. In 2024, she joined the Republican Party.

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<span class="mw-page-title-main">2014 United States Senate special election in Hawaii</span>

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<span class="mw-page-title-main">2014 United States House of Representatives elections in Hawaii</span>

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<span class="mw-page-title-main">2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Hawaii</span>

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<span class="mw-page-title-main">2022 United States Senate election in Hawaii</span>

The 2022 United States Senate election in Hawaii was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Hawaii. The primary took place on August 13.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 United States Senate election in Hawaii</span>

The 2024 United States Senate election in Hawaii was held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Hawaii. Incumbent two-term Democratic senator Mazie Hirono was re-elected with 71.2% of the vote in 2018. Hirono was re-elected to a third term. Primary elections took place on August 10, 2024.

References

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  2. 1 2 Hamilton, Chris. "The Maui News - Inouye has more he wants to do for (Hawaii Senator emphasizes need for Democrats to remain in control)". The Maui News. Retrieved September 2, 2012.
  3. Mizutani, Ron (April 26, 2010). "Sen. Akaka: "God willing, I Plan to Run Again in 2012"". KHON2 . Archived from the original on July 13, 2011. Retrieved March 3, 2011.
  4. "Hawaii Sen. Daniel Inouye dies at age 88". Washington Post. Retrieved December 17, 2012.
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  6. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 "Federal State County Sorted by: Contest" (PDF). Hawaii Secretary of State. Retrieved June 8, 2016.
  7. Stephen O'Harrow (August 18, 2014). "Dan Inouye and Brian Schatz: A Lesson in Hawaii Politics". Honolulu Civil Beat. Retrieved December 26, 2015.
  8. 1 2 Blair, Chad (March 14, 2015). "Tulsi Gabbard Looks to Be Running for Re-election". Honolulu Civil Beat. Retrieved December 26, 2015.
  9. "Leadership Lessons from the Late Sen. Daniel Inouye". Forbes .
  10. 1 2 3 4 5 "Statewide Results" (PDF). Hawaii Office of Elections. Archived from the original (PDF) on August 22, 2016. Retrieved August 13, 2016.
  11. 1 2 3 4 5 "Hawaii Senate Races Results". Politico. Retrieved August 13, 2016.
  12. 1 2 3 4 5 "Archived copy". Archived from the original on August 18, 2016. Retrieved August 16, 2016.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
  13. "Charles Collins for US Senate" . Retrieved December 29, 2015.
  14. "Schatz, Brian — Candidate for Senate". Federal Elections Commission. Retrieved August 15, 2016.
  15. "2016 Senate Race Ratings for November 2, 2016". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved March 26, 2021.
  16. "2016 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved September 19, 2016.
  17. "2016 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved November 3, 2016.
  18. "Daily Kos Election 2016 forecast: The final version". Daily Kos. Retrieved March 27, 2021.
  19. "Battle for the Senate 2016". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved October 28, 2016.
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  21. SurveyMonkey
  22. SurveyMonkey
  23. SurveyMonkey
  24. SurveyMonkey
  25. SurveyMonkey
  26. "Office of Elections – State of Hawaii – Statewide". State of Hawaii Office of Elections. August 16, 2016. p. 1. Retrieved November 18, 2016.
  27. "Dra 2020".

Official campaign websites